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Gold Analysis September 9☘️Fundamental Analysis Gold prices witnessed an intraday reversal from an all-time high and fell below the psychological $2,500 level after the release of key US monthly employment data on Friday. The mixed US employment report reduced the chances of the Federal Reserve (Fed) cutting interest rates by 50 basis points, which prompted some cover in the US dollar (USD) prices and weighed on the precious metal. That said, concerns about a US recession dampened investors’ appetite for riskier assets and acted as a driver for safe-haven Gold prices. Additionally, the lack of progress in ceasefire talks between Israel and Hamas became another factor supporting XAU/USD during the Asian session on Monday. This warrants caution for bearish traders amid the prospect of an impending Fed rate cut cycle. ☘️Technical Analysis Gold is below the 2500 round port level, in fact this port area is no longer strong enough to push gold prices lower. The area of ​​interest in today's European session is around the 2507 Fibonacci 0.5 retracement zone and the 2512 Fibonacci final extension zone. These are two areas of interest for a SELL plan. When 2512 is broken, the downtrend on Friday is reversed. The main candle h4 is broken and ATH comes early this week, the expected level is 255x. The 2331 area is no longer valuable when gold pushes up. In the opposite direction, the 2470-2460 2433 area plays an important support role. 🌸Trading signal SELL zone 2505 - 2507 Stoploss 2511 BUY zone 2484 - 2482 Stoploss 2479 BUY zone 2473 - 2471. Stoploss 2467
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold prices are more unpredictable than everThe first week of September culminated in the US jobs report for August. Non-farm payrolls for the US economy increased by 142,000 jobs, up from 114,000 in July, although weaker than the market median estimate of 160,000 (Reuters). US Treasury yields and the US dollar (USD) fell on the news; markets also priced in a 120 basis point cut by the end of the year and nearly 40 basis points for this month's meeting. Average hourly earnings also rose sharply in August, up +0.4% (MoM), improving on the market period (+0.3%) and the +0.2% increase from the previous release in July. YoY, average hourly earnings rose +3.8% YoY in August, also improving on both the favorable data (+3.7%) and the previous data (+3.6%). With the economy now balanced and on track to grow at 2%, it is now time to ease the policy setting regime by reducing the target range for the federal funds rate,' he said, but did not comment on whether he would support a 25 or 50 basis point cut.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FalCol_TradingMaster
HEY INVESTOR! Nvidia below $100 is an absolute buy! check it outLet's welcome NVDA to our weekend analysis! In this analysis, we're primarily focusing on two resistances that the price formed several months ago, which consequently created a gap later on, the price came back to test our blue area, which we'll call our "gap zone." The price has been fluctuating in a bearish sequence; however, it has not yet reached our point #4 to complete the sequence we've been observing for the past few days. If the price complete the sequence and reaches our point #4, we're looking an excellent buying opportunity below 100 dollars. The trend is still bearish, but there are two factors that may suggest a short-term trend reversal: First , the price has already touched our gap zone, and second , the dividend date is approaching, during which many accumulate shares to receive the dividend and then sell, leading to increased volatility for Nvidia in the coming days. Just remember, Nvidia's intrinsic value may be positioned below 98 dollars, but if you're looking at it for the long term, this price shouldn't concern you at all. Best wishes for success in your trading and investment! Thankyou for supporting my analysis Best Regards
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by RocketMike111
GBPUSD week 37 analysis🌐Fundamental Analysis GBPUSD fell sharply after hitting a fresh weekly high above the 1.3200 round-figure resistance against the US Dollar (USD) during Friday's North American session. The GBP/USD pair fell as the US Dollar rebounded strongly following the US (US) Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data for August. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the value of the Greenback against six major currencies, recovered strongly to near 101.40 after falling to near 100.60. The short-term outlook for the British currency remains upbeat recently as investors expect the BoE's policy easing cycle to be shallower than that of other central banks. The main reason behind the strong speculation of a gradual BoE easing cycle is that the economy is performing better than previously expected and the fact that inflation in the services sector remains high. In the UK economic calendar next week, investors will focus on the Employment data for the quarter ending in July and the monthly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data for July. Both of these figures could be key to determining what the BoE will decide to do with interest rates when it meets later this month. 📊Technical Analysis The NFP pullback is approaching the 1.308 support zone. The uptrend is still strong with a possible retracement to the 1.0 Fibonacci around the 1.301 zone to bounce back to wave 5 and complete the bullish wave pattern. 1.334 would be a nice Fibonacci resistance zone where we can look at the reaction to execute the SELL signals. In the opposite direction, the Dow breakout of wave 1 formed a strong support level around 1.288. The EMA 34 is gradually decreasing in slope compared to the EMA 89, showing that the market structure is leaning towards the upside but not as strong as last week. Support: 1.301-1.299 Resistance: 1.322- 1.334 🕯Trading Signals BUY GBPUSD: 1.301-1.299 Stoploss 1.297 BUY GBPUSD: 1.288-1.286 Stoploss 1.284 SELL GBPUSD 1.334-1.336 Stoploss 1.338
by TVS-Trader
DOGECOIN / TRADING INTO DESCENDING CHANNEL - 4HDOGECOIN / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS The overall trend is downward , until trading below turning level at 0.102 The asset's price action suggests a potential downtrend as it currently trades below the key level of 0.102. This level often acts as a significant turning level , so trading below it indicates bearish momentum. A further decline to 0.094 is expected because it represents the next logical support level where buying interest might increase. If this level fails to hold, the price could drop to 0.084, a stronger support that might prevent further declines. However, if the price can break above the 0.102 level and sustain that move, it would indicate a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. This could lead to a rally towards 0.112, a resistance level that could attract selling pressure. A continued move higher might take the price to 0.121, where significant resistance could be encountered. KEY LEVELS : TURNING LEVEL : 0.102 . RESISTANCE LEVELS : 0.094 , 0.084 . SUPPORT LEVELS : 0.112 , 0.121 .
Short
by ArinaKarayi
XRPUSDT / REMAIN BELOW ASCENDING CHANNEL - 4HXRPUSDT - 4H HELLO TRADERS Tendency , prices is under downward pressure , until trading below turning level at 0.58 . The prices are currently trading below the ascending channel and are likely to attempt a retest to reach the turning point at 0.58 before beginning a decline toward the support level at 0.54, with a further drop expected down to 0.52. However, if the 0.58 level is broken and a 4-hour candle closes above it, the price may rise toward the first resistance level at 0.62, and potentially further to 0.65 KEY LEVELS : Turning Level : 0.58 . Resistance Levels : 0.62 , 0.65 . Support Levels : 0.54 , 0.52 .
Short
by ArinaKarayi
2
NOTUSDT / UNDER DOWNWARD PRESSURE - 4HNOTUSDT / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS The overall trend remains downward as long as trading stays below the turning level of 0.009 . It is reasonable to expect that prices will remain under downward pressure as long as they stay below the turning level of 0.009 because this level acts as a critical resistance point. Without a decisive break above it, sellers maintain control, leading to potential declines toward the next support levels at 0.007 and 0.006. The requirement for a 4-hour or 1-hour candle close above the turning level to signal an upward move is justified by the need for confirmation that the market has gained enough bullish momentum to push prices higher. Once this occurs, the path toward the resistance levels at 0.011 and 0.013 becomes more likely, as it indicates that buyers are regaining control. KEY LEVELS : Turning Level : 0.009 Resistance Levels : 0.011, 0.013 Support Levels : 0.007 , 0.006
Short
by ArinaKarayi
1
XAUUSD / TRADING SENSITIVE AREA - 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS The overall trend is downward , until trading around 2,526$ and 2,531$ The expectation of prices rising to $2,526 and $2,531 before dropping can be explained by resistance levels at these points, which often cause a pullback in prices. If gold remains below $2,531, the downtrend is likely to continue, supported by technical indicators showing declining momentum. The forecast of a drop to $2,507 is based on previous support levels where the price tends to stabilize. However, if gold closes above $2,531 on a 4-hour chart, it suggests a breakout, signaling a shift in sentiment and potentially leading to higher prices, supported by market momentum. The projection of reaching $2,540 and $2,551 aligns with historical price peaks and psychological levels that traders often target in a rally. KEY LEVELS : TURNING LEVEL : 2,507 . RESISTANCE LEVELS : 2,526$ , 2,531$ . SUPPORT LEVELS : 2,507$ , 2,475$ .
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ArinaKarayi
NAS100USD / TRADING BELOW TURNING LEVEL - 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS The overall trend is downward , until trading below turning level at 19,105 . The price action points to a likely continued decline due to its inability to surpass the key turning point of 19.105, signaling persistent downward momentum. Staying under this level implies strong bearish pressure, with support levels at 18,699 and 18,351 as possible targets. On the other hand, breaking above 19.105 would suggest a change in market sentiment towards a more bullish trend, potentially leading to a rise towards the resistance levels of 19,538 and 19,906, driven by increased buying interest and upward momentum KEY LEVELS : TURNING LEVEL : 19,105 . RESISTANCE LEVELS : 18,699 , 18,351 . SUPPORT LEVELS : 19,538 , 19,906 .
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by ArinaKarayi
Gold Price Analysis September 6Fundamental Analysis Gold prices attracted some buyers for the third straight day on Friday and traded near weekly highs heading into the European session. However, the gains lacked bullish sentiment as investors opted to wait for the release of the key US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report before placing any fresh bets. Meanwhile, rising bets for more rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in September weighed on the US Dollar (USD) for the third straight day and provided some support to the non-yielding yellow metal. Meanwhile, a mixed batch of US employment data released this week suggested the labour market is losing momentum and raised concerns about the health of the economy. This, coupled with persistent geopolitical tensions, dampened investor appetite for riskier assets and turned out to be another factor that acted as a driver of safe-haven Gold prices. However, it would be wise to wait for some follow-through buying before positioning for an extension of the two-day uptrend ahead of key US macro data risks. Technical Analysis Gold is looking to make an ATH in today’s US session. The re-approach to the 2523 zone in yesterday’s evening session and the liquid pullback to the 2508 zone and back to the top as the European session began have prompted investors to buy to push prices higher in the US session. The key price zone of 2526 on the breakout in today’s European session is definitely a new all-time high for Gold. Gold will at least reach 2526 or 2533 before a sharp decline. Now the US session begins and gold pushes down first, the US's upward force will be greater and it is possible to reach the sell zone of 254x. Resistance: 2526 - 2532 - 2542 - 2555 Support: 2493 - 2485 - 2472 - 2461 - 2454 - 2440 SELL price zone 2530 - 2532 stoploss 2536 BUY price zone 2499 - 2497 stoploss 2492 BUY price zone 2460 - 2462 stoploss 2456
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold is overhyped ? Nonfarm 9/6/2024Gold's risks this week will be the ADP jobs and unemployment claims report and the nonfarm payrolls report. StoneX analyst Rhona O'Connell said bullion was also under pressure from weak global equities. However, O'Connell believes that the precious metal price trend is still upward and these losses are only corrective. This year, gold has had an impressive performance and is up more than 20%. On August 20, this precious metal reached an all-time high of 2,531.6 USD/ounce. Kinesis Money market analyst Mike Ingram has raised his forecast for the yellow metal's resistance above $2,510 an ounce, and he expects the price to break the $2,543 an ounce mark soon. Talking about gold fluctuations in the near future, Natixis precious metals analyst Bernard Dahdah predicts that gold prices will average about 2,600 USD/ounce by 2025. With stable domestic gold prices and world gold prices listed at Kitco at 2,496.4 USD/ounce (equivalent to nearly 75.2 million VND/tael if converted at VCB exchange rate, excluding taxes and fees) , the difference between domestic gold and world gold is huge. Price is about 5.8 million VND/tael.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
USOIL / TRADING ABOVE DEMAND ZONE IN THE DAILY CHART - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME HELO TRADERS The overall trend is uptrend , until trading above demand zone in the daily chart . Current Position Prices are above the demand zone, which is a strong support area. This indicates that the current support level is holding and may lead to a price increase , For an uptrend to be confirmed, prices need to break and stabilize above turning level at 71.82 . Successfully doing so suggests that the bullish momentum is strong enough to push prices towards the next resistance levels at 74.24 and then 76.21. If prices fall below 71.82 and stabilize, it indicates that the support level is no longer effective, potentially leading to a decline , If prices reach 69.18 and a 4-hour or 1-hour candle closes below this level, it suggests a continuation of the downtrend. A further break and stabilization below 68.28 would confirm a sustained bearish trend, indicating further price decreases. KEY LEVELS : TURNING LEVEL : 71.82 . RESISTANCE LEVELS : 74.24 , 76.21 . SUPPORT LEVELS : 69.18 , 68.28 .
TVC:USOILLong
by ArinaKarayi
Gold possible up correctionXAUUSD continues its downward movement, closing below the 2500 level and confirming a break out of the consolidation zone. With this momentum, the market is likely to head to lower levels. Although the major trend remains bullish, this correction might find support around the 2450 level. If the market retests this area and shows rejection signs, like a bullish long-tailed bar, it could offer a good buying opportunity. A strong rebound from the 2450 support could pave the way for a continuation of the bullish trend toward the all-time highs. The target is the resistance zone at 2505
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by RTED_Investing
AUDUSD potential Breakout and RetestAUDCAD has broken and closed below its consolidation zone and is currently testing the resistance level around 0.91200. It seems to be pulling back for a retest at this level. The market is showing lower lows and lower closes, signalling bearish dominance. A break-and-retest scenario is expected, where the price might pull back to test the resistance before potentially continuing downward. This is a key level to monitor, as holding here could confirm the continuation of the bearish trend. The target is the support level at 0.90775
Short
by RTED_Investing
Gold Analysis September 5☘️Fundamental Analysis Gold prices edged up in Asian trade on Thursday. A US jobs report showed on Wednesday that employment fell to a three-and-a-half-year low in July, raising expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates further in September, which in turn acted as a boost for the non-yielding yellow metal. Moreover, concerns about the health of the US economy dampened investor appetite for riskier assets, further supporting the safe-haven precious metal. However, gold prices lacked strong buying interest as traders appeared reluctant to place strong bullish bets, preferring to wait for key details on the US monthly employment report - commonly known as the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report - due on Friday. Meanwhile, the US economic agenda on Thursday - including the ADP report on private sector employment, the weekly jobless claims and the ISM services PMI - will be looked at for short-term opportunities. However, expectations of the imminent start of the Fed's policy easing cycle could continue to support Gold. ☘️Technical Analysis Gold is moving back in the sideways range of 2490-2505. After an old liquidity sweep to 2472. The Asian session's upside momentum is not strong enough to break the technical level of 2508. When the European session pushes up to 2508 without breaking through, we can set up a SELL signal at this area. The sell trend may extend further than there is still a way to move up to ATH. Today, when the US session enters, pay attention to the resistance zone of 2512-2514 for a SELL strategy. And the push to the low zone this week and next week could create momentum for the FOMC to push gold to a new ATH. Resistance: 2505 - 2509 - 2515 - 2524 - 2535 Support: 2491 - 2485 - 2472 - 2461 - 2454 - 2440 SELL price zone 2513 - 2515 stoploss 2518 BUY price zone 2460 - 2462 stoploss 2456 BUY price zone 2480 - 2478 stoploss 2475Gold Analysis September 5
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
NAS100USD / UNDER BEARISH MOMENTUM - 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME The overall trend is downward , until trading below turning level at 19,105 . The expectation of a decline when prices remain below 19,105 is based on technical analysis principles, where key support and resistance levels play a crucial role in predicting price movements. When prices fail to break above a resistance level like 19,105, it often indicates a lack of bullish momentum, leading to a potential drop towards the next support level, which is identified as 18,699. If the price falls below 18,699, this would likely trigger further selling pressure, pushing the price down to 18,351. This is because breaking a key support level often leads to an acceleration of the downward trend as traders and investors react to the breach. On the other hand, if the price manages to close above 19,105, especially on a 4-hour or 1-hour chart, it suggests a possible shift in market sentiment. This close above resistance would signal that the bulls are regaining control, and the price could then move upward towards the next resistance levels at 19,538 and 19,906. This scenario reflects the importance of monitoring key levels and timeframes to anticipate potential trend reversals. KEY LEVELS : TURNING LEVEL : 19,105 . RESISTANCE LEVELS : 19,538 , 19,906 . SUPPORT LEVELS : 18,699 , 18,351 .
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by ArinaKarayi
1
GOLD / REMAIN BELOW TURNING LEVEL AT 2,507$ - 4H XAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME The overall trend is downward , until trading below turning level at 2,507$ . As mentioned yesterday, if prices remain below the pivot point at 2,507$, a decline towards 2,474$ is anticipated, which could yield a profit. Currently, prices are again trading below 2,507$, with an expected range between 2,491$ and 2,507$. A break on either side will determine the direction. As long as prices stay below 2,507$, they are likely to revisit 2,474$ and 2,472$ . If these levels are broken and prices remain below, further declines toward 2,459$ are expected. However, if the price breaks above 2,507$ and a 4-hour candle closes above this level, it suggests a potential rise toward 2,519$ . KEY LEVELS : TURNING LEVEL : 2,507$ . RESISTANCE LEVELS : 2,519$ , 2,531$ . SUPPORT LEVELS : 2,472$ , 2,459$ .
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ArinaKarayi