WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM CHART UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see update on our weekly chart idea and analysis that we have been tracking and trading for several months and now finally complete.
After completing all the previous targets and highlighted correctional areas from detachments, last week we stated that we now have a candle body close above 2557 leaving a long term Axis gap target to 2603, which we had shared on this chart number of weeks back.
We also stated that the new weekly candle will have a detachment below for a correction, which will show up when market opens.
- This played out perfectly, we got the drop into the correctional area highlighted with the circle on the chart and then the bounce giving our target at 2603 axis a Perfect finish - BOOOOM!!!
This weekly chart idea is now complete after tracking and trading this for several months. We will now update a new weekly chart plan and idea next week for the months ahead.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Tradingideas
GOLD MONTHLY CHART LONG TERM/RANGE ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
After completing our last monthly chart long term/range chart idea, we never had a chance to update a new long term plan and so here you go!!!
2499 candle body close left a gap open last month to 2589. This gap was hit perfectly this month at 2589. We are now seeing play above 2589 but will need the month candle to close above this level to open 2702 AXIS target.
Failure to close above this level this month will see a rejection into the channel top for a bounce and a further close below the channel top or 2499 will see a further drop into the channel half line for the next correctional test and bounce.
Each of the lower Goldturn levels below are likely to give re-actional bounces using our shorter time frame idea.
2825 is our final long range/term target on this chart idea and we will look to continue to buy dips using our smaller timeframe ideas rather then chasing the bull form the top.
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Rally Revved: Meta Shifts into High Gear After Rate CutsThe stock price has been on a wild ride this year, marked by significant volatility.
A clear Cup & Handle formation has emerged on the chart, suggested a potential continuation of the existing trend.
Following a successful breakout, the stock has maintained its position above the breakout level, demonstrating strength.
The price action suggests that the stock could potentially rally by 18-20% in the short term.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
And another PIPTASTIC finish to the week, completing all our Bullish targets!!
After completing the first round of targets yesterday, we stated that we will now look for ema5 cross and lock above 2591 to open 2603 and 2615.
We got the lock above 2591 and then followed with the perfect hit on 2603 and 2615 completing the targets to perfection.
BULLISH TARGET
2581 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2581 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2591 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2591 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2603 - DONE
POTENTIALLY 2615 - DONE
BEARISH TARGETS
2567 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2567 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2554 (DONE) - 2538
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
USDJPY - at most expensive supporting area, holds or not??#USDJPY.. well guys market just dropped and reached near to his one of the most important supporting area of the year.
that is 141.10
keep close that supporting area because that is only hope for buyers. any kind of weakness below that will be very expensive for buyers and for Japan as well.
one thing is keep in mind that below 141.00 cut n reverse will be a good option on confirmation.
don't be lazy here.
good luck
trade wisely
XAUUSD / TRADING ABPVE ATH 2,600$ - 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The asset is trading above its all-time high (ATH) price of $2,600.The price has risen by %1.82.
If the price closes below the ATH level of $2,600 on a 4-hour (4h) candle, further decline is expected, estimated at 1.90%.
As long as the price remains above $2,600, it suggests a bullish trend.
A 4h candle closing below $2,600 would indicate potential bearish movement, predicting a decline of around 1.90%.
Technical analysis :
If the price remains above $2,600 and breaks above $2,620, we could see an upward move towards $2,635.
A break below $2,600 may lead to a decline towards $2,575 and potentially $2,551, indicating a bearish trend.
UPWARD TARGET : 2,620$ , 2,635$ .
DOWNWARD TARGET : 2,575$ , 2,551$.
S&P 500 forecast: Outsized rate cut music to bulls’ ears. S&P 500 forecast: The US stock market has shown impressive resilience following the recent volatility. Investors, thrilled by the Federal Reserve’s outsized rate cut, have pushed index futures higher. However, there are mixed opinions about what lies ahead. For now, it looks the S&P 500 will finish the week at a fresh record high.
Fed’s Rate Cut and Its Impact on Markets
The Federal Reserve’s decision to deliver a 50-basis point rate cut was largely welcomed by investors. The move was seen as a bold but necessary step to ease economic concerns without sending panic signals reminiscent of the 2008 financial crisis. Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasised that the cuts are not part of a long-term strategy but rather a proactive measure aimed at stabilising growth, now that inflation appears to be on the path of returning to its target.
Markets initially sold off but quickly rebounded, with S&P 500 futures suggesting a potential new record high is on the horizon at the cash open today. The Dot Plot projection also boosted investor confidence, showing a possible 50 basis points of cuts this year and 100 next year, with the terminal rate expected to hit 3.0% by 2026. But what now?
Can the S&P 500 Rally Continue?
With the S&P 500 up nearly 19% year-to-date, investors are wondering if the rally can be sustained. On the surface, it appears that market sentiment is bullish, bolstered by the Fed’s actions and a series of robust earnings reports. Yet, looming risks, such as global economic slowdown in the Eurozone and China, may challenge this optimism. Moreover, seasonal trends indicate that September is typically a tough month for equities, adding a potential headwind to the current rally – although so far this hasn’t held investors back. With the US presidential election approaching, market volatility could spike, leaving investors hesitant to dive into new rallies without a clear trend.
S&P 500 forecast: Technical Analysis and Key Levels to Watch
Despite some volatility after the Fed’s rate cut, the S&P 500’s bullish trend remains intact. Traders should keep an eye on the support range between 5613 and 5670, with the upper end of this range marking the high from July. As long as the index holds above this support area, the short-term path of least resistance will remain upwards, potentially keeping the market on course to head towards 5800 or even the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level of 5827, derived from the drop in July.
However, a dip below 5613 would signal a shift towards bearish sentiment, potentially pushing the index down to its next support and short-term trendline around the 5480-5500 area.
Bearish Risks and Market Sentiment
While the bulls are currently in control, bearish traders are watching for signs of a reversal. A drop below recent lows, as suggested above, could signal the end of the short-term bullish bias, reminiscent of the July sell-off when overbought conditions led to a sharp decline. Then, the signal came in the form of a bearish engulfing candle on 17 July. Bearish traders need to wait for a similar confirmation before making any significant moves, given the overall bullish structure of this market.
Risk Management in a Volatile Market
Regardless of whether you're bullish or bearish, managing risk is critical in today's market. With heightened uncertainty surrounding the economy and upcoming elections, volatility is expected to remain high. Traders should stay nimble and be prepared for sudden shifts in the market’s direction.
In conclusion, while the S&P 500 forecast remains cautiously optimistic, several factors could derail the current rally. Staying informed and agile will be essential for navigating the coming weeks. We will, of course, highlight any major shifts in the trends, if observed. Stay tuned.
-- Written by Fawad Razaqzada, Market Analyst
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
What can I say.....Another PIPTASTIC day on the charts today!!
We got the break below 2567 opening the retracement range, which gave the perfect bounce into the upper Goldturns 2581 and then 2591, completing our open Bullish target that we highlighted earlier this week. - BOOOOOM!!
We will now look for ema5 cross and lock above 2591 to open the range above or failure to lock will follow with a rejection into the lower Goldturns for support and bounce on the weighted levels.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2581 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2581 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2591 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2591 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2603
POTENTIALLY 2615
BEARISH TARGETS
2567 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2567 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2554 (DONE) - 2538
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2538 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2516 - 2506
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD - AFTER FOMC SPEECH - 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
In the month of August, prices started to increase until September by 10.04%, reaching a new historical peak of $2,600. As long as they remain below this level, it indicates a decline at a rate of 2.66%.
Technically analysis :
Gold reached a historical peak of $2,600 but began to decline following a speech by Jerome Powell. The decline was significant, hitting the target of +420 pips.
Prices are now trading under downward pressure. The key levels to watch are $2,589 and $2,575. As long as the price remains below these levels, it indicates a downtrend
If gold continues to stay below $2,575, it is expected to drop further to $2,551, and potentially down to $2,531.
Conversely, if a 4-hour candle closes above $2,575, it suggests that prices could reverse upwards, targeting $2,589, and potentially returning to the all-time high of $2,600.
overall , that the short-term outlook for gold is bearish, but there is potential for a bullish reversal if the price stabilizes above $2,575. Traders should monitor these levels closely to gauge the next move in the market.
UPWARD TARGET : 2,589$ , 2,600$ .
DOWNWARD TARGET : 2,551$ , 2,531$.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the charts today with our chart idea playing out, as analysed.
Yesterday after hitting the bearish target 2567, we stated that we need ema5 to cross and lock below 2567 to open the retracement range for a test and failure to lock below 2567 and we will see the Goldlturns above being re-tested.
- No cross below 2567 confirmed the bounce and gave multiple bounces off this level of over 30 to 40 pips, just like we analysed and now left 2581 open for a re-test, which fell short by just a few pips.
We will see price range between 2567 and 2581, until we see a cross and lock on either level to confirm breakout to the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We are taking extra caution with our buys in this new range, as bigger corrections are likely.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2581 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2581 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2591
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2591 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2603
POTENTIALLY 2615
BEARISH TARGETS
2567 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2567 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2554 - 2538
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2538 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2516 - 2506
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
NAS100USD / KEY LEVEL 19,954 - 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , prices trading below 19,954 , it indicates under downward pressure
Prices are expected to remain under bearish pressure as long as they trade below the key levels of 19,954 and 19,535. Should the price stabilize and remain below these thresholds, a decline towards 19,187 is anticipated. A breach below this point could signal a further drop to 18,688.
On the other hand, if the resistance at 19,954 is broken, we could witness upward momentum, with prices potentially rising first to 20,194 and then extending to 20,714.
UPWARD TARGET : 20,194 , 20,714.
DOWNWARD TARGET : 19,187 , 18,688.
GBPUSD / UNDER BEARISH PRESSURE - 4H GBPUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The price movement reflects both technical and fundamental factors. The 3.58% decline in July can be attributed to global economic uncertainties, such as inflation fears or weakening consumer demand. This decline likely hit key support levels, prompting traders to adopt a more cautious stance.
However, the 4.71% recovery in August suggests a reversal in market sentiment. This could be driven by improving macroeconomic indicators, such as better-than-expected GDP growth or reduced inflation, which restored confidence. Additionally, this rally may reflect a technical bounce off support levels, with short-term traders capitalizing on oversold conditions.
The critical resistance level of 1.326 now acts as a psychological barrier. A failure to breach this level could confirm a bearish outlook, suggesting a downtrend continuation to the next support zones at 1.309 and 1.304. Market sentiment, geopolitical risks, or adverse economic data may further pressure prices.
On the flip side, a decisive break above 1.326 would likely attract bullish momentum, setting the stage for higher targets at 1.329 and 1.335. In this scenario, buyers would anticipate further gains, with potential drivers such as positive earnings reports or an easing of economic uncertainties bolstering confidence. A sustained move above these levels could even signal a broader market rally.
UPWARD TARGET : 1.329 , 1.335.
DOWNWARD TARGET : 1.309 , 1.304
USOIL / UNDER BULLISH PRESSURE - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME
overall trading above 67.59 , expected under upward pressure .
Currently, prices are holding above the crucial support level of 67.59. As long as they maintain this position, an upward move towards the next resistance levels of 69.98 and 71.59 is likely. The 71.59 level is particularly important, as breaking through it would serve as confirmation of a sustained uptrend, potentially driving prices higher to test the 74.24 resistance zone.
However, if prices fail to hold above the 67.59 support level, it would indicate a shift in momentum, initiating a bearish phase. In such a case, the first target on the downside would be 65.35, with further declines possibly extending to the 63.67 region. This level would serve as a critical area for buyers to step in, and if breached, could signal a deeper correction.
UPWARD TARGET : 69.98 , 71.59 , 74.24.
DOWNWARD TARGET : 65.35 , 63.67.
BITCOIN / UNDER TURNING LEVEL AT 60,895 - 4HBITCOIN / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
overall trading below 60,895 , it indicates prices of bitcoin under downward pressure.
Currently, prices are rising, approaching a critical turning point at 60,895. As long as trading remains below this level and stabilizes underneath it, a decline is expected, potentially reaching the support level at 57,827, and further down to 55,916.
However, by breaking through this level and closing a 4-hour candle above it, prices could rise toward 63,611. To confirm an uptrend, prices need to remain above this level, which would suggest a continuation toward 66,527.
UPWARD TARGET : 633,611 , 66,525.
DOWNWARD TARGET : 57,827 , 55,916.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Slow start to the week with ranging movement following on from the breakout last week into this ATH range.
However, as analysed we got the first Bullish target hit today at 2581 during Tokyo session. We now have a ema5 lock above 2581 opening upto 2591, which gave just over 40 pips and remains open. We need to also keep in mind the Bearish gap below at 2567.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We are taking extra caution with our buys in this new range, as bigger corrections are likely.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2581 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2581 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2591
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2591 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2603
POTENTIALLY 2615
BEARISH TARGETS
2567
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2567 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2554 - 2538
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2538 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2516 - 2506
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Market News Report - 15 September 2024This past week, the Japanese yen was the strongest currency against all the major forex markets. Meanwhile, its counterparts performed mildly.
How long will the yen be dominant? What about the other currencies? This week consists of several high-impact, interest rate-related events that will surely be a spectacle.
Let's discuss each major forex currency's short and long-term outlooks in our latest report.
Market Overview
Below is a brief technical and fundamental analysis breakdown for all major currencies.
US dollar (USD)
Short-term outlook: bearish.
STIR (short-term interest rate) markets expect at least four full rate cuts before the end of this year. They also suggest a 50% chance (up from 36% last week) of a 50 bps (basis points) cut at this week's meeting. So, diarise this high-impact news event.
However, any sense of the Fed holding back on a cut would send the dollar sharply higher.
The DXY chart aligns perfectly with the fundamentals. It recently reached a major support area (100.617) on the daily chart and is still near this level.
Meanwhile, the key resistance is far away at 107.348 and will likely remain untouched for some time.
Long-term outlook: bearish.
Markets anticipate several full rate cuts before the year ends. However, the meeting on Thursday may strengthen the USD if the Fed doesn't proceed with a 50 bps cut. Still, data on weakened jobs is another bearish driver for the dollar.
Only geopolitical risks, bond market selling, and interest rate differentials can affect this sentiment.
Euro (EUR)
Short-term outlook: weak bearish.
The European Central Bank (ECB) lowered the interest rate as we've predicted for several weeks. However, STIR markets have shifted towards a hawkish direction for future ECB meetings. We should also note that the central bank remains 'data-dependent' and not committed to the potential for cuts going forward.
We've seen some bearishness on the euro chart. It is some distance from the major resistance at 1.127575, and it's hard to tell where it may attempt to reach this area soon. Meanwhile, the key support area lies far below at 1.07774.
Long-term outlook: weak bearish.
The ECB hasn't committed to a specific future path with the interest rate. Furthermore, the central bank is overly concerned about services inflation, reducing the chance of a rate cut next month. Also, STIR markets anticipate a 67% chance of a hold during this meeting.
British pound (GBP)
Short-term outlook: bearish.
The Bank of England (BoE) cut the interest rate by 25 basis points at the beginning of last month. However, the BoE remains data-dependent and has no set future path. STIR markets are currently pricing two additional cuts for the remainder of 2024.
The central bank's current key theme is fighting persistent inflation in the United Kingdom. Any future failures here would likely weaken the GBP.
Watch out for the new interest rate (or 'Official Bank Rate') this Thursday.
As with the euro, the British pound has been saved by dollar weakness on the charts. It recently breached the major resistance at 1.31424. So, the next area of interest is near by at 1.32666.
On the other hand, the nearest key support is far below at 1.26156.
Long-term outlook: weak bearish.
While the interest rate is the chief bearish driver for the pound, the BoE has yet to signal a future path in this regard.
STIR markets predict a rate hold next for the Thursday meeting (79% chance vs. 74% chance last week). Furthermore, two-way risks remain based on upcoming economic data, particularly inflation.
Japanese yen (JPY)
Short-term outlook: bullish.
The primary bullish catalyst is the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) recent decision in July to hike the interest rate (15 bps hike vs the 10 bps expected).
STIR markets expect a hold (99% probability) at the next meeting this Friday but a hike at the start of next year. So, the bullish bias is intact, more so with the rate-cutting mood of other major centrals like the Fed, ECB, and BoE.
The USD/JPY market perfectly reflects the fundamental outlook of the dollar and yen. Very few would have predicted the current picture of this chart. This pair is very close to touching the major support area at 140.252.
Meanwhile, the major resistance (at 161.950) is too far for traders to worry about.
Long-term outlook: weak bullish.
In addition to the recent rate hike (and the potential for a hold at the next meeting), lower US Treasury yields are other bullish catalysts for the yen.
Also, the Bank of Japan is actively intervening in the forex markets, contributing to the JPY's upside for many weeks.
Australian dollar (AUD)
Short-term outlook: weak bullish.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) unsurprisingly kept the interest rate unchanged not long ago to keep the fight against persistent inflation.
Moreover, Governor Bullock expressed last week that the central bank must see 'results' on the latter before lowering rates. Inflation is also a problem for the RBA, indicating that rate cuts would be premature.
Like many currencies, the Aussie remains data-sensitive, whether we consider economic growth, labour, or inflation going forward. As a pro-cyclical currency, China's economic woes have been negative for the Aussie (something else to keep in mind).
The Aussie market has risen noticeably of late, having reached a recent resistance level (0.67986). While dipping last week, the next target at 0.68711 isn't so far away.
Meanwhile, the major support level is down at 0.63484.
Long-term outlook: weak bullish.
The RBA remains hawkish as per the recent meeting, focusing on core inflation. Overall, it's crucial to be data-dependent with the Aussie, with recent labour data keeping the bullish script alive.
However, the Australian dollar is pro-cyclical. So, it is exposed to slow economic growth in other countries.
New Zealand dollar (NZD)
Short-term outlook: weak bearish.
New Zealand's central bank dropped the Kiwi's interest rate from 5.50% to 5.25% last month.
Lower-revised cash rate projections and a variety of core inflation measures also hint at the potential for further cuts in the near future. However, it is the usual data-dependency for NZD that could drive the currency either direction.
The Kiwi has recently breached a major resistance at 0.62220 - the next target is 0.63696. Conversely, the major support is at 0.58498, an area that it is unlikely to test soon.
Long-term outlook: weak bearish.
In its latest meeting, the central bank's dovish stance (where it cut the interest rate) puts the Kiwi in a 'bearish bracket.'
However, as a risk-sensitive currency like the Aussie, any growth data in China could trigger bullishness for the NZD. As with other currencies, traders should be data-dependent, especially around inflation and wages.
Canadian dollar (CAD)
Short-term outlook: bearish.
The Canadian dollar is fresh off an interest rate cut (from 4.50% to 4.25%). Furthermore, STIR markets indicate a 91% chance of another cut next month and two full rate cuts before the end of 2024.
Rising unemployment and weak economic growth are key drivers of the Bank of Canada's dovish stance. Let's not forget the ongoing mortgage stress, a long-running bearish theme for CAD.
Among other factors, Canada's ongoing mortgage stress has forced its central bank to be dovish.
Despite the above, the CAD continues to strengthen mildly due to USD weakness. It now looks to test the next major support target at 1.33586, while the major resistance is far ahead at 1.39468.
Long-term outlook: weak bearish.
Expectations of a rate cut remain the focal point, with the BoC governor Macklem himself saying it's reasonable to expect more cuts in the future. In the recent meeting, they also wished for economic growth.
The mortgage stress remains a major factor in this interest rate policy, and the BoC will have to cut rates to alleviate it.
However, expect encouraging oil prices, along with general economic data improvement, to save the Canadian dollar's blushes.
Swiss franc (CHF)
Short-term outlook: bearish.
STIR markets forecast a 25 bps rate cut later this month and in December this year. Also, despite the positive trend of falling inflation, the Swiss National Bank is pressured to weaken the Swiss franc to facilitate more exports.
However, the CHF can strengthen during geopolitical tensions like the Middle East crisis.
USD/CHF has trended down nicely for several weeks, now looking to test the support area at 0.83326. Meanwhile, the major resistance level is far higher at 0.92244.
Long-term outlook: weak bearish.
The expected rate cut in the next SNB meetings for 2024 is the main bearish driver. However, the SNB's chairperson, Thomas Jordan, expressed that "appreciation of the Swiss Franc has an impact on monetary policy." This means that potential intervention by the central bank can go either way.
Conclusion
The fundamental outlooks of each currency have remained unchanged from our previous report. Getting three interest rate decision events a day after another in a week happens once in a blue moon. Thus, we should expect higher-than-average volatility.
Otherwise, keep our fundamental outlooks in mind as you tackle this - hope for the best and prepare for the worst!
USDJPY - BREAKING STRAIGHT CHANNEL - 4HUSDJPY / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
overall , under downward pressure , until trading below straight channel
Currently, prices are trading below the straight trend channel, indicating downward pressure. As long as prices remain below this channel, a decline is expected, potentially reaching 138.810. If prices fall further, they may approach 137.306.
Conversely, if prices break above the 142.232 level, it could signal a reversal in trend, leading to a rise. In this scenario, prices might reach 144.401 and, if the upward momentum continues, could potentially rise to 147.179.
UPWARD TARGET : 144.401 , 147.179.
DOWNWARD TARGET : 138.810 , 137.306.
EURUSD - TRADING TO REACH RESISTANCE TRENDLINE - 4HEURUSD - 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , trading under bullish pressure .
Currently, prices are trading above the 1.102 level. As long as the price remains above this threshold and shows signs of stabilization, it is expected to rise further, potentially reaching 1.110 and then 1.113. Should the price surpass 1.113, there could be additional gains, with the possibility of reaching as high as 1.117.
Conversely, if the price falls below 1.102, it may indicate a downward trend. In this scenario, a decline to 1.099 is likely, with the potential for a further drop to 1.094 if the bearish momentum continues.
UPWARD TARGET :1.110 , 1.113 , 1.117.
DOWNWARD TARGET : 1.099 , 1.094.
XAUUSD / TRADING BELOW RESISRTANCE TRENDLINEXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
overall trading under downward pressure , until trading ATH prices below 2,589$ .
Prices remain under bearish pressure as long as they are trading below the all-time high (ATH) of $2,589. Sustained trading beneath this critical resistance level indicates a continued downward trend, with an expected decline first targeting $2,570. If the price breaks below this level, the next support could be found at $2,551.
However, should the price break above the $2,589 resistance level, confirmed by a 4-hour candle close above this threshold, a bullish reversal is likely. In this scenario, the price may rise to test $2,600 as the next resistance level. Further upside potential could push prices higher, possibly reaching $2,620 if buying momentum strengthens.
UPWARD TARGET : 2,600$ , 2,620$.
DOWNWARD TARGET : 2,570$ , 2,551$.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEK Hey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are in a new rage but just like last time we were able to generate accurate levels to use for the coming week.
We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2581 Goldturn resistance and 2567, as Goldturn support.
We currently have a gap above on market open at 2581 and below at 2567 and will need ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2581
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2581 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2591
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2591 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2603
POTENTIALLY 2615
BEARISH TARGETS
2567
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2567 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2554 - 2538
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2538 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2516 - 2506
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEK Hey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2590 Goldturn resistance and we have 2564, as Goldturn support.
We currently have a gap open above at 2590 and below at 2564 and will need ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2590
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2590 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2608
POTENTIALLY 2626
BEARISH TARGETS
2564
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2564 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2545 - 2517
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2517 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2493 - 2468
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX