THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we mentioned the importance of the levels we had in mind for the week ahead and to expect some movement in the markets while it attempts to break out of the range it’s been accumulating in.
We mentioned the level of 2022-20 as the initial level, where if price found support, we felt an opportunity to long the market back into the order region would be available to traders, but only on the scalp, which as you can see happened nearly to the pip. We then said we would be looking for a reaction in price around that region and felt an opportunity to short from there back down in attempt to break the support and target the 2010 level would be available.
The levels and plan worked well giving traders opportunities both ways netting phenomenal pip captures and trading this the way it should be done in a ranging market. We also completed our daily bias targets as well as Excalibur targets. We then closed in a potential move on the way to target but we suggested traders take what the market gives and we’ll start fresh again on market open.
A fantastic week again in Camelot, not only on gold but the numerous other pairs we trade.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
This week again, we’ll stick to a similar plan and look for lower pricing. Only this time, we’ll be expecting a bounce from the lower support regions which we feel will give sharp move, so please be careful not to short or long too early!
We have the levels of 2020-18 and below that 2010-08, if this regions are attempted from opening, we feel an opportunity to long the market back up into the 2025-7 and above that 2030-35 levels are available, it is here that we want to see price stall. If it does, as shown in path we feel we can again attempt to short the market with the plan to break below that 2000 level targeting lower support before the bounce we’re looking for.
Please note, this all depends on the price staying below the order region during the early sessions, as breaking above will lead to further gains before we then see a reaction from higher up in the pool and get another opportunity to short. It sounds like a long-winded process, but putting a complex plan into one idea like we do takes some work.
The path and levels should help you along the way as well the daily updates and KOG’s bias of the day. Please keep an eye out for these!
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Tradingplans
THE KOG REPORTKOG REPORT
In last weeks KOG Report we said we would be expecting the market to start the week in a range of 2035 resistance and 2018 support. These were the levels we were expecting to enable us to us the red box strategy and scalp the markets level to level, which worked well. We gave the bias level as bullish above 2020 for the week, which, although we had a slight extension to the downside gave opportunities to long the market for the bias target level. We wanted 2030 but managed 2027 from 2018 which was more than enough.
For the week, ideally what we wanted was for price to take the liquidity from the upside and give us the opportunity to short the market into lower levels, forcing us to change our bias. Unfortunately, wasn’t to happen last week, but we still made a success of it with the report.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
This week looks like it will be aggressive, so please make sure you have your risk model in place and you’re waiting patiently for the right levels to take entries. We have a lot of news on the calendar as well as NFP and FOMC on the horizon.
So, for this week we have 3 levels in mind as potential RIPs or target levels for price to achieve. The lower support regions of 2010-12 are important, if targets and rejected, we see potential for a bounce here back up into the 2030-35 order region where price may settle pre-event. This level is important to hold price below, as breaking above it will lead to further gains. If however this level holds price, and we see a clean setup, we feel there is an opportunity to short the market from there in hope of breaking through the 2000 level!!
On the flip, if we do break above 2035 with volume, 2045 and in extension 2050 are crucial level for bulls to break, otherwise, potential for a the spike, SL hunt and we'll see the plan complete.
In summary:
Price below 2030, we’ll be looking for lower levels following Excalibur. Price breaks above 2035, we’ll be looking to trade level to level upside, looking for 2045 for a potential RIP. It’s as simple as that this week, buy low if you and sell higher if you can. Don’t let the choppy price action trap you in small ranges where candles look small. Make sure your lot sizes are in accordance to your account size, otherwise you will get into trouble.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bearish below 2035 with targets below 2010 and below that 1997
Bullish on break of 2035 with targets above 2045 and above that 2050
We’ll update the report through the week as well as hopefully publish the FOMC and NFP KOG report before the releases. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold Route Map UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great finish to the week with our chart idea playing out in true level to level fashion, giving plenty of time to track and trade the movement with our weighted Goldlturn level break and lock strategy.
We completed the full retracement range followed with the bounce into 2026 for the perfect finish. No break and lock above 2038 and therefore the rejection into 2026 and then the 2011 retracement range confirmed by the cross and lock below 2026.
We continued to take buys from the 2011 bounce into 2026, as highlighted by our chart all week. Perfect play!!!
We used our weighted level to track the movement down and then catch the bounces up.
As stated before, each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week for the past 18 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2026 - DONE
BEARISH TARGETS
2026 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2026 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
2011 - DONE
We will now come back Sunday with our multi timeframe analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for next week. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
Have a great weekend with families and loved ones!!!
GoldViewFX
Mr Gold
USOIL : BUY WITH BREAKOUT AND RETEST STRATEGYHello Traders,
📈 Daily chart review :
- Affter a long moving in downtrend, in the present, price is near with strong support and has got many times want to pull up.
- Now, it is prepairing for a breakout of the downtrend
🎯In my trading opinion:
You can buy around 73-74 price zone and target is 80-81 zone.
📚 Remember that: Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
BTC: NEED A PULLBACK TO CONTINUE THE TRENDHello Traders,
📈 On weekly chart, you can see that BTC has demonstrated a strong uptrend, price above on 3 EMA
However, after ETF approval, a rejection at the 48,000 - 50,000 resistance range, BTC need to a pullback to able to continue the trend.
🎯In my trading opinion:
BTC will be down to price zone : 32-35K. When price will touch EMA50 on weekly chart and after that, have a good reversal here to uptrend.
📚 Remember that: Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
Predict the clarity of the price, not it's direction☝️The main purpose of my resources is free, actionable education for anyone who wants to learn trading and improve mental and technical trading skills. Learn from hundreds of videos and the real story of a particular trader, with all the mistakes and pain on the way to consistency. I'm always glad to discuss and answer questions. 🙌
☝️ALL videos here are for sharing my experience purposes only, not financial advice, NOT A SIGNAL. YOUR TRADES ARE YOUR COMPLETE RESPONSIBILITY. Everything here should be treated as a simulated, educational environment.
USDJPY BUY | Day Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
Watch strong action at the current levels for BUY. GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity USDJPY
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
Support the idea with like and follow my profile TO SEE MORE.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Patience is the If You Have Any Question, Feel Free To Ask 🤗
Just follow chart with idea and analysis and when you are ready come in THE GROVE | VIP GROUP, earn more and safe, wait for the signal at the right moment and make money with us💰
Can #Bitcoin Sustain Its Parabolic Momentum?🧐The price of #Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has deviated from our initial projections but has adhered to the weekly forecast, notably breaking through a formidable resistance area and experiencing a significant surge. This upward movement appears to be catalyzed by the imminent news regarding a #BitcoinETF, suggesting a sustained price level until additional information is disclosed. We anticipate a probable retest at around $44,500, representing a healthy correction in the market.
According to the current chart analysis, Bitcoin is exhibiting parabolic growth. The formation of the third base is evident, and we anticipate a touch of the $52,000 level after the breakout of the fourth base.
Stay tuned for further quality updates.
#Crypto
#EURUSD - 15012024I was wrong on the lows of EURUSD on Friday. I was expecting a bounce off the weekly level but it hit lower to the next support before a huge move back to the highs, then cool off towards end of day.
It is supported by the WBZ, weekly price action is neutral to bullish while daily price action is bearish. I said many times GBPUSD is stronger than EURUSD now and a better long. But still for EURUSD, as long as price get over 1.0966, expect quick move up to 1.0996 and 1.1044 within two days.
#DAX - 2 Jan I gave a short from 16803 on Friday to 16721 (). 16803 was traded, highs at 16811 before it tanked to 16723 and it rallied back to the highs.
The sell down was tied to the down move in US indices before the recovery. DAX was relatively strongly.
Overall, price action is bullish for monthly, weekly, daily IMO. Currently DAX gapped up and is testing above resistance. Despite the down move on Friday, overall price action is still bullish, trend is still up, thus looking for further upside. 16775, confluence of levels will be a good level to look for longs, targeting 16865 and 16905.
🌌⚙️ ATOM/USDT Resistance Rejection and Support Analysis 🔄📉ATOM (Cosmos) has recently encountered a resistance level at $12.00, experiencing a rejection that prompted a retracement to the $10.00 - $10.50 support zone. Here's a breakdown of the key analysis:
Key Points:
Resistance at $12.00: ATOM faced resistance at the $12.00 level, resulting in a pullback. This level is now a critical point to monitor for potential breakthrough or rejection.
Retracement to Support Zone: The price retraced to the support zone around $10.00 - $10.50, indicating a crucial area where buyers might intervene.
Potential Breakthrough: If ATOM manages to turn $12.00 into support, it could signify renewed bullish momentum, potentially leading to a test of $13.50.
"CAKE/USDT Long Trade Setup: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout SignTrade Setup for CAKE/USDT: Long Position
Analysis:
CAKE is exhibiting a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating a potential breakout with a strong rebound.
The current market trend supports a bullish outlook.
Entry:
Entry Point: Current Market Price (CMP)
Additional Positions: Consider adding more if the price drops to $2.38.
Targets:
$2.56
$2.7
$2.9
$3.2
Stop Loss (SL):
Set the Stop Loss at $2.285 to limit potential losses.
Leverage:
Use leverage cautiously: 5x to 10x.
DYOR
"BAKE/USDT Long Trade Analysis: Falling Wedge Breakout Signals RTrade Setup for BAKE/USDT: Long Position
Analysis:
BAKE has broken out of a falling wedge pattern, indicating a potential reversal.
The current market situation involves a retest after the breakout.
Entry:
Entry Point: Current Market Price (CMP)
Additional Positions: Consider adding more if the price drops to $0.2228.
Targets:
$0.255
$0.277
$0.2944
$0.32
$0.38
Stop Loss (SL):
Set the Stop Loss at $0.2138 to limit potential losses.
Leverage:
Use leverage cautiously: 5x to 10x.
Risk-Reward Ratio (R:R):
Risk-Reward Ratio is 1:6 (Lucrative).
Caution:
Use leverage in accordance with your risk appetite and be conservative to mitigate significant losses.
Perform your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
This information is not financial advice.
Oil: Head & Shoulders Pattern,Heading Back to the $60 Territory?Hi Fellow Realistic Traders. Here's my latest price action analysis on Oil!
The oil market has recently witnessed a significant head and shoulders pattern breakout, signaling a clear shift towards a bearish reversal scenario. Subsequently, the price has persistently descended below the EMA200 line, affirming the establishment of a robust downtrend. Further underscoring this trend, the Stochastic indicator revealed a bearish divergence, suggesting a potential sustained downward movement towards our target area.
It is essential to note that the analysis will no longer hold validity once the target/resistance area is reached.
Disclaimer:
"Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on $UKOIL."
EURUSD: November core CPI in the US unexpectedly increased, whicWhile it seems unlikely that US CPI data will influence the FOMC's policy decision this week, the market will keep an eye on the m/m core CPI data. If this index exceeds expectations, current inflationary pressures will certainly affect the timing of interest rate cuts in the future, however if the data is lower than estimates it could boost interest rate expectations. cut earlier.
DXY *LONG*TERM PRICE ACTIONThis here is full analysis of the most recent data given in the last month.
Price has tapped into a daily FVG ,within this FVG it’s also the OTE level on the pullback phase of an establishing trend.
External liquidity has been swept, causing the price to recover some internal liquidity to fuel the move to continue trend. Equilibrium has been touched, which means we’ve tapped into discount which buyers will be looking to buy.
If you understand what DXY moves, you’ll be in for a profit run period if caught at the right time.
I’ll do more analysis for you guys, just follow me on my journey.
THE KOG REPORTKOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would face a difficult week on the markets and will be looking for higher pricing on Gold, and if price did start with a decline, we would be looking for the levels 1970-65 for a strong support before attempting the long trade into the target regions we had above. We gave KOG’s bias level as 1965 bullish above and a target price of 2003 on our morning review and update. Looking at the move that occurred, it couldn’t have been anymore precise with the low being put in at 1965 and the target regions above completing. Another successful week on the markets with not only on Gold, but the numerous other pairs we analyse and trade.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
It’s the end of the month, so expect there to be some profit taking across the markets which will cause a lot of volatility. It’s a good idea for most traders, but especially new traders to sit out of the markets during these periods, rather spending their time on education, practicing, and improving their techniques and strategies. Gold, we can see higher pricing, however, again, how high are they going to take it?
We’re looking for two moves this week, either the long from the immediate support level or KOG’s bias level which we’ll issue, or a short if price continues to the upside from the open. We’re a too high to get a decent entry from this level, so Monday could be played sitting on the sidelines waiting for price to make a move into the levels we want before attempting a trade. Of course, we’ll also be waiting for our trusted Excalibur to guide us.
Levels of interest on the downside are the 1990-85 levels, where, if support holds, we feel an opportunity to long the market into the higher resistance levels could arise. We’ll be monitoring the 2010-15 resistance closely, if achieved, this is where we feel a reaction in price may take place, potentially giving bears an opportunity to short the market back down into the support levels below. A break of that level will continue the move into the previous order region 2030-35 so it could be an idea to hold a runner for higher pricing. A weekly and monthly close above that 2020 level is important for bulls and it’s likely there will be a fight for the close, so please trade this wisely, if you’re going to trade it.
On the flip, if price does continue to the upside from the open, we’ll again be looking at 2010-15 for a reaction in price, otherwise, we’ll trade this level to level long on the intra-day using our red box strategy until we feel there is an opportunity to short it back down.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 1985 with targets above 2010 and above that 2015
Bearish on break of 1985 with targets below 1975 and below that 1965
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold’s Bearish Divergence: Short Setup After Multiple RejectionHi Fellow Realistic Traders. Here's my latest price action analysis on Gold!
After hitting the multiple rejection area, OANDA:XAUUSD formed an inverted hammer and swing high. The chart and stochastic also indicate a bearish divergence, confirming a bearish reversal scenario or downward movement. Historically, when observing the current price correction on Gold, it often goes back to the exponential moving area 34 or near the Fibonacci ratio area. Therefore, we expect Gold to move downward to our target area.
It is essential to note that the analysis will no longer hold validity once the target/resistance area is reached.
Disclaimer:
"Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on OANDA:XAUUSD ."
Please support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below!
CRUDE OIL ALL PERSPECTIVE OF CHART Currently, all the movements I look at and position myself differently. It is important to show yourself all the possibilities and get rid of your emotions
if I see that the ABC correction is (LONG), it can easily lead to scam wick, which is also not excluded(SETUP-LONG) + Head and Shoulders Pattern(SETUP-LONG). Also, this could be an even bigger drop(Biggest leg down), which is my last option due to the economic situation
Acceptance below 200 and 50 Weekly Moving Average(SETUP-SHORT)
Trade Smart: 7 Steps to Building a Resilient Trading PlanIn the fast-paced world of trading, success is not just about seizing opportunities; it’s about having a plan to navigate the unpredictable seas of the financial markets. A well-crafted trading plan is a compass that guides you, providing direction, discipline, and a strategy to weather the storms. Today, we’ll break down seven essential steps to building a trading plan that not only suits your financial goals but also stands the test of dynamic market conditions.
Embarking on the journey of trading without a plan is akin to setting sail without navigation. A trading plan is your blueprint for success, offering a structured approach to decision-making and risk management. It’s not just for professionals; every trader, regardless of experience, needs a smart trading plan.
Step 1: Define Your Trading Goals
Begin your journey by defining clear and achievable trading goals. Whether you’re looking for short-term gains or long-term wealth creation, having tangible objectives keeps you focused. Your goals should reflect your financial aspirations, considering factors like the desired return on investment and the time frame in which you aim to achieve it.
In setting these goals, it’s essential to consider the S.M.A.R.T. criteria: Specific, Measurable, Achievable, Relevant, and Time-bound. This ensures that your goals are not vague aspirations but concrete targets that guide your trading activities.
Step 2: Assess Your Risk Tolerance
Understanding your risk tolerance is crucial in the world of trading. It’s not just about how much money you can afford to lose but also about your emotional resilience. Assess your risk tolerance objectively, using tools and questionnaires available online. This self-awareness will shape your risk management strategy.
To delve deeper into risk management, consider establishing a risk-reward ratio. This ratio helps you assess whether the potential reward justifies the risk you’re taking on a particular trade. It’s a critical element in ensuring that your trades are not only more likely to be profitable, but also align with your risk tolerance.
Step 3: Choose Your Trading Style
Trading styles vary, and what works for one may not suit another. Are you inclined towards the adrenaline of day trading, the patience of swing trading, or the strategic moves of position trading? Your trading style should align with your personality, time availability, and market conditions.
When choosing your trading style, it’s vital to consider your time commitment. Day trading, for example, requires more immediate attention, while position trading allows for a more relaxed approach. Your chosen style should not only resonate with your personality but also fit seamlessly into your daily routine.
Step 4: Develop a Robust Risk Management Strategy
Risk management is the backbone of any successful trading plan. Determine how much of your capital you’re willing to risk on a single trade and set stop-loss orders accordingly. It is crucial to practice proper position sizing. Avoid putting all your money on a single trade. A robust risk management strategy ensures you live to trade another day.
Another crucial aspect of risk management is diversification. Even with a well-defined risk tolerance, putting all your capital into one asset class or market exposes you to unnecessary risk. Diversifying your investments across different instruments and markets spreads risk effectively, providing a more stable foundation for your trading activities.
Step 5: Select Your Trading Instruments and Markets
The financial markets offer a plethora of instruments, from stocks and forex to commodities. Choose instruments that resonate with your expertise and interests. Consider diversification to spread risk effectively across different markets. Your chosen instruments should align with your overall trading goals.
In the process of selecting your instruments and markets, it’s beneficial to conduct thorough research. Understand the factors influencing each market, the macroeconomic conditions affecting specific industries, and the geopolitical events that might impact your chosen instruments. This knowledge enhances your ability to maintain discipline in implementing your trading plan.
Step 6: Create a Trading System
A trading system provides structure to your approach. Define entry and exit signals, identify key indicators, and set your preferred timeframes. A systematic and back-tested trading system provides a proven framework for making trade decisions, reducing the impact of emotional biases.
Building a trading system involves choosing technical indicators that align with your trading style and goals Whether it’s moving averages, Bollinger Bands, or the Relative Strength Index (RSI), each indicator brings a unique perspective to market analysis. Understanding how to integrate these indicators into your system enhances your ability to identify profitable trading opportunities.
Step 7: Regularly Review and Adjust Your Trading Plan
The financial markets are dynamic, and so should your trading plan. Regularly review your trading plan and make adjustments based on changing market conditions, personal experiences, and evolving goals. A flexible plan allows you to adapt to the ever-shifting landscape of the financial markets.
In the process of reviewing and adjusting your trading plan, it’s essential to keep a trading journal. Documenting your trades, the rationale behind each decision, and the outcome provides valuable insights. It allows you to identify patterns in your trading behavior, strengths to leverage, and weaknesses to address. A trading journal is a practical tool for continuous improvement that is underutilized by many traders.
Conclusion
Crafting a trading plan is not a one-time activity but an ongoing process. It’s a living document that evolves with you as a trader. Remember, trading is not just about making money today; it’s about sustaining and growing your wealth over time. By following these seven steps, you’re not just building a trading plan; you’re building a foundation for long-term success.
Trade smart, trade confidently, and let your well-structured plan be your guiding star in the vast universe that is today's market. Happy Trading!