Supported jobs figures in the US are worth goldAs at end April 2024, the amount of gold held in London vaults was 8,552 tonnes (a 0.1% decrease on previous month), the lowest holdings since May 2020, valued at $634.3 billion, which equates to approximately 684,132 gold bars.
The market last night received information that the number of applications for unemployment support last week in the US increased sharply compared to the previous week, causing investors to worry that the world's No. 1 economy has shown signs of weakness.
Specifically, the number of first-time applications for unemployment benefits last week was at 231,000 applications, much higher than the forecast of 212,000 applications and 209,000 applications achieved the previous week. The 4-week average unemployment support applications also increased from 210,000 units to 215,000 units last week.
The USD today fell 0.3% against larger currencies after this report was published. A weaker USD makes gold cheaper for buyers outside the US.
Today's data showed signs of a weakening job market, reinforcing expectations that the Fed will lower interest rates sooner than forecast. This sentiment supports precious metals markets, such as gold and silver. Bob Haberkorn, senior market strategist at RJO Futures, determined: "US jobs numbers support gold prices. Hidden buying force appears."
💵 TVC:GOLD SELL 2352 - 2350💵
✔️TP 2340
✔️TP 2330
❌SL 2358
Tradingideas
USD heavily influenced by Fed rate expectationsWhen assessing that prospect, there are worse market indicators to monitor than the front-end of the US bond curve. As this chart shows, the daily correlation between the US dollar index and US two-year bond yields over the past quarter stands at 0.89, implying the dollar usually follows movements at the front-end of the US curve.
Gold looks great on he charts, continuing to consolidate above former record highs within a broader uptrend. With RSI breaking its downtrend and MACD looking like it may soon crossover from below, momentum looks to be shifting higher once again. Having tried and failed on multiple occasions to break below $2285 in May, that would provide a decent entry level for longs, should the price return there. A stop could be placed below the level for protection.
Alternatively, should the price get a foothold above $2355.10, that too would be a decent entry level, allowing for a stop to be placed below targeting a retest of the 2024 high above $2430.Right now, the jury is out when it comes to whether we’re witnessing a turning point for the big dollar with futures remaining close to key horizontal resistance with the 50 and 200-day moving averages sitting just above. This zone looms as important when it comes to directional risks for the dollar and short-end rates, managing to repel an attempted break higher last Friday following the release of softer-than-expected payrolls and ISM services PMI data.
GOLD 4H CHART MARKET UPDATEHey Everyone,
Our 4H chart is playing out perfectly in true level to level fashion.
We started the week with our first Bullish target hit at 2313. We then had the ema5 lock above 2313 opening the gap above upto 2340. This is a big gap to target and therefore using our 1H chart and smaller timeframes, we were able to buy dips safely.
Today once again we had the support test at 2313, followed with a bounce of over 250 pips capture, all the way into our resistance level and just short of our target at 2340 - BOOOOM!!!
Perfectly inline with our plans to buy dips.
Currently we still have a small tiny gap left to 2340 and therefore likely to get hit. We will keep this in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2313 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2313 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
2340
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2340 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2358
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2358 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2390
BEARISH TARGETS
2290
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2290 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2247 - 2221
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GBPUSD: The market was quiet waiting for the Fed's statementsGBP/USD traded 0.3% lower to 1.2473, ahead of Thursday's meeting of the Bank of England.
The UK central bank is expected to leave interest rates unchanged this week, with speculation it could steer markets towards a cut as soon as next month - soon after the ECB is expected to cut drops on June 6.
AUDUSD: USD increases; The market waits for statements from the The greenback edged better on Wednesday, bucking current weak point as numerous Fed officers organized to speak.
At 04:20 ET (08:20 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the dollar towards a basket of six different currencies, traded 0.2% better at 105,500, off its lowest withinside the nearly a month remaining week.
The greenback obtained a small increase overdue Tuesday after Minneapolis Fed boss Neel Kashkari stated chronic inflation and a robust economic system may want to convince the United States important financial institution to depart hobby costs unchanged. for the the rest of this year.
US hobby charge moves hold to draw marketplace interest and with out pinnacle US monetary facts this week, policymakers` evaluations come to be even extra important.
Fed Chairman Jay Powell basically dominated out in addition tightening remaining week, however lots of uncertainty stays approximately whilst a flow decrease will occur.
Investors haven't any scarcity of Fed officers to look ahead to Wednesday, with Vice Chairman Philip Jefferson, Governor Lisa Cook and Boston Fed President Susan Collins ready to speak.
GOLD: Gold price forecast
By around September, the Fed may reduce interest rates. A declining USD will pull gold prices up.
Gold is also supported by inflation and escalating prices in many countries around the world. Asian and European countries are struggling to control their currencies from plunging.
Many experts also mentioned the possibility of inflation in some countries. If this happens, gold will continue to be an important storm shelter.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Once again our plans to buy dips played out perfectly with levels being respected!!
Not much change to the chart dynamic today, as we see price playing between 2305 Goldturn support and 2321 Goldturn resistance.
Our support levels are giving us the bounces needed inline with our plans to buy dips knowing we have gaps open above and the size of our range below for any corrections is allowing us to manage our risk accordingly.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2305 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2305 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
2321 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2321 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2346
BEARISH TARGETS
2285
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2285 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2259 - 2240
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
The bear flag shows a small rising parallel trend channelGold fell again despite falling Treasury bond yields. From an overall perspective, gold continues to struggle after its recent pullback.
The most recent support for gold is in the $2,295 – $2,305 range. A move below $2,295 would bring gold towards support at $2,190 – $2,200.
Gold prices fell slightly in Asian trading today, having mainly received limited support from rising unrest in the Middle East. However, attention is still placed on the possibility of the US Federal Reserve (FED) cutting interest rates.
Gold prices rose on Monday after Israel launched a series of attacks on Rafah in Southern Gaza. This is a complicated move that adds to ongoing ongoing talks with Hamas. Reports also suggest that ongoing negotiations between Israel and Hamas have failed to make much progress.
💵 TVC:GOLD SELL 2317-2320💵
✔️TP 2310
✔️TP 2305
❌SL 2326.5
💵 TVC:GOLD BUY 2306 - 2304💵
✔️TP 2310
✔️TP 2320
❌SL 2298
EURJPY: Asian foreign exchange decline, dollar stable; The Yen cJapanese Yen weakened after intervention, USDJPY increased
Markets are now looking for more information on Japan's inflation and wage growth to gauge whether the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates further this year, which is expected to bring some relief for the Japanese currency.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the chart today buying dips inline with our trading plan and route map.
Yesterday we hit our 2305 Bullish target and 2321 confirmed with ema5 lock, giving us plenty of time to get in for the action.
We also had ema5 lock above 2321 opening the next range upto 2346. However, it was a big gap and we also needed to consider the retracement range, which is still untested this week so far.
Today we remained Bullish from dips and having the gap above gave us the confidence to buy dips today. Please also see our 4H chart below, which also had our first bullish target hit, followed with the support it provided today for the bounce.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2305 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2305 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
2321 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2321 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2346
BEARISH TARGETS
2285
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2285 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2259 - 2240
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
EURUSD: The dollar steadied after a payrolls-led plunge, with maThe dollar index and dollar index futures both rose 0.1% in Asian trading after falling 0.8% last week. The greenback fell on weaker-than-expected non-farm payrolls data in April.
The data reinforced expectations that a cooling labor market will give the Federal Reserve more incentive to start cutting interest rates. CME's Fed rate tracker shows traders are increasing expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut in September.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our 1H chart idea playing out, as analysed.
We started with our 2305 Bullish target hit followed with ema5 lock above 2305 opening 2321. This was then hit perfectly completing this target with plenty of time to get in for the action.
We now have ema5 lock above 2321 opening the next range upto 2346. Its over 200 pip range above and we also need to consider the retracement range is still untested this week so far.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2305 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2305 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
2321 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2321 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2346
BEARISH TARGETS
2285
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2285 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2259 - 2240
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD prices may decrease in the short termWorld gold spot price is around 2,306.4 USD/ounce, up 5.4 USD/ounce compared to last week. Gold futures price in June 2024 on the Comex New York floor is at 2,304.7 USD/ounce.
Last week, the world gold price in the first session of the week traded at 2,335 USD/ounce. After that, the gold price could not be kept above 2,340 USD and began to decline, the lowest level of the week was below 2,283 USD.
World gold price increased again above 2,325 USD/ounce after the Federal Reserve (Fed) announced information on the interest adjustment roadmap. However, gold prices could not keep their upward momentum and weakened at the end of the week.
The latest weekly survey by Kitco News shows that experts forecast extreme value in terms of gold outlook development in the short term. Most retail traders expect gold prices to fall or move sideways. According to a Wall Street survey, 40% believe that gold prices will continue to move sideways, and 33% predict they will decrease.
This week, the market is interested in notable economic information such as the US 10-term bond fight, preliminary consumer sentiment report from the University of Michigan,...
XAUUSD: Gold price forecastGold price forecast
Chantell Schieven, Head of Research at Capitalight Research, said that the gold market is starting to enter a period of seasonal weakness. In this environment, gold prices are likely to fall back to $2,150/ounce.
According to Marc Chandler, Managing Director at Bannockburn Global Forex, gold prices may decline in the short term. Gold prices can trade in the range of 2,250-2,260 USD/ounce.
However, some experts assess that gold demand is still increasing. Adam Button, Head of Currency Strategy at Forexlive, forecasts that Chinese demand will increase as the market returns to trading after the holiday.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP FOR THE WEEK AHEADHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels 2305 resistance and 2285 support. We will need to see either weighted level break and lock to confirm the next range.
We will need to see ema5 lock above 2305 to further open the range above or a rejection will follow to find support at the retracement range. A cross and lock below 2285 will open the swing range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2305
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2305 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
2321
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2321 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2346
BEARISH TARGETS
2285
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2285 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2259 - 2240
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP FOR THE WEEK AHEADHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels 2313 resistance and 2290 support. We will need to see either weighted level break and lock to confirm the next range.
We will need to see ema5 lock above 2313 to further open the range above or a rejection will follow to find support at 2290 retracement range. A cross and lock below the retracement range will open the swing range range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2313
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2313 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
2340
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2340 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2358
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2358 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2390
BEARISH TARGETS
2290
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2290 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2247 - 2221
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM PROJECTIONHey Everyone,
Please see our daily chart idea that we have been tracking and trading successfully since completing our last daily chart idea.
Previously we saw the anticipated retracement take place and the price test support at 2325 Goldturn inline with the channel half line. However, Ema5 5 remained above 2325 confirming the bounce, which we were able to track and trade using our smaller timeframe.
We then stated that a break below the 2325 Goldturn support level will complete the full channel half line test and the potential for a break and lock below the half line to open the levels below until we track to the bottom of the channel or rejection back to re-test the top.
- This played out perfectly with the full half line test complete last week and now for us to track the bounce up from the half line or a break and lock below to confirm the full channel low test.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis and trading plans to navigate the range in true level to level fashion.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we will continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our algo generated levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top
Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
MR GOLD
XAUUSD TOP AUTHOR
GOLD MONTHLY CHART LONG RANGE ROUTEMAPHey Everyone,
Our last update on our monthly chart. we completed all our Bullish targets after breaking out of the ascending channel
We then stated that we also need to keep in mind the detachment below highlighted in circle and may need a correction on the top of the channel to form support for a bounce and continuation above or a break back into the channel will see the swing range zone tested long term.
Since then we had the anticipated correctional drop, as you can see from the wick on last months candle but not enough to complete the full detachment.
The new month candle has now opened and in a central range with room above and below for the updated detachment to complete, highlighted with the new circle and also room above to re-test the new open range
Long term we will like to see and look for price support above the channel top for a continuation to re-test the range above.
We still remain Bullish and will only safely take buys from support levels.
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD TOP AUTHOR
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A PIPTASTIC finish to the week with true level to level break and confirmation trading.
Yesterday we stated that the first level of the swing range was hit with just short of the second level. We also stated that if we see price hold above 2302 then 2316 will be tested and failure to break above 2016 will see the full swing range tested, as that was left open.
- This played out perfectly with 2316 hit first, followed with the full swing range test at 2278 and then to finish off the swing range did exactly what it says on the tin and gave the full swing back to 2302. Our plans to buy dips played out to perfection !!!
We will now come back Sunday with our multi-timeframe analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
Have a smashing weekend with family and loved ones!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GBPUSD: Dollar steadies after falling overnight, nonfarm payrollThe dollar index and dollar index futures were both steady in Asian trading after falling 0.6% in overnight trading.
Pressure on the USD comes from a strong yen, while Fed Chairman Jerome Powell reiterated that the bank will not raise interest rates further.
However, the outlook for the dollar remains upbeat thanks to the prospect of a Fed rate cut being pushed back to at least the fourth quarter.
The focus now turns to nonfarm payrolls data for April, released on Friday, for further signals on the economy and interest rates.