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CADJPY fell sharply because of the country's recessionCurrently, data is showing that Canada will avoid a full recession this year. According to forecasts by consulting firm RSM Canada, the probability of a recession in the next 12 months is now at 60%, down from 75% at the beginning of this year. Furthermore, that probability may decrease further in the coming days. After three years of dramatic economic change, Canada is on a path to steady, if slower, growth. According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is expected to increase 1.7%/quarter this year and 1.4%/quarter next year.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
CHFJPY, DOOMSDAY BEAR-MARKET Scenario, Wedge-TRIGGER-Setup!Hello There! Welcome to my new analysis about CHFJPY on several timeframe perspectives. The CHFJPY conditions have accelerated to an unnatural dynamic recently as the pair moved into new highs instead of the massive overbought condition and the fact that this main reversal into the bearish direction should have setup already long times before especially considering the deficit of capital flows in CHF against the JPY there is a lot of bearish pressure present for CHF. On the broader perspective the pair is forming this gigantic ascending-wedge-formation in which it already penetrated the lower boundaries with crucial bearish momentum spikes into the lower direction. This means that once a huge bearish pressure spike below the lower boundary has setup this will lead to many long liquidation triggers down the road and will lead to further continuations into this perspective. When the bearish pressure accelerates heavily this will also lead to the massive head-shoulder-formation to be completed triggering further bearish liquidations and momentum. Especially with a further increase of the deficit in capital flows between CHF and JPY this will lead to the main market momentum to convert into a bearish dynamic and will lead to the underlying bearish scenario perspective to be confirmed by traders and investors moving into a more bearish sentiment consideration. Once the whole head-shoulder-formation has completed the momentum is likely to accelerate to the target-zones mentioned. In this manner, thank you everybody for watching the analysis, support from your side is greatly appreciated. VP
by VincePrince
10
LVMH (MC) -> Buy The Stock Right Herey name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only trade stocks , crypto , options and indices 🖥️ I only focus on the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitaliz e on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise. This is how you build real long term wealth! In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on LVMH. For the past 7 years LVMH stock has been trading in a decent rising channel and just recently retested and rejected the upper resistance trendline at the psychological 900€ level. Also considering that this is a simple break and retest of the previous all time high from January I am just waiting for bullish confirmation before I think that another push higher will occur. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - I know that this is a quite simple trading approach but over the past 4 years I've realized that simplicity and consistency are much more important than any trading strategy. Keep the long term vision🫡
EURONEXT:MCLong
by basictradingtv
29
T-BOND FUTURES, Massive Double-Bottom-Formation, BREAKOUT-Setup!Hello There! Welcome to my new analysis of T-BOND FUTURES. Within recent times momentous changes emerged within the whole global financial markets as determining factors such as increased consumer demand expenditure and a decreased U.S. CPI have confirmed an important strengthening of the DXY, the U.S.-Dollar Currency Index moving along together with a major uptrend within the bonds. As the bonds market is not about to reverse within the recent times combined with the fact that the DXY stays within a continued uptrend these are factors that I considered within my recent analysis of T-BOND FUTURES as they offer an important view about what is likely to happen next. Major Double-Bottom Indications and Upcoming Price-Action-Determinations: When looking at my chart now T-BOND FUTURES are forming a major formation here, which is a substantial double-bottom formation with the first bottom already being completed and the second bottom reaching the major support zones with a high potential to bounce again. Such a double bottom formation indicates a continued demand and bullish expansion volatility once it has been completed within the schedule. Now as T-BOND FUTURES approach the major supports once again this means that the final completion of the whole double bottom is not far away especially once T-BOND FUTURES move forward with the final breakout above the upper boundaries to complete the massive double bottom formation with a breakout above the neckline with an upwind support determined by the 50-EMA and the 35-EMA. Determined Target Zones and Upcoming Perspectives Together With the Market View: The first confirmation is going to emerge once the breakout above the descending resistance line, in combination with the 50-EMA as well as the 35-EMA has shown up. The second confirmation and therefore the finalization of the whole double bottom formation is going to emerge once the final breakout above the upper boundary neckline of the major double bottom formation has shown up, this is going to complete the whole formation and is going to activate the final target zones as marked. Especially, with a further bullish momentum and uptrend preceding within the DXY and the bonds market such a major breakout possibility increases more and more. The first target zone will be within the 151'05 area, and the second target zone will be within the 172'19. A continued momentum within bonds and the DXY that is accelerating and increasing with the higher highs to be formed is going to determine a fast uptrend and reaching of the targets. In this manner, thank you everybody for watching my analysis of CHFAUD. Support from your side is greatly appreciated. VP
CBOT:ZB1!
by VincePrince
2
GBPAUD Heading Lower By Frankfurt and London Session OpenGBPAUD sellside liquidity or sell stops taken at market open of the week, market is going for buyside liquidity or buy stops during the Asia session, my opinion is GBPAUD to heading lower by Frankfurt and London session after buyside liquidity or buy stops taken. IMPORTANT: This is paper trade idea, not financial advice. Forex trading is a very high risk business, please ensure you master risk and money management before placing any live trade.
Short
by TraderMalaysia
#GBPNZD buying opportunitutechnical confluences for buying: 1- price is in overall bullish long-term market structure, which seems like followed by a bearish corrective move. (as it seems till now) 2- price has reached 4H timeframe 200 EMA and failing to close below it. 3- In 1H timeframe price formed double bottom and also we have double bullish divergence formation between the last two swing low in 1H time frame, which add to possibility of bullish move. In case this analysis materialize we expect price to at least test its previous lower-timeframe high if not break it to the upside in the direction of higher timeframe
Long
by mohemati
Shopify Corrective Move and Potential TargetsHi guys! This is a Technical Analysis on Shopify (SHOP) on the 1 Week Timeframe. Since its not the end of the Week, we have to wait till the end of week to see how this week's candle closes. We ATTEMPTED to break ->1. The ORANGE resistance zone above the 1 FIB level ->2. The "MAJOR RESISTANCE" labeled line that represents a RESISTANCE trend that formed from the PRICE TOP. WE WERE REJECTED after trying for 4 weeks (july 10th to August 7th). The 4th weeks candle closed as an ENGULFING BEARISH candle. Note: For price to break any trend line, it requires a minimum of atleast 3 major tests This current one in my opinion, ONLY MAKES 2 touch points. This strengthens the reason of why we got rejected. So far this weeks candle is showing a much SMALLER body than previous weeks. This can be an indication that perhaps SELLING is slowing down. But come end of week, the CURRENT BODY cannot close larger than Today August 9th Candle. We are currently: -> BELOW the 21 EMA -> Breaking the RED Channel i drew out -> 0.786 FIB Level Heading straight to the SUPPORT zone comprising of: 1. SUPPORT Horizontal black line 2. 0.618 FIB Level 3. The base of the DESCENDING Triangle. ***Being a confluence of 3 SUPPORT levels -> I believe us to attempt a bounce from the $53.00 area, maybe to retest the "MAJOR RESISTANCE" trendline In my opinion, its important that we can somehow get back above these key levels come end of week. If we cant, probabilities are pointing towards a small corrective move Especially the 21 EMA, looking left reveals patterns where price can fall for upto couple weeks to even couple months. Which can even validate or increase the probability of the descending triangle to play out If that happens we will test: 1. First, the 0.5 FIB level at $47.44 2. Then the 0.382 FIB level, which is also around a intermediate Resistance turned SUPPORT line. 3. Worst case scenario = Range of 0.236 FIB level at $34.91 to about $23.90 ----->*****going any lower would invalidate the current MACRO BULLISH trend**** -----> But going this low can have create some bullish patterns like a double bottom. But overall its just as of now, less probable. But we have to just focus one step at a time, worrying about a target level, if the previous trend is broken and confirmed. Ex). -> If we break below the 0.5 FIB level and confirm, only then is the 0.382 FIB lvl likely. The STOCH RSI is showing BEARISH move down to the 20 level, we can continue to move below the 20 level and even stay down here for weeks to couple months. But the longer we stay at low levels especially those below 20 level, price tends to decline further. So we need to pay attention to the level it ends up at. The RSI is testing a SUPPORT zone, below it can indicate further price drop. Also notice that the RSI line is below the BLACK moving average. If you look left, if we are below it for extended periods RSI continues to drop, along with price. Keep this in mind. Lastly, the ADX GREEN line, is on a decline, getting close to meeting with RED line. If a cross occurs, more BEARISH momentum can enter the stock. This could increase the probably that the correction continues for a longer timeframe. We would need GREEN line to curve up and try to get ABOVE resistance line. Stay tuned for more updates on SHOP in the near future. Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. When trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
NYSE:SHOPShort
by SafofAllTrades
ZM - 3D timeframe hints at potential MACRO shiftHi guys, this is a Technical Analysis on Zoom. So many stocks have done well in this bull market and some not so much. My focus is to catch some potential ones that are down significantly from their blow off tops, in the process of bottoming. Note this is a 3 Day timeframe. This analysis is to see hints in these intermediate timeframes to see whether there is potential for these findings to impact the bigger picture or MACRO trend. Current Price action for the last 4 candles have printed support above the 50 DMA (green moving average) and 21 EMA (Yellow moving average) Note also the 50 Green DMA is starting to flatten out, indicating a potential BOTTOMING sign, since if you look left the things been signficantly pointed down since blow off top. Also note the 21 Yellow EMA is starting to slope up, trying to cross over the 50 DMA. This has happened only 1 time in the history of 3D Zoom chart but when it did, a massive bull run ensued after. This is something to OBSERVE. ANother plus point, we are above the 2 sloping trend lines that were resistance lines since July 2022 and Nov 2022. NOw lets look at the CANDLE characteristics of the 4. Its important to notice the UPPER WICKS forming -> this indicates selling pressure, and that we are hitting on some tough resistance, indicated by the RED rectangle. BUT note the highlighted candle formation -> This is a Dragonfly doji, which is a BULLISH candle pattern. I wont go into the details as i am not an expert but just note its not a traditional dragonfly so the power of its impact, may vary. (Again i could be wrong, so don't hold me to this and correct me if im wrong) Note the tail of the Doji, how it bounced off this major convergence of support between the July 2022 resistance line, and both MA. Great sign in my opinion for a bullish case. BUT also keep your mind on the various support lines below price action, if we get rejected here which is always a possibility, look for price to test: 1. Firstly the moving averages 2. The July 2022 resistance now flipped support 3. November 2022 resistance now flipped support 4. Lastly, the RED horizontal MAJOR bottom support at around $61. WHich we have never gone below in the history of ZOOM. Lets move onto my indicators: 1. RSI- Note the Red line, this is actually a reference to the BULLISH DIVERGENCE forming in zoom. Notice also the first white horizontal line, We have recently broken major resistance and formed a higher high in RSI. This is a good sign in my opinion. The 2nd white line above, is something that if we break would indicate MAJOR trend change, as we would break the June 2021 highs on RSI. 2. MACD -> momentum indicator -> Notice how the histogram bars have shortened and the Blue/Red lines have flattened. This in my opinion, this "quiteness", may indicate a "Calm before the storm" scenario. Also if we are crossed up where the Blue line is over the red and ABOVE the 0 level, that could be a sign for bullish momentum. Especially if the space between the 2 lines widens. 3. ADX & DI - Notice the green line is slowly moving above the White horizontal line, if we can get significantly above it, its may indicate a chance for further bullish momentum. If also the white line comes up and pierces the green line, that would add to the bullish momentum case. *BULLISH DIVERGENCE is a bullish pattern where price action on the charts shows lower lowers but the indicators show higher lows. This pushes price to "catch up" with what the indicators are showing, since normally price action should mirror indicators & vice versa. CONCLUSION: Price action is currently in an interesting zone of resistance. Getting above this would be monumental for ZM for sure. We have some great support levels hanging out below us, which could make for some nice BUY zones if price gets there. But in the great scheme of things, and in my opinion, NOT Financial advise -> Zoom is extremely cheap. There are some bullish signs like the dragonfly doji, potential EMA/DMA cross, Higher high RSI and more...... COuld these be the necessary catalysts to have zoom finally start a bull run, well....... TIME WILL TELL. THANK YOU for taking the time to tune in. Please support me by boosting, following and commenting. Feedback always helps and or expressing your thoughts would be great. DISCLAIMER: This is NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE. I am not a financial advisor. This is strictly my opinion and for educational expression. Trade with caution, always focusing on RISK MANAGEMENT. Protect yourselfs, deploy stop losses.
NASDAQ:ZMLong
by SafofAllTrades