Tradingideas
Gold trading strategy november 12Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices fell to $2,600, or a fresh one-month low, heading into Tuesday’s European session on continued buying of the US dollar (USD). Investors remained hopeful that US President-elect Donald Trump’s expected expansionary policies could boost economic growth and boost inflation, limiting the scope for the Federal Reserve to ease policy. This sent US Treasury yields higher, further supporting the greenback and dragging the non-yielding yellow metal lower for a third straight day.
It was also the fourth negative move in the past five days for safe-haven gold, which appeared unaffected by concerns that Trump’s protectionist stance could spark a trade war. It will now be interesting to see whether the shorts retain control or choose to reduce their bets ahead of speeches from a host of influential FOMC members, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell, on Thursday. In addition, US consumer inflation figures on Wednesday will be looked at for clues on the Fed's rate cut path and provide fresh impetus to XAU/USD.
Technical Analysis
Gold prices broke the last support zone of 2606 and headed towards the 2582-2580 zone. Waiting for gold to close below the 2606 area on m30 and SELL signals to be established towards the 268x zone. Waiting for the early US session if the front port zone around 2592 is broken, then hold the sell signal to 258x. If it fails to break 2592, close SELL BUY at the beginning of the short scalp session back to zone 06 and continue SELL to trade within the range.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
What a day in the markets today with another big drop following on from last weeks election move.
We observed today and watched our bearish side of the setups play out with 2682 being hit on market open followed with ema5 cross and lock opening 2657,which was also hit and then continued into 2638 and now the swing range. Both of these two levels were confirmed with candle body close confirmation, as ema5 was lagging due to momentum.
We are now seeing price in the swing range and looking for a reaction here. Failure to hold support here and we will switch to our 4h chart to track the extended range.
We will now patiently wait for the momentum to exhaust, so we can continue to stick with our long term trend and buy dips. We were looking forward to this correction for a while now, to enable us to get back in the wave.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2704
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2704 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2725
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2725 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2753
BEARISH TARGETS
2682 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2682 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2657 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2657 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2638 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2638 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE RANGE
SWING RANGE
2621 (DONE) - 2608
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold remains around $2,675-$2,670 due to a stronger USD.Gold (XAU/USD) stays around $2,672-$2,670 as trading opens in Europe on Monday, continuing its recent downtrend from the October 31 record high. The USD remains slightly below last week's 4-month peak, driven by optimism over Trump’s economic policies, which are pressuring gold for the second consecutive day.
Investors expect Trump’s policies to boost growth and inflation while limiting strong Fed easing, keeping US Treasury yields high and pushing funds away from non-yielding gold. However, a mild risk sentiment may support gold as traders await US inflation data and Fed Chair Powell’s speech later this week.
Personal opinion:
A sell-off below last week's low around $2,643 could trigger further downside, potentially pushing gold towards the October range low at $2,605-$2,602. However, a rebound above $2,700 faces strong resistance near $2,718 and the $2,740-$2,745 zone. A break above these levels could signal the end of the correction and push gold towards $2,750 and the $2,758-$2,790 range, or even the record high from October 31.
Pay attention to the price range:
Buy Zone: 2656 - 2654
SL: 2649
Buy Zone: 2666 - 2664
SL: 2659
Sell Zone: 2687 - 2689
SL: 2694
Gold Analysis: Short Fibonacci ResistanceIn this 1-hour Gold chart (XAU/USD), we observe the price retesting a significant area around the 2687 level after a recent downtrend. Fibonacci retracement levels are applied to gauge potential retracement zones.
Entry Position: A potential short entry can be taken near the 2687 level, where price is facing resistance.
Take-Profit Target: The first profit target could be set around 2664, where the next support lies, aligning with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Stop-Loss: Consider placing the stop-loss above the 0.5 Fibonacci level at 2699 to minimize risk if the price breaks higher.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2704 and a gap below at 2682. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2704
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2704 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2725
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2725 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2753
BEARISH TARGETS
2682
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2682 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2657
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2657 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2638
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2638 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE RANGE
SWING RANGE
2621 - 2608
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price lay between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2696 and a gap below at 2665, as weighted Goldturns and will need ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2694
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2694 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2724
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2724 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2754
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2754 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2784
BEARISH TARGETS
2665
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2665 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE RANGE
SWING RANGE
2640 - 2611
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART SHORT/MID TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on our daily chart idea that we have been tracking for a while with the updated retracement and swing range.
Previously after completing 2760 target, we stated that we now have a candle body close above 2760 for a continuation above with a gap open to 2797. We got the move but fell just short of the full gap, but no ema5 lock, which would've further confirm this. We also stated that failure to complete this gap will see price test the retracement range for bounces and a further lock below the retracement range will open the swing range.
- We got the rejection from no ema5 lock above, followed with the retracement range and swing range test, which both gave the bounces like we said.
As long as we see price stay above the swing range, we will continue to see the levels above tested and support levels re-tested for the bounces, keeping in mind the long range/term gap above.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we will continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on our weekly chart idea that we have been tracking and trading over the last 5 weeks.
Previously we had the nice push up, which we took using our smaller timeframes but the gap remained open and we were yet to see the ema5 lock to further confirm this.
EMA5 failed to lock above, which followed with the rejection last week but still maintaining support above the channel top. As we stated previously, we will be keeping in mind the channel top for long range corrections, which is likely to provide support like we stated before, if tested at all.
If the channel top continues to provide support then we will track the movement up, confirmed with ema5 cross and lock or candle body close.
However, if we continue to see tests on the channel top and then get a break inside the channel, then we will track the movement down, inline with our plans to buy dips, using our smaller time-frames, keeping in mind the long range gap for the future..
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings, instead of chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
IS ULTA BEUTY ABOUT TO GET A MAKEOVER?!NASDAQ:ULTA
IS NASDAQ:ULTA ABOUT TO GET A MAKEOVER?!
In this analysis video we will discuss:
1️⃣ MY #HIGHFIVESETUP trading strategy
2️⃣ Symmetrical Triangle pattern
3️⃣ My plan for this trade
Short🎯 $448
Long 🎯 $516
Chart 1/5 dropping soon.
What do you think of this trade setup? Are you adding it to your watchlist?
NFA
NASDAQ:QQQ #TRADING
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the charts following on from the election move that gave the drop into the lower Goldturns and our weighted levels all giving bounces inline with our plans to buy dips.
The swing range is providing the swing although the full swing range level has not been tested. We also have the swing completing the retracement range and leaving a candle body close gap above 2696 opening 2724, which will be further confirmed by ema5 lock.
Our current range is now between 2640 and 2724 to play within, until we see a ema5 lock breakout to confirm the next range.
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold price analysis November 8Fundamental Analysis
After Trump took office, hopes that his policies would boost economic growth and inflation, to a greater extent, overshadowed the dovish outlook of the Federal Reserve (Fed), which helped revive demand for the US Dollar (USD). In addition, a generally positive risk tone undermined the safe-haven precious metal.
Meanwhile, falling US Treasury yields could keep US bulls from placing aggressive bets and help limit any further downside in non-yielding Gold prices. However, XAU/USD, for now, appears to have stalled its nice recovery from the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) support, or above the three-week low touched on Thursday, and remains on track to post a second consecutive weekly loss.
Technical Analysis
If the correction of gold fails to exceed the 2690 zone, the recovery may last until the beginning of the US session. Our target is around 2676 at this signal. Today's main port area is noted around the bottom of the 2650 correction wave. When gold breaks 2690, wait for a retest and BUY to the 2710 and 2730 zones.