An component of every success story: Mental TaughnessIn whatever way you define your success - satisfying money, a good job, a happy relationship, financial security, the freedom to do what you feel like doing, we will always mention inner strength and discipline as factors that contribute to "someone succeeding."
What is mental toughness in trading? We will define it by listing several situations and qualities that are then necessary. To begin with, I will just point out that at the root of each of them we have discipline and willpower.
When you are waiting to play you need patience.
When you are entering the market you need courage.
When you are in the market you need mental resilience to pressure.
When you are waiting to play and "something happens" you need resistance to temptation.
To compel yourself, if necessary, to act or not act you need a strong will. In the long run, a strong will gives you self-discipline.
Willpower is also another line of defense against toxic emotions.
You need willpower when you are possessed by feelings of greed, fear, or a desire to get back at yourself.
You need willpower so that when emotions arise, you can tame them so that they don't interfere with your ability to make good trading decisions.
In addition to the above, you need motivation and its long-term, stronger relative - determination - to achieve success.
Another element that we include in "internal strength" is resistance to failure. This is the ability to return to action after unfavorable events.
Self-discipline is the ability to adapt over a long period of time to established (or imposed) rules, restrictions, plans of action.
"Long term" is the key meaning here. This is important, because it is from the perspective of long-term earnings that we must now look at self-discipline. A good trader needs it over the long term, for many years. In fact, this is good news, as I will explain in a moment.
This is because I am assuming that your level of self-discipline is not high, or even if it is to some extent - it is not fully conscious. And if it is - you will have enough time to raise and maintain your level of discipline.
This is possible because the source of self-discipline, which is willpower can be trained, just like human muscles.
The most important conclusion from modern research: discipline depends on willpower, willpower is an acquired trait, just like muscle strength, and it can be trained.
What are discipline AND self-discipline?
Self-discipline is the ability to adapt over a long period of time to set (or imposed) rules, restrictions, plans of action.
It is assumed that their source is willpower. Willpower is similar to muscle strength. Willpower is your trait or skill that you acquire in the course of your upbringing and life.
By doing systematic physical exercise, such as lifting weights, you will be able to, for example, double the weight you are able to lift after a certain period of time (assuming you haven't exercised before). The key here is a proper exercise program prepared on the basis of your knowledge of muscle structure and muscle strength building.
Think of self-discipline as an opportunity to apply, to use willpower whenever you need it. And whenever you want it.
Willpower is
The ability to overcome your internal resistances,
the ability to resist impulses, thoughts and desires.
In trading it is important because:
you must be able to accurately enter the market at the moment the system signals it - regardless of what is going on in your psyche,
you must be able to resist the urge to enter the market when there is no signal from the system and the market has "just moved."
you must be able to resist the impulse to increase the size of the order beyond what is reasonable (eliminate the danger of overtrading), you must be able to resist pressure and fear, both when you enter the market and when you are in it,
you must be able to walk away from the market when you see that you are tired, broken internally, distracted, even when a signal is just coming in,
you must be able to force yourself to analyze, to keep a trading journal - if you understand that it matters to your results.
How do you accomplish all this?
By using educated willpower (mental toughness). It has the advantage that you can train it in one field and transfer it to another (trading). If you have willpower "in life" then you can easily transfer it to actions in the market. It's the same as with muscle strength: if you have it in the gym you also have it when you want to move furniture at home. This is one of the most important discoveries of the last few years that we rely on.
There are no different kinds of discipline, another in life and another in trading, so trained in one field it works in all.
Tradingpsyhology
What is the "glass ceiling" in trading?The glass ceiling is the level of cash at which the stress level suddenly and unexpectedly increases. Thinking of a specific sum that "causes" this effect in the psyche will indicate the size of the position exposed to risk.
It also happens that traders talk about the "glass ceiling" when specifying the size of the account they have with a broker, but even so, the problem of the size of a single position remains at the root, since it is most often referred to as a percentage of the total account.
Explanation of what is the size of the position exposed to risk. For example - with an account of $100,000, the size of 2% of the account is exactly $2,000. When we enter the market with a position of such size and in a situation when it is closed at SL we lose it - we say that we have exposed such a position to risk (losses).
It happens that such feelings are aroused by the size of the position expressed in lots.
Keeping an eye on the right profit/risk ratio gives us "mathematical" but not psychological security
Many experienced traders say that you should not put, for example, more than 2% of your account at risk on a single position and no more than 6-8% of your account on several positions at the same time. This 2% has more of a mathematical rationale and less of a psychological one.
Note that dividing an account of 100,000 into parts of 2,000 each (i.e. 2%), you would theoretically have to have 50 losses in a row to lose it all. Having a decent system and making sure to stick to the rules of the system this is unlikely, isn't it?
Choosing a position with a profit to risk of three to one gives us "mathematical" safety.
Simplifying - using systems with a profit to risk ratio of more than three to one, already with 30% of profitable trades (which is about one in three) we will get a nice profit.
Simulation of 30% of profitable closed at 3:1 and 70% of losing at SL
With 30% profitable trades on 100 trades, we will "earn" 30 x 3 x 2000 = 30 x 6000 = 180,000
Here 30 means the number of positions per hundred, the part 3 x 2000 means positions closed at a profit of three to one.
In the same 100 transactions, losses will be: 70 x 2 000 = 140 000
Here we have 70 positions each of 2,000 closed at a loss.
Profit = 180,000 - 140,000 = 40,000
Conclusion - even if only every third transaction results in a profit and the others in a loss - we come out with a profit.
Percentage-wise, with a very good profit, over the course of 100 transactions we "earned": initial capital = 100,000, final capital = 140,000, percentage profit = 40%
Learning to think in terms of multiple transactions allows you to keep a healthy distance from each of the individual inputs. Thinking in "series of trades" frees the psyche from having to focus on the importance of a single result, makes it easier for a trader to get over a single "profit" or "loss" and thus his trading is burdened with less stress. It is worth recalling this, as it is one of the necessary elements of maturing to the level of the best.
However, it turns out that such calculations are less important for our psyche, which pays more attention to the size of the actual capital.
In this regard, the level of the glass ceiling begins to have a critical psychological significance.
6 reasons for losing discipline in trading and recommendationsWhy does trading discipline weaken or disappear altogether, and it happens that in retrospect we see that we did a lot of stupid things?
Let's start with some clarification. When talking about discipline we will have two things in mind.
The first is discipline as a single act - an act of willpower. The second is discipline as the ability to repeatedly apply willpower which manifests itself in sticking to a specific plan of action. This second discipline is the basis for sticking to the system.
We have twelve basic reasons why our trading discipline weakens. Today I will give half of them.
Lack of goals and action plans
In order to talk about discipline as sticking to a plan first we must have a plan. Otherwise we have nothing to "stick to." We make a plan when we define some goal and the steps by which we can realistically achieve it.
In a narrower sense, we have discipline as the ability to execute a signal correctly. Again, I will "tack on" to the terms we use. After all, what does it mean to "correctly execute a signal"? Well, it is sticking to the rules set for entry, position management and exit. Therefore, don't talk about discipline if you don't have a good understanding of the following:
how the signal from the system looks like,
how proper position management should look like,
where and by what rules you exit the market.
To sum up - we do not talk about discipline if we do not have a plan and do not know "to the end" what any of the three stages of the trade looks like. Until we know this we have nothing to "stick to".
I know I'm repetitive, but again some time ago a trader (more than five years of market experience) with whom I was talking asked me questions about whether he was managing the position properly, perhaps he should have done otherwise.
He asked me, who do not know his system at all!
This is very common - traders use systems they do not fully understand.
Recommendation of action
By the way, I advised him to take 100 screenshots of complete entries and analyze them (to see what the market can do and prepare action strategies for any eventuality) and then to practice these management strategies on a demo or simulator.
A good system and a good trading plan are like two railroad rails on which a heavily loaded train can run. If these rails are absent or weak then the result will be poor.
A good, well-rehearsed system plus a trading plan is the foundation to which, adding discipline and more generally inner strength, you will achieve success.
Lack of life discipline, quitting exercise
There are not two "disciplines" - life discipline and trading discipline, but there is one, and that is the ability to apply willpower.
A trader may have trouble with discipline if he is poorly disciplined in life in general.
With the right exercises, the level of discipline will slowly begin to rise. However, when you stop - it will slowly begin to fall after a while. The level of discipline drops when we laze around for a long time, for example, during vacation trips. Of course, holiday laziness is nothing bad, sometimes it is a blessing :) However, it's also a good idea to impose some minimal tasks on yourself - like swimming x meters every day, morning jogging, push-ups, tummies, etc.
This will keep your willpower levels up. When you return from vacation, you need to take a moment to "get into the cogs" again, and this is also natural.
Experienced traders in such a situation use, for example, reducing their normal rate by half for the first few trades.
Bad feeling, illness
Like laziness and vacations, illness, a cold or a bad mood (such as a hangover) can work. The state of the body has a big impact on the state of the mind, when we have a high temperature, for example, we usually do not think soberly. This also applies to the application of willpower and therefore discipline.
Recommendation
Avoid situations where we have to sit down to the market and we are not in shape. We can figuratively say that the market, the system and... our state of mind pays, so we avoid situations when we have a problem with it.
Overtrading
Overtrading comes in two main forms:
- trading with too high a stake,
- execution of too many positions during a single session.
The first form gives emotional unrest (just entering too high a position is already a violation of discipline) the second causes fatigue followed by loss of concentration.
Recommendation
The recommendation can be only one - we avoid such situations and treat their mere occurrence as a serious warning and a reason for immediate exit from the market, because something is wrong.
Fatigue
Fatigue from earlier work, for example, or fatigue from sitting for hours waiting for a signal. Often it doesn't make sense, because let's say we let one pass and the next one may be in an hour or two.
Sleep
Recommendation
Set your alarm clock for 30 minutes, no more, and lie down, preferably in bed. Sometimes it's like I get up after 12-15 minutes, my brain is calm and rested, as if I were starting the day all over again. Try it out at the earliest opportunity.
NOTE: no more than 30 minutes, because if you get sleepy you feel worse and concentration is worse.
The second thing - use professional solutions and replace bright screens with dark ones with dark backgrounds. They are less glaring to the eyes and you will tire slower.
Exercise your eyes' focal length. Exercise your eyes every hour - look out the window at some distant point on the horizon, then move your gaze to the window frame, do this 3-4 times. The exercise counteracts cumulative eye fatigue due to constant focus at close range.
Regular breaks. While sitting in front of the platform, take breaks of about 10 minutes each hour. Don't sit for more than 3 hours at a time; most people have trouble focusing after 3 hours. If you want to sit more - do two sessions with a longer break - but use it by going for a walk, lunch.
During the break, change the type of stimuli - that is, drop out of turning on a computer game or watching a movie, that's not how you will rest. Get some fresh air, your brain needs oxygen. Swapping the trading platform for a game or movie and continuing to sit in front of the computer is a bad idea, it's best to ventilate yourself. Lack of oxygen makes us tire faster, hence the need to ventilate the room. "Cigarette during a break" is a mistake.
Force air circulation in an enclosed room. A good solution is a small fan that forces air circulation in the room. It gives air movement, meaning we breathe easier and tire slower. Can be used all year round, including winter.
Loss of faith in the system
Loss of discipline can be caused by loss of faith in one's own system. That's why I talk so many times about comprehensive testing and exhaustive learning of the system. The point is to have confidence in the system, in yourself, in your understanding of the market. This confidence comes through competence - comprehensive learning and practicing of the system.
Here, once again, I want to draw attention to simplicity - the more complicated a car you have, the harder it will be for you to master it. So keep it as simple as possible.
Stress, loss and further implicationsIn the shorter term - high levels of emotion and stress cause lower intellectual performance.
Lower intellectual performance is, in other words, less efficient thinking. This is the reason that we generally perform less well on any exams, such as forgetting the simplest and most obvious things.
In the long term, constant stress - can lead to irritability, headaches, migraines, heart rhythm disturbances, stomach ulcers.
Some believe that the biochemical reactions that stress causes in our bodies can cause heart attacks, strokes, and may be one of the causes of the formation and development of cancer.
Attempts to relieve stressful situations with alcohol can lead to alcoholism.
In trading, stress can not only lead to losses, I know of traders who are unable to continue their profession at all due to high levels of stress, had to stop.
So this is a serious matter, and practically every trader I know has some way of dealing with stress and its effects.
And I know that what I'm going to say now may be taken as boring, but I really have hundreds of pieces of evidence for this... In which situation on the exam do you have more stress:
out of a pool of 500 tasks, you have rewritten all 3 times
out of a pool of 500 tasks, you only did 100.
Are you now able to tell how many times one situation is more stressful than the other? Try to estimate it, e.g. 1.5 times, 2 times, 3 times... 5 times....
Those who are asked indicate that it is usually 3 or more, rarely anyone indicates less. That's why I say that good preparation, good, comprehensive knowledge of the system and practicing it in a myriad of equal situations is the best recipe for good results and low stress.
Because you will be very, very, very well prepared.
Causes of stress in trading
Losing money in the market can be a source of stress reaction. Especially if it is a significant sum for us. For everyone this sum can be different, and for everyone such a level exists, this is the so-called glass ceiling, which we will address in future texts.
Profit can be the cause of a strong stress reaction, the bigger the more likely. I know of cases of traders in whom a large profit caused a traumatic reaction (mental shock). In one extreme case, a trader who made a huge sum on options in one day experienced such a strong mental shock that he was unable to show up at his office for a year.
Just being in the market can cause a stress reaction. This is how it becomes associated in the trader's psyche at some point, so that later the stress reaction occurs constantly. We will soon see how this happens and how to change it to a positive reaction.
Being out of the market can be stressful, especially if you wait a long time for a signal. Another case is when we exited the market, for example, under the influence of emotions and the market continued to move strongly in our direction and "if we had stayed in position we would have made a very good profit." Yet another example of a stressful situation is a lost opportunity, a clean signal that passed us by.
Uncertainty is another source of stress, pointed out by virtually all researchers of the phenomenon. Trading is, in fact, the skill of managing uncertainty and risk - we enter the market with money not knowing "how it will turn out". It is necessary to become accustomed to this situation, experienced traders pay practically no attention at all to "uncertainty" - they know that the outcome of each individual order is not known, but nevertheless, at the end of the month, after a series of orders, they will still come out on top.
Two primary sources of stress: external triggers and imagination
The first is the very situation we are in, for example, with an open position in the market. The second source is our thoughts and the imaginations we create for ourselves. I have mentioned several times that our mind does not fully distinguish between reality and imagination. That is, the mere imagination, the memory of a stressful situation, can generate for us the same reaction as the event.
Example: If you stop reading for a moment and recall a situation: an exam, an accident, a difficult interview, for example, for a job... in a moment you may have the beginnings of a stress reaction in your body.
This is how worrying and uncontrollably imagining all kinds of negative scenarios works - it causes stress and robs you of your strength.
Note: What is different is mental preparation - imagining black scenarios with the intention of dealing with them, preparing your own psyche and sometimes coming up with a response and line of action - such a proactive approach builds mental strength and makes us feel in control.
Stress as the sum of stress from different sources
I will conclude this brief introduction with another important point: if you have other stressful situations besides investing and trading then your stress level will usually be the sum of stresses.
That is, other stressful life events, e.g., an argument, accident, illness, theft, stress in traffic on the street, jet-lag can also have a negative impact on your market performance, as can stress caused solely by factors related to investing.
It is worth knowing that strong noise, crowds of people can also be a source of stress. The U.S. stock market, where traders shout bids one by one, where there is a crowd and noise is even an icon of a stressful environment.
Each of us reacts differently to a potentially stressful event. There are those who will not experience a stress reaction in most of the situations described. According to researchers, their high resilience to stress may be related to the absence of several factors that foster stress: internal sabotage, internal conflicts, fear of success, tying the results.
Here we are not without specific techniques not only to directly affect your stress levels in investing and in general - but also to improve your outlook on life, building optimism, strength and inner resilience. They are also designed to help you become a more relaxed and happier person pursuing your goals by playing the markets with as little stress and emotion as possible.
High and low susceptibility to stress vs. performance on different time frames (TF)
Stress arises as a result of our reaction to external events, and we can also generate it ourselves - by thinking. People who worry have elevated stress levels because of this.
In extreme cases, people who worry can fund themselves with constant high levels of stress. Often these people perceive virtually any event as stressful. If this is the case, they will find it difficult to invest, not only because there are new stressors, but because the overall stress level can quickly spiral out of control. And high stress levels mean poorer market perception, poorer quality analysis, poorer quality decisions.
On the other side of the scale, we have people who can get through a lot of stressful situations without any special problems.
Putting things in perspective and generalizing slightly, we can say that people with higher levels of stress can achieve better results with higher time scales (weekly, daily, four-hourly) and worse results with speculation on lower TF: day trading, quarter-hour, five-minute, one-minute.
Tip: two phases of "getting by" in the market for people with high stress levels. I understand the situation of many investors who want to start with a small capital and "make a quick buck." This usually requires a lot of transactions in a short period of time, just to build up capital.
I don't want to comment on this right now, I just want to share one observation. If you are a less stress-resistant person - consider two phases of your game.
The first, when you accept a higher level of stress and actively apply the exercises and tips I give in the lessons - keeping an eye on your stress level.
The second - when you consciously move to higher TF, where the strain on your psyche will be lower.
The point is to make sure you don't overdo the level of stress on your psyche, because many traders had to leave the market for this reason and there was no one to get them out of trouble.
Another important point: if you have a high level of stress in your life think of some way to change it before you get serious about investing or trading because you may not work out mentally.
Stress levels decrease with increased experience and skill
Of course, it is also the case that the level of excitement and stress decreases over time. Recall what it's like after taking a driving course, when after a while driving is no longer stressful and often becomes a pleasure. In trading, it can be similar. The more competent you become, the more familiar you are with the system and the market, the less stress you will experience. Of course, we have a level of glass ceiling when stress suddenly builds up, but we'll address this topic too in future lessons.
How to recognize a stress reaction?
Read the following description very carefully, because based on it we will learn how to deal with stress: short-term and long-term.
When something sudden happens, you are the object of an attack on the street, you are about to be hit by a car your body reacts automatically with a reaction we call "fight or flight" or "fight or flight".
These reactions occur automatically:
Muscles tighten in anticipation of action.
Breathing speeds up and deepens. You may also hold your breath for a moment in a situation of imminent danger.
The heart rate increases, the volume of blood ejected during each contraction increases, and blood pressure rises.
The glands inject hormones into the blood that speed up the heart rate, respiratory rate, muscle activity, and the breakdown of nutrients needed by the muscles.
Pulmonary tubules dilate, blood vessels in the muscles and brain expand.
Pupils dilate and auditory sensitivity increases.
The body prepares itself for action: fight, defend or flee.
This is a reaction inherited from ancestors, assisting a person at the time of danger.
Risk/Reward favors downside shift to risk Off Sentiment.. BTC has reached a crucial point in which candles appear to be failing around 35K. We must consider potential scenarios to begin the new month of November. In One of these scenarios we may anticpate a retracement to capture fomo liquidity. Fomo liquidity is psychological concept in trading that refers to the chasing of price.
New Monthly candle retracement for liquidity purposes.
Current : 34775
33,372 TP 1
TP 2 30,300 Weekly Level
Trade idea Fakeout back below 35K
BITCOIN SHORTER TIME FRAME UPDATE Bitcoin (BTC) is currently operating within a bullish channel and has recently experienced a bounce off the support provided by the ascending trendline and the 100-day moving average (MA). The cryptocurrency is presently trading within the Ichimoku cloud, accompanied by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), signaling a bearish divergence move.
For bullish trend confirmation, it is imperative for the bulls to regain momentum and achieve a decisive breakout above the horizontal resistance level, approximately around 38,000. Conversely, a sustained breakdown of the ascending trendline would suggest the potential for a short-term correction.
In simpler terms, Bitcoin is following an upward trend, finding support at the ascending trendline and the 100-day moving average. However, caution is advised as the RSI is signaling a potential bearish divergence. A clear breakthrough above the resistance at 38,000 would be a positive indicator for a bullish continuation, while a sustained break below the ascending trendline could indicate a short-term correction in the market.
This chart is likely to help you make better trade decisions if you consider upvoting it.
I would also love to know your charts and views in the comment section.
Thank you
The Road to Trading Mastery: the Pyramid of SuccessGreetings, esteemed members of the @TradingView and all Vesties out there!
The Pyramid of Trading Success, a conceptual model designed to guide you through the essential principles and steps for success in the dynamic trading world. This pyramid serves as a roadmap, helping you build a robust foundation and ascend to proficiency and profitability in your trading experience. Let's explore the key layers that make up this pyramid:
1. Emotional Well-being / Financial Stability / Trustworthy Broker (Base of the Pyramid)
At the foundation, prioritize emotional well-being, self-awareness, and financial stability. Constructive self-evaluation and rational thinking are your allies. Choosing a trustworthy broker adds integrity to your trading experience.
2. Robust Safety System
Implement a robust safety system by practicing swift loss-cutting, avoiding unreliable assets, refraining from gambling, and adopting a long-term mindset for sustainable success.
3. Portfolio Management
Rely on statistics, discard ineffective approaches, monitor market trends, consider long-term goals, and stay informed about economic indicators for effective portfolio management.
4. Asset Allocation
Diversify your investments strategically to spread risk, drawing on years of experience in trading financial markets for optimal decision-making.
5. Tools
Utilize the right tools by conducting strategy backtesting and considering automation. Backtesting refines your approach, while automation streamlines execution, minimizing emotional biases.
Steps for Strategy Backtesting:
Define strategy parameters, financial market, and chart timeframe.
Search for trades based on the specified strategy, market, and timeframe.
Analyze price charts for entry and exit signals.
Record and calculate returns, considering commissions and trading costs.
Compare net return to capital for a percentage return over the specified timeframe.
6. Remaining
Focus on essentials covered in the first five points. Avoid distractions like social trading or complex indicators. A disciplined approach, grounded in fundamental principles, is key for tangible results in your trading journey.
By following the Pyramid of Trading Success, you're adopting a comprehensive and methodical approach to trading, increasing your chances of achieving sustainable success in the dynamic world of financial markets.
We welcome your valuable feedback on our article about the Trading Pyramid. Your opinion matters, and your insights can help us tailor our content to better meet your needs.
Parallel Universe: Expert's Guide to the Art of Losing MoneyDisclaimer:
Warning! The given tips are born from the minds of financial disasters and for entertainment purposes only. These are the results of the imagination of unsuccessful traders with a knack for making impressive losses. These master traders are known to make their financial mistakes by making huge losses. Unsuccessful traders are honored members of FRBF - Financial Ruins of Big Fortune with lifetime achievement of negative portfolios and returns. We do not recommend following the suggestions from the unsuccessful traders otherwise we have to add you to FRBF club.
Well, well, if it isn't the tired soul tired of seeing green numbers in their trading account. Can you believe it? I always have seen a dream of world's biggest loser trader. Apparently, 99% of traders out there are making money, and we're stuck in the miserable 1% who might be losing. But hey, if you're sick and tired of making money, you've stumbled upon the perfect spot. Get ready for a wild ride as I unveil the secrets to drain your hard-earned cash and proudly join the prestigious FRBF - the Financial Ruins of Big Fortune. Buckle up, my friend!
1) Borrowing Money:
You should borrow money from every possible resource. Remember that Saving money and working hard for financial stability is just for cowardly people. Debt is the only key to get success in the trading world. If you have bad luck, you can get your creditors good luck by borrowing their money. Imagine when your creditor will knock on your door, and you will be running and hiding from them! How thrilling is this! It's a surefire way to reach new heights of financial ruin.
2) Avoid Using Stop-loss:
We should totally ignore those stop-loss orders. There's this fascinating study that suggests traders who actually use stop-loss orders tend to have lower losses compared to those who don't. who needs that kind of useful information? Not us! We're not beginners here, are we? If you use stop-loss, it will exit the trade when market sentiments are changed. You will never be able to make huge losses. Let's just toss those stop-loss orders right out the window and dive headfirst into the exhilarating world of uncertainty. Because what's more exciting than watching our trades go haywire with no safety net? So let's embrace the thrill, ignore risk management, and revel in the rollercoaster ride of potential financial ruin.
3) Hold Losing Positions & Never cut losses:
Who needs to admit defeat when we can simply cling to hope and pray that the market will miraculously turn in our favor? It's such a fantastic strategy to hold onto those sinking ships, watching our losses pile up like trophies of our unwavering determination. Cutting our losing positions? Pfft, that's for amateurs who actually care about preserving their capital and minimizing losses. We, on the other hand, choose to ride the wave of delusion and hold onto our sinking investments with unwavering faith. After all, why learn from mistakes when we can repeat them endlessly? So let's keep clutching those losing positions tightly, and maybe, just maybe, the market will eventually bend to our will.
4) Avoid Managing Risk:
Risk management will not let you become an unsuccessful trader. Forget about preserving your capital and protecting yourself from substantial losses. Let's just dive headfirst into the deep end and throw caution to the wind! So, according to your brilliant logic, let's ignore risk management and trade in five stocks with a 1:3 risk-reward ratio. We'll lose $3 in three stocks and $6 in the remaining two trades. Brilliant strategy, right? Who needs profits when we can lose money consistently?
5) Never Pay Attention to News & Events:
Who needs to stay informed about current events and news when it comes to trading? Ignorance is truly bliss, especially when it comes to making informed decisions and understanding market dynamics. Let's just close our eyes and ears to all those pesky news articles, economic reports, and major events that could potentially impact the market. Who needs to know about interest rate changes, geopolitical tensions, or corporate earnings releases? They're just distractions, right? Instead, let's rely on our sheer intuition and gut feelings to guide our trading decisions.
(6) Overtrade Consistently:
Overtrading is the key to financial prosperity in the trading world. Forget about patience, strategy, and carefully planned execution. Instead, let's indulge in a frenzy of excessive trading and drown ourselves in a sea of transactions. Who needs quality over quantity when it comes to trades? Let's throw caution to the wind and execute as many trades as possible, disregarding any semblance of rational decision-making. Because, clearly, more trades automatically translate into more profits, right? Why bother with analyzing market trends, studying charts, or conducting thorough research when we can just click that "Buy" or "Sell" button incessantly? After all, trading is just a game of chance, and blind luck is definitely on our side.
7) Never Use Technical Analysis:
Technical analysis? Nah, it's all smoke and mirrors, right? Who needs those fancy charts, indicators, and patterns to make smart trading decisions? I mean, who has time for that? Sure, by using technical analysis, you could potentially have a better sense of when to enter or exit trades and where to set stop-loss levels. You might even be able to forecast market movements using theories like Elliott wave, price action, chart pattern analysis, or volume analysis. But who needs all that when you can just wing it and tap the buy and sell buttons without any plan or analysis? Who needs strategies or insights anyway? Forget about those losers who waste their time studying charts and analyzing market trends. Real traders, the ones who consistently lose money, don't bother with technical analysis or any other form of analysis for that matter. They rely solely on their gut feelings and blind luck. That's the way to go!
8) Emotional Trading:
emotional trading Is a brilliant strategy! Who needs logical decision-making when you can base all your trades on impulsive emotions? Forget about analyzing charts, patterns, or market trends. Just let your feelings guide you like a compass in a hurricane. Why bother with calm and rational thinking when you can succumb to the rollercoaster ride of fear, greed, and impulsiveness? It's truly a magnificent way to sabotage your trading success and ensure that your portfolio becomes an emotional wreck. So go ahead, throw logic out the window, and embrace the chaos of emotional trading. Because nothing says financial stability like making impulsive decisions based on fleeting emotions! Good luck on your wild emotional trading adventure!
9) Always Trust Unregulated Brokers:
Unregulated brokers are the epitome of trustworthiness and reliability. Who needs regulatory oversight and investor protection when it comes to handling our hard-earned money? Why bother with ensuring the safety of our funds or verifying the legitimacy of a broker? It's so much more exciting to entrust our financial well-being to anonymous individuals operating in the shadows. Who needs transparency, accountability, or adherence to industry standards? Unregulated brokers provide the perfect opportunity to navigate the treacherous waters of the financial world without any safety nets. It's like playing a high-stakes game of roulette with our life savings!
10) Always trade on others' advice
Trading on others' advice is the secret recipe for success in the trading world. Who needs to develop their own knowledge, skills, and expertise when we can rely solely on the wisdom of others? Let's throw out our own analysis, research, and intuition, and blindly follow the advice of random strangers on the internet or that "hot tip" from a friend's cousin's neighbor's dog. After all, they must be financial geniuses with impeccable track records, right? Who needs to understand the underlying fundamentals or technical aspects of a trade when we can just mimic the actions of others without question? It's so liberating to surrender our autonomy and decision-making abilities to the masses. It's a foolproof strategy that guarantees confusion, frustration, and, of course, financial ruin.
11) Never Ever Take Profit
It's such an intelligent strategy to watch our gains evaporate right before our eyes.
Why bother with securing our profits and protecting our capital when we can hold on to winning positions indefinitely? It's so much more thrilling to experience the roller coaster ride of market fluctuations and see our unrealized gains dwindle away. Let's ignore those pesky market indicators, trailing stops, and profit targets. After all, who needs a concrete plan when we can simply rely on greed and the hope that our winning trades will magically keep going up forever? And let's not forget the joy of regret when a once-profitable trade eventually turns into a massive loss. Who needs financial stability and consistent growth when we can embrace the unpredictable nature of the market and bask in the glory of missed opportunities?
12) Learning From Mistakes
Learning from our mistakes and evolving as a trader is overrated. Who needs personal growth and improvement when we can stay firmly planted in our cycle of financial self-destruction? Let's ignore those pesky lessons that losses teach us. Why bother reflecting on our trading errors, analyzing our strategies, or seeking ways to improve? It's so much more exciting to repeat the same mistakes over and over again, expecting different results each time. Who needs progress and development when we can remain comfortably stagnant in our trading endeavors? Let's embrace the thrill of consistent failure and pretend that we're on the cusp of a breakthrough while repeating the same ineffective tactics. And why stop repeating mistakes? Let's add a touch of delusion and convince ourselves that this time, things will magically turn around. Because, clearly, doing the same thing repeatedly without learning from it is the secret to unbounded success.
13) Fall for "Get-Rich-Quick Schemes"
"Get-rich-quick schemes" are the epitome of financial wisdom and stability. Who needs a long-term, sustainable approach to wealth when we can chase after elusive shortcuts to instant riches? Why bother with hard work, patience, and diligence when we can throw caution to the wind and blindly trust those promising overnight success? Let's believe in the magic of "secret formulas," "guaranteed profits," and "hidden strategies" that are conveniently packaged in flashy marketing campaigns. Let's not forget the joy of handing over our hard-earned money to these self-proclaimed experts, who undoubtedly have our best interests at heart. After all, it's not like they're preying on our gullibility and desperation for a quick financial fix, right?
14) Trade Based on Rumors
Baseless rumors and gossip are the most reliable sources of information for successful trading. Who needs verified facts, data, or market analysis when we can simply rely on hearsay and unfounded speculation? Why bother with conducting thorough research or verifying the authenticity of information? Let's just blindly believe every rumor that comes our way and make trading decisions based on pure gossip. It's so much more thrilling to embrace uncertainty and place our trust in unverified whispers. Who needs to understand the impact of real market drivers or economic indicators when we can make impulsive decisions based on the latest unfounded chatter? It's like playing a game of financial Russian roulette with our hard-earned money.
To be continued... :D
Idea by @Money_Dictators on @TradingView Platform
Fear Fear is a natural human response to potential threats, serving as a vital psychological mechanism that safeguards us from danger.
This reaction shouldn't be a source of shame, yet it's also crucial not to let fear dominate every aspect of life. Excessive worry about potential outcomes can lead to a diminished quality of life. However, fear can also be a valuable tool that keeps us attentive in specific situations.
Fear can be referred to by various names, such as apprehension, unease, concern, or tension. When an individual perceives a threat, one of these emotions comes into play. It's simple: no threat, no fear. This emotional and physical sensation should be recognized as having its limits, and the key is knowing how to manage it effectively.
Now, how does fear manifest in the realm of trading? In trading, fear is a common experience for every trader. It's universal!
However, some traders learn to master it, while others are overcome by it. One of the most significant fears in trading is the fear of initiating a trade. The thoughts and emotions that urge you to enter a position can be forceful enough to sow doubt in your trading setup. This can be due to a lack of chart data, the fear of financial losses, or the simple fear of making an error.
Pervasive self-doubt won't lead to favorable outcomes in the long run. Overcoming this fear is essential, and having a well-defined trading strategy is pivotal. It's a place where elements like risk management, trading timing, factors, timeframes, triggers, tools, and the rules you must adhere to are clearly outlined. If any of these components are absent from your setup, then what's the point of continuing? Why establish a trading strategy if you don't intend to follow it?
It's essential to set clear boundaries and acceptable losses, fully understand them, and accept them. When a 1% loss of your capital no longer feels emotionally burdensome, you'll be in a better position to analyze situations rationally and make informed decisions.
Another common fear among beginners is the trepidation of trading with real money. This fear is essentially the fear of losing. While practicing on a demo account is beneficial for gaining experience and refining your trading style, it's crucial to recognize that a demo account can't fully prepare you for real trading.
Don't be afraid to transition to real money trading. Some traders profit, while others pay with time. Consider your long-term prospects and where you envision yourself in one, five, or ten years. Challenge yourself to step out of your comfort zone.
Control your emotions, including fear. Make confident and well-informed decisions, and consistently adhere to the rules you've established. Remember, every journey starts with that initial step.
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Trading Psychology : 5 Questions to Ask your self Before TradingWhen it comes to trading, it's often said that success is not just about having a winning strategy; it's equally, if not more, about mastering the psychological aspects of trading.
when i started trading , I struggled with this concept, and it led to blown accounts, financial losses, and a destruction my mental health. However, through perseverance, reading books , and self-improvement, I managed to get my expectations and psychology in check, and the transformation in my trading results was remarkable.
In this article, I'll share the five crucial questions I ask myself before making any trade. These questions have helped me develop a disciplined and resilient trading mindset, and I believe they can do the same for you.
1. Does this trade fit my trading plan?
Before even considering a trade, it's vital to have a well-defined trading plan. Ask yourself if the trade aligns with your plan's criteria. This question reminds you to stick to your strategy and avoid impulsive decisions driven by market noise.
2. Am I mentally and financially ready to accept the risk of the trade?
Trading is a risky activity , its important to know if you are mentally able to handle potential losses and also it's crucial to assess whether you are mentally prepared to trade , if you are not feeling good mentally don't trade period. , Additionally, ensure that you have the necessary financial resources to accept the risk involved in the trade. Trading should never jeopardize your financial stability.
3. Am I trading based on FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) or a well-thought-out plan?
FOMO can be a trader's worst enemy. Ask yourself if you are entering a trade out of fear that you might miss out on an opportunity. A well-thought-out plan should drive your decisions, not emotions. always remember that EVERY SINGLE DAY there are new and better opportunities in the market .
4. Am I experiencing overconfidence (euphoria)?
FOMO can be a trader's worst enemy. Ask yourself if you're entering a trade out of the fear of missing out on an opportunity. A well-thought-out plan should be the driving force behind your decisions, not emotional impulses.
Overconfidence can lead to reckless trading. Evaluate your current state of mind. Are you feeling overly confident, perhaps due to recent successes? Remember that the market can be unpredictable, and overconfidence can cloud your judgment.
remember that EVERY SINGLE DAY there are new and better opportunities in the market you are not missing out on anything you are just waiting for the best opportunity that fits your trading rules and strategy .
5. Am I in the present moment (mindful)?
Trading, as Mark Douglas beautifully emphasizes in "Trading in the Zone," demands a state of mindfulness. Are you fully immersed in the present trade, or do your thoughts wander elsewhere? Staying in the zone of mindfulness enables you to make grounded and rational decisions while responding adeptly to dynamic market shifts.
ask yourself Are you fully engaged in the trade at hand, or are your thoughts scattered? Staying in the present moment allows you to make more rational decisions and react effectively to market changes.
Introduction to Behavioral FinanceIntroduction
Behavioral finance is a captivating field that explores how human psychology affects financial decision-making. Traditional finance models assume investors are rational beings, making logical choices to maximize wealth. However, behavioral finance acknowledges that emotions, cognitive biases, and herd mentality often lead individuals to deviate from rationality. In this article, we delve into the intriguing world of behavioral finance, investigating the psychological factors that influence investors and traders and how these elements impact their decision-making processes.
Cognitive Biases: The Subconscious Pitfalls
Cognitive biases are ingrained mental shortcuts that our brains use to simplify information processing. Although helpful in everyday life, these biases can lead to significant errors in investment decisions. Common cognitive biases include:
a. Confirmation Bias: Investors tend to seek and favor information that supports their existing beliefs or opinions, ignoring contradictory evidence. This leads to a skewed perception of market trends and an unwillingness to challenge preconceived notions.
b. Overconfidence Bias: Many investors overestimate their ability to predict market movements, leading to excessive risk-taking and potentially significant losses.
c. Anchoring Bias: This bias occurs when investors fixate on a particular piece of information (e.g., the purchase price of a stock) and use it as a reference point for future decisions, disregarding changing circumstances.
d. Loss Aversion: Investors often fear losses more than they value gains, causing them to hold onto losing positions for too long in the hope of a turnaround, leading to missed opportunities.
Emotional Influences on Decision-Making
a. Fear and Greed: Fear and greed are potent emotions that profoundly impact investment decisions. Fear can trigger panic selling during market downturns, while greed may fuel excessive risk-taking in pursuit of high returns.
b. Regret Aversion: Investors tend to avoid making decisions that might result in regret, such as realizing losses on investments. This reluctance may lead to inaction and failure to rebalance portfolios as needed.
c. Herding Behavior: Humans are social creatures, and this extends to financial markets. Herding behavior occurs when investors follow the actions of others, even when it may not be in their best interest, potentially exacerbating market trends.
d. Availability Heuristic: Investors often rely on easily accessible information or recent events to make decisions, leading to an overemphasis on recent market trends and news.
Conclusion
Behavioral finance sheds light on the critical role psychology plays in investment decision-making. Cognitive biases, emotions, and herd mentality can lead investors astray, affecting their financial well-being and market stability. Recognizing these psychological factors is essential for investors and traders seeking to make more informed and rational choices. As financial professionals continue to explore behavioral finance, the integration of psychology with traditional finance models promises to enhance our understanding of market dynamics and human behavior in the world of finance. By embracing the insights offered by behavioral finance, investors can take steps to minimize biases and make more objective and strategic investment decisions for long-term success.
Understanding the Learning CurveWelcome to @Vestinda new article about Learning Curve! We are delighted to share this insightful piece with our valued community on @TradingView !
At Vestinda, we believe in empowering traders with knowledge and tools to navigate the cryptocurrencies and futures trading. In this article, we will explore the concept of the learning curve and its relevance to the trading journey. Whether you are a novice trader or a seasoned professional, understanding the learning curve can be instrumental in your path to success.
If you focus and invest time into a subject, you will eventually reach a level of mastery.
The actual level clearly depends on the amount of invested time and to a significant extent on your inherent abilities to acquire the specific knowledge. I could probably spend a decade on quantum physics and not progress beyond the level of ‘enthusiastic beginner'. However, attaining mastery is seldom a smooth and linear journey. It is more like a curve in the mathematical sense, characterized by uneven ups and downs, reflecting the usual 'bumps in the road' that we all experience when dealing with challenging topics.
There is a pattern in the process of learning something new (knowledge, skills, etc.), which was formulated by the American psychologist Albert Bandura. This pattern is depicted in the form of a graph known as the Bandura curve.
The graph demonstrates the relationship between time (number of attempts), the level of human competence in what they are studying, and their expectations.
If you have ever enthusiastically started a new training, holding high hopes for it, and then quietly gave up, blaming others or anything else, then you are not alone. To avoid repeating this in the future, it's important to understand how human psychology and the system work, and that each of us is part of this system. Below, we will provide recommendations on what to pay attention to.
So, the Bandura curve shows the stages a person goes through when beginning to learn something new.
1. Clueless (You don't know what you don't know)
When you first venture into trading cryptocurrencies and futures, you are essentially clueless about the intricacies of the market. The concepts, strategies, and tools may seem foreign and overwhelming. It's like staring at a vast landscape without a map, unsure of where to even begin.
2. Naively confident (You think you know, but still don't know what you don't know)
As you begin your learning journey, you might gain some basic knowledge and techniques. This newfound understanding might lead to a sense of naively confident. You believe you have a handle on things, but in reality, there's a lot you're still unaware of, and the market can surprise you with unexpected turns.
3. Discouragingly realistic (You know what you don't know)
With more experience, you come to a point of realization that there is much more to learn. The challenges and complexities of trading become evident, and you may face setbacks that test your resolve. It can be a discouraging phase as you grapple with the reality of how much you still need to learn.
4. Mastery achieved (You know it)
Through persistence and a commitment to learning, you gradually achieve mastery in trading cryptocurrencies and futures. You've gained a comprehensive understanding of the market dynamics, developed effective strategies, and learned how to manage risks. You can now navigate the market with confidence and consistently make informed decisions.
Remember: The learning curve in trading is a natural part of the process, and each stage brings its own valuable lessons. Don't be disheartened by challenges or setbacks; they are opportunities to grow and improve your trading skills.
WHAT TO DO?
✅ Embrace the journey of learning and growth, recognizing that mastery takes time.
✅ Stay humble and open-minded, acknowledging that there is always more to learn.
✅ Be patient with yourself during the challenging phases and use them as motivation to improve.
✅ Keep refining your strategies and adapting to the ever-changing market conditions.
Can you identify which stage you are currently in your cryptocurrency and futures trading journey? Remember, each stage brings you closer to becoming a proficient trader.
We hope you found this article on understanding the learning curve in trading cryptocurrencies and futures helpful!
If you have any thoughts, questions, or personal experiences related to the topic, we'd love to hear from you. Please share your feedback in the comments below.
Your input is valuable to us and can help us create more content that resonates with your interests and needs.
Thank you for being part of our community!
The Pyramid of Trading SuccessGreetings, esteemed members of the @TradingView community and all Vesties out there!
The Pyramid of Trading Success is a conceptual model that outlines the fundamental principles and steps needed to achieve success in the trading world. It serves as a guiding framework for traders to build a strong foundation and gradually ascend towards becoming proficient and profitable in their endeavors. The pyramid consists of several layers, each representing a crucial aspect of trading mastery:
1. Emotional Well-being / Financial Stability / Trustworthy Broker (Base of the Pyramid)
Sought-after Qualities: Self-awareness, Constructive Self-evaluation, Rational Thinking, and Objectivity.
Prioritizing emotional well-being and financial stability is essential in the world of trading. Maintaining self-awareness allows you to understand your emotions and reactions, helping you make better decisions.
Engaging in constructive self-evaluation enables you to learn from mistakes and improve your strategies.
Rational thinking and objectivity ensure you approach trading with a clear and level-headed mindset.
Additionally, choosing a trustworthy broker is crucial for the security of your funds and the overall integrity of your trading experience.
2. Robust Safety System
Practice swift loss-cutting, avoid unreliable cryptocurrencies and low-quality stocks, refrain from gambling, and abandon the notion of overnight riches.
Implementing a robust safety system is paramount in trading.
Swift loss-cutting helps limit potential losses and protects your capital.
Avoiding unreliable cryptocurrencies and low-quality stocks minimizes risk and safeguards against scams.
Refraining from gambling ensures that you approach trading as a calculated investment, not a game of chance.
Finally, abandoning the notion of getting rich overnight fosters a long-term and sustainable approach to achieving financial success.
3. Portfolio Management
Rely on statistics and discard ineffective approaches. Monitor market trends regularly, consider long-term goals, stay informed about economic indicators.
Effective portfolio management relies on a statistical approach to decision-making.
By analyzing historical data and trends, you can make informed choices and discard strategies that have shown ineffective results.
Regularly monitoring market trends helps you stay on top of changes and adapt your portfolio accordingly.
Considering long-term goals ensures that your investment decisions align with your overall financial objectives.
Staying informed about economic indicators provides valuable insights into the broader market conditions that may impact your portfolio.
4. Asset allocation
Diversify your investments to spread risk. Requires years of experience in trading financial markets.
Asset allocation is a key strategy to manage risk and optimize returns.
Diversifying your investments across various asset classes, industries, and geographies helps reduce the impact of market fluctuations on your overall portfolio.
Achieving effective asset allocation often requires years of experience in trading financial markets to gain a comprehensive understanding of different investment opportunities and their performance characteristics.
5. Tools
Conduct backtesting of your strategies and consider automating your investments.
Utilizing the right tools is crucial for successful trading.
Backtesting allows you to test your strategies on historical data to evaluate their performance before implementing them in real-time. This helps refine your approach and increase the likelihood of success.
Additionally, automating your investments can streamline the execution process, ensuring timely responses to market conditions and minimizing emotional biases.
Here are simplified steps for strategy backtesting:
Define strategy parameters, financial market, and chart timeframe for testing.
Search for trades based on the specified strategy, market, and timeframe.
Analyze price charts for entry and exit signals.
Record all trades and calculate the gross return (including both winning and losing trades).
Deduct commissions and trading costs from the gross return to find the net return.
Compare the net return to the capital used to calculate the percentage return over the specified timeframe.
6. Remaining
Focusing on the essentials covered in the first five points is critical for your success as a trader.
Avoid getting distracted by other less crucial elements such as social trading or overly complex indicators.
While indicators can be useful tools, it's important to remember that they are derived from basic price and volume data. Instead of searching for elusive patterns or magical chart overlays, devote your time to mastering the fundamental principles discussed earlier.
This disciplined and pragmatic approach is more likely to yield tangible results in your trading journey.
By following the Pyramid of Trading Success, traders can develop a comprehensive and methodical approach to trading, increasing their chances of achieving sustainable success in the dynamic and challenging world of financial markets.
We would greatly appreciate your valuable feedback on our article about the Trading Pyramid. Your opinion matters to us, and your insights can help us improve our content and tailor it to better meet your needs.
Traders' Inverse Relationship with Breakouts⚡Retail traders often find themselves entangled in false breakouts or breakdowns. However, it's important to recognize that taking advantage of breakout opportunities isn't inherently flawed. The key lies in being mindful of the associated risks and never trading beyond what is considered an acceptable level of risk. By doing so, traders can protect themselves from unnecessary losses and navigate the market more wisely.
⚡Another crucial aspect of successful trading is planning for potential failures. While the solution seems simple – cutting losses and exiting the trade – it's essential to define what constitutes failure beforehand. Identifying these conditions before entering a trade allows traders to establish clear criteria for when it's time to step back and avoid further losses.
⚡To increase their chances of success with breakout trades, traders can consider adopting a strategy of trading pullbacks after a breakout has occurred. Typically, stocks pull back to retest their breakout levels, presenting attractive trading opportunities. While this approach can mitigate some failures, it's important to acknowledge that no trading strategy is foolproof. There may be instances where traders miss out on certain opportunities due to a lack of pullbacks, leading to feelings of "Fear of Missing Out" (FOMO). Remember, trading involves inherent uncertainties, and no strategy guarantees a 100% success rate.
⚡Lastly, traders should keep in mind that support levels offer potential buying opportunities, while resistance levels indicate potential selling opportunities. Being attentive to these key levels can assist traders in making informed decisions and improving their overall trading performance.
Regards
Do hit boost 🚀 for motivation.
Gold trading idea for the next weekend Gold is at key level as respect their 1983 Supply zone and price rejected till 1959 and started growing's up to break the 1983 level the overall trend in buy so you can find buy setup which give respect to your plan.
The possible moves are under;
1. If found some strong evidence on 1960 rejections then open buy positions with proper money managements, but make sure you see any rejections and confirmations candle.
2. 1948 zone also marked as smart demand zone and support from where last time market pump up.
3. 1940 zone also marked the major demand zone and you will get prefect entry with high reward setup.
Note: The overall trend in buy so you can open up the buy positions and make sure to strong your physiology and control the emotions.
Understanding US Economic newsUS Economic Indicators:
We know about trends and trend changes, but why a trend changes?
The tops and bottoms of the market are determined by the fundamentals, like news releases, while the technicals show us how we get between those two points.
So a news release can be the cause or trigger of a trend change.
So it is to our advantage to at least be aware of upcoming news releases.
Here are some releases to watch for:
Non-Farm Payrolls
Non-Farm Payrolls have proven itself to be one of the most significant fundamental indicators in recent U.S. history. As a report of the number of new jobs created outside the farming industry each month, a positive or negative NFP can get traders to act very hastily. A better than expected figure is very bullish for the dollar, whereas a more sluggish number usually results in the dollar being sold off. There is another component of unemployment released on the same day: The Unemployment Rate. Unemployment measures the amount of people that are out of a job, but are actively seeking one. If this number is smaller, then it means that the people that are seeking jobs are finding them, possibly meaning that businesses are well off and that the economy is expanding. The NFP is a number, usually between 5-6 figures, whereas the Unemployment rate is a percentage. A higher NFP number and lower unemployment number are generally bullish for the dollar and vice versa. It is difficult to trade the NFP and Unemployment Rate only because many times traders will not pay attention to what seems to be the most significant components, but will instead focus in on what reinforces their bias. Also, the release causes a significant amount of volatility in the markets.
FOMC Rate Decision Interest
Rate decisions for the Fed Funds Rate are very important when trading the U.S. Dollar.
When the Fed raises interest rates, the yield offered by dollar denominated assets are higher, which generally attracts more traders and investors.
If interest rates are lowered, that means that the yield offered by dollar denominated assets is less, which will give investors less of an incentive to invest in dollars.
When the decision is made about the rate it is always accompanied by a statement where the Fed gives a brief summary of what they think of the economy as a whole. When reading the statement it is important to check the exact language.
Many times by the time that the decision is published, it is usually factored into the market. This means that only slight fluctuations are seen if the decision is as expected. The statement on the other hand is analyzed word for word for any signs of what the Fed may do at the next meeting. Remember the actual interest rate movement tends to be less important than the expectations for future interest rate moves.
Retail Sales
The Retail Sales figure is an important number in a series of key economic data that comes out during the month.
Because it measures how much businesses are selling and consumers are purchasing, a strong retail sales figure could signal dollar bullishness because it means strength in the US economy, whereas a less-than-expected number could lead to dollar bearishness.
Again, the logic behind this is that if consumers are spending more, and businesses are making more money, then the economy is picking up pace, and to keep inflation from creeping in during this time period, the Fed may have to raise rates, all of which would be positive for the US dollar.
Traders tend to use the Retail Sales figure more as a leading indicator for other releases such as Consumer Confidence and CPI, and thereby don’t usually “jump the gun,” unless the numbers are terribly out of proportion.
Foreign Purchases of US Treasuries (TIC Data)
The Treasury International Capital flow (TIC) reports on net foreign securities purchases measures the amount of US treasuries and dollar denominated assets that foreigners are holding.
A key feature of the TIC data is its measurement of the types of investors the dollar has; governments and private investors. Usually, a strong government holding of dollar denominated assets signals growing dollar optimism as it shows that governments are confident in the stability of the U.S. dollar. Looking at the different central banks, most important seems to be the purchases of Asian central banks such as that of Japan and China. Waning demand by these two giant US Treasury holders could be bearish for the US dollar.
As for absolute amount of foreign purchases, the market generally likes to see purchases be much stronger than the funding needs of that same month’s trade deficit. If it is not, it signals that there is not enough dollars coming in to match dollar going out of the country.
As a side note, purchases by Caribbean central banks are generally seen to be less consistent since most hedge funds are incorporated in the Caribbean.
Hedge funds generally have a much shorter holding period than other investors.
US Trade Balance
The Trade Balance figure is a measure of net exports minus net imports and tends to be negative for the U.S. as it is primarily a “consuming” nation. However, a growing imbalance in the Trade Balance suggests much about the current account and whether or not if the U.S. is “overspending” on foreign goods and services.
Traders will understand a decreasing Trade Balance number to implicate dollar bullishness, whereas a growing disparity between exports and imports will lead to dollar bearishness.
Because the figure precedes the Current Account release, it pretty much helps project the direction of change in the Current Account and also begins to factor in those expectations.
Current Account Balance
The U.S. Current Account is a figure representing the total accrued deficit of the U.S per quarter against foreign nations. Traders will interpret a greater deficit as bad news for the U.S. and will consequently sell the dollar, whereas a shrinking deficit will spark dollar bullishness.
Usually, the Current Account Deficit is expected to be funded by the net foreign securities, but when ends don’t meet in these data, the Current Account could signal a big dollar sell-off. Additionally, because the Current Account data comes out after the Trade Balance Numbers, a lot of its expectations begin to get priced into the market, so a surprise to either side of expectations could result in big market movements for the dollar.
Consumer Price Index (CPI)/Producer Price Index (PPI)
The Consumer Price Index is one of the leading economic gauges to measure the pace of inflation. Many investors and the Fed constantly monitor this figure to get an understanding about the future of interest rates. Interest rates are significant because not only do they have a direct impact on the amount of capital inflow into the country, but also say much about dollar-based carry trades.
If the inflation number comes in higher than expected, traders will interpret that to mean that an interest rate hike is more likely in the near future and will thus buy dollars, whereas a figure that falls short of expectations may cause traders to wait on the sideline until the Fed actually makes a decision. Essentially, trading a negative change in CPI is much more difficult than trading a positive change due to the nature of different interpretations. A significant increase in the CPI will result in much dollar bullishness, but a decrease will not necessarily result in dollar bearishness.
The CPI measures inflation at the retail level (consumers), while the PPI measures the inflation at the wholesale level (producers).
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
The U.S. Gross Domestic Product is a gauge of the overall output (goods & services) of the U.S. economy. If the figure increases, the economy is improving, and often the dollar will strengthen. If the number falls short of expectations or meets the consensus, dollar bearishness may be triggered.
This sort of reaction is again tied to interest rates, as traders expect an accelerating economy to be mired by inflation and consequently interest rates will go up. However, much like the CPI, a negative change in GDP is more difficult to trade; just because the pace of growth has slowed does not mean it has deteriorated. On the other hand, a better than expected number will usually result in the dollar rising as it implicates that a quickly expanding economy will sooner or later require higher interest rates to keep inflation in check.
Overall though, the GDP has fallen in significance and its ability to move markets since most of the components of the report are known in advance
Durable Goods
The Durable Good figure measures the amount of capital spending the U.S. is doing, such as on equipment, transportation, etc., both on a business and personal level.
Essentially, the more the U.S. spends the more the dollar stands to benefit; the opposite is also true. This is because increased spending could very well be a harbinger for inflation, and thus consequently, interest rate hikes.
Traders will usually focus in on the durable goods figure, but not too deeply, as it usually precedes data regarding housing starts and the annualized GDP figure release. Therefore trading based on the Durable Goods number is only voluminous when stagnancy in other key economic releases has been confirmed by a market consensus.
Finding Balance as a Forex Trader and Nurturing Your FamilyDo you ever feel like your life is a constant juggling act? As a 33-year-old female, I understand the challenges of maintaining balance between trading forex and taking care of a family. It's a question I often get asked:
"How do you create balance in your life while pursuing your passion for forex trading?"
Today, I want to share some insights that may resonate with you and help you find that much-needed equilibrium.
You may already live a well-balanced life more than you know. Think about your daily routine: waking up, preparing for work, spending time with your loved ones, and getting some well-deserved "me" time. These tasks may seem simple, but they contribute to the overall balance of your life.
The key is to recognize that this balance is not set in stone and can be adapted to accommodate new endeavors.
However, when you decided to become a forex trader, your life may have shifted from being balanced to unbalanced, causing confusion and chaos. There are three primary reasons for this shift:
Learning a new skill: Forex trading is a skill that requires time and dedication to master. It's natural to feel overwhelmed when you're navigating unfamiliar territory.
No guaranteed income: Unlike a traditional job, forex trading doesn't come with a fixed paycheck. The uncertainty surrounding your earnings can add stress to your life.
The need for guidance: When you had a boss, coworkers, teachers, or family members supporting you, you had clear instructions and a sense of direction. Without this guidance, you might feel lost and uncertain about your trading journey.
The secret to restoring balance lies in seeking help, asking for guidance, and implementing the knowledge you gain. By doing so, you create a path towards balance that supports your growth as a trader and as an individual.
So, what does balance as a trader look like?
It's about integrating trading into your daily or weekly routine in a way that aligns with your energy levels and priorities. Find your passion peak hours, the times of the day when you feel most aware and energized. This is when you should dedicate time to learning and trading. On the other hand, avoid trading or learning during your low energy times, as it can throw off your balance and hinder your performance.
Remember, trading should become a simple addition to your life, not a burdensome chore. It's crucial to find a pace that suits you. For some traders, placing 1-3 trades a week is sufficient. And it's perfectly okay if there are weeks when you don't make any trades at all. Embrace the concept of making money doing the bare minimum in trading. We're fortunate to have technology that allows us to achieve significant results without the need for countless trades.
Imagine the satisfaction of making substantial profits with just a few minutes of work. This is the kind of mindset that can make trading an invaluable addition to your life. It's worth the effort to learn and master this skill.
To integrate trading into your already balanced life, follow these steps:
Visualize the addition: Imagine how trading will fit into your routine and how it will complement your current lifestyle.
Determine your trading frequency: Decide on the number of trades you want to place and visualize yourself executing those trades confidently.
Embrace the highs and lows: Picture yourself experiencing the emotions that come with making or losing money. Reflect on how often you want to feel those emotions.
Take action: Now that you have a clear vision, it's time to take concrete steps towards making it a reality. Implement your plan and adapt as necessary.
Finding balance takes time, and it's important to be patient with yourself. Give trading at least 1-3 years to see true growth.
The first year is for learning and establishing a foundation.
The second year is about building repetition and consistency.
By the third year, you'll be ready to implement and evolve your trading strategy further. Throughout each year, document your journey through notes and videos, and share your experiences with others. Your story can inspire and encourage those who are on a similar path.
Remember, blessings come to those who persist and inspire others. Share your journey, even when you're not yet where you want to be. Your insights and encouragement can make a significant impact on someone else's life.
Wishing you many blessings on your journey,
SHAQUAN
Ninja Talks EP 28: Don't fall for the sub!I often talk about awareness being the cornerstone to any success, wether it be financial, physical or mental - but how many actually do it?
For a whole week the western world was infatuated with a missing make-shift submarine lost at sea on its journey to explore the Titanic.
Is it beneficial to us?
Who decided that's what we should be all focusing on?
It's irrelevant news.
Yet the loose attention span of Bambi's throughout the world was so apparent to see, because when you don't refine your awareness daily - you give that power to someone else.
Many didn't turn it into content.
Many didn't see how they could profit from it.
But most importantly many didn't even consider that there attention was being manipulated in real time to focus on irrelevancy and negativity.
It doesn't empower or fill you with drive, so why do it?
Awareness of my surroundings is the "cheat code" I've been using for years and the results speak for themselves, I work for myself and by myself taking trades and pumping content from the comfort of my own phone no matter where I end up in the world, if I have an internet connection, I'm good to go!
How many of you can say the same?
Truly.
Not to diminish your current state, but how fluid are you in your life? When you desire to do something, can you? Or are you continually restricted by outside circumstances?
Just questions.
Keep your blades sharp Ninja!
Ninja Talks EP 26: Shocking Success Revelation of a Feline Earlier this morn, I was perched upright on my cozy outdoor chair in my garden enjoying a well earned Cuban. With the sun kissing my skin and the great release of energy I felt with every exhale of my cigar I was content, lost in thought, happy - still, but then to my surprise I was startled by a subtle movement off to my left on the bright green grass I cut days prior.
It was my Persian cat Leo, the feline was in hunt mode, completely oblivious to my onlooking observations, but it didn't matter he was zen.
Even though the sun was shining bright white there was a slight breeze that would brush the also bright white fur of Leo, rustle the trees and cascade noisy dried up leaves down the path - he was aware of it all, ears twitching and eyes wide, he missed nothing but, he was looking for a target and by golly he saw one down in the foot of a tree 6ft away from him.
A Robin red breast collecting dried plant matter to blanket its young back at the nest.
The Persian nustled down deep into the ground, making itself a flat fluffy invisible killing machine - as the Robin danced just outside of reach Leo didn't move, completely still, not even for an instant showing his intention.
After a quick back and fourth of daring bravery on one hand and simple cunning on the other the Robin flew off, to which Leo - not at all dejected or defeated - reset, raising his body higher, leaving hunt mode and entering back into listening mode.
This is an elite level trader personified.
Silent. Ready. Prepared.
When the trade is close (just like the Robin), but it does not qualify totally and completely to your strategy, you do not pounce, you wait.
Make sense?
You stop.
Reset.
And start the hunt again.
The hunt is what's enjoyable, not necessarily the prize.
Think about that the next time you "see the Robin" in your own trading.
Ninja out.
Follow for more Ninja Talks.
A Good Trader?It's fascinating to hear about your journey as a content creator and now as a trader. It seems like you have a strong understanding of personal finance and the importance of stability in achieving your goals. Building a stable income and meeting your basic needs is indeed crucial before diving into trading full-time.
- You make an important point about the misconception many beginners have regarding trading, expecting high returns and win rates right from the start. It's essential to have realistic expectations and focus on consistent progress rather than aiming for extraordinary gains immediately.
- Understanding the role of capital is also significant. While a smaller account may require higher returns to meet income goals, there are options like prop firms that allow for more substantial capital and lower return targets. Managing risk and being consistent are key factors in trading success.
- You emphasize the importance of continuous learning and improvement, which is an excellent mindset to have. Learning from failures and applying those lessons to other areas of life can lead to personal growth and development.
- You also touch on the significance of personal finance in trading. Getting your personal finance in order, paying off debts, ensuring consistent cash flow, and having savings are crucial steps before embarking on a trading journey.
- Achieving consistency in trading takes time and effort, and it's encouraging to hear that you have made progress in that regard. It's great that you focus on risk management, trade management, and trade psychology, as these are all fundamental aspects of successful trading.
Overall, your journey and insights provide valuable lessons for aspiring traders. It's important to approach trading with a realistic mindset, prioritize personal finance, and continuously strive for improvement.
Thank you for sharing your experiences, and I wish you continued success on your trading journey.
The Psychology Of Trading: How To Manage Your Emotions.The significance of psychology in trading cannot be overstated, as it serves as a cornerstone for achieving success. Failure to acknowledge its importance can have disastrous consequences. A notable example is the case of Nick Leeson, who single-handedly caused the downfall of the venerable 200-year-old Barings Bank, a financial institution of such stature that even Queen Elizabeth II entrusted her funds to it. The losses incurred amounted to a staggering 2 million pounds, highlighting how the lack of emotional control in trading can lead to catastrophic outcomes.
Understanding and managing one's psychological state is crucial for traders at every level, without any exceptions. It holds true for beginners who may be working with a modest capital of a few hundred dollars, as well as for seasoned professionals who operate with million-dollar deposits. The ability to control emotions, maintain a disciplined mindset, and make rational decisions amidst market fluctuations are vital components for long-term success in trading. By recognizing the impact of psychology and taking steps to develop a strong mental framework, traders can navigate the complexities of the financial markets with greater resilience and achieve their desired outcomes.
What Is Trading Psychology?
Trading psychology encompasses the behavioral aspects that shape an individual's actions within the realm of financial markets. These actions range from identifying optimal entry points to executing profitable trades.
Renowned trader and fund manager William Eckhardt once remarked that intelligence is largely unrelated to success in trading. Based on his observations, individuals of average intelligence, yet diligent in their approach and possessing discipline and self-control, consistently achieved trading success.
This observation underscores the crucial role of psychology in trading. Only through complete control over one's actions can traders earn stable profits, rather than relying on occasional wins.
The development of trading psychology is a process that unfolds over time. Beginners often find themselves prone to making repetitive mistakes, but with a focus on self-control, they can cultivate these necessary qualities. The key lies in the ability to learn from one's own mistakes and grow from them.
By recognizing and addressing psychological factors such as fear, greed, and impatience, traders can enhance their decision-making abilities and gain a deeper understanding of market dynamics. Through continuous self-reflection and a commitment to personal growth, individuals can refine their trading psychology, leading to more consistent and successful outcomes.
How Do I Handle My Emotions As A Trader?
Indeed, while constant practice and self-control are essential components of addressing psychological challenges in trading, a more detailed approach is necessary for effectively resolving these issues. Below are some key strategies that can contribute to overcoming psychological obstacles in trading:
1) Self-awareness: Develop a deep understanding of your own psychological tendencies, strengths, and weaknesses as a trader. Recognize the emotions and biases that may influence your decision-making process.
2) Journaling: Maintain a trading journal to record your thoughts, emotions, and actions during trades. This practice can help you identify patterns, errors, and areas for improvement. Regularly review and reflect on your journal entries to gain valuable insights into your psychological state while trading.
3) Emotional regulation: Learn to manage emotions such as fear, greed, and impatience. Implement techniques like deep breathing exercises, meditation, or mindfulness practices to cultivate emotional stability and prevent impulsive decision-making.
4) Risk management: Establish and adhere to a well-defined risk management plan. Determine the maximum acceptable level of risk for each trade and set stop-loss orders accordingly. This approach can help mitigate the negative impact of emotional decision-making during turbulent market conditions.
5) Positive reinforcement: Celebrate your trading successes, regardless of their magnitude. Acknowledge and reward yourself for following your trading plan and executing disciplined trades. This positive reinforcement can strengthen your confidence and reinforce desirable trading behaviors.
6) Continuous education: Invest in expanding your knowledge and skills through ongoing education. Attend trading workshops, webinars, and seminars to enhance your understanding of both technical and psychological aspects of trading. Engaging with a community of traders can provide valuable support and insights.
7) Seeking support: Consider joining trading forums or finding a mentor who can provide guidance and support. Discussing challenges and sharing experiences with fellow traders can offer fresh perspectives and encourage personal growth.
Remember, addressing psychological challenges in trading is an ongoing process that requires dedication and perseverance. By implementing these strategies and adapting them to your individual needs, you can develop a robust psychological toolkit to navigate the complexities of the market and enhance your trading performance.
Learn To Rest
Trading is undoubtedly associated with stress, and it is crucial to find effective ways to alleviate psychological pressure. No one can sustain constant worry about open trades or missed opportunities without experiencing negative consequences.
Just as athletes prioritize physical and mental preparation before important games or competitions, traders can benefit from a similar approach. Taking care of both physiology and psychology is essential in achieving a balanced state of mind.
To effectively manage stress in trading, consider the following recommendations:
Establish a routine: Create a structured daily schedule that includes not only trading activities but also time for physical exercise, relaxation, and leisure. This routine helps maintain a sense of balance and prevents trading from becoming the sole focus of your life.
Physical activity: Incorporate regular exercise into your routine. Engaging in activities such as going to the gym, taking walks, or participating in sports can help reduce stress, improve overall well-being, and promote mental clarity.
Healthy lifestyle: Pay attention to your diet, sleep patterns, and overall self-care. Eating nutritious meals, getting sufficient sleep, and practicing relaxation techniques like meditation or deep breathing exercises contribute to a healthier physiological state, which in turn positively impacts your psychological well-being.
Maintain social connections: Engage with friends, family, and fellow traders to maintain a support network. Sharing experiences, discussing challenges, and seeking advice from trusted individuals can alleviate feelings of isolation and provide valuable perspectives.
Take breaks: Allow yourself regular breaks from trading to recharge and rejuvenate. Stepping away from the screen, engaging in hobbies, or spending time in nature can help reduce stress levels and provide a fresh perspective when you return to the market.
Mindfulness and stress management techniques: Incorporate mindfulness practices into your daily routine. Techniques such as meditation, deep breathing exercises, or visualization can help calm the mind, increase self-awareness, and improve resilience in the face of stress.
Remember, trading should be a part of your life, not the sole focus. By nurturing a well-rounded lifestyle that includes physical activity, relaxation, and maintaining social connections, you can effectively manage stress, enhance your psychological well-being, and ultimately improve your trading performance.
Don't Focus On The Problem And Find Unconventional Solutions
Trading is inherently dynamic, and challenges are bound to arise. Profitable strategies can lose their effectiveness over time, and market conditions evolve, rendering old analytical methods obsolete.
It is important to recognize the risk of becoming fixated on a specific problem without finding a guaranteed solution. One common example is the endless pursuit of optimizing a trading strategy. Traders may dedicate days or even weeks attempting to fine-tune a strategy, only to find their efforts in vain.
In such situations, it is crucial for traders to possess the ability to recognize when to let go and seek alternative approaches. If attempts to optimize an existing strategy prove futile, it may be time to explore new strategies or even consider a shift in trading style altogether.
Adaptability and the willingness to embrace change are essential qualities for traders. Instead of becoming overly attached to a single approach, being open to non-standard solutions can be immensely valuable. This might involve exploring different trading methodologies, incorporating new indicators, or even considering alternative markets.
Finding a new strategy or adjusting one's trading style requires a combination of self-reflection, continuous learning, and experimentation. Being proactive in seeking innovative solutions ensures that traders can navigate evolving market conditions and maintain a competitive edge.
Remember, trading is a dynamic endeavor, and the ability to adapt and explore new possibilities is key to long-term success. By embracing change and being open to new strategies, traders can navigate the challenges that arise and continue to thrive in the ever-changing landscape of the financial markets.
Fearless Analysis
Brett Steenbarger's analogy between trading analysis and the principles of Alcoholics Anonymous highlights an important aspect of personal growth and development in trading. Just as it takes courage for individuals to admit their problems and seek help in recovery programs like Alcoholics Anonymous, traders must also be willing to acknowledge their mistakes and take responsibility for their actions.
In the trading world, it is common for individuals to deflect blame onto external factors such as the market, market makers, or indicators, rather than accepting their own errors. However, true progress can only be achieved when traders are mentally capable of saying to themselves, "I made mistakes, and that's why I lost money. The external factors played a minimal role."
By embracing this mindset, traders can take ownership of their actions and begin the process of self-improvement. Accepting personal responsibility for mistakes allows for self-reflection and learning from past experiences. It enables traders to identify areas for improvement, refine their strategies, and develop a more disciplined and effective approach to trading.
Acknowledging the problem is indeed the first step toward finding a solution. This fundamental principle holds true not only in trading but in all aspects of life. By confronting our shortcomings, we open the door to personal growth and development. It empowers us to make necessary changes, learn from our mistakes, and ultimately enhance our trading performance.
In summary, having the courage to admit mistakes, taking responsibility for one's actions, and acknowledging the role of personal accountability are crucial steps in the journey toward becoming a successful trader.
Evaluation Of Hypothetical Scenarios
Being prepared for all possible scenarios is a crucial aspect of successful trading. Relying solely on one scenario and assuming a 100% guarantee is unrealistic and leaves traders vulnerable to unexpected market movements.
For instance, in the case of a well-established downtrend where a currency pair consistently breaks through support levels, it may appear likely that the trend will continue. However, it is important to acknowledge that no outcome can be guaranteed with absolute certainty.
While the probability of a reversal might be relatively low, it is still essential for traders to evaluate this scenario and consider potential levels where the downward movement could potentially halt, as well as identify potential targets in case of a reversal.
By considering multiple scenarios, traders are prepared for different market outcomes. If one scenario fails to materialize, they can quickly shift to their backup plan of action. This approach avoids panic and ensures a clear understanding of the unfolding market conditions. It benefits traders both emotionally, by maintaining a composed mindset, and practically, by helping to recover from any potential drawdowns. If losses occur according to the first scenario, the backup plan allows for swift recovery and helps compensate for the incurred loss.
Having multiple scenarios and contingency plans not only provides traders with a more comprehensive approach but also fosters adaptability and resilience in navigating various market conditions. It enables traders to effectively manage risk and make informed decisions based on evolving market dynamics.
In summary, a trader's ability to embrace multiple scenarios and swiftly switch to alternative plans when necessary contributes to emotional stability, risk management, and the potential for recovering from losses. Being prepared for all possibilities strengthens a trader's overall strategy and increases the chances of achieving consistent profitability.
Detached Attitude To Trading
In the world of trading, the psychology of the quiet trader refers to the ability to approach trading with a calm and detached mindset, devoid of intense emotional reactions. While it may be unlikely to experience intense emotions in a typical day job, achieving a similar state of detachment and routine in trading is a valuable skill to develop.
At the beginning of their trading journey, it is natural for traders to experience a range of emotions that can interfere with decision-making. However, with consistent practice and experience, the trading process can become more routine and automatic. Placing orders and managing positions should become a habitual process that no longer elicits strong emotional reactions.
Larry Hite, a renowned trader featured in Jack Schwager's book "Stock Market Wizards," highlighted the importance of trading being utterly boring. Hite's trades were devoid of captivating stories that interested his colleagues. This perspective underscores the idea that successful trading involves striving for consistency and routine in every trade.
The art of trading lies in developing a disciplined approach where all trades become similar to each other. This means treating each trade as part of a well-defined strategy, adhering to predetermined rules, and executing trades without being swayed by emotional highs or lows. By cultivating this mindset, traders can maintain a calm and objective perspective, making sound decisions based on analysis and strategy rather than being influenced by fleeting emotions.
It is important to note that achieving the psychology of the quiet trader requires ongoing practice and self-awareness. Emotions may still arise, especially during challenging market conditions, but the goal is to minimize their impact on trading decisions. Through continuous learning, self-reflection, and discipline, traders can strive for a state of emotional detachment and routine in their trading activities.
In summary, the psychology of the quiet trader emphasizes the importance of approaching trading with a calm and detached mindset. By striving for routine and consistency, traders can reduce the influence of emotions and make objective decisions based on their trading strategy. Developing this skill requires practice, self-awareness, and a commitment to ongoing improvement.
Keeping Track Of Your Actions
Keeping a trader's journal is often overlooked by many beginners in the trading world. It may initially appear unnecessary, as the signals and trades seem clear in the moment, leaving no room for the perceived time wastage of jotting down notes. However, this approach ultimately deprives traders of a valuable foundation for future trade analysis and improvement.
While trading reports can be downloaded from the trading terminal, they are not an adequate substitute for a trader's journal. Trading reports typically only include basic information such as trade details (entry and exit times), closed position results, and expenses incurred. On the other hand, a trader's journal goes beyond these raw data points, allowing traders to record the reasons behind their trading decisions and evaluate their emotional state during each trade.
By maintaining a journal, traders can gain insights into their decision-making processes and learn from past experiences. It provides an opportunity to review trades and analyze the effectiveness of their strategies. Additionally, tracking emotional states throughout trades helps traders identify patterns and better understand how emotions can impact their performance.
In addition to the journal, it is recommended that beginners create a checklist to ensure the adherence to their trading rules. Writing down and assessing the filters used to evaluate trade signals on a sheet of paper, assigning points to each filter, and evaluating entry points can be effective techniques. Over time, traders may become adept at mentally checking these criteria, but the act of physically documenting them helps reinforce consistency and discipline.
Both the trader's journal and checklist serve as valuable tools for self-assessment and improvement. They provide a structured framework for traders to reflect on their trades, identify strengths and weaknesses, and refine their trading strategies. By consistently using these techniques, beginners can develop a deeper understanding of their trading approach and enhance their overall performance over time.
In summary, while it may seem unnecessary at first, maintaining a trader's journal and utilizing a checklist can greatly contribute to a trader's growth and improvement. These practices offer valuable insights into decision-making processes, emotional states, and the adherence to trading rules. By incorporating these techniques into their routine, traders can refine their strategies and make informed adjustments to achieve greater trading success.
Regular Practice
As mentioned earlier, taking breaks in trading is important for maintaining a balanced approach and managing stress. However, it is crucial to clarify that taking breaks does not mean completely giving up trading for an extended period. Consistency and regular practice are key to developing and refining trading skills.
In the event of a challenging period or a losing streak, it is necessary to pause and take time to normalize one's psychological state. This break allows traders to step back, reassess their approach, and work on addressing any mistakes or weaknesses. Taking the time to reflect and learn from past experiences can contribute to personal growth and improvement as a trader.
However, it is essential to emphasize that the break should not transform into a long-term avoidance of trading. Once the trader has regained their psychological equilibrium and made necessary adjustments, it is important to resume trading. Consistent practice is vital for maintaining trading skills and staying in shape, similar to how weightlifters need regular training to retain their form.
Drawing a parallel to sports, just as weightlifters would lose their physical form without regular practice, traders need consistent engagement in the markets to hone their skills and adapt to changing conditions. By regularly participating in trading activities, traders can stay sharp, stay updated with market dynamics, and refine their strategies.
In summary, while breaks are valuable for maintaining psychological well-being and addressing trading challenges, it is important not to abandon trading for an extended period. Regular practice and engagement in the markets are necessary for traders to stay in shape and continuously improve their trading skills. By striking a balance between taking breaks when needed and consistent practice, traders can navigate the markets effectively and increase their chances of success.
Trading Will Be Unprofitable From Time To Time
Indeed, it is crucial for beginners to understand that not every trade will be profitable. It is unrealistic to expect a 100% success rate in trading, and even the most successful traders experience losses along the way. What matters is the overall statistics and performance of their trading strategy.
Successful trading is not about winning every single trade, but rather about having a strategy that generates a greater number of profitable trades and/or profits that exceed the losses. Traders should focus on the bigger picture and assess the effectiveness of their strategy based on the cumulative results over a period of time, such as a day, week, or month.
Instead of fixating on the outcome of each individual trade, it is more important for traders to pay attention to whether their trades adhere to their predetermined rules. If a trade is closed based on the application of a stop-loss order, and the decision was in line with their strategy, then it can be considered a successful trade, regardless of the actual outcome.
By shifting the focus from the outcome of each trade to the consistency and adherence to the trading plan, traders can maintain discipline and objectivity in their decision-making. It allows them to evaluate the effectiveness of their strategy based on a broader perspective and make informed adjustments as needed.
In summary, it is crucial for beginners to understand that not every trade will be profitable. The key to successful trading lies in the overall performance of the strategy, with a focus on the compliance with predetermined rules rather than the outcome of individual trades. By adopting this mindset, traders can maintain discipline, manage risk effectively, and increase their chances of long-term profitability.
Possible Failure Is Not Related To Your Personal Qualities
Absolutely, the outcome of the first attempt in trading does not define a person's intelligence or talent. It is important for beginners to recognize that initial failures are a common part of the learning process. In fact, even intellectually developed individuals may face challenges in trading, and there is no direct correlation between intellectual capacity and trading success.
Famous traders have observed that intellectually developed individuals may find trading more difficult. This could be due to various factors such as overanalysis, overthinking, or struggling to detach emotions from their decision-making process. However, it is crucial to remember that trading skills can be developed through discipline, persistence, and a willingness to learn from mistakes.
Mistakes are not a disaster but rather opportunities for growth and improvement. They serve as valuable lessons that can be used to refine decision-making methods and trading strategies. With dedication and a commitment to learning, traders can make corrections and progress in their trading journey.
Success in trading relies more on discipline and persistence than innate talent or intelligence. Developing the ability to stick to a trading plan, manage risk effectively, and maintain emotional control are critical factors in achieving long-term success. By cultivating these qualities and learning from mistakes, traders can enhance their trading skills and increase their chances of success in the markets.
In summary, the outcome of the first attempt in trading does not determine a person's intelligence or talent. Mistakes and challenges are part of the learning process, and success in trading is not solely dependent on innate abilities. By emphasizing discipline, persistence, and a commitment to continuous improvement, traders can overcome obstacles, learn from mistakes, and increase their chances of achieving trading success.
Conclusion
Losing a trading deposit does not indicate a lack of intelligence or suggest that trading is not suitable for an individual. It is important to understand that losses are a natural part of the trading journey and can provide valuable lessons for personal growth and improvement. Instead of viewing a lost deposit as a failure, it should be seen as an opportunity to learn from mistakes, gain experience, and continue working towards success.
Learning from other people's mistakes is indeed beneficial in trading. By studying the experiences and insights of successful traders, one can gain valuable knowledge and avoid making similar errors. However, personal experiences and mistakes also play a crucial role in the learning process. Analyzing one's own trades, identifying what went wrong, and drawing conclusions from those experiences can lead to valuable insights and improvements in future trading decisions.
It is essential to approach trading with a growth mindset, understanding that setbacks and losses are temporary and can be stepping stones to success. Rather than being discouraged by mistakes, it is important to embrace them as opportunities for growth and development. By learning from both personal and others' mistakes, traders can refine their strategies, strengthen their decision-making skills, and increase their chances of achieving success in the markets.
In summary, a lost trading deposit does not determine an individual's intelligence or suitability for trading. It is a chance to learn, grow, and refine one's approach to trading. By utilizing personal experiences and drawing lessons from both personal and others' mistakes, traders can enhance their knowledge, skills, and ultimately increase their potential for success in the world of trading.
Trading Mindfully: Letting Go of Revenge for Financial Success
Sometimes the market can really wear us down mentally and emotionally. Imagine this scenario: you enter a trade feeling confident, having carefully considered and calculated everything. You're in a fantastic mood, already envisioning the profits. And then, unexpectedly, everything goes wrong.
In moments like these, even if you have a solid system and strategy in place, anger and resentment can take over. You might feel the need to seek revenge on the market for what you perceive as an injustice, and impulsively open positions with the intention of punishing it. However, the outcome of such revenge trading is almost always regrettable, resulting in significant financial losses.
Let's take a closer look at what revenge trading entails and why it is so dangerous.
Revenge trading occurs when we believe that the market has taken "too much" from us or treated us unfairly. Instead of stepping back and regaining composure, traders act contrary to every rule and guideline, driven by anger and a desire to prove themselves.
Fueled by a mixture of frustration and determination, traders tend to fall into one of two scenarios: they either open large positions that further amplify their losses, or they manage to recoup some of their losses if luck is on their side. However, the best course of action in such situations is actually to take a break and reflect on the situation at hand.
Attempting to take revenge on a market that is infinitely more powerful than any individual trader is inherently irrational. Moreover, this type of trading has several other negative consequences.
When you trade out of revenge, you are driven by emotion rather than logic and strategy. This approach is destined to fail and can result in even greater losses over time.
At this point, you lose touch with reality, forgetting everything you know and have learned about the market. Your well-thought-out strategies and trading algorithms that used to bring you profits are abandoned.
Effective money management and risk compliance become distant thoughts. You throw all your resources into the blazing fire of revenge.
As a result, you find yourself trading based on intuition, which is no longer a disciplined approach but akin to gambling.
How to Overcome the Urge for Market Revenge
There is a simple yet crucial mechanism that can help traders overcome the desire to seek revenge on the market. The most challenging part, however, is remembering to apply it in practice. Here are some steps to follow:
1: Take a Step Back: When the desire for revenge arises, it's important to slow down your emotions and actions. Step away from the computer and engage in activities that involve fine motor skills, such as solving puzzles or engaging in a hobby. It's detrimental to continuously look at the screen that displays recent losses, as it only amplifies your emotional state. By diverting your attention to non-trading activities, you allow the frontal cortex of your brain, responsible for rational decision-making, to activate. Going for a walk or connecting with a friend can also be effective ways to shift your focus and regain composure.
2: Analyze the Situation: To regain a conscious state and process your emotions, conduct a written analysis of the situation. It's beneficial to do this manually on a plain sheet of paper, utilizing your fine motor skills once again. Describe the entire incident in detail, including your thoughts, emotions, and actions. By gaining a comprehensive understanding of what threw you off balance emotionally, you'll be better equipped to recognize and control those triggers in the future.
3: Evaluate Your Trading Strategy: Every trader relies on a specific algorithm or trading system to make decisions. Take the time to thoroughly examine your trading system and ask yourself some important questions:
- Does your trading system genuinely work?
- If you had followed your system entirely (which you didn't do when seeking revenge), would it have helped minimize losses?
- Are the losses that angered you a result of system losses or a breach of the system's rules?
In addition to studying your trading system, it's crucial to assess your money management rules and ensure you are effectively managing risks. Proper risk management acts as insurance, protecting you from substantial losses. Regardless of market fluctuations, you can confidently close trades when necessary. Effective risk management is what distinguishes profitable traders from those who suffer losses.
Final Thoughts:
To overcome the desire for revenge, it is essential to understand what triggers it and address the underlying reasons. When we view the market as a reflection of our self-image and attribute personal meaning to our trades, it often leads to an emotional storm. In such a state, we may disregard trading systems and risk management principles, making foolish mistakes that can devastate our trading accounts. It's important to remember that the market provides only factual information for analysis, and behind the price quotes lies nothing more than information.
The AEM Framework: 3-Step Guide to Successful TradingToday, I'd like to introduce you to the 'AEM' framework – a three-step process to successful trading. This framework is designed for everyone, from beginners starting their journey to seasoned professionals looking to refine their strategies. It involves three fundamental steps: Analyze, Execute, and Manage. Let's break down each element:
🔍 'A' for Analyze
The first step to becoming a successful trader is to understand yourself and find a trading style that suits your personality, risk tolerance, and financial goals. This includes your emotional comfort with taking risks, your patience levels, and your time commitment to trading.
Once you've figured out your trading style, the next step is to analyze potential strategies. Whether you're inclined towards fundamental analysis, technical analysis, or a combination of both, you must thoroughly understand the strategies you want to apply.
Finally, analyze your chosen strategies and yourself to create a robust trading plan. Your trading plan should include what you'll trade, when you'll enter and exit trades, and your criteria for decision-making. Remember, the goal isn't to make perfect predictions but to follow a consistent plan that can potentially yield positive results over the long term.
🎯 'E' for Execute
The second phase is execution. You've made your plan, and now it's time to put it into action. Execute your trades according to your strategy, without letting emotions cloud your judgement. Remember, it's about sticking to your plan – not chasing profits or running from losses.
But executing your plan isn't just about trading. It's about discipline and consistency, regularly reviewing your trading activity, making adjustments as necessary, and continuously learning from your experiences.
📊 'M' for Manage
The final step in the AEM framework involves managing several aspects of your trading:
Manage Yourself: Trading can be emotionally taxing. Maintain your physical and mental health to ensure you're always in the best shape to make rational decisions.
Manage Your Risk: No strategy is bulletproof. Always use stop losses, position sizing, and diversification to manage your risk effectively.
Manage Your Trades: Monitor your trades, keep records, and review them periodically to identify patterns, learn from your mistakes, and improve your strategy.
Manage Your Money: Keep your capital safe. Never risk more than a small percentage of your trading capital on any single trade, and be sure to keep some funds in reserve for unexpected opportunities or setbacks.
The AEM approach is a comprehensive method that can assist you at all levels in creating, executing, and managing a successful trading plan. It encourages introspection, disciplined execution, and careful management. Remember, the journey to trading success isn't always smooth, but the right approach and mindset can make it considerably more navigable.