Tradingplans
Trade like a casino! 🎰🎲💵Yep you heard me right you need trade like a casino 🎰
Key bit here is trade like the casino operates their business model.
Don't trade like the clients that frequent the casinos.
Why should you trade like a casino?
Profitable traders understand how casinos are successful.
Casinos are profitable and make money because they have an edge which they let play out.
They know probability is in their favour.
How many times have we all been at a roulette table thinking we have a 50% chance of winning betting on red or black.
We all seem to forget about that green zero on the table and here in lies the casinos edge.
With having an edge they let play out it's impossible for them not to make money.
The casino is comfortable with every outcome on the bets placed knowing the edge will play out.
Losses are seen as a cost of business, risk is controlled and emotions to are in check.
This is why the house always wins! 🎰🤑
If you as a trader apply the same logic's to your trading strategies the end results will be the same as the casino.
If you choose to trade like one of the clients in the casino with no fixed rules you essentially are gambling with you trading.
Subjectivity and emotions will come in to play.
Random winning and losing runs will occur which will impact trading psychology.
This way of trading will only end in one way and that's by giving everything to the house or in this case your broker!
Development of a strategies with proven mathematical edges ensures you will become the house 🏦💰
Once an edge is established trust your strategy and let that edge play out.
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Please hit the 👍 LIKE button if you like my ideas🙏
Also follow my profile, then you will receive a notification whenever I post a trading idea - so you don't miss them. 🙌
No one likes missing out, do they?
Also, see my 'related ideas' below to see more just like this.
Thank you.
Darren
We start the week with a gold long 👍👊Morning traders
My first trade of the week is our 15M gold strategy entered a trade a 2 am UK time.
New trade entry details are shown on the chart.
This strategy is a follow trend strategy with as stop loss.
Trade history can be seen below this trade idea too for full transparency.
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I try and share as many ideas as I can as and when I have time. My trades are automated so I am not sat in front of a screen daily.
Jumping on random trade ideas 'willy-nilly' on Trading View trying to find that one trade that you can retire from is not a sustainable way to trade. You might get lucky, but it will always end one way.
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Please hit the 👍 LIKE button if you like my ideas🙏
Also follow my profile, then you will receive a notification whenever I post a trading idea - so you don't miss them. 🙌
No one likes missing out, do they?
Also, see my 'related ideas' below to see more just like this.
The stats for this pair are shown below too.
Thank you.
Darren.
Understanding draw down recovery 😬😥Morning traders.
Middle of the trading week all ready!
I thought I'd take this opportunity to discuss a topic we all fear and we all find ourselves in at some point in our trading journey.
That topic being draw down and your account in a loss of starting capital.
The table I have drawn on the chart shows the amount of gain required to get an account back to break even depending on how big the draw down is on your capital.
Scary stuff when viewed in a simple table format like and hits home just how big of task over turning losses could be.
No trading system or strategy has zero losses or draw down and all strategies endure losing runs.
To avoid excessive losses there is two crucial elements.
Sounds obvious but cut losing trades quickly is the first element, second element is factoring probability into the trading strategy.
Probability helps control risk management which in turns keep losses to a minimum, probability is obtained by carrying out back testing on your strategy.
You can't plan for probability in your risk management if you have no data for your strategy.
The example I am using for this Idea is on AUDCHF H1 timeframe and thanks to our built in strategy tester I can see if I traded this pair in the manner the strategy is set over the last 292 trades at 1% risk I am 22% down on my account. It would not take in the region of a 25% account gain to be back to near break even on my account!!!
You don't need a built in strategy tester to gain this information you can also manually back test a strategy in order to avoid losses and to know if you are entering markets with a proven edge.
A trading edge means your strategy creates bigger wins than losses. Which in turn means you avoid the situation shown in the table.
To avoid hefty draw down don't enter the markets blind with an unproven strategy.
Ensure you have back tested strategies with probability factored in to those strategies that way what is shown in the table wont apply to you then 👍
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Please hit the 👍 LIKE button if you like my ideas🙏
Also follow my profile, then you will receive a notification whenever I post a trading idea - so you don't miss them. 🙌
No one likes missing out, do they?
Also, see my 'related ideas' below to see more just like this.
The stats for this pair are shown below too.
Thank you.
Darren
EURGBP sell now live ✋Entry details are shown on the chart.
We're only looking for TP3.
Trade history can be seen below this trade idea too for full transparency.
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I try and share as many ideas as I can as and when I have time. My trades are automated so I am not sat in front of a screen daily.
Jumping on random trade ideas 'willy-nilly' on Trading View trying to find that one trade that you can retire from is not a sustainable way to trade. You might get lucky, but it will always end one way.
------------------------------------------
Please hit the 👍 LIKE button if you like my ideas🙏
Also follow my profile, then you will receive a notification whenever I post a trading idea - so you don't miss them. 🙌
No one likes missing out, do they?
Also, see my 'related ideas' below to see more just like this.
The stats for this pair are shown below too.
Thank you.
Darren.
NZDUSD short progressing 👌Entry details are shown on the chart.
Trade is working our NZDUSD H1 strategy.
We're only looking for TP3.
Trade history can be seen below this trade idea too for full transparency.
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I try and share as many ideas as I can as and when I have time. My trades are automated so I am not sat in front of a screen daily.
Jumping on random trade ideas 'willy-nilly' on Trading View trying to find that one trade that you can retire from is not a sustainable way to trade. You might get lucky, but it will always end one way.
------------------------------------------
Please hit the 👍 LIKE button if you like my ideas🙏
Also follow my profile, then you will receive a notification whenever I post a trading idea - so you don't miss them. 🙌
No one likes missing out, do they?
Also, see my 'related ideas' below to see more just like this.
The stats for this pair are shown below too.
Thank you.
EURGBP sell in progress🤞🙏Morning traders.
We start the day with a EURGBP short trade that has started overnight.
Entry details are shown on the chart.
In slight draw down as we speak but lets see how this plays out.
We're only looking for TP3.
Strategy is slightly above 1:1 RR but coupled to a great win percentage which has equalled nice consistent gains.
The scripts built in strategy tester shows this is the most effective way to trade this pair on H1 time frame.
Trade history can be seen below this trade idea too for full transparency.
------------------------------------------
I try and share as many ideas as I can as and when I have time. My trades are automated so I am not sat in front of a screen daily.
Jumping on random trade ideas 'willy-nilly' on Trading View trying to find that one trade that you can retire from is not a sustainable way to trade. You might get lucky, but it will always end one way.
------------------------------------------
Please hit the 👍 LIKE button if you like my ideas🙏
Also follow my profile, then you will receive a notification whenever I post a trading idea - so you don't miss them. 🙌
No one likes missing out, do they?
Also, see my 'related ideas' below to see more just like this.
Interested in access to my strategy so you can be in these trades the moment they're valid? Drop me a DM .
The stats for this pair are shown below too.
Thank you.
Darren
CADJPY makes it four out of five trades 🇨🇦🇯🇵🏦Afternoon traders.
A solid week for the pair in question, CADJPY working the 30M time frame.
The last four trades out of five have hit the desired profit target.
This just shows the adaptability of the script in use and also shows that even trading a 1:1 risk reward ratio is possible.
How do I know its possible to trade this way? By the built in strategy tester. As always the results are at the bottom of this idea.
The stats are based on £10000 starting capital risking 1% reward per trade. Data stretches all the way back to January 2019.
Having this level of back test results give great confidence when entering the markets knowing we are trading with a proven edge.
I say on my ideas I don't recommend following random trades on TradingView as it's not a consistent trading plan or strategy.
This idea proves how even a 1:1 risk reward strategy can be traded with an edge thanks to a proven back tested system.
For any more information on the methods and script in use feel free to drop me a message.
NZDUSD > Trading Plan for Both Sells and Buys!!Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis, and if you feel generous and kind today, give it a like and leave a comment it will support the creation of new free ideas for you.
Update of #NZDUSD
Hello friends.
Similar to my AUDUSD analysis, a similar plan also.
If the market closes above the current resistance I will look for trend continuation entry for a possible 60 pips range.
If the market closes below the support level I will look for a selling opportunity targeting the lows and possible I will just disregard the whole setup as it has a small profit for me
Safe trading everyone
Check today analysis below⠀
>>There is no single market secret to discover, no single correct way to trade the markets. Those seeking the one true answer to the markets haven’t even gotten as far as asking the right question, let alone getting the right answer.
Jack Schwager – Author of Market Wizards
_____________________________________________________________________________⠀
-Disclaimer: this information is not a recommendation to BUY or SELL. It is to be used for educational purposes only⠀
-Please note this is just a PREDICTION and i have no reason to act on it and neither should you
The importance of working to a trading strategy. Morning traders
Just wanted to share these thoughts on the importance of finding trading plans and strategies then sticking to those plans.
In my last idea I discussed the importance of holding trades and not to deviate of track.
That idea was working the H2 chart following the trend with a stop loss on AUDJPY pair and the trade has been running since 24th November.
The script I am running allows me to run numerous strategies to the way I would like to trade. This certainly helps with removing emotions when it comes to trading. Coupled to a built in back tester which reassures on how effective your trading plan could be.
These idea in question here is EURGBP pair trade on the 15M chart with a stop loss and take profit target implemented. Risk to reward is 1:2.5
First thing I want to touch on is even though we are trading on a lower time frame here patience is still key. Along with letting trades run there course to the trading plan that is implemented.
Back test data for the plan implemented on this pair shows 122% gains on initial investment from Feb 1st of this year. Working to a 1:2.5 RR and a 2% capital risk per trade. We have two back to back trades here which produced 135 pips of profit. Despite being on 15M time frame the two trades took two an half days to play out.
If I wasn't sticking to a rigid back tested plan I might have been tempted to close for profit too early or worse still close at the point the trade entered the loss zone. Thus missing out on the eventual outcome which was hitting the take profit target!
Emotions are a massive element for us traders to control. The strategy I am using has helped massively with emotion control for myself.
For more information on the script I am using please message me.
TRADERSAI - A.I.POWERED NIFTY50 TRADING PLANS for TUE 08/11Hey folks,
The trading levels for today, TUE 08/11, are as given in the chart (these are same as the levels for yesterday, Mon 08/10). Read below for more details.
Our debut message below (published on Thursday, 07/30) explains the notation and how to interpret the trading plans we publish, and who we are in this space. This is the Trading Day-7 of our limited test-launch for the Indian stock market NIFTY 50 Index. Appreciate your feedback and comments.
NOTE: Pay attention to the Take Profit and Stop Loss levels added as note ( iii ) below.
Good luck with your trading today!
***********************************************************
Hey everyone!
After two years of unprecedented growth and consistent performance in the US with daily trading plans on the S&P 500 Index , we are now testing our models on the Indian stock markets with the NIFTY 50 Futures . This is our debut for you all who have been waiting for it!
While we know this would enthrall many readers that have been asking for it, we are cautious about jumping on these trades right away - give these models a few days, see how they perform, and then begin to adapt them to your own trading style and risk appetite. And, please do share your feedback, thoughts, ideas, and suggestions about anything glaring or missing - we are new to the Indian markets and are still trying to learn its idiosyncrasies. Thank you!
Notation:
(i) Use these line crosses on your choice of time frame chart.
Most aggressive - on a 1-minute chart
Moderate - 5 to 15 minute chart
Intraday swing - 30 minute chart
Note that the lower your time frame, the more choppiness and whipsawing you might experience in your results.
(ii) Cross Above (Below) - triggered when the previous close was below (above) the line and the current close is above (below). Aggressive traders may use other criteria such as high crossing the line, close crossing the line without regard to the previous close, etc.
Solid Green Line: Models would go long on a cross above this line
Dotted Green Line: Models would close out a short (buy to close an open short but NOT go long). You can use Close-to-Close basis OR Open-to-Close basis OR Low-to-High, depending on your trading style.
Solid Red Line: Models would go short on a cross below this line
Dotted Red Line: Models would close out a long (sell to close an open buy but NOT go short). You can use Close-to-Close basis OR Open-to-Close basis OR High-to-High, depending on your trading style.
( iii ) Take Profit: Our NIFTY models are currently using a 20-point trailing stop activated once a 10-point profit level is reached.
Stop Loss: Our NIFTY models are currently using a 20-point stop loss level activated at the entry.
This is NOT an investment advice. This is meant for experienced traders to use as another tool to inform and guide their own trading decisions.
TRADERSAI - A.I.POWERED NIFTY TRADING PLANS for MON 08/09Hey folks,
The trading levels for today, MON 08/09, are as given in the chart. Read below for more details.
Our debut message below (published on Thursday, 07/30) explains the notation and how to interpret the trading plans we publish, and who we are in this space. This is the Trading Day-7 of our limited test-launch for the Indian stock market NIFTY 50 Index. Appreciate your feedback and comments.
NOTE: Pay attention to the Take Profit and Stop Loss levels added as note ( iii ) below.
Good luck with your trading today!
***********************************************************
Hey everyone!
After two years of unprecedented growth and consistent performance in the US with daily trading plans on the S&P 500 Index , we are now testing our models on the Indian stock markets with the NIFTY 50 Futures . This is our debut for you all who have been waiting for it!
While we know this would enthrall many readers that have been asking for it, we are cautious about jumping on these trades right away - give these models a few days, see how they perform, and then begin to adapt them to your own trading style and risk appetite. And, please do share your feedback, thoughts, ideas, and suggestions about anything glaring or missing - we are new to the Indian markets and are still trying to learn its idiosyncrasies. Thank you!
Notation:
(i) Use these line crosses on your choice of time frame chart.
Most aggressive - on a 1-minute chart
Moderate - 5 to 15 minute chart
Intraday swing - 30 minute chart
Note that the lower your time frame, the more choppiness and whipsawing you might experience in your results.
(ii) Cross Above (Below) - triggered when the previous close was below (above) the line and the current close is above (below). Aggressive traders may use other criteria such as high crossing the line, close crossing the line without regard to the previous close, etc.
Solid Green Line: Models would go long on a cross above this line
Dotted Green Line: Models would close out a short (buy to close an open short but NOT go long). You can use Close-to-Close basis OR Open-to-Close basis OR Low-to-High, depending on your trading style.
Solid Red Line: Models would go short on a cross below this line
Dotted Red Line: Models would close out a long (sell to close an open buy but NOT go short). You can use Close-to-Close basis OR Open-to-Close basis OR High-to-High, depending on your trading style.
( iii ) Take Profit: Our NIFTY models are currently using a 20-point trailing stop activated once a 15-point profit level is reached.
Stop Loss: Our NIFTY models are currently using a 30-point stop loss level activated at the entry.
This is NOT an investment advice. This is meant for experienced traders to use as another tool to inform and guide their own trading decisions.
TRADERSAI - A.I.POWERED NIFTY50 TRADING PLANS for THU 08/06
Hey everyone,
The trading levels for today, THU 08/06, are the same as for yesterday. Read below for more details.
Our debut message below (published on Thursday, 07/30) explains the notation and how to interpret the trading plans we publish, and who we are in this space. This is the Trading Day-5 of our limited test-launch for the Indian stock market NIFTY 50 Index. Appreciate your feedback and comments.
NOTE: Pay attention to the Take Profit and Stop Loss levels added as note ( iii ) below.
Good luck with your trading today!
***********************************************************
Hey everyone!
After two years of unprecedented growth and consistent performance in the US with daily trading plans on the S&P 500 Index , we are now testing our models on the Indian stock markets with the NIFTY 50 Futures . This is our debut for you all who have been waiting for it!
While we know this would enthrall many readers that have been asking for it, we are cautious about jumping on these trades right away - give these models a few days, see how they perform, and then begin to adapt them to your own trading style and risk appetite. And, please do share your feedback, thoughts, ideas, and suggestions about anything glaring or missing - we are new to the Indian markets and are still trying to learn its idiosyncrasies. Thank you!
Notation:
(i) Use these line crosses on your choice of time frame chart.
Most aggressive - on a 1-minute chart
Moderate - 5 to 15 minute chart
Intraday swing - 30 minute chart
Note that the lower your time frame, the more choppiness and whipsawing you might experience in your results.
(ii) Cross Above (Below) - triggered when the previous close was below (above) the line and the current close is above (below). Aggressive traders may use other criteria such as high crossing the line, close crossing the line without regard to the previous close, etc.
Solid Green Line: Models would go long on a cross above this line
Dotted Green Line: Models would close out a short (buy to close an open short but NOT go long). You can use Close-to-Close basis OR Open-to-Close basis OR Low-to-High, depending on your trading style.
Solid Red Line: Models would go short on a cross below this line
Dotted Red Line: Models would close out a long (sell to close an open buy but NOT go short). You can use Close-to-Close basis OR Open-to-Close basis OR High-to-High, depending on your trading style.
( iii ) Take Profit: Our NIFTY models are currently using a 20-point trailing stop activated once a 15-point profit level is reached.
Stop Loss: Our NIFTY models are currently using a 30-point stop loss level activated at the entry.
This is NOT an investment advice. This is meant for experienced traders to use as another tool to inform and guide their own trading decisions.
TRADERSAI - A.I.POWERED NIFTY TRADING PLANS for WED 08/05Hey guys and gals,
Our debut message below (published on Thursday, 07/30) explains the notation and how to interpret the trading plans we publish, and who we are in this space. This is the Trading Day-5 of our limited test-launch for the Indian stock market NIFTY 50 Index. Appreciate your feedback and comments.
NOTE: Pay attention to the Take Profit and Stop Loss levels added as note (iii) below.
Good luck with your trading today!
***********************************************************
Hey everyone!
After two years of unprecedented growth and consistent performance in the US with daily trading plans on the S&P 500 Index , we are now testing our models on the Indian stock markets with the NIFTY 50 Futures . This is our debut for you all who have been waiting for it!
While we know this would enthrall many readers that have been asking for it, we are cautious about jumping on these trades right away - give these models a few days, see how they perform, and then begin to adapt them to your own trading style and risk appetite. And, please do share your feedback, thoughts, ideas, and suggestions about anything glaring or missing - we are new to the Indian markets and are still trying to learn its idiosyncrasies. Thank you!
Notation:
(i) Use these line crosses on your choice of time frame chart.
Most aggressive - on a 1-minute chart
Moderate - 5 to 15 minute chart
Intraday swing - 30 minute chart
Note that the lower your time frame, the more choppiness and whipsawing you might experience in your results.
(ii) Cross Above (Below) - triggered when the previous close was below (above) the line and the current close is above (below). Aggressive traders may use other criteria such as high crossing the line, close crossing the line without regard to the previous close, etc.
Solid Green Line: Models would go long on a cross above this line
Dotted Green Line: Models would close out a short (buy to close an open short but NOT go long). You can use Close-to-Close basis OR Open-to-Close basis OR Low-to-High, depending on your trading style.
Solid Red Line: Models would go short on a cross below this line
Dotted Red Line: Models would close out a long (sell to close an open buy but NOT go short). You can use Close-to-Close basis OR Open-to-Close basis OR High-to-High, depending on your trading style.
(iii) Take Profit: Our NIFTY models are currently using a 20-point trailing stop activated once a 15-point profit level is reached.
Stop Loss: Our NIFTY models are currently using a 30-point stop loss level activated at the entry.
This is NOT an investment advice. This is meant for experienced traders to use as another tool to inform and guide their own trading decisions.
TRADERSAI - A.I.POWERED NIFTY50 TRADING PLANS for TUE 08/04 Hey all,
Our debut message below (published on Thursday, 07/30) explains the notation and how to interpret the trading plans we publish, and who we are in this space. This is the Trading Day-4 of our limited test-launch for the Indian stock market NIFTY 50 Index. Appreciate your feedback and comments.
Good luck with your trading today and have a great week ahead!
***********************************************************
Hey everyone!
After two years of unprecedented growth and consistent performance in the US with daily trading plans on the S&P 500 Index , we are now testing our models on the Indian stock markets with the NIFTY 50 Futures . This is our debut for you all who have been waiting for it!
While we know this would enthrall many readers that have been asking for it, we are cautious about jumping on these trades right away - give these models a few days, see how they perform, and then begin to adapt them to your own trading style and risk appetite. And, please do share your feedback, thoughts, ideas, and suggestions about anything glaring or missing - we are new to the Indian markets and are still trying to learn its idiosyncrasies. Thank you!
Legend:
(i) Use these line crosses on your choice of time frame chart.
Most aggressive - on a 1-minute chart
Moderate - 5 to 15 minute chart
Intraday swing - 30 minute chart
Note that the lower your time frame, the more choppiness and whipsawing you might experience in your results.
(ii) Cross Above (Below) - triggered when the previous close was below (above) the line and the current close is above (below). Aggressive traders may use other criteria such as high crossing the line, close crossing the line without regard to the previous close, etc.
Solid Green Line: Models would go long on a cross above this line
Dotted Green Line: Models would close out a short (buy to close an open short but NOT go long). You can use Close-to-Close basis OR Open-to-Close basis OR Low-to-High, depending on your trading style.
Solid Red Line: Models would go short on a cross below this line
Dotted Red Line: Models would close out a long (sell to close an open buy but NOT go short). You can use Close-to-Close basis OR Open-to-Close basis OR High-to-High, depending on your trading style.
This is NOT an investment advice. This is meant for experienced traders to use as another tool to inform and guide their own trading decisions.
TRADERSAI - A.I.POWERED NIFTY50 TRADING PLANS for MON 08/03 Hey all,
Our debut message below (published on Thursday, 07/30) explains the notation and how to interpret the trading plans we publish, and who we are in this space. This is the Trading Day-3 of our limited test-launch for the Indian stock market NIFTY 50 Index. Appreciate your feedback and comments.
Good luck with your trading today and have a great week ahead!
***********************************************************
Hey everyone!
After two years of unprecedented growth and consistent performance in the US with daily trading plans on the S&P 500 Index , we are now testing our models on the Indian stock markets with the NIFTY 50 Futures . This is our debut for you all who have been waiting for it!
While we know this would enthrall many readers that have been asking for it, we are cautious about jumping on these trades right away - give these models a few days, see how they perform, and then begin to adapt them to your own trading style and risk appetite. And, please do share your feedback, thoughts, ideas, and suggestions about anything glaring or missing - we are new to the Indian markets and are still trying to learn its idiosyncrasies. Thank you!
Legend:
(i) Use these line crosses on your choice of time frame chart.
Most aggressive - on a 1-minute chart
Moderate - 5 to 15 minute chart
Intraday swing - 30 minute chart
Note that the lower your time frame, the more choppiness and whipsawing you might experience in your results.
(ii) Cross Above (Below) - triggered when the previous close was below (above) the line and the current close is above (below). Aggressive traders may use other criteria such as high crossing the line, close crossing the line without regard to the previous close, etc.
Solid Green Line: Models would go long on a cross above this line
Dotted Green Line: Models would close out a short (buy to close an open short but NOT go long). You can use Close-to-Close basis OR Open-to-Close basis OR Low-to-High, depending on your trading style.
Solid Red Line: Models would go short on a cross below this line
Dotted Red Line: Models would close out a long (sell to close an open buy but NOT go short). You can use Close-to-Close basis OR Open-to-Close basis OR High-to-High, depending on your trading style.
This is NOT an investment advice. This is meant for experienced traders to use as another tool to inform and guide their own trading decisions.
TRADERSAI - A.I. POWERED NIFTY50 TRADING PLANS for FRI 07/31 Hey all,
Our debut message below explains the legend and how to interpret the trading plans we publish, and who we are in this space. This is the Day-2 of our limited test-launch for the Indian stock market. Appreciate your feedback.
Good luck with your trading today and have a great weekend ahead!
***********************************************************
Hey everyone!
After two years of unprecedented growth and consistent performance in the US with daily trading plans on the S&P 500 Index , we are now testing our models on the Indian stock markets with the NIFTY 50 Futures . This is our debut for you all who have been waiting for it!
While we know this would enthrall many readers that have been asking for it, we are cautious about jumping on these trades right away - give these models a few days, see how they perform, and then begin to adapt them to your own trading style and risk appetite. And, please do share your feedback, thoughts, ideas, and suggestions about anything glaring or missing - we are new to the Indian markets and are still trying to learn its idiosyncrasies. Thank you!
Legend:
(i) Use these line crosses on your choice of time frame chart.
Most aggressive - on a 1-minute chart
Moderate - 5 to 15 minute chart
Intraday swing - 30 minute chart
Note that the lower your time frame, the more choppiness and whipsawing you might experience in your results.
(ii) Cross Above (Below) - triggered when the previous close was below (above) the line and the current close is above (below). Aggressive traders may use other criteria such as high crossing the line, close crossing the line without regard to the previous close, etc.
Solid Green Line: Models would go long on a cross above this line
Dotted Green Line: Models would close out a short (buy to close an open short but NOT go long)
Solid Red Line: Models would go short on a cross below this line
Dotted Red Line: Models would close out a long (sell to close an open buy but NOT go short)
This is NOT an investment advice. This is meant for experienced traders to use as another tool to inform and guide their own trading decisions.
AUDJPY Market Overview & Possible Trade PlansChecking out AUD/JPY today as the pair recovers from an early Tuesday drop, likely on rising global risk aversion sentiment as coronavirus fears blaze up once again. Words are in town that by Apple, who issued revenue guidance warning www.theverge.com overnight, evoking fears of a more significant impact from the coronavirus outbreak on the global economy.
This lead to a break of the rising trendline lower lows on the hourly chart, as seen above, but the bulls stepped in to halt the decline around the pivot weekly s1. The pair is now testing the past broken strong support area around 73.50, which could draw in sellers looking for another opportunity to play the risk-off sentiment at a better price.
Be on the look out for bearish reversal patterns before considering a short play, and if the upcoming Australian data disappoints, then this pair could make a run for fresh break of today’s swing lows.
For the bulls, a turn in Coronavirus sentiment could halt the decline, as well as a big positive surprise from Australia’s upcoming leading and wages data. A break above 73.50 in the scenario could draw further fresh buyers who could shoot for the 74.00 handle, which is well with reach knowing the ATR of around 60 pips for this cross pair.
1/15/2020 USDNOK ( management of the trade ) Another Forex Trading Snack.
From my original posting of the short opportunity that I saw in USDNOK, my tactics have always been in building a position up to take advantage of my longer term bias for the pair. The market will do what’s its going to do and all we can do is catch a ride if we can.
Newer traders might just catch a great entry point but only get taken out for a few pips at best. Usually new traders get all excited to see a trade move into a profit zone, but this caused beginners paralyses in taking good trading practices action far to slowly. However when price bounces back up towards entry price or worse, at this point of the new traders cycle of trading, the new trader tends to take action far to fast in the hopes to avoid trading pain, losses, or an attempt to greatly limit losses. Instead lack of action or trade planing have limited their overall success.
Take this chart view for instants. It shows 3 trades I set up, 2 that were filled and the last one just setup and stands still open at the time of this posting. Each trade was taken with multiple lots per order. In this way a trader can take one lot off to take partial profits while allowing the other to run.
If you only place one lot orders— you are at the mercy of the markets to either give you a profit or a loss. Once you decide to take profits you’re out of the trade. Sure the market could bounce back in your favor to re enter, but just as easy it could keep going. On the flip side a new traders mindset could say if I trade 2 lots I’m taking more of a risk to my trading account. This is also true! However if you place your trades close to confluences, indicators and support / resistance levels / trend lines.... what ever your edge is, you have well defined entry points with limited risk points.
Take this trade setup. My original entry had 100 pips of risk. The first entry moved in my favor and I had a hard take partial profits at 100 pips. So without moving stops on the remaining lot it turned out taking a partial profit eliminating all risk on the remainder of the trade balance.
My bias didn’t change so finding the next attempt at a new entry was easy. Next lower red box, is my take the trade zone as well as where the extreme stop would be. When setting up the second entry and stop I also moved the first balance trade stop as well to the same place. The second entry had 130 pip stop. Because of stop placements and the first trades partial profits taken, the over all total risk take was only 130 pips even though, if the second trade was filled the total lots on this trade would be 3 lots.
1 original lot profit taken +100 pips
1 lot from original entry with a +30 stop
2 lots second entry with 130 pip each or 260 total stop
Over all total risk / profit once second order was filled 130 total pips with 3 total lots.
Again the markets moved in my favor. I took again partial profits of 300 pips this time, leaving 2 remaining lots on my trade idea. Now moving my stops down to the second over all high price on the remaining lots, I’ve eliminated all risk on the remaining 2 lots as well have locked in a 400 pips of profits. Well at the time of the post my 3rd entry has not yet been filled. This 3rd entry will be 3 lots with a 125 pip stop per lot or a total of 375 pips for my total risk. If stops get triggered I still take home 25 pips total profits. Previously locked in 400 - 375 on 3rd entry if stopped out = + 25 pips.
If and when the 3rd orders get filled I plan to allow this trade idea to ride out to my longer term profit zone. The only management of this trade will be moving the over all stop of this trade for all lots. This will by moving stops to lock in profits on all lots of the trade. If the 3rd part isn’t filled the trade management is still the same on the 2 lots still running.
Each currency pair has it own need for different stop sizes according to its own daily average moving range.
As traders we must except that the only part of trading that we can control is our own level of risk taken. With this example I think I’ve shown how to trade a longer term idea while reducing risk without taking yourself totally out of the position until the market takes you out. We should alway be looking to allow your winners to run. Manage your trade ideas to eliminate taking a large loss and your trade plan should include allowing the trade idea to run as far as the market will allow it to run while reducing the overall need to personally manage the trade position. Once a trade gets to a risk free trade with all risk of loss to my trading account eliminating, I just wait fir the market to get to my profit targets or my managed stop levels. Just let the market take you out one way or the other.
As always this is only for educational purposes only.
All the best in your trading.
Trading currencies is the hardest easy money you’ll ever try to make. Plan your trades and trade your plans.