Unlock the 10 Core Lessons Every Trader Needs for SuccessYou know that feeling when you stare at the charts, convinced you’re about to strike gold, only for the trade to go so wrong, you wonder if the market gods have a personal vendetta against you? Yeah, we’ve all been there.
But here’s the thing—it's not the market that's out to get you. It’s you.
Let’s cut to the chase: trading success isn’t just about mastering candlestick patterns or finding the perfect strategy. It’s about mastering yourself. So, I’m laying out the 10 core lessons that can stop you from sabotaging your trades—and maybe even save you from throwing your laptop out the window.
1. Emotional Self-Control (AKA Don’t Be Your Own Worst Enemy)
Ever taken a trade out of sheer frustration or FOMO? Spoiler alert: that’s your emotions talking, and they rarely have your back. Mastering emotional self-control is like giving yourself a built-in cheat code. Stay calm, stay cool, and you’ll stay profitable.
Quick task: Next time you feel emotions kicking in, take a 5-minute break before making any trade decisions. Walk away, breathe, then come back with a clear head.
2. Every Trade is a Lesson (Yes, Even the Ugly Ones)
Think that losing trade was a total waste of time? Wrong. Every trade, good or bad, is packed with insights. The market is your professor—start taking notes. You’ll find out where you’re tripping up, and trust me, you’ll trip less.
Quick task: Start a trade journal. Write down not just the outcome of each trade, but your emotions and reasoning at the time. Review it weekly to spot patterns.
3. Mindset is Everything (Cue the Zen Music)
You’ve probably heard it before, but it's worth repeating: mindset is everything. If you’re not thinking straight, your trades won’t be either. A positive mindset keeps you focused, even when the market is doing its best to mess with you.
Quick task: Before your next trading session, spend 5 minutes visualizing success. Remind yourself why you’re trading and what you’re working toward. This will keep your mindset sharp.
4. Have a Plan (Because Winging It Doesn’t Work Here)
If you’re going into trades without a solid game plan, you’re basically showing up to a knife fight with a spoon. Every trade should have a strategy, clear entry/exit points, and a reason behind it. Stop winging it—you’re better than that.
Quick task: Create a simple pre-trade checklist. Include things like entry/exit strategy, risk level, and reasons for entering the trade. Stick to it religiously.
5. Adapt or Get Left Behind (The Market Isn’t Waiting for You)
The market changes faster than your favorite Netflix series gets canceled. What worked yesterday may not work tomorrow. Be flexible, keep learning, and adapt. Otherwise, you’re going to be the guy stuck using strategies from 2010 in 2024.
Quick task: Spend 10 minutes a day researching a new trading strategy or tool. Even if you don’t use it right away, expanding your knowledge keeps you adaptable.
6. Patience Pays (And Impatience Costs You Big Time)
There’s no bigger account killer than impatience. Jumping in too early, exiting too late, chasing trades—it’s a recipe for disaster. Sometimes, the best move is to wait. Trust me, patience in trading is like waiting for that perfect slice of pizza—totally worth it.
Quick task: Set up alerts for your key setups instead of staring at the screen, waiting for something to happen. This forces you to only trade when your setup is there, not when you’re bored.
7. Risk Management is Non-Negotiable (No, Seriously)
If you don’t manage your risk, you’re playing with fire—and we all know how that ends. Set stop-losses, size your positions properly, and don’t gamble your entire account on a “gut feeling.” It’s not about how much you win, it’s about how little you lose.
Quick task: Review your last 10 trades and check how well you stuck to your risk management rules. If you didn't, figure out why and correct it for the next trade.
8. Never Stop Learning (The Market Has Zero Chill)
The market is constantly evolving, and if you think you’ve got it all figured out, the market is ready to humble you real quick. Stay curious, keep learning, and don’t let complacency be the reason you get left in the dust.
Quick task: Dedicate 30 minutes a week to learning something new—whether it’s a new strategy, a new tool, or just reading up on market trends. Never stop sharpening the saw.
9. Balance Emotions with Logic (It’s Like a Jedi Mind Trick)
This is where it gets tricky. You can’t trade on pure logic, but trading on pure emotion is just as dangerous. You need to find the sweet spot—where you can recognize your emotions, but let logic steer the ship. It’s like becoming a Jedi of your own trading.
Quick task: Before you enter your next trade, ask yourself one question: “Is this based on emotion or strategy?” If it’s emotion, step back until you’re thinking clearly.
10. Focus on the Process, Not Just the Profits (Money is a Byproduct)
Everyone wants to make money, but here’s the secret: focus on nailing your process. The profits will come as a result. If you’re constantly thinking about the money, you’re missing the point. Perfect your process, and let the money follow.
Quick task: Pick one area of your trading process to improve—whether it’s your analysis, your entry strategy, or your risk management—and focus solely on that for the next week. Master the process, the profits will follow.
Master these 10 lessons, and you’ll find yourself trading with more confidence, discipline, and success. Trading is as much a mental game as it is a technical one, and by focusing on these principles, you’re setting yourself up for long-term wins.
Now, which of these lessons do you need to focus on in your own trading journey? Let me know below :)
Tradinginthezone
Think Like a Pro: How to Be Your Own Trading PsychologistEver Felt Like Your Worst Enemy in Trading? Here’s How to Overcome it!
Have you ever been in that moment where you're staring at the screen, and every fiber of your being is screaming, "This trade is going south," but you still hold on?
It’s like watching a train wreck in slow motion—except you’re the conductor, and somehow, you’re glued to your seat.What if you could turn that inner chaos into clarity?
Imagine becoming your own trading psychologist, mastering the mental game to transform your trading experience. It’s possible, and it’s within your reach.
The Mirror Doesn’t LieThe biggest challenges in your trading aren’t just the volatile markets or the unpredictable news— they’re the emotions that cloud your judgment. Fear, greed, hesitation, overconfidence— these emotions can lead you to make mistakes that are both costly and frustrating.
But here’s the key: the problem isn’t the emotions themselves, but how you manage them. Recognizing this can help you see the market—and your trades—in a completely new light.
The Secret Sauce: Self-AwarenessThe first step toward mastering your trading psychology is learning to recognize your triggers.
What sets you off? Is it a losing streak? A sudden market spike? Maybe just a stressful day.
Identifying these triggers is crucial to controlling your trading behavior.Once you recognize your triggers, managing them becomes much easier.
It’s like seeing a storm on the horizon—you can’t stop it, but you can definitely prepare for it.
Setting hard rules for when to step away from the screen, and more importantly, when to stay focused, can make all the difference in your trading results.
Actionable Tips: Turn Insight into Action
So, how can you apply this in a practical way?
Here are a few strategies that can help you take control of your trading psychology:
Journal Everything : Start by journaling not just your trades, but your thoughts and emotions before, during, and after each trade.
You’ll begin to see patterns emerge, showing when you might be about to go off the rails.
Mindful Breaks: Set timers to remind yourself to step away from the screen for a minute or two. This gives you the space you need to reset, especially when things get intense.
The “Pause” Button: Before entering a trade, take a moment to pause and ask yourself, “Am I acting out of emotion, or is this a rational decision?”
This simple act can prevent countless bad trades.
Create a Pre-Trade Routine: Just like athletes have pre-game rituals, creating a routine to get into the right headspace before trading can be incredibly beneficial.
This might involve reviewing your journal, setting goals for the session, or doing a quick mental check-in.
Don’t Go It Alone: Trading doesn’t have to be a solo journey. Platforms like TradingView are excellent for connecting with other traders.
Whether you’re joining a chat, reading other traders’ ideas, or commenting on their posts, engaging with the community can provide valuable insights and feedback.
Sometimes, the best advice comes from others who’ve been in your shoes and can help you see things from a different perspective.
The Result? A Psychological EdgeBy mastering your trading psychology, you can stop sabotaging yourself.
Instead of reacting impulsively to the market, you can respond with clarity and purpose.
The challenges of trading will still be there—this is the market, after all—but with the right mindset, you can turn them into opportunities.
If trading psychology has been a struggle for you, know that you’re not alone, and there’s a way forward.
By looking inward, recognizing your patterns, and applying a few simple strategies, you can gain the psychological edge you need to succeed.
Trading isn’t just about reading the market; it’s about understanding yourself. And once you master that, the possibilities for your trading are endless.
Let me know what you think below:)
"Know Thyself: The Ancient Greek Secret to Mastering the Markets "Know Thyself.’ This ancient Greek wisdom has echoed through time, and over the years in the markets, I’ve realized it holds the key to trading success. But most traders learn this lesson the hard way, often after years of frustration, losses, and self-doubt.
To become a successful trader, you must truly know yourself. The saying "know thyself," inscribed at the Temple of Apollo at Delphi, might seem distant from the world of modern finance, but it’s more relevant than ever.
The market is a mirror, reflecting who you are inside, and it has an uncanny ability to expose your deepest fears, negative emotions, and limiting beliefs.
We all have traits that hinder our success—whether it’s fear, greed, impatience, or overconfidence. But rather than addressing these inner challenges, many traders look for external solutions, never realizing that self-awareness is the real key to success.
In my years as a trader, I've come to understand that the most successful traders aren’t just experts in analyzing charts—they are experts in understanding themselves. They know their strengths and weaknesses and have the courage to face them directly.
They recognize their emotional triggers and have developed the discipline to manage them effectively.
Trading isn’t just about predicting market movements; it’s about understanding how you react under pressure, how fear can distort your decisions, and how greed can lead to costly mistakes.
The journey to becoming a successful trader is as much about mastering yourself as it is about mastering the market.
To truly master the markets, you must first master yourself. The market is a relentless feedback loop, constantly reflecting your inner state back at you, whether you realize it or not.
When a trade is going against you, losing money, and you’re feeling the surge of anger and frustration, the market is holding up a mirror. It’s not just about the loss—it’s reflecting something deeper about your emotional state and mental approach.
What are you seeing in that reflection? Is it impatience, fear, or a lack of preparation?
When you find yourself revenge trading after a losing position, what's really happening? The market is showing you your vulnerability—perhaps an unchecked ego or a desperate need to validate yourself.
It’s telling you what needs fixing, but only if you’re willing to stop and listen.
Consider those moments when you double or triple up on positions, trying to force the market to move in your favor. What’s being reflected back at you then? Is it overconfidence? Maybe it’s fear dressed up as boldness.
The market is giving you feedback—are you hearing it?
And what about when you abandon your rules, chasing the allure of a quick profit or avoiding the pain of a potential loss?
The market is exposing a deeper truth: a lack of discipline, or perhaps a failure to trust in your own system. It’s showing you exactly what you need to work on.
Even in the good times, when you’re in a winning position but close out too early, the market reflects back your fear of losing what you’ve gained, your inability to let go, or your craving for certainty.
Each of these reactions is a lesson in self-awareness.
This is why trading often appears deceptively simple at first glance—yet is incredibly difficult to master. The principles seem straightforward: buy low, sell high, manage your risk.
But the reality is that the market is not just a puzzle of price movements; it's a test of your inner world. It’s this challenge, this confrontation with your own psychology, that makes trading so demanding and why it takes years to truly master.
Most people are not prepared for this journey of self-discovery, which is why so few actually make it.
You might notice that many traders online focus almost exclusively on trade ideas and strategies, rarely discussing the inner battles that make or break a trader. This is because self-mastery is the hardest part of trading, and it’s often the least glamorous.
Yet, every successful trader I’ve met or read about shares one common trait: a deep understanding of themselves. When you listen to them, you’ll hear them talk about overcoming their own internal struggles as much as they discuss their market strategies.
This resonates deeply with my own experience; my biggest challenges have always come from within. But each time I’ve faced and overcome these inner obstacles, my trading has consistently improved.
The truth is, the market reflects all our worst fears and attributes, as well as our strengths. The secret to success is learning to listen and understand what it’s telling you about yourself.
Many traders fail because they’re unwilling to face these reflections. Instead of looking in the mirror and realizing the truth lies within, they blame the strategy, the market, the broker—anyone but themselves.
But true courage in trading, just as in life, comes from facing your demons head-on . The saying "Know Thyself" is not just a call for introspection—it’s a challenge.
The darkest hour is just before dawn , and it’s in those moments of greatest struggle that we’re given the opportunity to grow.
By understanding yourself—your fears, your weaknesses, your triggers—you gain the strength to conquer the market.
So next time you’re in a tough spot, remember the ancient wisdom: "Know Thyself." The market isn’t just a battlefield—it’s a mirror.
Master what you see in that reflection, and you’ll master the markets. True success in trading and in life comes not from conquering the market, but from conquering yourself.
Think in Probabilities Embracing Uncertainty Your Key To SuccessPicture this: You’re at your trading desk, eyes on the charts, heart pounding as the market swings unpredictably. Do you feel that fear creeping in?
Now, imagine knowing that this unpredictability doesn’t have to scare you. Instead, it can be the key to your success. Let's dive into why thinking in probabilities and staying calm in the face of uncertainty can turn trading from a gamble into a calculated path to consistent success.
Many traders struggle with uncertainty because they lack a solid, tested system. Trading randomly or without a proven strategy leads to anxiety and inconsistency. But once you have a reliable system that suits your lifestyle and mindset, and you fully understand your edge, you realize that while the outcome of each trade is random, the probabilities of your trading system will work out for you over time.
The Role of Probabilities in Trading
Trading isn’t about predicting the next big market move; it’s about understanding the odds and working them to your advantage. Each trade is a small part of a larger statistical framework, where the focus shifts from individual outcomes to the bigger picture.
Why Is Learning To Think In Probabilities So Important For Trading Success?
Reduces Emotional Bias : By thinking in probabilities, you understand that each trade is just one in a series of many. This helps reduce emotional reactions to individual losses or gains, such as revenge trading, doubling up on position sizing, or even smashing your new iPhone against the wall (been there, LOL).
For example, if you know that your strategy wins 60% of the time, you won't be devastated by a single loss. You'll see it as part of the statistical outcome.
Encourages Rational Decision-Making: Knowing your strategy has an actual edge helps you stick to your plan, even during losing streaks, and avoid impulsive decisions. To know your edge, you need to do plenty of backtesting and forward testing so you can gain confidence in the system.
For instance, if you experience a string of losses, understanding that this is normal and statistically probable helps you remain disciplined and not deviate from your strategy.
Builds Confidence in Your System : Confidence comes from knowing your strategy is backtested and has a proven edge over a large number of trades.
This knowledge helps you stay disciplined and focused on executing your plan. For example, if your backtesting shows a positive expectancy over 1,000 trades, you can trust your system even when short-term results are unfavorable.
Things That Have Helped Me Over the Years to Deal With the Uncertainty of Trading
Finding or Developing a System/Strategy That Suits You : As humans, we are all different, and this is especially true in trading. Some people are happy to be in and out of the market fast (scalpers) and have the ability to make big decisions quickly under pressure.
Others are slower thinkers and like to make decisions carefully, staying in the market for a longer period of time (swing traders).
You need to find what you're best at and stick to it. If you have a busy life with work and family, maybe swing trading suits you. If you’re younger and not as busy, then perhaps scalping is your style.
Playing Strategy Games and Games of Chance : This may not be something you've heard before, but I've met many traders, including myself, who have found that games like poker can really help your trading by teaching you to think in probabilities.
Another game I love to play is chess, as it encourages you to think ahead, and I’ve found it has helped me in my trading over the years.
Practicing Visualization : If you've ever read anything on the subconscious mind, you know it’s responsible for 95% of all your automatic behaviors, especially in trading. The subconscious doesn’t distinguish between what is real and what is imagined.
This is why visualization is such a powerful tool to help you embrace market uncertainty. By visualizing yourself placing trades confidently, managing risks well, and handling outcomes calmly, you prepare your mind for real trading scenarios.
This mental practice reinforces your belief in your system and prepares you for the market's ups and downs.
Books That Helped Me Think in Probabilities
Reading has been an invaluable part of my journey to understanding probabilities. Here are some books that have profoundly impacted my trading mindset:
"Thinking, Fast and Slow" by Daniel Kahneman
This book helped me understand how cognitive biases affect decision-making and how to overcome them by thinking more strategically.
"Fooled by Randomness" by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Taleb's insights into the role of chance and randomness in our lives and the markets were eye-opening and changed how I view risk and probability.
"Beat the Dealer" by Edward O. Thorp
Although this book is about blackjack, Thorp’s exploration of probability and statistics offers valuable lessons for trading.
"The Theory of Poker" by David Sklansky
Sklansky breaks down the mathematics of poker, showing how to make decisions based on probability, a skill directly applicable to trading.
"The Intelligent Investor" by Benjamin Graham
This classic on value investing emphasizes the importance of long-term thinking and understanding market probabilities.
"A Man for All Markets" by Edward O. Thorp
This autobiography offers a fascinating look at how Thorp applied probability theory to beat the casino and the stock market.
"Sapiens: A Brief History of Humankind" by Yuval Noah Harari
Harari’s book provides context on human behavior and decision-making, offering insights into the psychological elements of trading.
"The Signal and the Noise" by Nate Silver
Silver’s exploration of how we can better understand predictions and probabilities is highly relevant to making informed trading decisions.
"Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction" by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan M. Gardner
This book teaches how to improve forecasting skills through careful analysis and thinking in probabilities.
Thinking in probabilities was a game-changer for me. It shifted my focus from trying to predict every market move to playing the long game. By embracing this mindset, I turned fear into confidence and uncertainty into strategy.
Remember, trading isn’t about guessing the market. It’s about responding with a clear, composed mind. Trust your strategy, know your edge, and let the probabilities work in your favor. This approach transformed my trading journey, and it can do the same for you. Happy trading!
Mindset and Beliefs: The Foundation of Successful TradingAfter 16 years of trading, I have come to realize that mindset and beliefs are critical to achieving consistent success in the markets.
Through personal experience and countless hours of market analysis, I've discovered that the psychological aspect of trading often makes the difference between consistent gains and recurring losses.
Today we will explore how your mindset and beliefs shape your trading performance and provide practical exercises that I've personally used to develop a winning trading mentality.
Understanding Mindset and Beliefs - The Role of Mindset in Trading
Your mindset encompasses your attitudes, beliefs, and emotional responses towards trading. It influences every decision you make, from the trades you choose to enter to how you react to losses and gains.
A positive, growth-oriented mindset helps traders navigate the volatile nature of the markets, while a fixed, fear-driven mindset can lead to poor decision-making and emotional trading.
Reflecting Beliefs in Trading Results
One of the most profound realizations I've had is that the market will reflect your limiting beliefs back to you in the results you achieve. If you have negative beliefs about money, success, or your self-worth, these beliefs will manifest in your trading outcomes.
For instance, if you subconsciously believe you are not deserving of success or wealth, you may find yourself making decisions that lead to losses, reinforcing those beliefs.
Key Beliefs for Successful Trading
To become a consistently profitable trader, it's crucial to cultivate empowering beliefs. Here are the key beliefs that have transformed my trading journey:
The Market is Neutral: - The market does not act against you personally. It moves based on the collective actions of all participants. Believing the market is neutral helps you stay objective and not take losses personally.
Accepting Uncertainty: - Embrace the uncertainty of trading. Each trade's outcome is unknown and should be viewed as part of a probability game. Accepting this uncertainty reduces emotional reactions to market movements.
Deserving of Success and Wealth: - Develop the belief that you are deserving of success and allowed to make money. This positive self-concept can shift your actions and decisions, aligning them with wealth creation.
Focus on Process Over Outcome: - Successful traders focus on following their trading process rather than fixating on individual trade outcomes. This helps in maintaining consistency and emotional stability.
Practical Exercises to Develop a Positive Trading Mindset
These techniques are not just theoretical. They are exercises I have practiced over the years, transforming me from a consistently losing trader to a consistently profitable one.
Self-Awareness Journaling - Objective: Identify and challenge limiting beliefs.
Exercise:
Step 1: At the end of each trading day, write down any negative thoughts or beliefs you had during trading. For example, "I always lose money on Fridays" or "The market is out to get me."
Step 2: Challenge these beliefs by questioning their validity. Ask yourself, "Is this belief based on facts or emotions?"
Step 3: Replace negative beliefs with positive affirmations. For example, "I am continuously improving my trading skills" or "The market offers opportunities every day."
Frequency: Daily - This exercise helped me recognize and reframe the negative thoughts that were sabotaging my trading efforts.
Visualization Techniques - Objective: Build confidence and a positive mental image of trading success.
Exercise:
Step 1: Sit in a quiet place and close your eyes.
Step 2: Visualize yourself successfully executing trades. Imagine each step, from analyzing the charts to placing the trade and seeing it reach your target.
Step 3: Feel the emotions associated with successful trading, such as confidence and calmness.
Frequency: Daily for 5-10 minutes - Regular visualization has ingrained a sense of confidence and calm, enabling me to approach each trading day with a clear and focused mind.
Cognitive Reframing - Objective: Change negative trading experiences into learning opportunities.
Exercise:
Step 1: Reflect on a recent trading loss.
Step 2: Write down the negative emotions and thoughts associated with the loss.
Step 3: Reframe the experience by identifying what you learned from it. For instance, "I learned the importance of setting stop-loss orders."
Frequency: After every significant trading loss - By reframing losses as learning opportunities, I've been able to grow and improve my trading strategies continuously.
Meditation and Mindfulness - Objective: Enhance focus and emotional regulation.
Exercise:
Step 1: Find a comfortable sitting position.
Step 2: Close your eyes and focus on your breathing.
Step 3: If your mind wanders, gently bring your focus back to your breath.
Frequency: Daily for 10-15 minutes - Meditation has been a game-changer for maintaining emotional control and staying calm during volatile market conditions.
My Transformation in Trading Mindset
Early in my trading career, I struggled with a fixed mindset, believing I wasn't cut out for trading due to a few early losses. I often felt the market was against me and reacted emotionally to trades, resulting in a cycle of poor decisions and further losses.
My beliefs about money, success, and self-worth were reflected in my trading results. The market seemed to mirror my negative beliefs back to me, causing me to lose money consistently.
By incorporating the exercises above, I gradually shifted my mindset:
Self-Awareness Journaling helped me identify and challenge my belief that I would never be a successful trader. I replaced negative thoughts with affirmations of continuous improvement and opportunity.
Visualization Techniques built my confidence by allowing me to mentally practice successful trades, which in turn manifested in real trading scenarios.
Cognitive Reframing turned my losses into valuable learning experiences, reducing my emotional reactions and helping me grow as a trader.
Meditation and Mindfulness enhanced my focus and emotional control, helping me stay calm during volatile market conditions.
Over time, I developed a more positive, growth-oriented mindset. I started to see losses as part of the learning process and focused on following my trading plan diligently.
This transformation in mindset led to more consistent trading performance and increased profitability. The market began to reflect my new, positive beliefs back to me in the form of consistent trading gains.
Conclusion
Your mindset and beliefs form the foundation of your trading success. By developing a positive, growth-oriented mindset and challenging limiting beliefs, you can enhance your trading performance.
The practical exercises outlined above provide a roadmap for transforming your mindset and achieving greater consistency and success in trading.
Remember, the journey to mastering trading psychology is continuous. Stay committed to these practices, and you'll gradually build the mental resilience and confidence needed to thrive in the markets.
These techniques have been instrumental in my journey from a consistently losing trader to a consistently profitable one. I believe they can do the same for you.
KOG - Identify your zones!Identifying the correct zones and regions for your trading:
Many of our followers will know that not only do we have Excalibur targets, we give the exact levels and price points that we want the price to achieve. What we also do, is show you the boxes (zones) on the chart for the wider community, to help steer you in the right direction. Price action plays a huge part in this and it’s something all traders should learn, however, zones are effective, not only in trading the right way, but knowing when you’re in the wrong way!
Price is a series of test on levels. It creates trends or ranges but will always do the same thing. Once we understand this, we know it's not the market that is the problem, it’s us, the trader. If we learn it's behaviour all we then need to do is make sure our money and risk management is up to scratch. It's never 100%, but if we test a level, it breaks, structure suggests it's going against us, don't hold on to hope, or add more in the direction you intended. Cut the damn thing like it's a poison to your account.
You need to treat this as a business, no matter what your account size. Every day there are large institutions who want to take your money away from you, you’re in this market to take from them and give them as little as possible. You should have a risk model in place, am I going to risk a certain percentage of my account? Am I going to stick to a stop loss of a certain number of pips? Am I going to have a risk reward that makes sense? Your stop loss and risk management plan are your best friend in this market, it allows you to limit the losses and live to trade another day.
The market will give you clues as to what it’s going to do, breaks, tests, and retests. We can plan the move before it happens this way, we know if it breaks a level, that level turns into support or resistance then it’s going to go and test the next level.
Remember:
The market will always give you a chance to get out of a trade if it’s going against you, as traders our ego's take over and we hold on to hope. If you're in a whipsaw and choppy market and in the wrong direction, your safest option, even if it ends up going your way in the end is to get out of it and limit your losses. You can always find another entry point for a better risk reward.
Ego is one of the biggest killers of accounts and works both ways. Hold on to a failing plan it will humble you. Show the market you’re too confident, it will humble you! Know when to trade, know when not to trade, know when you’re in the wrong way and accept defeat!
The example on the chart is showing you a simple 4H timeframe, with the zones in place. We know price will play zones and levels, it has to test these almost to see if it likes that price point or not. It will either break or reject the level.
If it breaks, you will usually see a forceful break, then the retest of the level which turns previous support/resistance into new support/resistance, or it will reject, in which case you will usually find the reversal. When trading with a bias or a target in mind, the market will use these zones (levels) to work within and as traders, we should know that if a level is hit, that’s our target reached, or, if it’s broken, that’s sign that we should either start thinking about managing the trade or getting out of it. In order to plot the levels, you will need to zoom out of the chart. Similar to the ‘Simple trading strategy’ we have shared in the past, you will use the peaks and troughs dragged across to present day, to identify your zones. Why? You may ask! Because the market is historical, the levels are the levels, and “levels don’t lie”.
Concern:
What many traders do, and it’s not their fault, it’s just a lack of education and trading experience, is hold on to trades with huge drawdown. They will place a trade in one direction, price goes against them, instead of implementing a stop loss, they will convince themselves the market will come back to this price, so instead “I’ll turn that into a swing trade”. This is the wrong way to think about the market, especially if you’re an intra-day trader, which most of us are. Shown on the chart, you can see, the level breaks, the level is retested, the retest in confirmed and the price moves away from the level. Once, the retest if confirmed, that’s the market telling you the trader, listen, you’re potentially in the wrong way, and we’re going to test another level higher/lower, so prepare yourself.
This is a really simple way, together with a risk model in place, to limit losses and maintain a healthy account.
Please try it and let us know!
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Exploring GBPCAD's Current Markdown PhaseTraders, pay close attention! The GBPCAD pair is currently showing clear signs of entering the markdown phase within a distribution pattern. 🇬🇧🇨🇦
In the context of the Wyckoff distribution, the markdown phase is a crucial stage where the price undergoes a controlled decline after prolonged accumulation. This phase often signifies a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish.
Observing the GBPCAD chart, you'll notice a gradual downtrend in prices with intermittent consolidations. This price action suggests that smart money, which accumulated positions during the accumulation phase, is now distributing their holdings.
Key indicators, such as decreasing trading volumes and consistent lower highs, align with this markdown narrative. Traders should be cautious of potential breakdowns below key support levels as they can accelerate the markdown process.
It's essential to stay vigilant during this phase. Smart traders may consider shorting opportunities, while others might tighten stop-loss orders on existing long positions. Remember, successful trading is about adaptability and reading the market's language.
Stay tuned for further insights and updates on GBPCAD as we navigate this intriguing markdown phase. 🚀📉 #TradingAnalysis #GBPCAD #MarkdownPhase #MarketInsights
nas100 analysis - 28 mar 2023okay...
- first things first we brokeout of a range on the daily that has been going on for about a week
- on the H4 the breakout candlestick closed below the support of the range and the next candlestick retested that level of structure
- pretty straight forward break and retest setup, take profit is at 12420 which is the next level we might go touch and stop loss is a few pips above the high of the retest candle
-risk reward is 1:3, so a good trade if it plays out in our favour
gold analysis - 23 mar 2023hope all you man are good here's what i see on igolide!
- on the weekly and daily we are strongly bullish as seen by the long candlesticks
- down to the H4 market broke out a level of resistance and retested that level as seen by he long wick on the current H4 candlestick
- on the M30 and M15 i am waiting for a higher low point to make entry
- my stop will be a few pips below the lowest point of the range
- take profit is at the resistance level but overall projections are for the next major level of structure at 2016
- again anything can happen, market could be bearish but we will see i will stick to what i see but stand to be corrected/wrong
gold analysis - 13 mar 2023i hope all you great traders are doing well!
here are my observations on gold...
- at the market open of this new week, a gap was formed and since open price has been around the 1887 resistance zone
- on the H4 we can see 4 candlesticks respecting that zone and showing signs of a bearish move
- a consolidation zone was formed so a break of this zone will show us the direction in which the market will move but i am strongly bearish at the moment but we will see what happens
- currently waiting for a break of a intraday support zone on the M15 and a retest for me to short gold
- my tp will be at the 1866 price level but i will monitor how market reacts to the support of the consolidation zone
- like with every other trade there is no 100% guarantee that it will play out accordingly
gbpjpy analysis - 01 mar 2023happy first of the month!! hope we all have profitable months :)
so here it goes...
- on the daily market closed below the downward trendline yesterday
- down to the H4 a bearish engulfing formed closing two previous bullish candles
- a head and shoulder pattern formed which is more clearer on the H1
- entry could have been taken at the london open where the right shoulder formed
- but now we WAIT for a breakout of the neckline and depending on how aggressive your entries are you can enter at the immediate breakout or wait for a retest of the neckline
- and just like every other trade I DO NOT KNOW WHAT WILL HAPPEN NEXT, i'll just act on my edge and SEE WHAT HAPPENS
🗡Your first line of defense against committing an error🛡If producing consistent results is your primary objective as a trader, then creating a belief (a conscious, energized concept that resists change and demands expression) that "I am a consistently successful trader" will act as a primaiy source of energy that will manage your perceptions, interpretations, expectations, and actions in ways that satisfy the belief and, consequently, the objective.
The first step in the process of creating consistency is to start noticing what you're thinking, saying, and doing. Why? Because everything we think, say, or do as a trader contributes to and, therefore, reinforces some belief in our mental system. Because the process of becoming consistent is psychological in nature, it shouldn't come as a surprise that you'll have to start paying attention to your various psychological processes. The idea is eventually to learn to become an objective observer of your own thoughts, words, and deeds. Your first line of defense against committing a trading error is to catch yourself thinking about it. Of course, the last line of defense is to catch yourself in the act. If you don't commit yourself to becoming an observer to these processes, your realizations will always come after the experience, usually when you are in a state of deep regret and frustration.
Observing yourself objectively implies doing it without judging about yourself. This might not be so easy for some of you to do considering the harsh, judgmental treatment you may have received from other people throughout your life. As a result, one quickly learns to associate any mistake with emotional pain. No one likes to be in a state of emotional pain, so we typically avoid acknowledging what we have learned to define as a mistake for as long as possible.
Is it possible that, for the great athletes, their past positive experiences with respect to mistakes caused them to acquire a belief that mistakes simply point the way to where they need to focus their efforts to grow and improve themselves? With a belief like that, there's no source of negatively charged energy and consequently no source for self-denigrating thoughts.
However, the rest of us, who did grow up experiencing a plethora of negative reactions to our actions, would naturally acquire beliefs about mistakes: "Mistakes must be avoided at all costs," "There must be something wrong with me if I make a mistake," "I must be a screw-up," or "I must be a bad person if I make a mistake." Remember that every thought, word, and deed reinforces some belief we have about ourselves. If, by repeated negative self-criticism, we acquire a belief that we're "screw-ups," that belief will find a way to express itself in our thoughts, causing us to become distracted and to screw up; on our words, causing us to say things about ourselves or about others (if we notice the same characteristics in them) that reflect our belief; and on our actions, causing us to behave in ways that are overtly self-sabotaging. If you're going to become a consistent winner, mistakes can't exist in the kind of negatively charged context in which they are held by most people. You have to be able to monitor yourself to some degree, and that will be difficult to do if you have the potential to experience emotional pain if and when you find yourself in the process of making an error. If this potential exists, you have two choices: 1. You can work on acquiring a new set of positively charged beliefs about what it means to make a mistake, along with de-activating any negatively charged beliefs that would argue otherwise or cause you to think less of yourself for making a mistake. 2. If you find this first choice undesirable, you can compensate for the potential to make errors by the way you set up your trading regime.
I define self-discipline as a mental technique to redirect (as best we can) our focus of attention to the object of our goal or desire, when that goal or desire conflicts with some other component (belief) of our mental environment. The first thing you should notice about this definition is that self-discipline is a technique to create a new mental framework. It is not a personality trait; people aren't born with self-discipline. In fact, when you consider how I define it, being born with discipline isn't even possible.
Each time I experienced a conflicting thought and was able to successfully refocus on my objective, with enough conviction to get me into my running shoes and out the door, I added energy to the belief that "I am a runner." And, just as important, I inadvertently drew energy away from all of the beliefs that would argue otherwise
Beliefs can be changed, and if it's possible to change one belief, then it's possible to change any belief, if you understand that you really aren't changing them, but are only transferring energy from one concept to another. (The form of the belief targeted for change remains intact.) Therefore, two completely contradictory beliefs can exist in your mental system, side by side. But if you've drawn the energy out of one belief and completely energized the other, no contradiction exists from a functional perspective; only the belief that the energy will have the capacity to act as a force on your state of mind, on your perception and interpretation of information, and your behavior.
✍️WEEKLY QUOTE: Can we change our beliefs about the market?✍️..Each time I experienced a conflicting thought and was able to successfully refocus on my objective, with enough conviction to get me into my running shoes and out the door, I added energy to the belief that "I am a runner." And, just as important, I inadvertently drew energy away from all of the beliefs that would argue otherwise.
..Beliefs can be changed, and if it's possible to change one belief, then it's possible to change any belief if you understand that you really aren't changing them, but are only transferring energy from one concept to another. Therefore, two completely contradictory beliefs can exist in your mental system, side by side. But if you've drawn the energy out of one belief and completely energized the other, no contradiction exists from a functional perspective; only the belief that the energy will have the capacity to act as a force on your state of mind, on your perception and interpretation of information, and your behavior.
..Remember that consistency is not the same as the ability to put on a winning trade, or even a string of winning trades for that matter, because putting on a winning trade requires absolutely no skill. All you have to do is guess correctly, which is no different than guessing the outcome of a coin toss, whereas consistency is a state of mind that, once achieved, won't allow you to "be" any other way. You won't have to try to be consistent because it will be a natural function of your identity
In fact, if you have to try, it's an indication that you haven't completely integrated the principles of consistent success as dominant, unconflicted beliefs. For example, predefining your risk is a step in the process of "being consistent." If it takes any special effort to predefine your risk, if you have to consciously remind yourself to do it if you experience any conflicting thoughts (in essence, trying to talk you out of doing it), or if you find yourself in a trade where you haven't predefined your risk, then this principle is not dominant, functioning part of your identity. It isn't "who you are." If it were, it wouldn't even occur to you not to predefine your risk. If and when all of the sources of conflict have been deactivated, there's no longer a potential for you to "be" any other way. What was once a struggle will become virtually effortless. At that point, it may seem to other people that you are so disciplined (because you can do something they find difficult, if not impossible), but the reality is that you aren't being disciplined at all; you are simply functioning from a different set of beliefs that compel you to behave in a way that is consistent with your desires, goals, or objectives
From Trading in the Zone by M. Douglas
Weekly Quote | 7 Rules of a Consistent WinnerHello trader, here's a quote from the great book "Trading in the Zone". Hope you'll find some inspiration or maybe even practical advice here.
I'm a consistent winner because:
1. I objectively identify my edges.
2. I predefine the risk of every trade.
3. I completely accept risk ($ risk, risk of not being right, not being perfect, being wrong, losing money, missing out, and leaving money on the table). If not - I am willing to let go of the trade.
4. I act on my edges without reservation or hesitation.
5. I pay myself as the market makes money available to me (take partials).
6. I continually monitor my susceptibility for making errors (emotional pain or euphoria).
7. I understand the absolute necessity of these principles of consistent success and, therefore, I never violate them.
Best Regards,
Dima
Trading Books that are MUST readThere are many books that traders should read if they want to become skilled in the craft of trading: Here are three books that I recommend if you are looking for trading books.
☀️ Market Wizards by Jack Schwager
☀️ Reminiscences of a Stock Operator
☀️ Trading in the Zone by Mark Douglas
nas100 analysis (15 june - 17 june)lets get straight into it...
1. on the daily we are bearish as seen by the lower highs and lower lows
2. the large bodies of bearish candlesticks show a huge amount of momentum
3. market brokeout of the upward trendline
4. currently market is retesting both the broken support level and trendline and shows huge rejection as seen by the long wick
5. expecting market to push down to the 11027 zone if the weekly candle closes below the 11570 support zone
6. lastly entries will be on the break of counter trendlines or formations of double tops or head and shoulders
nas100 analysis (07 june - 10 june)hope you lot are blessed and are having a great day where ever you are!
so my current take on nas100 is as follows :
1. about two weeks back we broke through the neckline of the daily double bottom and we have been in a range for the whole of last week as seen by the rectangle
2. at yesterdays new york open the market showed signs of being strongly bearish because of the large bearish candlesticks on higher timeframes and a breakout on an upward trendline
3. another confluence is that a head and shoulder pattern formed on the H4 and it's neckline has been broken so there is a high probability that market will tank down
4. entry will be at the retest of the range/head and shoulders and stop loss a few pips higher than the recently broken structure and lastly take profits at the level which was previously used as support
those were my reasons of confluence so there is a high probability of my analysis playing out but i will make sure to update my analysis if need be, God bless!!
Trade Idea on TSLANASDAQ:TSLA
watch the zone... it depends on where we open tomorrow morning.
my bias is we open at the zone.
if the market opens weak im looking short and if the market opens strong i wont trade it long. ill wait for it to hit the resistance and trade it short.(just because the overall trend is down)
my bias is bearish just because the buyers didnt made the price to break the previous high this morning despite the market was strong after the FOMC minutes.
BTCUSD - H4 - TRADING IN THE ZONE - HEAT MAP !Good morning to all of you :-)
I hope you are well ?
Today, I decided to just show you an heat map of the BTCUSD (4 hourS time frame).
The picture is pretty clear and the chart speaks for itself !
What do you think ?
Any comments are welcome :-)
Have a great Sunday and take care
All the best
Ironman8848
PS : If you like my analysis, please do not forget to like it and for those who do not follow me yet, please also add Ironman8848 in your following list. Many thanks in advance.
Trading in the ZoneJust wanted to share some info on the calls from last week and some updates.
We are now in the zone mentioned a nice catch of a short $14,000 drop on the "Crypto Beast"
Wyckoff structure has played it's hand and it was beautiful. One happy chappy!
Now we are at the zone, expecting a slow move up, some addition sideways consolidation before a couple of traps are put into motion.
Paul covers some of this in the latest stream.
Thanks @Paul_Varcoe for a great update stream earlier! www.tradingview.com
Have a great week!
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
BTC - TRADING IN THE ZONE - AT THE GLANCE - D1-H4-H1D1 : Doji top followed yesterday by a bearish engulfing pattern is confirming the ongoing
bearish tactical price action in a still strategic bull trend !
Watch H4 and H1 for further development
H4 : Yesterday's intradayprice action triggered the expected downside move towards a low of 43750
close to the expected target zone of 43000 !
Recovery attempt failed to breakout the important level of 45511, which is the middle of the long
black bearish candle and therefore, failed several times to confirm at least a piercing line which should
have neutralise the ongoing bearish price action
R 4 : 48200
R 3 : 47560
R2 : 46670
R1 : 45511 (VERY IMPORTANT !)
S 1 : 44800
S 2 : 43750
S 3 : 42814 (VERY IMPORTANT !)
H1 : Several dojis pattern rejected breakout attempts of the current downtrend line resistance
In addition, the last candle triggered a bearish engulfing pattern
As for H4, 45511 is a very important resistance level to break
A failure to do it would put the focus on the current uptrend line support
which has already been tested once early this morning and triggered a doji (bullish very short term signal) resulting
an attempt to breakout the 45511 level above mentioned, which failed !
Interesting to note that the 38.2% Fib ret @ 44050 hold which also coincides with the level of the
uptrend support line...
A failure to stay and hold above the uptrend support line would put the focus on the 50% Fib ret @ 42806, which iss
also currently the bottom of the clouds support zone.
Finally watch M15 and M15 in order to validate or invalidate the expected scenario above mentioned.
Have a good trading day.
All the best
Ironman8848
Trading plan for Dec 2020 - April 2021I have been trading for 4 years now, and have been through bull markets and bear markets.
I've learnt a lot about the markets, but I've learnt even more about myself.
Trading will give you incredible self-knowledge, because it tests your emotional relationship with uncertainty.
You have complete creative freedom in an environment where riches and ruins are both in ample supply.
This is why "Trading in the Zone" by Mark Douglas is my bible in this space. You trade against your reflection.
My trading journey looks like this:
2017 - naivety. Permabull, listening to sparkly influencers because they reflected my boundless optimism
2018 - anger, denial, bargaining. Realising that the market doesn't care about your goals or narratives
2019 - questioning. If the markets are chaos, and TA is a bit of a comfort blanket, what CAN I control or influence?
2020 - baby steps towards detachment. I approach 50% of trades with position sizing and risk management
I believe I'm halfway towards being a capable trader at this stage.
+ A good percentage of my setups and analysis bear fruit
+ I don't get emotionally involved with any assets
+ I force myself to consider the best, worst, and 'middle case' scenarios, and WRITE THEM DOWN in advance
Now, when I get rekt, rather than blaming cryptogoober4561 on Twitter, I can look back at my notes and see that I took on the risk and I'm responsible for the outcome. I can see the pattern of failures.
When I win - it's all documented, so my brain can seek out and identify similar opportunities in the markets.
What I DON'T do is just "ape in" on things... that's a lack of confidence in yourself, disguised as "trusting the randomness of the markets".
So what's the missing 50%?
+ I am very impatient, by nature. I get extremely bored by slow-moving setups. I crave dopamine hits
+ I don't believe in myself enough. I put more trust in the opinions and ideas of someone, anyone else
+ I trade for reasons other than making money. I trade because I have a massive chip on my shoulder
Can you see yourself in any of these flaws? These are very common trading mistakes and they impact many traders (if you trade crypto, it's very likely that 3rd one is your biggest disadvantage).
So what's the path forward?
"Discipline equals freedom" - Jocko Willink
Discipline is the only way to debilitate your inner opponent, get out your own way, and win long-term.
I believe that discipline and commitment is the missing ingredient.
So my plan for Dec 2020 - April 2021 is pretty simple:
+ Add funds month on month, with disposable income only. Stop trying to time the market
+ Keep an eye on trends - but stop trying to snipe tops and bottoms
+ Maintain a watchlist of a few assets and a few info sources in macro-crypto, stocks and DeFi
+ Enter into positions on good setups
+ Sell at pre-agreed levels - 30%, 100%, 200%
+ Protect capital by - keeping position sizes small, only risking 1 x position on 1x idea, and using stops
+ Using micro positions on Uniswap where risk management is a myth
Best case, I build up a portfolio that ultimately rides a bull trend.
Worst case, a fair number of my positions dwindle, but I only used funds that would have gone towards beer, clothes I didn't need, gadgets I don't use.
Middle case - and most LIKELY - I make a modest profit, lose out on some big wins and losses (due to set sell points), but ultimately become a disciplined trader OVER TIME
That's the plan.
In terms of WHAT I am trading:
+ Stocks - ETFs and sector leaders. I want to benefit from macro trends
+ Crypto - BTC, ETH and a few smaller positions in promising newcomers with strong narratives
+ DeFi - DEFIPERP asset on FTX, and micro-positions in DeFi assets with an active team + hype
In all cases, I'm looking for chart history, bottoms, or significant dips to support levels.
In terms of how I will distribute capital:
30% Stocks
30% Crypto
10% DeFi
30% Cash
I am going to run this system consistently until April 2021, and then re-assess.
In this time, we may see a crypto rise and crash, stock market boom and bust, but the system will remain the same.
The goal is to become a disciplined trader - and to finally get out of my own way and commit to a system.
Thank you for reading! :)
