The Art of War for Traders: Sun Tzu's Timeless Lessons on MarketI recently revisited "The Art of War by Sun Tzu", and I was struck by how directly its timeless wisdom applies to the world of trading.
Written over 2,500 years ago, this classic on strategy offers lessons every trader—from beginners to seasoned pros—can apply in the markets to improve discipline, timing, and decision-making.
The Art of War is often seen as a manual for military generals, but its insights go far beyond the battlefield. Sun Tzu’s advice on strategy, patience, and self-discipline is surprisingly relevant for traders.
In many ways, trading is a battle—one fought not only with the market but also with our own emotions and impulses. Here are some key takeaways from The Art of War and how they can help elevate your trading game.
1. Know Your Enemy and Know Yourself
Sun Tzu’s advice, “If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles,” is invaluable in trading. For traders, the “enemy” is the market itself, filled with unpredictable movements, different participants, and countless psychological traps.
But perhaps the most important part is knowing yourself—your strengths, weaknesses, risk tolerance, and emotional triggers.
Trading Insight: Self-awareness is crucial for consistent success. By understanding your own psychology, you can prevent impulsive decisions, recognize patterns in your behavior, and develop a trading plan that works in harmony with your strengths. The better you know yourself, the better you can handle whatever the market throws at you.
2. Strategize Rigorously, But Act Flexibly
Sun Tzu stresses the need for detailed planning but also emphasizes the importance of adapting to changing conditions. In trading, a plan is essential—it gives you structure and discipline. But markets are fluid and can shift without warning, meaning flexibility is equally important.
Trading Insight: Create a well-defined trading plan that includes entry and exit strategies, position sizing, and risk management. At the same time, be ready to adapt if the market changes direction.
Many successful traders know that the best plan is one that’s firm yet flexible, allowing for adjustments as new data comes in.
3. Timing is Key
Patience and timing are central to Sun Tzu’s teachings. He emphasizes waiting for the perfect moment to strike. In trading, this principle cannot be overstated. Good timing separates profitable trades from losses; a premature entry or exit can wipe out gains or magnify losses.
Trading Insight: Success in trading often comes from waiting for high-probability setups, rather than forcing trades when conditions aren’t ideal.
The best opportunities require patience. Rather than feeling pressured to trade constantly, seasoned traders know that waiting for the right conditions is a form of discipline that pays off over time.
4. Position Yourself Wisely
Positioning is at the core of The Art of War. Sun Tzu advises placing troops in positions of strength, not vulnerability, which translates directly to trading. Positioning wisely means knowing where to enter and exit, as well as how much risk to take on any trade.
Trading Insight: Position sizing and strategic entry/exit points are essential for managing risk. Set stop-losses to guard against heavy losses and choose setups where you have a statistical edge.
Success comes from positioning yourself to gain while limiting potential losses—whether you’re a day trader or a long-term investor.
5. Discipline and Self-Control
Sun Tzu repeatedly emphasizes the importance of discipline and self-restraint. A general who cannot control himself will struggle to control his troops, and the same goes for traders. Without discipline, a trading plan is just words on paper.
Trading Insight: In trading, self-discipline means sticking to your plan, managing your risk, and resisting impulsive decisions driven by emotions. This is a skill that separates successful traders from those who struggle.
Discipline keeps you from chasing trades, overtrading, or taking unnecessary risks. It’s the backbone of consistency.
6. Exploit Market Weaknesses and Protect Your Own
Sun Tzu teaches the value of observing and exploiting the weaknesses in the enemy while concealing your own. In trading, this might mean identifying overbought or oversold conditions, weak trends, or moments of market irrationality.
Trading Insight: Recognize when the market is at extremes and leverage these moments for high-probability setups. At the same time, protect your portfolio by diversifying and using stop-losses, ensuring that if a trade doesn’t work out, it doesn’t do significant damage.
Trade with your strengths and protect against your weaknesses.
7. Beware of Deception and False Signals
One of Sun Tzu’s core principles is the use of deception, creating the illusion of weakness or strength. Markets can often create similar illusions through false breakouts, price manipulations, and fakeouts, which can easily lead to poor decisions.
Trading Insight: Avoid falling for obvious “traps” in the market. False breakouts and fake signals are common, especially in highly volatile markets.
Experienced traders look beyond surface movements and analyze underlying trends to verify signals. Being cautious and vigilant can prevent costly mistakes.
8. Use Resources Efficiently
Sun Tzu cautions against prolonged battles that drain resources and morale. In trading, this equates to overtrading or letting emotions lead to excessive losses.
Trading Insight: Efficiently allocate your capital and avoid trading more than necessary. Protecting your capital allows you to stay in the game for the long run.
If a trade setup doesn’t meet your criteria, move on. Wasting resources on low-quality trades is like fighting unnecessary battles.
9. Calculated Risk and Risk Management
Sun Tzu emphasizes knowing when to engage and when to hold back. For traders, this is the heart of risk management. Taking calculated risks is essential for capturing profits, but knowing when to step away is just as important.
Trading Insight: Risk management is fundamental to long-term success. Use tools like stop-losses, position sizing, and risk-to-reward ratios to control losses.
Accept that not every trade will be a winner and cut your losses when needed. This protects your capital and keeps you from getting overly attached to individual trades.
10. Seize Opportunities with Confidence
Sun Tzu believes in the importance of seizing opportunities when they arise. In trading, this means acting decisively when a setup aligns with your strategy and conditions are favorable.
Trading Insight: Hesitating can lead to missed opportunities, while decisive action—grounded in a solid strategy—can yield significant profits.
When the conditions align with your analysis, trust your instincts and execute your plan. The ability to recognize and seize opportunities is what distinguishes successful traders from the rest.
The Art of War has taught me that trading, much like warfare, is a game of patience, discipline, and strategy. Sun Tzu’s principles remind us that success doesn’t come from battling the market but from managing our responses to it.
Every trade is a test of how well you can plan, adapt, and stay disciplined under pressure.
As you navigate the markets, remember Sun Tzu’s timeless advice. Approach trading as a strategist would approach battle—prepare thoroughly, act wisely, and remain adaptable.
Success in trading is not just about making profits; it’s about managing yourself, seizing opportunities, and protecting your resources for the long run.
Let me know your thoughts below
Tradingmindset
Lesson 2: The Power of Initiative in TradingWelcome to Lesson 2 of Hercules Trading’s Psychology Course—The Power of Initiative in Trading. Building on the foundational traits we explored in Lesson 1, today we delve deep into Initiative, a pivotal element that distinguishes successful traders from the rest. Whether you’re navigating the intricate waters of forex, stocks, commodities, or cryptocurrencies, understanding and harnessing the power of initiative is essential for sustained trading success.
Why is Trading Initiative So Important?
In the realm of trading, the adage “scared money doesn’t make money” encapsulates a fundamental truth about trading psychology. Your mindset, particularly your willingness to take initiative , significantly impacts your ability to capitalize on opportunities and navigate challenges. But what exactly does initiative mean in the context of trading, and why is it such a game-changer?
Initiative in trading is about more than just taking the first step; it’s about maintaining a proactive and persistent approach throughout your trading journey. It’s the driving force that propels you to act, adapt, and grow, ensuring that you remain engaged and motivated even when the markets are unpredictable or when faced with setbacks.
Understanding Initiative in Your Trading Journey
To truly grasp the importance of initiative, it’s crucial to define what it means within the trading landscape. Initiative involves several key aspects:
Taking Action: Moving from passive observation to active engagement in the markets. This means not just watching the charts but making informed trading decisions based on analysis and strategy.
Proactive Learning: Continuously seeking knowledge and improving your trading skills. This could involve studying market trends, learning new trading strategies, or staying updated with financial news.
Adaptability: Being willing to adjust your strategies in response to changing market conditions. The ability to pivot when necessary can prevent significant losses and capitalize on emerging opportunities.
Responsibility: Owning your trading decisions and their outcomes. This means acknowledging both successes and failures, learning from them, and using those lessons to inform future trades.
Initiative is not a one-time effort but a consistent mindset that keeps you moving forward, learning, and adapting. It’s about being the driver of your trading career, not just a passenger.
Why Is Courage Key in Trading?
Trading inherently involves risk, and stepping into the markets requires a blend of courage and determination. Many potential traders are deterred by the fear of losing money or making mistakes. However, those who embrace initiative understand that courage is essential for overcoming these fears and achieving success.
The Role of Courage in Trading:
Facing Uncertainty: Markets are volatile and unpredictable. Courage enables you to make decisions even when outcomes are uncertain.
Overcoming Fear: Fear of loss or failure can paralyze traders. Courage helps you confront and manage these fears, allowing you to make rational decisions rather than emotional ones.
Embracing Learning Opportunities: Courage encourages you to view losses and setbacks as opportunities to learn and improve, rather than as insurmountable failures.
By fostering courage through initiative, you set yourself apart from traders who are hesitant or reactive. This proactive stance is crucial for navigating the complexities of the financial markets and building a resilient trading career.
How to Conquer Fear in Trading
Fear is a natural emotion in trading, but it shouldn’t dictate your actions. Here’s how to overcome it:
Educate Yourself: Knowledge is a powerful antidote to fear. The more you understand the markets, the more confident you’ll become. Invest time in learning about different trading strategies, market indicators, and risk management techniques.
Start Small: Begin with manageable investments to build your confidence without significant risk. This gradual approach allows you to gain experience and trust in your strategies.
Develop a Trading Plan: A well-thought-out plan provides a roadmap, reducing uncertainty and fear. Your plan should outline your trading goals, risk tolerance, strategies, and criteria for entering and exiting trades.
Embrace Losses as Learning Opportunities: Every loss is a step towards mastery. Analyze your mistakes, understand what went wrong, and adjust your strategies accordingly. This mindset transforms setbacks into valuable lessons.
Practice Mindfulness and Emotional Control: Techniques such as meditation or journaling can help you stay grounded and manage emotions effectively. Maintaining emotional balance is crucial for making rational trading decisions.
Seek Support: Engage with a community of traders or seek mentorship from experienced professionals. Sharing experiences and gaining insights can provide encouragement and reduce feelings of isolation.
Why is the Entrepreneurial Spirit Important?
Embracing an entrepreneurial spirit means being driven, innovative, and resilient—traits that are invaluable in trading. This mindset pushes you to:
Pursue Goals Relentlessly: Set clear objectives and work diligently to achieve them. An entrepreneurial spirit keeps you focused and motivated, even when faced with challenges.
Adapt and Innovate: Stay flexible and open to new strategies and market conditions. The ability to adapt is crucial for navigating the ever-changing landscape of financial markets.
Overcome Setbacks: Bounce back from losses and view challenges as opportunities for growth. Resilience is key to maintaining long-term success in trading.
Create Opportunities: Actively seek and capitalize on profitable trades. This proactive approach ensures that you are always looking for ways to enhance your trading performance.
How to Transition from Demo to Real Trading
Moving from demo trading to real money trading can be daunting, but it’s a crucial step in your trading journey. Here’s how to make the transition smoothly:
Maintain Your Trading Plan: Stick to the strategies that worked in your demo account. Consistency is key to replicating success in live trading.
Manage Risk Wisely: Use appropriate risk management techniques to protect your capital. This includes setting stop-loss orders, limiting the size of your trades, and diversifying your portfolio.
Control Emotions: Stay disciplined and avoid letting emotions drive your trading decisions. Fear and greed are powerful emotions that can lead to impulsive actions.
Start Small: Begin with small investments to build confidence and experience without risking significant amounts of money. Gradually increase your investments as you become more comfortable and proficient.
Review and Reflect: Regularly review your trades to understand what worked and what didn’t. Continuous reflection helps you refine your strategies and improve your performance.
Stay Patient: Don’t rush into making large trades or expecting immediate returns. Trading success takes time, patience, and persistent effort.
Why is Trading Mindset So Important?
Your trading mindset determines how you perceive and react to market conditions. A strong mindset helps you:
Stay Focused: Concentrate on your trading plan without getting distracted by market noise or external influences.
Remain Disciplined: Adhere to your strategies even during volatile periods. Discipline ensures that you follow your plan consistently, leading to better trading outcomes.
Maintain Patience: Wait for the right opportunities without rushing into trades. Patience prevents impulsive decisions and helps you capitalize on well-thought-out trades.
A robust trading mindset not only enhances your decision-making abilities but also ensures that you remain resilient in the face of market fluctuations and emotional challenges.
How Can Taking Initiative Boost Your Career?
Taking initiative in trading can significantly enhance your career by:
Driving Personal Growth: Continuously improving your skills and knowledge keeps you ahead of the curve. Initiative drives you to seek out new learning opportunities and stay updated with market trends.
Creating Opportunities: Actively seeking and capitalizing on profitable trades ensures that you are always making the most of market conditions. Initiative leads to proactive decision-making, which is crucial for trading success.
Building a Reputation: Establishing yourself as a proactive and reliable trader within the community builds your reputation. A strong reputation attracts more opportunities and can lead to collaborations or mentorships with other successful traders.
Enhancing Resilience: Initiative fosters a resilient mindset, enabling you to bounce back from setbacks and stay committed to your trading goals despite challenges.
Are You Ready to Embrace Your Potential?
Believing in your potential is the first step towards achieving greatness in trading. Don’t let fear or hesitation hold you back. Embrace the opportunities that come your way, stay committed to your goals, and take decisive actions to realize your trading ambitions.
How to Tackle Motivation Issues in Trading
Motivation is crucial for maintaining momentum in trading. Here’s how to stay motivated:
Set Clear Goals: Define what you want to achieve and create a roadmap to get there. Clear goals provide direction and keep you focused.
Celebrate Small Wins: Acknowledge and celebrate your progress to stay motivated. Recognizing small achievements can boost your confidence and encourage continued effort.
Stay Connected: Engage with the trading community to share experiences and gain support. Building relationships with other traders provides encouragement and valuable insights.
Continuous Learning: Keep expanding your knowledge to stay engaged and inspired. Learning new strategies and techniques keeps your trading practice fresh and exciting.
Visualize Success: Regularly visualize your trading goals and the steps you need to take to achieve them. Visualization reinforces your commitment and motivates you to take action.
Manage Stress: Implement stress management techniques such as meditation, exercise, or hobbies to maintain a balanced and motivated mindset.
Conclusion: Embrace Initiative to Transform Your Trading Journey
Initiative is more than just taking action—it’s about fostering a proactive and resilient mindset that drives you towards trading success. By embracing initiative, you empower yourself to navigate the complexities of the financial markets with confidence and determination.
In Lesson 2, we’ve explored the significance of initiative, how to overcome fear, and the importance of an entrepreneurial spirit in trading. These elements are essential for building a strong foundation and achieving consistent profitability across all financial markets.
Next Lesson: Discipline – The Pillar of Consistent Profitability
Stay tuned for Lesson 3, where we’ll delve into Discipline, another crucial trait that underpins consistent success in trading. Learn how to develop and maintain discipline to ensure your trading strategies are executed flawlessly, regardless of market conditions.
Hercules Trading Psychology Course is designed to equip you with the mental tools necessary to thrive in all financial markets. By mastering traits like Initiative, Discipline, and Patience, you’ll build a resilient mindset that can withstand the challenges of trading and lead you to sustained profitability.
Here’s to your growth and success as a trader across all financial markets!
Unlock the 10 Core Lessons Every Trader Needs for SuccessYou know that feeling when you stare at the charts, convinced you’re about to strike gold, only for the trade to go so wrong, you wonder if the market gods have a personal vendetta against you? Yeah, we’ve all been there.
But here’s the thing—it's not the market that's out to get you. It’s you.
Let’s cut to the chase: trading success isn’t just about mastering candlestick patterns or finding the perfect strategy. It’s about mastering yourself. So, I’m laying out the 10 core lessons that can stop you from sabotaging your trades—and maybe even save you from throwing your laptop out the window.
1. Emotional Self-Control (AKA Don’t Be Your Own Worst Enemy)
Ever taken a trade out of sheer frustration or FOMO? Spoiler alert: that’s your emotions talking, and they rarely have your back. Mastering emotional self-control is like giving yourself a built-in cheat code. Stay calm, stay cool, and you’ll stay profitable.
Quick task: Next time you feel emotions kicking in, take a 5-minute break before making any trade decisions. Walk away, breathe, then come back with a clear head.
2. Every Trade is a Lesson (Yes, Even the Ugly Ones)
Think that losing trade was a total waste of time? Wrong. Every trade, good or bad, is packed with insights. The market is your professor—start taking notes. You’ll find out where you’re tripping up, and trust me, you’ll trip less.
Quick task: Start a trade journal. Write down not just the outcome of each trade, but your emotions and reasoning at the time. Review it weekly to spot patterns.
3. Mindset is Everything (Cue the Zen Music)
You’ve probably heard it before, but it's worth repeating: mindset is everything. If you’re not thinking straight, your trades won’t be either. A positive mindset keeps you focused, even when the market is doing its best to mess with you.
Quick task: Before your next trading session, spend 5 minutes visualizing success. Remind yourself why you’re trading and what you’re working toward. This will keep your mindset sharp.
4. Have a Plan (Because Winging It Doesn’t Work Here)
If you’re going into trades without a solid game plan, you’re basically showing up to a knife fight with a spoon. Every trade should have a strategy, clear entry/exit points, and a reason behind it. Stop winging it—you’re better than that.
Quick task: Create a simple pre-trade checklist. Include things like entry/exit strategy, risk level, and reasons for entering the trade. Stick to it religiously.
5. Adapt or Get Left Behind (The Market Isn’t Waiting for You)
The market changes faster than your favorite Netflix series gets canceled. What worked yesterday may not work tomorrow. Be flexible, keep learning, and adapt. Otherwise, you’re going to be the guy stuck using strategies from 2010 in 2024.
Quick task: Spend 10 minutes a day researching a new trading strategy or tool. Even if you don’t use it right away, expanding your knowledge keeps you adaptable.
6. Patience Pays (And Impatience Costs You Big Time)
There’s no bigger account killer than impatience. Jumping in too early, exiting too late, chasing trades—it’s a recipe for disaster. Sometimes, the best move is to wait. Trust me, patience in trading is like waiting for that perfect slice of pizza—totally worth it.
Quick task: Set up alerts for your key setups instead of staring at the screen, waiting for something to happen. This forces you to only trade when your setup is there, not when you’re bored.
7. Risk Management is Non-Negotiable (No, Seriously)
If you don’t manage your risk, you’re playing with fire—and we all know how that ends. Set stop-losses, size your positions properly, and don’t gamble your entire account on a “gut feeling.” It’s not about how much you win, it’s about how little you lose.
Quick task: Review your last 10 trades and check how well you stuck to your risk management rules. If you didn't, figure out why and correct it for the next trade.
8. Never Stop Learning (The Market Has Zero Chill)
The market is constantly evolving, and if you think you’ve got it all figured out, the market is ready to humble you real quick. Stay curious, keep learning, and don’t let complacency be the reason you get left in the dust.
Quick task: Dedicate 30 minutes a week to learning something new—whether it’s a new strategy, a new tool, or just reading up on market trends. Never stop sharpening the saw.
9. Balance Emotions with Logic (It’s Like a Jedi Mind Trick)
This is where it gets tricky. You can’t trade on pure logic, but trading on pure emotion is just as dangerous. You need to find the sweet spot—where you can recognize your emotions, but let logic steer the ship. It’s like becoming a Jedi of your own trading.
Quick task: Before you enter your next trade, ask yourself one question: “Is this based on emotion or strategy?” If it’s emotion, step back until you’re thinking clearly.
10. Focus on the Process, Not Just the Profits (Money is a Byproduct)
Everyone wants to make money, but here’s the secret: focus on nailing your process. The profits will come as a result. If you’re constantly thinking about the money, you’re missing the point. Perfect your process, and let the money follow.
Quick task: Pick one area of your trading process to improve—whether it’s your analysis, your entry strategy, or your risk management—and focus solely on that for the next week. Master the process, the profits will follow.
Master these 10 lessons, and you’ll find yourself trading with more confidence, discipline, and success. Trading is as much a mental game as it is a technical one, and by focusing on these principles, you’re setting yourself up for long-term wins.
Now, which of these lessons do you need to focus on in your own trading journey? Let me know below :)
Think in Probabilities Embracing Uncertainty Your Key To SuccessPicture this: You’re at your trading desk, eyes on the charts, heart pounding as the market swings unpredictably. Do you feel that fear creeping in?
Now, imagine knowing that this unpredictability doesn’t have to scare you. Instead, it can be the key to your success. Let's dive into why thinking in probabilities and staying calm in the face of uncertainty can turn trading from a gamble into a calculated path to consistent success.
Many traders struggle with uncertainty because they lack a solid, tested system. Trading randomly or without a proven strategy leads to anxiety and inconsistency. But once you have a reliable system that suits your lifestyle and mindset, and you fully understand your edge, you realize that while the outcome of each trade is random, the probabilities of your trading system will work out for you over time.
The Role of Probabilities in Trading
Trading isn’t about predicting the next big market move; it’s about understanding the odds and working them to your advantage. Each trade is a small part of a larger statistical framework, where the focus shifts from individual outcomes to the bigger picture.
Why Is Learning To Think In Probabilities So Important For Trading Success?
Reduces Emotional Bias : By thinking in probabilities, you understand that each trade is just one in a series of many. This helps reduce emotional reactions to individual losses or gains, such as revenge trading, doubling up on position sizing, or even smashing your new iPhone against the wall (been there, LOL).
For example, if you know that your strategy wins 60% of the time, you won't be devastated by a single loss. You'll see it as part of the statistical outcome.
Encourages Rational Decision-Making: Knowing your strategy has an actual edge helps you stick to your plan, even during losing streaks, and avoid impulsive decisions. To know your edge, you need to do plenty of backtesting and forward testing so you can gain confidence in the system.
For instance, if you experience a string of losses, understanding that this is normal and statistically probable helps you remain disciplined and not deviate from your strategy.
Builds Confidence in Your System : Confidence comes from knowing your strategy is backtested and has a proven edge over a large number of trades.
This knowledge helps you stay disciplined and focused on executing your plan. For example, if your backtesting shows a positive expectancy over 1,000 trades, you can trust your system even when short-term results are unfavorable.
Things That Have Helped Me Over the Years to Deal With the Uncertainty of Trading
Finding or Developing a System/Strategy That Suits You : As humans, we are all different, and this is especially true in trading. Some people are happy to be in and out of the market fast (scalpers) and have the ability to make big decisions quickly under pressure.
Others are slower thinkers and like to make decisions carefully, staying in the market for a longer period of time (swing traders).
You need to find what you're best at and stick to it. If you have a busy life with work and family, maybe swing trading suits you. If you’re younger and not as busy, then perhaps scalping is your style.
Playing Strategy Games and Games of Chance : This may not be something you've heard before, but I've met many traders, including myself, who have found that games like poker can really help your trading by teaching you to think in probabilities.
Another game I love to play is chess, as it encourages you to think ahead, and I’ve found it has helped me in my trading over the years.
Practicing Visualization : If you've ever read anything on the subconscious mind, you know it’s responsible for 95% of all your automatic behaviors, especially in trading. The subconscious doesn’t distinguish between what is real and what is imagined.
This is why visualization is such a powerful tool to help you embrace market uncertainty. By visualizing yourself placing trades confidently, managing risks well, and handling outcomes calmly, you prepare your mind for real trading scenarios.
This mental practice reinforces your belief in your system and prepares you for the market's ups and downs.
Books That Helped Me Think in Probabilities
Reading has been an invaluable part of my journey to understanding probabilities. Here are some books that have profoundly impacted my trading mindset:
"Thinking, Fast and Slow" by Daniel Kahneman
This book helped me understand how cognitive biases affect decision-making and how to overcome them by thinking more strategically.
"Fooled by Randomness" by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Taleb's insights into the role of chance and randomness in our lives and the markets were eye-opening and changed how I view risk and probability.
"Beat the Dealer" by Edward O. Thorp
Although this book is about blackjack, Thorp’s exploration of probability and statistics offers valuable lessons for trading.
"The Theory of Poker" by David Sklansky
Sklansky breaks down the mathematics of poker, showing how to make decisions based on probability, a skill directly applicable to trading.
"The Intelligent Investor" by Benjamin Graham
This classic on value investing emphasizes the importance of long-term thinking and understanding market probabilities.
"A Man for All Markets" by Edward O. Thorp
This autobiography offers a fascinating look at how Thorp applied probability theory to beat the casino and the stock market.
"Sapiens: A Brief History of Humankind" by Yuval Noah Harari
Harari’s book provides context on human behavior and decision-making, offering insights into the psychological elements of trading.
"The Signal and the Noise" by Nate Silver
Silver’s exploration of how we can better understand predictions and probabilities is highly relevant to making informed trading decisions.
"Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction" by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan M. Gardner
This book teaches how to improve forecasting skills through careful analysis and thinking in probabilities.
Thinking in probabilities was a game-changer for me. It shifted my focus from trying to predict every market move to playing the long game. By embracing this mindset, I turned fear into confidence and uncertainty into strategy.
Remember, trading isn’t about guessing the market. It’s about responding with a clear, composed mind. Trust your strategy, know your edge, and let the probabilities work in your favor. This approach transformed my trading journey, and it can do the same for you. Happy trading!
Mindset and Beliefs: The Foundation of Successful TradingAfter 16 years of trading, I have come to realize that mindset and beliefs are critical to achieving consistent success in the markets.
Through personal experience and countless hours of market analysis, I've discovered that the psychological aspect of trading often makes the difference between consistent gains and recurring losses.
Today we will explore how your mindset and beliefs shape your trading performance and provide practical exercises that I've personally used to develop a winning trading mentality.
Understanding Mindset and Beliefs - The Role of Mindset in Trading
Your mindset encompasses your attitudes, beliefs, and emotional responses towards trading. It influences every decision you make, from the trades you choose to enter to how you react to losses and gains.
A positive, growth-oriented mindset helps traders navigate the volatile nature of the markets, while a fixed, fear-driven mindset can lead to poor decision-making and emotional trading.
Reflecting Beliefs in Trading Results
One of the most profound realizations I've had is that the market will reflect your limiting beliefs back to you in the results you achieve. If you have negative beliefs about money, success, or your self-worth, these beliefs will manifest in your trading outcomes.
For instance, if you subconsciously believe you are not deserving of success or wealth, you may find yourself making decisions that lead to losses, reinforcing those beliefs.
Key Beliefs for Successful Trading
To become a consistently profitable trader, it's crucial to cultivate empowering beliefs. Here are the key beliefs that have transformed my trading journey:
The Market is Neutral: - The market does not act against you personally. It moves based on the collective actions of all participants. Believing the market is neutral helps you stay objective and not take losses personally.
Accepting Uncertainty: - Embrace the uncertainty of trading. Each trade's outcome is unknown and should be viewed as part of a probability game. Accepting this uncertainty reduces emotional reactions to market movements.
Deserving of Success and Wealth: - Develop the belief that you are deserving of success and allowed to make money. This positive self-concept can shift your actions and decisions, aligning them with wealth creation.
Focus on Process Over Outcome: - Successful traders focus on following their trading process rather than fixating on individual trade outcomes. This helps in maintaining consistency and emotional stability.
Practical Exercises to Develop a Positive Trading Mindset
These techniques are not just theoretical. They are exercises I have practiced over the years, transforming me from a consistently losing trader to a consistently profitable one.
Self-Awareness Journaling - Objective: Identify and challenge limiting beliefs.
Exercise:
Step 1: At the end of each trading day, write down any negative thoughts or beliefs you had during trading. For example, "I always lose money on Fridays" or "The market is out to get me."
Step 2: Challenge these beliefs by questioning their validity. Ask yourself, "Is this belief based on facts or emotions?"
Step 3: Replace negative beliefs with positive affirmations. For example, "I am continuously improving my trading skills" or "The market offers opportunities every day."
Frequency: Daily - This exercise helped me recognize and reframe the negative thoughts that were sabotaging my trading efforts.
Visualization Techniques - Objective: Build confidence and a positive mental image of trading success.
Exercise:
Step 1: Sit in a quiet place and close your eyes.
Step 2: Visualize yourself successfully executing trades. Imagine each step, from analyzing the charts to placing the trade and seeing it reach your target.
Step 3: Feel the emotions associated with successful trading, such as confidence and calmness.
Frequency: Daily for 5-10 minutes - Regular visualization has ingrained a sense of confidence and calm, enabling me to approach each trading day with a clear and focused mind.
Cognitive Reframing - Objective: Change negative trading experiences into learning opportunities.
Exercise:
Step 1: Reflect on a recent trading loss.
Step 2: Write down the negative emotions and thoughts associated with the loss.
Step 3: Reframe the experience by identifying what you learned from it. For instance, "I learned the importance of setting stop-loss orders."
Frequency: After every significant trading loss - By reframing losses as learning opportunities, I've been able to grow and improve my trading strategies continuously.
Meditation and Mindfulness - Objective: Enhance focus and emotional regulation.
Exercise:
Step 1: Find a comfortable sitting position.
Step 2: Close your eyes and focus on your breathing.
Step 3: If your mind wanders, gently bring your focus back to your breath.
Frequency: Daily for 10-15 minutes - Meditation has been a game-changer for maintaining emotional control and staying calm during volatile market conditions.
My Transformation in Trading Mindset
Early in my trading career, I struggled with a fixed mindset, believing I wasn't cut out for trading due to a few early losses. I often felt the market was against me and reacted emotionally to trades, resulting in a cycle of poor decisions and further losses.
My beliefs about money, success, and self-worth were reflected in my trading results. The market seemed to mirror my negative beliefs back to me, causing me to lose money consistently.
By incorporating the exercises above, I gradually shifted my mindset:
Self-Awareness Journaling helped me identify and challenge my belief that I would never be a successful trader. I replaced negative thoughts with affirmations of continuous improvement and opportunity.
Visualization Techniques built my confidence by allowing me to mentally practice successful trades, which in turn manifested in real trading scenarios.
Cognitive Reframing turned my losses into valuable learning experiences, reducing my emotional reactions and helping me grow as a trader.
Meditation and Mindfulness enhanced my focus and emotional control, helping me stay calm during volatile market conditions.
Over time, I developed a more positive, growth-oriented mindset. I started to see losses as part of the learning process and focused on following my trading plan diligently.
This transformation in mindset led to more consistent trading performance and increased profitability. The market began to reflect my new, positive beliefs back to me in the form of consistent trading gains.
Conclusion
Your mindset and beliefs form the foundation of your trading success. By developing a positive, growth-oriented mindset and challenging limiting beliefs, you can enhance your trading performance.
The practical exercises outlined above provide a roadmap for transforming your mindset and achieving greater consistency and success in trading.
Remember, the journey to mastering trading psychology is continuous. Stay committed to these practices, and you'll gradually build the mental resilience and confidence needed to thrive in the markets.
These techniques have been instrumental in my journey from a consistently losing trader to a consistently profitable one. I believe they can do the same for you.
Strategy to sell XAU when price increasesThe focus now turns to nonfarm payrolls released on Friday (US time), which will be important in assessing whether the US labor market remains resilient amid multi-year high interest rates. decade or not.
Gold prices are down 5% from a record high of $2,449.89 an ounce reached on May 20, a rally driven by safe-haven demand fueled by geopolitical and economic uncertainty. economy as well as the ongoing purchasing activities of central banks, an important demand group.
“Physical demand remains weak in major markets such as India and Türkiye but there are signs of recovery there as consumers want to protect themselves against other factors such as Local inflation remains high."
HOPE TRADING: This is how you lose big money in tradingHope Trading: How Traders Lose Money in Trading
This image shows how traders lose their money in trading due to hope. Hope is good but also you should believe in your analysis if your SL hits then accept that you are wrong now and should not hope in the wrong direction.
In the world of trading, hope can be both a friend and a foe. While optimism is essential, relying solely on hope can lead to significant losses. Let's explore why:
1. The Power of Hope:
- Hope keeps traders motivated and optimistic.
- It encourages persistence during challenging times.
- However, hope alone is not a winning strategy.
2. The Danger of Blind Hope:
- Traders often cling to hope even when their analysis suggests otherwise.
- Ignoring stop-loss (SL) levels due to hope can be disastrous.
- Hope can blind us to market realities.
3. Balancing Hope and Analysis:
- Believe in your analysis, but remain open to adjusting your strategy.
- If your SL is hit, accept that you were wrong and cut your losses.
- Avoid hoping for a miraculous turnaround.
4. Risk Management:
- Set clear risk limits and stick to them.
- Use SL orders to protect your capital.
- Hope should never override risk management rules.
Remember, hope is valuable, but it must be grounded in sound analysis and risk management.
Thanks
Happy Trading
Mind Over Markets: Trader Fears and Psychological ReadinessTrading in financial markets is not merely a game of numbers and charts; it's a psychological battlefield where fears , doubts , and emotions can either propel you to success or drag you into failure. In this comprehensive article, we delve deep into the primary fears of traders, explore strategies to conquer them, and provide an in-depth analysis of methods to assess psychological readiness for navigating the unpredictable world of trading.
Unveiling the Primary Fears of Traders
Fear of Losing Money: The fear of financial loss is perhaps the most primal fear among traders. It's natural to feel apprehensive about risking hard-earned capital in the volatile world of trading. However, letting this fear dictate your decisions can hinder your ability to capitalize on profitable opportunities. Overcoming this fear requires a combination of education, risk management strategies, and a disciplined mindset.
Fear of Missed Opportunities: FOMO, or the fear of missing out, is another common fear that plagues traders. The fear of watching others profit while you stand on the sidelines can lead to impulsive and irrational decision-making. Successful traders emphasize the importance of patience, strategic planning, and sticking to a well-defined trading strategy to avoid falling prey to FOMO.
Fear of Making Mistakes: In a high-stakes environment like the financial markets, the fear of making mistakes can paralyze even the most seasoned traders. Whether it's misinterpreting market signals or executing trades at the wrong time, the fear of failure can lead to indecision and missed opportunities. Overcoming this fear requires a shift in mindset—viewing mistakes as valuable learning experiences rather than setbacks.
Fear of Criticism: Trading can be a solitary pursuit, but the fear of being judged by peers, mentors, or investors can still weigh heavily on traders' minds. The fear of criticism can erode confidence and stifle creativity, making it difficult to take calculated risks. Overcoming this fear involves developing a resilient mindset and focusing on personal growth rather than external validation.
Strategies to Overcome Trader Fears
Education and Continuous Learning: The more you understand the intricacies of the financial markets, the less intimidating they become. Warren Buffett's famous advice to invest in what you understand rings true here. By arming yourself with knowledge and staying updated on market trends, you can make more informed decisions and mitigate the fear of the unknown.
Risk Management Strategies: Implementing robust risk management strategies is crucial for alleviating the fear of losing money. Setting stop-loss orders, diversifying your portfolio, and adhering to strict position sizing rules can help limit losses and protect your capital during volatile market conditions.
Mindfulness and Emotional Regulation: Practicing mindfulness techniques and cultivating emotional resilience can help you navigate the ups and downs of trading with greater ease. Techniques such as meditation, deep breathing exercises, and visualization can help calm your mind and prevent emotions from clouding your judgment during stressful trading situations.
Community Support and Mentorship: Surrounding yourself with a supportive community of fellow traders and mentors can provide invaluable emotional support and guidance. Sharing experiences, seeking advice, and learning from the successes and failures of others can help alleviate the fear of trading alone and foster a sense of camaraderie.
Assessing Psychological Readiness for Trading
Before embarking on your trading journey, it's essential to assess your psychological readiness to handle the demands of trading. Here are some methods for evaluating your readiness:
Interviews and Surveys: Seek guidance from experienced traders or financial psychologists through personal interviews or consultations. Completing questionnaires about your attitude towards money, risk, and decision-making can provide valuable insights into your psychological profile.
Risk-Aversion Testing: Take psychometric tests designed to measure your propensity for risk and assess your reactions to potential losses and gains. These tests can help you understand how comfortable you are with making financial decisions under uncertainty.
Demo Accounts: Practice trading on demo accounts to gauge your ability to manage emotions and make rational decisions without real financial risk. Monitor your performance and assess whether you're able to adhere to your trading strategy and risk management rules.
Trader's Diary: Maintain a diary where you record your emotions and reactions to various trading scenarios. Analyze your psychological state over time and identify recurring patterns or biases that may impact your trading performance.
Stress Tests: Participate in simulated stress tests that replicate extreme market conditions to assess your ability to make sound decisions under pressure. These tests can help you identify areas of weakness and develop strategies for coping with high-stress situations.
The Reliability of Test Results
While these methods provide valuable insights into your psychological readiness for trading, it's essential to recognize their limitations. Human psychology is complex and dynamic, and no test can fully capture the nuances of real-world trading. Moreover, over-reliance on test results can breed overconfidence and lead to complacency.
Ultimately, success in trading requires a combination of technical skill, psychological resilience, and real-world experience. While tests and assessments can provide a useful framework for self-reflection and improvement, they should be viewed as just one piece of the puzzle. Continuous learning, self-awareness, and a commitment to personal growth are essential ingredients for mastering the mental game of trading and achieving long-term success in financial markets.
Changing Tactics vs. Staying the Course 🔄🚀
In the dynamic world of forex trading, the strategy dilemma often prompts traders to ponder whether to adapt and change tactics or remain steadfast with their initial approach. Let's explore the implications of altering strategies compared to the outcomes of sticking to one method in the pursuit of trading success. 📈💡
The Strategy Shift: First Trader Changes Strategy
One approach to the strategy dilemma is adopting a more flexible mindset, allowing for strategy shifts based on market conditions or performance feedback. Consider these insights:
1. Adapting to Market Changes 🌐
2. Responding to Performance Feedback 📊
After consecutive losses, a trader adjusts their strategy, incorporating tighter risk management techniques or altering entry and exit points.
3. Exploration and Learning Mindset 📚
Embracing the strategy dilemma as an opportunity to explore new methodologies and continuously improve trading skills.
The Steady Approach: Second Trader Stays the Course
Conversely, some traders opt to stick to their chosen strategy, believing in its long-term profitability and weathering challenges without altering their approach:
1. Consistency and Discipline 🎯
Despite short-term fluctuations or occasional losses, a trader remains committed to their strategy, believing in its efficacy over time.
2. Confidence in Strategy 🛡
A trader trusts their thorough research and extensive backtesting, maintaining confidence in their chosen approach despite short-term setbacks.
3. Patience and Long-Term Vision 🕰
Comparing Outcomes:
Each approach to the strategy dilemma carries its own set of advantages and challenges. While adapting strategies might offer flexibility and responsiveness to market changes, sticking to a consistent strategy can build discipline and confidence.
Navigating the Strategy Dilemma:
Finding the right balance between adapting and staying consistent can be pivotal for success in forex trading. Consider these steps:
1. Evaluate Performance Regularly 📈
2. Continuous Education and Improvement 📚
3. Balance Flexibility and Consistency 🔄
4. Adopt a Long-Term Perspective 🚀
The strategy dilemma in forex trading presents traders with a crucial decision: to adapt and change strategies or to stay the course. Both approaches have merits, and the key lies in finding a balance that aligns with individual trading styles and goals. Whether it's flexibility or consistency, the aim is to achieve sustained success in the dynamic world of forex trading. 🌟💹
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Inside the Trader's Mind: Unraveling the Psychology of Trading🧠
Trading in the financial markets isn't just about numbers and charts; it's equally about understanding the intricate landscape of the trader's mind. The psychology of trading plays a pivotal role in a trader's success or downfall. In this in-depth exploration, we'll delve into the fascinating world of trader psychology, shedding light on the emotions, biases, and mental strategies that impact decision-making. Through real-life examples, you'll gain insights into the complex psychology behind trading.
Understanding Trader Psychology
Trader psychology encompasses a wide array of emotions and behaviors that influence trading decisions. Here are a few key aspects:
1. Fear and Greed:
- Fear: Fear can lead to hesitation and missed opportunities. For example, a trader might fear entering a trade because of previous losses, even when conditions favor success.
- Greed: Greed can lead to overtrading or holding positions for too long, hoping for larger profits. This can result in significant losses.
2. Loss Aversion:
- Traders often experience a heightened sensitivity to losses compared to gains. This can lead to premature closing of winning positions and letting losing trades run, both of which can harm profitability.
3. Confirmation Bias:
- Confirmation bias causes traders to seek and give more weight to information that confirms their existing beliefs or positions, even if it's not objectively accurate.
Examples of Trader Psychology in Action
Example 1: Fear of Missing Out (FOMO)
Example 2: Revenge Trading
After a series of losses, a trader becomes emotionally charged and seeks revenge on the market. They take aggressive positions without proper analysis, leading to further losses and emotional turmoil.
Understanding the psychology of trading is as essential as mastering technical analysis or risk management. Emotions like fear and greed can cloud judgment and lead to impulsive decisions. By recognizing and managing these psychological factors, traders can enhance their decision-making process and increase their chances of success. Remember, the journey to becoming a successful trader involves not only studying the markets but also understanding the complex workings of your own mind. 🧠💹🚀
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The Power of the 3 Seconds Rule in TradingIn the fast-paced world of financial trading, time is often the difference between success and failure.
One effective strategy that I’ve found incredibly beneficial is the 3 Seconds Rule.
This rule, adaptable to virtually any life scenario and business.
It’s simple…
Before you make a crucial decision, you count to three.
1, 2, 3
This will help you streamline the process to execute.
It’ll also stop you from hesitating, over analyses or overthinking.
Let’s delve into how this can be applied.
Trade Lines Up: Preparation is Key
The first stage in this strategy involves setting up your trade.
This includes preparing your charts, drawing the lines, placing indicators, and identifying potential entry points.
This will help you to map out your trade plan in advance/
Also you’ll be able to respond quickly.
The 3 Seconds Rule here encourages swift action.
Once your analysis is complete and everything lines up, count to three, and finalize your setup.
This helps to avoid second-guessing your analysis, which can lead to paralysis by analysis.
Place Your Trading Levels: Define Your Parameters
Next open your trading platform and count to three. 1, 2, 3.
Then put in your trading levels.
These levels include the entry point, stop loss, take profit point, volume of trade, and whether it’s a long or short position.
This ensures that your predefined strategy is implemented promptly.
This is critical in a market environment where prices can change rapidly.
Just Take the Trade: Execution is Crucial
The final stage involves actually executing the trade.
You’ve done your analysis, prepared your charts, identified your levels, and now it’s time to make the trade.
Again, you apply the 3 Seconds Rule.
1, 2, 3
And then click the button to execute.
Like I said before, this will eliminate the fear or hesitation that can often occur at the moment of execution.
By forcing yourself to take action within three seconds, you are not allowing time for doubt or fear to prevent you from following your carefully crafted trading plan.
The Benefits of the 3 Seconds Rule
In the world of financial trading, the 3 Seconds Rule offers numerous benefits:
Eliminates hesitation:
When you commit to taking action within three seconds, you will avoid becoming trapped in a cycle of overthinking that can lead to missed opportunities.
Encourages decisive action:
The 3 Seconds Rule compels you to make a decision quickly.
Reduces stress:
By making a plan and sticking to it within a set timeframe, you can minimize the anxiety and stress of waiting too long.
So you got the power of the 3 Seconds Rule?
1, 2, 3, – GO!
The Power of Trading Tunnel VisionAs humans. It’s tough.
In this day and age, it feels impossible to just focus on one task at a time.
You’re already shifting your attention. As you read this!
You’re thinking about:
What to eat, what you’re missing on Facebook, how boring this article is going to be, what’s on TV tonight, bills you have to pay, how else can you make bread for your financial future.
Right?
You can’t help it. It’s a disease. It’s affecting most people.
It affected me for most of my life.
And I think it’s one of these reasons why people are:
NOT happy, NOT succeeding with their goals and NOT building their lives the way they want to.
It needs to stop TODAY!
Just do me one favour…
Try and focus on one goal at a time.
Get through this article first, move onto the next thing.
Think of a racehorse.
For them to be focused, avoid danger, remain undistracted and see the goal…
They need to wear blinkers.
So let’s put on our blinkers and let’s see why tunnel vision is the very skill you need to succeed.
Not just with trading. But with every endeavour you embark to achieve and succeed.
#1: Sharper Focus
Tunnel vision allows you to concentrate and direct your attention to one thing at a time.
Your analysis.
Your setups.
Your execution.
Your modifications.
Your reporting and reviewing.
#2: Less distractions
When you cut out your distractions, you will make more better decisions as a trader.
It’s a skill.
Put your phone away.
Close your social media windows right now.
Clear your desk and cupboards.
Take the dog or cat out.
Switch off the TV.
Focus on your trading each day or when you do trade.
#3: Better Risk Management
When you are just about to take the trade.
Make sure you double check your maths, volume trading size – according to what your portfolio is currently valued at.
You don’t understand how many people make mistakes with: Wrong sizes, miscalculated levels and incorrect risk and reward.
Protect and safeguard your trades with careful risk management consideration.
#4: Speed up results and optimise your tasks:
When you focus on one task at a time, this might be surprising but.
You will finish sooner than you thought.
When you put in your full – time, capital, and mental energy – you’ll be more efficient, productive and more laser focused.
#5: Reduced Stress
Of course when there are less distractions, less worry and less things to deal with at a time – this drops your stress.
And I know you have stress right now. It’s the state of the world with the fast-paced connectivity and exponential developments.
But when you narrow your life down to one thing at a time, I promise your stress will drop which will help with your trading decisions.
#6: Superior strategy understanding
By concentrating on a particular strategy or system, you will find that you’ll build a more profound understanding to where, why and how you’re putting your money.
Master the strategy and only that one and you’ll see how far you’ll go.
#7: Consistency and perseverance
When you adopt tunnel vision in your life, you will begin to be more disciplined with your approach. This will lead to more consistency in your trading results.
And you’ll find it will promote a stable growth of your portfolio.
#8: Clearer Goals to achieve
Like the horse sees the goal ahead.
When you focus your attention on your goals and what you need to do to achieve them, one step at a time.
You can track your progress more effectively. You can steer your trading in a better direction. You can take control of your trading with lightning focus.
#9: Keeps you in the Now
Time is fleeting.
Before you know it, you’re in bed ready to wake up and repeat the routine.
But what if, because you’re living so much in your head, that’s why time is going so quickly.
I mean, right now I am only focusing on writing this article.
And I’m putting in all my heart, energy and soul. And because there are no distractions, I FEEL the present. I feel time going slowly with each typing.
So maybe you should to.
Do everything in the present. Do it with full focus. Do it with heart. Do it with optimism and care.
And this will have a positive effect on your trading.
Tesla -> Two Bullish Scenarios Now!Hello Traders and Investors ,
my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Tesla💪
After Tesla stock retested the last strong support zone for bulls, the 0.786 fibonacci level at the $100 level, the recent pump over the past couple of months of more than 100% was no surprise at all.
With Tesla stock retesting the 0.382 weekly fibonacci retracement level we could already see a weekly bullish rejection away towards the upside from here.
However I am still waiting for bullish confirmation at the currect $245 support level - if we drop below the zone then I do expect a rejection at the next support which is sitting around the $215 level.
Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint📈
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
My previous analysis of this asset:
How to get LASER Vision for Trading TriumphWe live in an extremely fast-paced world.
It’s almost impossible to focus on just one task at a time.
In fact, you’re probably already thinking of shifting your attention away from what I have to share with you today.
You’re thinking of moving to the next email, what you’re going to eat, what’s on Netflix or the bills you have to pay or how else you’ll make your millions.
Well just today. I want you to slow down.
Relax.
Can you please try to finish reading this tutorial, before you move on to the next task.
You may find that this one important trait, is the missing puzzle piece for not only your trading success.
But also this will help you to enjoy life, be in the now and feel way more relaxed with less stress…
This won’t only drastically improve your trading but with every aspect of your life.
This important trait I’m talking about is…
The Power of Tunnel Vision
Tunnel vision or singular focus, is where you concentrate and direct your attention to ONE thing at a time.
Think of racehorses.
When they have their blinkers on they tend to have singular focus with an undistracted mindset to guide them to their goal (end of the race).
With trading you need to put on your own figurative blinkers and have tunnel vision to focus on:
• Your trading setups
• Your trading chart analysis
• Your trading process and execution
• Your trading adjustments
• Your reviews, reports and findings
This means, while you are focusing on ONE task at a time you need to
Remove distractions from your life
You don’t understand how much better your trading decisions will be and the clarity you’ll have when you remove distractions when you trade.
Make it a habit to put away your phone, close all irrelevant tabs, declutter your space, take the dog out and switch off the TV.
Make sure you have a quiet environment.
Dedicate your full attention and focus entirely to your trading activities – without any distractions.
And then when it comes to execution, make sure you
Focus on risk management carefully
Many traders have lost their accounts, by being reckless with their trading.
Before you execute any trade, make it a point to double-check your math, trade volume, and other crucial factors that concern your portfolio.
You'd be surprised how many times I’ve heard from traders who:
Calculate wrong sizes, miscalculated levels, and incorrect risk and reward levels.
This is your hard-earned money you’re working with.
So you need to always be responsible, accountable and highly focused with your money management approach.
Especially when it comes to risk management.
Laser focus will help you accelerate results
Believe it or not.
When you focus on one task at a time, it can significantly boost your efficiency and productivity.
This means you’ll finish sooner than you expected.
That’s because you’re devoting your resources, and mental energy on one thing.
And when you’re laser focused, you'll accomplish your goals a lot quicker than expected.
When it comes to trading, having laser focus will help you to:
1. Finish your trading analyses sooner
2. Have your charts setup and trading analyses ready for the next day
3. See more profit opportunities
4. Make less mistakes and errors
And this which will increase your productivity and optimisation levels as a trader.
In fact, you might even find a way to see new elements to add onto your strategy.
This way, you’ll build and master your profitable strategy.
Cut out unnecessary stress when you trade
When you adopt tunnel vision in your life, there’ll be less to worry about.
Think about it.
Doesn’t your blood pressure go through the roof when you:
• Have the TV on?
• Have your dogs or cats invading your space every couple of minutes?
• Have too many tabs opened on your computer?
• Think about your bills, life, worries and issues?
And with the state of the fast-paced and modern world, I know you have stress right now.
But when you cut out all the stress, distractions and problems then you’ll feel more in control.
As a trader, you’ll alleviate stress when you analyse, develop a strategy, execute your trades and review your performance.
You’ll improve your discipline and achieve your goals with your trading
Once you start working on adopting singular focus in your life, you will feel a complete change to the way you do things.
You’ll approach your trading and life, with a more disciplined manner.
And when you have discipline, it will lead to you being more consistent and will promote more stability with your trading performance.
And just like race horses see their end goal.
You too will be able to see the steps you need to take to track and achieve your financial goals.
Final words
Time is flying.
And if there is one thing I want you to do, is slow down and focus on each task at hand.
This will help slow down the effect of time. I assure you, because it changed my life.
So from today:
Engage everything in the present moment.
Act with full focus and concentration
Do it with heart and care.
Focus on each task you pursue.
This mindful approach will greatly improve your trading performance.
Did you make it to the end of this tutorial?
Comment YES or NO.
Seasonal TrendsSEASONAL TRENDS
Time to trade and time to rest
BINANCE:BTCUSD
There are not only days or weeks in the market with a high probability of working out trading patterns. But there are also seasons and months in which trade acquires its own specific characteristics, which may either offer favorable market conditions or be completely uninviting to trade.
Seasonal trends are not a magic pill. It is always necessary to analyze each asset class separately.
But if your analysis is consistent with the seasonal trend, then you will be trading the most probabilistic patterns.
December - January
During the final and initial months of the calendar year, it is common for markets to experience consolidation, resulting in less favorable price behavior for the formation of trading patterns. This trend is primarily influenced by the busy holiday schedule and bank holidays, which lead to a reduction in market liquidity.
Many traders choose to take vacations during these periods or dedicate more time to observing and testing new trading patterns. As a result, market activity may slow down, and the formation of distinct trading patterns becomes less prominent.
It is important for traders to be aware of these market dynamics and adjust their strategies accordingly during these times of consolidation.
February - March - April
Since February, the markets have transitioned out of consolidations and have started to show movement and the formation of trends, which provide more favorable price action for traders. This shift can be attributed to the entry of smart capital into the market in significant volumes.
During these periods, traders have the opportunity to witness the emergence of optimal and highly probable trading models. The increased market activity and participation of smart capital contribute to clearer price trends and patterns, allowing traders to potentially capitalize on profitable trading opportunities. It is important for traders to closely monitor market conditions during these periods and utilise appropriate strategies to take advantage of the favorable trading models that arise.
May - June - July - August
The saying "Sell in May and go away" has some justification as it relates to the behavior of smart capital in taking profits on their positions before the summer period of low volatility. This phenomenon can result in the formation of a downward trend and subsequent consolidation in both stock and cryptocurrency markets during what is commonly referred to as the "summer depression."
During this time, many professional traders, particularly in August, take vacations as market activity and trading opportunities may be limited due to decreased liquidity and overall subdued market conditions.
It is worth noting that while this saying has been observed in the past, market dynamics can vary, and it is important for traders to adapt their strategies and remain vigilant to potential opportunities even during periods of lower market activity.
September - October - November
In the last quarter of the year, the markets typically experience a resurgence in activity. The stock market often sees a rally, with an increase in buying interest and positive market sentiment. On the other hand, the foreign exchange market tends to exhibit more favorable trading conditions, characterised by increased volatility and opportunities for profitable trading patterns.
During this period, many professional traders actively participate in the markets, taking advantage of the improved trading conditions and seeking to capitalize on potential profit opportunities. The renewed market activity marks the beginning of a new cycle, where market trends and dynamics may undergo significant changes.
I repeat once again that you need to take into account the stage of the cycle and not rely only on seasonality + take into account the macro situation in the world and the news background
I wish you all good trading
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✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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The Anchoring Bias: Navigating the Pitfalls of Trading Decisions
Introduction:
In the fast-paced world of trading, making accurate decisions is crucial. However, traders are not immune to cognitive biases that can lead to irrational behavior and potentially significant financial losses. One such bias is the anchoring bias, which refers to the tendency of individuals to rely too heavily on an initial piece of information when making subsequent decisions. This article delves into the concept of anchoring bias in trading, offering insightful examples to help traders identify and mitigate its negative impact.
Example 2: Anchoring on market predictions
- A trader reads a market analyst's prediction that a particular stock will experience rapid growth.
- Armed with this anchored expectation, the trader ignores other relevant factors, such as the company's financials or market trends, and invests a significant amount of capital into the stock.
- The anchoring bias leads to tunnel vision, disregarding critical information that may alter the stock's predicted trajectory, exposing the trader to avoidable risks.
Conclusion:
Understanding the anchoring bias is vital for traders seeking consistent success. Becoming aware of this cognitive bias, and actively working to question and diversify our decision-making processes, empowers traders to make more objective and rational choices in an ever-changing market landscape. Remember: anchoring should not become the heavy anchor that weighs down your trading potential.
Hey traders, let me know what subject do you want to dive in in the next post?
Just Don't Trade When...Just Don’t Do It Trader
By now, you know what to do as a trader.
I’ve pretty much drilled in your mind. You can hear my voice echo the 4 Ms.
But one overlooked thing that’s also important…
Are the things not to do.
Let’s crack into the 5 things…
#1: DON’T fear losing – It’s just the cost of trading
Losing trades are an inevitable part of trading.
So why fear losses if they are going to come.
And it’s not just one or two losses.
You’re about to take thousands of losses in your life.
But don’t see them as losses.
Instead, view them as the cost of doing business in the markets.
Every trade carries a level of risk (hence we use stop losses in every trade).
And losses are opportunities to learn and refine your strategies (if need be).
So make it natural to embrace your losses as a part of the trading process.
This way you’ll cut the ego, and take on each trade with a more objective and focussed point.
#2: DON’T dwell on past failures – You are only as good as your last trade
While it is essential to learn from past mistakes.
If you dwell on them, they will excessively hinder your hard worked progress.
Trading is an ever-evolving journey, and each trade presents a new opportunity.
Instead of fixating on past failures, blown accounts, big drawdowns and times you just F*ed up with your trading system and mentality…
Rather focus on the present and future.
There is only NOW and what is to COME.
So apply the past time lessons and focus on improving your decision-making performance in the next trade.
You are only as good as your last trade.
#3: DON’T expect fast riches – This is a slow and gradual process
Trading is not a get-rich-quick scheme.
If you expect to make it big in the first three years, I have news for you.
Unless you already have a million rand portfolio to grow and bank from, this is going to take take.
Cut out these unrealistic expectations because it’s going to be an emotional ride with excessive risk-taking.
Instead, adopt a long-term perspective, set realistic goals and understand that trading success is a gradual process.
Let the power of compounding work in your favour over time.
#4: DON’T compare yourself to others – Your personality & risk profile shape you
Each trader is unique.
You are unique.
Therefore, you have different risk tolerance levels, trading styles, and market perspectives.
If you compare yourself to others, you’re going to feel inadequate and you’re going to enter into temptation on imitating their portfolios.
It is essential to embrace your own strengths and weaknesses as a trader. Understand your personality, risk profile, and trading preferences, and align your strategies accordingly.
Find what works for you and develop a personalized approach that suits your individual needs and goals.
Trading is a self-learning journey that takes time and effort to master.
#5: DON’T give up – You only lose when you quit!
Persistence is key in trading.
It is natural to face challenges and setbacks along the way.
But the only time you truly lose is when you give up.
Stay committed, maintain a positive mindset, and keep pushing forward.
You still being in the game is what will differentiate you between failure and success.
So let’s conclude what you must NOT do…
#1: DON’T fear losing – It’s just the cost of trading
#2: DON’T dwell on past failures – You are only as good as your last trade
#3: DON’T expect fast riches – This is a slow and gradual process
#4: DON’T compare yourself to others – Your personality & risk profile shape you
#5: DON’T give up – You only lose when you quit!
Just don’t do it, trader!
Revenge Trading is Lethal - 5 Reasons Why!Do you feel it in your bones.
Where do you want to:
Take trades to make up for losses?
Take trades for the sake of trading?
Take trades out of emotions and gut (gat feel)?
Take trades to make a quick buck?
If so, you have felt the power and dangers of Revenge Trading.
TO put it blunt.
Revenge trading is detrimental, dangerous and just plain stupid for any traders to succumb to.
I feel like I can finish the article already as I have said what I needed to.
Not just yet! You need to understand why Revenge Trading is to your downfall.
Let’s start with these:
#1: Impulsive decisions are dangerous
In the heat of the moment, you just want to take an impulsive trade.
This can lead to disastrous outcomes.
Revenge trading happens when you want to try recoup losses quickly.
And so traders abandon their strategies, systems and rules.
And they take on unwarranted risks.
This will stop you from making good, calculated, logical and well-informed decisions based on sound reasoning and market research.
Don’t do it!
#2: Trading on emotions is deadly
Emotions such as fear, greed, and frustration have no place in trading.
Revenge trading is fueled by these emotions.
And this causes traders to deviate and steer way from their plans by instead acting irrationally.
What then? Bigger losses, unnecessary risks to the portfolio and skewed results on your trackrecord.
Your hard earned and timely worked on journal!
Is it worth it?
I think not.
Cut out your emotions and work at being calm and take on the more logical approach, devoid of emotional interference.
#3: Violating trading rules is damaging
Every trader should have a set of well-defined trading rules in place.
Not just rules but also a list of criteria.
Revenge trading typically involves disregarding these rules and just going against everything you should do.
Basically, what the average dumb retail trader does which results in 98% of traders losing in this financial endeavour.
Violate your rules and there will be severe consequences.
Loss of confidence.
Bigger losses
More losses
Erratic wins (which make you want to do it again and again and again)
Not worth it.
Don’t do it.
#4: Too much unnecessary risk
You know you’re using your hard earned cash to trade and build a portfolio right?
So why are you burning it and cutting it up like it’s nothing?
This reckless behavior can lead to bigger drawdowns and can even wipe out trading accounts entirely.
Don’t do it!
#5: Creates an ongoing cycle of doing it again
Great! Once you have violated your rules, gone against your strategy and pretty much gone ape or rogue on trading – it takes a lot to gain ones integrity and discipline back.
One of the most dangerous aspects of revenge trading is its cyclical nature.
Break the rule, you’ll break it again.
Cheat, you’ll cheat again.
Enter a gambling mentality and you’re in trouble.
Bank a winning rogue trade and you’ll succumb to the trading world of discretionary action.
However, if these subsequent trades result in further losses, the cycle repeats, trapping traders in a never-ending loop of revenge trading.
Breaking free from this destructive pattern will then need a ton of discipline, self-awareness, and a commitment to sticking to one’s trading plan.
So please be careful.
Trade well!
Don’t trade like gambler.
Avoid the perils of revenge trading by all means, starting from today.
And when you feel the need to do it (like a junkie), come back and read this article.
Had to be said.
Realities vs. Trading Myths. This one is for beginners!Hello traders, today we will talk about Myths and Reality of Trading.
As you may already be aware, there are a lot of misconceptions that new traders encounter before they begin their trading careers. The following interpretations of those statements are presented on the layout:
1) The majority of individuals believe that trading is simple and that they can immediately stop working or doing anything else in order to make a living off of trading. In fact, he or she MUST have a backtested strategy and have sufficient industry knowledge in order to be successful, reliable, and a full-time trader in general. Keep in mind that achievement takes time, but it is totally worthwhile!
2) "Trading is like a casino" is a statement we frequently hear. This phrase is frequently used by only two types of people: those who have never been able to succeed in this field and those who have no plan or notion of what they are doing. Never open a position based on the outcome of a coin toss or what other people are saying. A trader may be inspired to open a position on a certain security by the ideas and analysis of others.
3) No matter what line of work one is in, including trading, one can never become wealthy in a single day. A qualified lawyer must practise for at least six years before becoming a licenced surgeon, which takes between 10 and 14. What gives you the impression that you can master trading in a matter of weeks or months?
4) Use a Stop Loss at all times to prevent substantial losses, regardless of the circumstance. Regardless of whether liquidity hunt occurs or not, it is always necessary to keep secure.
5) Risk management always takes precedence over victory percentage. Imagine your next 10 trades have a 1:3 Risk-to-Reward ratio with a 50% win rate. This implies that you will win 5 and lose 5. Let's imagine we choose to stake 1% of our capital on each deal. If we quickly calculate the numbers, we can see that with a 50% win rate and a 1:3 RR, our next 10 transactions will net us a tasty 10% return. Of course, this is not always the case because there are various things to take into account, including spreads, charges, pip value, etc. This is a great illustration to get the point across, though.
6) A significant portion of traders prefer trading the "Smart Money" concept, which is ostensibly the closest thing we have to institutional trading, over the "Retail Way" because they find it to be more profitable. The main line is to pick a method that works best for you and stick with it while adjusting it as you go. Changing tactics every week or month won't help one become consistent. You must commit to and stay to a single trading strategy.
7) Many beginning traders tend to increase their risk in attempts to make more profits. This approach is so risky and totally wrong. If one is willing to make more money trading, it is important that he or she increases the input, and not the risk.
This chart is just for information
Never stop learning
I would also love to know your charts and views in the comment section.
Thank you
Trading Mindfully: Letting Go of Revenge for Financial Success
Sometimes the market can really wear us down mentally and emotionally. Imagine this scenario: you enter a trade feeling confident, having carefully considered and calculated everything. You're in a fantastic mood, already envisioning the profits. And then, unexpectedly, everything goes wrong.
In moments like these, even if you have a solid system and strategy in place, anger and resentment can take over. You might feel the need to seek revenge on the market for what you perceive as an injustice, and impulsively open positions with the intention of punishing it. However, the outcome of such revenge trading is almost always regrettable, resulting in significant financial losses.
Let's take a closer look at what revenge trading entails and why it is so dangerous.
Revenge trading occurs when we believe that the market has taken "too much" from us or treated us unfairly. Instead of stepping back and regaining composure, traders act contrary to every rule and guideline, driven by anger and a desire to prove themselves.
Fueled by a mixture of frustration and determination, traders tend to fall into one of two scenarios: they either open large positions that further amplify their losses, or they manage to recoup some of their losses if luck is on their side. However, the best course of action in such situations is actually to take a break and reflect on the situation at hand.
Attempting to take revenge on a market that is infinitely more powerful than any individual trader is inherently irrational. Moreover, this type of trading has several other negative consequences.
When you trade out of revenge, you are driven by emotion rather than logic and strategy. This approach is destined to fail and can result in even greater losses over time.
At this point, you lose touch with reality, forgetting everything you know and have learned about the market. Your well-thought-out strategies and trading algorithms that used to bring you profits are abandoned.
Effective money management and risk compliance become distant thoughts. You throw all your resources into the blazing fire of revenge.
As a result, you find yourself trading based on intuition, which is no longer a disciplined approach but akin to gambling.
How to Overcome the Urge for Market Revenge
There is a simple yet crucial mechanism that can help traders overcome the desire to seek revenge on the market. The most challenging part, however, is remembering to apply it in practice. Here are some steps to follow:
1: Take a Step Back: When the desire for revenge arises, it's important to slow down your emotions and actions. Step away from the computer and engage in activities that involve fine motor skills, such as solving puzzles or engaging in a hobby. It's detrimental to continuously look at the screen that displays recent losses, as it only amplifies your emotional state. By diverting your attention to non-trading activities, you allow the frontal cortex of your brain, responsible for rational decision-making, to activate. Going for a walk or connecting with a friend can also be effective ways to shift your focus and regain composure.
2: Analyze the Situation: To regain a conscious state and process your emotions, conduct a written analysis of the situation. It's beneficial to do this manually on a plain sheet of paper, utilizing your fine motor skills once again. Describe the entire incident in detail, including your thoughts, emotions, and actions. By gaining a comprehensive understanding of what threw you off balance emotionally, you'll be better equipped to recognize and control those triggers in the future.
3: Evaluate Your Trading Strategy: Every trader relies on a specific algorithm or trading system to make decisions. Take the time to thoroughly examine your trading system and ask yourself some important questions:
- Does your trading system genuinely work?
- If you had followed your system entirely (which you didn't do when seeking revenge), would it have helped minimize losses?
- Are the losses that angered you a result of system losses or a breach of the system's rules?
In addition to studying your trading system, it's crucial to assess your money management rules and ensure you are effectively managing risks. Proper risk management acts as insurance, protecting you from substantial losses. Regardless of market fluctuations, you can confidently close trades when necessary. Effective risk management is what distinguishes profitable traders from those who suffer losses.
Final Thoughts:
To overcome the desire for revenge, it is essential to understand what triggers it and address the underlying reasons. When we view the market as a reflection of our self-image and attribute personal meaning to our trades, it often leads to an emotional storm. In such a state, we may disregard trading systems and risk management principles, making foolish mistakes that can devastate our trading accounts. It's important to remember that the market provides only factual information for analysis, and behind the price quotes lies nothing more than information.
When you’ve taken a trade – Let It Go!One of the key principles of successful trading is…
Once you have taken the trade to just let it go and allow it to run its course.
The system lined up – tick.
The entry orders are all in place – tick.
It matches your risk and reward criteria – tick.
You know your trade size – tick.
Now let it go.
You may get the urge to interfere, change the levels and lock in profits early or limit losses even more.
You need to resist the urge.
Here are some factors to consider…
Don’t Interfere…
When you’ve taken a trade, it’s important to have a plan in place for how you will manage it.
This means you’ve got your entry, stop loss and take profit in place.
These actions may seem like a good idea at the time.
But they can often lead to bigger losses, smaller profits and even missed opportunities.
But then there are times where you need to adjust the course.
You might even have a time stop loss.
Or a strategic and mechanical criteria for when to adjust your levels.
But other than that, you need to have the discipline to stick to it and resist the temptation to interfere with your trades.
Don’t Get Excited When It’s in the Money
One of the most common mistakes that traders make is getting too excited when they’re in the money.
You might feel overconfident and “know-better” about a trade.
Or you might have this irrational decision-making idea to quickly move your stops and take profits, which can quickly erase any gains that you’ve made.
It’s essential to remain level-headed and stick to your plan, even when your trades are performing well.
To avoid getting too excited when you’re in the money, go back to your journal and look at how your trades have played in the past.
It’s important to have a clear idea of your risk tolerance and profit targets before you enter a trade.
This will stop you from making any quick and unnecessary decisions along the way.
Don’t Fear When It’s Going Against You
Another common mistake that traders make is letting fear dictate their decisions when a trade is going against them.
It’s natural to feel anxious when you’re losing money.
But it’s important to remember that losses are a normal part of trading. We all take them and we are all bound to take them more times than we wish to think.
To overcome the fear of losses, it’s important to focus on the long-term goals of your trading strategy.
One way to do this is to maintain a positive mindset and view losses as “costs of business” and as learning opportunities rather than failures.
Stay calm and level headed. Also stop risking so much that it interferes with your psychology.
When you feel emotional take a step back or it could lead to even bigger losses.
Don’t Watch Every Tick
Finally, it’s important to resist the urge to obsessively watch every tick of the market.
This can lead to overtrading and emotional decision-making.
And you’ll find it will quickly derail your trading strategy.
Instead, it’s important to focus on the big picture and have a long-term perspective on your trades.
Close your computer once you’ve taken a trade. Or close your trading platform and move onto something else.
You’ve done your job now stop watching every tick the market moves.
By doing so, you’ll be less likely to make rash decisions based on short-term fluctuations in the market.
I hope this helps and if there is one thing to remember out of them all.
When you’ve taken a trade, just let it go and let it run its course.
When to FEEL THRILL when Trading - It may surprise you!First let me tell you.
NO you should not feel thrill when you take a profit.
NO you should not feel thrill when you are on a winning streak.
NO you should not feel thrill after a day, week or month of upside.
But I’m not going to be a wet blanket. As a trader, including me, there are times to feel thrill.
Trading is a process, it’s a lifestyle, it’s a game, it’s your control of your financial future.
So let’s explore the times you should feel thrill.
#1: Analyse the markets
A major part of trading is assessing the current state of the markets and identifying potential opportunities.
This involves creating your strategy, finding the indicators that work best and identifying the different systems (chart patterns, trend lines, Smart Money Concepts) etc…
This process is super exciting part on the journey to becoming a trader.
#2: Optimise your strategies
Creating a strategy is one thing.
But optimising and maximising your system is an ongoing thing.
It’s crucial to continuously fine-tune your strategies and adapt to the ever-changing market conditions.
When you identify areas for improvement and make changes that lead to better performance, the thrill of knowing that you’re on the path to success can be awesome.
#3: Search for high probability trades
One of the keys to success in trading is finding high probability trades.
It’s these trades that will offer a favorable risk-reward ratio and a high chance of success (regardless whether they win or lose).
The hunt for these opportunities is always fun and it’s almost like going on a daily treasure hunt.
And spotting the highest probability trades, require a deep understanding of the markets and the ability to spot subtle patterns that others might miss.
When you uncover a high probability trade and execute it successfully, the feeling of accomplishment is also a great feel.
#4: Reading Fundamentals
Sure your strategy might not comprise of fundamentals or news.
But still learning about the markets, companies, indices and other micro and macro aspects, is interesting.
A solid grasp of fundamental analysis is essential for any serious trader.
This involves assessing the financial health of companies, industries, and economies to identify why markets move the way they do.
When you can successfully combine technical and fundamental analysis to make informed decisions, the thrill of knowing you have an edge in the market is undeniable.
#5: Monitor your results and stats
As a trading boss…
You need to track, analyse and assess your trading performance.
You don’t get more power and thrill as a trader, when you have control of your financial markets.
When you see your strategies paying off and your account balance growing, the thrill of your hard work and dedication materializing into tangible results is incredibly rewarding.
Conversely, it’s also thrilling when you analyse your losses where you can gain valuable learning experiences.
And this will help provide insights into areas for improvement and will motivate you to refine your approach.
#6: Find new markets to trade
Do you think I was looking at AI, VR, Metaverse type companies to trade 10 years ago?
Nope! These markets weren’t in fruition with trading as they are today.
So as a trader, this is always an exciting and thrilling venture with trading.
To explore, adapt and add on new markets into your watch list.
When you add and enter these new markets to your strategy, this can expose you to a whole new set of opportunities and challenges.
And this will help broaden your horizons and deepen your understanding of the financial markets.
So now you know when to embrace thrill as a trader.
Use them to fuel and propel you toward achieving your goals.
When else do you feel thrill?
Don't listen to your inner NINNY! I can't swear on TV :(Traders have 1 JOB!.
To just take the trade.
All the other stuff is semantics.
But most times you’ll find your inner B I mean Ninny takes over.
And it tells you:
~ Don’t take the trade.
~ You’ll lose money.
~ The stars are not aligned!
~ Blah blah fish paste!
You need to stop listening to your inner F - inny, or it will destroy your chances of success.
So let’s talk about the 4 common excuses traders make and how to overcome them.
Excuse #1: I’m not in the mood
The markets are awake with or without you.
People are making money and doing things in this world.
Others are taking ice baths, cold showers, hitting the gym twice a day.
They are doing the hard. You need to stop the excuses of not in the mood, get off the couch and take action for your life.
You are in control of your life, what you do and what you make.
Do what you need to. Create a schedule that includes time for exercise, meditation, and of course trading.
Excuse #2: External news event kicked in
Financial markets are subject to external events that can impact trading decisions.
These events can include political developments, natural disasters, or major economic announcements.
The problem is. These events come daily. Every day there are new news announcements, GDP numbers, employment and jobs reports, Interest rates, inflation rates etc…If you’re not taking a trade because of one of these announcements, I’m sorry but.
That’s just an excuse!
If you must. Write down a few IMPORTANT news announcements that you want to watch for when you trade.
Maybe interest rates in America. Maybe NFP reports, Maybe during FOMC meetings.
But do the research and find out what news events are worthy to NOT take a trade.
I’ve been in the markets for 20 years and I haven’t found one worthy news announcement other than NFP for Forex trading.
Excuse #3: Market doesn’t feel right
To you it doesn’t feel right.
To you, you think the market is some sentimental machine that feels healthy or sick.
To me, I see prices, risks and probabilities.
I see a robot and mechanical processes with billions of dollars streaming in and out at any one second, the market is opened.
You need to develop an objective criteria for assessing market conditions. Have tunnel vision and stop trying to predict the temperature of the market.
It’s not human.
There is buying.
There is selling.
There is a repetition of that every day.
Market doesn’t feel right, is an excuse.
Excuse #4: System lined up but it’s not perfect
Ok so you have a system good.
You have a strict strategy to follow, great.
But the system lined up and it’s not perfect.
As I mentioned before. You need to write down the rules and criteria that you can use to identify opportunities and risks.
There are only three types of trades in this world.
HIGH probability trade – Market lined up perfectly according to the system.
MEDIUM probability trade – Market almost lined up perfectly but I will still take the trade and risk a little less.
NO trade – Market did NOT line up and therefore I’m not taking a trade.
So, are you going to continue to listen to your inner Busy Ninny or are you going to start making money the right way?