Gold (08/06) recovers after sharp correction☘️Gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to capitalize on the previous day’s nice bounce from the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) support around the $2,365-2,364 region. The decline was supported by some buying in the US Dollar (USD), fueled by rising US Treasury yields and risk-on sentiment, dragging the safe-haven precious metal below the $2,400 level.
Expectations of more rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep a lid on US bond yields and the greenback. Moreover, geopolitical risks stemming from ongoing conflicts in the Middle East could further limit the downside in Gold prices. This, in turn, warrants some caution before positioning for an extension of last week’s pullback from near all-time highs amid the absence of relevant US economic releases.
☘️Technical Analysis
After retesting the important resistance zone around 2416, gold formed a bearish wave structure. The recovery of gold at 2416 has an important meaning when touching the fibonacci zone 0.5, which is also a retest of the two EMA lines 34 and EMA 89. When the candlestick force is not strong enough to break the two EMA lines to reverse the trend, the bearish structure will continue strongly. The support zone 2365 will only act as a small barrier before gold retreats to deeper support zones around 2350 and 2337.
When all 5 waves are completed, the recovery can completely surpass the all-time high when new economic cycles are formed at the end of this year.
Support: 2396 -2385 - 2365-2350
Resistance: 2412 -2418 - 2426 - 2433 - 2440
SELL zone 2426 - 2428 stoploss 2432
BUY zone 2386 - 2384 stoploss 2380
BUY zone 2375 - 2373 stoploss 2369
Tradingsignals
GOLD ( INSIDE ASCENDING CHANNEL ) ( 4H )XAUUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency, the price is under down ward pressure , until trade below turning level at 2,420$.
Upward Zone : In order to see an increase, the price needs to break the turning level at 2,420$ , to reach resistance levels (1) around 2,440$ , then breaking resistance level (1) by open 4h candle above it indicates to reach of a resistance level (2) at 2,460$ , then stabilizing above resistance level (2) indicates to reach of a resistance level (3) at 2,82$ ,a strong resistance level selling have already in crease this level .
Downward Zone: Provided until the prices trade below the turning level, it indicates a reach of the support level (1) at 2,391$, then breaking this level with a 4h or 1h open candle below is likely to reach the support level (2) at 2,367$ , this two level called support zone it is very strong zone because inside accumulation area .
Corrective level :Price may make a correction at 2,420$ , before dropping .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 2,440$, 2,460$ , 2,482$.
SUPPORT LEVEL : 2,391$ , 2,367$ , 2,337$.
GBPJPY ( UNDER STRONG DOWNWARD PRESSURE ) ( 4H )GBPJPY
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure , until trading below turning level at 183.919 .
TURNING LEVEL : the price of this level at 183.919 , so until the price trade below this level indicates likely to reach a support level (1) , but if the breaking by open 4h candle above this level reach a resistance level (1) .
RESISTANCE ZONE : this zone between 191.007 and 198.018 , in order to see this zone the price need breaking turning level at 183.919 , breaking this price indicates an increase and reaching the resistance level (1) at 191.007 , then stabilizing above resistance level (1) likely to reach of a resistance level (2) at 198.018 , after breaking this zone it will be attempt to reach resistance level (3) at 203.869 , selling have already increase in this zone .
SUPPORT ZONE : this zone between 180.401 & 177.400 , until the price trading below turning level or stabilizing below this level indicates to reach of a support level (1) at 180.401 , by open 4h or 1h candle below support level (1) , it indicates to reaching support level (2) around 177.400 .
CORRECTIVE : the price corrective at 183.919 , before dropping .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 191.007 , 198.018, 203.869 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 180.401 , 177.400 .
USOIL ( BREAKOUT DESCINDIN CHANNEL ) (4H)USOIL
Tendency, the price is under down ward pressure , until trade below 74.22 .
Upward zone : In order to see an increase, the price needs to breaking the turning level at 74.22 , to reach resistance levels (1) around 77.06 , then breaking resistance level (1) it indicates to reach of a resistance level (2) at 78.89 .
Downward zone: Provided until the prices trade below the turning level, it indicates a reach of the support level (1) at 71.55 , then breaking this level with a 4h or 1h open candle below is likely to reach the support level (2) at 69.30 , the breaking this level reach a next level at 67.93
Corrective level :Price may make a correction at 74.22, before dropping .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 77.06 , 78.89.
SUPPORT LEVEL : 71.55 , 69.30 , 67.93 .
NAS100USD ( BREAKOUT DESCINDING & ASCENDING CHANNEL ) ( 4H )NAS100USD
Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure , until trading below 18,244 .
TURNING LEVEL : the price of this level at 18,244 , so as long as the price trade below this level indicates likely to reach a support level (1) , but if the breaking by open 4h candle above this level reach a resistance level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 18,698 , for reach this resistance level the price need breaking turning level , indicates have good selling in this level .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 19,112 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1) .
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 17,435, for reach this support level the price need stabilizing below turning level , indicates have good buying in this level .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 17,047 , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
CORRECTIVE : the price corrective at 18,244 , before dropping .
PRICE MOVEMENT : currently price 18.037 , my be the price first thing corrective turning level , as long as until the price trade below turning level at 18,244 , it will be trying to reach support level (1) , then breaking by open 4h or 1h candle below this level , indicates to reach a support level (1) , if the price breaking turning level by open 4h or 1h candle easily to reach of resistance level (1) .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 18,698 , 19,112 .
SUPPORT LEVEL :17,435 ,18,239 .
Gold is in a free stateWorld gold price is at 2,415 USD/ounce, down sharply by 20 USD/ounce compared to the same morning. Yesterday, gold was sold on a large scale, causing the price of this precious metal to drop sharply to only 2,364 USD/ounce. However, gold regained its speed quickly and recovered to the price range above the important level of 2,400 USD.
Although considered a safe haven in times of uncertainty, experts said gold was not immune to reselling on Monday as advisors sold assets on a large scale. According to Kitco Metals senior analyst Jim Wycoff, investors are scared and they are selling what they can, including gold and silver.
Although it has dropped sharply, according to experts, in the short term, factors supporting gold prices such as persistent economic and political instability as well as expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut Interest rates will help get back up to speed faster.
AUDUSD trading scalpingAustralian Dollar declines due to increased risk aversion, awaits US Services PMI
The Australian Dollar declines following the soft Purchasing Managers Index data release on Monday. Australia Composite PMI fell to 49.9 in July from 50.2 in June, with Services PMI decreasing to 50.4 from 51.8. The US Dollar lost ground as recent downbeat employment data boosted expectations of a Fed rate cut in September.
BUY AUDUSD now zone 0.64300-0.64100
↠ Stoploss 0.63900
→ Take Profit 1 0.64600
→ Take Profit 2 0.65300
EURGBP: Pullback From Key Level 🇪🇺🇬🇧
I think that EURGBP may retrace from a key daily horizontal resistance.
After its test, the pair broke and closed below a support line
of a rising parallel channel on an hourly time frame.
The market may reach 0.8544 level soon.
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USDCAD Scalping signalsUSD/CAD holds below 1.3900 on dovish Fed bets, eyes on US PMI data
USD/CAD trades with mild gains 1.3880 in Monday’s early European session. The uptick of the pair is bolstered by the risk-off sentiment. Traders expect one more 25 bps rate cut by the BoC in its September meeting.
BUY USDCAD now zone 0.38700-0.38500
↠ Stoploss 0.38300
→ Take Profit 1 0.39000
→ Take Profit 2 0.39700
GBPUSD scalping signalsGBP/USD: Bulls push to test the 1.2840 resistance
Instead of continuing to rise, the Pound Sterling (GBP) is more likely to trade in a range between 1.2740 and 1.2840. Downward momentum has slowed; any further GBP weakness is likely limited to a retest of the 1.2710 level, UOB Group FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.
SELL Scalping zone SELL GBPUSD now zone 1.28000-1.28200
↠ Stoploss 1.28400
→ Take Profit 1 1.27700
→ Take Profit 2 1.27000
Good luck everyone
Gold fluctuations in the new weekFundamental Analysis:
Gold (XAU/USD) gained traction on Monday as the greenback weakened. The market is still digesting the dovish FOMC and a weaker US jobs report. Meanwhile, US Treasury yields and the US dollar (USD) are likely to remain under pressure, acting as a bullish driver for the yellow metal. Additionally, rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could continue to support traditional safe-haven assets like Gold.
Looking ahead, Gold traders will be watching the US ISM Services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) on Monday for fresh catalysts. The Services PMI is estimated to improve to 51.0 in July from 48.8 in June. In case the data is stronger than expected, the USD could rise and limit the upside in the precious metal.
Technical Analysis:
Gold after NF formed a fairly wide trading range. An upward price range was formed with the price range of 2475 and 2420. The h2 time frame gives an overview of the short-term fluctuations of gold during the day. The 2411 area on Friday formed a critical zone around it with a reaction of 30 prices. so it became a strong reaction zone when gold broke out of the price channel.
Resistance: 2466 - 2475 - 2480 - 2491 - 2502
Support: 2423 - 2412 - 2405 - 2394 - 2385
SELL GOLD 2465 - 2467 Stoploss 2471
BUY GOLD 2415 - 2413 Stoploss 2408
EURUSD Analysis week 32Fundamental Analysis
EUR/USD gained on Friday after the Greenback was weakened by the poor US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data.
With the US economic data turning sour, investors extended their losses for two days on growing concerns about a broader recession in the domestic US economy, triggering a flight from risk assets and sending equity indices sharply lower.
Next week, the US will see the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for July on Monday. Euro-wide retail sales for the year ending June are scheduled for release early Tuesday. This will give us a clearer picture of the current stage of the currency market.
Technical Analysis
GBPUSD formed a wide range after the NF release with the nearest support resistance in the range of 1.094 and 1.082. On the H4 timeframe, EMA 34 is looking to surpass EMA 89 to escape the short-term downtrend of the past week. Specifically, it proves that the price line has broken out of the downtrend line. The uptrend may face the highest resistance at 1.098 when the price breaks out of the immediate resistance at 1.094. On the other hand, recovery is necessary in an uptrend. The price trend may retest the broken trend zone around 1.083 after some investors take profit. If the downtrend is established, the strong support zone next week will be 1.075.
Resistance: 1.094-1.098
Support: 1.083-1.075
Trading Signals
BUY EURUSD zone 1.075-1.073 Stoploss 1.071
SELL GBPUSD zone 1.098-1.100 Stoploss 1.102
GOLD ( SENSITIVE WEEKLY ) (1D)XAUUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Fundamental : due to the fight in the middle east , gold prices complete instability .
Tendency, the price under bullish pressure , until trade below 2,427$ .
Upward Zone : In order to see an increase, as long as the price trade turning level at 2,427$, it indicates a reach of resistance levels (1) at 2,482$ , then as it stabilizes on the turning level we may see new resistance zones around 2,520$ and 2,560$ .
Downward Zone: by breaking turning level by open 1d candle below this level , it indicates a reach of the support level (1) at 2,364$, then stabilizing below this level is likely to reach the support level (2) at 2,297 .
Corrective Level :Price may make a correction at 2,427$ , before rising .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 2,482$ , 2,520$ , 2,560$ .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 2,364$ , 2,297$ .
USDJPY ( BREAKOUT DESCENDING CHANNEL ) (4H)USDJPY
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency, the price is under down ward pressure , until trade below turning level at 144.502.
Upward Zone : In order to see an increase, the price needs to break the turning level at 144.502 , to reach resistance levels (1) around 149.479 , then breaking resistance level (1) by open 4h candle above it indicates to reach of a resistance level (2) at 154.775 , then stabilizing above resistance level (2) indicates to reach of a resistance level (3) at 158.627 a strong resistance level selling have already in crease this level .
Downward Zone: Provided until the prices trade below the turning level, it indicates a reach of the support level (1) at 140.377, then breaking this level with a 4h or 1h open candle below is likely to reach the support level (2) at 137.684 , this two level called support zone it is very strong zone because inside accumulation area .
Corrective level :Price may make a correction at 144.502 , before dropping .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 149.479 , 154.775 , 158.627 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 140.377 , 137.684 .
GBPUSD ( INSIDE DESCENDING CHANNEL ) (4H)GBPUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency, the price is under down ward pressure , until trade below turning level at 1.281 .
Upward Zone : In order to see an increase, the price needs to break the turning level at 1.281 , to reach resistance levels (1) around 1.285 , then breaking resistance level (1) it indicates to reach of a resistance level (2) at 1.293 , then stabilizing above resistance level (2) indicates to reach of a resistance level (3) at 1.303 a strong resistance level inside strong supply zone .
Downward Zone: Provided until the prices trade below the turning level, it indicates a reach of the support level (1) at 1.270, then breaking this level with a 4h or 1h open candle below is likely to reach the support level (2) at 1.262 , this two level called support zone it is very strong zone because inside accumulation area .
Corrective level :Price may make a correction at 1.281 , before dropping .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.285 , 1.293 , 1.303 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.270 , 1.262 .
NAS100USD ( FALLING 600 POINT AND BREAKOUT TWO CHANNEL ) (4H) NAS100USD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency, the price is under down ward pressure , until trade below 17,806 .
Upward zone : In order to see an increase, the price needs to break the turning level at 17,806 , to reach resistance levels (1) around 18,694 , then breaking resistance level (1) it indicates to reach of a resistance level (2) at 19,536 .
Downward zone: Provided until the prices trade below the turning level, it indicates a reach of the support level (1) at 17,320, then breaking this level with a 4h or 1h open candle below is likely to reach the support level (2) at 16,996 .
Corrective level :Price may make a correction at 17,806 , before dropping .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 18,694 , 19,536 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 17,320 , 16,996 .
NAS100USD (STRONG BEARISH ) (4H)NAS100USD
Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure , until trading below 18,912 .
TURNING LEVEL : the price of this level at 18,912 , so as long as the price trade below this level indicates likely to reach a support level (1) , but if the breaking by open 4h candle above this level reach a resistance level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 19,237 , for reach this resistance level the price need breaking turning level , indicates have good selling in this level .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 19,638 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1).
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 18,481, for reach this support level the price need stabilizing below turning level , indicates have good buying in this level .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 18,239 , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
CORRECTIVE : the price corrective at 18,912 , before dropping .
PRICE MOVEMENT : currently price 18,582 ,my be the price first thing corrective turning level , as long as until the price trade below turning level at 18,912 , it will be trying to reach support level (1) , breaking this level by open 4h or 1h candle above this level , indicates to reach a resistance level (1) .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL :19,237 , 19,638 .
SUPPORT LEVEL :18,481 ,18,239 .
The Fed is planning to cut interest rates in SeptemberWorld gold prices have skyrocketed amid the danger of escalating conflicts in the Middle East and US Federal Reserve (FED) Chairman Jerome Powell gave a signal after today's Fed meeting via the Chinese bank. The US is ready to rotate monetary policy if the inflation rate continues to decline in focus.
After a 2-day policy review, the Fed decided to keep interest rates unchanged at the expected level at 5.25-5.5%.
Besides, at the press conference after the Fed meeting, Mr. Powell aroused consultants' hopes about the ability to provide monetary policy at the upcoming September meeting. He said that if data continues to provide confidence that inflation is slowing toward its 2% target, the Fed may be ready to act.
Gold August 2. Approaching all-time high🌿Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices showed absolute strength in the European session on Friday ahead of the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data for July. The official jobs data will indicate the current state of the labor market, which will influence market speculation about the US Federal Reserve (Fed) cutting interest rates in September.
Investors will also focus on Average Hourly Earnings data, a key measure of wage growth that boosts consumer spending and ultimately drives price pressures.
Meanwhile, the deepening risk of an all-out war between Iran and Israel has improved Gold’s appeal as a safe haven. Iran has vowed to retaliate for the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh with an Israeli airstrike in Tehran.
🌿Technical Analysis
In terms of Elliot wave, Gold may have formed wave 5 and is trading in an abc recovery wave. or a recovery could occur after Nonfarm pushing gold prices to the 2442-2430-2422 support zone to continue to return to wave 5 to break the all-time high.
The 14-day relative strength index (RSI) is rising to near 60.00. If RSI rises above that level, the momentum will continue to increase strongly.
We will wait for recovery waves to buy gold today, or look for resistance zones to catch the recovery wave.
SELL zone 2472 - 2474 SL 2478
SELL zone 2482-2484 SL 2487
BUY zone 2433 - 2431 SL 2427
BUY zone 2422 - 2420 SL 2416
Gold benefits after FOMC announcement☘️Fundamental analysis
Gold prices hovered around the $2,450 region on Thursday and are currently trading just below a two-week high. Traders were bullish amid the prospect of the Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-cutting cycle coming to a head, underpinning the yellow metal without yield.
Bets were reaffirmed by the Fed’s relatively dovish outlook on Wednesday, which sent US Treasury yields to multi-month lows and boosted the US Dollar (USD). Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East also added to the upside. Positive Outlook for Safe-haven Gold That said, the risk-on tone is generally seen as a drag and cap on XAU/USD.
☘️Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, the breakout above the 2430 resistance last night has officially put gold in the bullish phase of wave 3 of the Elliot Wave pattern. Furthermore, if there is a move above 2450, a return to the old highs is not far away. Hence, some further strength towards the next relevant hurdle near the $2,468-2,469 region, en route to $2,483-2,484.
On the other hand, today’s Asian low, around the $2,437 region, now seems to protect the immediate downside ahead of the $2,432 region. Any further declines can now be viewed as buying opportunities and remain capped near the resistance breakout point of $2,413-2,412.
The RSI is in the overbought zone, indicating that buying interest is still high and the possibility of a push higher for gold remains in favor. The bullish channel is still holding strong with major support around 2422. The two EMAs are expanding with EMA 34 above EMA 89. Overall the market is still in a strong uptrend and we will wait for recovery points to BUY.
Resistance: 2452 - 2459 - 2464 - 2475
Support: 2433 - 2425 - 2420 - 2412
SELL zone 2472 - 2474 stoploss 2478
BUY zone 2433 - 2431 stoploss 2427
BUY zone 2422 - 2420 stoploss 2416
EURUSD Trading signalsBUY EURUSD now zone 1.08300-1.08100
↠ Stoploss 1.07900
→ Take Profit 1 1.08600
→ Take Profit 2 1.09300
EURUSD pair price is at the upper boundary of the price range.
After some CPI data released, the pair has a tendency to break the resistance level and close the m30 candle above the trendline resistance area.
The pair is still creating Dow to break out of the price range and form a short-term uptrend.
Find the bottom of AUDUSDThe Australian Dollar trades around 0.6500 on Wednesday. The daily chart analysis shows that the AUD/USD pair has broken below a descending channel. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering near the oversold 30 level, indicating a potential upward correction soon.
Immediate support for the AUD/USD pair is around the throwback support around the 0.6470 level.
On the upside, key resistance is around the “throwback support turned resistance” at 0.6575, aligned with the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.6581. A break above this level could lead the AUD/USD pair to test the psychological level of 0.6600, with a potential aim for a six-month high of 0.6798.
BUY NZDUSD zone 0.59100-0.58900
↠ Stoploss 0.58700
→ Take Profit 1 0.59400
→ Take Profit 2 0.60100
ETH ForecastTrend Channels and Correction: There are two distinct descending trend channels visible on the chart. Currently, the price is near the lower boundary of these channels and might make an upward correction. This correction could aim towards the resistance levels marked above.
Fibonacci Levels: The price appears to have touched the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at the 2,914.76 level. A reaction from this level is likely, and the price could move upwards to test the resistance levels.
Support and Resistance Levels: Several important support and resistance levels are drawn on the chart:
Resistance Levels: 3,125.86, 3,232.67, 3,306.00, 3,390.57, and 3,581.27.
Support Level: 2,914.76.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI indicator is close to the oversold region. This suggests that the price might soon experience an upward recovery.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD indicator might be signaling a potential upward reversal.
Conclusion:
The Ethereum price could potentially rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel and initiate an upward movement. The first target for this upward movement could be the 3,125.86 resistance level. If it can break this level, it may test the 3,232.67 and 3,306.00 resistance levels subsequently. However, market conditions and the overall trend should be considered, and risk management is essential.