GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
After completing the swing range activation from our 1H chart, please now also review our 4H chart idea.
The 4H chart idea also had a swing range test and gave the swing, but off the back of a volatile candle and didn't allow for the cross and lock confirmation due to momentum. The swing gave the bounce and an extended push into 2416 Goldturn resistance, followed with the rejection into 2391.
We are now looking for ema5 to lock below 2391 to open the full swing range. Failure to lock below this level will provide another bounce to retest the levels above.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2467
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2467 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2491
POTENTIALLY 2510
BEARISH TARGETS
2438 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2438 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGETS
2416 - DONE
2391 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2391 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2369 (DONE) - 2345
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Tradingideas
GOLD ( INSIDE ASCENDING CHANNEL ) ( 4H )XAUUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency, the price is under down ward pressure , until trade below turning level at 2,420$.
Upward Zone : In order to see an increase, the price needs to break the turning level at 2,420$ , to reach resistance levels (1) around 2,440$ , then breaking resistance level (1) by open 4h candle above it indicates to reach of a resistance level (2) at 2,460$ , then stabilizing above resistance level (2) indicates to reach of a resistance level (3) at 2,82$ ,a strong resistance level selling have already in crease this level .
Downward Zone: Provided until the prices trade below the turning level, it indicates a reach of the support level (1) at 2,391$, then breaking this level with a 4h or 1h open candle below is likely to reach the support level (2) at 2,367$ , this two level called support zone it is very strong zone because inside accumulation area .
Corrective level :Price may make a correction at 2,420$ , before dropping .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 2,440$, 2,460$ , 2,482$.
SUPPORT LEVEL : 2,391$ , 2,367$ , 2,337$.
GBPJPY ( UNDER STRONG DOWNWARD PRESSURE ) ( 4H )GBPJPY
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure , until trading below turning level at 183.919 .
TURNING LEVEL : the price of this level at 183.919 , so until the price trade below this level indicates likely to reach a support level (1) , but if the breaking by open 4h candle above this level reach a resistance level (1) .
RESISTANCE ZONE : this zone between 191.007 and 198.018 , in order to see this zone the price need breaking turning level at 183.919 , breaking this price indicates an increase and reaching the resistance level (1) at 191.007 , then stabilizing above resistance level (1) likely to reach of a resistance level (2) at 198.018 , after breaking this zone it will be attempt to reach resistance level (3) at 203.869 , selling have already increase in this zone .
SUPPORT ZONE : this zone between 180.401 & 177.400 , until the price trading below turning level or stabilizing below this level indicates to reach of a support level (1) at 180.401 , by open 4h or 1h candle below support level (1) , it indicates to reaching support level (2) around 177.400 .
CORRECTIVE : the price corrective at 183.919 , before dropping .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 191.007 , 198.018, 203.869 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 180.401 , 177.400 .
NAS100USD ( BREAKOUT DESCINDING & ASCENDING CHANNEL ) ( 4H )NAS100USD
Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure , until trading below 18,244 .
TURNING LEVEL : the price of this level at 18,244 , so as long as the price trade below this level indicates likely to reach a support level (1) , but if the breaking by open 4h candle above this level reach a resistance level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 18,698 , for reach this resistance level the price need breaking turning level , indicates have good selling in this level .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 19,112 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1) .
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 17,435, for reach this support level the price need stabilizing below turning level , indicates have good buying in this level .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 17,047 , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
CORRECTIVE : the price corrective at 18,244 , before dropping .
PRICE MOVEMENT : currently price 18.037 , my be the price first thing corrective turning level , as long as until the price trade below turning level at 18,244 , it will be trying to reach support level (1) , then breaking by open 4h or 1h candle below this level , indicates to reach a support level (1) , if the price breaking turning level by open 4h or 1h candle easily to reach of resistance level (1) .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 18,698 , 19,112 .
SUPPORT LEVEL :17,435 ,18,239 .
Fed will pick up the pace, but market pricing looks aggressive
July's friendly jobs report led to market fears of a looming recession and the need for a strong Federal Reserve response. However, the latest ISM services report shows that the situation looks good with the economy growing
The ISM Service Index shows no immediate inferred threat
The ISM U.S. Manufacturing Products Index rose to 51.4 from 48.8, above the consensus of 51.0. New orders jumped to 52.4 from 47.3 while work returned to growth territory at 51.1 from 46.1.
The Fed will cut interest rates faster but the current market price looks very positive
We could see the Fed give in to some of the market demands and make at least one, maybe two 50 basis point moves
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our 1h chart idea playing out, as analysed.
Yesterday we stated that we have a candle body close above 2438 leaving a gap open to 2458 and ema5 lock will further confirm this.
- This target was hit. No further cross and lock above 2458, which confirmed the rejection.
We also stated that we have 2438 and 2423 as bearish support targets and will need a cross and lock below 2423 to open 2407 and 2394. A further ema5 lock below 2394 will open the swing range for the extended swing.
- This also played out perfectly completing all the bearish targets and then followed with the swing range. The swing range did exactly what it says on the tin, by providing the perfect extended swing, inline with our plans to buy dips - BOOOOOOM!!!!!
Price is back in the range and therefore all weighted levels are active again and can be tracked level to level using the chart ideas shared.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2438 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2458 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2458 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2475
POTENTIALLY 2491
BEARISH TARGETS
2438 - DONE
2423 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2423 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2407 - DONE
2394 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2394 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2369 - 2359
SWING ACTION NICELY COMPLETE!!
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Market News Report - 04 August 2024USD/JPY continues its long-overdue downward spiral as it has done in the past week. Speaking of USD, the greenback suffered across the board (somewhat predicted in our last report) due to an unchanging interest rate and poor employment figures.
Other notable gainers in the past week include the Swiss franc and euro.
Let’s see how these and other markets may perform fundamentally and technically this week.
Market Overview
Below is a brief technical and fundamental analysis breakdown for all major currencies.
US dollar (USD)
Short-term outlook: bearish.
The Fed's latest meeting (where they kept the interest rate unchanged) gave away a few dovish clues. Most notable is the potential for a rate cut next month, with STIR (short-term interest rate) markets predicting a 68% chance of this happening.
A slight rise in the unemployment rate in the past week further adds to the bearish bias.
The DXY chart aligns perfectly with the fundamentals, having just broken a recent key support. However, the break wasn’t strong enough, so 103.172 is still an area of interest for major support. Meanwhile, the key resistance is far away at 106.490 and will likely remain untouched for some time.
Long-term outlook: bearish.
Markets anticipate at least two rate cuts before the year ends. The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) and jobs data indicate a cooling of the US economy, another bearish sign.
Only geopolitical risks and bond market selling can affect this overall sentiment. So, we cannot rule out a bullish fight for the dollar, but it is unlikely to happen, at least quickly.
Euro (EUR)
Short-term outlook: weak bearish.
The European Central Bank (ECB) has recently kept its interest rate unchanged. Christine Lagarde, the ECB President, also suggested slow economic growth in the Eurozone, with inflation expected to fluctuate around current levels. Furthermore, the President stated that September's interest rate meeting is 'wide open.'
However, thanks to the ECB's overall dovish tone, markets see a 78% chance (up from 63% last week) of a cut.
After falling slightly, the euro is looking to test the new major resistance, now at 1.09813 (not far from the former mark).
Meanwhile, the key support area lies far below at 1.06494.
Long-term outlook: weak bearish.
The recent unchanged interest rate is the primary bearish driver. However, the ECB hasn't committed to a specific future path in this regard.
Still, the central bank is data-dependent, and any improvement in inflation, growth, and wages can lift the euro.
British pound (GBP)
Short-term outlook: bearish.
The folks at the Bank of England (BoE) cut the interest rate by 25 basis points at the 01 August 2024 meeting. However, they remain data-dependent and have no set future path. Still, STIR markets are currently pricing an additional two cuts for the remainder of 2024.
Meanwhile, the pound is down on the charts, which shouldn’t be surprising given the fundamentals.
The key support, at 1.26156, is not too distant. On the other hand, the key resistance is so far away (at 1.31424) that you have to zoom out your charts. In simple terms, we are bearish here.
Long-term outlook: weak bearish.
The interest rate is the chief bearish driver for the pound. However, STIR markets predict a rate hold next month. Furthermore, two-way risks remain based on upcoming economic data (e.g., inflation, labour, economic growth).
Japanese yen (JPY)
Short-term outlook: weak bullish.
The Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) recent decision to hike the interest rate is bullish for the yen. However, STIR markets
STIR markets expect a hold (95% probability) at the next meeting (but one hike before the year ends).
Declining US Treasury yields and the heightened political tension in the Middle East have accelerated the recent huge down move in USD/JPY.
Unsurprisingly, USD/JPY has confidently broken another major support. Interestingly, the new marker is now 146.482, a level which has been reached. However, this week should determine if the market stalls around this area or breaks it.
Meanwhile, the major resistance (at 161.950) is too far for traders to worry about.
Long-term outlook: weak bullish
In addition to the recent rate hike, other bullish catalysts for the yen include lower US Treasury yields.
The Bank of Japan is actively intervening in the forex markets, contributing to the JPY's upside. However, having moved quite a distance, a retracement is imminent.
Australian dollar (AUD)
Short-term outlook: weak bullish.
Due to persisting inflation highlighted by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), the central bank has enough reasons to keep or hike the interest rate on Tuesday.
On the flip side, markets suggest at least one rate cut in 2024 (initially set for 2025). However, the recent rise in China's share prices, which correlates with the Aussie, has been positive for the currency.
While trading mildly in the past week, the Aussie is nearly testing the major support at 0.64653.
Meanwhile, the major resistance is far ahead at 0.67986.
Long-term outlook: weak bullish.
The hot CPI for Q1 and April has pressured the RBA to increase rates, which they recognised in their meeting last month. Also, the slightly higher unemployment rate from the past few weeks is another impetus. While STIR markets anticipate a 33% chance of a hike, this has been priced out.
Also, keep in mind that the Australian dollar is exposed to slow economic growth in other countries because it is a pro-cyclical currency.
New Zealand dollar (NZD)
Short-term outlook: neutral.
As predicted by STIR markets, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) recently maintained the interest rate at 5.5%.
In their latest meeting, “The Committee agreed that monetary policy will need to remain restrictive. The extent of this restraint will be tempered over time consistent with the expected decline in inflation pressures”.
In simple terms, the central bank is winning against inflation and is, thus, unlikely to raise rates.
NZD traders should diarise New Zealand's upcoming unemployment rate on Wednesday.
Unlike its closest relative (AUD), the Kiwi has retraced upwards. However, it’s still within a largely bearish move.
The primary support lies at 0.58524. Meanwhile, the major resistance is at 0.62220, an area which it’s unlikely to test soon.
Long-term outlook: neutral.
The central bank's recent dovish tilt amid improving inflation puts the Kiwi in a neutral bracket. Furthermore, STIR markets anticipate a 65% (up from 58%) chance of a rate cut next month.
On the flip side, as a risk-sensitive currency like the Aussie, any growth data in China could trigger bullishness for NZD.
Canadian dollar (CAD)
Short-term outlook: bearish.
Firstly, the Bank of Canada (BoC) cut rates from 4.75% to 4.50% not so long ago. The Governor of the Bank of Canada (BoC), Macklem, had already suggested this would happen if inflation became stickier. Realistically, the BoC will drop rates slowly now or aggressively later.
It's also worth noting that the mortgage stress in Canada has forced the BoC to be dovish, another bearish catalyst.
Watch for the new unemployment figure for CAD on Friday.
After a long while in range mode, USD/CAD is inclined more bullishly. It only just broke the recent major resistance (at 1.38463). The next target, which is quite nearby, is at 1.38991.
On the other hand, the key support lies far down at 1.35896.
Long-term outlook: weak bearish.
Expectations of a rate cut remain the focal point, with Macklem himself saying it's reasonable to expect more cuts in the future. Moreover, STIR markets see two rate cuts for the BoC this year.
The mortgage stress remains a major factor in this interest rate policy, and the BoC will have to cut rates to alleviate it.
However, encouraging oil prices may redeem the Canadian dollar as a risk-sensitive currency, along with improvements in jobs, inflation, and Gross Domestic Product.
Swiss franc (CHF)
Short-term outlook: bearish.
STIR markets forecast a rate cut in September (a 92% chance) and December this year.
Secondly, SNB expects a moderate improvement in inflation, GDP (Gross Domestic Product), and unemployment to rise slightly in the near term.
However, the Swiss franc can strengthen during geopolitical tensions like the Middle East crisis.
Watch for the new unemployment figure for CHF on Tuesday.
USD/CHF was among the biggest losers (dropping 1.71%), confidently breaking the last major support. We mentioned the likelihood of this happening.
The new key support area to consider is now 0.85510. Meanwhile, the major resistance level is far higher at 0.92244.
Long-term outlook: weak bearish.
The expected rate cut in the next SNB meetings for 2024 is the main bearish driver. However, the SNB's chairperson, Thomas Jordan, expressed that "appreciation of the Swiss Franc has an impact on monetary policy." This means that potential intervention by the central bank can go either way.
Conclusion
The most anticipated economic events this week include the unemployment for NZD, CAD, and CHF, along with the RBA's interest decision.
Nonetheless, the fundamental outlooks for each major currency remain consistent from the previous week. However, see if these match the technical side and leave room for surprises.
GOLD ( SENSITIVE WEEKLY ) (1D)XAUUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Fundamental : due to the fight in the middle east , gold prices complete instability .
Tendency, the price under bullish pressure , until trade below 2,427$ .
Upward Zone : In order to see an increase, as long as the price trade turning level at 2,427$, it indicates a reach of resistance levels (1) at 2,482$ , then as it stabilizes on the turning level we may see new resistance zones around 2,520$ and 2,560$ .
Downward Zone: by breaking turning level by open 1d candle below this level , it indicates a reach of the support level (1) at 2,364$, then stabilizing below this level is likely to reach the support level (2) at 2,297 .
Corrective Level :Price may make a correction at 2,427$ , before rising .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 2,482$ , 2,520$ , 2,560$ .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 2,364$ , 2,297$ .
USDJPY ( BREAKOUT DESCENDING CHANNEL ) (4H)USDJPY
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency, the price is under down ward pressure , until trade below turning level at 144.502.
Upward Zone : In order to see an increase, the price needs to break the turning level at 144.502 , to reach resistance levels (1) around 149.479 , then breaking resistance level (1) by open 4h candle above it indicates to reach of a resistance level (2) at 154.775 , then stabilizing above resistance level (2) indicates to reach of a resistance level (3) at 158.627 a strong resistance level selling have already in crease this level .
Downward Zone: Provided until the prices trade below the turning level, it indicates a reach of the support level (1) at 140.377, then breaking this level with a 4h or 1h open candle below is likely to reach the support level (2) at 137.684 , this two level called support zone it is very strong zone because inside accumulation area .
Corrective level :Price may make a correction at 144.502 , before dropping .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 149.479 , 154.775 , 158.627 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 140.377 , 137.684 .
GBPUSD ( INSIDE DESCENDING CHANNEL ) (4H)GBPUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency, the price is under down ward pressure , until trade below turning level at 1.281 .
Upward Zone : In order to see an increase, the price needs to break the turning level at 1.281 , to reach resistance levels (1) around 1.285 , then breaking resistance level (1) it indicates to reach of a resistance level (2) at 1.293 , then stabilizing above resistance level (2) indicates to reach of a resistance level (3) at 1.303 a strong resistance level inside strong supply zone .
Downward Zone: Provided until the prices trade below the turning level, it indicates a reach of the support level (1) at 1.270, then breaking this level with a 4h or 1h open candle below is likely to reach the support level (2) at 1.262 , this two level called support zone it is very strong zone because inside accumulation area .
Corrective level :Price may make a correction at 1.281 , before dropping .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.285 , 1.293 , 1.303 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.270 , 1.262 .
USD/CHF: Looking For a Strategic Long PositionUSD/CHF is approaching a critical demand zone, which we have identified as an area of interest for initiating a long position. This potential setup aligns with the current condition of the DXY Index, which is in an oversold state, suggesting a likely upward correction.
To capitalize on this opportunity, we are placing a buy limit order within this demand area. Our strategy is further bolstered by the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report, which reveals a predominance of short positions among retail traders. This contrarian indicator supports our bullish outlook, as retail traders are often on the wrong side of the market.
Our Supply and Demand approach has consistently provided us with reliable entry and exit points. In this case, the demand zone around the current price level presents a promising entry point for a long position. By combining this approach with the oversold condition of the DXY Index and the COT report's insights, we anticipate a favorable risk-reward scenario.
Our analysis also considers seasonal trends and market sentiment. Historically, similar conditions have led to significant bullish movements in USD/CHF. We expect the price to find support in the demand zone and subsequently initiate a new bullish impulse.
As we set our buy limit order, we are looking for confirmation through price action and market dynamics. If the price reacts positively within the demand zone, it will reinforce our decision to go long. We will continue to monitor the market closely, ready to adjust our strategy as new data and price movements unfold.
✅ Please share your thoughts about USDCHF in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
NAS100USD ( FALLING 600 POINT AND BREAKOUT TWO CHANNEL ) (4H) NAS100USD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency, the price is under down ward pressure , until trade below 17,806 .
Upward zone : In order to see an increase, the price needs to break the turning level at 17,806 , to reach resistance levels (1) around 18,694 , then breaking resistance level (1) it indicates to reach of a resistance level (2) at 19,536 .
Downward zone: Provided until the prices trade below the turning level, it indicates a reach of the support level (1) at 17,320, then breaking this level with a 4h or 1h open candle below is likely to reach the support level (2) at 16,996 .
Corrective level :Price may make a correction at 17,806 , before dropping .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 18,694 , 19,536 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 17,320 , 16,996 .
USD/JPY Reaches Key Demand Zone: Is a Bullish Reversal Imminent?The Japanese Yen (JPY) has extended its winning streak against the US Dollar (USD) for the fifth consecutive session on Monday. This consistent momentum is driven by increasing expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may further tighten its monetary policy. The BoJ's potential shift towards a more hawkish stance is attracting significant market attention, as investors anticipate changes that could impact the currency's value. Additionally, the unwinding of carry trades, where investors borrow in low-yielding currencies to invest in higher-yielding assets, is providing sustained support for the JPY. This unwinding trend suggests a repositioning of investments that favors the Yen, contributing to its recent strength.
From a technical standpoint, the current price action has led the USD/JPY pair to a strong demand area, which aligns with multiple indicators pointing to a potential bullish reversal. Firstly, the pair has entered an oversold condition, suggesting that the selling pressure might be overextended and a corrective bounce could be on the horizon. Secondly, there is the potential start of bullish seasonality, a period during which historical data shows the JPY typically performs well. This seasonal trend could further bolster the case for a rebound.
Our supply and demand strategy, which focuses on identifying key levels where price imbalances occur, indicates that the current demand zone is a critical area for a potential price reversal. This strategy has been effective in highlighting areas where buying interest may outweigh selling pressure, leading to upward price movements. Given the confluence of these technical factors, we are closely monitoring the price action for a long setup.
We are particularly attentive to the behavior of the USD/JPY pair in this demand area. Should the price action confirm our expectations, we will look to enter a long position, anticipating a rebound. This approach aligns with our broader market analysis and strategic outlook, which aim to capitalize on identified opportunities supported by both technical indicators and market fundamentals.
✅ Please share your thoughts about USD/JPY in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
EURUSD ( UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE ) ( 4H )EURUSD
Tendency , the price is under bullish pressure , until trading above 1.076.
TURNING LEVEL : the price of this level at 1.076 , so as long as the price trade above this level indicates likely to reach a resistance level (1) , but if the breaking by open 4h candle below this level reach a support level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 1.084 , for reach this resistance level the price need stabilizing above a turning level , indicates have good selling in this level .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 1.089 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1)
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 1.072 , for reach this support level the price need breaking a turning level , indicates have good buying in this level .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 1.067 , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
PRICE MOVEMENT : currently price 1.079 , as long as the price trading above turning level , indicates to reach a resistance level (1) , then breaking this level likely to reach resistance level (2) , by breaking turning level indicates likely to reach support level (1) .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.084 , 1.089 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.072 , 1.067 .
BTC will probably try to pick up liquidity from both sidesThe chart may be a bit unclear, but I will try to explain what it means: when we first determine the fibonacci after the impulse with $74k, we can see the support exactly at fibonacci 1.21. That gives us the right to look at this as an ABC correction.
Below are the FVG of the bit zones :
The monthly that has been tested several times plus the monthly candle did not close inside it which is very positive
In the last correction towards 53k weekly fvg showed strong support
Gap: Which is formed after this impulse shows that fibonacci 0.61 coincides together with that..
For now, everything is fine.. we are in the middle of the range, 60k and lower to watch for a potential long.
Below 58k and the closing of larger time frames, the saint structure changes
Gold on the international market skyrocketedPreviously, the market reflected a 100% chance that the Fed would cut interest rates for the first time in September. Currently, this rate is still the same. What's important to watch for investment is the Fed's view on the pace of interest rate cuts for the rest of the year. The Fed will cut 1 or 2 times and how much each time will cut, 25 hundred points or 50 points.
With worse economic signals, it is likely that the Fed will have to consider the option of accelerating the process of cutting interest rates.
However, it is possible that after cutting interest rates in September, the Fed will wait to take a closer look at the health of the US economy. On that side, the world is also watching the race for the White House of the second presidential candidate. The election will take place in November.
Recently, some forecasts said that regardless of which candidate, Mr. Donald Trump or Ms. Kamala Harris, becomes US president, the White House owner will also provide money to support the economy. Gold will benefit from this move.
Some major banks in the world still maintain their forecast that gold prices will reach 2,500 USD/ounce this year.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2458 Goldturn resistance and 2423, as Goldturn support.
We currently have a candle body close above 2438 leaving a gap open to 2458. However, ema5 above 2438 will further confirm this.
We also have 2438 and 2423 as bearish support targets and will need a cross and lock below 2423 to open 2407 and 2394. A further ema5 lock below 2394 will open the swing range for the extended swing.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2438 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2458
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2458 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2475
POTENTIALLY 2491
BEARISH TARGETS
2438
2423
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2423 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2407
2394
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2394 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2369 - 2359
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2467 Goldturn resistance and 2438, as the Goldturn weighted support.
We will see levels within this range tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break to confirm direction for the next range.
We will need to see a test at 2467 and then ema5 to above 2467 to confirm the range above. We also have 2438, as the weighted support area and will need ema5 lock below this level to open 2416 and 2391 and a cross and lock below 2391 will open the swing range for the extended swing.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2467
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2467 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2491
POTENTIALLY 2510
BEARISH TARGETS
2438
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2438 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGETS
2416
2391
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2391 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2369 - 2345
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART UPDATE Hey Everyone,
Please see update on our daily chart structure that we have been tracking successfully for a while now..
Previously we had the cross and lock above 2355, leaving a gap open to 2405 and same with 2405 opening 2464, which were all completed and then followed with the rejection into the retracement range.
We the had 2355 retracement range providing support and the re-actional bounce, as analysed and we stated that we will either look for a ema5 lock below this level to open the range below or a failure to lock below this level will follow with the upper range tests again.
- This played out perfectly with no cross and lock below 2355 and therefore we got the perfect bounce re-testing all the targets above.
We now have 2464 test again and will need ema5 cross and lock to open the gap above. However, being the daily chart, we sometimes do not get the time to enter for the gap like the smaller timeframes, as the move gets done before the gap opens. Therefore, we can use a candle body close above 2464, as an earlier confirmation for the gap.
We have marked the charts with our unique weighted levels and will use them to track the movement up and down, confirmed with ema5 cross and lock confirmation.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis and trading plans to navigate the range in true level to level fashion.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we will continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM/RANGE ROUTE MAP Hey Everyone,
Please see update on our weekly chart idea.
Previously we mentioned that although we have the final Axis target at 2505, we are expecting resistance and reaction here at 2434, at the channel top and will probably need a few attempts before cracking open the range above, which played out perfectly.
We then stated that we would need to see a candle body close above 2434 in the coming weeks/months to confirm this gap or an ema5 cross and lock for a double confirmation.
- We got the candle body close above 2434 now opening the 2505 gap and an ema5 cross will further confirm this.
The levels within the channel will provide the bounces, inline with our plans to buy dips in true level to level fashion, using our smaller time-frames.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings, instead of chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
ETH ForecastTrend Channels and Correction: There are two distinct descending trend channels visible on the chart. Currently, the price is near the lower boundary of these channels and might make an upward correction. This correction could aim towards the resistance levels marked above.
Fibonacci Levels: The price appears to have touched the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at the 2,914.76 level. A reaction from this level is likely, and the price could move upwards to test the resistance levels.
Support and Resistance Levels: Several important support and resistance levels are drawn on the chart:
Resistance Levels: 3,125.86, 3,232.67, 3,306.00, 3,390.57, and 3,581.27.
Support Level: 2,914.76.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI indicator is close to the oversold region. This suggests that the price might soon experience an upward recovery.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD indicator might be signaling a potential upward reversal.
Conclusion:
The Ethereum price could potentially rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel and initiate an upward movement. The first target for this upward movement could be the 3,125.86 resistance level. If it can break this level, it may test the 3,232.67 and 3,306.00 resistance levels subsequently. However, market conditions and the overall trend should be considered, and risk management is essential.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
PIPTASTIC finish to the week with our analysis playing out to perfection!!!!
EMA5 lock above 2400 opened 2423 and 2438, which was hit perfectly followed with ema5 lock above 2438 opening 2459 and 2475, which was also completed today to perfection and now followed with the perfect rejection!!!
BULLISH TARGETS
2400 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2400 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2423 - DONE
2438 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2438 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2459 - DONE
2475 - DONE
BEARISH TARGETS
2376 - DONE
We will now come back Sunday with our Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD ( UNDER BULLISH PRESSURE ) (4H)XAUUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price is under bullish pressure , until trading above 2,421$ .
TURNING LEVEL : the price of this level at 2,421$ , so as long as the price trade above this level indicates likely to reach a resistance level (1) , but if the breaking by open 4h candle below this level reach a support level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 2,447$ , for reach this resistance level the price need stabilizing above a turning level , indicates have good selling in this level .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 2,474$ , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1)
RESISTANCE LEVEL (3) : around 2,500 , this level it is a historical peaks , for reach this level the price needed breaking turning level (2) .
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 2,391$ , for reach this support level the price need breaking a turning level , indicates have good buying in this level .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 2,365$ , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
PRICE MOVEMENT : currently price 2,435$ , as long as the price trading above turning level , indicates to reach a resistance level (1) , then breaking this level likely to reach resistance level (2) , by breaking turning level indicates likely to reach support level (1) .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 2,447$ , 2,474$ , 2,500$ .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 2,391$ , 2,365$ .