How to Confirm an Elliott Wave Count.Hello fellow traders, today I would like to show you how to apply a Kennedy Channeling technique (by Jeffrey Kennedy) to identify and confirm Elliott waves with more confidence.
1. Base Channel:- Wave 3 identification
When wave 2 is complete, connect the origin of wave 1 and the end of wave 2. Draw a parallel line along the top of wave 1. As long as price action stays within this channel, you can consider price action corrective, probably wave C of a Zigzag. In a bullish trend, prices ought to break above the upper boundary line of this channel for wave 3 count to be acceptable.
2. Acceleration Channel:-Wave 4 identification.
Connect the extreme of wave 1 and the top of wave 3. Draw a parallel line starting at the bottom of wave 2. Only after prices break through the lower boundary line of the acceleration channel, could you be convinced that wave 3 is over and wave 4 is unfolding.
3. Final Channel:- Wave 5 identification
Connect the end of waves 2 and 4. Draw a parallel line along the top of wave 3 to project wave 5 target. It is quite common for wave 5 to terminate upon reaching the upper trendline of the final channel.
That's all for today. Trade wisely!
Tradingsetup
Gold prices retreated in accordance with market expectations💥 GOLD information
World gold prices decreased with spot gold down 27.2 USD to 2,335.7 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,342.2 USD/ounce, down 32.8 USD compared to yesterday morning.
Short-term futures traders rushed to book profits after recent gains put pressure on the yellow metal in early trading of the week. Meanwhile, the market is still waiting for further data to know more about the interest rate direction of the US Federal Reserve (Fed).
Currently, traders and investors are waiting for important US inflation data for April with the producer price index to be released on May 14 and the consumer price index on May 15. 5. PPI is forecast to increase 0.3% over the previous month, compared to a 0.2% increase in the March report. CPI is forecast to increase 0.4%, unchanged from the March report. CPI Annual growth in April is forecast to increase by 3.6% compared to a 3.8% increase in the March report.
Recently, Fed officials have said that the Fed will loosen monetary policy if there is evidence that inflation declines sustainably. Therefore, this data is very important and is expected to have a great impact on the future direction of gold.
💥 Technically
Gold retreated to around 2330 with support from EMA 89. Gold price rebounded from this area, showing that the main trend of the market is still uptrend. It can be said that gold is stuck within the trendline border in the h4 frame and is heading towards the lower trendline area. The support level of 2330 is still enough to push the gold price to 2360 or 2375 if it remains above the important technical area of 2330. If you break out of 2375, then Correctly determined according to the current market trend is that gold will touch the old peak of 2432 in June or September.
Gold - Trading the breakout!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Amazon.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
Just three months ago Gold broke out of a very long term ascending triangle formation - similar to the triangle formation which we saw back in 2019. So far Gold is just creating the expected continuation higher and you can definitely close out partials at the current $2350 level. If you are not in a trade yet, it would be best to wait for a retest of the breakout level and bullish confirmation.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
75: Assessing Bitcoin's Weakening, Exploring Strategic OptionsAs we closely monitor the current trajectory of Bitcoin, it's evident that its strength is diminishing, prompting a thoughtful examination of our strategic options. In navigating this landscape, it's imperative to remain agile and responsive to market dynamics.
Should we witness a loss of the 65475 mark within the span of this week, the scenario of adopting short positions becomes a compelling consideration. This tactical move would capitalize on the prevailing bearish sentiment, potentially yielding favorable outcomes amidst downward price movements.
Conversely, if the aforementioned threshold remains unbreached, our focus shifts towards discerning signs of renewed bullish vigor within the market. We eagerly anticipate indications of resurgent momentum, signaling a favorable environment for reassessing and potentially bolstering our long positions.
In essence, our approach remains adaptive and nuanced, attuned to the ebb and flow of market dynamics. By remaining vigilant and responsive to emerging trends, we position ourselves to navigate the evolving landscape of Bitcoin trading with prudence and effectiveness.
Tesla - Is it a fakeout?Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Tesla.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
Back in 2020 we had a decent break and retest on Tesla stock which was followed by a pump of +1.500% towards the upside. Then Tesla topped out in 2021 and we saw sideways movement ever since. At the moment Tesla stock is trading in a bullish flag formation and is hovering around the psychological $200 level. Soon there will be a very interesting trading opportunity on Tesla stock.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Nasdaq - Shifting back bearish?Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at the Nasdaq.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
For over a decade the Nasdaq has been trading in a pretty obvious rising channel formation. We saw the last retest of support in 2022 which was followed by an enormous +70% rally towards the upside. Considering that the Nasdaq is now retesting the upper resistance, there is a quite high chance that we will see at least a short term correction lower before the Nasdaq will follow its overall uptrend.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Dow Jones - Textbook trading setup!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at the Dow Jones.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
There is one major long term pattern which we have been looking at for a very long time - a rising channel formation. Just a couple of months ago the Dow Jones retested the lower support trendline and created a beautiful triangle breakout while rejecting towards the upside. If we now get a retest of the breakout level which is then acting as support, a major continuation higher is quite likely.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Again the potential uptrend of BISWAP or maybe PUMPHello again everyone, I hope you are well and I gave you my opinion based on the price of BSWUSDT in the chart.
The large hidden divergence in (D) TF and the uptrend has not yet broken.
I think the price might be 37-50 or even higher
And I hope this helps you! Simple, concise, useful
Best Regards
BINANCE:BSWUSDT
Tesla - Don't get caught up!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Tesla.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
In 2020 Tesla stock created a beautiful break and retest of the previous all time high which was followed by significant continuation towards the upside. After this pump Tesla stock entered a long term consolidation phase, forming a bullish flag formation. Considering that Tesla just retested and rejected the upper resistance, there is a quite high chance that we will retest the next support at $120.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Adobe - Pretty clear trading setup!Hello Traders and Investors, in this video I will take a quick look at Adobe.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
Back in 2012 we saw a major symmerical triangle breakout on Adobe stock which was followed by an unbelievable rally of +2.000% towards the upside. Over the past 6 years, Adobe stock has once again formed a triangle formation and just rejected the upper resistance level. If Adobe stock retest the next horizontal support towards the downside, we could already see a bullish reversal there.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Nvidia - Struggling at the highs!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Nvidia.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
For more than 6 years Nvidia stock has been trading in a pretty obvious rising channel formation. At the moment Nvidia stock is actually retesting the upper resistance trendline. Considering that Nvidia stock also rallied 650% over the past couple of months, it is quite likely that we will see at least a short term correction towards the downside, retesting the previous all time high.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Micron Technology - 100% in 6 months!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Micron Technology.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
Back in 2018 we saw a beautiful break and retest on Micron Technology which indicated even more continuation towards the upside. For over 5 years Micron Technology has also been trading in a quite nice rising channel formation and is now approaching the upper resistance trendline. I do expect a pullback and a retest of the previous all time highs and then just more continuation towards the upside.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
USDJPY: USD/JPY traded 0.1% lower at 151.29, with the pair stillThe recent weakness in the yen, which comes despite the Bank of Japan's first interest rate hike in 17 years, has prompted warnings about possible Japanese government intervention. The warnings, especially comments from Japan's top currency diplomat Masato Kanda, helped stabilize the yen.
For now, the focus is on upcoming consumer inflation data from Tokyo, due out later in the week.
Yemi_Fx1 | Bearish Setup on USDCHFWe see that price has moved out of the ascending channel on Daily and 4HTF and currently it has formed a flag to commit to the downside.
If the third touch holds with a convinced signal.
Then I'll be taking a short on this Pair.
If you found this helpful please support your fellow trader with a like.
AUDUSD: Asian forex gains as dollar weakens; The yen increasedMost Asian currencies rose slightly on Tuesday, easing some of the dollar's slight decline before a key inflation gauge is set to give more signals on US interest rates in this week.
However, gains in the region's currencies remained limited, with most currencies remaining within trading ranges established over the past two months. The greenback also remained at its highest level in the last three months.
EURUSD: The USD fell before the PMI data, the Euro and British PThe greenback edged decrease in early European alternate on Thursday, with hazard sentiment buoyed through Nvidia`s sturdy income, at the same time as investors awaited the discharge of enterprise interest surveys. critical for locating clues approximately the fitness of the worldwide economy.
At 04:10 ET (09:10 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the dollar towards a basket of six different currencies, changed into buying and selling 0.4% decrease at 103.472, down almost 1% yr to date. this factor this week.
Strong income from AI favourite Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) boosted international confidence, ensuing withinside the safe-haven greenback taking a hit, favoring greater cyclical currencies .
The dollar hit a excessive this week, however stays greater than 2% better for the yr, as investors eased competitive bets on a sequence of hobby charge cuts through the Federal Reserve this yr.
Minutes of the Fed's overdue January meeting, launched on Wednesday, confirmed that the financial institution is in no hurry to lessen hobby quotes withinside the close to future. Speeches through numerous Fed officers this week additionally reiterated this hawkish stance, with policymakers bringing up worries approximately difficult inflation.
Attention now turns to the discharge of PMI statistics, weekly unemployment statistics and, greater importantly, production and offerings PMI statistics for February, to gauge the economy's underlying strength.
“Our evaluation and statistics shows the greenback will retain to reinforce over the following couple of weeks - we've a sturdy January center PCE launch on February 29 - after which will reduced in March because of a softer payroll document and softer February CPI numbers.” ,” analysts at ING stated in a note.
Euro location offerings PMI impressed
In Europe, EUR/USD rose 0.5% to 1.0869, with the euro supported through a greater tremendous funding climate.
DXY DROP?? = Massive RUN UP on xxxUSD! READ. DXY recently had its massive rally to the UPSIDE which imo is a CORRECTIVE MOVE. We are expecting DXY to make its first LEG down this week or have its FULL DROP next week.
How does this information about US DOLLAR help?
IF USD goes DOWN, xxxUSD rallies UP. It is important you understand the US DOLLAR before engaging in any xxxUISD pair.
How do we FRAME the trade setup?
IF DXY pulls back up to the yellow zone first, we will be looking to BUY LONGS on xxxUSD pairs.
BUT IF,
DXY drops from our current price down to the PMH (If you have my indictors you should already see the PMH level on your chart.) we will be looking to SELL xxxUSD last LEG instead and that would mean, DXY has met up with the required volume needed to make a new HIGH.
That will be our PLAY.
GOLD / USD; Analysis & Trading Plan (24-JAN-24)Hello Traders !! Here is my Gold Analysis & Trading Plan
Gold has 2 possibilities , only BUY Setup from now, then drop from after that #tradewithcare
Trade With Care,
Wave IC
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Disclaimer: This is just an idea. Please do your own analysis before opening a position. Always use SL & proper risk management.
Market can evolve anytime, hence, always do your analysis and learn trade management before following any idea.
AUDUSD: AUD/USD eased slightly, while the Australian stock markeImmediately after better-than-expected inflation data, the Australian dollar fell again. In addition, weakening inflation has also provided the market with more information about the RBA's interest rates in the coming time when the Reserve Bank of Australia has had many difficulties in controlling inflation and has only stopped raising interest rates. interest rate in November. Currently, the market is expecting that the RBA will have a 50 bps interest rate cut in 2024.