MEW scalp - August scalping journey trade Nr. 4No loss so far in this month, lets try to continue with this streak. ⚡
Late night session for me today and I am possibly holding this one over the night if it gets filled. I am trying this bid on MEW as I told you just slightly different. I am going to bid the 4H Supply Breaker with a smaller stop loss. I may be updating it later in the night so if you don't like to hold it over the night, don't do it. Risky setup because it's going to run during the night so manage accordingly.
4-Hour Supply Breaker:
The 4-hour supply breaker is identified on the chart. This zone indicates a previous area where selling pressure was significant, but now it could act as a strong support area, hence termed a "breaker."
Break of Structure (BOS):
Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) are marked on the chart, showing key levels where the market has shifted from a downtrend to an uptrend, confirming the change in market sentiment.
4-Hour Fair Value Gap (FVG):
The 4-hour Fair Value Gap is another critical zone. This gap often attracts the price to fill it, providing a potential area for entry.
12-Hour Fair Value Gap (FVG):
Additionally, there is a 12-hour FVG, which can serve as a further confirmation of the support level and the potential for price to rebound from this zone.
Holding the position overnight adds to the risk since the market can experience volatility during non-active hours. It is crucial to be comfortable with this aspect of the trade.
Tradingsignals
GBPUSD Analysis Week 32Fundamental Analysis
GBP/USD ended the trading week with a last-minute win after the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) missed expectations, sending the greenback lower across the board.
The pound fell this week after the Bank of England (BoE) delivered a 25 basis point interest rate cut on Thursday morning, while US jobs data provided further warning signs that the US economy may be contracting faster than investors initially expected.
The US will see the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for July on Monday. On the UK side, BRC Retail Sales for the year ending July are expected to rebound to 0.3% after a -0.5% decline in the previous period.
Technical Analysis
GBPUSD forms a wide range after the NF announcement with the nearest support resistance in the range of 1.286 and 1.270. On the H4 timeframe, EMA 34 is below EMA 89, indicating that the market structure is leaning towards a bearish trend with the lowest retracement around the support zone of 1.262. On the other hand, any daily close above the resistance level of 1.286 and candle close above both EMAs confirms an uptrend with the weekly resistance peak at 1.294
Resistance: 1.286-1.294
Support: 1.270-1.262
Trading Signals
BUY GBPUSD zone 1.262-1.260 Stoploss 1.258
SELL GBPUSD zone 1.294-1.296 Stoploss 1.298
Gold Price Outlook: XAU/USDThe charge of gold can also additionally try and retrace the decline from the month-to-month high ($2478) need to it preserve to shut above the 50-Day SMA ($2369).
Gold Price to Eye Monthly High on Failure to Close Below 50-Day SMA
Keep in mind, the latest pullback withinside the charge of gold emerged following the failed strive to check the July high ($2484) and bullion can also additionally face a bigger correction if it struggles to preserve above the July low ($2319).
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Nevertheless, gold can also additionally preserve to function an opportunity to fiat-currencies as primary imperative banks begin to transfer gears, and bullion re-set up the bullish fashion rom in advance this 12 months amid the risk of a coverage error.
SOL scalp - August scalping journey trade Nr. 3The only setup from the livestream that I will be playing is this setup on SOL. You already know the plan, 30m FVG + demand should hold and target new highs.
The chart highlights multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS), indicating key levels where the price has shifted its market structure, moving from a bearish to a bullish trend.
30-Minute Fair Value Gap (FVG):
The 30-minute Fair Value Gap is a crucial zone where the price is expected to find support. This gap represents an imbalance in the market that the price may revisit to achieve equilibrium.
30-Minute Demand Zone:
The 30-minute demand zone, located just below the FVG, is another significant area of interest. This zone is where strong buying activity previously occurred, providing a potential support level for the price.
DXY ( BREAKOUT AND AGAIN INSIDE CHANNEL ) (4H)DXY
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency, the price inside sensitive area , trading nearly turning level at 103.221 .
Upward Zone : as long as the price should be breaking turning level at 103.221 , refers active upward zone , currently the price trading below turning level at 103.221 , to rising inside resistance zone between 103.690 & 104.477 , first thing for this rising reach of a resistance level (1) at 103.690 , by closing 4h candle above it easily reach next level at 104.477 , to confirm a rising , the price should be breaking resistance zone because in this zone have been many sales before .
Downward Zone: until the price trading below turning level around 103.221 , indicates dropping to support level (1) around 102.736 , to confirm true decline , the price it will be breaking 102.736 , by closing 4h candle below it to reach support
level (2) at 102.310 , called support zone have been buying increase in this zone before .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 103.690 , 104.477 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 102.736 , 102.310 .
BTC Short using ICT Market Maker Sell Model (Explained)ICT Market Maker Sell Model (MMSM) for Bitcoin (BTC/USD)
Key Components:
1. Original Consolidation:
- This is the initial phase where the price consolidates within a range, indicating accumulation by smart money.
2. Smart Money Reversal:
- This area marks the point where smart money starts to take profit or reverse their positions, leading to a reversal in the market trend.
3. Market Structure Shift:
- This indicates a significant change in market direction with a displacement
4. Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
- They are marked as potential areas of interest where price might return to fill these gaps.
5. Sellside Liquidity:
- This is the area where liquidity is collected, often below the market structure where stop-losses and other sell orders are triggered.
6. Re-Distribution:
- After the initial move down, the market redistributes, often retesting previous support areas or fair value gaps before continuing the trend.
Chart Analysis:
1. Consolidation Phase:
- The price starts with an original consolidation phase where accumulation occurs.
2. Upward Move:
- After consolidation, there's an upward move indicating bullish market conditions.
3. Smart Money Reversal and Low Risk Sell:
- The price reaches a peak where smart money starts to reverse their positions. The chart highlights a 'Low Risk Sell Inside FVG' which is an optimal selling point within a fair value gap, suggesting a high probability sell zone.
4. Market Structure Shift:
- After the peak, the market experiences a shift in structure, breaking previous support levels and signaling a bearish trend.
5. Downtrend and Redistribution:
- The price moves down sharply, redistributing within fair value gaps. The chart highlights these gaps (fvg) where price might retrace to fill before continuing downward.
6. Sellsides Liquidity Targeted:
- The market targets sellside liquidity, triggering sell orders and stop-losses, leading to further downward pressure.
Practical Use:
- Identifying Entry and Exit Points:
- Traders use this model to identify optimal entry (sell) points within fair value gaps and exit points where liquidity might be targeted.
- Understanding Market Phases:
- Recognizing different market phases (accumulation, distribution, and redistribution) helps in anticipating market moves.
By understanding these components and their interplay, traders can better anticipate market movements and make informed trading decisions.
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SPX500USD ( TRADING ABOVE SUPPORT LEVEL(1) ) ( 4H )SPX500USD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency, the price is under bullish pressure , until the price trading above support level (1) at 5,206 .
Upward Zone : until the price trading above 5,206 , refers active upward zone , currently the price trading above turning level at 5,267 , to rising inside resistance zone between 5,344 & 5,411 , first thing for this rising reach of a resistance level (1) at 5,344 , by closing 4h candle above it easily reach next level at 5,411 , to confirm a rising , the price should be breaking resistance zone because in this zone have been many sales before .
Downward Zone: should the price reserve and breaking turning level at 5,267 , indicates dropping to support level (1) around 5,206 , to confirm true decline , the price it will be breaking 5,267 , by closing 4h candle below it to reach support level (2) at 5,124 , called support zone have been buying increase in this zone before .
Corrective level :Price may make a correction at 5,267 & 5,206 , before rising .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 5,344 , 5,411 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 5,206 , 5,124 .
BTC scalp - August scalping journey trade Nr. 2 Trying this risky setup on BTC after 30min FVG got tagged and we are at the 3D VAH. Aiming for the 3D VWAP but please recognise the risk here.
Break up of the setup 👇
30-Minute Fair Value Gap (FVG):
The 30-minute Fair Value Gap (FVG) is a key level identified on the chart. This gap indicates an area where the price moved rapidly without much trading in between, creating a potential zone for price to revisit and balance out the prior inefficiency.
3-Day Value Area High (3D VAH):
The current price is at the 3-Day Value Area High (3D VAH). This is a significant point derived from volume profile analysis over a three-day period, indicating the upper boundary of the price range where the majority of trading volume occurred.
Price Action and RSI:
The price has shown a recovery from a recent low, moving upwards to tag the 30-minute FVG. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is displayed at the bottom, providing insight into potential overbought or oversold conditions.
Trading Strategy:
Entry Point:
The entry is based on the price revisiting the 30-minute FVG, an area often revisited for price correction and liquidity purposes.
Target:
The primary target for this setup is the 3-Day VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price). The 3D VWAP is a dynamic indicator representing the average price of the asset over the last three days, adjusted by volume. It is a key level where the price is likely to find support or resistance.
Going to take profits on the way down and moving my stop loss to break even.
Considering the high-risk nature of this trade, appropriate position sizing is essential. Avoid over-leveraging and ensure that the potential loss is within your risk tolerance.
NAS100USD ( INSIDE DESCINDING CHANNEL ) ( 4H) NAS100USD
HELLO TRADERS
in recent days , prices have fallen sharply , with the issuance of shares of several companies and losses .
Tendency, the price is under bullish pressure , until the price trading above turning level at 18,244 .
RESISTANCE ZONE : in order to see an increase , as long as trading and stabilizing above turning level at 18,244 , to support rising to reach of a resistance level (1) at 18,698 , to confirm a rising trading , price should be closing 1h or 4h candle above resistance level (1) to reach a resistance level (2) at 19,112 , this two level called resistance zone , there have been many sales in this zone before , may be the price reserve descending channel before rising .
SUPPORT ZONE : should the price reserve and breaking turning level , indicates dropping to support level (1) around 17,435 , to confirm downward , the price it will be breaking 17,435 , by closing 4h candle below it to reach support level (2) at 17,047 , to reach support level (3) at 16,232 , the price should be stabilizing below 17,047 , there have been many buying in this zone before .
Corrective level :Price may make a correction at 18,244 , before rising .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 18,698 ,19,112 , 19,546 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 17,435 , 17,047 , 16,232 .
XAUUSD ( UNDER BULLISH PRESSURE ) (4H)XAUUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency, the price is under upward pressure , until the price trading above support level (1) at 2,367$.
Upward Zone : until the price trading above support level (1) , indicates further up trading , currently the price trading above turning level at 2,391 , to support reach of a resistance level (1) around 2,420$ , to confirm upward , price need breaking by close 4h candle above 2,420$ to reach resistance level (2) at 2,440$ , may be the price reserve and breaking turning level to reaching a support level (1) at 2,367$ , after starting a upward .
Downward Zone: should the price reserve and breaking turning level , indicates dropping to support level (1) around 2,367$ , to confirm downward , the price it will be breaking 2,367$ , by closing 4h candle below it to reach support level (2) at 2,337$ .
Corrective level :Price may make a correction at 2,391$ & 2,367$ , before rising .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 2,420$, 2,440$ , 2,460$.
SUPPORT LEVEL : 2,367$ , 2,337$ , 2,303$.
DOGEUSDT ( STABILIZING BELOW TURNING LEVEL ) ( 4H )DOGEUSDT
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure , until trading below turning level at 0.102 .
TURNING LEVEL : the price of this level at 0.102 , so until the price trade below this level indicates likely to reach a support level (1) , but if the breaking by open 4h candle above this level reach a resistance level (1) .
RESISTANCE ZONE : this zone between 0.115 and 0.128 , in order to see this zone the price need breaking turning level at 0.102 , breaking this price indicates an increase and reaching the resistance level (1) at 0.115 , then stabilizing above resistance level (1) likely to reach of a resistance level (2) at 0.128 , after breaking this zone it will be attempt to reach resistance level (3) at 0.141 , selling have already increase in this zone .
SUPPORT ZONE : this zone between 0.091 & 0.080 , until the price trading below turning level or stabilizing below this level indicates to reach of a support level (1) at 0.091 , by open 4h or 1h candle below support level (1) , it indicates to reaching support level (2) around 0.080
CORRECTIVE : the price corrective at 0.102, before dropping .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 0.56 , 0.61 , 0.65 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 0.44 , 0.39 .
XRPUSDT ( BREKOUT ASCENDING CHANNEL ) (4H)XRPUSDT
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure , until trading below turning level at 0.51 .
TURNING LEVEL : the price of this level at 0.51 , so until the price trade below this level indicates likely to reach a support level (1) , but if the breaking by open 4h candle above this level reach a resistance level (1) .
RESISTANCE ZONE : this zone between 0.56 and 0.61 , in order to see this zone the price need breaking turning level at 0.51 , breaking this price indicates an increase and reaching the resistance level (1) at 0.56 , then stabilizing above resistance level (1) likely to reach of a resistance level (2) at 0.61 , after breaking this zone it will be attempt to reach resistance level (3) at 0.65 , selling have already increase in this zone .
SUPPORT ZONE : this zone between 0.44 & 0.39 , until the price trading below turning level or stabilizing below this level indicates to reach of a support level (1) at 0.44 , then breaking this level by open 4h or 1h candle below this easily to touch a support level (2) at 0.39 .
CORRECTIVE : the price corrective at 0.51, before dropping .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 0.56 , 0.61 , 0.65 .
SUPPORT LEVEL :0.44 ,0.39 .
Gold (08/07) Wide trading range in a week without important news☘️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices attracted some dip buyers near the $2,379-$2,378 region on Wednesday and rose to fresh daily highs heading into the European session. Weaker economic data from the United States in the coming weeks suggested that the world’s largest economy is slowing faster than initially expected. This, in turn, fueled speculations of more rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed), acting as a boost for the non-yielding yellow metal.
In addition, concerns over an economic slowdown in China and the risk of escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East also provided additional support for safe-haven gold. However, strong demand for the US dollar (USD), fueled by a further recovery in US Treasury yields, coupled with a generally positive risk sentiment, could keep a lid on any meaningful upside move for XAU/USD.
☘️Technical Analysis
There is not much important news this week so gold is trading in a wide sideway range. The two EMA lines are still showing that the sellers are dominating the market. The RSI in the short-term frame also wants to show that the recovery of gold is being limited by the RSI 50 level. In short-term time frames such as h1 h4, gold is in a downtrend and is ready for deeper pullbacks to the support zone of 2370-2355. The important level in the sideway range will be around 2415, the peak that gold reached yesterday. Breaking the level will form a new structure for the market.
On days when there is no news that has a big impact on the market, we can identify price range zones to trade.
Support: 2386 - 2381 - 2375 - 2366
Resistance: 2405 - 2415 - 2426 - 2430
☘️Trading signals
SELL zone 2414 - 2416 stoploss 2420
SELL zone 2428 - 2430 stoploss 2434
BUY zone 2365 - 2367 stoploss 2361
BUY zone 2347 - 2345 stoploss 2341
Gold (08/06) recovers after sharp correction☘️Gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to capitalize on the previous day’s nice bounce from the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) support around the $2,365-2,364 region. The decline was supported by some buying in the US Dollar (USD), fueled by rising US Treasury yields and risk-on sentiment, dragging the safe-haven precious metal below the $2,400 level.
Expectations of more rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep a lid on US bond yields and the greenback. Moreover, geopolitical risks stemming from ongoing conflicts in the Middle East could further limit the downside in Gold prices. This, in turn, warrants some caution before positioning for an extension of last week’s pullback from near all-time highs amid the absence of relevant US economic releases.
☘️Technical Analysis
After retesting the important resistance zone around 2416, gold formed a bearish wave structure. The recovery of gold at 2416 has an important meaning when touching the fibonacci zone 0.5, which is also a retest of the two EMA lines 34 and EMA 89. When the candlestick force is not strong enough to break the two EMA lines to reverse the trend, the bearish structure will continue strongly. The support zone 2365 will only act as a small barrier before gold retreats to deeper support zones around 2350 and 2337.
When all 5 waves are completed, the recovery can completely surpass the all-time high when new economic cycles are formed at the end of this year.
Support: 2396 -2385 - 2365-2350
Resistance: 2412 -2418 - 2426 - 2433 - 2440
SELL zone 2426 - 2428 stoploss 2432
BUY zone 2386 - 2384 stoploss 2380
BUY zone 2375 - 2373 stoploss 2369
GOLD ( INSIDE ASCENDING CHANNEL ) ( 4H )XAUUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency, the price is under down ward pressure , until trade below turning level at 2,420$.
Upward Zone : In order to see an increase, the price needs to break the turning level at 2,420$ , to reach resistance levels (1) around 2,440$ , then breaking resistance level (1) by open 4h candle above it indicates to reach of a resistance level (2) at 2,460$ , then stabilizing above resistance level (2) indicates to reach of a resistance level (3) at 2,82$ ,a strong resistance level selling have already in crease this level .
Downward Zone: Provided until the prices trade below the turning level, it indicates a reach of the support level (1) at 2,391$, then breaking this level with a 4h or 1h open candle below is likely to reach the support level (2) at 2,367$ , this two level called support zone it is very strong zone because inside accumulation area .
Corrective level :Price may make a correction at 2,420$ , before dropping .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 2,440$, 2,460$ , 2,482$.
SUPPORT LEVEL : 2,391$ , 2,367$ , 2,337$.
GBPJPY ( UNDER STRONG DOWNWARD PRESSURE ) ( 4H )GBPJPY
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure , until trading below turning level at 183.919 .
TURNING LEVEL : the price of this level at 183.919 , so until the price trade below this level indicates likely to reach a support level (1) , but if the breaking by open 4h candle above this level reach a resistance level (1) .
RESISTANCE ZONE : this zone between 191.007 and 198.018 , in order to see this zone the price need breaking turning level at 183.919 , breaking this price indicates an increase and reaching the resistance level (1) at 191.007 , then stabilizing above resistance level (1) likely to reach of a resistance level (2) at 198.018 , after breaking this zone it will be attempt to reach resistance level (3) at 203.869 , selling have already increase in this zone .
SUPPORT ZONE : this zone between 180.401 & 177.400 , until the price trading below turning level or stabilizing below this level indicates to reach of a support level (1) at 180.401 , by open 4h or 1h candle below support level (1) , it indicates to reaching support level (2) around 177.400 .
CORRECTIVE : the price corrective at 183.919 , before dropping .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 191.007 , 198.018, 203.869 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 180.401 , 177.400 .
USOIL ( BREAKOUT DESCINDIN CHANNEL ) (4H)USOIL
Tendency, the price is under down ward pressure , until trade below 74.22 .
Upward zone : In order to see an increase, the price needs to breaking the turning level at 74.22 , to reach resistance levels (1) around 77.06 , then breaking resistance level (1) it indicates to reach of a resistance level (2) at 78.89 .
Downward zone: Provided until the prices trade below the turning level, it indicates a reach of the support level (1) at 71.55 , then breaking this level with a 4h or 1h open candle below is likely to reach the support level (2) at 69.30 , the breaking this level reach a next level at 67.93
Corrective level :Price may make a correction at 74.22, before dropping .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 77.06 , 78.89.
SUPPORT LEVEL : 71.55 , 69.30 , 67.93 .
NAS100USD ( BREAKOUT DESCINDING & ASCENDING CHANNEL ) ( 4H )NAS100USD
Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure , until trading below 18,244 .
TURNING LEVEL : the price of this level at 18,244 , so as long as the price trade below this level indicates likely to reach a support level (1) , but if the breaking by open 4h candle above this level reach a resistance level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 18,698 , for reach this resistance level the price need breaking turning level , indicates have good selling in this level .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 19,112 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1) .
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 17,435, for reach this support level the price need stabilizing below turning level , indicates have good buying in this level .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 17,047 , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
CORRECTIVE : the price corrective at 18,244 , before dropping .
PRICE MOVEMENT : currently price 18.037 , my be the price first thing corrective turning level , as long as until the price trade below turning level at 18,244 , it will be trying to reach support level (1) , then breaking by open 4h or 1h candle below this level , indicates to reach a support level (1) , if the price breaking turning level by open 4h or 1h candle easily to reach of resistance level (1) .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 18,698 , 19,112 .
SUPPORT LEVEL :17,435 ,18,239 .
Gold is in a free stateWorld gold price is at 2,415 USD/ounce, down sharply by 20 USD/ounce compared to the same morning. Yesterday, gold was sold on a large scale, causing the price of this precious metal to drop sharply to only 2,364 USD/ounce. However, gold regained its speed quickly and recovered to the price range above the important level of 2,400 USD.
Although considered a safe haven in times of uncertainty, experts said gold was not immune to reselling on Monday as advisors sold assets on a large scale. According to Kitco Metals senior analyst Jim Wycoff, investors are scared and they are selling what they can, including gold and silver.
Although it has dropped sharply, according to experts, in the short term, factors supporting gold prices such as persistent economic and political instability as well as expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut Interest rates will help get back up to speed faster.
AUDUSD trading scalpingAustralian Dollar declines due to increased risk aversion, awaits US Services PMI
The Australian Dollar declines following the soft Purchasing Managers Index data release on Monday. Australia Composite PMI fell to 49.9 in July from 50.2 in June, with Services PMI decreasing to 50.4 from 51.8. The US Dollar lost ground as recent downbeat employment data boosted expectations of a Fed rate cut in September.
BUY AUDUSD now zone 0.64300-0.64100
↠ Stoploss 0.63900
→ Take Profit 1 0.64600
→ Take Profit 2 0.65300
EURGBP: Pullback From Key Level 🇪🇺🇬🇧
I think that EURGBP may retrace from a key daily horizontal resistance.
After its test, the pair broke and closed below a support line
of a rising parallel channel on an hourly time frame.
The market may reach 0.8544 level soon.
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USDCAD Scalping signalsUSD/CAD holds below 1.3900 on dovish Fed bets, eyes on US PMI data
USD/CAD trades with mild gains 1.3880 in Monday’s early European session. The uptick of the pair is bolstered by the risk-off sentiment. Traders expect one more 25 bps rate cut by the BoC in its September meeting.
BUY USDCAD now zone 0.38700-0.38500
↠ Stoploss 0.38300
→ Take Profit 1 0.39000
→ Take Profit 2 0.39700
GBPUSD scalping signalsGBP/USD: Bulls push to test the 1.2840 resistance
Instead of continuing to rise, the Pound Sterling (GBP) is more likely to trade in a range between 1.2740 and 1.2840. Downward momentum has slowed; any further GBP weakness is likely limited to a retest of the 1.2710 level, UOB Group FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.
SELL Scalping zone SELL GBPUSD now zone 1.28000-1.28200
↠ Stoploss 1.28400
→ Take Profit 1 1.27700
→ Take Profit 2 1.27000
Good luck everyone