Tradingidea
GOLD 1H ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out in true level to level fashion.
We started with the play into the highlighted retracement range with no cross and lock below confirming the bounce, as highlighted by our arrow onto the 2155 Goldturn for the perfect reaction and now heading towards our Bullish target at 2166
A cross and lock above 2166 will open the range above and a failure to lock above will follow with a rejection back to 2155 and 2147. If 2147 Goldturn support breaks we are likely to see the swing range open.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2166
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2166 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
2175
2182
BEARISH RETRACEMENT TARGETS
2155 - DONE
2147 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2147 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2137 - 2129
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2129 WILL OPEN THE STRUCTURE SUPPORT
STRUCTURE SUPPORT
2113
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
USDJPY: Asian foreign exchange was little changed, the dollar neMost Asian currencies were range-bound on Monday, while the dollar fell near a two-month low as markets awaited key US inflation data for further reading. signals about when the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates.
Regional currencies are surging from last week after dovish signals from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and labor data reinforced expectations that the central bank will begin cutting interest rates soon. after June.
This notion weighed on the dollar, dragging the greenback to a nearly two-month low.
Japanese yen is nearly 1 month high as expectations of BOJ's pivot increase
The Japanese yen is one of the currencies that has benefited the most from the dollar's decline, rising sharply in the past two sessions to its highest level in more than a month.
The yen traded around 147 per dollar on Monday and was also supported by growing confidence that the Bank of Japan is close to ending its policy of negative interest rates and yield curve control this week. next.
The upwardly revised GDP data shows that the Japanese economy is avoiding a technical recession in the fourth quarter. The strength of the economy gives the BOJ more room to tighten policy sooner.
The BOJ is expected to hold a meeting next week, with a Reuters report saying that policymakers are considering changing interest rates in March or late April.
Other Asian currencies moved in flat to low ranges. The Australian dollar fell 0.2% as expectations that the Reserve Bank would gradually increase interest rates weighed on the currency.
Signs of cooling economic growth also raise expectations that the RBA will cut interest rates this year.
USDJPY: Asian Foreign Exchange market is quietThe Japanese yen hovered close to a four-month low, whilst statistics confirmed inflation in Tokyo recovered as predicted in February. Stable inflation offers the Bank of Japan extra motivation to elevate hobby costs from extraordinarily low levels.
The greenback index and greenback index futures had been consistent at some point of the session
buying and selling in Asia on Tuesday, after seeing a few volatility in latest sessions.
While latest statistics indicates inflation withinside the US relatively stabilizing, buyers appear like preserving bets that the Fed will reduce hobby costs in June.
But the change is predicted to be in large part examined this week, with a two-day testimony from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell in which analysts anticipate him to preserve tons of his hawkish stance. .
Then key nonfarm payrolls statistics is due out this Friday and is predicted to offer similarly alerts at the hard work market.
Small trade opportunity in MRO_TEKSmall trade opportunity in MRO_TEK. As the market is highly volatile. Make sure to have the correct stop loss as the trade might get reversed immediately. It's breakout trade and retest happen on friday.
Target 1: 95
Stoploss: 75
Happy Trading!
MSFT to $395Overview
Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) appears to be within an ascending channel and has reached the resistance line that coincides with the peak of an impulse wave (Wave 3). Utilizing the impulse waves within the channel, a price target of $395 seems probable and may provide a decent Puts trade. If the ascending channel provides textbook formation then a low of $365 is also possible, however, volume and selling pressure should be carefully watched around the $395 price level as steeper declines will require more validation.
The following technical indicators give me confidence that significant selling pressure will soon occur:
Volume -- except for a single outlier in December -- has been steadily decreasing since the channel developed.
On-Balance Volume appears to have reached a ceiling that will need to be carefully watched in the event of a breakout.
Relative Strength Index shows an RSI (green) retreating from the overbought zone. While it is experiencing a slight uptick back to the MA (red), there is still plenty of room until the indicators approach oversold or for the RSI to cross from beneath.
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has just crossed its signal line (red) from above and is nosediving downward. In addition, it is showing a divergence as the peaks of the MACD are inverted from the peaks of MSFT's share price.
Sui Very BullishWe were Squeezing back in November, We started having an outbreak in positive volume.
Once we crossed over the 50 period moving average we started a new trend. We had a golden cross and didn't have a pullback until Jan 15th where we started a correction and had a healthy touch on the .618 before continuing crushing the previous swing high finding it's way with some resistance around the 1.61 fib at 2.12
After 2.12 according to the fib extension we can look at price targets 3.20, 4.28, and 4.95 in the not so distant future.
USDJPY: Fed Chairman Powell: An interest rate cut in March is unFed Chairman Powell participated withinside the American tv program "60 Minutes":
With the economic system strong, we sense the want to take into account the timing of hobby price cuts carefully
Confidence is rising, however we need to be even greater assured as we take the `very critical step' of beginning to reduce hobby rates
Achieving desirable development on inflation
An early selection can be made if exertions marketplace weak spot is mentioned or there's convincing proof that inflation is surely falling.
An hobby price reduce in March is not going
Inflation expectancies will hold to say no withinside the first 6 months of this yr because of essential impacts
Expect the 12-month inflation index to say no this yr
Most 19 policymakers see hobby price cuts this yr as appropriate
We do now no longer convey politics into our selection making
There isn't anyt any excessive opportunity of recession
Do now no longer take into account business actual property loans because the purpose of the disaster as withinside the past
China issues are not going to have an effect on the United States economic system, there'll likely be a few impacts, however they may now no longer be large
Geopolitical danger is taken into consideration the largest short-time period danger, however for different areas of the arena it's miles even more than the United States
AUDJPY M30 / NEW Forecast / Expecting a Bearish Move 📉Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to AudJpy M30. I expect a bearish move on Monday, and I will look for a short trade entry if confirmed. As an objective, I want to see a move until the BOSS level.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
____________________________________
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www.tradingview.com
USDJPY: The dollar was little changed before the European sessioVolatility among major currencies was relatively mild ahead of today's European session. The Australian dollar edged up slightly, building on yesterday's sharp recovery during the US session. Notably, AUD/USD bounced off the December low and 100-day moving average at 0.6525-30 but is now returning to its previous accumulation phase near 0.6600
USD/JPY fell to a more than two-week low and tested the 146.00 level yesterday. That comes after Treasury yields fell sharply again, which made things more complicated this week.
There are no data of note on the economic calendar in Europe today. Thus, all focus and attention will be on the upcoming US employment report.
EURUSD: The ECB's policy decision is the highlight of today's ec
The dollar rose slightly early in the day after being mixed in yesterday's trading. Rising Treasury yields of late have supported the greenback.
US stocks also saw late declines, although technology stocks again outperformed as the Nasdaq index closed up 0.4%. The S&P 500 managed to rise 0.1% while the Dow closed down 0.3%. US futures are currently flat.
In the bond market, the 10-year bond yield in the US decreased 2 basis points to 4.158%.
ECB President Lagarde will continue to speak based on the data but traders will keep an eye out for any unexpected comments from her.
The market prices the ECB's ability to cut interest rates in April at 72% and expects 127 basis points of interest rate cuts this year.
GBPJPY: Asian foreign exchange markets fell, the USD was strongeMost Asian currencies were mildly volatile on Friday but headed for weekly losses, while the dollar hovered near a one-month high amid growing doubts that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates early this year.
The Japanese Yen was hit the hardest due to concerns about higher interest rates for longer and was also the worst performing currency in Asia this week. The yen fell 0.1% on Friday and is forecast to fall 2.3% this week.
Friday's data showed Japan's consumer price index (CPI) inflation fell to its lowest since June 2022 in December, prompting the Bank of Japan to maintain much of its ultra-extreme policy. his moderation at {{ecl -165||next week's meeting}}.
GBPUSD: Dollar slides lower after CPI data; Sterling is supporteThe dollar steadied in early European trade on Friday as investors focused on mixed U.S. consumer inflation data and the potential impact of the FBI's interest rate cut. Future Federal Reserve System.
As of 4:25 p.m. ET (9:25 p.m. Japan time), the dollar index against a basket of six other currencies was trading steady at 102.022, down from Thursday's high of 102.76 (a five-month low). Although it has fallen from a certain point of 100.61, it is still above it.
U.S. consumer prices rose 0.3% in December, according to data released Thursday. The annual rate of increase was 3.4%, exceeding expectations of 0.2% and 3.2% increases, respectively. increase. However, the dollar received little support from this, as the "core" CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, fell again, suggesting underlying inflation remained subdued.
Federal Reserve officials have sought to downplay the possibility of early rate cuts, with Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester saying Thursday that the latest CPI numbers indicate it may be too early for the central bank to cut rates. Major interest rate cuts in March.
But most traders still expect the Fed to start cutting rates as early as March.
"A rate cut in March is still priced in by more than 60%, and we still see near-term vulnerability in risk assets from this move," ING analysts said in a note. The new decision is too restrictive. ”
All eyes are now on the US producer price index, which will be released in late trading, with the index expected to rise 0.1% in December, bringing the annual rate of increase to just 1.3%.
In Europe, the pound/dollar pair rose 0.1% to 1.2775 after data released on Friday showed the British economy grew slightly more than expected in November. The country's GDP rose 0.3% this month, beating expectations for a 0.2% increase.