Gold prices attract some sellers as Fed-inspired USD strengthGold prices encountered new supply in the early hours of trading in Europe and faded Friday's positive move after the surprise of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkish stance.
The possibility of the Fed implementing two interest rate cuts in 2024 is still being considered amid signs of easing inflationary pressures in the US. Additionally, persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, coupled with political instability in Europe, will help limit losses in the safe-haven metal.
From a technical perspective, traders need to wait for gold's sustained breakout below the $2,300 mark before placing strong bearish bets on gold. Therefore, it would be wise to wait for some further selling below the $2,285 horizontal support to be sure gold's position is truly bearish. The commodity could then accelerate its decline to the next relevant support near the $2,254-2,253 area. The downward trajectory could extend further towards the $2,225-$2,220 area en route to the $2,200 round figure.
On the contrary, gold regained strength when it returned to trading above 2325. Next is the $2,340 supply zone where gold has not been able to break out of the border for 2 weeks, which, if cleared decisively, could push pushed some recoveries above the 2355 trendline above. when the trendline broke the notable peak area of 2385 on the way to the 2,400 USD mark.
Support: 2312 - 2300 - 2291 - 2286 - 2280- 2274
Resistance: 2325 - 2340 - 2350
SELL price range 2340 - 2342 stoploss 2346
BUY price range 2303 - 2301 stoploss 2298
Tradingforex
EUR/AUD Long and AUD/CHF ShortEUR/AUD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse up above area of interest.
• If 3 touch 5 min continuation or 2 touch 5 min continuation with 3 touch structural approach, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If 3 touch 15 min continuation or 2 touch 15 min continuation with 3 touch structural approach, risk entry within it or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
AUD/CHF Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If 3 touch 15 min continuation or 2 touch 15 min continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
POTENTIAL BUY GBPUSD M15 SCALPINGI see there is a demand zone in GBPUSD M15. After there is movement, the structure breaks. Starting scalping trading might be a sensible idea,If an ema user targets an EMA of 200 H1, I think the price is quite possible to get there. Hopefully I'm really. Happy trading. Keep trading safe with SL.
Note: any risks regarding this trading idea are not our responsibility.
GBP/CHF Short, AUD/CHF Short and EUR/USD LongGBP/CHF Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it.
AUD/CHF Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it.
EUR/USD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse up above AOI.
• 3 touch 15 min continuation or 2 touch 15 min continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
EUR/USD weakenedEUR/USD falls to 1.0700 as the Euro weakens amid French election uncertainty.
ECB policymakers see a bumpy inflation path towards the 2% target.
The Fed maintaining its hawkish stance will offset the impact of weak US inflation data.
The next support level for EURUSD is around 1.066. Traders can pay attention to execute BUY signals.
The main resistance level is at 1.072 where the pair broke through strong support
AUD/CAD Short, GBP/CHF Short, AUD/CHF Short and USD/SGD ShortAUD/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it.
GBP/CHF Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it.
AUD/CHF Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it.
USD/SGD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down.
• 3 touch 15 min continuation or 2 touch 15 min continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
GBP/CHF Short and WHEAT/USD ShortGBP/CHF Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
WHEAT/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If 2 touch 5 min continuation, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
GBP/CHF Short and WHEAT/USD ShortGBP/CHF Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
WHEAT/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below most recent low.
• If 2 touch 5 min continuation, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
Gold fell after the FED kept interest rates unchanged in June💥Gold prices (XAU/USD) gained positive traction for the third straight day on Wednesday and touched a new weekly high, around the $2,341-$2,342 region as US consumer inflation figures softened slightly.
💥Gold then fell sharply after data from the US Federal Reserve (FED) signaled there would only be one interest rate cut this year. in a context where inflation is still far from target.
💥The change in the Fed's forecast led to a slight increase in US Treasury yields, supporting the US Dollar (USD) after its overnight bounce from multi-day lows and further weakening prices. Yellow
💥Gold support is approaching at 2282. Gold prices could accelerate the decline after the $2,285 horizontal support is broken. That said, any further decline is likely to find some Support near the $2,300 mark before the $2,285 horizontal zone. Some further selling activity will be seen as fresh trigger for bearish traders and leave XAU/USD vulnerable to accelerating the decline towards the next relevant support near the $2,254-2,253 region. If gold trades above 2325 today, it will soon find higher levels such as yesterday's peak resistance area at 2340 and higher at 2355.
GBP/CHF Trade Recap, GBP/CHF Short and USD/SGD ShortGBP/CHF Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If 2 touch 5 min continuation, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
USD/SGD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below most recent low.
• If 2 touch 5 min continuation, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
GBP/CHF Short and USD/SGD ShortGBP/CHF Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• Risk entry after a 1H rejection or a phase line break.
USD/SGD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below most recent low.
• If 2 touch 5 min continuation, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
NZD/CAD Short, GBP/CHF Short, USD/SGD Short and GBP/USD ShortNZD/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it.
GBP/CHF Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If 2 touch 5 min continuation, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
USD/SGD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If 2 touch 5 min continuation, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
GBP/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it.
Fed is the sustainability of current interest ratesIn his very last feedback earlier than the week of again-to-again Fed officers talking in advance of today`s meeting, Powell stated he predicted inflation to fall again on a month-to-month foundation to decrease ranges visible withinside the 2nd 1/2 of of the year.
It's a first rate shift in messaging, in step with Ellen Zentner, leader US economist at Morgan Stanley. Fed officers frequently communicate approximately monitoring hobby prices over 12 months. Immediate intake goals had been additionally set at 2% annually.
Economists realize that the once a year inflation charge might not make a good deal development this year. Because the amount of products at some point of the month will should be as compared with the amount of merchandise allotted withinside the 2nd 1/2 of of the year. So the once a year charge might not fall a good deal even though the month-to-month facts improves.
Zentner stated Powell become signaling that the Fed could consider "sequential" improvements.
Meyer stated this. “The Fed will need to peer that six-month prices are decrease than 12-month prices and three-month prices are decrease than six-month prices,” he stated in a note.
NZD/USD Short, GBP/CHF Short, AUD/NZD Short and GBP/USD ShortNZD/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Break above area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If 2 touch 5 min continuation, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
GBP/CHF Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If 2 touch 5 min continuation, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
AUD/NZD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If 2 touch 5 min continuation, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
GBP/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If 2 touch 5 min continuation, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
Gold remains a safe havenGold-subsidized ETFs and comparable merchandise make up a giant part of the gold market, with institutional and character traders the use of them to enforce plenty of their funding strategies. Flows in ETFs regularly spotlight short- and long-time period perspectives in addition to the preference to preserve gold. The information in this web page tracks gold held in bodily shape with the aid of using open-cease ETFs and different merchandise including closed-cease price range and mutual price range. Most of the price range in this listing are subsidized totally with the aid of using bodily gold.
Physically subsidized gold ETFs 1 noticed their first month-to-month inflows seeing that May closing year, amounting to $529 million 2 . Rising gold prices (+2%) and capital inflows driven gold ETF property beneathneath management (AUM) 2% better to $234 billion, the very best seeing that April 2022. And with gold ETF call for advanced in May, typical holdings extended once more to 3,088. t, however still -8.2% decrease than the 2023 average (3,363 tons).
European and Asian price range have fueled worldwide capital flows. While May marked Asia`s fifteenth consecutive month-to-month capital influx, Europe recorded its first fantastic capital influx seeing that May closing year. Meanwhile, capital flows in North America grew to become negative, albeit handiest slightly.
Gold soon regained its rising position (week 24 gold analysis)💥Gold reacted strongly at 2360 and could not overcome the old resistance level to break back to 2400. Gold has formed a double top pattern on the 4th hour frame.
💥After returning below 233x, important support levels 2317-2310 -2305 will be believed by investors to push gold prices back up.
💥The price is retracing relatively far from MA 34 and MA 89, so the downtrend can maintain for the first few days of the week before gold bounces back strongly at the end of next week.
💥When the gold price drops, we will BUY at the support points listed above. new stop loss of 50 pips for each signal. possible profit level according to RR11 ratio. When the price reaches the 2310 or 2301 area, we can consider making long-term BUY signals.
💥If you check back at the levels we have shared weekly over time, you can see how effectively they are used to trade with or against short/medium term fluctuations and trends .
Resistance 2360-2400
Support 2317-2310-2305
GBPUSD analysis week 24📌GBP/USD eases from 1.2765, keeping gains modest. GBP/USD hit a two-day peat at 1.2765 during the US session, as US data showed core PCE inflation held steady at 2.8% yoy in the month Private. The pair retreated later as risk aversion triggered demand for the US Dollar.
📌The possibility of the FED cutting interest rates in September is quite low. As the Fed has said they want to see inflation fall for months before considering a move to normalize policy, higher-than-expected inflation would significantly impact markets. FED interest rate cut will be delayed until November. If this index is lower, it will boost the prospect of FED lowering interest rates in September
📌The pair is trading within the border of the uptrend line and is strongly boosted by the EMA 34 and EMA 89 to extend the upward price momentum. The narrow price range of 1,280 and 1,268 that has been maintained continuously for the past two weeks could completely be broken in the next week with further resistance and support levels at 1,288 above and vice versa at 1,265 below.
🕯Trading signals
SELL zone 1.28800-1.29000 SL 1.29300
BUY zone 1.26500-1.26300 SL 1.26000
Maintain wide trading margins for a long timeGold continued to fall and traded below $2,330 on Tuesday, erasing most of Monday's gains in the process. Renewed US dollar strength drags XAU/USD lower as markets take a cautious stance ahead of US data.
The $2,360 area (Friday's high) acted as a barrier for gold and caused gold to fall sharply as the strength of the PMI news was not enough to break this resistance.
Gold has difficulty escaping the trendline that has lasted for nearly two weeks. Gold will soon be pushed up by the 2315 -2310 or 2305 support zones and continue to wait for ADP data or even wait until Friday when nonfarm is announced by breaking out of this wide accumulation zone.
Price zones need attention to have an effective trading strategy
Support: 2320 -2305
Resistance 2360-2348
NZD/CAD Short, NZD/CHF Short, GBP/CHF Short and SUGAR/USD ShortNZD/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If 2 touch 5 min continuation, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
NZD/CHF Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it.
GBP/CHF Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it.
SUGAR/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
Gold Price Forecast: Holds 50-Day MA Support Amid Downtrend Gold holds assist across the 50-Day MA for the fourth day in a row on Tuesday. It stays sandwiched among resistance across the crimson 20-Day MA and the 50-Day line for assist. Although gold has dipped under the 50-Day line intraday withinside the ultimate days, it has ended the classes at or above the 50-Day line. Watch wherein it ends nowadays to peer if there's a alternate withinside the latest final pattern. If the day by day near is decrease relative to the 50-Day line than what has been visible to date, it is able to be signaling similarly weak spot earlier than the retracement is complete.
Nevertheless, the weekly chart is taking a extra bearish tone. This week brought about a 3rd consecutive decrease weekly low. The week`s low of 2,315 is decrease than ultimate week`s low of 2,321, that is decrease than the previous week`s low of 2,325. In addition, this week and ultimate week`s highs are every decrease than the previous week. In different words, there's a sequence of decrease weekly highs and decrease weekly lows set up at the weekly chart, which defines a downtrend. That will begin to alternate if this week`s excessive receives above ultimate week`s excessive of 2,364 earlier than the cease of this week.
NZD/CAD Short, NZD/CHF Short and SUGAR/USD ShortNZD/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If 2 touch 5 min continuation, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
NZD/CHF Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If 2 touch 5 min continuation, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
SUGAR/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
AUD/NZD Short and WTICO/USD ShortAUD/NZD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
WTICO/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it.