ADA, broken thru support, on to plan BNow that ADA has had a break to the downside of support and corrective structure at (3), it is starting to look like we are in a large trading range (1). The box at (2) is a false break of that level but may also be the bottom end of the range--it is a little unclear where buyers will come in. The trend isn't super consistent across time frames so I plan on being nimble with bullish trades and keeping holding times short.
So now that I am viewing this a potential trading range, whats the strategy? Get long near the bottom of the range (0.13-0.18), get short (if your exchange allows you to do so) at the top of the range, and stay neutral in the middle.
Also, keep in mind that while the long-term trend for the crypto-market in general is still bullish, there is still a good chance that this range will break to the downside eventually--so keep an eye out for signs of weakness--weak bounces, lower highs, reactions with shallow angles.
Also, a break below the lows at (2) would definitely switch my bias to bearish.
*I am mostly just thinking out loud in these posts--I wouldn't consider this a suggestion on how to trade
Tradingrange
Bitcoin Monthly chart, fib support, trading range for 2018 bearThe massive bull run of 2017 gives some context for the slow bleed of BTCUSD in 2018.
While the failure of the parabolic advance in '13-'14 retraced more than 80%, the 2018 bear market has only retraced 61.8%, providing an argument for BTCUSD sinking further to $4000 as the bears continue to show dominance.
I am not an expert, and this is not investment advice.
OptionsAction's MIchael Khouw's Bearish TSLA TradeOn Friday's Options Action, the crew analyzed the performance of Tesla (TSLA) stock. Tesla has traded within a range for over 3 years before breaking higher towards its $375 highs. Recently, TSLA has started to trade back into the range after a heavy selloff a few weeks ago. Coupled with lower Model 3 delivery numbers and dwindling cash reserves, risks are skewed to the downside. Expecting TSLA to trade lower after their earnings announcement, Michael Khouw suggests Selling a May 18 250/280 Put Ratio 1x2 for a $2.00 Debit.
We've structured this trade in OptionsPlay so you can analyze and view this trade along with the supporting technical chart at your convenience.
View this trade in OptionsPlay: app.optionsplay.com
Cost: $230
Max Reward: $2,770
Max Risk: $22,230
POP: 34.68%
Breakevens: $222.30, $277.70
EOSUSD Trading rangeWe're trading inside a range right now. Here's how this trade should be done:
1) ABSOLUTELY NO POSITIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN ON THE GREY MIDDLE AREA. This area is way too far from both stop-losses, causing it to be non-profitable.
2) You should trade based on your "belief"/analysis: "is the market bearish"? If your answer is "yes", only short positions should be taken (or very low leverage long positions).
3) You should use an indicator to base your entry on. For example: RSI + MACD gives you a "bullish sign" around 5.55. Then, you should entry long if you so desire. If your indicators didn't give you any trading signs, DON'T OPEN A POSITION.
4) Take your profits based on your indicators as well. Don't wait for the market to hit the top of the trading range (it might as well never do it).
The areas I've highlighted on the chart are based on fibonacci retracements and risk reward ratios.
5) Take full profits if the price hit the opposite side of the trading range. For example: if you get in at 5.45 and the price hits 6.23, close your position. Trading in a range is dangerous.
6) Take your stop-loss if you need it.
My opinion: trade short mostly, and if you wanna trade long, take full profits on bearish signs from indicators.
Don't follow my strategy blindly, I'm nothing but an amateur. Feel free to give me some critics.
Historical Bear Run, today's Trend LinesDear Traders,
As we continue to analyze the previous bear run of 2013/2014 on today's market we can only marvel on its beauty and the quantity of similarities that are flourishing.
My Trading Ranges are: Max (11,4-11,9), Min (9,6-10,2).
Due to strong bullish signals from my favorite indicators (specially today's Ichimoku (10,30,60,30) TK_Cross) I'm still skeptical on the idea that the previous bear run can give us such a predictable path. But until we don't see a change of character on the BTCUSD market I will continue to keep an eye on this graph.
Have fun and take care out there, it's a dangerous land.
S.
The Trend: EP8 -- Building SupportsHowdy Yall!
On this episode of The Trend we take a look at how an asset sets up a foundation for further moves. Its important to understand some of the psychology which applies to both traders and investors when evaluating an asset. Here we look at BTC and its current trading area along with historical trading area's for comparison. Several times throughout the video I use terminology which is "borrowed" from Wyckoff analysts. I would like to clarify that I am using these terms as "explanatory" terms and not necessarily as the professional definitions for them (although most do fit, just by nature). Thanks for taking a look!
I hope you all muck up a chart showing off what you think will happen, and feel free to post that chart back here!
Deviatrix oscillator strategy for trading Bitcoin by JomySomething I spun up last night. Why "Deviatrix"? It sounds sexy and it's based around price trading range deviation. Buy signal is when green is over red. Red is designed to meet green quickly when it senses changes (danger) in the trading range and hopefully get you out of long positions a day before the quick dump offs. It's been tuned to trade bitcoin, and there are no guarantees this will ever work for you or keep working if it does work, but it might be fun to try. It may work on 4h bars too, but 1d is best. For entertainment purposes only.
Quantum rally or dumpQuantum was trading in a range. It broke out and has a good potential. It is now testing the upper part of the previous trading range. A few scenarios now are moon or dump. If it closes below the yellow line it could go back to the lower end of the previous trading range. If the upper end of the trading range supports it, then quantum could go to the following targets. mid term and long term. so the next 2 hours are decisive on the 4h chart.
purple: resistance
yellow: trading range
orange: uptrend
arrows: targets, mid term and long term
trade smart!
Entered MNK 50.12 Support of Trading range, new trend potenialBough the possibly* weekly false brake(*will see at weekly close) on the support of the trading range.
Very similar to my previous MOS trade, will link to it for reference.
Hoping for a push higher and if closing above 80 area, a possible upgtrend follow-through, surpassing MOS trade results.
USD/CNH, DAY CHART, SHORT (18-FEB-2017)From the Price Action, it is quite obvious that the
selling pressure is greater than buying pressure now.
Overall, we are bearish on USD/CNH
Here are 2 trading plans for you:
1. Wait for bearish signal to short
2. If price pull back higher to Resistance Zone,
wait for bearish signal to short :)
USDCAD Long for when it breaks below the trading rangeI looked closely at the zone at the bottom of the trading range, but felt it had traded at that price point for too long and ultimately dismissed it. I'm estimating that the Daily Demand will eventually be broken...
two buy set ups are shown. Trades are in for both.
Swissie ready to break out of trading range?USDCHF continues to trade sideways for 2016. We've just had the US elections. Will this be a catalyst for a breakout of some quite frankly boring trading? (if you're a trend trader). I still maintain that we should see higher prices to come in the longer term. Whether that will happen now or perhaps the start of 2017 is anyone's guess..
At the bottom of a weekly trading rangeCan the Cable finally recover from its free fall? The $GBPUSD reached the bottom of a weekly trading range.
We have an hourly pattern that may trigger the reversal. See this setup and more in this week's Weekly Markets Analysis newsletter:
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