Gold is supported to increase☘️Fundamental Analysis:
Gold prices are rising above $2,420 on Wednesday, reversing an intraday decline to $2,400. Israel’s attack on the Lebanese capital in retaliation for a rocket attack in the Golan Heights on Saturday has raised the risk of further escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
In addition, the outlook for sluggish global economic growth and the further retreat of the US Dollar (USD) from a near three-week high hit on Tuesday are in the gold’s favor. However, bulls may refrain from placing aggressive bets and prefer to wait for further signals on the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate cut path. Therefore, the focus will remain on the outcome of the two-day Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, scheduled to take place later today. This, along with geopolitical developments, will determine the trajectory for gold.
☘️Technical Analysis:
From a technical perspective, the recent rebound from the vicinity of $2,350 or the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) support and the subsequent move above $2,400 favors bullish traders. Moreover, the oscillators on the daily chart have started to gain positive traction and support the further upside outlook. Moreover, the strength to break above the $2,412-2,413 zone reaffirms the positive outlook and would now lift Gold prices towards last week’s high around $2,432. Sustained strength to break above the latter zone would suggest that the corrective decline from the all-time high reached earlier this month is over.
On the other hand, the $2,400 mark now looks to protect the immediate downside ahead of the $2,388-2,390 zone below which gold could slide back to the 50-day SMA, currently anchored near the $2,359 zone. A convincing break through the latter zone, leading to a further decline below last week’s low, around the $2,353 zone, would be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders and leave XAU/USD vulnerable.
Resistance: 2429 - 2433 - 2459
Support: 2400 - 2392 - 2388
SELL price zone 2431 - 2433 stoploss 2437
BUY price zone 2391 - 2389 stoploss 2385
BUY scalp price zone 2399 - 2397 stoploss 2394
Tradingsignals
EURUSD Analysis week 31🌐Fundamental Analysis
After recovering to 1.0870 early Thursday, EUR/USD lost momentum and closed the trading day almost unchanged at just higher 1.0850 as the US Dollar (USD) benefited from upbeat data releases. Although risk sentiment appeared to be improving early Friday, the Euro struggled to attract buyers.
Next week, the key EU-wide Harmonized Consumer Price Index (HICP) inflation figures will drop on Wednesday, giving investors a clear picture of when they can expect the ECB to cut interest rates next after policymakers cut by 25 basis points in June. EU-wide HICP inflation for the year ending July is expected to have eased to 2.3% from 2.5% YoY.
On the US side, the Fed will also deliver its latest rate call, which is expected on Wednesday. The US central bank is widely expected to keep rates on hold in July, but investors will be watching for any major changes in policy makers’ rhetoric. Next Friday will also see the US Non-Farm Payrolls, a key data point for pricing in the possibility of a September rate hike.
🕯Technical Analysis:
EURUSD remains in an uptrend, with a clear formation of wave 5 of the Elliot Wave pattern with technical support at 1.085-1.083. In the event of a completed wave 5, the pair could top around 1.100.
EURUSD is hesitating around the EMA 34 and EMA 89, although showing an uptrend, the narrowing of the EMAs also increases the possibility of a trend reversal. RSI is trading below 50 but still above the 14-day moving average. This shows that investors are hesitant to choose sides at the moment. The upside is still in favor of investors who prefer wave trading.
The support level of 1.084 is the key zone that determines the trend of the currency pair. If the structure is broken to move to the lower support zone, 1.077 will be the immediate area to play a role. On the other side, the first price reaction can be considered at the top resistance of 1.095, the highest level can be 1.100, the end of the wave pattern can be at Fibonacci 1.272
Resistance: 1.095-1.100
Support: 1.283-1.276
📈Trading signals📉
SELL GBPUSD zone 1.100-1.102 Stoploss 1.104
BUY GBPUSD zone 1.076-1.274 Stoploss 1.272
Gold hesitates around the round port level of 2400☘️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices attracted some buying on Tuesday, although they remained confined within the previous day’s wider trading range and below the $2,400 mark. A weaker tone in equity markets, coupled with geopolitical risks stemming from conflicts in the Middle East, turned out to be key factors supporting the safe-haven commodity. Moreover, growing acceptance that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin its rate-cutting cycle in September should continue to benefit gold bulls.
The focus will remain on the outcome of the two-day Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Wednesday. This, along with key US macro data, including Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, will influence the USD and XAU/USD price dynamics. This makes the case for buying gold after the pullback from the all-time high more deliberate
☘️Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, the failure to accept the level above 2,400 and the subsequent decline requires caution before positioning for any meaningful upside. Gold is trading in a descending channel and the immediate resistance is around 2,392. If this zone is broken, the round-robin resistance around 2,400 will act as a brake on any rapid upside. Some further buying could push gold towards 2,409 and 2,431, helping gold regain its bullish position. On the other hand, some selling could push gold towards the lower boundary of the descending channel. The support level at 2,367 acts as the first hurdle before gold retraces to the monthly low around 2,350.
RSI on the lower time frames is showing that buying is still strong. Combined with the two tight EMA 34 and EMA 89 lines, it can be seen that the upward trajectory will be more favored by investors at the present time.
Resistance: 2400 - 2407 - 2412 - 2418
Support: 2376 - 2367 - 2361 - 2353
SELL zone 2410 - 2412 Stoploss 2415
SELL zone 2430-2432 Stoploss 2435
BUY zone 2354 - 2352 Stoploss 2348
BUY zone 2367-2365 Stoploss 2362
GOLD (INSIDE ASCENDING CHANNEL ) (4H)XAUUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price is under bullish pressure , until trading above turning level at 2,386$ .
TURNING LEVEL (1) : this level around 2,386$ , the price trading above this level , indicates it will be trying to reach resistance level (1) , beware if the price breaking this level by open 4h candle below this reach a support level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 2,420$ , for reach this resistance level the price need breaking a turning level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 2,439$, for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1) .
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 2,365$, for reach this support level the price need breaking a turning level (2) .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 2,343$, for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
MY GOAL : resistance level (1) at 2,420$
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 2,420$ , 2,439$ .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 2,365$ , 2,343$.
LDO READY to MOVEHello,
Welcome to the quick update of LDOUSDT. It is showing positive signs after consolidating around 1.49 to 1.58.
We can go long on this with a short-term target of around $ 1.78 to $1.87 and a long-term target of $2.27 and STOPLOSS of 1.48
Until then, stay tuned and trade with caution, ensuring strict STOPLOSSES!!
This is not financial advice, please do your research before investing, as we are not responsible for any of your losses or profits.
Please like, share, and comment on this idea if you liked it.
NZDCAD: Bullish Sentiment Confirmed?! 🇳🇿🇨🇦
NZDCAD has a nice potential to grow after a test of a major rising trend line on a daily.
I see a clear sign of strength of the buyers on a 4H time frame with a double bottom formation
and a confirmed change of character.
I think that the pair will reach 0.82 level soon.
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THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Yesterday we said we'd stick with the plan and continue to move with the market upside suggesting traders hold their longs from below and then add level to level trades. This has worked well for us again today, completing our Excalibur target upside and the hotspot in Camelot as well as the one we had shared with you all in the wider community. Although a little choppy, it's a clean structure.
Now we are here we have support below at the 2395 region, which could be a target level for the pullback. This level however is now on the flip and will need to hold the price up for us to continue higher into the regions 2415-20 initially and on the break we'll be looking at 2450 as the extension of the move. The problem we have now is the whipsaw that is expected during FOMC, and with it being the last trading day of the month tomorrow.
For now, a slight tap and bounce from the region, if you're in lets see if we get the pullback and where we close.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAU awaits Fed decision for fresh impetusGold (XAU/USD) struggled to stay above $2,400 and attracted some selling pressure during Monday’s trading session due to strong demand for the US dollar. Risk sentiment was also seen as a factor weighing on the safe-haven precious metal. However, geopolitical risks from ongoing conflicts in the Middle East provided some support for gold.
Meanwhile, growing expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will start cutting interest rates in September, reinforced by Friday’s US inflation report, limited the USD’s gains and helped limit the decline in gold. Moreover, traders opted to wait for the outcome of the two-day Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting ending on Wednesday.
Investors will continue to monitor the Bank of Japan (BoJ) decision on Wednesday, the Bank of England (BoE) meeting on Thursday and key US macro releases, including the non-farm payrolls (NFP) report on Friday, this week. In addition, other economic data scheduled early in the new month will provide more information on the health of the global economy and determine the next direction for gold prices.
EURUSD ( STABILIZING BELOW TURNING LEVEL ) (4H)EURUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure , until trading below 1.084 .
TURNING LEVEL : the price of this level at 1.084 , as long as the price trading below this level reach a support level (1) , but if breaking by open 4h candle above this level reach a resistance level (1)
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 1.088 , for reach this resistance level the price need breaking a turning level
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 1.094 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1)
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 1.079, for reach this support level the price need stabilizing below turning level
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 1.076 , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1)
PRICE MOVEMENT : currently price 1.083 , as long as the price trading below this level reach a support level (1) , but by breaking this level by open 4h candle above this reach a resistance level (1) ,
MY GOAL : support level (1) at 1.079 .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.088 , 1.094 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.079 , 1.076 .
GBPUSD analysis week 31Fundamental Analysis
GBP/USD plunged on Friday, as the pound was weighed down by broad market expectations of a rate cut by the Bank of England (BoE) next week. This sent GBPUSD further lower to above 1.286.
The UK’s benchmark interest rate is expected to be cut by 25 basis points to 5.0% from the current 5.25%. The Federal Reserve (Fed) will next deliver its rate call in July, and investors are generally expecting the US central bank to leave rates unchanged at one more meeting before starting its rate-cutting cycle in September. In addition, short-term PCE inflation accelerated month-on-month in June, rising to 0.2% versus forecasts of 0.1%.
Technical Analysis
GBPUSD remains in an uptrend, The decline last week is the perfect catalyst for the uptrend to continue in the coming period. The momentum shows that buyers are still in control, as depicted by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) which is still holding above 50.
GBPUSD is supported at the 34 EMA and has responded at 1.285. The next support zone is around the EMA89 with the gap filling at 1.278. These are two important price zones that GBPUSD needs to hold to maintain the uptrend in the price channel. The bullish momentum will be reduced and could be ready for a reversal if sellers push the price to the 1.262 support zone.
On the other side of the bullish trend, GBPUSD could push back to the old high of two weeks ago around 1.305 and at the highest it could touch the upper border of the rising channel around the resistance level of 1.315.
Resistance: 1.305-1.314
Support: 1.285-1.278
Trading Signals
SELL GBPUSD zone 1.305-1.307 Stoploss 1.308
SELL GBPUSD zone 1.314-1.316 Stoploss 1.317
BUY GBPUSD zone 1.278-1.276 Stoploss 1.275
USDCAD trading signalsSELL USDCAD signal at the Fibonacci 1.618 resistance zone around 1.38500 to catch the recovery of wave 4 according to the Elliot wave model. The recovery point can be at the Fibonacci 1.0 zone, which coincides with the critical point of EMA 34.
Wishing you a successful trading day
XAUUSD : Gold is down but that is bullish momentumA drop below $2,380 could continue to attract buyers near the 50-day SMA, around $2,360-2,359. A break-down of the 50-day SMA would push the price towards the $2,350 support. The price could then continue to decline towards the 100-day SMA, around the $2,325-2,324 region. Further downside could see XAU/USD test the sub-$2,300 levels or the June 2024 low.
On the contrary, the bulls are struggling to capitalize on the upside momentum above $2,400. Meanwhile, if XAU/USD breaks out of the $2,400 pivot, it could face some resistance around $2,412. Gold prices could then climb to the intermediate resistance level of $2,469-2,470 and challenge the record high, around $2,483-2,484.
JTOUSDT TRADE SETUPHello Folks,
Welcome to the quick update of a new coin name JTOUSDT.
Today we saw JTO dump around 10% from the immediate resistance of 3.275.
Within few hours, buyers kicked in and pushed the price back to the same resistance. As of now, it is trading around 3.28. We can see JTOUSDT pump until 4.76 in a span of 5 to 10 days.
Entry-Exit levels:
Entry: 3.05 to 3.16
Target: 3.81 to 4.76
STOPLOSS: Below $3
Until then, stay tuned and trade with caution, ensuring strict STOPLOSSES!!
This is not financial advice, please do your research before investing, as we are not responsible for any of your losses or profits.
Please like, share, and comment on this idea if you liked it.
NZDCHF: Time For Pullback 🇳🇿🇨🇭
NZDCHF may bounce from a key daily historic support.
After its test, the price formed a cup & handle pattern on a 4H time frame
and broke its neckline with a bullish imbalance.
I expect a bullish move to a falling trend line.
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EURUSD trading signals✨EUR/USD is trading highs near 1.0850 during the European session on Thursday. The pair ignored risk-on market sentiment and dismal German IFO data, finding support from US dollar weakness. Traders are now looking to US Q2 GDP data for fresh guidance.
✨Technically EURUSD is in an uptrend. Our BUY signal is in the critical zone of the EMA combined with the Fibonacci 0.5 retracement level. The starting point of wave 5 of the Elliot wave model with the expectation that the currency pair will reach the resistance level at 1.1000 coincides with Fibonacci 1.272.
BUY EURUSD now zone 1.08500-1.08300
↠ Stoploss 1.08000
→ Take Profit 1 1.08800
→ Take Profit 2 1.09500
Gold Analysis July 26Fundamental Analysis:
Gold prices gained some positive momentum during the European session on Friday, seemingly snapping a two-day losing streak.
Better-than-expected US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data released on Thursday reinforced the view that the economy is holding up well.
Gold has shown resilience below the 34-day simple moving average (EMA) on the H1, amid expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin its rate-cutting cycle in September. However, upside momentum appears to be limited as traders await the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index later on Friday for further clues on the Fed's policy path.
Technical Analysis
Gold is trading in a narrow range ahead of the PCE data. Initial resistance is at 2373-2375, created by the trendline and the falling channel formed in the morning. If this price channel is broken, the SELL zone at 2385 and 2400 is formed at strong resistance. In the opposite direction, the support zone may sweep and the liquidity zone at 2353 and we can scalp around the 2350 zone. The support zone is stronger at 2333. Pay attention to the strong ports to have a suitable news trading strategy.
SELL zone 2400-2398 Stoploss 2404
SELL zone 2384-2386 Stoploss 2390
BUY zone 2335 - 2333 Stoploss 2330
BUY zone 2350-2348 Stoploss 2345
Eurusd trading analysis for this weak For this week, the EUR/USD pair is showing mixed signals. The pair experienced upward momentum due to recent data indicating stronger-than-expected economic performance in the Eurozone. However, the Federal Reserve's concerns about potential interest rate hikes are putting downward pressure on the pair. Traders should watch for key economic announcements, such as GDP and employment reports, which could influence the pair's movement. Support is around 1.1000, while resistance is near 1.1150. Monitoring market sentiment and global events that could impact the currency pair is crucial.
AUDUSD: Shorting After Breakout 🇦🇺🇺🇸
AUDUSD is retesting a recently broken horizontal support.
The price formed a rising wedge pattern after a breakout
and a double top formation after a retest.
Neckline and a trend line of both patterns are broken.
We can expect a bearish movement at least to 0.6537
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XAU/USD attracts some buyers near $2,400 as US PCE data Gold price (XAU/USD) edges higher to $2,395 during the early Asian trading hours on Monday. The yellow metal gains ground on the hope of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in September after cooling US inflation data. Investors will closely watch the Fed Interest Rate Decision on Wednesday, with no change in rate expected.
The recent evidence of progress on inflation has triggered expectations that the Fed would start easing monetary policy in September, which boosts the price of precious metals as lower interest rates generally reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion. Market analyst at forex.com, Fawad Razaqzada, said that the mixed-to-weaker US data on Friday indicated inflationary pressures and economic activity are waning, paving the way for the Fed to cut rates twice this year.
The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index increased 0.1% MoM and was up 2.5% YoY in June, in line with the market consensus, according to the Commerce Department. The year-over-year gain in May was 2.6%, while the monthly figure was unchanged.
Meanwhile, core PCE inflation, which excludes food and energy, rose to 0.2% MoM from 0.1% in May. The annual core PCE rose to 2.6% in the same period, compared to 2.5% in May. Both figures matched expectations. Investors are now pricing in nearly 90% odds of a Fed rate cut in September, followed by another cut in November and December, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
AUDUSD: Bearish Outlook For Next Week 🇦🇺🇺🇸
AUDUSD broke and closed below a key daily structure support.
After its violation, the pair started to recover steadily within
a rising wedge pattern.
Retesting the broken structure, the price formed a double top pattern.
After that, the market violated both the neckline of a double top and a trend line
of a rising wedge, giving us a strong bearish confirmation.
We can expect a bearish movement on Monday.
Goals: 0.6537 / 0.652
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