Gold prices remain on the riseLast week, the world gold price surpassed the historical peak of over 3,057 USD/ounce but quickly decreased due to profit-taking pressure from investors. However, the price remained above the psychological support level of 3,000 USD/ounce - a level that many experts predicted would be an important support in the coming time.
The general sentiment in the market is still leaning towards optimism. Many central banks continue to increase their gold reserves as a way to diversify away from the USD. Meanwhile, individual investors and ETFs have also begun to return to the gold market.
Data from the SPDR Gold Shares fund shows that the amount of gold held has increased by more than 37 tons this year, to 910 tons. Although this figure is still lower than in 2020, the upward momentum is returning due to concerns about inflation and escalating trade tensions.
Tradingplans
DOGS Main Trend. Tactics of Working on Risky Crypto 03 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. Tactics of working on super-risky cryptocurrencies of low liquidity, which are always sold (without loading the glass), by the creators of “nothing”. In order to increase sales, of course, when they rationally reverse the trend and make pumps at a large % and marketing positive news "have time to buy". On such assets with such liquidity, “killed faith” (at the moment), and control of the emission in “one hand” it is not difficult. Something like in BabyDOGE.
On such assets you should always remember:
1️⃣ allocate a certain amount for work in general on such assets from the deposit as a whole.
2️⃣ distribute money (potential reversal and decline zones) from this allocated amount to each similar asset in advance.
3️⃣ diversify similar assets themselves (5-10 cryptocurrencies), understanding that sooner or later they will scam. The scam of one of them should not be reflected significantly on the balance of the pump/dump group of low liquidity. It is impossible to guess everything that does not depend on you, and it is not necessary. Your miscalculations (what does not depend on you) are smoothed out by your initial trading plan and risk control, that is, money management (money management).
4️⃣ Set adequate goals. Part of the position locally trade 40-80% (not necessary, but this sometimes reduces the risk).
5️⃣ Work with trigger orders and lower them if they did not work and the price falls.
6️⃣ Remember that in consolidation and cut zones in assets of such liquidity, stops are always knocked out, so the size of the stop does not really matter. It will be knocked out, especially before the reversal.
7️⃣ Before the reversal of the secondary trend, as a rule, they first do a “hamster pump” by a conditionally significant %, when everyone is "tired of waiting". They absorb all sales. Then the main pumping without passengers by a very large % takes place to form a distribution zone. As a rule, it will be lower than the pump highs, that is, in the zone when they are not afraid to buy, but believe that after a large pump, the highs will be overcome significantly.
8️⃣ Remember that assets of such liquidity decrease after listings or highs by:
a) active hype, bull market -50-70%
b) secondary trend without extraordinary events -90-93%
c) cycle change -96-98% or scam, if it is a 1-2 cycle project (there is no point in supporting the legend, how it is easier to make a candy wrapper from scratch without believing holders with coins).
9️⃣In the capitulation zone, there can be several of them depending on the trend of the market as a whole and rationality, the asset is of no interest to anyone. Everyone gets the impression that everything is a scam. That is, on the contrary, you need to collect the asset, observing money management, that is, your initial distribution of money and the risk that you agreed with in advance. As a rule, in such zones people "give up" and abandon their earlier vision.
🔟 After the entire position is set (pre-planned, according to your money management), stop and do not get stuck in the market and news noise. Wait for your first goals.
Remember, people always buy expensive, and refuse to buy cheap ("it's a scam", they try to "catch the bottom"), when "the Internet is not buzzing". This all happens because there is no vision, and as a consequence, no tactics of work and risk control . Many want to guess the “bottom”, or “maximums”, and refuse to sell when they are reached. The first and second are not conditionally available, on assets of such liquidity and emission control. But, there are probabilities that you can operate and earn on this, without getting stuck in the market noise. And also in the opinions of the majority (inclination to the dominant opinion and rejection of your plan and risk control), from which you must fence yourself off.
Most people, immersed in market noise and the opinions of others , choose for themselves the price movement, which is beneficial to them at the moment , and to which they are inclined, but do not provide themselves with the tactics of work. This is a key mistake, and the main manipulation that the conditional manipulator achieves, who, by the way, is sometimes not on the asset, to form an opinion and, as a consequence, the actions of the majority.
Because, in essence, most people do not have the tactics of work. Where the news FUD (inclination to the dominant opinion), “market noise” (cutting zones and collecting liquidity), the opinion of the majority, is directed, that is what they are inclined to.
When the price goes in the other direction, it is disappointment.
If these are futures — liquidation of the position. Zeroing out due to greed.
If this is spot — "proud random holders" , without the ability to average the position (no money), to reduce the average price of the position set as a whole, and as a result increase the % of profit in the future.
A trading plan and risk control are the basis, not guessing the price movement. If you do not have the first “two whales” of trading in your arsenal, then you have nothing. It doesn't matter how much you guess the potential movement, as the outcome of such practice is always the same, and it is not comforting.
BTC FOMC FLASH CRASH / LIQUIDATION IDEAThe FOMC data this week could be a conduit that sticks the price to play down these two trend lines.
We can see the mass liquidity on the chart in these low zones.
Bitcoins consistent rise since late 2022 has been leaving a train of long stop loss orders (leveraged sell orders) underneath - think of the mechanics of “why it’s possible” as a massive chain reaction of stop losses getting fired off and creating mania and hysteria for further fear based selling.
If we see drops to these low zones, I’m presenting the TA evidence of it so that we know it’s not the bottom - but a liquidation move.
The worst thing people could do is sell at massive losses thinking BTC is going to zero.
I see this move occurring and following that over the next years, a BTC pushing upwards of those $140-$200k zones.
The market is interested in reclaiming this liquidity - we are awaiting the conduit or event to justify it.
This is my personal trading plan.
Happy trading to all and be safe out there.
AUD/USD Forex Analysis – Trading Update for March 2025The AUD/USD pair has been exhibiting interesting price action over the past week. Following a strong bullish movement that took place on March 4th, 2025, the pair has entered a wedge formation. This bullish push was triggered by the announcement of tariffs, effective starting on March 3rd, 2025.
Key Price Action:
The high of the bullish move was marked at 0.63640, after which the price retraced to test a previous key support level at 0.62730. This level proved to be significant, as it was tested five separate times.
During the retest, the market formed lower lows and lower highs, indicating a shift in market structure. To visualize this, a bearish trendline was drawn, capturing the declining momentum.
Break and Retest:
The move we were anticipating was a break of the bearish trendline, followed by a retest of this trendline. This occurred on March 13-14, 2025, confirming the bearish structure.
After this retest, the weekly close showed a bullish push back to the 1-hour previous high at 0.63286, indicating some bullish interest around this price level.
Current Market Structure:
The pair is now trading within a defined range:
Low: 0.62582
High: 0.63288
We are monitoring the 0.63000 level closely, as it is a critical point of interest. A breakout above or below one of the boundaries of this range will provide further confirmation on the pair's next move.
Next Steps:
If the market respects the 0.63000 level and remains within the range, we will continue to observe price action for any further setups. A break above 0.63288 or below 0.62582 will offer more clarity on the pair’s next directional move.
zkSync Hits Bottom: Trading Basics & Bull-Market TheoryFour weeks sideways after a major flush? This type of action gives it all away. It gives away the fact that the market is no longer bearish because the action changed from straight down to null, sideways. It is likely to change from sideways to up.
Look back to August 2024, it is the same all over again. Watch. zkSynch (ZKUSDT) went down, stopped falling to move sideways for several weeks. This was followed by a strong bullish wave.
We have the drop in 2025 and the sideways action, what follows?
Bitcoin is going up, the Altcoins will do the same.
The same volume signal is present here as well, the one we saw on the LayerZero chart. While bearish and neutral action is happening, trading volume is really low. This means that no real participants are present, the chart is being drawn by trading bots. Just watch. When prices start to go up, volume will go up as well. This is the signal that people are buying, and only now the price is great.
Buy at support. Buy at the bottom. Buy when red. Buy when prices are low.
Accumulation at support and then hold.
When the market is green, hype, high and up; that's the time to consider taking profits because the bull-market ends at the top. A bull-market starts at the bottom, that's when the market is bullish, when prices hit bottom and the oscillators start to read oversold. Oversold oscillators, bottom prices and positive news show up. These are the early signals pointing to a market reversal and change of trend. This what we call bullish and we are bullish now. Here we just need the initial bullish breakout for confirmation and the bulls are in.
When the oscillators hit overbought, everything is green and the market is hitting new All-Time Highs but negative news start to show up, this is a sign of overheating and surely what follows is a long-term drop. That's why I say the best time to buy is when prices are low. Sorry if this is too basic, but we start from scratch and get into the complexity as the bull-market develops.
First we buy and hold. Later we will consider different trading strategies, leveraged trading and so on. But first, spot trading, zero risk and a high potential for rewards.
Namaste.
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEGOLD Daily Chart Update: 24th FEB 2025
Hi Everyone,
Here’s the latest update on the GOLD daily chart, which we've been closely monitoring and trading. Below, we break down recent price movements, updated key levels, and provide actionable insights for the days ahead.
Recap of Recent Chart Success!
Gold recently achieved a record high of $2,954.80. Our analysis has consistently highlighted that after reaching each target level, prices tend to reverse by over 40+ pips to the GoldTurn level. This pattern was evident when, after hitting TP3 at $2,933, the price retraced more than 40+ pips to the GoldTurn level at 2870, which acted as a support, before rebounding bullishly to surpass resistance and reach the all-time high of $2,954.81.
Current Outlook: Bullish or Bearish?
Presently, gold's price is oscillating between a resistance gap at $2,990 and a support gap at $2,933. The $2,990 level serves as a key resistance, while $2,933 acts as support. Additionally, the Fair Value Gap (FVG) offers support at $2,920.
In summary, while the long-term outlook remains bullish due to factors like central bank demand and economic uncertainties, short-term fluctuations between the $2,933 support and $2,990 resistance levels are expected. Traders should monitor these key levels and indicators closely to inform their strategies.
KEY LEVEL: 2870
Resistance Levels: 2990, 3052
Support Levels (GoldTurn Levels): 2933, 2870, 2801, 2744, 2671, 2595
EMA5 Behavior:
* Or If EMA5 crosses and locks above 2933, it strengthens the bullish case.
* If EMA5 fails to hold above 2933, cross and lock below this level 2933, expect a pullback to key GOLDTURN levels below.
Recommendations:
* Capitalize on Dip Opportunities: Use smaller timeframes (1H, 4H) to trade around GOLDTURN levels, targeting 30–40 pips per trade.
* Stay focused on shorter trades in this range-bound market to manage volatility effectively.
Long-Term Bias:
Maintain a bullish outlook while viewing pullbacks as buying opportunities.
Accumulate positions near key support levels for a safer approach instead of chasing highs.
Final Note:
Trade with confidence and precision. Our analysis ensures you’re well-prepared to navigate the evolving market landscape. Stay updated with our daily insights across multiple timeframes for deeper clarity.
Thank you for your continued trust! Don’t forget to like, share, and comment to support our work.
Best regards,
The Quantum Trading Mastery Team
Gold will touch $3000In a comment to Kitco News, Chris Mancini - Portfolio Manager of Gabelli Gold Fund (GOLDX) - said that Western investors are pouring into gold ETFs to hedge against economic or inflation risks due to the impact of tariffs. He also emphasized that investment demand still has room to continue to increase.
"Gold is acting as a hedge against the devaluation of the USD and other currencies," he said. “Tariff measures could accelerate this process as global commodity prices rise. In addition, if global central banks (including the US Federal Reserve - FED) reduce interest rates or pump money to combat economic weakness, prices will tend to increase, making gold more attractive to investors.
"The buyers still show no signs of slowing down and this week continues to be a strong candle on the weekly chart. I think there is a high possibility that gold will reach the 3,000 USD/ounce mark in the near future, but there can also be big fluctuations around that level."
World gold price today"Gold's increase over the past two months has exceeded the normal trend, so there may be a correction. However, I think this decline will only be short-lived and insignificant. The reasons why investors buy gold are still there, while North American investors have not increased strongly."
"Gold reached a record high of nearly 2,955 USD/ounce on February 20. However, technically, it is starting to show signs of being susceptible to a downward correction. The increase of more than 13% from the beginning of the year until now may cause investors to falter and slow down their buying momentum."
The world gold market continues to fluctuate strongly due to the impact of President Donald Trump's policies. Kitco News' latest weekly gold survey results show that industry experts are cautious about the yellow metal's short-term prospects. Meanwhile, retail traders are optimistic, with prices forecast to continue rising this week.
How Your Brain Tricks You Into Making Bad Trading Decisions!!!Hello everyone! Hope you’re doing well. Today, we’re diving into a crucial topic—how your brain can work against you in trading if it’s not trained properly. Many traders think they’re making logical decisions, but subconscious biases and emotions often take control.
Our brain operates in two modes: intuitive thinking (fast, emotional, automatic) and deliberative thinking (slow, logical, analytical). In trading, intuition can lead to impulsive mistakes—chasing price moves, hesitating on good setups, or exiting too early out of fear.
To improve, traders must shift from intuition to deliberation by following structured plans, back testing strategies, and practicing emotional discipline. In this discussion, we’ll explore how to overcome these mental biases and make smarter trading decisions. Let’s get started!
Most traders face common mistakes—exiting winners too early, letting profits turn into losses, holding onto bad trades, or making impulsive decisions. Why? Because our brain isn’t wired for trading. In everyday life, instincts help us, but in trading, they often lead to fear, greed, and denial.
Your Brain Operates in Two Modes
Just like in daily life, where we sometimes act on reflex and other times think things through carefully, our trading mind also operates in two distinct modes: intuitive thinking and deliberative thinking. Intuitive thinking is fast, automatic, and effortless. It helps us make quick decisions, like braking suddenly when a car stops in front of us. However, in trading, this rapid decision-making often leads to impulsive actions driven by emotions like fear and greed. This is why many traders enter or exit trades without a solid plan, reacting to market movements instead of following a strategy.
On the other hand, deliberative thinking is slow, effortful, and analytical. This is the part of the brain that carefully weighs options, follows rules, and makes logical decisions—like when solving a complex math problem or planning a trading strategy.
Our intuitive brain is designed to make quick and automatic decisions with minimal effort. This is the part of the brain that helps us react instantly to situations—like catching a falling object or braking suddenly while driving. It relies on patterns, emotions, and past experiences to make snap judgments. In everyday life, this ability is incredibly useful, saving us time and energy. However, when it comes to trading, this fast-thinking system can often lead us into trouble.
For example, a trader might see the market rising rapidly and instinctively think, “This can’t go any higher! I should short it now.” This reaction feels obvious in the moment, but it lacks deeper analysis. The market could continue rising, trapping the trader in a losing position. Because intuitive thinking is based on gut feelings rather than structured reasoning, it often leads to impulsive and emotionally driven trading decisions. In the next slides, we’ll explore how to counterbalance this instinct with deliberative thinking—the slow, logical approach that leads to better trading decisions.
Unlike intuitive thinking, which reacts quickly and emotionally, deliberative thinking is slow, effortful, and analytical. It requires conscious thought, logical reasoning, and careful consideration before making a decision. This is the part of the brain that helps traders analyze probabilities, assess risks, and make well-informed choices rather than acting on impulse. While it takes more time and effort, it leads to better trading outcomes because decisions are based on data and strategy rather than emotions.
For example, instead of immediately reacting to a fast-moving market, a deliberative trader might pause and think, “Let me check the higher time frame before deciding.” This approach helps traders avoid unnecessary risks and false signals by ensuring that every trade is well-planned. The most successful traders operate primarily in this mode, following a structured process that includes technical analysis, risk management, and reviewing past trades. In the next slides, we’ll discuss how to train our brains to rely more on deliberative thinking and reduce emotional reactions in trading.
Take a moment to answer these two questions:
A bat and a ball cost ₹150 in total. The bat costs ₹120 more than the ball. How much does the ball cost?
If 5 machines take 5 minutes to make 5 widgets, how long would 100 machines take to make 100 widgets?
At first glance, your brain might immediately jump to an answer. If you thought ₹30 for the first question or 100 minutes for the second, you’re relying on intuitive thinking. These answers feel right but are actually incorrect. The correct answers are ₹15 for the ball (since the bat costs ₹135) and 5 minutes for the second question (since each machine’s rate of production stays the same).
This exercise shows how intuitive thinking can mislead us when dealing with numbers and logic-based problems. The same happens in trading—snap decisions based on gut feelings often lead to costly mistakes. To improve as traders, we need to slow down, double-check our reasoning, and shift into deliberative thinking. In the next slides, we’ll explore how to strengthen this skill and apply it to trading decisions.
Did Your Intuition Trick You?
Let’s review the answers:
Answer 1: The ball costs ₹15, not ₹30! If the ball were ₹30, the bat would be ₹150 (₹120 more), making the total ₹180, which is incorrect. The correct way to solve it is by setting up an equation:
Let the ball cost x.
The bat costs x + 120.
So, x + (x + 120) = 150 → 2x + 120 = 150 → 2x = 30 → x = 15.
Answer 2: The correct answer is 5 minutes, not 100 minutes! Since 5 machines take 5 minutes to make 5 widgets, each machine produces 1 widget in 5 minutes. If we increase the number of machines to 100, each still takes 5 minutes to produce a widget, so 100 machines will still take 5 minutes to make 100 widgets.
Most people get these answers wrong because their intuitive brain jumps to conclusions without thinking through the logic. This is exactly how traders make impulsive mistakes—by relying on gut feelings instead of slowing down to analyze the situation properly. The key lesson here is that we must train ourselves to pause, question our first reaction, and shift into deliberative thinking when making trading decisions.
Why is Intuitive Thinking Dangerous in Trading?
Intuitive thinking is great for quick decisions in everyday life, like catching a falling object or reacting to danger. However, in trading, this fast-thinking system becomes a problem because it takes shortcuts, ignores probabilities, and acts on emotions rather than logic. When traders rely on intuition, they often react impulsively to price movements, overestimate their ability to predict the market, and make decisions based on fear or greed rather than strategy.
For example, a trader might see a market rapidly rising and instinctively think, “This can’t go any higher—I should short it!” without checking key levels or trends. Or, after a few losses, they may feel the urge to take revenge trades, hoping to recover quickly. These emotional reactions lead to poor risk management and inconsistent results. To succeed in trading, we must recognize these intuitive traps and learn to replace them with a structured, logical approach.
Let’s look at some common mistakes traders make due to intuitive thinking:
Shorting just because the market has risen too much: A trader might see a sharp price increase and feel like it’s too high to continue, instinctively thinking, “This can’t go any higher; it’s due for a drop.” However, the market doesn’t always follow logical patterns, and this emotional reaction can lead to premature trades that result in losses.
Buying just because the market is falling: Similarly, traders may feel compelled to buy when the market falls too much, thinking, “It’s too low to go any further.” This belief, without proper analysis, can lead to buying into a downtrend or even catching a falling knife, resulting in significant losses.
Taking tips from social media without analysis: Many traders fall into the trap of acting on market tips or rumors they see on social media or trading forums. These decisions are often made without proper research, relying purely on gut feelings or herd mentality.
If you've ever taken a trade just because it "felt right" without fully analyzing the situation, chances are your intuitive brain was in control. These emotional decisions are natural, but they often lead to costly mistakes. The key to improving your trading is learning to slow down, analyze the situation carefully, and avoid rushing into trades based on impulse.
Why Deliberative Thinking Matters
Deliberative thinking is the key to becoming a successful trader because it encourages us to assess probabilities, reduce impulsive trades, and ensure well-thought-out decisions. Instead of acting on gut feelings, traders who use deliberative thinking take the time to analyze market conditions, trends, and risks. By calculating probabilities, reviewing different scenarios, and sticking to a solid trading plan, they can make more rational decisions that are grounded in logic, not emotions.
This slow, methodical approach may seem counterintuitive in a fast-paced market, but it’s what separates successful traders from those who constantly chase the market. The best traders don’t act on impulse; they analyze, think critically, and then trade. This approach leads to consistency in trading, as decisions are based on a systematic process rather than emotional reactions. By training your brain to operate in this way, you’ll improve your decision-making and reduce the likelihood of impulsive, emotional mistakes.
Let’s look at a real-world example of how intuitive thinking can trap traders:
The market rallies from 26,800 to 28,800, and as the price starts to pull back, lower lows form on the hourly chart. Many traders, relying on the short-term price action, decide to short the market, thinking the rally is over. However, when you zoom out and check the daily chart, you notice that there’s no clear reversal signal—it's still showing an overall uptrend.
Despite this, many traders act impulsively based on what they see on the smaller time frames, only to watch the market rally another 500 points, trapping those who shorted the market.
This is exactly how intuitive traders get trapped—by making decisions based on the lower time frames without considering the bigger picture. Deliberative thinking would involve checking higher time frames, assessing the trend, and waiting for a proper confirmation before entering a trade. By training yourself to think this way, you’ll avoid getting caught in market traps like this one.
One of the best strategies for avoiding impulsive mistakes is to always check daily or weekly charts before taking a trade. While it’s tempting to act on short-term movements, smart traders zoom out to get a clearer picture of the market's overall trend. By analyzing higher time frames, you can see if the market is truly reversing or if it's simply a temporary pullback within a larger trend.
It’s important to look for confirmation of trends before acting. If the higher time frames show an uptrend, but the lower time frames show a temporary dip, it may be wise to wait for confirmation before making a trade. Don’t rush based on short-term movements; give yourself time to assess the bigger picture and make decisions based on a well-thought-out analysis rather than emotional reactions.
Remember, successful traders understand that the higher time frame offers critical insights into market direction. By incorporating this approach, you’ll make more informed, consistent trading decisions and avoid getting trapped by short-term fluctuations.
Shifting from intuitive to deliberative trading takes practice, but with consistent effort, you can train your mind to make better decisions. Here’s how you can start:
Review past trades – Were they intuitive or deliberate? Reflecting on your previous trades helps you identify whether your decisions were based on impulse or careful analysis. Understanding the reasoning behind your past trades can help you improve future ones.
Ask ‘Why?’ before every trade: Before entering any position, take a moment to ask yourself, “Why am I taking this trade?” This forces you to think critically and ensures that your decision is based on analysis rather than emotions.
Use probabilities, not gut feelings: Deliberative thinking is based on probability, so focus on statistical analysis and historical patterns rather than relying on your gut. This might include checking your risk-to-reward ratio or waiting for confirmation signals from multiple indicators.
Follow a structured trading plan: A solid trading plan with clearly defined rules and guidelines will help you make logical, consistent decisions. When you follow a plan, you’re less likely to make emotional, impulsive trades.
By implementing these steps, you’ll gradually train your mind to operate more deliberately, leading to more disciplined and profitable trading. Remember, trading is a skill that improves with practice, so take the time to develop your deliberative thinking.
A great historical example of intuitive thinking gone wrong is the Dot-Com Bubble of the late 1990s. During this time, many companies added “.com” to their names, capitalizing on the internet boom. Investors rushed in blindly, often buying shares of these companies based purely on the excitement of the market and the fear of missing out (FOMO).
However, many of these companies had no real business model or clear path to profitability. Investors, driven by emotional excitement and herd mentality, ignored the fundamentals—such as profitability, cash flow, and market demand. As a result, the market eventually collapsed, wiping out traders who didn’t take the time to analyze the companies' real value and business models.
This is a perfect example of intuitive investors acting on emotions and hype without real analysis—and losing big. To avoid this trap, it’s important to apply deliberative thinking, focusing on thorough research, fundamental analysis, and careful assessment of market conditions. This case study shows the importance of not jumping into investments based on emotional impulses but making decisions grounded in solid analysis.
To become a successful trader, you must shift from relying on intuitive thinking to embracing deliberative thinking. Here’s how you can start making that transition:
Avoid easy, obvious trades: If a trade feels too easy or too obvious, it’s often a trap. The market is complex, and quick decisions based on gut feelings usually lead to impulsive mistakes. Take the time to think through your trades, even if they seem like a “sure thing.”
Develop patience and discipline: Patience is key in trading. Instead of reacting immediately to market moves, wait for the right setups and confirmations. Discipline ensures you follow your plan and don’t get swept up in the moment.
Learn to think in probabilities: Trading is about probabilities, not certainty. Start thinking in terms of risk and reward, and assess the likelihood of different outcomes before entering a trade. This shift in mindset will help you make more rational, logical decisions.
Be skeptical of ‘obvious’ trade setups: If a trade seems too perfect or too easy, it’s worth questioning. Often, the most obvious setups are the ones that lead to losses. Always do your due diligence and question your assumptions before pulling the trigger.
By making these changes, you’ll develop a trading mindset that focuses on thoughtful analysis, patience, and probability, rather than emotional, impulsive decisions. The goal is to think deeper, be more strategic, and avoid rushing into trades based on intuition.
Now that we’ve covered the key principles, it’s time to take action.
Start by reviewing your past trades. This is crucial for identifying whether your decisions were based on intuition or deliberate thinking. By reflecting on your trades, you can spot patterns and areas where you may have made impulsive decisions.
Next, identify your intuitive mistakes. Think about trades where you acted quickly or without full analysis. Were you influenced by emotions like fear or greed? Understanding these mistakes helps you avoid repeating them in the future.
Finally, commit to making deliberate decisions going forward. Before you place your next trade, take a step back. Analyze the market, assess probabilities, and follow your trading plan. This shift to a more thoughtful, disciplined approach is what will help you become a more consistent and successful trader.
Your next trade is an opportunity to put these principles into practice. Let’s focus on making smarter, more deliberate decisions from here on out!
123 Quick Learn Trading Tips #3: Better turn up the heat123 Quick Learn Trading Tips #3: Better turn up the heat 🔥
Ever wonder why some traders seem to have all the luck? 🤔 They're not just lucky; they've built an iceberg of hard work, discipline, and even failures beneath the surface of their "success." Don't just chase the tip – build your own solid foundation.
Here's what that iceberg looks like in trading:
Hard work: 📚 Studying markets, developing strategies, and always practicing. No shortcuts here! 🚫
Patience: ⏳ Giving up short-term gains for long-term strategies. Don't rush. Good traders wait for the best opportunities.
Risks: 🎲 Take smart trades, not reckless ones. Be brave, but not foolish.
Discipline: 🎯 Follow your trading plan. Don't let your feelings make you change it. Trust what you learned before. Trust your strategy.
Failures: 🤕 Everyone loses money sometimes. Learn from your losses. It's important to get back up and keep going.
Doubts: 😟 Managing emotions and fear is crucial. It's normal to have doubts.
Changes: 🔄 The market always changes. You need to change your strategies too. Be ready to adapt.
Helpful habits: 📈 Consistent analysis and risk management are your bread and butter. Stick to good routines.
Want to build a success iceberg? 🧊
Better turn up the heat 🔥
– it's going to be a long, cold journey beneath the surface.
👨💼 Navid Jafarian
So, stop scrolling through my TESLA pics 🚗 and get back to analyzing those charts! 📊 Your iceberg isn't going to build itself. 😉
FED Chairman's testimony before CongressGold prices fell from historic levels as investors evaluated Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's congressional testimony and new trade policy statements from US President Donald Trump.
Market sentiment is mainly influenced by two important developments. First, President Donald Trump's announcement on Sunday of plans to impose 25% tariffs on imported steel and aluminum, with no exceptions or exemptions, has raised concerns about potential trade conflicts.
Second, FED Chairman Jerome Powell's hearing also had a big impact on market developments. In his opening speech, Mr. Powell emphasized that the FED remains cautious in cutting interest rates, citing the solid economy and inflation continuously exceeding the FED's 2% target.
Investors are closely watching Mr. Powell's two-day testimony for clues about upcoming monetary policy, especially in the context of consumer price index (CPI) data about to be released. If inflation is higher than expected, market expectations of two interest rate cuts this year could be challenged.
The decline in gold prices from record highs also reflects profit-taking activities after a strong increase since mid-December, with an increase of about 370 USD, equivalent to 14.25%. This adjustment shows that investors are taking advantage of profit-taking opportunities, while reassessing the outlook for monetary policy and trade risks.
TradeCityPro Academy | Risk Management👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s continue with another training session after the first part, which was about Capital Management, and dive into the important topic of Risk Management.
🕵️♂️ Risk Management as a Profession
One of the heaviest responsibilities, riskiest roles, and most demanding efforts in studying or working in a company lies in the field of Risk Management.
The job of risk management exists in various fields, including banking, insurance, investment, and consulting. People working in this field are responsible for identifying financial, operational, or project-related risks and designing strategies to reduce or manage them.
The income of a risk manager varies depending on the country, industry, level of experience, and scope of the project. In developed countries, risk managers in financial industries can earn high incomes. On average, in the United States, the annual income of a risk manager ranges between $80,000 and $150,000.
💰 Risk Management in Financial Markets
Risk management is one of the most important skills and concepts in the world of finance, business, and even daily life. It helps you identify, assess, and control potential risks to avoid unexpected losses.
💡 What is Risk Management?
Risk management is the process of identifying and assessing potential threats and then taking actions to reduce or eliminate their negative impacts. This process helps you make more informed decisions and protect your capital or resources from unnecessary risks.
In financial markets, risk management means identifying, evaluating, and controlling risks related to investments to prevent major losses. This includes setting a Stop Loss, diversifying your investment portfolio, using leverage responsibly, and sticking to your trading strategy. The primary goal is to preserve capital and optimize profits by managing potential risks.
💵 Why Should We Manage Risk?
Before diving into the explanations, let’s illustrate the concept of risk management with a life example: Do you give the same kind of gift to your parents or partner as you would to a distant relative or a friend you recently met? Of course not! Everyone holds a different level of importance in your life.
Now let’s examine this in financial markets. It’s better to have different risk management strategies for your setups and strategies based on market conditions. Categorize them into different groups using your Excel data and setups.
As a side note, in this training, when we talk about risk, we mean the amount of capital you will lose after entering a position and hitting your stop loss not just the amount of capital involved in the position.
Additionally, if you don’t have a written trading plan, strategies, or if you don’t document your positions in Excel or any other platform, this will not be beneficial for you and may result in future losses.
💼 Implementing Risk Management in Trading
We need to categorize our trades based on market conditions, daily circumstances, chart setups, strategies, win rate, written trading plans, and our trade entry checklist.
Here’s how I categorize trades: Very Risky - Risky - Normal - Confident
1️⃣ Very Risky
For this category, it’s better to have a separate account purely for testing, FOMO, or experiments. These trades have very few confirmations (1–2). Trade with less than 0.1%–0.25% of your main capital in this category.
2️⃣ Risky
These trades are opened in your main account because they generally meet some confirmations but lack key ones. For instance, you anticipate a resistance breakout and go long before confirmation. These trades usually have a small stop loss, leading to higher risk-to-reward ratios. Use 0.25%–0.5% of your capital for these trades.
3️⃣ Normal
These trades have most confirmations but might miss a few. For example, out of 10 items on your checklist, 6–7 are confirmed. These form the majority of trades. Be cautious about the win rate of this category, as it should be higher than your overall average. Use 0.5%–0.75% of your capital here.
4️⃣ Confident
These trades have all major confirmations, and your strategy’s triggers are activated. Additionally, 8–9 out of 10 items on your trade entry checklist are confirmed. These are your most confident trades. Use 0.75%–1% of your capital for these trades.
⚠️ Daily Risk Management
Don’t use your entire daily risk limit at once. For example, if your daily risk is 1.5%, keep some risk in reserve in case your first trade hits its stop loss. This allows you to recover and even profit later in the day.
Focus on normal trades. These should form the majority of your trades since they maintain a healthy win rate. Risky trades might lower your win rate, while confident trades occur less frequently and won’t significantly impact your overall win rate.
📝 Building Risk Management and Consistency
Risk management based on your checklists and spreadsheets can take around 6–8 months to develop, starting after learning technical analysis. In the beginning, allocate 0.5% risk per trade while documenting your trades.
This will prevent unnecessary self-blame for stop-loss hits in risky trades and help you trade confidently with a solid plan.
❤️ Friendly Note
If you don’t follow these principles, trading might become an on-and-off journey, leading to frustration and eventual market exit. In the end, your money will go to traders who adhere to these rules.
If you’ve read this far, congratulations! Unlike misleading social media ads, this guide offers genuine, practical insights. Be proud of your effort and focus on applying these principles. Let’s progress together and elevate our lives through financial markets. 😊
World gold price todayIn the international market, at 6:00 a.m. on January 24, the world spot gold price was $2,753/ounce, down $7 from the highest price in the overnight trading session of $2,760/ounce. However, the gold price later rose to a new high, around $2,770/ounce, up nearly $20/ounce compared to today.
According to Jim Wyckoff, senior analyst at Kitco Metals, recent better economic data from the US suggests that the Fed may have to delay cutting interest rates longer and the higher interest rate environment increases the opportunity cost of holding Lis gold.
This expert commented that in the US stock market, stock investors are trading very strongly, so gold is less interested.
Another factor that investors are paying attention to is that President Trump announced that he would impose tariffs on goods from the European Union and is considering applying a 10% tax on Chinese imports from February 1.
However, if these policies are considered to be inflationary, causing the Fed to maintain high interest rates for a long time, the attractiveness of gold as an inflation hedge may decrease.
FOMO and Hope for a Price Reversal: Two Psychological Traps❓ Have you ever entered a trade out of fear of missing out (FOMO) or held on to a losing position, hoping the market would turn in your favor?
Psychological mistakes are a huge factor in whether a trader succeeds or fails. One of the most common and damaging mistakes is FOMO (Fear of Missing Out), followed by holding onto trades because of an unrealistic hope that the market will reverse despite all evidence pointing to the opposite. These behaviors are far too common, even among experienced traders. Understanding and avoiding them is essential to improve your trading results. 🧵
💡In this article, we’ll break down the psychological mistakes every trader faces, how to identify them, and practical strategies to prevent them from affecting your trades.
The Psychological Side of Trading 🧠
In trading, emotions can be our worst enemy. Here are two common psychological traps that many traders fall into:
🔮 FOMO (Fear of Missing Out):
What It Is: FOMO is when you enter a trade impulsively, simply because you see others making profits or you fear missing the "big move."
Why It Happens: The market seems to be moving in one direction, and you don't want to miss out on potential profits. This often happens when you're watching others on social media or in trading groups.
Impact: This leads to impulsive decisions, often entering trades late in the trend or at inappropriate levels.
Tip: To combat FOMO, stick to your pre-defined trading plan and only take trades based on your specific criteria. Remember, there will always be new opportunities.
🔎 Unrealistic Hope in Price Reversals:
What It Is: This is when you hold onto a losing position, hoping that the market will reverse in your favor, despite clear signs to the contrary.
Why It Happens: It’s often rooted in the belief that “the market can’t keep going against me,” or the hope that the trend will change.
Impact: This often results in larger losses because the trader doesn't cut their losses early and ends up holding onto a position until it’s too late.
Tip: When you see signs that the market is continuing against you, cut your losses quickly. Trading is about being patient and disciplined, not about hoping for a reversal.
🛠 Strategies and Tools for Managing Emotions 📈
Trading is all about control—control over risk, strategy, and most importantly, over your emotions. Here are some tools and strategies to keep your psychology in check:
1. Position Sizing & Risk Management
Position Sizing: One of the most effective ways to reduce emotional stress and maintain control over your trades is by managing your position size. A general rule of thumb is to risk 1-2% of your total account balance on each trade. However, this percentage can vary based on your risk tolerance, experience, and self-awareness. As you gain more experience and better understand your risk profile, you may adjust this amount accordingly, but always ensure you're comfortable with the risk you're taking.
2. Stick to Your Strategy
Trading Plan: Make sure you have a solid trading plan and stick to it. Your plan should include:
Entry signals
Exit signals
Risk management rules (e.g., stop-loss, take-profit levels)
Don't Chase the Market: If you missed the breakout, don’t chase it. There will always be new opportunities, and chasing the market often leads to poor entry points and higher risks.
3. Psychological Self-Awareness
Track Your Emotions: Keep a trading journal to track not only your trades but also your emotional state. Understanding your psychological triggers (e.g., fear, greed) can help you avoid emotional mistakes.
Set Realistic Expectations: Remember, trading is a marathon, not a sprint. Accept that you will have losses, and focus on your long-term profitability rather than on every single trade.
Successfully navigating trading isn’t just about technical indicators or chart patterns—it’s also about controlling your emotions. FOMO and holding on to unrealistic hopes can seriously damage your trading performance. The key is to develop a strong psychological mindset: stick to your strategy, manage your risk, and always make decisions based on data, not emotions.
💌Now, it’s your turn!
Which psychological mistakes have you encountered in your trading journey? Share your experiences in the comments below and let’s learn from each other!
I’m Skeptic , here to simplify trading and help you achieve mastery step by step. Let’s keep growing together! 🤍
Gold prices will fluctuate strongly when Trump takes officeGold prices fluctuated violently today when the USD Index reached 109.35 points, helping the value of the USD increase to its highest level in the past 2 years.
On the other hand, bond interest rates also increased to nearly 4.8%, which encouraged many people to invest in this investment channel. Since then, very little money has flowed into the gold market. Today's gold price has taken on additional disadvantages.
Under pressure from the USD and US bonds, speculators may think that holding gold is disadvantageous. Therefore, many people have sold gold to take profits. Today's gold price has naturally "evaporated" tens of USD/ounce.
Analysts say the international gold market is fluctuating unpredictably due to investors' concerns about financial stability, before Mr. Donald Trump returns to the White House on January 20.
AUD/USD Analysis, Key Points, and Trading PlanKey Points:
Strong Support/Resistance: .63000
1 Hour Breakthrough & Retest Point: .61800
Next Target: .60000
AU is overall bearish in a trading range of .63000-.60000
We can potentially see a retest to .61800 before seeing more bearish momentum.
I will keep you updated on new information given throughout the week.
Trading Without a Plan: The Rollercoaster I Couldn’t Get OffWhen I started trading, I thought I didn’t need a plan. I’d jump into trades, figuring I’d make it work as I went along. For a while, I got lucky. But soon, luck ran out.
The Day I Realized I Needed a Plan
It hit me after a week of back-to-back losses. Every win I’d made was wiped out, and I didn’t understand why. I wasn’t following any rules—I was just hoping each trade would work out. And when it didn’t, I felt completely lost.
What Trading Without a Plan Did to Me
-My results were inconsistent: Some days were great, but most weren’t.
-I had no risk management: I’d risk too much on one trade and too little on another.
-I felt out of control: Without a plan, I was relying on gut feelings, and they failed me.
How I Fixed It
I decided to start over. I created a simple plan, back-tested it, and promised to stick to it. I set rules for how much I’d risk and reminded myself that small, consistent wins would add up over time.
What I Learned
-A plan gives you control and consistency.
-Risk management is key—it protects your account when trades don’t go your way.
-Trading without a plan isn’t trading. It’s gambling.
If you’re struggling with inconsistency or a lack of direction, send me a DM—I’ve been there and can help. I also have a webinar this Sunday to help you build a strategy and stay consistent.
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
THE KOG REPORT - NFPTHE KOG REPORT – NFP
This is our view for NFP, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price.
We’ve had an extremely decent week on the markets so please take it easy and remember the trade comes after they have made the move. Let them take it to where they want, wait for the exhaustion, identify the reversal, and then look for the trade. Most likely, the best trades come next week!
We have the breakout we were looking for out of the 2650-55 region which has now flipped. The resistance above is sitting at 2680-85 and above that 2695-2700. This level needs to be watched, a RIP here and we could see this come all the way back down into the order region again 2655-60 with extension of the move. This region for us would represent an opportunity to take the long trade back for the shorter capture.
On the flip, if they take this down during the move, we’ll be looking at the levels below shown on the chart, 2660-55 is a key level, our bias stands at 2645 in extension of the move. These levels may give us opportunities to then long back up if the higher levels are untouched!
Although all our bullish targets completed yesterday, we’ll share the Red box levels below as a guide for the intra-day strategy.
KOG’s Bias for the day:
Bullish above 2645 with targets above 2685, 2694 and 2700
Bearish on break of 2645 with targets below 2635
RED BOXES
Break above 2691 for 2700, 2702, 2710 in extension of the move
Break below 2675 for 2668, 2655 and 2645 in extension of the move
The circled question marks on the chart are our hot spots!
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XRP SeekingPips reminds himself STICK TO THE PLAN, XRP LONG ONLY
I would consider the following as a GOLD STAR LESSON TO BE SAVED.
Yesterday created a great reminder opportunity that you must have a PLAN & RULES.
Even SeekingPips is human and therefore sometimes will deviate from the plan.
The GOLD SECRET is to realise the error and get back on track as soon as possible.
I was very clear on the chart share on 01/01/2025 that I only wanted to accumulate XRP
Here is the copy of that paragraph :
"ℹ️ However whilst price remains above 2.10 USD I do not want to take the short side of XRP."
By the next chart share the next day 02/01/25 it was clear to me where price was and that I was seeing a clear BULL FLAG on the DAILY CHART.
✅️ With that information I had a plan❕️✅️
ℹ️So what's the lesson you ask?❔️
⭐️Well Seeking Pips didn't stick to the plan.
Price was still well above 2.10 but shared a short chart idea.
This is why a TRADE JOURNAL is a GREAT idea.
In real time you may not see or notice any TRADING ERRORS but by having a journal it's in black and white and you can spot any problems early.✅️
⚠️So what were the KEY POINTS from yesterday?
🟢 Based on the D1 timeframe chart there was no valid reason according to my PLAN to conditioner any short positions.
🟢 Even based on the intra day timeframes that I use my RED LINE on my chart share at 2.3268 was never traded below.
🟢 Too zoomed in to price on lower timeframes. Seeking Pips considered the intra day timeframes and price action over what the Daily and Weekly charts were indicating.
🟢 Quantity over quality, wanting to be active and share some content, even given the fact that the DAY, WEEK and EVEN YEAR had just started.
🟢 NOT GIVING the IDEA time to play out. Barely two hours earlier I had already decided that my bias was to the long side.
There was no trigger to invalid that bias.
⭐️THE LESSON⭐️
Trading is not all about Lambos and penthouses. Yes that can be a final goal if you want it to be BUT to get to that point you really do have to iron out all of the ugly stuff first...
If this post helps even one peron on their trading journey it has done it's job.👌
PLEASE LIKE AND SHARE THIS POST IF YOU FOUND IT USEFUL. 👍
Choppy Market: Patience and Key Levels to WatchThis chart highlights a low-probability trading environment with corrective structures and low volatility. Key focus areas:
Upside Breakout: Watch for impulsive moves above the 30M trendline and 4H LQZ for short-term bullish setups.
Downside Correction: A steeper drop into the 15M or 1H LQZ may provide higher-probability long opportunities.
Stay Patient: Avoid trading inside the choppy range; wait for clear reactions at liquidity zones or strong breakouts with momentum.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see update on our 1H chart idea from Sunday. We are still seeing sideways movement in the market. Generally when this happens, market leaves gaps open in both directions, which is typical of ranging market.
We got our bearish target hit at 2618 and now left a open gap below. We also saw attempts to our bigger bullish gap above at 2647 and still remains open. We are comfortable buying dips from the retracement range, as part of our plans to buy dips rather then chasing the full target. Should we get the full open bearish gaps complete first, we will use the gap levels below to buy dips.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2647
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2647 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2668
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2668 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2691
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2691 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2719
BEARISH TARGETS
2618 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2618 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2595
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2595 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2570 - 2551
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see the daily chart update we have been trading and tracking for a while now, to give you all an overall view of the range.
After completing 2686 previously we were left with a candle body close break opening the gap above but had no cross and lock therefore confirming rejection for the move down.
We are now seeing price play in the retracement range and expect this range to provide support with the lowest in the range we can see 2560 and support above this level should provide bounces to chase targets above.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops like this, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
USD/JPY Delivers Exactly as Predicted—Next Stop: 161.92?Daily Context:
The daily timeframe continues to respect the bullish structure, with strong upward momentum intact. We’ve successfully broken the last high, achieving the medium-term target of 156.74. My long-term target of 161.92 remains firmly in place, aligning perfectly with the broader trend.
4H Perspective:
The market played out exactly as we talked about in the last analysis. After the accumulation phase, the breakout was clean, and the price delivered a strong markup, reaching 156.74. This perfectly confirms the bullish shift we anticipated following the distribution phase and validates the daily demand zone as a solid foundation for upward movement.
Updated Trade Plan:
Now that 156.74 has been achieved, I’ll monitor for a potential pullback into the 155.50–156.00 zone for a continuation setup.
If the bullish structure holds, the next target remains 161.92, which aligns with the higher timeframe trend.
💡 Key Takeaway:
Patience and structure-based trading paid off here—once again, the market delivered exactly as expected. The most important thing is to trade markets with clear context and solid setups. Stay focused, and let the market come to you!