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GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Another great day on the charts today with our analysis playing out perfectly. Yesterday after hitting the retracement range we got the bounce and advised that it was heading for 2509. - 2509 was hit perfectly followed with cross and lock opening 2519 and potentially 2533, should momentum allow. 2519 was also hit today and upto 2532 slightly short of 2533. Just beautiful how the analysis played out. We are now seeing 2500 Goldturn provide support and will like to see new the upper levels retested. Failure to break into 2533 will follow with a stronger rejection. We are likely to see price range between these weighted levels to establish a range before breaking out. We will confirm the breakout with our cross and lock strategy above or below the weighted levels to confirm direction. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2509 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2509 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2519 - DONE POTENTIALLY 2533 BEARISH TARGETS 2500 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2500 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE RETRACEMENT RANGE 2488 (DONE) - 2472 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2472 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2458 - 2446 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
4
Market News Report - 18 August 2024As it did last week, the yen was the biggest loser, losing against the New Zealand dollar, the Australian dollar, and the British pound. Fundamentally, our outlooks from last week remain the same for all but one market. Let's cover each one in more detail now. Market Overview Below is a brief technical and fundamental analysis breakdown for all major currencies. US dollar (USD) Short-term outlook: bearish. The latest Fed meeting was overall dovish. However, STIR (short-term interest rate) markets have suggested a 53% probability for a rate cut next month, down from 68% last week. The Fed isn't pressured to lower the interest rate due to recent positive retail sales and employment numbers. While this indicates steady growth, the fundamental bearish outlook remains. Peep at the FOMC minutes on Wednesday in preparation for the new federal funds rate in mid-September. The DXY chart aligns perfectly with the fundamentals, having just broken a recent key support. However, the break wasn’t strong enough, so 102.358 is still an area of interest for major support. Meanwhile, the key resistance is far away at 107.348 and will likely remain untouched for some time. Long-term outlook: bearish. Markets anticipate at least two rate cuts before the year ends despite there being less urgency on the Fed (as mentioned earlier). The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) and jobs data indicate a cooling of the US economy, another bearish sign. Only geopolitical risks, bond market selling, and interest rate differentials can affect this overall sentiment. So, we cannot rule out a bullish fight for the dollar, but it is unlikely to happen, at least quickly. Euro (EUR) Short-term outlook: weak bearish. The latest EU retail sales indicate that the consumer is taking some time to recover from the inflation shock. The European Central Bank (ECB) has stressed they are data-dependent. For fundamental analysts, it means that certain economic data like employment may boost the euro While also indicating that their interest rate meeting is 'wide open,' markets see an 87% chance of a cut next month (up from 78% last week). Interestingly, the chart tells a different story. The euro broke the latest major resistance, a possibility which we suggested in our last report. We must now zoom out to a daily chart to see the next target (1.11396) more clearly. Meanwhile, the key support area lies far below at 1.06494. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. The ECB hasn't committed to a specific future path with the interest rate. They are data-dependent, meaning data around inflation, growth, and wage improvement can lift the euro. British pound (GBP) Short-term outlook: bearish. The Bank of England (BoE) cut the interest rate by 25 basis points at the start of this month. However, they remain data-dependent and have no set future path. STIR markets are currently pricing in an additional two cuts for the remainder of 2024. A key theme for the central bank currently is fighting persistent inflation in the United Kingdom. Any future misses here would likely weaken the GBP. As with the euro, the British pound has been saved by dollar weakness on the charts. Still, the major resistance (1.31424) is some distance away, while the key support (1.26256) is also far away. With both outlooks for GBP and USD being bearish, this market is open to moving in any direction going forward. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. The interest rate is the chief bearish driver for the pound. However, STIR markets predict a rate hold next month. Furthermore, two-way risks remain based on upcoming economic data (e.g., inflation, labour, economic growth). Japanese yen (JPY) Short-term outlook: weak bullish. The Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) recent decision to hike the interest rate is bullish for the yen. However, STIR markets expect a hold (100% probability, from 95% last week) at the next meeting. Watch out for the year-on-year inflation rate for JPY on Friday. USD/JPY continues to cool down or retrace after its multi-week massive decline. The major support level to watch is 140.252. Meanwhile, the major resistance (at 161.950) is too far for traders to worry about. Long-term outlook: weak bullish. In addition to the recent rate hike, other bullish catalysts for the yen include lower US Treasury yields. The Bank of Japan is actively intervening in the forex markets, contributing to the JPY's upside last month. However, having moved quite a distance, a further retracement is imminent. Australian dollar (AUD) Short-term outlook: weak bullish. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) unsurprisingly kept the interest rate unchanged on Tuesday to keep the fight against persistent inflation rate. Based on their language, a hike isn't out of the question this year. Like many currencies, the Aussie remains data-sensitive, whether we look at economic growth, labour, or inflation going forward. The recent rise in China's share prices, which correlates with the Aussie, has been positive for the currency. Still, there is doubt over the longevity of this run. As further proof of the short-term outlook, the Aussie market has risen noticeably. It's only about 130 pips away from the nearest major resistance at 0.67986, while the major support level is down at 0.63484. Long-term outlook: weak bullish. The RBA remains hawkish as per last week's meeting, focusing on core inflation. Overall, it's crucial to be data-dependent with the Aussie, with recent labour data keeping the bullish script alive. However, keep in mind that the Australian dollar is exposed to slow economic growth in other countries, being a pro-cyclical currency. New Zealand dollar (NZD) Short-term outlook: bearish. The New Zealand dollar is the only currency for which we have updated the short-term outlook (from neutral to bearish). This is mainly due to the central bank dropping the Kiwi's interest rate from 5.50% to 5.25% last Monday. Lower-revised cash rate projections also hint at the potential for further cuts in the near future. Diarise the upcoming new year-on-year retail sales number as the main high-impact news for the Kiwi. Like its closest relative (AUD), the Kiwi has retraced upwards after just scraping the recent support area at 0.58524. This still remains the focal point, while the major resistance is at 0.62220, an area which it is unlikely to test soon. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. The central bank's dovish stance in its latest meeting (where it cut the interest rate) puts the Kiwi in a 'bearish bracket.' However, as a risk-sensitive currency like the Aussie, any growth data in China could trigger bullishness for NZD. As with its counterpart, traders should be data-dependent. Canadian dollar (CAD) Short-term outlook: bearish. The ongoing mortgage stress in Canada has forced the Bank of Canada (BoC) to be dovish, the first major bearish catalyst. With a rate cut last month, STIR markets have raised the probability to 99% (from 88% a week ago) of the same next month. Watch out for the upcoming data on the CAD inflation rate and retail sales this week. Thanks to dollar weakness, the CAD continues to strengthen mildly. It now looks to test a fairly recent major support target at 1.35896, while the major resistance is far ahead at 1.39468. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. Expectations of a rate cut remain the focal point, with the BoC governor Macklem himself saying it's reasonable to expect more cuts in the future. Moreover, STIR markets have priced in an additional cut sometime this year (aside from the one for next month). The mortgage stress remains a major factor in this interest rate policy, and the BoC will have to cut rates to alleviate it. However, encouraging oil prices, along with improvements in jobs, inflation, and GDP, may redeem the Canadian dollar. Swiss franc (CHF) Short-term outlook: bearish. STIR markets forecast a rate cut in September (an 82% chance) and December this year. Secondly, SNB expects a moderate improvement in inflation, GDP (Gross Domestic Product), and unemployment to rise slightly in the near term. However, the Swiss franc can strengthen during geopolitical tensions like the Middle East crisis. Despite a notable retracement, USD/CHF is largely bearish. The key support area to consider is 0.84323. Meanwhile, the major resistance level is far higher at 0.92244. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. The expected rate cut in the next SNB meetings for 2024 is the main bearish driver. However, the SNB's chairperson, Thomas Jordan, expressed that "appreciation of the Swiss Franc has an impact on monetary policy." This means that potential intervention by the central bank can go either way. Conclusion The fundamental outlooks of each currency have remained unchanged from the previous weeks, except for the New Zealand dollar. However, as expected, prepare for anything on the charts while aligning this activity with the fundamental summaries.
by CityTradersImperium_CTI
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Great start to the week with our 1h chart idea playing out perfectly, as analysed. We got the cross and lock below 2500 opening the retracement range, which was hit perfectly. This followed with the perfect bounce for a nice catch and now heading for 2509. We currently have a gap above at 2509 and will need a cross and lock above this level to open the range above. Failure to test and break 2509 level will follow with a rejection for another retracement test to the full retracement. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2509 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2509 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2519 2533 BEARISH TARGETS 2500 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2500 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE RETRACEMENT RANGE 2488 (DONE) - 2472 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2472 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2458 - 2446 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
16
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEK Hey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2509 Goldturn resistance and 2500, as Goldturn support. We currently have a gap above on market open at 2509 and below at 2500 and will need ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2509 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2509 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2519 2533 BEARISH TARGETS 2500 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2500 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE RETRACEMENT RANGE 2488 - 2472 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2472 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2458 - 2446 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
19
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEK Hey Everyone, Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2510 Goldturn resistance and we have 2468, as Goldturn support. We currently have a gap open above at 2510 and below at 2491/2468 and will need ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2510 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2510 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2529 POTENTIALLY 2550 BEARISH TARGETS 2491 2468 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2468 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2436 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2436 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2416 - 2389 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
3
DAILY CHART UPDATEHey Everyone, Please see update on our daily chart structure that we have been tracking and trading successfully for a while now. Last week we advised that a new Goldturn turn created a current ema5 cross and lock above 2405 opening 2464 again. Also keeping in mind the final gap we had open with candle body close above 2464 to 2521, which we shared, as a long range target for several weeks now. - 2464 was hit perfectly last week and then currently we are seeing the breakout into the all time high and heading towards our final target at 2521. We are keeping this protected should we see any sharp corrections. We will use our smaller timeframe analysis and trading plans to navigate the range in true level to level fashion. Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we will continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups. Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
2
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM/RANGE ROUTE MAPHey Everyone, Please see update on our weekly chart idea and analysis that we have been tracking and trading for several months. Last week we stated that we had multiple attempts on the channel top and now we got the candle body close above 2434 opening the 2505 gap. - This gap was now completing hitting our final target on this chart at 2505 - BOOOOOM!! Now this is a crucial week coming up because if this break is to sustain itself on this new range we will be looking for price to find support above the channel top on a correctional retest and then a continuation above. However, if we see on the re-test of the channel top a break into the channel then we will use the levels within the channel to provide the bounces, inline with our plans to buy dips in true level to level fashion, using our smaller time-frames. If we see a continuation above then we will share a new updated weekly chart idea that we can then continue to track and trade for the months to come. Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings, instead of chasing the bull from the top. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
6
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, We had a PIPTASTIC finish to the week with all our Bullish targets complete!!! After completing our targets yesterday we got the correction back into the range below and we stated that we will now need to see ema5 cross and lock above 2459 to open 2475 once again. - We got the cross and lock above 2459 once again and then followed with the 2475 retest hit, just like we said. We then got the ema5 cross and lock above 2475 opening 2488 and 2500, which were both hit perfectly completing this range - BOOOOOM!!! We will now come back Sunday with our Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead. Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
10
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Another great day on the charts today with our plans to buy dips playing out perfectly. After completing our targets yesterday, we stated that no cross and lock above 2475 confirmed the rejection, which followed with the drop into the lower Goldturns for support bounces. We also stated that we are now back in the range and therefore levels are active again to track the movement up. We got the drop into 2434 weighted Goldturn, which provided the support for the bounce now into 2459 weighted level. We will now need to see ema5 cross and lock above 2459 to open 2475 once again. Failure to cross and lock above 2459 will follow with a rejection to find support at the lower Goldturns track the movement level to level again. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2434 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2434 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2446 - DONE 2459 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2459 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2475 - DONE BEARISH TARGETS 2421 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2421 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2408 2396 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2396 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2380 - 2360 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
6
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, It never ceases to amaze us how amazingly our levels allow us to confirm continuations and rejections. Our last update yesterday we confirmed all our bullish targets were hit after ema5 cross and lock confirmations in each stages allowing us to track and trade the movement up. We the stated that we will now look for ema5 to cross and lock above 2475 to open 2488 and potentially 2500 or a failure to lock above this level will follow with a rejection into the lower Goldturn support levels for bounces. - This played out perfectly, as we had no cross and lock above 2475 confirming the rejection, which followed with the drop into the lower Goldturns for support bounces. We are now back in the range and therefore levels are active once again, which will allow us to track and trade the movement level to level. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2434 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2434 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2446 - DONE 2459 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2459 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2475 - DONE BEARISH TARGETS 2421 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2421 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2408 2396 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2396 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2380 - 2360 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
9
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Another piptastic day on the charts with our trading idea playing out perfectly!! After completing all the open targets yesterday, we advised that we were now looking for ema5 to lock above 2459 to open 2475 and failure to lock above this level will follow with a rejection to find support on the lower Goldturns. - We got the cross and lock above 2459 opening 2475 with plenty of time and gap to get in for the action and BOOOOOM!!! This was hit perfectly respecting the Goldturn. We will now look for ema5 to cross and lock above 2475 to open 2488 and potentially 2500 or failure to lock above this level will follow with a rejection into the lower Goldturn support levels for bounces. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2434 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2434 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2446 - DONE 2459 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2459 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2475 - DONE BEARISH TARGETS 2421 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2421 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2408 2396 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2396 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2380 - 2360 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
6
Market News Report - 11 August 2024The yen took the backseat as the dominant forex market. Instead, currencies like the Canadian and the 'two siblings' (the Aussie and New Zealand) reigned supreme. This week, let’s see how these and other markets may perform fundamentally and technically. Market Overview Below is a brief technical and fundamental analysis breakdown for all major currencies. US dollar (USD) Short-term outlook: bearish. The latest Fed meeting confirmed what STIR (short-term interest rate) markets already knew: a rate cut is on the table next month. The latest unemployment hike (from 4.1% to 4.3%) indicates a cooling economy and further encouragement to decrease the interest rate. This week, pay attention to several US-linked economic releases (like the core inflation rate) that may redeem or add to the dollar's bearish pressure. The DXY chart aligns perfectly with the fundamentals, having just broken a recent key support. However, the break wasn’t strong enough, so 102.358 is still an area of interest for major support. Meanwhile, the key resistance is far away at 107.348 and will likely remain untouched for some time. Long-term outlook: bearish. Markets anticipate at least two rate cuts before the year ends. The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) and jobs data indicate a cooling of the US economy, another bearish sign. Only geopolitical risks and bond market selling can affect this overall sentiment. So, we cannot rule out a bullish fight for the dollar, but it is unlikely to happen, at least quickly. Euro (EUR) Short-term outlook: weak bearish. The European Central Bank (ECB) has recently kept its interest rate unchanged. Christine Lagarde, the ECB President, also suggested slow economic growth in the Eurozone, with inflation expected to fluctuate around current levels. The Council also indicated that rates should be 'sufficiently restrictively for as long as possible. Thanks to this mostly dovish tone, markets see an 87% chance of a cut (up from 78% last week). Interestingly, the chart tells a different story. As mentioned in our last report, the euro eventually tested the recent major resistance at 1.09813 (but not enough to break it). So, the odds are decent that this market will try again. Meanwhile, the key support area lies far below at 1.06494. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. The recent unchanged interest rate is the primary bearish driver. However, the ECB hasn't committed to a specific future path. Still, the central bank is data-dependent, and any inflation, growth, and wage improvement can lift the euro. British pound (GBP) Short-term outlook: bearish. The Bank of England (BoE) cut the interest rate by 25 basis points at the start of this month. However, they remain data-dependent and have no set future path. STIR markets are currently pricing in an additional two cuts for the remainder of 2024. Pay close attention to a few noteworthy GBP-related news events this week, starting Monday with the unemployment rate and year-on-year inflation rate on Wednesday. While the pound is down on the charts, it retraced noticeably last week. Still, the key support remains at 1.26156, while the key resistance is far away at 1.31424. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. The interest rate is the chief bearish driver for the pound. However, STIR markets predict a rate hold next month. Furthermore, two-way risks remain based on upcoming economic data (e.g., inflation, labour, economic growth). Japanese yen (JPY) Short-term outlook: weak bullish. The Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) recent decision to hike the interest rate is bullish for the yen. However, STIR markets expect a hold (95% probability) at the next meeting (but one hike before the year ends). Declining US Treasury yields and the heightened political tension in the Middle East have accelerated the recent huge down move in USD/JPY. For the first time since the start of last month, USD/JPY cooled down from its massive decline. Still, it did break the recent support area. So, the next point of interest lies at 140.252. Meanwhile, the major resistance (at 161.950) is too far for traders to worry about. Long-term outlook: weak bullish. In addition to the recent rate hike, other bullish catalysts for the yen include lower US Treasury yields. The Bank of Japan is actively intervening in the forex markets, contributing to the JPY's upside. However, having moved quite a distance, a further retracement is imminent. Australian dollar (AUD) Short-term outlook: weak bullish. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) unsurprisingly kept the interest rate unchanged on Tuesday to keep the fight against persistent inflation rate. Based on their language, a hike isn't out of the question this year. Like many currencies, the Aussie remains data-sensitive, whether we look at economic growth, labour or inflation going forward. The recent rise in China's share prices, which correlates with the Aussie, has been positive for the currency. Still, there is doubt over the longevity of this run. The Aussie rose noticeably in the past week despite breaching the recent major support area. The new level to watch for now is 0.63484, while the major resistance is far ahead at 0.67986. Long-term outlook: weak bullish. The RBA remains hawkish as per last week's meeting, focusing on core inflation. Overall, it's crucial to be data-dependent with the Aussie. Furthermore, keep in mind that the Australian dollar is exposed to slow economic growth in other countries, being a pro-cyclical currency. New Zealand dollar (NZD) Short-term outlook: neutral. In a meeting by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ), “The Committee agreed that monetary policy will need to remain restrictive. The extent of this restraint will be tempered over time consistent with the expected decline in inflation pressures”. In simple terms, the central bank is winning against inflation and is, thus, unlikely to raise rates. The RBNZ will meet again on Tuesday to determine the new interest rate, where it is anticipated to indicate further cuts. They are also expected to reduce GDP (Gross Domestic Product) forecasts, as well as CPI projections. Like its closest relative (AUD), the Kiwi has retraced upwards after just scraping the recent support area at 0.58524. This still remains the focal point, while the major resistance is at 0.62220, an area which it is unlikely to test soon. Long-term outlook: neutral. The central bank's recent dovish tilt amid improving inflation puts the Kiwi in a neutral bracket. On the flip side, as a risk-sensitive currency like the Aussie, any growth data in China could trigger bullishness for NZD. Canadian dollar (CAD) Short-term outlook: bearish. The ongoing mortgage stress in Canada has forced the Bank of Canada (BoC) to be dovish, the first major bearish catalyst. With a rate cut last month, STIR markets have raised the probability to 88% (from 82% a week ago) of the same next month. The latest CPI print recently dropped while the latest labour data was mixed. While it looked to continue trending higher, USD/CAD saw a notable decline. This has left the new resistance area to be 1.39468, while the support target is far below at 1.35896. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. Expectations of a rate cut remain the focal point, with the BoC governor Macklem himself saying it's reasonable to expect more cuts in the future. Moreover, STIR markets see two rate cuts for the BoC this year. The mortgage stress remains a major factor in this interest rate policy, and the BoC will have to cut rates to alleviate it. However, encouraging oil prices may redeem the Canadian dollar as a risk-sensitive currency, along with improvements in jobs, inflation, and GDP. Swiss franc (CHF) Short-term outlook: bearish. STIR markets forecast a rate cut in September (a 92% chance) and December this year. Secondly, SNB expects a moderate improvement in inflation, GDP (Gross Domestic Product), and unemployment to rise slightly in the near term. However, the Swiss franc can strengthen during geopolitical tensions like the Middle East crisis. After being one of the biggest losers last week, USD/CHF retraced higher (in line with the fundamental outlook). The new key support area to consider is 0.84323. Meanwhile, the major resistance level is far higher at 0.92244. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. The expected rate cut in the next SNB meetings for 2024 is the main bearish driver. However, the SNB's chairperson, Thomas Jordan, expressed that "appreciation of the Swiss Franc has an impact on monetary policy." This means that potential intervention by the central bank can go either way. Conclusion This week's hottest economic events include the interest rate decision for the New Zealand dollar, followed by a few other high-impact releases for the dollar and British pound. The fundamental outlooks of each currency have remained unchanged from the previous weeks. However, as you would expect, be prepared for technical shifts.
TVC:DXY
by CityTradersImperium_CTI
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEK Hey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2434 Goldturn resistance and 2421, as Goldturn support. We currently have a gap above on market open at 2434 and below at 2421 and will need ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2434 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2434 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2446 2459 BEARISH TARGETS 2421 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2421 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2408 2396 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2396 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2380 - 2360 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
11
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEK Hey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2438 Goldturn resistance and 2416, as Goldturn support. We currently have a gap open above at 2438 and below at 2416 and will need ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2438 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2438 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2467 BEARISH TARGETS 2416 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2416 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2389 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2389 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2369 - 2345 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
5
DAILY CHART UPDATEHey Everyone, Please see update on our daily chart structure that we have been tracking and trading successfully for a while now. Previously we had 2355 retracement range providing support and the re-actional bounce, as analysed and we stated that we will either look for a ema5 lock below this level to open the range below or a failure to lock below this level will follow with the upper range tests again. This played out perfectly with no cross and lock below 2355 and therefore we got the perfect bounce re-testing all the targets above. Prior to last week we also got the ema5 cross and lock above 2405 opening 2464 once again, which was hit once completing the gap again. Currently we have a ema5 cross and lock gap below at 2355 and then a new turn created a current ema5 cross and lock above 2405 opening 2464 again. We now have gaps both ways and need to keep this in mind when planning to buy dips. We will use our smaller timeframe analysis and trading plans to navigate the range in true level to level fashion. Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we will continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups. Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
3
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM/RANGE ROUTE MAP Hey Everyone, Please see update on our weekly chart idea and analysis. As stated last week, that although we have the final Axis target at 2505, we are expecting resistance and reaction here at 2434, at the channel top and will probably need a few attempts before cracking open the range above. This played out perfectly with multiple attempts on the channel top and now we got the candle body close above 2434 opening the 2505 gap. However, ema5 cross and lock will further confirm this gap to solidify confirmation. The drop early last week was only to touch ema5 for the detachment correction, which immediately followed with the push up inline with our plans to buy dips. The levels within the channel will provide the bounces, inline with our plans to buy dips in true level to level fashion, using our smaller time-frames. Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings, instead of chasing the bull from the top. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
6
GOLD MARKET UPDATEHey Everyone, Please review our 1H chart route map update. Absolutely amazing to see how well our levels and weighted levels confirmed the continuations and rejections this week once again and how we were able to navigate and track the movement up and down. We started the week with our Bullish target at 2458 hit. No further cross and lock above this weighted level confirmed the rejection. We then saw ema5 lock below weighted level 2423 opening the retracement range, which played out perfectly. This followed on with a cross and lock below 2394 opening the swing range. The swing range was hit and then provided the swing and did what it says on the tin providing the full swing inline with our plans to buy dips. - BOOOOM!!! After completing the swing, we stated that levels were active again, as price was back in the range. This allowed us to track the movement back up level to level completing 2407 and 2423 and now the last gap in this range remains at 2438. EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2438 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2458 - DONE BEARISH TARGETS 2438 - DONE 2423 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2423 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2407 - DONE 2394 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2394 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2369 (DONE) - 2359 We will now come back Sunday with our Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead. Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
9
TKO is poised for a major multi-year breakthrough!Weekly Chart The 100 level has shown to be a significant resistance point for the stock, as it faced multiple rejections at this level. Following these rejections, the stock entered a significant consolidation phase, which led to the formation of a Symmetrical Triangle pattern. After breaking out of this formation, the stock price soared, reaching a peak around the 117 level before experiencing a decline. However, the stock found support at the 200 WEMA and rebounded from that level.. At present, the stock is lingering near the resistance zone, and with an increase in trading volume, there is a strong expectation that it will achieve a breakout this time around. The appearance of an Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern on the weekly chart indicates a bullish sentiment. Daily Chart The daily chart shows that after being rejected near the 117 level, the stock fell but then reversed by breaking above the double bottom pattern. Since then, the stock has maintained its upward trend and is now close to a major breakout. The rising volume indicates that the price is preparing for an upward move.
NYSE:TKOLong
by NaranjCapital
2
GOLD MONTHLY CHART LONG TERM/RANGE ROUTE MAPHey Everyone, We have been successfully tracking this chart for a while now and after completing all our targets inline with our plans we felt we needed to share a new update on this chart. 2483 target was completed perfectly last month leaving a detachment below to ema5, which was nearly complete on the drop earlier this week and is good enough for a correction. 2536 is our final long range/term target on this chart idea and we will look to continue to buy dips using our smaller timeframe ideas rather then chasing the bull form the top. Currently we are looking for another likely retest at 2483 and a close above this level will confirm our final target above. Although the correction to the detachment below is nearly complete, we still need to take caution and keep in mind the small gap for the full correction. This can also be self corrected with bullish momentum by pulling up ema5, as the detachment is only small after the brutal correction earlier this week. As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
10