World gold price todayGold prices continued to weaken today due to stronger-than-expected important US economic news. The US retail sales report for November showed an increase of 0.7%, 0.2 percentage points higher than the forecast increase of 0.5%.
This information made some gold investors worry that the FED may postpone the 0.25 percentage point interest rate cut after the end of the monetary policy meeting in the early morning of December 19. Since then, many people have temporarily stopped trading gold.
On the other hand, gold is also likely to have limited purchasing power due to some forecasts of rising inflation in the US, a slowing labor market..., prompting the FED to stop cutting interest rates early in 2025. At that time, the USD could increase in value very strongly, negatively affecting the world gold price trend.
The question now is whether the Fed will be more hawkish or dovish than the market has been expecting. Investors are now expecting the Fed to be more cautious in easing monetary policy, given the impact of Donald Trump’s agenda on inflation.
Tradingrange
Weakness Prevails Below Key LevelsChainlink continues to show bearish momentum after losing key support levels.
Key Observations:
dVAL and pdVAL Lost – LINK has dropped below the daily value area low (dVAL) and remains weak with no significant new volume coming in, indicating a lack of buying interest.
Swing Low Taken Out – LINK has taken out the swing low at $28, but the volume remains low, showing weak follow-through and limited buying activity.
pdVAL and pdPoC Resistance – The previous daily value area low (pdVAL) and the previous daily point of control (pdPoC) are both situated at $29, now acting as a strong resistance level. Bulls must reclaim this area to regain strength.
Lack of Bullish Defense – Bulls are failing to defend key levels, further signaling weakness.
Below Key Levels – LINK remains below the weekly open (wOpen) and the daily open (dOpen), confirming a bearish bias.
Target Levels:
Bearish Targets:
pwOpen (previous weekly open) coincides with the daily level at 26.09, making this a significant confluence area for potential support.
The 0.5 Fibonacci retracement at 25.61 strengthens this zone as a next key downside target.
Next Major Zone: The green support area below 26.09 remains a potential demand zone if selling pressure persists.
Summary:
With LINK taking out the swing low at $28 on low volume, remaining below dVAL, pdVAL, dOpen, and wOpen, the bearish momentum remains intact. The pdVAL and pdPoC at $29 now serve as strong resistance. The next major downside target lies at 26.09, where confluence with the pwOpen and daily level strengthens the support zone.
ADA – Is the $1 Support Zone the Next Target?ADA is currently trading within a well established range-bound structure. Here’s the breakdown of this setup:
1. Key Levels to Watch
$1.00
This is the most critical support zone and psychological level.
The Golden Pocket (0.618 Fibonacci retracement) lies perfectly at this level, adding strong confluence for buyers to step in.
Resistance:
Around the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level (~$1.107), where price could be rejecting. The 0.786 Fibonacci level coincides with the Point of Control (POC) of the trading range.
The anchored VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) aligns with this resistance, creating a high-probability short opportunity!
2. Trade Setup: Low-Risk Short Opportunity
Given the confluence of the following:
0.786 Fibonacci level (~$1.107): Resistance zone.
Anchored VWAP: Adding overhead selling pressure.
Order Block & Golden Pocket at $1: Strong support target.
This creates a low-risk short setup:
Entry: Near $1.107
Take-Profit: $1.015
Stop-Loss: Above $1.113 to limit risk exposure.
3. Risk-to-Reward Ratio
Risk: ~1% loss (tight stop above resistance).
Reward: ~8% gain (targeting the $1.00 support).
This gives us an 8:1 risk-to-reward ratio, making it a highly favorable trade setup.
4. Supporting Indicators
Volume Profile: Price has significant volume accumulation near the current range, indicating strong resistance around $1.10-$1.12.
Bearish Structure: Price remains below the anchored vwap (yellow line), indicating bearish momentum.
Conclusion
ADA is showing strong confluence for a potential short opportunity with minimal risk and significant upside reward. A retest of the $1 support is likely, given the combination of the Fibonacci Golden Pocket, order block and anchored VWAP resistance.
LINK - Losing Momentum: Key Breakdown Levels to WatchThe chart structure shows a rising wedge pattern, a bearish formation that signals exhaustion in the current uptrend. This pattern, combined with price action stalling at the highs, indicates that the bulls are losing momentum.
Key Observations:
1.) Rising Wedge Breakdown Potential:
The price action is forming lower highs and higher lows, aligning with the typical characteristics of a rising wedge.
A decisive break below pdVAL (Previous Day Value Area Low) at $28.99 would confirm the bearish momentum.
2.) Bearish Targets:
If pdVAL fails as support, we could see a correction towards key confluence zones:
First Target: $26.75 — This level aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement of the entire upward wave and coincides with previous price structure support.
Second Target: $26.09 — This level is marked by the pwOpen (Previous Week Open), providing additional support.
3.) Volume Profile:
The recent upward move lacked increasing volume, which reinforces the exhaustion narrative. A volume spike on the breakdown would further validate the bearish case.
4.) Support Zones:
The key green zone (highlighted) between $26.75 and $26.09 is a strong area of demand, supported by:
0.5 Fibonacci retracement.
Previous Weekly Open (pwOpen) and Previous Weekly Value Area Low (pwVAL).
Conclusion:
Bearish Scenario: A confirmed breakdown of pdVAL ($28.99) could trigger a move towards $26.75, with potential continuation to $26.09.
Invalidation: A strong reclaim of pdVAL and a push above the rising wedge's resistance would invalidate the bearish outlook.
XLMUSDT - ABC correctionXLM had an increase of over +600% in just 20 days followed by a 15-day consolidation phase suggests an exhaustion of the previous trend. The sideways movement aligns with an ABC correction, where wave C is likely unfolding.
Key Levels and Confluence
Trend-Based Fibonacci Extensions:
1:1 Target for Wave C: $0.3873
Key Support Zone:
$0.3725−$0.3873
Market Sentiment
Lack of Volume: Reflects reduced interest from buyers, confirming a bearish bias.
Below Weekly and Monthly Opens: These levels often act as dynamic resistance, showing bears are in control for now.
Gold prices are influenced by inflation risks and political.World gold prices decreased slightly when the USD index increased. Recorded at 9:15 a.m. on October 28, the US Dollar Index measuring the fluctuation of the greenback with 6 major currencies was at 104,357 points (up 0.22%).
Nine analysts participated in Kitco News' gold survey. Last week's near-bullish consensus has narrowed. 5 experts expect gold prices to increase this week, while another 2 experts expect the price of this precious metal to decrease. The remaining two analysts remain neutral on gold's short-term prospects.
Meanwhile, 213 votes were cast in Kitco's online poll. The majority of Main Street investors believe that gold has an upward trend. 126 traders expect gold prices to increase this week. There are 47 people who expect precious metals to decrease. The remaining 40 investors said that prices will tend to move sideways this week.
🔥 XAUUSD Buy limit 2714 - 2712 🔥
✔️TP1: 2730
✔️TP2: 2750
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2706
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
🔥 XAUUSD Sell limit 2740 - 2738 🔥
✔️ TP1: 2725
✔️ TP2: 2720
✔️ TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2748
GOLD - at his supporting area? whats next??#GOLD.. perfect move as per our analysis and now market again at his one of the most important region and supporting area that is around 2709 to 2713
keep close that region because that is your ultimate SWING REIGON
only holding of that region means you can see again bounce from here otherwise not.
but keep in mind that below that region CUT N REVERSE will be a good option.
good luck
trade wisely
GOLD 1H ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the chart today allowing us to buy dips inline with our analysis.
Our bearish target on this chart complete at 2650 and just our full bullish target at 2674 still open giving us the confidence to buy dips
2650 is currently providing support for the bounce. However, we also need to keep in mind that although we had the move into the retracement zone also giving us the bounces, as highlighted with the arrow on the chart; the full retracement range is still open. We need to keep this in mind when managing risk for the extended range between 2674 and 2620 .
We will need to wait for the 2674 test, followed with ema5 cross and lock above 2674 to confirm the range above or failure to lock above will see price test the lower Goldturns and the weighted Goldturns for the bounces, allowing us to take advantage of the bounces.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2674
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2674 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2694
POTENTIALLY 2716
BEARISH TARGETS
2650 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2650 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2620
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2620 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2588 - 2558
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Lower performance reduces the opportunity cost of holding goldGold prices are under pressure as the US Federal Reserve (FED) signals a moderate pace in the next safety break. According to Kitco, FED Chairman Jerome Powell has just taken a rather positive tone, noting that "the economy is in a solid state."
“Looking ahead, if the economy develops as expected, policy will shift in a more neutral direction. But we don't have any predefined programs. The risks are two-sided and we will continue to make our decisions with each competition.
Our decision to reduce interest rates by 50 basis points reflects our idea that, with appropriate calibrating of school policies, labor market strength can be maintained. , in the context of economic growth and the possibility of inflation falling firmly to 2%," Mr. Powell said.
💎 OANDA:XAUUSD Buy 2624 - 2627💎
✔️TP1: 2647
✔️TP2: 2657
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2619
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
💎 OANDA:XAUUSD Sell 2657 - 2655💎
✔️TP1: 2647
✔️TP2: 2637
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2663
XAU continues to increase slightlyExperts predict that the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is increasing, which could make gold prices vulnerable in the coming time. The August jobs report is forecast to be insufficient for the Fed to cut by 50 basis points on September 18. This is unlikely to help gold reach new peaks.
BTC Monday Range Play and KeylevelsIn this video, I analyze Bitcoin's (BTC) price action with a focus on a short-term Monday range play. I dive into the specific key levels where we could potentially see a reversal. We’ll break down how these levels have been acting as support and resistance throughout the trading week, and discuss the importance of monitoring price behavior at these zones.
XAUUSD / UNDER BEARISH PRESSURE - 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
in the last chart reached full target .
Tendency , prices is under downward pressure , until trading below turning level at 2,509$
Downward Condition : With the price holding steady at the current turning level at 2,509$ , it is likely to decline towards the support level of 2,491$. If it stabilizes below this level, it could then reach the next target level of 2,474$ .
Upward Condition : for an upward , a potential is expected if the price breaks the turning level at 2,509$ , leading to a rise toward the resistance level (1) at 2,519$ . For a sustained increase, the price must breaking the resistance level (1) to reach the next resistance at 2,526$ .
XAUUSD / buy above 2.509$
SL: 2,503$
TP: 2,516$
TP: 2,519$
TP:2,526$
XAUUSD / sell below 2,509$
SL : 2,512$
TP : 2,500$
TP : 2,491$
TP : 2,474$
XRPUSDT / TRADING BELOW FVG - 4H XRPUSDT / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , prices is under downward pressure , until trading below turning level at 0.58 .
Downward Condition : With the price holding steady at the current turning level at 0.58 , it is likely to decline towards the support level of 0.55. If it stabilizes below this level, it could then reach the next target level of 0.51 .
Upward Condition : for an upward , a potential is expected if the price breaks the turning level at 0.58 , leading to a rise toward the resistance level (1) at 0.60 . For a sustained increase, the price must breaking the resistance level (1) to reach the next resistance at 0.63 .
TARGET UPWARD ZONE :
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : 0.60 .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : 0.63 .
TARGET DOWNWARD ZONE :
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : 0.55 .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : 0.51 .
TURNING LEVEL : 0.58 .
XAU has a long term uptrendGold had a stellar week, with a rally on August 17 pushing the precious metal to an all-time high above $2,500 an ounce and, according to experts, the long-term trend is definitely up. The housing data released this morning was so bad that it pushed market expectations even higher. "It really amplified the gold market and the possibility of a rate cut in September will continue to increase
SCA/USDT NEW INCREASE VOLUMESCA/USDT shows the low time frame possibility for new volume which can affect the price for an uptrend. ( depend all on high chance) There are no guarantees in the markets.
The new increase volume updates always start with interest if there is a confirmation to follow and if there is a building with a hold for a time.
90% of coins this time are not building coins. Some % also show a start fake trend and return to where it started. time frame confirmation + high levels building is important for a healthy coin.
GOLD - is it retest?? Or again ATH??#GOLD... well guys a new week with important data's is going to start in few hours.
On chart we have our channel that is most important as you can see in history.
That channel can create a bubble for at least 50 points to eitherside.
So keep close that channel if that is market retest then again drop expect f below that.
But keep in mind that if market enter again in his channel the. Cut n reverse should be my next option.
Good luck
Trade wisely
BEAM scalp - August scalping journey trade Nr. 6Another setup from the livestream is coming into play. Shorting some BEAM here at the retest of this range. Looking for the imbalances to be filled on the downside. Maybe even going under MDay-Mid but let's see. Important news later on so keep that in mind.
Analysis of the Chart:
Retest of the Range:
The chart shows BEAMUSDT retesting a previously established range. This level acts as a potential resistance where the price might reverse.
Break of Structure (BOS):
Several Breaks of Structure (BOS) indicate where the market sentiment has shifted. These points are crucial in identifying the potential continuation or reversal of the trend.
Imbalances and Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
The price has created imbalances or Fair Value Gaps (FVG) on the way up. These gaps represent areas where the price moved quickly without much trading, often revisited by the price to achieve equilibrium.
BTC/USDT READY FOR NEW 62K LEVEL : NEW CYCLE STARTBitcoin is at this moment in an important confirmation zone, if it's able to confirm this in the coming hours this zone, we could see a break trend BTC/usdt with the return to the level of up 60K
If the trend is getting confirmed, then it's short-term since BTC is now at an important level. If this happens we will see a break trend with time.
By this update, we did follow BTC after the drop
BTC has a high chance of returning up to 60K soon. which means a new cycle can get created also.
Trading is risky, trade only depends on your plan, this is not trading advice.
Gold Price Outlook: XAU/USDThe charge of gold can also additionally try and retrace the decline from the month-to-month high ($2478) need to it preserve to shut above the 50-Day SMA ($2369).
Gold Price to Eye Monthly High on Failure to Close Below 50-Day SMA
Keep in mind, the latest pullback withinside the charge of gold emerged following the failed strive to check the July high ($2484) and bullion can also additionally face a bigger correction if it struggles to preserve above the July low ($2319).
Join David Song for the Weekly Fundamental Market Outlook webinar. David offers a marketplace evaluation and takes questions in real-time. Register Here
Nevertheless, gold can also additionally preserve to function an opportunity to fiat-currencies as primary imperative banks begin to transfer gears, and bullion re-set up the bullish fashion rom in advance this 12 months amid the risk of a coverage error.
GOLD - At one n single support, holding or not??#GOLD - a perfect move as per our video analysis and congratulations to all,
now we have one n single supporting area that is 2462 around, keep close it because if market hold it then again buying side expected,
but keep in mind guys below 2462 cut n reverse keep in hand.
dont be lazy here.
good luck
trade wisely
Cash flow will pour into gold and gold prices will reach recor hGold is assessed to benefit in the context of increased risks after the incident of former US President Donald Trump being suspected of shooting during an election campaign in Butler, Pennsylvania on July 13. If Mr. Trump wins the election next November, the USD may weaken, thereby also pushing up gold prices.
Macroeconomic data that is no longer bright is the basis for US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell to recently signal a reversal in monetary policy. Mr. Powell expressed concern about the weakening of the economy and the risk of recession.
In a testimony before the US Congress last week, the most powerful man in the world's financial industry said that the US will cut interest rates and not wait until inflation is clearly heading towards the 2% target.
The USD has recently declined following signals from the Fed, thereby putting pressure on gold.
Gold also increased in price thanks to positive signals from technical analysis. The upward price momentum has been established after precious metals rose quite firmly above the threshold of 2,400 USD/ounce over the past several days. Upward momentum is being confirmed and gold is forecast to set a new all-time high, possibly as soon as this week.