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Triple Tap, Then Boom: ETH Breakout Brewing?We're looking at a classic ascending triangle setup on ETH. Price has tapped the resistance zone around $1676 three times already — the next attempt could lead to a breakout. Market structure is clean: higher lows with strong bullish momentum squeezing price toward the horizontal resistance. This pattern usually ends with a strong impulse up, and considering the overall sentiment, this could be the beginning of a new local rally. Entry: $1630-1650 SL: $1582 TP: $1820 Risk/Reward: 4.0 More thoughts in my profile @93balaclava Personally I trade on a platform that offers low fees and strong execution. DM me if you're interested.
Long
by Balaclava_Crypto
Quantum's TSLA Trading Guide 4/13/25Sentiment: Neutral. EV and AI optimism persists, but tariff risks and high valuation concern traders. Chatter split—bulls eye robotaxi, bears see pullback. Outlook: Neutral, slightly bearish. Options pin $250, with $240 puts active. ICT/SMT eyes $245-$250 buys to $260 if $245 holds. Bearish below $245 risks $240. Influential News: Federal Reserve: Two 2025 cuts support growth stocks, positive for $TSLA. Earnings: Q1 due late April; no update today. Chatter: Debates tariff impact vs. AI/EV growth. Mergers and Acquisitions: None; focus on internal projects. Other: Tariff volatility hit NASDAQ:TSLA ; stock swung (April 3-9). Indicators: Weekly: RSI: ~50 (neutral). Stochastic: ~45 (neutral). MFI: ~40 (neutral). SMAs: 10-day ~$255 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$260 (below, bearish). Interpretation: Neutral, bearish SMAs signal weakness. Daily: RSI: ~48 (neutral). Stochastic: ~50 (neutral). MFI: ~45 (neutral). SMAs: 10-day ~$255 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$260 (below, bearish). Interpretation: Neutral, bearish SMAs suggest pullback. Hourly: RSI: ~45 (neutral). Stochastic: ~55 (neutral). MFI: ~50 (neutral). SMAs: 10-day ~$255 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$260 (below, bearish). Interpretation: Neutral, stabilizing. Price Context: $252.31, 1M: +1%, 1Y: +38%. Range $240-$270, testing $250 support. Options Positioning (May 2025): Volume: Calls: $260 (15,000, 60% ask), $270 (12,000, 55% ask). Mild bullish bets. Puts: $240 (10,000, 70% bid), $245 (8,000, 65% bid). Put selling supports $245. Open Interest: Calls: $260 (40,000, +7,000), $270 (30,000, +5,000). Bullish interest. Puts: $240 (25,000, flat), $245 (28,000, +4,000). Hedging. Put-call ~1.0. IV Skew: Calls: $260 (40%), $270 (42%, up 3%). $270 IV rise shows upside hope. Puts: $240 (35%, down 2%), $245 (36%). Falling $240 IV supports floor. Probability: 60% $240-$270, 20% <$240. Karsan’s Interpretation: Vanna: Neutral (~300k shares/1% IV). IV drop could pressure $250. Charm: Neutral (~150k shares/day). Pins $250. GEX: +50,000. Stabilizes range. DEX: +7M shares, neutral. Karsan view: GEX holds $240-$270; tariff news key. ICT/SMT Analysis: Weekly: Neutral, $240 support, $270 resistance. No $TSLA/ NYSE:NIO divergence. Daily: Bullish at $250 FVG, targets $260. Bearish < $245. 1-Hour: Bullish >$250, $260 target. MSS at $245. 10-Minute: OTE ($249-$251, $250) for buys, NY AM. Trade Idea: Bullish: 50%. ICT/SMT buys $245-$250 to $260. Options show $260 calls. Fed cuts aid. Neutral: 35%. RSI (~50), SMAs (bearish), $240-$270 range. Bearish: 15%. Below $240 possible with tariffs. $240 put volume grows.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by QuantumEdgeAnalytics
Quantum's T (AT&T) Trading Guide 4/13/25Sentiment: Neutral. Dividend yield (4-5%) and debt reduction ($123B) attract income seekers, but telecom competition and tariff fears limit enthusiasm. X posts praise stability, though growth concerns persist. Outlook: Neutral, slightly bullish. Options pin $27, with call buying eyeing $28. ICT/SMT supports $26-$26.50 buys to $27.50-$28 if support holds. Bearish risk below $25 low unless earnings falter. Influential News: --Federal Reserve: Rates unchanged, two 2025 cuts expected, easing debt costs. Liquidity boost mildly positive. --Earnings: Q1 due April 23 (EPS $1.97-$2.07 vs. $2.13). Fiber (28.9M locations) and cash flow (>$16B) could lift if beat. --Chatter: X mixed—stability vs. tariff risks. Analyst focus on earnings revisions. --Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A): Talks to acquire Lumen’s fiber unit ($5.5B+), potentially boosting growth but risking debt concerns. --Other: Tariffs caused volatility; RUS:T stable. Broadband expansion adds value. Indicators: --Weekly: ----RSI: ~45 (neutral). ----Stochastic: ~50 (neutral). ----MFI: ~40 (neutral). ----SMAs: 10-day ~$27.10 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$27.30 (below, bearish). ----Interpretation: Neutral, bearish SMA signals suggest consolidation. --Daily: ----RSI: ~48 (neutral). ----Stochastic: ~55 (neutral). ----MFI: ~45 (neutral). ----SMAs: 10-day ~$27.10 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$27.30 (below, bearish). ----Interpretation: Neutral, bearish SMAs indicate pullback but recovery possible. --Hourly: ----RSI: ~50 (neutral). ----Stochastic: ~60 (neutral). ----MFI: ~50 (neutral). ----SMAs: 10-day ~$27.10 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$27.30 (below, bearish). ----Interpretation: Neutral, mildly bullish momentum. Price Context: $26.79 (April 11 close), 1M: -6%, 1Y: +59%. Range $25-$29, holding $26 support amid tariff concerns. Options Positioning (May 2025): -Volume: ----Calls: $27 (3,500, 60% ask = buying), $28 (2,500, 55% ask). Bullish bets on $27-$28. ---Puts: $25 (2,000, 70% bid = selling), $26 (1,500, 65% bid). $25 put selling supports $26 floor. -Open Interest: ---Calls: $27 (10,000, +2,000 = buying), $28 (7,000, +1,500). Institutional bullishness. ---Puts: $25 (4,000, flat), $26 (6,000, +1,000). Hedging, not bearish. Put-call ~0.9. -IV Skew: ---Calls: $27 (25%), $28 (27%, up 2%). $28 IV rise shows $28+ speculation. ---Puts: $25 (22%, down 1%), $26 (24%). Falling $25 IV reinforces $26 support. -Probability: 60% $25-$28, 20% >$29. Karsan’s Interpretation: ---Vanna: Neutral (~50k shares/1% IV). Stable IV limits flows; earnings IV spike could push $27.50. ---Charm: Neutral (~20k shares/day). Pins $27. ---GEX: +20,000. Dealers sell $28, buy $26, holding range. ---DEX: +1M shares, neutral. ---Karsan view: GEX pins $26-$28; catalyst needed. ICT/SMT Analysis: --Weekly: Neutral, $25 support, $29 resistance. No $T/ NYSE:VZ divergence (~$43 NYSE:VZ ). --Daily: Bullish at $26 FVG, targets $28. Bearish < $26. --1-Hour: Bullish >$26.50, $27.50 target. MSS at $26.50. --10-Minute: OTE ($26.69-$26.80, $26.73) for buys, NY AM (8:30-11:00 AM). Trade Idea: ---Bullish: 60%. ICT/SMT buys $26-$26.50 to $27.50-$28 (OTE $26.73). Options favor $27-$28 calls. Earnings, M&A, Fed cuts support. ---Neutral: 30%. RSI (~45), SMAs (bearish), $25-$29 range, balanced options (put-call ~0.9). ---Bearish: 10%. Below $25 needs earnings miss. Low $25 put volume.
NYSE:T
by QuantumEdgeAnalytics
Quantum's T (AT&T) Trading Guide 4/11/25T (AT&T Inc.) Sentiment • Sentiment is neutral with a bearish tilt. April 10 options activity shows put-heavy volume at $26 strikes, reflecting caution. RSI (14) at ~50 (estimated, flat trend at $26.40 close) suggests indecision. X posts highlight concerns over telecom debt loads and tariff risks on equipment imports, but some speculate on institutional accumulation below $26.50. A liquidity sweep below $26.33 could trigger a bullish reversal if buy-side liquidity is tapped. Catalyst: Potential sweep below $26.33 may spark short covering. Tariff Impact - Rating: Moderate. • Explanation: T relies on imported telecom equipment, facing cost pressures from tariffs on China (active as of April 11). No relief announced, so margins could tighten, capping upside. X posts suggest tariff fears weigh on sentiment, but domestic revenue focus limits fundamental damage. News/Catalysts • Driver: Flat telecom sector performance on April 10, with T holding steady amid mixed market signals. X posts cited stability but no clear catalyst. • Upcoming: CPI (April 11): High CPI could hurt T (-1.5%) due to rate hike fears; low CPI may lift it (+1%) as a yield play. • Retail Sales (April 15): Strong data supports T (+1%); weak data pressures (-1%) due to consumer spending risks. Technical Setup Weekly Chart: • HVN: $26.00 support (bullish). • LVN: $27.00 resistance (neutral). • EMA Trend: 8-week ≈ 13-week > 48-week (neutral). • RSI (14): ~50 (neutral). • MACD: Near signal line (neutral). • Bollinger Bands: At midline (neutral). • Donchian Channels: At midline (neutral). • Williams %R: ~-50 (neutral). • ADR: Stable (neutral). • VWAP: At VWAP $26.40 (neutral). • ICT/SMC: No clear MSS; consolidation phase. One-Hour Chart: • Support/Resistance: Support at $26.33; resistance at $26.56. Stance: neutral. • RSI (14): ~50 (neutral). • MACD: Near zero (neutral). • Bollinger Bands: At midline (neutral). • Donchian Channels: At midline (neutral). • Williams %R: ~-50 (neutral). • VWAP: At VWAP $26.50 (neutral). • ICT/SMC: Sell-side liquidity below $26.33; OB at $26.40; FVG at $26.35–$26.45; OTE at $26.45; no displacement. 10-Minute Chart: • Closing Move: Flat into close. • EMA Direction: 8/13/48 EMAs flat (neutral). • RSI (14): ~50 (neutral). • MACD: Near zero (neutral). • VWAP: At VWAP $26.50 (neutral). • ICT/SMC: Potential sweep below $26.33; OTE at $26.45; no clear entry signal yet. Options Data • GEX: Neutral, pinning at $26.50. Dealers hedge minimally. • DEX: Put delta bias (-0.15), bearish pressure. • IV: Low (~18%), limited swings. • OI: Put-heavy (55% puts at $26), capping upside. Cem Karsan’s Application: • Weekly Trading Breakdown: OI at $26 suggests pinning. Low gamma limits volatility; vanna neutral; charm favors puts near OPEX. • Strategy: Buy $26.50 calls at $26.45 (OTE), exit at $27, profit $0.30, risk $0.40. Ties to sweep below $26.33. • Vanna: Stable IV, no dealer-driven lift. • Charm: Puts gain delta near OPEX, pressuring $26. Timeframe Analysis: • Weekly (exp. April 18): Put OI at $26, low IV, bearish stance. • Monthly (exp. May 16): Balanced OI, neutral stance. • 3-Month (exp. July 18): Neutral outlook. • Directional Bias: Neutral, leaning bearish unless sweep triggers reversal. Sympathy Plays • Correlated Assets: VZ (+1%), CCI (+0.5%). • Opposite Mover: If T fades, risk-on SPOT rises (+1%). Sector Positioning with RRG - Sector: Communication Services – Telecom. • RRG Position: Lagging vs. XLC, reflecting weak momentum. Targets • Bullish: +2% to $27.00 (OB). • Bearish: -2% to $25.87 (FVG).
NYSE:T
by QuantumEdgeAnalytics
Quantum's KR Trading Guide 4/11/25 KR (Kroger Company) Sentiment • Analysis: Market sentiment for KR is neutral leaning bullish. Post-close options activity on April 10 shows balanced put/call volume, with slight call dominance at strikes near $69, suggesting cautious optimism. RSI (14) at the April 10 close (estimated ~60 based on recent uptrend to $67.96) indicates momentum without overbought conditions, supporting a potential continuation. Anonymized X chatter highlights speculation on grocery sector stability amid tariff uncertainties, with some noting KR’s domestic focus as a hedge against import risks. A potential liquidity sweep above recent highs ($68.76) could signal institutional buying, setting up a reversal to the upside. Catalyst: Watch for a sweep above $68.76 triggering bullish momentum, driven by retail investor interest on X. Tariff Impact - Rating: Minimal. • Explanation: KR’s exposure to tariffs is limited due to its primarily domestic supply chain and focus on U.S.-sourced goods. While imported specialty products could face cost pressures, these are a small fraction of revenue. No tariff relief or escalation was announced on April 10, so sentiment remains stable. Fundamentals are unaffected, but speculative X posts suggest tariff fears could cap upside unless clarity emerges. News/Catalysts • No specific company news on April 10, but sector strength in consumer staples drove modest gains, with KR benefiting from defensive positioning amid broader market volatility. X posts noted KR as a “safe play” in uncertain times. • Upcoming: CPI Data (Today, April 11): Stronger-than-expected CPI could pressure consumer staples (-1% move) as investors rotate to cyclicals; weaker CPI could boost KR (+2%) as a defensive name. • Retail Sales (April 15): Robust data may signal consumer strength, lifting KR (+1.5%); weak data could hurt (-1%) due to spending concerns. Technical Setup Weekly Chart: • HVN: $66.50 as support (bullish, price above). • LVN: $70.00 as resistance (neutral, price below). • EMA Trend: 8-week > 13-week > 48-week (bullish uptrend). • RSI (14): ~62 (bullish, above 50). • MACD: Above signal line (bullish). • Bollinger Bands: Near upper band (bullish). • Donchian Channels: Above midline (bullish). • Williams %R: ~-20 (neutral, not overbought). • ADR: Expanding (bullish, volatility rising). • VWAP: Above weekly VWAP at $67.00 (bullish). • ICT/SMC: Higher highs/lows confirm bullish Market Structure Shift (MSS). One-Hour Chart: • Support/Resistance: Support at $67.50 (weekly HVN confluence); resistance at $68.76 (daily high). Stance: bullish above support. • RSI (14): ~65 (bullish). • MACD: Above signal (bullish). • Bollinger Bands: At upper band (neutral, potential pullback). • Donchian Channels: Above midline (bullish). • Williams %R: ~-15 (neutral). • VWAP: Above hourly VWAP at $68.20 (bullish). • ICT/SMC: Buy-side liquidity above $68.76; Order Block (OB) at $67.50 demand zone; FVG at $68.00–$68.10; OTE (Fib 61.8%) at $68.30; displacement seen in early April 11 rally. 10-Minute Chart: • Closing Move: Strong rally into April 10 close, holding above $67.96. • EMA Direction: 8/13/48 EMAs rising (bullish). • RSI (14): ~60 (neutral). • MACD: Above zero (bullish). • VWAP: Above VWAP at $68.30 (bullish). • ICT/SMC: Liquidity sweep above $68.40 in pre-market; retracement to OTE at $68.30; pin bar forming as entry signal. Options Data • GEX: Neutral, slight bullish pinning at $68. Dealers may buy stock to hedge, supporting price at $68–$69. Explanation: Gamma Exposure balances calls/puts, stabilizing price near strikes. • DEX: Moderate call delta bias (+0.25), indicating bullish pressure. Explanation: Net call buying drives directional momentum. • IV: Moderate (~22%, near norm), suggesting steady swings. Explanation: Implied Volatility supports consistent options pricing. • OI: Call-heavy (60% calls at $69 strike), favoring upside momentum. Explanation: Open Interest at $69 signals potential breakout target. Cem Karsan’s Application: • Weekly Trading Breakdown: High call OI at $69 (exp. April 18) suggests pinning or breakout potential. Gamma supports stability at $68; vanna indicates dealers buy on IV spikes to 23%, lifting price. Charm accelerates delta near OPEX, favoring $69 calls if in-the-money. • Strategy: Buy $69 calls at $68.30 (OTE), exit at $69.50, profit $0.50, risk $0.40. Ties to liquidity sweep above $68.76, targeting $69 OB. • Vanna: Rising IV to 23% could push dealers to buy, lifting KR to $69 (bullish). • Charm: Near OPEX, $69 calls hold delta if ITM, boosting volatility. Timeframe Analysis: • Weekly (exp. April 18): 60% call OI at $69, moderate IV, bullish stance. • Monthly (exp. May 16): Balanced OI, stable IV, neutral stance. • 3-Month (exp. July 18): Slight call skew, low IV, bullish outlook. • Directional Bias: Bullish, driven by call OI, positive GEX, and OTE setup at $68.30. Sympathy Plays • Correlated Assets: WMT (+2% if KR rallies), COST (+1.5%). • Opposite Mover: If KR rallies (defensive), risk-on names like SHOP fade (-1%). Sector Positioning with RRG • Sector: Consumer Staples – Food Retail. • RRG Position: Improving vs. XLP ETF, aligning with bullish sentiment and technicals. Targets • Bullish: +3% to $70.50 (next liquidity zone, OB at $70). • Bearish: -2% to $66.60 (FVG at $66.50).
NYSE:KR
by QuantumEdgeAnalytics
XAU/USD Bullish Pennant Breakout - Trade Setup Toward Target📊 Overview: This 4-hour chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) presents a clean bullish pennant breakout followed by a corrective pullback to key support, offering a high-probability trading setup for bullish continuation traders. Gold recently surged above the psychological $3,000 level, but after testing the previous resistance zone / ATH, it retraced back into a critical confluence of support. From a technical perspective, the structure remains bullish, supported by strong trendline dynamics, clean price action, and a well-defined pennant formation. 🔍 Step-by-Step Breakdown: 1. Bullish Pennant Formation A bullish pennant is a continuation pattern that typically occurs after a strong upside rally (the "flagpole"). In this chart: The flagpole began around March 13, with gold moving vertically from ~$2,630 to ~$2,950. This was followed by consolidation between March 19–27, forming a symmetrical triangle pattern with converging trendlines (the pennant body). Volume (if added) would typically decrease during this consolidation phase. On March 27–28, price broke above the pennant, confirming the bullish bias. 📌 This breakout signals that buyers are ready to resume control after taking a breather. 2. Rally & Retest Phase Following the breakout: Price surged to challenge the resistance zone and all-time high (ATH) area, marked between $3,150 – $3,160. A natural pullback occurred due to profit-taking and overbought conditions. This retracement brought price back into the support zone at ~$3,000, intersecting perfectly with: The rising trendline from the pennant breakout A horizontal demand zone (former resistance turned support) A key psychological level ($3,000) 💡 This zone acted as a confluence area, attracting buyers and creating a strong bounce — visible as a bullish engulfing candle. 3. Support & Resistance Analysis ✅ Support Level: $2,990 – $3,010 Marked by previous highs before the breakout Validated by the trendline and price reaction 🚫 Resistance / ATH Level: $3,150 – $3,160 Historic resistance zone that capped the recent rally Price must break this level for further continuation toward the target 4. Trendline Dynamics The dotted trendline acts as a rising support structure. Trendlines in bullish continuations are crucial as they confirm upward momentum. As seen on the chart, price respected the trendline during the recent dip and bounced with strong momentum — a bullish signal. 5. Trade Setup & Risk Management A trade based on this structure should follow strict risk-to-reward discipline. 🛒 Entry Zone: Ideal re-entry lies between $3,030 – $3,040, after confirming the bounce from support. ❌ Stop Loss: Below $2,976, which is under the support zone and trendline. If price breaches this level, the pattern is invalidated. 🎯 Target: Measured move (height of the flagpole) projected from breakout zone gives us a target of around $3,221. The chart also marks this clearly as the "Target" zone. 📈 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:3, which is attractive for swing trades. 6. Market Psychology & Trader Sentiment The bullish pennant represents temporary indecision, but ultimately market confidence remains strong. The pullback to support reflects healthy profit-taking, not bearish reversal. The bounce from support shows buy-the-dip mentality, a sign that bulls remain in control. 7. Macro & Fundamental Backdrop While the chart is technical, it's wise to factor in macro catalysts: 🏦 Federal Reserve policy: If the Fed holds or cuts rates, gold typically rallies due to lower opportunity cost. 📉 Inflation Data: Rising inflation or expectations can push gold higher as a hedge. 🌍 Geopolitical tensions: Conflicts or economic instability drive safe-haven flows into gold. Staying updated on these events can help validate or hedge your technical outlook. ✅ Conclusion: This chart presents a technically sound bullish continuation setup backed by: A breakout from a bullish pennant A retest and bounce from a confluence support zone A clearly defined risk (stop loss) and reward (target) Traders looking for medium-term opportunities in XAU/USD can consider this as a high-probability setup with logical structure and strong momentum potential. 🔔 TradingView Tag Suggestions: #XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishPennant #PriceAction #SwingTrade #Forex #TradingSetup #Commodities #GoldBreakout
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
EURJPY Double Top - Bearish Reversal Ahead Toward Target!🔍 Chart Analysis: Identifying the Double Top Pattern The EURJPY (Euro/Japanese Yen) 1-hour chart shows a classic Double Top pattern, which is a strong bearish reversal formation. This pattern occurs when the price reaches a significant resistance level twice but fails to break above it, indicating a potential shift from bullish momentum to bearish control. 1️⃣ Top 1: The first peak formed as buyers pushed the price higher, but strong resistance forced a pullback. 2️⃣ Top 2: The price attempted to break the same resistance level again but failed, forming a second peak at approximately 164.165, confirming that sellers are overpowering buyers. 3️⃣ Neckline (Support Level): The critical support level around 160.000 acted as a trigger for the bearish move. Once this level broke, the double top pattern was confirmed. 📌 Key Levels and Market Structure 🔹 Resistance (164.165): The highest level where sellers dominated, preventing further upward movement. 🔹 Support/Neckline (160.000): This level acted as a crucial pivot. Once broken, it signaled a trend reversal. 🔹 Take Profit Levels: TP1 – 159.036: This serves as the first profit target, aligning with a prior demand zone. TP2 – 157.200: The full projected downside move based on the double top pattern. 🔹 Stop Loss (SL): Above 164.165, ensuring a risk-managed approach in case of trend invalidation. 📉 Trading Strategy: How to Trade This Setup? 1️⃣ Entry Confirmation: The ideal entry was after the price broke the neckline at 160.000 and retested it as resistance. A breakdown candle with high volume confirmed seller dominance. 2️⃣ Stop-Loss Placement: A stop-loss above 164.165 provides room for price fluctuations while protecting against false breakouts. 3️⃣ Profit Targets: TP1: 159.036, securing partial profits. TP2: 157.200, completing the double top measured move. 📊 Market Psychology & Price Action Insights The double top pattern reflects a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish. The repeated rejection at 164.165 signals a lack of buying strength, increasing the probability of a downward move. The breakdown of the 160.000 neckline confirms that sellers have taken control. The price action also shows a lower-high formation, reinforcing bearish momentum. ✅ Conclusion: Bearish Bias Until 157.200 This setup strongly favors short positions, as long as the price stays below 162.500. A break above 164.165 invalidates the bearish setup, signaling a potential reversal. Until then, the market remains bearish, with TP1 & TP2 as achievable downside targets. 💬 What’s your outlook on EURJPY? Drop your analysis below! 👇
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
(XAG/USD) weekly Forcast – Double Top Breakdown & Bearish SetupThis detailed technical analysis of Silver (XAG/USD) on the daily timeframe highlights a potential bearish reversal forming through a Double Top pattern. This setup suggests that Silver could be gearing up for a major decline, provided key confirmation levels are met. Let’s break it down thoroughly. 📌 1. Understanding the Chart Pattern – Double Top Formation A Double Top is a bearish reversal pattern that forms after an extended uptrend, signaling that buyers are losing strength and sellers are taking control. 🔹 Key Phases of the Double Top: 1️⃣ First Top (Top 1) Silver initially rallied to a major resistance zone ($34.5 - $35). The price failed to break higher, leading to a correction. This rejection signals heavy selling pressure at this level. 2️⃣ Pullback to the Neckline ($28.5 - $29) After the first peak, the price retraced to a critical support area known as the neckline. This level acts as a decision point—either price bounces or breaks lower. 3️⃣ Second Top (Top 2) – Bull Trap? Silver made another attempt to break through $34.5 - $35, but once again, sellers defended this level. The failure to set a new higher high confirms weakness, forming the second peak. This second rejection adds credibility to the Double Top pattern, increasing the likelihood of a bearish move. 4️⃣ The Crucial Neckline Test The neckline around $28.5 - $29 is the most critical level to watch. A clean daily close below this level would confirm the breakdown and trigger a strong bearish trend. 📍 2. Key Technical Levels & Market Structure 🔴 Resistance Level ($34.5 - $35) – Strong Selling Zone This area has repeatedly rejected price advances, indicating high supply. A breakout above this level would invalidate the bearish setup. 🔵 Support & Neckline ($28.5 - $29) – The Make-or-Break Zone A break below this level would complete the Double Top pattern and confirm the bearish trend. If buyers defend this area, Silver could see short-term consolidation before another breakout attempt. 🎯 Target Price ($22 - $23) – Where Silver Could Be Headed The measured move (distance from top to neckline) suggests a potential drop to $22 - $23. This aligns with historical support zones, making it a reasonable target. 🚨 Stop Loss Area ($35.2 - $35.5) – Risk Management If Silver invalidates the pattern and closes above $35.2 - $35.5, the bearish setup is no longer valid. Traders should cut losses early if price regains bullish momentum. 📊 3. Trading Setup & Execution Plan 🔻 Bearish Trading Plan (Short Entry): ✅ Entry Point: Enter a short position after a confirmed neckline break below $28.5 - $29. Wait for a break-and-retest of this level to confirm the bearish move. ✅ Stop Loss: Place stop loss above $35.2 - $35.5, just beyond the resistance level. This protects against false breakouts and sudden bullish reversals. ✅ Take Profit Targets: Primary target: $24.5 - $25 (first support zone). Final target: $22 - $23 (measured move completion). 📉 4. Market Sentiment & Technical Outlook 📌 Why This Setup is Important: The Double Top pattern is a well-established bearish signal. Price failed to create a new high, showing that buying momentum is fading. The neckline breakdown will confirm that sellers are in control, pushing price lower. 📌 What Could Invalidate This Setup? If Silver breaks and closes above $35.5, it would signal that bulls have regained strength. A strong rally above this level could send Silver towards $37 - $38 instead. 🔎 Final Thoughts – Will Silver Collapse or Hold? The chart suggests a bearish bias, but confirmation is key! A breakdown below $28.5 - $29 would activate the Double Top pattern, leading to a potential drop. If Silver bounces off the neckline, then we might see consolidation or a reversal instead. 🚀 What’s your view? Will Silver break down or bounce back? Share your thoughts below! 🚀
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
BTC/USD Rising Wedge – Bearish Breakdown Ahead?Introduction: Understanding the Market Structure This Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 4-hour chart presents a technical setup with a mix of bullish and bearish formations. The analysis focuses on key support and resistance zones, trendlines, and chart patterns to determine the next possible move. 🔍 The key takeaway? BTC has formed a Rising Wedge, a bearish reversal pattern, signaling potential downside unless a breakout invalidates the setup. 1. Market Structure & Current Trend Analysis 📌 Market in Curve Formation – The Accumulation Phase Before the recent rally, Bitcoin was in a downtrend, making lower lows and lower highs, suggesting a period of price weakness. However, price found strong support at around $77,600 - $80,000, forming a curved bottom structure—an early signal of an accumulation phase. This bottoming pattern transitioned into a bullish uptrend, leading to the formation of a rising wedge. 🔹 Key Observations: ✔ Accumulation near $77,600 created a base for buyers. ✔ The gradual recovery curve suggests a shift from bearish to bullish momentum. ✔ Bitcoin later formed higher lows, confirming a temporary uptrend. ⚠ Shift in Momentum – The Rising Wedge Appears The price rallied from the support zone but started forming a Rising Wedge pattern, which is typically a bearish signal. A rising wedge indicates that although buyers are pushing prices up, they are losing momentum. The narrowing price range suggests that sellers are entering at higher levels, weakening bullish strength. 2. Key Technical Levels to Watch 🔵 Resistance Zone ($92,000 - $94,957) The shaded area near $92,000 - $94,957 is a major resistance level, where BTC previously failed to sustain a breakout. This supply zone has been tested multiple times, reinforcing its strength. The Stop Loss for short positions is placed above $94,957—any breakout above this level would invalidate the bearish setup. 🟠 Support Zone ($77,600 - $80,000) The strong demand zone between $77,600 - $80,000 aligns with previous support levels. If the rising wedge breaks down, this is the first major price target where BTC could find support. A strong breakdown below $77,600 could lead to further declines toward $75,000 or lower. 3. The Rising Wedge Pattern – Bearish Warning! 🔍 What is a Rising Wedge? A Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that forms during an uptrend when price moves within two converging trendlines. It indicates that buyers are losing strength, and sellers are preparing to take control. Once the lower trendline breaks, it confirms bearish momentum, leading to a price drop. 📝 Current BTC/USD Rising Wedge Analysis: BTC has formed higher highs and higher lows, but the price range is narrowing. The lower trendline is critical—a breakdown below this level could trigger a sharp decline. The bearish target aligns with the support zone near $77,600. 4. Trading Plan – Possible Scenarios 📉 Bearish Breakdown Scenario (High Probability) ✅ Entry: Short BTC if the price breaks below the rising wedge (~$86,000 - $85,500). ✅ Stop Loss: Above $94,957 to protect against invalidation. ✅ Take Profit Target: $77,600 - $80,000 (first support level). ✅ Extended Target: If BTC drops below $77,600, watch for $75,000 - $72,000. ✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: Ideally 1:3 or higher for optimal trade management. 📈 Bullish Breakout Scenario (Low Probability but Possible!) If BTC breaks and closes above $94,957, the bearish setup becomes invalid. A confirmed breakout above resistance could push BTC towards $98,000 - $100,000. Traders should wait for volume confirmation before entering long positions. 5. Risk Management & Final Thoughts ⚠ Risk Factors to Consider: If BTC breaks the wedge with low volume, the move might be a false breakdown. Macroeconomic events, such as interest rate decisions, can influence price behavior. Watch for bullish divergences in indicators like RSI or MACD before shorting aggressively. 🔎 Conclusion: The Rising Wedge pattern suggests a bearish reversal—a breakdown could send BTC toward $77,600. Traders should wait for confirmation before entering trades. If BTC breaks above $94,957, a bullish continuation could push it toward $100,000. 🔥 Bearish Bias Until Breakdown Confirmation! Would you like an indicator-based analysis (e.g., RSI, MACD, or Moving Averages)? 🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
CHF/USD – Double Bottom Reversal Setup - Trading SetupComprehensive Analysis of CHF/USD 4-Hour Chart The CHF/USD 4-hour chart presents a technical trading setup based on a Double Bottom reversal pattern, combined with trendline support and key resistance levels. This pattern suggests a potential bullish breakout if key resistance is cleared. Below is a professional breakdown of the chart, covering the market structure, pattern formation, and a strategic trading setup. 1️⃣ Market Structure & Trend Analysis The overall market structure suggests that CHF/USD has been in an uptrend, as indicated by the ascending trendline that has consistently provided support. The price has recently tested a key support zone twice, forming the Double Bottom pattern, which is known for signaling a trend reversal or continuation of an uptrend. The dashed trendline connecting higher lows confirms the bullish momentum. As long as the price stays above this trendline support, the bullish bias remains valid. A break below the trendline would indicate a possible reversal or a deeper retracement. The most critical observation here is that the price is respecting both the trendline and horizontal support zone, which increases the likelihood of a breakout in the upward direction. 2️⃣ Double Bottom Pattern Formation The Double Bottom pattern is clearly formed at a strong demand zone, reinforcing the idea that buyers are stepping in to prevent further declines. The first bottom was formed after a rejection from the 1.1250 - 1.1290 support zone. The price then attempted to recover but faced resistance at 1.1350 - 1.1400, which now acts as the neckline of the pattern. The second bottom was formed at approximately the same price level as the first, confirming the validity of the pattern. A Double Bottom pattern is considered bullish, but confirmation is required through a breakout above the neckline resistance (1.1350 - 1.1400). If the price successfully breaks this level, it will indicate that buyers have regained control and the price is likely to move higher. 3️⃣ Key Support and Resistance Levels In this setup, there are three crucial price zones: support, resistance, and the target area. The support zone, located around 1.1250 - 1.1290, is where buyers stepped in to push the price higher. This level is crucial because it provided strong demand during the formation of the Double Bottom. The resistance level at 1.1350 - 1.1400 serves as the neckline of the pattern. A breakout above this level would confirm the bullish trend continuation, while rejection could lead to another retest of support. The target area is projected around 1.1500 - 1.1550, based on the measured move of the Double Bottom formation. This is the price level where traders may start taking profits if the bullish breakout occurs. 4️⃣ Trade Execution Plan To take advantage of this potential setup, traders should focus on three key aspects: entry, stop-loss placement, and take-profit levels. Entry Strategy Aggressive traders can enter a long position above 1.1350, anticipating an immediate breakout. Conservative traders may wait for a break and retest of the 1.1350 - 1.1400 zone, which would act as a confirmation for a sustained bullish move. Stop-Loss Placement A logical stop-loss should be set below 1.1138, which is beneath the Double Bottom formation and trendline support. If the price drops below this level, it would invalidate the bullish setup and signal a potential trend reversal. Profit Targets The first target zone lies around 1.1450 - 1.1500, where traders may consider securing partial profits. The extended target zone is 1.1550, which aligns with the expected measured move of the Double Bottom pattern. 5️⃣ Risk Management & Final Considerations Since this setup is based on a strong trendline support and bullish pattern, risk management is essential to protect against fake breakouts or sudden trend reversals. Traders should monitor price action near the 1.1350 - 1.1400 resistance zone. A strong bullish candle closing above this area increases the likelihood of a successful breakout. If the price fails to break out and starts moving lower, it may indicate that sellers are still in control, which could lead to a deeper correction toward 1.1200 or lower. 6️⃣ Summary & TradingView Idea This CHF/USD 4-hour chart presents a high-probability bullish setup based on a Double Bottom reversal at a strong support zone. The key confirmation level to watch is 1.1350 - 1.1400, which, if broken, will likely push the price toward 1.1500 - 1.1550. Entry: Buy above 1.1350 or after a breakout retest. Stop Loss: Below 1.1138 to avoid false breakouts. Take Profit: First target at 1.1450 - 1.1500, extended target at 1.1550. This setup provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, making it a strong potential trading opportunity. However, traders should always wait for confirmation signals before entering a position. 🚀
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
AUD/USD Forex Analysis – Trading Update for March 2025The AUD/USD pair has been exhibiting interesting price action over the past week. Following a strong bullish movement that took place on March 4th, 2025, the pair has entered a wedge formation. This bullish push was triggered by the announcement of tariffs, effective starting on March 3rd, 2025. Key Price Action: The high of the bullish move was marked at 0.63640, after which the price retraced to test a previous key support level at 0.62730. This level proved to be significant, as it was tested five separate times. During the retest, the market formed lower lows and lower highs, indicating a shift in market structure. To visualize this, a bearish trendline was drawn, capturing the declining momentum. Break and Retest: The move we were anticipating was a break of the bearish trendline, followed by a retest of this trendline. This occurred on March 13-14, 2025, confirming the bearish structure. After this retest, the weekly close showed a bullish push back to the 1-hour previous high at 0.63286, indicating some bullish interest around this price level. Current Market Structure: The pair is now trading within a defined range: Low: 0.62582 High: 0.63288 We are monitoring the 0.63000 level closely, as it is a critical point of interest. A breakout above or below one of the boundaries of this range will provide further confirmation on the pair's next move. Next Steps: If the market respects the 0.63000 level and remains within the range, we will continue to observe price action for any further setups. A break above 0.63288 or below 0.62582 will offer more clarity on the pair’s next directional move.
by AceTradingAcademy
GOLD READY TO SURGE? USD WEAKNESS SIGNALS A BIG MOVE!📌 Market Overview The US Dollar (USD) has been weakening for the past three months, signaling significant shifts in global financial markets. The latest CPI report came in weaker than expected, putting additional short-term pressure on the USD. However, long-term projections suggest a possible recovery. Meanwhile, Gold continues to gain momentum, benefiting from USD weakness on both fundamental and technical fronts. As per our previous analysis, the bullish trend remains intact, and we will continue looking for BUY opportunities at key support levels while monitoring resistance zones near all-time highs (ATH). 📊 CPI Impact on USD & GOLD – What’s Next? 🔹 Short-term USD Weakness, But Potential Recovery? The lower-than-expected CPI report has increased bearish pressure on the USD. However, in the long run, the USD may find stability and enter a recovery phase. For now, USD weakness continues to support Gold’s upside potential, bringing it closer to key resistance zones. 🔸 Gold’s Strength – Will It Hit New All-Time Highs? With USD weakening and market uncertainty rising, Gold remains a preferred safe-haven asset for investors. Our primary strategy remains BUY on dips, anticipating further upside. Tonight’s Producer Price Index (PPI) report could be a major catalyst for USD and Gold volatility. 📉 Key Technical Levels for GOLD 🔹 Major Resistance Levels: 2,945 - 2,956 - 2,972 - 2,988 🔻 Major Support Levels: 2,931 - 2,922 - 2,914 - 2,906 - 2,898 🎯 Trading Plan for Today 🟢 BUY ZONE: 2,922 - 2,920 📍 SL: 2,916 🎯 TP: 2,926 - 2,930 - 2,935 - 2,940 - 2,950 🔴 SELL ZONE: 2,955 - 2,957 📍 SL: 2,961 🎯 TP: 2,950 - 2,946 - 2,942 - 2,938 - 2,930 ⚡ PPI Report Tonight – Market Volatility Alert! 📌 The US Producer Price Index (PPI) report is set to release today, a key indicator of inflation at the production level. 📌 If PPI data is weaker than expected, USD could face further pressure, pushing Gold higher. 📌 On the other hand, stronger PPI figures could help the USD recover, leading to potential Gold corrections. 📢 Are you ready for high volatility? Stick to your TP/SL to keep your capital safe! 🚀🔥 💬 Will Gold hit a new all-time high, or is a USD recovery imminent? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Bitcoin’s Fair Value Gap Filling – Will Trendline Hold?Bitcoin is currently trading at its rising trendline support, which has been a key level for price action. On the 5D timeframe, BTC is respecting this strong upward trendline, indicating that buyers are stepping in to defend it. The previous resistance has now turned into support, adding confluence to this critical level. If BTC holds here, it could signal a bullish continuation, while a breakdown may trigger further downside. On the 1D timeframe, BTC is filling the Fair Value Gap (FVG), a liquidity zone where price typically seeks balance before making the next move. The Stoch RSI is in the oversold region, suggesting that a bounce could be on the horizon if demand picks up. Bullish Scenario : Holding above the trendline and reclaiming $81,500+ could trigger another leg up. Bearish Scenario : Losing the trendline support and breaking below $76,000 could lead to deeper correction. Key Levels to Watch: ✅ Bounce from $76,000-$78,000 → Potential bullish reversal ⚠️ Break below $76,000 → Risk of further downside
Long
by unichartz
2
Gold (XAUUSD) - Inverse Head & Shoulders Breakout Setup!Hello everyone, i hope you all will be doing good in your life and your trading as well, let's discuss about Gold and it is showing a strong bullish setup with an inverse head and shoulders pattern on the 1-hour chart . This means buyers are stepping in , and a breakout above the $2,930-$2,932 neckline could push prices higher toward the next resistance at $2,954-$2,960 . A stop-loss around $2,910-$2,906 can help manage risk in case of a pullback. Watch for volume confirmation when the breakout happens—it’ll add more strength to the move! If Gold breaks out and holds above the neckline , we could see a good upside rally as buyers take charge. But if it fails to sustain, we might see some consolidation or even a drop. Best approach? Wait for a clean breakout and retest before jumping in. Stay sharp, manage risk, and trade smart! Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions. If you Found this helpful? Don’t forget to like, share, and drop your thoughts in the comments below.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TraderRahulPal
Gold will touch $3000In a comment to Kitco News, Chris Mancini - Portfolio Manager of Gabelli Gold Fund (GOLDX) - said that Western investors are pouring into gold ETFs to hedge against economic or inflation risks due to the impact of tariffs. He also emphasized that investment demand still has room to continue to increase. "Gold is acting as a hedge against the devaluation of the USD and other currencies," he said. “Tariff measures could accelerate this process as global commodity prices rise. In addition, if global central banks (including the US Federal Reserve - FED) reduce interest rates or pump money to combat economic weakness, prices will tend to increase, making gold more attractive to investors. "The buyers still show no signs of slowing down and this week continues to be a strong candle on the weekly chart. I think there is a high possibility that gold will reach the 3,000 USD/ounce mark in the near future, but there can also be big fluctuations around that level."
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
#B3USDT remains weak—expecting further decline!📉 SHORT BYBIT:B3USDT.P from $0.007859 🛡 Stop Loss: $0.008012 ⏱ 1H Timeframe ✅ Overview: ➡️ BYBIT:B3USDT.P remains in a steady downtrend after retracing to the resistance level. ➡️ POC (Point of Control) at $0.00962 confirms seller dominance, and the current price trades below the high-volume area. ➡️ A break below $0.007859 opens the door for further downside as liquidity lies below. ➡️ If the price holds below this key level, a continuation of the decline is expected. ⚡ Plan: ➡️ Enter short below $0.007859 to confirm the bearish scenario. ➡️ Stop-Loss at $0.008012 to manage risk in case of an upward reversal. 🎯 TP Targets: 💎 TP1: $0.007610 🚀 BYBIT:B3USDT.P remains weak—expecting further decline! 📢 General advice on the asset: Weak price action in BYBIT:B3USDT.P suggests continued downside potential. If the price breaks below $0.007859, it is likely to drop to $0.007610. 📢 However, a rebound above $0.008012 could lead to a short-term recovery.
Short
by MoriartyTrading
USD/CHF: Avoiding a false dichotomyThe US dollar is in a correction of its uptrend (see EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD etc) Do we really face a linear option of fade or no trade? Actually, it might be a false dichotomy . Going long EUR/USD and GBP/USD (i.e. selling USD) would mean fading the major trend (as per the weekly charts). But going short USD/CHF (i.e. also selling USD) would not be a counter trend trade because USD/CHF is in a trading range. Selling below resistance in a trading range is a high probability setup. We can see the topping process on the daily chart, with 0.90 as the broken neckline. Here the risk is well defined - if the price pops back over 0.90 - the breakdown trade is no longer on but while below 0.90, 0.88 is a natural target as the last major support area and the 30 week moving average. But - as always - that’s just how the team and I are seeing things, what do you think? Share your ideas with us - OR - send us a request! Drop a comment cheers! Jasper
Short
by jasperlawler
Microsoft - This Will Lead To Trouble!Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) shows some clear weakness: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Back in mid 2024 Microsoft created another new all time high and in doing so also retested the major upper resistance trendline of the longer term rising channel formation. Following this bearish retest, a correction is very expected before we then see the bullish trend continuation. Levels to watch: $350 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by basictradingtv
21
Bitcoin Reversal? Demand Zone Holding Strong! BTCUSD has shown a strong reaction to the Demand Zone, indicating potential bottom formation. The price has tested this level multiple times, suggesting institutional interest and a possible bullish reversal. 🔹 1.272 | Conservative Takeprofit → 116,847.33 USD (+19%) 🔹 1.618 | Most common Takeprofit after retracement → 123,783.73 USD (+26%) 🔹 2 | Strong uptrend Takeprofit → 133,358.11 USD (+36%) With a favorable risk-to-reward setup, Bitcoin could be positioned for a significant upward move. Will BTC reach these Fibonacci targets? 📈 What’s your view on this setup? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by ProcessAndIntercept
2
Bullish Trading Setup on XAU/USDGold looks to poised for more gains, might run into some resistance around $2784-$2790 but overall since bullish trend line support seems to be intact for now. We will look for a breakout and targets around $2812 & $2868. Risk to reward on this is 1:2. Entry: $2756.00 Stops: $2700.00 Targets: $2812 & $2868 Follow me for more trading setups & opportunities. Note: Financial Markets carry a great risk. Manage your positions wisely. This isn't trading advice. The setups I post are my own perspectives and how I view the markets after personal analysis of market structures and price action.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trader_97