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USDJPY: The USD holds steady as markets look for interest rate dThe US dollar remained broadly stable today as market participants await additional indicators to determine US interest rate developments. This period of anticipation follows recent cautious comments from US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials and signs that inflation may be easing. The Japanese yen fell slightly at the start of the week, trading at 155.80 against the dollar. Investors are closely watching for any signs of potential government intervention, with the yen showing minimal volatility in recent days.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
XAUUSD: Technical analysis of XAUUSD todayThe dollar steadied on Friday after losing ground in the previous session on weak jobs data, while sterling edged up following stronger-than-expected growth figures. At 04:10 ET (08:10 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six other currencies, was trading just higher at 105.115. The USD is on track for small gains this week The USD steadied on Friday and is on course to gain slightly this week after falling on Thursday after data released showing a larger-than-expected gain in {ecl-294||topic data unemployment benefits request}} weekly. This evidence of a cooling US labor market has bolstered some expectations that the Federal Reserve will begin cutting interest rates in September.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chart_MasterPro
GBPJPY: Yen struggles as BOJ faces yield dilemmaThe Japanese yen keeps to stand vast demanding situations because it hit a 34-yr low towards the greenback, with little expectation that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) will improve hobby costs at its meeting. upcoming coverage on Friday. The significant bank, which has no forex mandate, is beneathneath growing strain because the weakening yen influences inflation via way of means of growing the fee of imports. Despite guidelines from BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda approximately the opportunity of destiny hobby fee hikes, forex markets have in large part unnoticed those signals. In March, the BOJ raised hobby costs for the primary time in 17 years, however the flow did little to reduce the yen`s decline. Traders continue to be targeted at the more potent greenback and the vast yield differential among the USA and Japan. The yen is presently extra stricken by US trade costs and yield differentials. Swami additionally talked about that whilst a complete normalization of BOJ coverage may want to assist enhance the yen, the important thing thing may be the Federal Reserve's actions. Market expectancies for the Federal Reserve have changed, with fewer hobby fee cuts than anticipated this yr because of symptoms and symptoms of chronic US inflation and a lackluster financial recovery. This extrade in outlook indicates that US short-time period hobby costs may want to continue to be above 5.25% for an prolonged period, whilst Japanese short-time period hobby costs are at 0.1%. Even with the 22 foundation factor boom priced in for Japan this yr, it hasn't executed a great deal to shut the gap.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
USDJPY: USD/JPY stabilizes, market focuses on BOJ interest rate The Japanese yen changed into mildly risky on Monday after a risky week amid hypothesis approximately an cease to the BOJ`s yield curve manage and terrible hobby quotes policies. The BOJ started a two-day assembly on Monday, with a choice to be introduced on Tuesday. The USD/JPY change fee has fallen to 146 in line with dollar, specifically after reviews that Japanese hard work unions have performed big salary will increase this year. Recent facts additionally suggests that inflation stays stable, with each elements giving the BOJ sufficient self belief to cease its ultra-dovish policies. However, analysts stay divided on whether or not the financial institution will increase hobby quotes in March or April, with the overall consensus barely leaning in the direction of an April move. BOJ predicted to elevate hobby quotes through 20% foundation factor to 0.1% from terrible 0.1%. While any fee hike bodes properly for the yen, hypothesis over the timing of a fee hike has visible USD/JPY mark risky actions in latest weeks. The fee hovered round 149 on Monday.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
USDJPY: The dollar was little changed before the European sessioVolatility among major currencies was relatively mild ahead of today's European session. The Australian dollar edged up slightly, building on yesterday's sharp recovery during the US session. Notably, AUD/USD bounced off the December low and 100-day moving average at 0.6525-30 but is now returning to its previous accumulation phase near 0.6600 USD/JPY fell to a more than two-week low and tested the 146.00 level yesterday. That comes after Treasury yields fell sharply again, which made things more complicated this week. There are no data of note on the economic calendar in Europe today. Thus, all focus and attention will be on the upcoming US employment report.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
GBPUSD: Sterling speculators are more focused on inflation than Traders in the pound market are betting on continued inflation due to a slowdown in retail sales as the Bank of England nears its next interest rate decision. The pound has recently strengthened against the euro for four consecutive weeks, and has strengthened against all G10 currencies this year except for the stronger US dollar. Investors have increased their bullish bets on the pound for the third consecutive week. This is reflected in an increase in net long positions in the pound, suggesting that the pound is likely to appreciate against the dollar. Net long positions increased by nearly $800 million, or 48%, to $2.24 billion, the biggest selloff in four months. This is in contrast to about $2.166 billion in short positions held by speculators just two months ago. The latest economic data paints a mixed picture. Wage growth slowed, inflation rose to a surprising 4.0% in December from 3.9% the previous month, and retail sales fell sharply. These factors are contributing to expectations that the BoE may be slower to cut interest rates than the Fed or the European Central Bank (ECB). Market expectations suggest there is a roughly 50% chance that the Bank of England will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in May, with a full rate cut expected in August. By contrast, traders expect the ECB to start cutting rates as early as April, and there is almost a 50% chance that the U.S. will cut rates in March. Lee Hardman, senior currency analyst at MUFG, said the BoE needed evidence that inflation risks were easing to give it confidence to start cutting interest rates to support UK growth. Weak retail sales have slightly reduced the attractiveness of the pound, but it remains the second-best performing G10 currency at the start of the year. Compared to other currencies, the pound has appreciated 4.7% against the Japanese yen and 3% against the Australian dollar so far this year. It also rose 2.8% against the Swiss franc, and Nomura analysts expect it to rise another 3%.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
EURJPY: Yen strengthens ahead of Bank of Japan meeting; The markCurrency stability is a hot topic in financial markets today as investors prepare for meetings of major central banks in Japan and Europe. The Japanese yen registered a notable gain, trading at 147.74 yen against the dollar, as markets awaited the Bank of Japan's upcoming monetary policy meeting. The bank is expected to maintain negative interest rates, a stance that has gained further support following Japan's recent earthquake. The dollar index of the US dollar against a basket of major currencies was little changed at 103.24. Meanwhile, the euro fell slightly to trade at $1.0888, while the pound rose slightly to $1.27095. Investors are also adjusting their expectations for the U.S. Federal Reserve's next interest rate move. The interest rate cut was originally expected to occur in early March, but the forecast was pushed back to May due to strong U.S. economic indicators. This suggests that the Fed may take a more cautious approach to monetary policy changes, despite previous expectations for rate cuts. All eyes are also on the European Central Bank (ECB), which will discuss its own monetary policy on Thursday. Given the impact on global supply chains, particularly those that affect trade routes through the Red Sea, the ECB may have to balance the need to support economic growth with the pressures of external trade challenges. The turmoil has led to a reassessment of the timing of potential interest rate cuts by the ECB as it considers the impact of these issues on the broader economic situation.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
EURUSD: EUR/USD broke through an important technical milestone iThe dollar remains generally in good shape. EUR/USD tested the 200-day moving average during yesterday's trading session before rising to the 1.0890 level. Looking at the short-term trend, sellers are in control with prices still not coming close to testing the 100 hour moving average at 1.0916. The downtrend will still be maintained for now. As rising Treasury yields help strengthen the dollar, the euro is also receiving support from the ECB's outlook review. Going into this year, traders were convinced of the first rate cut in April but that possibility is now being priced at approximately 90%. This comes after opposition from ECB policymakers. That means that while April is still on the table, it is likely that June or July would be a more reasonable option to satisfy the central bank's board of governors. Therefore, if traders lower their pricing on an interest rate cut in April, it will support the Euro at a balanced level. Currently, sellers are still willing to try to maintain the bearish trend.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
GBPUSD: The dollar hit a one-month high amid interest rate cut sThe US dollar rose to a one-month high on Wednesday on shifting market expectations for interest rate cuts and weak economic data from China. The dollar index, which measures the dollar's value against a basket of currencies, rose to 103.58, its highest since December 13th. This increase follows Tuesday's 0.67% rise. The dollar's rise was fueled in part by comments from U.S. Federal Reserve official Christopher Waller. He noted that the U.S. is close to the Fed's 2% inflation target, but advised against cutting rates early until he is confident that the decline in inflation is sustainable. Following Waller's comments, the probability of a rate cut in March, as measured by CME's FedWatch tool, fell from 75% to about 60%. At the same time, yields on U.S. government bonds rose. In contrast to other currencies, the pound rose 0.1% against the dollar to $1.2646, supported by rising UK inflation data. This has fueled expectations that the Bank of England may cut interest rates more slowly than other central banks.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
AUDUSD: Asian foreign exchange dropped, USD recovered waiting foMost Asian currencies fell on Tuesday, while the dollar rose as traders largely remained risk-averse ahead of further signals on when the Federal Reserve may begin cutting interest rates. The dollar index and dollar index futures rose 0.5% and 0.3%, respectively, during the Asian session on Tuesday. The dollar index is also trading at a small premium to futures, suggesting short-term demand for the greenback is growing. Traders are now awaiting further signals on the Fed and the US economy, with Fed Governor Christopher Waller due to speak later on Tuesday. On Wednesday, US retail sales and industrial production figures are expected to provide more clues on the world's largest economy, with any signs of cooling allowing for more bets on growth. cut interest rates soon. However, the market appears to have moderated bets that the Fed will begin cutting interest rates as soon as March 2024, according to Fed policy tracker CME
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
2
EURJPY: Latest information on market trends in the Asian session There wasn't much news of note on the day, except for some news regarding the energy market. Qatar has reportedly suspended LNG transport through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait (Suez Canal). Houthis fire cruise missile at US Navy ship Oil prices have risen, but not by a large amount Political news: William Lai was elected president of Taiwan in Saturday's election, despite the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) losing a majority of seats in parliament. Senate Democratic Leader Schumer said Congressional leadership approved the temporary funding measure. Forex market: The People's Bank of China this month kept its medium-term financing (MLF) interest rate unchanged at 2.5%, despite widespread (but conflicting) expectations that it would cut it by 10 basis points. . This comes despite China's continued deflation and reflects the People's Bank of China's concerns that a weaker yuan could lead to capital outflows. The dollar/yen exchange rate rose during the session, weighing on the yen as the two-year Japanese government bond yield fell below zero. The US dollar has weakened against the euro, pound and Canadian dollar. The Australian dollar and New Zealand dollar underperformed. Offshore yuan gains during session
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
EURJPY: Japanese yen suffers big loss due to doubts about Bank o Asian trading volumes on Monday were slightly affected by the Japanese holiday. The yen rose 0.1% after falling to nearly 145 yen to the dollar on Friday. The earthquake that hit central Japan also caused the Japanese currency to suffer its worst weekly decline since late 2022. Post-disaster economic stimulus and recovery measures could delay the Bank of Japan's plans to start tightening its ultra-easy monetary policy, which is expected to put strong pressure on the yen. The current focus is on Tokyo's December CPI inflation data, which is often used as an indicator of national inflation in Japan.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
GBPUSD: US dollar depreciates as expectations for interest rate The U.S. dollar is on track to decline annually, weakening from two consecutive years of strong gains as expectations grow for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates next year. The dollar index against six major currencies hit a five-month low of 100.81, reflecting Wednesday's 0.5% decline and expectations for a 2.6% decline for the year. In contrast to the Fed's unexpectedly dovish stance at its December meeting, other major central banks, including the European Central Bank, remained committed to keeping interest rates high for a longer period of time. However, markets believe the ECB is considering cutting interest rates by up to 165 basis points next year. Sterling hit $1.2813, its highest since Aug. 10, and is on course for its first annual rise of 6% since 2017. The Bank of England faces a difficult environment. Challenges posed by rising inflation in the UK. The ability of the Fed to cut interest rates as aggressively as the Fed and the ECB may be limited. This has widened the yield differential with U.S. and European bonds, making British assets more attractive and supporting the pound.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
NZDJPY: Asian session market update: NZD decreased during the seNZD fell during the session, a report from Westpac cut its expectations for Q4 CPI to 3%. If inflation falls rapidly, it would mean the Reserve Bank of New Zealand does not need to keep interest rates 'higher for longer' and would therefore cut support for the NZD. In addition, the Tankan Q4 report includes a survey of thousands of Japanese companies of all sizes, in many industries conducted by the Bank of Japan. Shows that the Japanese economy continues to improve, albeit slowly, and also shows that business inflation expectations remain above 2% (BOJ target) for 5 years! USD recovered, EUR, GBP, CAD, AUD all decreased slightly. The market is now mainly waiting for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Oil prices remain high, a draft global declaration at COP28 called for the world to transition away from fossil fuels by 2050.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
USDCHF: The US dollar rose on unemployment claims data, mixed The USD DXY index rose 0.30% to 103.90 as recent economic data and the Federal Reserve's minutes presented a complex scenario for investors to navigate. The increase came after the number of initial jobless claims was announced at 209,000, lower than expected. Despite this positive sign, investors are also considering a sharp decline in durable goods orders in October, down 5.4%. The latest minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) show persistent concerns about inflation, suggesting that these concerns will influence future policy decisions. This led to a rise in U.S. Treasury yields across a range of maturities as investors digested mixed economic data. Looking ahead, market participants do not expect an interest rate hike in November. Instead, there are speculations that interest rates could be cut as early as March or May next year. This sentiment is reflected in the DXY technical analysis. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remained unchanged near oversold conditions, which could indicate a resurgence of buying pressure. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bar is still moving sideways in the red zone, indicating near-term bearish momentum. Despite these mixed signals, the USD remains below the 20-day and 100-day SMAs (simple moving averages), but remains above the key 200-day SMA support. This position suggests that long-term bullish sentiment against the dollar may still exist despite the current bearish trend. The dollar continues to assert its dominance in global finance, playing a central role in foreign exchange markets with a daily trading volume of more than $6.6 trillion, based on last year's data. This dominance highlights the currency's far-reaching influence and its resilience in the face of economic instability and changes in monetary policy.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
USDJPY: The USD weakened without the catalyst of important econoIn the foreign exchange market, the U.S. dollar weakened, closing at the day's low, extending Tuesday's losses. Data: October building permit applications were higher than expected, but did not provide much support for the dollar. Sterling fell by nearly 40 pips following October's retail sales data, but then rebounded sharply as the US dollar weakened. The yen led the rise among major currencies at the close of trading.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
GBPUSD: The British Conservative Party eyes tax cuts in the budgThe Sunday Times reported: Britain's Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt is considering cutting income tax and national insurance in a bid to improve his standing in the polls. Jeremy Hunt told Sky News: “We want to responsibly reduce our tax burden.” "The only thing we won't do is not give any tax cuts that could cause inflation." It could allow heirs to defer taxes and consider instead giving tax breaks to low- and middle-income earners.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
2
✍️WEEKLY QUOTE: Can we change our beliefs about the market?✍️..Each time I experienced a conflicting thought and was able to successfully refocus on my objective, with enough conviction to get me into my running shoes and out the door, I added energy to the belief that "I am a runner." And, just as important, I inadvertently drew energy away from all of the beliefs that would argue otherwise. ..Beliefs can be changed, and if it's possible to change one belief, then it's possible to change any belief if you understand that you really aren't changing them, but are only transferring energy from one concept to another. Therefore, two completely contradictory beliefs can exist in your mental system, side by side. But if you've drawn the energy out of one belief and completely energized the other, no contradiction exists from a functional perspective; only the belief that the energy will have the capacity to act as a force on your state of mind, on your perception and interpretation of information, and your behavior. ..Remember that consistency is not the same as the ability to put on a winning trade, or even a string of winning trades for that matter, because putting on a winning trade requires absolutely no skill. All you have to do is guess correctly, which is no different than guessing the outcome of a coin toss, whereas consistency is a state of mind that, once achieved, won't allow you to "be" any other way. You won't have to try to be consistent because it will be a natural function of your identity In fact, if you have to try, it's an indication that you haven't completely integrated the principles of consistent success as dominant, unconflicted beliefs. For example, predefining your risk is a step in the process of "being consistent." If it takes any special effort to predefine your risk, if you have to consciously remind yourself to do it if you experience any conflicting thoughts (in essence, trying to talk you out of doing it), or if you find yourself in a trade where you haven't predefined your risk, then this principle is not dominant, functioning part of your identity. It isn't "who you are." If it were, it wouldn't even occur to you not to predefine your risk. If and when all of the sources of conflict have been deactivated, there's no longer a potential for you to "be" any other way. What was once a struggle will become virtually effortless. At that point, it may seem to other people that you are so disciplined (because you can do something they find difficult, if not impossible), but the reality is that you aren't being disciplined at all; you are simply functioning from a different set of beliefs that compel you to behave in a way that is consistent with your desires, goals, or objectives From Trading in the Zone by M. Douglas
COINBASE:ETHUSDEducation
by Yelli_trades
4