EURUSD Analysis week 32Fundamental Analysis
EUR/USD gained on Friday after the Greenback was weakened by the poor US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data.
With the US economic data turning sour, investors extended their losses for two days on growing concerns about a broader recession in the domestic US economy, triggering a flight from risk assets and sending equity indices sharply lower.
Next week, the US will see the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for July on Monday. Euro-wide retail sales for the year ending June are scheduled for release early Tuesday. This will give us a clearer picture of the current stage of the currency market.
Technical Analysis
GBPUSD formed a wide range after the NF release with the nearest support resistance in the range of 1.094 and 1.082. On the H4 timeframe, EMA 34 is looking to surpass EMA 89 to escape the short-term downtrend of the past week. Specifically, it proves that the price line has broken out of the downtrend line. The uptrend may face the highest resistance at 1.098 when the price breaks out of the immediate resistance at 1.094. On the other hand, recovery is necessary in an uptrend. The price trend may retest the broken trend zone around 1.083 after some investors take profit. If the downtrend is established, the strong support zone next week will be 1.075.
Resistance: 1.094-1.098
Support: 1.083-1.075
Trading Signals
BUY EURUSD zone 1.075-1.073 Stoploss 1.071
SELL GBPUSD zone 1.098-1.100 Stoploss 1.102
Tradingsignals
GOLD ( SENSITIVE WEEKLY ) (1D)XAUUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Fundamental : due to the fight in the middle east , gold prices complete instability .
Tendency, the price under bullish pressure , until trade below 2,427$ .
Upward Zone : In order to see an increase, as long as the price trade turning level at 2,427$, it indicates a reach of resistance levels (1) at 2,482$ , then as it stabilizes on the turning level we may see new resistance zones around 2,520$ and 2,560$ .
Downward Zone: by breaking turning level by open 1d candle below this level , it indicates a reach of the support level (1) at 2,364$, then stabilizing below this level is likely to reach the support level (2) at 2,297 .
Corrective Level :Price may make a correction at 2,427$ , before rising .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 2,482$ , 2,520$ , 2,560$ .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 2,364$ , 2,297$ .
USDJPY ( BREAKOUT DESCENDING CHANNEL ) (4H)USDJPY
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency, the price is under down ward pressure , until trade below turning level at 144.502.
Upward Zone : In order to see an increase, the price needs to break the turning level at 144.502 , to reach resistance levels (1) around 149.479 , then breaking resistance level (1) by open 4h candle above it indicates to reach of a resistance level (2) at 154.775 , then stabilizing above resistance level (2) indicates to reach of a resistance level (3) at 158.627 a strong resistance level selling have already in crease this level .
Downward Zone: Provided until the prices trade below the turning level, it indicates a reach of the support level (1) at 140.377, then breaking this level with a 4h or 1h open candle below is likely to reach the support level (2) at 137.684 , this two level called support zone it is very strong zone because inside accumulation area .
Corrective level :Price may make a correction at 144.502 , before dropping .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 149.479 , 154.775 , 158.627 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 140.377 , 137.684 .
GBPUSD ( INSIDE DESCENDING CHANNEL ) (4H)GBPUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency, the price is under down ward pressure , until trade below turning level at 1.281 .
Upward Zone : In order to see an increase, the price needs to break the turning level at 1.281 , to reach resistance levels (1) around 1.285 , then breaking resistance level (1) it indicates to reach of a resistance level (2) at 1.293 , then stabilizing above resistance level (2) indicates to reach of a resistance level (3) at 1.303 a strong resistance level inside strong supply zone .
Downward Zone: Provided until the prices trade below the turning level, it indicates a reach of the support level (1) at 1.270, then breaking this level with a 4h or 1h open candle below is likely to reach the support level (2) at 1.262 , this two level called support zone it is very strong zone because inside accumulation area .
Corrective level :Price may make a correction at 1.281 , before dropping .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.285 , 1.293 , 1.303 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.270 , 1.262 .
NAS100USD ( FALLING 600 POINT AND BREAKOUT TWO CHANNEL ) (4H) NAS100USD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency, the price is under down ward pressure , until trade below 17,806 .
Upward zone : In order to see an increase, the price needs to break the turning level at 17,806 , to reach resistance levels (1) around 18,694 , then breaking resistance level (1) it indicates to reach of a resistance level (2) at 19,536 .
Downward zone: Provided until the prices trade below the turning level, it indicates a reach of the support level (1) at 17,320, then breaking this level with a 4h or 1h open candle below is likely to reach the support level (2) at 16,996 .
Corrective level :Price may make a correction at 17,806 , before dropping .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 18,694 , 19,536 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 17,320 , 16,996 .
NAS100USD (STRONG BEARISH ) (4H)NAS100USD
Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure , until trading below 18,912 .
TURNING LEVEL : the price of this level at 18,912 , so as long as the price trade below this level indicates likely to reach a support level (1) , but if the breaking by open 4h candle above this level reach a resistance level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 19,237 , for reach this resistance level the price need breaking turning level , indicates have good selling in this level .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 19,638 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1).
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 18,481, for reach this support level the price need stabilizing below turning level , indicates have good buying in this level .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 18,239 , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
CORRECTIVE : the price corrective at 18,912 , before dropping .
PRICE MOVEMENT : currently price 18,582 ,my be the price first thing corrective turning level , as long as until the price trade below turning level at 18,912 , it will be trying to reach support level (1) , breaking this level by open 4h or 1h candle above this level , indicates to reach a resistance level (1) .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL :19,237 , 19,638 .
SUPPORT LEVEL :18,481 ,18,239 .
The Fed is planning to cut interest rates in SeptemberWorld gold prices have skyrocketed amid the danger of escalating conflicts in the Middle East and US Federal Reserve (FED) Chairman Jerome Powell gave a signal after today's Fed meeting via the Chinese bank. The US is ready to rotate monetary policy if the inflation rate continues to decline in focus.
After a 2-day policy review, the Fed decided to keep interest rates unchanged at the expected level at 5.25-5.5%.
Besides, at the press conference after the Fed meeting, Mr. Powell aroused consultants' hopes about the ability to provide monetary policy at the upcoming September meeting. He said that if data continues to provide confidence that inflation is slowing toward its 2% target, the Fed may be ready to act.
Gold August 2. Approaching all-time high🌿Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices showed absolute strength in the European session on Friday ahead of the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data for July. The official jobs data will indicate the current state of the labor market, which will influence market speculation about the US Federal Reserve (Fed) cutting interest rates in September.
Investors will also focus on Average Hourly Earnings data, a key measure of wage growth that boosts consumer spending and ultimately drives price pressures.
Meanwhile, the deepening risk of an all-out war between Iran and Israel has improved Gold’s appeal as a safe haven. Iran has vowed to retaliate for the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh with an Israeli airstrike in Tehran.
🌿Technical Analysis
In terms of Elliot wave, Gold may have formed wave 5 and is trading in an abc recovery wave. or a recovery could occur after Nonfarm pushing gold prices to the 2442-2430-2422 support zone to continue to return to wave 5 to break the all-time high.
The 14-day relative strength index (RSI) is rising to near 60.00. If RSI rises above that level, the momentum will continue to increase strongly.
We will wait for recovery waves to buy gold today, or look for resistance zones to catch the recovery wave.
SELL zone 2472 - 2474 SL 2478
SELL zone 2482-2484 SL 2487
BUY zone 2433 - 2431 SL 2427
BUY zone 2422 - 2420 SL 2416
Gold benefits after FOMC announcement☘️Fundamental analysis
Gold prices hovered around the $2,450 region on Thursday and are currently trading just below a two-week high. Traders were bullish amid the prospect of the Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-cutting cycle coming to a head, underpinning the yellow metal without yield.
Bets were reaffirmed by the Fed’s relatively dovish outlook on Wednesday, which sent US Treasury yields to multi-month lows and boosted the US Dollar (USD). Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East also added to the upside. Positive Outlook for Safe-haven Gold That said, the risk-on tone is generally seen as a drag and cap on XAU/USD.
☘️Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, the breakout above the 2430 resistance last night has officially put gold in the bullish phase of wave 3 of the Elliot Wave pattern. Furthermore, if there is a move above 2450, a return to the old highs is not far away. Hence, some further strength towards the next relevant hurdle near the $2,468-2,469 region, en route to $2,483-2,484.
On the other hand, today’s Asian low, around the $2,437 region, now seems to protect the immediate downside ahead of the $2,432 region. Any further declines can now be viewed as buying opportunities and remain capped near the resistance breakout point of $2,413-2,412.
The RSI is in the overbought zone, indicating that buying interest is still high and the possibility of a push higher for gold remains in favor. The bullish channel is still holding strong with major support around 2422. The two EMAs are expanding with EMA 34 above EMA 89. Overall the market is still in a strong uptrend and we will wait for recovery points to BUY.
Resistance: 2452 - 2459 - 2464 - 2475
Support: 2433 - 2425 - 2420 - 2412
SELL zone 2472 - 2474 stoploss 2478
BUY zone 2433 - 2431 stoploss 2427
BUY zone 2422 - 2420 stoploss 2416
EURUSD Trading signalsBUY EURUSD now zone 1.08300-1.08100
↠ Stoploss 1.07900
→ Take Profit 1 1.08600
→ Take Profit 2 1.09300
EURUSD pair price is at the upper boundary of the price range.
After some CPI data released, the pair has a tendency to break the resistance level and close the m30 candle above the trendline resistance area.
The pair is still creating Dow to break out of the price range and form a short-term uptrend.
Find the bottom of AUDUSDThe Australian Dollar trades around 0.6500 on Wednesday. The daily chart analysis shows that the AUD/USD pair has broken below a descending channel. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering near the oversold 30 level, indicating a potential upward correction soon.
Immediate support for the AUD/USD pair is around the throwback support around the 0.6470 level.
On the upside, key resistance is around the “throwback support turned resistance” at 0.6575, aligned with the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.6581. A break above this level could lead the AUD/USD pair to test the psychological level of 0.6600, with a potential aim for a six-month high of 0.6798.
BUY NZDUSD zone 0.59100-0.58900
↠ Stoploss 0.58700
→ Take Profit 1 0.59400
→ Take Profit 2 0.60100
ETH ForecastTrend Channels and Correction: There are two distinct descending trend channels visible on the chart. Currently, the price is near the lower boundary of these channels and might make an upward correction. This correction could aim towards the resistance levels marked above.
Fibonacci Levels: The price appears to have touched the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at the 2,914.76 level. A reaction from this level is likely, and the price could move upwards to test the resistance levels.
Support and Resistance Levels: Several important support and resistance levels are drawn on the chart:
Resistance Levels: 3,125.86, 3,232.67, 3,306.00, 3,390.57, and 3,581.27.
Support Level: 2,914.76.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI indicator is close to the oversold region. This suggests that the price might soon experience an upward recovery.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD indicator might be signaling a potential upward reversal.
Conclusion:
The Ethereum price could potentially rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel and initiate an upward movement. The first target for this upward movement could be the 3,125.86 resistance level. If it can break this level, it may test the 3,232.67 and 3,306.00 resistance levels subsequently. However, market conditions and the overall trend should be considered, and risk management is essential.
GOLD ( UNDER BULLISH PRESSURE ) (4H)XAUUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price is under bullish pressure , until trading above 2,421$ .
TURNING LEVEL : the price of this level at 2,421$ , so as long as the price trade above this level indicates likely to reach a resistance level (1) , but if the breaking by open 4h candle below this level reach a support level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 2,447$ , for reach this resistance level the price need stabilizing above a turning level , indicates have good selling in this level .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 2,474$ , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1)
RESISTANCE LEVEL (3) : around 2,500 , this level it is a historical peaks , for reach this level the price needed breaking turning level (2) .
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 2,391$ , for reach this support level the price need breaking a turning level , indicates have good buying in this level .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 2,365$ , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
PRICE MOVEMENT : currently price 2,435$ , as long as the price trading above turning level , indicates to reach a resistance level (1) , then breaking this level likely to reach resistance level (2) , by breaking turning level indicates likely to reach support level (1) .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 2,447$ , 2,474$ , 2,500$ .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 2,391$ , 2,365$ .
GBPUSD ( BREAKING EACH TURNING LEVEL DETERMINE DIRECTION ) (4H)GBPUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price inside two turning level around 1.273 & 1.278 .
TURNING LEVEL (1) : the price of this level at 1.278 , so if the price breaking this level reach a resistance level (1) .
TURNING LEVEL (2) : the price of this level at 1.273 , so if the price breaking this level reach a support level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 1.283 , for reach this resistance level the price need breaking a turning level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 1.292 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1)
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 1.266 , for reach this support level the price need breaking a turning level (2) .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 1.261 , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
CORRECTIVE LEVEL : currently price 1.274 , have two scenario , first corrective turning level (1), before dropping to touch a turning level (2) , then breaking this level reach a support level (1), second corrective turning level (2) , to reach a turning level (1) , then breaking this level reach a resistance level (1).
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.283 , 1.292 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.266 , 1.261 .
XRPUSDT ( INSIDE SENSITVIE AREA ) (4H)XRPUSDT
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price inside two turning level around 0.58 & 0.56 .
TURNING LEVEL (1) : the price of this level at 0.58, so if the price breaking this level reach a resistance level (1) .
TURNING LEVEL (2) : the price of this level at 0.56 , so if the price breaking this level reach a support level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 0.60, for reach this resistance level the price need breaking a turning level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 0.65 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1)
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around O.51 , for reach this support level the price need breaking a turning level (2) .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 0.47 , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
CORRECTIVE LEVEL : currently price 0.57 , have two scenario , first corrective turning level (1), before dropping to touch a turning level (2) , then breaking this level reach a support level (1), second corrective turning level (2) , to reach a turning level (1) , then breaking this level reach a resistance level (1).
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 0.60 , 0.65 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 0.51 , 0.47 .
BITCOIN ( BETWEEN TWO TURNING LEVEL ) (4H)BITCOIN
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price inside two turning level around 65,707 & 63,416 .
TURNING LEVEL (1) : the price of this level at 65,707 , so if the price breaking this level reach a resistance level (1) .
TURNING LEVEL (2) : the price of this level at 63,416 , so if the price breaking this level reach a support level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 68,199 , for reach this resistance level the price need breaking a turning level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 69,602 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1)
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 60,065 , for reach this support level the price need breaking a turning level (2) .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 58,203 , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
CORRECTIVE LEVEL : currently price 64,819 , have two scenario , first corrective turning level (1), before dropping to touch a turning level (2) , then breaking this level reach a support level (1), second corrective turning level (2) , to reach a turning level (1) , then breaking this level reach a resistance level (1).
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 68,199 , 69,602 .
SUPPORT LEVEL :60,065 , 58,203 .
Gold forms wave 5 of the Elliot wave☘️Fundamental analysis
At the beginning of the Asian trading session on July 25, gold fell deeper than 1%, as of the time this article was completed, gold was trading at 2,372 USD, equivalent to a decrease of 25Dollar during the day.
But times have changed and things have changed now so I changed my mind. The Fed should cut interest rates, preferably at its interest rate meeting next week.
Gold traders are now awaiting second-quarter US GDP data today (Thursday), as well as the latest personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index on Friday, as this is the gauge Fed's preferred inflation.
Although gold has been supported by news from India that has reduced import tax on gold and silver from 15% to 6%. But the main reason why gold prices are still being sold off is partly due to profit-taking motivation, and a Partly because Trump's victory will support the Dollar, Trump is known as the President with a harsh tariff stance.
The main factor currently supporting gold prices is market expectations that the Federal Reserve may actually decide to cut interest rates before September.
☘️Technical analysis
After reaching the 0.5 Fibo retracement zone of the gold downtrend, wave 5 has formed and we are waiting for the end of wave 5 to catch the recovery wave. Note support points to BUY around 2363-2362. If this price range is broken, the next strong support zone is around 2350.
Gold has formed a falling price channel with key resistance levels at 2384 and 2400. Today's price range zones are used to trade news and enter orders when the signal touches an important price zone.
Trading signals
SELL zone 2398 - 2400 Stoploss 2404
SELL zone 2382-2384 stoploss 2387
BUY zone 2364 - 2362 stoploss 2358
BUY zone 2352 - 2350 stoploss 2346
Wishing you a successful trading day
Waiting for recovery to buy✨Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices extended gains and traded near the psychological 2400 level. The US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index data released on Friday showed a modest increase in inflation in June and raised expectations of the imminent start of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate cutting cycle. This led to further declines in US Treasury yields, which also supported gold prices.
Traders also preferred to wait for the outcome of the two-day Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Wednesday. This, along with important US macroeconomic data scheduled at the beginning of the new month, including the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, will provide fresh impetus to gold.
✨Technical Analysis
Buyers are struggling to capitalize on the bullishness in the European session to push gold towards the 2,400 level. Meanwhile, the momentum above the $2,400 round figure is likely to face some resistance near the 2,408 area, around the $2,432 area.
On the other side. The immediate support that gold receives is around the 2,382-2,380 level. Weakness below $2,380 may be more unlikely to push the price back to the breakout zone, currently anchored near the $2,360-2,359 area.
The bullish trend is preferred by investors and they are waiting for a nice retest to get a BUY signal in line with the main trend of the market.
Resistance: 2408 - 2431
Support: 2382 - 2365
SELL price range 2408-2410 Stoploss 2413
BUY price range 2380 - 2382 stoploss 2377
NAS100USD ( BREAKOUT DESCINDING CHANNEL ) (4H)NAS100USD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price is under bullish pressure , after breakout descending channel .
TURNING LEVEL : the price of this level around 19,114 , as mentioned after the price trading above this level reach a resistance level (1) , yesterday reach target +440pip , may be the price it will attempt to reach this level before rising , but if the breaking 18,956 by open 4h candle below this level indicates likely to reach support level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 19,529 , for reach this resistance level the price need trading above 19,114 , indicates have good selling in this level
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 19,826 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1)
RESISTANCE LEVEL (3) : around 20,217 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 1D candle above resistance level (2) , indicates have very strong sells in this level .
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 18,627, for reach this support level the price need breaking a turning level , indicates have good buying in this level .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 18,240 , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
MY GOALS : resistance level (2) at 19,826.
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 19,529 , 19,826 , 20,217 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 18,627 , 18,240 .
XAUUSD : Gold continues to rise strongly againGold prices continued to expand their gains thanks to safe-haven demand amid concerns over escalating tensions following the assassination of a Hamas leader in Iran. The war in Gaza and the deepening conflict in Lebanon have left the entire region in turmoil.
In particular, the rise of this precious metal was further boosted when US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell hinted that a rate cut could be discussed as early as September if inflation remains in line with expectations.
As expected, the Fed decided to keep interest rates unchanged at this meeting. However, Mr. Powell raised investors' hopes for a possible rate cut at the September meeting. He said that policymakers are increasingly confident that inflation is moving towards the 2% target.