NZD/CAD LongPositive Confluence Factors... (13)
1. LTF and HTF direction in alignment? ✅
2. At edge of HTF structure (in green zone)? ✅
3. HTF candlestick confirmation? ✅
4. Trade setup visible on multiple time frames? ✅
5. Break out of structure and a break back in present?
6. Near miss present (below price if looking to get short, or above price if looking to get long)? ✅
7. Reliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)?
8. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of proportionate to preceding impulse? ✅
9. M style pattern present?
10. Structural approach to area of value? ✅
11. Fairly flat structure present? ✅
12. Expanding pattern present? ✅
13. Equal spacing present? ✅
14. Clearly identifiable middle section present? ✅
15. Head and shoulders pattern present?
16. Decent R:R available? ✅
17. No hook point sat just beyond stop loss? ✅
19. Protection available for your stop loss?
Negative Confluence Factors... (1)
1. Counter to HTF trend?
2. Not at edge of HTF structure (in red zone)?
3. Trade setup only visible on one time frame?
4. Price only wicked to area of value on multiple time frames?
5. Near miss present (above price if looking to get short, or below price if looking to get long)?
6. Unreliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)?
7. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of disproportionate to preceding impulse?
8. Squeeze present (structure not parallel or expanding)?
9. Fairly steep structure present?
10. Very unequal spacing present? ❌
11. No clearly identifiable middle section present?
12. Multiple possible entry types?
13. Limited R:R available?
14. Hook point sat just beyond stop loss?
15. Entry around swap hours?
16. Entry directly before major news announcement?
Tradingforex
EUR/USD ShortPositive Confluence Factors... (13)
1. LTF and HTF direction in alignment?
2. At edge of HTF structure (in green zone)?
3. HTF candlestick confirmation? ✅
4. Trade setup visible on multiple time frames? ✅
5. Break out of structure and a break back in present? ✅
6. Near miss present (below price if looking to get short, or above price if looking to get long)? ✅
7. Reliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)? ✅
8. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of proportionate to preceding impulse? ✅
9. M style pattern present?
10. Structural approach to area of value? ✅
11. Fairly flat structure present? ✅
12. Expanding pattern present?
13. Equal spacing present? ✅
14. Clearly identifiable middle section present? ✅
15. Head and shoulders pattern present? ✅
16. Decent R:R available?
17. No hook point sat just beyond stop loss? ✅
19. Protection available for your stop loss? ✅
Negative Confluence Factors... (2)
1. Counter to HTF trend? ❌
2. Not at edge of HTF structure (in red zone)?
3. Trade setup only visible on one time frame?
4. Price only wicked to area of value on multiple time frames?
5. Near miss present (above price if looking to get short, or below price if looking to get long)?
6. Unreliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)?
7. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of disproportionate to preceding impulse?
8. Squeeze present (structure not parallel or expanding)?
9. Fairly steep structure present?
10. Very unequal spacing present?
11. No clearly identifiable middle section present?
12. Multiple possible entry types?
13. Limited R:R available? ❌
14. Hook point sat just beyond stop loss?
15. Entry around swap hours?
16. Entry directly before major news announcement?
NZD/CAD LongPositive Confluence Factors... (12)
1. LTF and HTF direction in alignment? ✅
2. At edge of HTF structure (in green zone)? ✅
3. HTF candlestick confirmation?
4. Trade setup visible on multiple time frames? ✅
5. Break out of structure and a break back in present?
6. Near miss present (below price if looking to get short, or above price if looking to get long)? ✅
7. Reliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)?
8. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of proportionate to preceding impulse? ✅
9. M style pattern present?
10. Structural approach to area of value? ✅
11. Fairly flat structure present? ✅
12. Expanding pattern present? ✅
13. Equal spacing present? ✅
14. Clearly identifiable middle section present? ✅
15. Head and shoulders pattern present?
16. Decent R:R available? ✅
17. No hook point sat just beyond stop loss? ✅
19. Protection available for your stop loss?
Negative Confluence Factors... (1)
1. Counter to HTF trend?
2. Not at edge of HTF structure (in red zone)?
3. Trade setup only visible on one time frame?
4. Price only wicked to area of value on multiple time frames?
5. Near miss present (above price if looking to get short, or below price if looking to get long)?
6. Unreliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)?
7. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of disproportionate to preceding impulse?
8. Squeeze present (structure not parallel or expanding)?
9. Fairly steep structure present?
10. Very unequal spacing present? ❌
11. No clearly identifiable middle section present?
12. Multiple possible entry types?
13. Limited R:R available?
14. Hook point sat just beyond stop loss?
15. Entry around swap hours?
16. Entry directly before major news announcement?
AUD/USD ShortPositive Confluence Factors... (13)
1. LTF and HTF direction in alignment? ✅
2. At edge of HTF structure (in green zone)?
3. HTF candlestick confirmation? ✅
4. Trade setup visible on multiple time frames? ✅
5. Break out of structure and a break back in present? ✅
6. Near miss present (below price if looking to get short, or above price if looking to get long)?
7. Reliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)? ✅
8. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of proportionate to preceding impulse? ✅
9. M style pattern present?
10. Structural approach to area of value? ✅
11. Fairly flat structure present? ✅
12. Expanding pattern present?
13. Equal spacing present?
14. Clearly identifiable middle section present? ✅
15. Head and shoulders pattern present? ✅
16. Decent R:R available? ✅
17. No hook point sat just beyond stop loss? ✅
19. Protection available for your stop loss? ✅
Negative Confluence Factors... (1)
1. Counter to HTF trend?
2. Not at edge of HTF structure (in red zone)?
3. Trade setup only visible on one time frame?
4. Price only wicked to area of value on multiple time frames?
5. Near miss present (above price if looking to get short, or below price if looking to get long)?
6. Unreliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)?
7. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of disproportionate to preceding impulse?
8. Squeeze present (structure not parallel or expanding)?
9. Fairly steep structure present?
10. Very unequal spacing present? ❌
11. No clearly identifiable middle section present?
12. Multiple possible entry types?
13. Limited R:R available?
14. Hook point sat just beyond stop loss?
15. Entry around swap hours?
16. Entry directly before major news announcement?
AUD/NZD ShortPositive Confluence Factors... (12)
1. LTF and HTF direction in alignment? ✅
2. At edge of HTF structure (in green zone)? ✅
3. HTF candlestick confirmation?
4. Trade setup visible on multiple time frames? ✅
5. Break out of structure and a break back in present? ✅
6. Near miss present (below price if looking to get short, or above price if looking to get long)?
7. Reliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)?
8. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of proportionate to preceding impulse? ✅
9. M style pattern present?
10. Structural approach to area of value?
11. Fairly flat structure present? ✅
12. Expanding pattern present? ✅
13. Equal spacing present?
14. Clearly identifiable middle section present? ✅
15. Head and shoulders pattern present? ✅
16. Decent R:R available? ✅
17. No hook point sat just beyond stop loss? ✅
19. Protection available for your stop loss? ✅
Negative Confluence Factors... (0)
1. Counter to HTF trend?
2. Not at edge of HTF structure (in red zone)?
3. Trade setup only visible on one time frame?
4. Price only wicked to area of value on multiple time frames?
5. Near miss present (above price if looking to get short, or below price if looking to get long)?
6. Unreliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)?
7. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of disproportionate to preceding impulse?
8. Squeeze present (structure not parallel or expanding)?
9. Fairly steep structure present?
10. Very unequal spacing present?
11. No clearly identifiable middle section present?
12. Multiple possible entry types?
13. Limited R:R available?
14. Hook point sat just beyond stop loss?
15. Entry around swap hours?
16. Entry directly before major news announcement?
EUR/USD ShortPositive Confluence Factors... (15)
1. LTF and HTF direction in alignment?
2. At edge of HTF structure (in green zone)? ✅
3. HTF candlestick confirmation? ✅
4. Trade setup visible on multiple time frames? ✅
5. Break out of structure and a break back in present? ✅
6. Near miss present (below price if looking to get short, or above price if looking to get long)? ✅
7. Reliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)? ✅
8. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of proportionate to preceding impulse? ✅
9. M style pattern present?
10. Structural approach to area of value? ✅
11. Fairly flat structure present? ✅
12. Expanding pattern present?
13. Equal spacing present? ✅
14. Clearly identifiable middle section present? ✅
15. Head and shoulders pattern present? ✅
16. Decent R:R available? ✅
17. No hook point sat just beyond stop loss? ✅
19. Protection available for your stop loss? ✅
Negative Confluence Factors... (1)
1. Counter to HTF trend? ❌
2. Not at edge of HTF structure (in red zone)?
3. Trade setup only visible on one time frame?
4. Price only wicked to area of value on multiple time frames?
5. Near miss present (above price if looking to get short, or below price if looking to get long)?
6. Unreliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)?
7. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of disproportionate to preceding impulse?
8. Squeeze present (structure not parallel or expanding)?
9. Fairly steep structure present?
10. Very unequal spacing present?
11. No clearly identifiable middle section present?
12. Multiple possible entry types?
13. Limited R:R available?
14. Hook point sat just beyond stop loss?
15. Entry around swap hours?
16. Entry directly before major news announcement?
USD/SGD ShortPositive Confluence Factors... (12)
1. LTF and HTF direction in alignment? ✅
2. At edge of HTF structure (in green zone)? ✅
3. HTF candlestick confirmation?
4. Trade setup visible on multiple time frames? ✅
5. Break out of structure and a break back in present? ✅
6. Near miss present (below price if looking to get short, or above price if looking to get long)? ✅
7. Reliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)? ✅
8. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of proportionate to preceding impulse? ✅
9. M style pattern present?
10. Structural approach to area of value?
11. Fairly flat structure present? ✅
12. Expanding pattern present? ✅
13. Equal spacing present?
14. Clearly identifiable middle section present? ✅
15. Head and shoulders pattern present?
16. Decent R:R available? ✅
17. No hook point sat just beyond stop loss?
19. Protection available for your stop loss? ✅
Negative Confluence Factors... (2)
1. Counter to HTF trend?
2. Not at edge of HTF structure (in red zone)?
3. Trade setup only visible on one time frame?
4. Price only wicked to area of value on multiple time frames?
5. Near miss present (above price if looking to get short, or below price if looking to get long)? ❌
6. Unreliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)?
7. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of disproportionate to preceding impulse?
8. Squeeze present (structure not parallel or expanding)?
9. Fairly steep structure present?
10. Very unequal spacing present?
11. No clearly identifiable middle section present?
12. Multiple possible entry types?
13. Limited R:R available?
14. Hook point sat just beyond stop loss? ❌
15. Entry around swap hours?
16. Entry directly before major news announcement?
EUR/JPY ShortPositive Confluence Factors... (12)
1. LTF and HTF direction in alignment? ✅
2. At edge of HTF structure (in green zone)? ✅
3. HTF candlestick confirmation?
4. Trade setup visible on multiple time frames? ✅
5. Break out of structure and a break back in present? ✅
6. Near miss present (below price if looking to get short, or above price if looking to get long)? ✅
7. Reliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)?
8. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of proportionate to preceding impulse? ✅
9. M style pattern present?
10. Structural approach to area of value? ✅
11. Fairly flat structure present? ✅
12. Expanding pattern present?
13. Equal spacing present?
14. Clearly identifiable middle section present? ✅
15. Head and shoulders pattern present? ✅
16. Decent R:R available? ✅
17. No hook point sat just beyond stop loss?
19. Protection available for your stop loss? ✅
Negative Confluence Factors... (2)
1. Counter to HTF trend?
2. Not at edge of HTF structure (in red zone)?
3. Trade setup only visible on one time frame?
4. Price only wicked to area of value on multiple time frames?
5. Near miss present (above price if looking to get short, or below price if looking to get long)? ❌
6. Unreliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)?
7. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of disproportionate to preceding impulse?
8. Squeeze present (structure not parallel or expanding)?
9. Fairly steep structure present?
10. Very unequal spacing present? ❌
11. No clearly identifiable middle section present?
12. Multiple possible entry types?
13. Limited R:R available?
14. Hook point sat just beyond stop loss?
15. Entry around swap hours?
16. Entry directly before major news announcement?
NZD/CAD LongPositive Confluence Factors... (12)
1. LTF and HTF direction in alignment? ✅
2. At edge of HTF structure (in green zone)? ✅
3. HTF candlestick confirmation?
4. Trade setup visible on multiple time frames? ✅
5. Break out of structure and a break back in present?
6. Near miss present (below price if looking to get short, or above price if looking to get long)? ✅
7. Reliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)?
8. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of proportionate to preceding impulse? ✅
9. M style pattern present?
10. Structural approach to area of value? ✅
11. Fairly flat structure present? ✅
12. Expanding pattern present? ✅
13. Equal spacing present? ✅
14. Clearly identifiable middle section present? ✅
15. Head and shoulders pattern present?
16. Decent R:R available? ✅
17. No hook point sat just beyond stop loss? ✅
19. Protection available for your stop loss?
Negative Confluence Factors... (1)
1. Counter to HTF trend?
2. Not at edge of HTF structure (in red zone)?
3. Trade setup only visible on one time frame?
4. Price only wicked to area of value on multiple time frames?
5. Near miss present (above price if looking to get short, or below price if looking to get long)?
6. Unreliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)?
7. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of disproportionate to preceding impulse?
8. Squeeze present (structure not parallel or expanding)?
9. Fairly steep structure present?
10. Very unequal spacing present? ❌
11. No clearly identifiable middle section present?
12. Multiple possible entry types?
13. Limited R:R available?
14. Hook point sat just beyond stop loss?
15. Entry around swap hours?
16. Entry directly before major news announcement?
AUD/NZD ShortPositive Confluence Factors... (12)
1. LTF and HTF direction in alignment? ✅
2. At edge of HTF structure (in green zone)? ✅
3. HTF candlestick confirmation?
4. Trade setup visible on multiple time frames? ✅
5. Break out of structure and a break back in present? ✅
6. Near miss present (below price if looking to get short, or above price if looking to get long)?
7. Reliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)?
8. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of proportionate to preceding impulse? ✅
9. M style pattern present?
10. Structural approach to area of value?
11. Fairly flat structure present? ✅
12. Expanding pattern present? ✅
13. Equal spacing present?
14. Clearly identifiable middle section present? ✅
15. Head and shoulders pattern present? ✅
16. Decent R:R available? ✅
17. No hook point sat just beyond stop loss? ✅
19. Protection available for your stop loss? ✅
Negative Confluence Factors... (0)
1. Counter to HTF trend?
2. Not at edge of HTF structure (in red zone)?
3. Trade setup only visible on one time frame?
4. Price only wicked to area of value on multiple time frames?
5. Near miss present (above price if looking to get short, or below price if looking to get long)?
6. Unreliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)?
7. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of disproportionate to preceding impulse?
8. Squeeze present (structure not parallel or expanding)?
9. Fairly steep structure present?
10. Very unequal spacing present?
11. No clearly identifiable middle section present?
12. Multiple possible entry types?
13. Limited R:R available?
14. Hook point sat just beyond stop loss?
15. Entry around swap hours?
16. Entry directly before major news announcement?
GBPUSD, The Impending ShortWe’re coming up towards the end of the final push, push 3. Looking back at the H4 timeframe, there is a Shark Pattern near completion. The D point of this Shark Pattern aligns with the long term resistance as well as a psychological whole number 1.24. There are other methods that also support the theory that price may reach the 1.24. The ab=cd pattern suggests price can continue to rally on towards the 1.24. Mentioned previously today, there was a 15min Shark Pattern which later came back to do a type 2 reversal that gives a trader a second entry to ride towards the 1.24. We may see a completion of the price objective by Wednesday next, until then sit on your hands and wait for price to do it’s thing.
Beaucoup Out.
USD/SGD Long• If price impulses up, it does so in a convincing manner and a tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/AUD Short• If price corrects and a larger three touch one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUD/JPY Short• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
Patience is a Virtue in Trading! Learn Why:
In trading, timing is everything. Winning traders are patient. They know how to control their impulses so as to act decisively at the opportune moment. Rather than acting on a whim, they carefully devise a detailed trading plan, in which precise entry and exit strategies are specified, and strictly follow it. Discipline is the key to successful trading. Although discipline can be learned, some people are more disciplined and self-controlled than others. It is useful to determine where you stand on this trait, and if you’re impulsive, developing psychological strategies to compensate for it will allow you to trade profitably.
Research studies have demonstrated that some people have difficulty delaying gratification. In the jargon of behavioural economics, they “discount delayed rewards.” That is, they would rather take a small profit now, instead of waiting for a larger profit later. Depending on your style of trading, discounting a delayed reward can be a problem.
For a long-term investor, for example, it is necessary to buy-and-hold long enough for one’s long term strategy to play out. There may be minor fluctuations during the waiting period, but seasoned investors have learned to wait it out. Most novice investors, in contrast, impulsively sell as the masses panic and buy the stock back at a top, which usually results in a losing trade.
If you are a long-term investor, it is necessary to be able to control your impulse to make a profit and allow the price to rise over time. Even shorter-term traders, such as a swing trader, must fight the urge to sell early. Although trades are held for much shorter windows, a swing trader must know how to wait patiently for the optimal time to sell. Selling a winner too early is not going to allow one’s account balance to increase exponentially at an ideal rate.
The scalper is at the opposite end of the spectrum. Most scalpers feel an overpowering need to take a quick profit as soon as they can get it. To some extent, it may be wise for a person who has trouble patiently waiting for the price of an investment instrument to increase to become a scalper.
The conventional wisdom these days, however, is that decimalization has made scalping less viable. It is useful to take other steps to work around one’s inclination to sell prematurely. For example, one can use the automatic settings on one’s trading platform to specify an exit strategy. It has often been said that looking at one’s screen during the trading day is like sitting in front of a slot machine and trying to resist gambling.
It’s hard. Just as the one-armed bandit tempts recreational gamblers, charts and indicators on a computer screen tempt seasoned and novice traders alike to make hasty trading decisions. It may be useful to refrain from constantly looking at how a particular stock or commodity is doing while you’re waiting for your trading plan to play out. If you have to walk away, while having the automatic settings on to manage risk, then, by all means, turn off your screens or walk away.
It is also useful to objectify the trade. The more you can learn to view the trade objectively, as if you just don’t care what happens, the more you’ll be able to resist the temptation to close out a trade prematurely. A cold, rational approach to trading, along with a detailed trading plan, is the best defence against impulsive trading decisions.
Patience is a virtue when attempting to trade profitably. It is useful to remember that humans have a strong, natural tendency to avoid risk and loss at all costs. This tendency often protects us from harm, but there are times when it can compel us to act impulsively. We are naturally inclined to avoid losses at all costs, even if it means selling a potentially winning trade before it reaches fruition. Unless one can let winners increase in price sufficiently, profits won’t balance out losses. The ability to control one’s impulses and wait for larger, delayed rewards is vital for long-term survival. It’s worth developing this ability.
Hey traders, let me know what subject do you want to dive in in the next post?
EUR/AUD Short• If price pushes up above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
SUGAR/USD Short• If price corrects and a tight one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/AUD Short• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
USD/JPY Short• If price pushes up to and ideally just above the upper trend line of our most recent piece of structure, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
SUGAR/USD Short• If price pushes up above our rayline, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/NZD Short• If price impulses down, it does so in a convincing manner and a tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
USD/SGD Short• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.