USOIL ( BREAKOUT DESCINDIN CHANNEL ) (4H)USOIL
Tendency, the price is under down ward pressure , until trade below 74.22 .
Upward zone : In order to see an increase, the price needs to breaking the turning level at 74.22 , to reach resistance levels (1) around 77.06 , then breaking resistance level (1) it indicates to reach of a resistance level (2) at 78.89 .
Downward zone: Provided until the prices trade below the turning level, it indicates a reach of the support level (1) at 71.55 , then breaking this level with a 4h or 1h open candle below is likely to reach the support level (2) at 69.30 , the breaking this level reach a next level at 67.93
Corrective level :Price may make a correction at 74.22, before dropping .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 77.06 , 78.89.
SUPPORT LEVEL : 71.55 , 69.30 , 67.93 .
Tradingidea
GBPUSD scalping signalsGBP/USD: Bulls push to test the 1.2840 resistance
Instead of continuing to rise, the Pound Sterling (GBP) is more likely to trade in a range between 1.2740 and 1.2840. Downward momentum has slowed; any further GBP weakness is likely limited to a retest of the 1.2710 level, UOB Group FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.
SELL Scalping zone SELL GBPUSD now zone 1.28000-1.28200
↠ Stoploss 1.28400
→ Take Profit 1 1.27700
→ Take Profit 2 1.27000
Good luck everyone
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see update on our 4H chart idea, which has been playing out perfectly inline with our trading plans,
As shared at the beginning of the week; We had 2406, as an open gap above and 2383 open gap below.
- Both of these gaps were hit!!! The retracement zone provided the bounce for the push up hitting 2406. This followed with a ema5 cross and lock opening 2429, which was also hit perfectly. We then had 2429 cross and lock opening 2461, which was hit today completing this chart idea - BOOOOM!!!!
We are now seeing the rejection at 2461 and price is now heading towards 2429 for support. Support here and we are likely to see another 2461 re-test or a break and lock below 2429 will open 2406 for a test.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2406 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2406 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2429 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2429 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2461 - DONE
BEARISH TARGETS
2383 - DONE
2360
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2360 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2328 - 2302
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GBP/USD Breakdown Analysis 1.21RR% - Comprehensive Multi-TimeHello Traders,
In today's breakdown of the GBP/USD pair, I share an in-depth analysis covering both higher and lower time frames. Whether you are a beginner or an experienced trader, this video aims to provide valuable insights and education to enhance your trading skills.
Key Points Covered:
1. Higher Time Frame Analysis:
- Overview of the current trend and key support and resistance levels.
- Examination of major chart patterns and their implications.
- Long-term price action and fundamental factors influencing the pair.
2. Lower Time Frame Analysis:
- Detailed look at recent price movements and short-term trends.
- Identification of potential entry and exit points based on technical indicators.
- Strategies for intraday and swing trading.
3. Educational Insights:
- Explanation of technical analysis concepts used in the breakdown.
- Tips on how to combine multiple time frame analyses for more accurate predictions.
- Practical advice for managing risk and improving trading discipline.
I invite you to watch the video and share your thoughts and comments. Let's learn and grow together as a trading community!
Happy Trading!
Abdul Kalk Mohamed Afrideen
BTCUSDT - one n only support for today, holding or not??#BTCUSDT. perfect move as per our last couple of ideas and congratulations to all followers,
now market have one n only area for today that is your most important supporting area 62400
that area can create a massive volume to any side. keep close it.
if market clear that level then it will leads you towards downside further areas which is 60000 and up to 58000
don't be lazy here.
good luck
trade wisely
SPx500 FORECASTOverview:
- Current Price: 5,348.8, down by 0.10% (-5.3 points).
- Price Action: The index has been in a general uptrend, with some recent consolidation near the highs.
Key Observations:
1. Trend:
- The overall trend is bullish with higher highs and higher lows.
- There has been significant upward movement in late May, followed by some consolidation and minor pullbacks in early June.
2. Recent Price Movement:
- After reaching a high around 5356.8, the price has pulled back slightly and is currently consolidating just below this level.
- The consolidation near the highs indicates a potential continuation pattern, suggesting that the market might be gathering strength for another move higher.
3. Bearish and Bullish Levels:
- Resistance: The recent high around 5356.8 is acting as a resistance level. A breakout above this level could signal further bullish momentum.
- Support: The previous swing low around 5280.0 can be considered a key support level. If the price breaks below this level, it could indicate a potential trend reversal or a deeper correction.
4. Volume and Volatility:
- The chart does not show volume, but the recent price action suggests that volatility has been relatively low in the consolidation phase. Traders will likely watch for an increase in volume accompanying a breakout or breakdown to confirm the move.
Potential Scenarios:
1. Bullish Scenario:
- If the price breaks above the resistance at 5356.8 with strong momentum and volume, it could continue the uptrend, targeting new highs.
- In this case, the next psychological levels to watch would be around 5400.0 and 5450.0.
2. Bearish Scenario:
- If the price fails to break the resistance and falls below the recent consolidation low around 5280.0, it could signal the start of a correction.
- In this scenario, the next support levels to watch would be around 5220.0 and 5200.0.
3. Sideways Movement:
- The price could continue to consolidate between 5280.0 and 5356.8, indicating indecision in the market.
- Traders might wait for a decisive breakout or breakdown from this range to determine the next significant move.
Conclusion:
The S&P 500 index is currently in a bullish trend with a consolidation phase near recent highs. A breakout above 5356.8 could continue the uptrend, while a breakdown below 5280.0 might lead to a correction. Traders should watch for volume and momentum to confirm any potential moves.
Key Levels:
Bullish Lines: 5377, 5405
Pivot Point: 5328.5
Bearish Line: 5300, 5251
NAS100 FORECAST
Overview:
- Current Price: 19019, slightly down by 0.11% (-20.2 points).
- Price Action: The index has been in an uptrend since early May, with a recent consolidation phase.
Key Observations:
1. Trend:
- The overall trend is bullish, with higher highs and higher lows forming since early May.
- There was a significant upward movement around mid-May, followed by a correction and another upward push in early June.
2. Recent Price Movement:
- After reaching a high around 19050, the price has pulled back slightly and is currently consolidating just below this level.
- The consolidation near the highs indicates a potential continuation pattern, suggesting that the market might be gathering strength for another move higher.
3. Bearish and Bullish Levels:
- Resistance: The recent high around 19050 is acting as a resistance level. A breakout above this level could signal further bullish momentum.
- Support: The previous swing low around 18600 can be considered a key support level. If the price breaks below this level, it could indicate a potential trend reversal or a deeper correction.
4. Volume and Volatility:
- The chart does not show volume, but the recent price action suggests that volatility has been relatively low in the consolidation phase. Traders will likely watch for an increase in volume accompanying a breakout or breakdown to confirm the move.
Potential Scenarios:
1. Bullish Scenario:
- If the price breaks above the resistance at 19050 with strong momentum and volume, it could continue the uptrend, targeting new highs.
- In this case, the next psychological levels to watch would be around 19100 and 19200.
2. Bearish Scenario:
- If the price fails to break the resistance and falls below the recent consolidation low around 18900, it could signal the start of a correction.
- In this scenario, the next support levels to watch would be around 18700 and 18600.
3. Sideways Movement:
- The price could continue to consolidate between 18900 and 19050, indicating indecision in the market.
- Traders might wait for a decisive breakout or breakdown from this range to determine the next significant move.
Conclusion:
The US NASDAQ 100 index is currently in a bullish trend with a consolidation phase near recent highs. A breakout above 19050 could continue the uptrend, while a breakdown below 18900 might lead to a correction. Traders should watch for volume and momentum to confirm any potential moves.
Is trading really gambling? Yes and no!I know why you’re NOT trading.
You think trading is nothing more than gambling.
I get emails every day from members saying things like.
“Timon trading seems like going to the casino”.
“Timon I don’t want to put money into something that’s gambling”
“Timon thanks but I don’t gamble”
So you’re not trading because you think it’s like gambling.
Well, before you send me another email like this – Please make sure you read this carefully.
Let’s dive into the heated debate and let’s see if I agree whether trading is just gambling.
Does Timon think trading is just gambling?
YES! I do believe trading is a form of gambling.
BUT – hold on…
Gambling exists in two realms. Chance vs. Strategy
There is chance gambling and strategic gambling.
Chance gambling is similar to playing slot machines, lotteries, and coin tosses.
It’s 50/50. And it’s all up to chance.
Have you ever heard of a professional slots player or coin flipper?
I don’t think so.
Then in the other realm of gambling is known as strategic gambling.
The strategic domain is where skill, knowledge, risk management, methodology, probabilities and decision-making play crucial roles.
And that my friend, is why I believe trading is a form of strategic gambling.
You do get professional and successful poker and black jack players, sports bettors and of course traders.
Right?
And that’s because you need skill, strategies and the right techniques to WIN as oppose to mere luck.
So before you quit trading because you think it’s nothing more than gambling, allow me to go one step further.
Let’s talk about the similarities between certain strategic gambling games and see how we can learn from them with trading.
Strategic Game #1:
Trading and Poker – The art of strategy and risk management
Poker and trading share a few similarities.
They both emphasize skill, strategy, and a sprinkle of luck.
But you need a deep understanding of the rules.
You need keen observation of the competitors.
You need adeptness at risk, reward and money management.
Poker players and traders alike must know when to hold their ground and when to fold.
Poker players put their cards down when the probability is low.
Traders either don’t take the trade, risk little in medium probability trades and use tools like stop losses to risk little.
Poker also teaches the importance of emotional control and patience.
And these as I have written many times before, are crucial in trading.
Because emotional decisions can lead to significant losses with both poker and with trading.
Next game…
Game #2: Trading and Roulette
Playing the probabilities
It may seem at first that roulette leans more towards chance.
Red or black, odd or even etc…
But the fact that you have a choice, means that it offers you some form of probability.
A fundamental concept in trading are probabilities.
Traders, like professional roulette players, use statistical analysis to help make informed and better decisions.
It is unpredictable what the ball will land on.
Just like it is unpredictable which way the market will go.
But if you have a sound system, proven track record and winning strategy – you will be able to base the probabilities and tilt the odds in your favour – over time.
In trading, while certain market movements can’t be predicted with absolute certainty, we rely heavily on technical, fundamental, statistical analysis and probabilities to make trading decisions.
Trading, much like roulette, is where you need to diversify your positions and bets.
And you can WIN in the long run if you follow your high probability strategy.
Game #3: Trading and Blackjack
How a maths boffon can win overtime
In blackjack, players make strategic decisions to outmaneuver the dealer.
The main goal is to try and get the cards we’re dealt to hit 21, be close to 21 or be closer to 21 than our opponent’s hand.
Bet too high past 21 and you burn (lose).
This is similar to trading.
You need to be able to analyse the marker conditions.
You need to be able to calculate your position sizes and risk management according to your trade line up.
Both games need you to have a balance of risk, strategy, and knowledge to succeed.
Game #4: Trading and Horse Racing
Know your horse!
Now this is a game that has turned many statisticians into multi millionaires.
Horse racing is where you need to know and choose the right horse that will win based on its:
Form
Characteristics
Conditions of the race
Weather on the day
and other factors.
They study the characteristics, and race conditions to a T.
They calculate based on past performance on which horse has the higher probability of winning.
Traders need to know their horses (markets) too.
Every market you choose to trade, has its own personality, form, movements, and style.
You need to check to see if the chosen market has worked for your trading system and portfolio over time.
And you need to choose the right time, market environment and other factors – before you take on the trade.
In horse racing, experienced bettors also diversify their bets across multiple races and horses to spread risk.
With trading we diversify our portfolios over different accounts, markets, sectors, instruments and types.
Finally let’s talk about the last game:
Game #5: Trading and Sports Betting
The power of predictive analysis
Sports betting, much like trading, relies on predictive analysis to almost see potential outcomes.
If you understand a team’s performance, strategy, and conditions – You will be able to make better betting decisions for the next game.
As a sports bettor you definitely need to know how to analyse a team’s or player’s form, weather conditions, past scores and more to predict an outcome.
Whether it’s football, rugby or cricket – you need to have your winning game plan to increase your chances of winning the bet.
Traders do the same. They have different markets like sports bettors have different games.
Traders also conduct similar technical, fundamental, sentimental, volume analyses to help predict potential market movements.
Both activities involve calculated risk-taking, aiming for high-probability successes based on thorough research and analysis.
Final words:
So, as you can see trading is MORE than just gambling.
Unlike games of pure chance, trading is a disciplined, analytical pursuit that shares more in common with skill-based gambling.
It does require you however to have the right knowledge, strategy, and strong risk, reward and money management.
Let’s sum up the games and sports vs trading so you can remember what we’ve covered today:
Game #1: Trading and Poker – The art of strategy and risk management
Game #2: Trading and Roulette – Playing the probabilities
Game #3: Trading and Blackjack – How a maths boffon can win overtime
Game #4: Trading and Horse Racing – Know your horse!
Game #5: Trading and Sports Betting – The power of predictive analysis
DO YOU THINK TRADING IS LIKE GAMBLING?
GBPJPY: The USD stabilized at the end of the week, the British PThe greenback steadied on Friday after dropping floor withinside the preceding consultation on susceptible jobs records, whilst sterling edged up following stronger-than-anticipated boom figures.
At 04:10 ET (08:10 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the dollar towards a basket of six different currencies, changed into buying and selling simply better at 105.115.
The USD is heading in the right direction for small profits this week
The USD steadied on Friday and is on route to advantage barely this week after falling on Thursday after records launched displaying a larger-than-anticipated advantage in subject matter records unemployment blessings request}} weekly.
This proof of a cooling US hard work marketplace has strengthened a few expectancies that the Federal Reserve will start slicing hobby costs in September.
Still, hard inflation stays the Fed`s foremost factor of contention, with a chain of officers caution of such remarks this week which have boosted the greenback this week.
San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly stated Thursday that there is "considerable" uncertainty approximately in which U.S. inflation will head withinside the coming months.
She added: “In a state of affairs in which inflation stays at... levels, with out in addition development being made, it isn't always suitable to begin adjusting costs until we see a slowdown withinside the hard work marketplace ”.
USD heavily influenced by Fed rate expectationsWhen assessing that prospect, there are worse market indicators to monitor than the front-end of the US bond curve. As this chart shows, the daily correlation between the US dollar index and US two-year bond yields over the past quarter stands at 0.89, implying the dollar usually follows movements at the front-end of the US curve.
Gold looks great on he charts, continuing to consolidate above former record highs within a broader uptrend. With RSI breaking its downtrend and MACD looking like it may soon crossover from below, momentum looks to be shifting higher once again. Having tried and failed on multiple occasions to break below $2285 in May, that would provide a decent entry level for longs, should the price return there. A stop could be placed below the level for protection.
Alternatively, should the price get a foothold above $2355.10, that too would be a decent entry level, allowing for a stop to be placed below targeting a retest of the 2024 high above $2430.Right now, the jury is out when it comes to whether we’re witnessing a turning point for the big dollar with futures remaining close to key horizontal resistance with the 50 and 200-day moving averages sitting just above. This zone looms as important when it comes to directional risks for the dollar and short-end rates, managing to repel an attempted break higher last Friday following the release of softer-than-expected payrolls and ISM services PMI data.
RISK MANAGEMENT the most important setting?Trading without a structured risk management strategy turns the market into a game of chance—a gamble with unfavorable odds in the long run. Even if you possess the skill to predict more than half of the market's movements accurately, without robust risk management, profitability remains elusive.
Why?
Because no trading system can guarantee a 100% success rate.
Moreover, the human element cannot be disregarded. Over your trading career, maintaining robotic discipline, free from emotional or impulsive decisions, is challenging.
Risk is inherently linked to trading—it represents the potential for financial loss. Continually opening positions without considering risk is a perilous path. If you're inclined to take substantial risks, perhaps the casino is a more fitting arena. In trading, excessive risk doesn't correlate with greater profits. This misconception often leads beginners to risk excessively for minimal gains, jeopardizing their entire account.
While eliminating all risk is impossible, the goal is to mitigate it. Implementing sound risk management practices doesn't guarantee profits but significantly reduces potential losses. Mastering risk control is pivotal to achieving profitability in trading.
A risk management system is a structured framework designed to safeguard trading capital by implementing specific rules. These rules aim to mitigate potential losses resulting from analytical errors or emotional trading decisions. While market predictions can be flawed, the margin for error in risk management should be minimal.
Key Principles of Risk Management:
1. **Implement a Stop Loss:**
- While this might seem elementary, it's often overlooked.
- Many traders, especially when emotions run high, are tempted to remove or adjust their stop loss when the market moves unfavorably.
- Common excuses include anticipating a market reversal or avoiding a "wasted" loss.
- However, this deviation from the original plan often leads to larger losses.
- Remember, adjusting or removing a stop loss is an acknowledgment that your initial trade idea might be flawed. If you remove it once, the likelihood of reinstating it when needed diminishes, clouded by emotional biases.
- Stick to your predetermined stop loss and accept losses as part of the trading process, void of emotional influence.
2. **Set Stop Loss Based on Analysis:**
- Never initiate a trade without a predetermined stop loss level.
- Placing a stop loss arbitrarily increases the risk of activation.
- Each trade should be based on a specific setup, and each setup should define its stop loss zone. If there's no clear setup, refrain from trading.
3. **Adopt Moderate Risk Per Trade:**
- For novice traders, a recommended risk per trade is around 1% of the trading capital.
- This means that if your stop loss is hit, the loss should be limited to 1% of your total account balance.
- Note: A 1% risk doesn't translate to opening a trade for 1% of your account balance. Position sizing should be determined individually for each trade based on the stop loss level and total trading capital.
By adhering to these risk management principles, traders can build a solid foundation for long-term success in the markets, safeguarding their capital while allowing for growth opportunities.
In the scenario of a losing streak—let's say five consecutive losses—with a conservative risk of 1% per trade, the cumulative loss would amount to slightly less than 5% of your trading capital. (The calculation of 1% is based on the remaining balance after each loss.) However, if your risk per trade is set at 10%, enduring five consecutive losses would result in losing nearly half of your trading capital.
Recovering from such losses, especially with a high-risk approach, presents a significant challenge. The table below illustrates this challenge: if you lose 5% of your capital (approximately five losing trades), you would need to generate a mere 5.3% profit to break even—equivalent to just one or two successful trades. However, if you overextend your risk and suffer, for instance, a 50% loss, you would need to double your remaining capital to restore your original deposit.
4. Utilize a Fixed Percentage of Risk, Not a Fixed Amount for Position Sizing
Position sizing should be dynamic, tailored to both your predetermined risk percentage and the distance to your stop-loss level. This approach ensures that each trade is individually assessed and sized according to its unique risk profile. In the following section, we will delve into the methodology for calculating position size for each trade.
5. Maintain Consistent Risk Across All Positions
While different trading styles like scalping, intraday, and swing trading may warrant varying risk levels, it's crucial to cap your risk at a reasonable threshold. A general guideline is to not exceed a 5% risk per trade. For those in the early stages of trading or during periods of uncertainty, a risk of 1% or less is advisable.
The table below offers an illustrative example of the outcomes achievable by adhering to risk percentages tailored to individual trades. Regardless of your confidence level in the potential profitability of a trade, maintaining consistent risk per trade is paramount.
6. Avoid Duplicating Trades Based on the Same Setup
Opening identical trades based on a single setup doubles your exposure to risk. This principle is especially pertinent when dealing with correlated assets. If you identify a favorable combination of factors across multiple trading pairs, opt to execute the trade on the pair where the setup is perceived to have a higher probability of success.
7. Aim for a Risk-to-Reward Ratio of at Least 1:3
The Risk-to-Reward (RR) ratio measures the potential profit of a trade relative to its inherent risk. A RR ratio of 1:3 signifies that for every 1% risked through a stop-loss activation, a trader stands to gain 3% of their deposit upon a successful trade.
With a 1:3 RR ratio, a trader doesn't need to be correct on every trade. Achieving profitability in just one out of every three trades can result in a net positive outcome. While RR ratios of 1:1 or 1:2 can also be profitable, they typically require a higher win rate to maintain profitability.
For instance, if you're willing to risk 1% to gain 1%, you'd need at least 6 out of 10 trades to be profitable to yield a positive return. It's worth noting that a high RR ratio doesn't guarantee profitability. It's possible to have trades with a 1:6 or greater RR ratio and still incur losses if the win rate is insufficient.
AUDCAD - BEARISH CONTINUATIONPrice could possibly break back above to fill the range.
Looking for a break and close above the resistance level at 0.88495, then waiting for a minor pullback to retest the level before placing a buy order to fill the range.
Ideally I would prefer to see price continue to the downside with a break and close below the 0.88220 level, as current trend is bearish.
Again for sells I am looking for a break and retest before entering a position.
Targeting 0.87825 level where I will look to close 50% and move my stops to BE, with a full TP target at 0.87555.
KASPA Before you LONG, read this.This is one of the coins that I talk to my members for a long setup, but.. People are simply used to this coin that the price goes up non-stop, with certain corrections.
But the same pattern emerged before this impulse(Nov-DEC. 2023).
Wait for the zone to confirm it, because if we look at the chart we will see the first testing of the distribution on March 7 and then again. Then on March 15th there is a price break of 0.14 and a retest twice and a rejection? Wait for it to leak, do not engage in manipulations.. When the structure shows the first signs, a HIGH top, then a small correction that holds the price, we can entry.
The chart shows the zones I am looking at.
All this is valid only if 0.13 drops.
GOLD 1H ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out in true level to level fashion.
We started with the play into the highlighted retracement range with no cross and lock below confirming the bounce, as highlighted by our arrow onto the 2155 Goldturn for the perfect reaction and now heading towards our Bullish target at 2166
A cross and lock above 2166 will open the range above and a failure to lock above will follow with a rejection back to 2155 and 2147. If 2147 Goldturn support breaks we are likely to see the swing range open.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2166
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2166 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
2175
2182
BEARISH RETRACEMENT TARGETS
2155 - DONE
2147 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2147 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2137 - 2129
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2129 WILL OPEN THE STRUCTURE SUPPORT
STRUCTURE SUPPORT
2113
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
USDJPY: Asian foreign exchange was little changed, the dollar neMost Asian currencies were range-bound on Monday, while the dollar fell near a two-month low as markets awaited key US inflation data for further reading. signals about when the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates.
Regional currencies are surging from last week after dovish signals from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and labor data reinforced expectations that the central bank will begin cutting interest rates soon. after June.
This notion weighed on the dollar, dragging the greenback to a nearly two-month low.
Japanese yen is nearly 1 month high as expectations of BOJ's pivot increase
The Japanese yen is one of the currencies that has benefited the most from the dollar's decline, rising sharply in the past two sessions to its highest level in more than a month.
The yen traded around 147 per dollar on Monday and was also supported by growing confidence that the Bank of Japan is close to ending its policy of negative interest rates and yield curve control this week. next.
The upwardly revised GDP data shows that the Japanese economy is avoiding a technical recession in the fourth quarter. The strength of the economy gives the BOJ more room to tighten policy sooner.
The BOJ is expected to hold a meeting next week, with a Reuters report saying that policymakers are considering changing interest rates in March or late April.
Other Asian currencies moved in flat to low ranges. The Australian dollar fell 0.2% as expectations that the Reserve Bank would gradually increase interest rates weighed on the currency.
Signs of cooling economic growth also raise expectations that the RBA will cut interest rates this year.
USDJPY: Asian Foreign Exchange market is quietThe Japanese yen hovered close to a four-month low, whilst statistics confirmed inflation in Tokyo recovered as predicted in February. Stable inflation offers the Bank of Japan extra motivation to elevate hobby costs from extraordinarily low levels.
The greenback index and greenback index futures had been consistent at some point of the session
buying and selling in Asia on Tuesday, after seeing a few volatility in latest sessions.
While latest statistics indicates inflation withinside the US relatively stabilizing, buyers appear like preserving bets that the Fed will reduce hobby costs in June.
But the change is predicted to be in large part examined this week, with a two-day testimony from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell in which analysts anticipate him to preserve tons of his hawkish stance. .
Then key nonfarm payrolls statistics is due out this Friday and is predicted to offer similarly alerts at the hard work market.
MSFT to $395Overview
Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) appears to be within an ascending channel and has reached the resistance line that coincides with the peak of an impulse wave (Wave 3). Utilizing the impulse waves within the channel, a price target of $395 seems probable and may provide a decent Puts trade. If the ascending channel provides textbook formation then a low of $365 is also possible, however, volume and selling pressure should be carefully watched around the $395 price level as steeper declines will require more validation.
The following technical indicators give me confidence that significant selling pressure will soon occur:
Volume -- except for a single outlier in December -- has been steadily decreasing since the channel developed.
On-Balance Volume appears to have reached a ceiling that will need to be carefully watched in the event of a breakout.
Relative Strength Index shows an RSI (green) retreating from the overbought zone. While it is experiencing a slight uptick back to the MA (red), there is still plenty of room until the indicators approach oversold or for the RSI to cross from beneath.
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has just crossed its signal line (red) from above and is nosediving downward. In addition, it is showing a divergence as the peaks of the MACD are inverted from the peaks of MSFT's share price.
Sui Very BullishWe were Squeezing back in November, We started having an outbreak in positive volume.
Once we crossed over the 50 period moving average we started a new trend. We had a golden cross and didn't have a pullback until Jan 15th where we started a correction and had a healthy touch on the .618 before continuing crushing the previous swing high finding it's way with some resistance around the 1.61 fib at 2.12
After 2.12 according to the fib extension we can look at price targets 3.20, 4.28, and 4.95 in the not so distant future.