XAUUSD : Gold will bounce back stronglyXAU/USD is moving sideways and trading around 2,322 USD/ounce.
According to senior market analyst Jim Wyckoff of Kitco Metals, gold prices fluctuate when influenced by external factors due to a lack of important new fundamental news. In this context, Wyckoff predicts, prices will likely move sideways
about 2,300 - 2,400 USD/ounce for the next important catalyst and he believes that these catalysts will not appear until July.
World gold prices weakened in the context of some US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials predicting interest rate cuts in December this year. This causes US government bond interest rates to increase to nearly 4.3%, causing disadvantages for gold - a non-yielding asset.
Tradingsignals
SILVER - there is one n only area, again holding??#SILVER - perfect move as per our videoanalysis and first of all congratulationsand now price again at your one of themost important support for today.
That is 29.02 03
Keep close it we told you again n againabout that supporting area if marketclear that level then a smooth dropexpected below that.
Otherwise not at all.
Don't float your buyings below that area.
Good luck
Trade wisely
XAUUSD H1 - Long SignalXAUUSD H1
We bounced nicely yesterday from this indicated buy zone, offering as much as 3.5R. We have since come back down to this area of support. We could see some potential re-entries from this zone, with targets of 2325/oz, 2335/oz and then 2350/oz.
If support doesn't manage to hold this time round, we could expect to see the more major support price of 2285 see a test.
keep calm XAUGOOD MORNING everyone
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^GOLD ANALYSIS^
The weekly close makes me think of a continuation long until the 2300 level is decently invalidated; the breakout happened, but it's not enough for me. On the daily level, I would expect a SMT (play) below the lows where I marked the chicken, and then look for an upward movement from there. We have two zones to keep under control.
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-Have a good day
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Interest rates are supported, Gold weakensGold increased for the second consecutive trading day, the gold price once reached 2,320 USD. The market will receive the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and US CPI data, which is expected to explode the market.
US CPI Data and Federal Reserve Decision Coming Soon. US May CPI data will be released a few hours before the Fed decision. If inflation stays stable, that could allow the dollar to start to gain traction first.
Fed shows policymakers expect policy rate cuts by a total of 75 basis points in 2024. An upward revision is possible as most policymakers say that they are in no rush to start reducing borrowing costs.
Today is a very important trading day because it is directional from big data such as CPI and FOMC events, first gold and dollar will be affected by CPI data and then FOMC.
If CPI data is better, this will boost the US Dollar but then if the FOMC shows the prospect of a rate cut then this will boost gold prices.
Up to now, after the NF data was announced, the gold market has formed a short-term downtrend. and the recovery to form the DOW model is taking place quite perfectly in the h4 time frame. The recovery could reach the 34 EMA or higher the 89 EMA of the h4 frame with two notable resistance levels at 2325 and 2338. The Fed is likely to keep interest rates unchanged in June after today's meeting so The dollar will be strongly supported at least in the next 2 months. The market's downtrend could take gold to 2387 or deeper than the 2376 support level.
During trading periods with a lot of macro data and major events, sudden large price movements can completely disrupt any technical structure. At times when major events take place, technical analysis is no longer available, the market will depend on basic factors such as: Geopolitical developments, monetary policy, macro data. tissue,….
rebounded strongly after reaching a level lower than 2300Gold for delivery closed down more than 20 USD on Thursday, fell below the 2,300 USD/ounce mark, and recovered slightly in the European session on Friday to 2,314.
Despite weak US PPI, gold prices still fell sharply as the Federal Reserve forecasted only one interest rate cut this year. In addition, a stronger US Dollar also affects gold prices. The Federal Reserve on Wednesday kept interest rates steady despite improving inflation and forecast only one rate cut in 2024, due to Economic growth and the unemployment rate remain above what the Fed considers long-term sustainable levels.
High interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, making it less attractive compared to other assets in the market, especially the dollar.
Markets are still assessing the Fed's future monetary policy path. The Federal Reserve announced Wednesday that it would leave interest rates unchanged and signaled that there would be only one rate cut in 2024. In March, the Fed had expected three rate cuts in this year.
Before Thursday's PPI data was released, the May Consumer Price Index (CPI) released by the US Department of Labor on Wednesday also showed that inflation had generally cooled, creating momentum for gold to surge. up 1% that day. However, after the Federal Reserve issued hawkish comments, spot gold prices reversed the basic trend.
Technical analysis of gold price
Gold has dropped significantly since reaching the key resistance area around $2,340 – $2,345 which is the confluence of the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, the $2,345 horizontal resistance and the 21 EMA.
Gold fell back to operating around the 2,305 - 2,300 USD area to maintain the main downtrend from the price channel.
In the short term, the raw price level of $2,300 will be the closest support and if gold continues to break below this technical level it will open up the possibility of continuing towards the target at $2,286.
Even if gold recovers, during the day it will still be limited by the $2,324 level, its technical direction will still lean to the downside.
Support: 2305 - 2291 - 2286 - 2280- 2274
Resistance: 2316 - 2321 - 2325 - 2333 - 2338
SELL price range 2319 - 2321 stoploss 2325
BUY price range 2270 - 2268 stoploss 2264
GOLD - at resistance? holding or not??#GOLD.. perfect move as per our video analysis and first of all congratulations to all.
now market at his resistance area that is 2320 21 keep close that area because if market hold it then again drop expected from here.
dont be lazy here.
good luck
trade wisely
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GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out as analysed. We were seeing price test 2332 weighted level and failed to lock above 2332 with ema5 confirming the rejection into the retracement range. The retracement level gave us the perfect bounce for a clean 40 pips, as part of our plans.
We then had the 2322 weighted level cross and lock below with ema5 opening 2312, which was hit perfectly.
We are now looking for a reaction on this level. Ema5 cross and lock below 2312 will open the swing range or failure to lock below will follow with another rejection bounce.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2322 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2343
2349
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2349 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2367
BEARISH TARGETS
2322 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2322 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2312 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2312 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2302 - 2294
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
BITCOIN - Watch Buy Zone Price is moving slowly and correctively which indicates a shift in the market is going to happen soon. The ideal place to look at is the golden zone ( Our Buy Zone ).
LONG Setup:
- Watch buy zone rejection
- Look for a reversal pattern on lower timeframe
- Watch for break of the blue trendline
- Stoploss: Below the low after entry
- Target: 73k, 80k, 88k.
Good Luck and Trade Safe!
THE KOG REPORTKOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we wanted the lower support level to hold up the price to give us the opportunity to long into the order region above, which gave us a fantastic start to the week. We then said we wanted to short from the order region back down, but due to FOMC and CPI we would be looking for extreme levels above. Once price re-entered our order region we did continue with the plan but the range and accumulation meant we couldn’t complete the move down that we wanted, however, still getting a decent trade down.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
Simple one this week!
We have potential to start the week with short movement within the range we have plotted on the chart. The resistance level above sits at 2345-50 which needs to hold the price down for us to see a further move downside into the lower support region below, and potentially complete our plan from last week’s KOG Report.
Support 2320 is the hurdle this week and needs to be broken forcefully for us to then have more confidence in the move. The problem we have this week again is this sideways range, and for that reason we’re going to throw a curveball into the mix, which we need traders to be extremely careful of. IF that resistance level above breaks, and we bounce aggressively from below, there is a huge chance we’re going to see this attempt to take liquidity from the higher regions 2370-5 which is a key level for this week and also the extension of the move. So please, traders make sure to stick with your risk model, we’ll trade it the KOG way, level to level, stay the right side of it and expect some extreme movement.
KOG's Bias for the week:
Bearish below 2345 with targets below 2320 and below that 2295
Bullish on break of 2345 with targets above 2355 and above that 2370
As above, it’s a short one this week, we’ll update it as we usually do during the course of the week.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSD : Gold will turn up again this weekXAU/USD is trading around 2,322 USD/ounce, down 11.6 USD/ounce compared to last week's result.
Adrian Day, of Adrian Day Asset Management, said gold prices are recovering after last week's sell-off amid dovish US economic news, weak inflation figures and higher unemployment claims, both support cuts
interest rate.
Colin Cieszynski, market strategist at SIA Wealth Management, said gold prices are poised for a technical bounce from support levels. Darin Newsom, senior market analyst at Barchart, said gold's next target is $2,370/ounce, followed by resistance at $2,391/ounce.
Gold will increase this week ? Wall Street analysts expressed optimism. Specifically, expectations are up 62%, down 15% and flat 23%. In addition, according to Kitco's online survey, it is predicted that gold price will increase by 54%, decrease by 23%, and move sideways by 23%.
Marc Chandler, General Director of Bannockburn Global Forex, said gold prices increased, breaking a 3-week losing streak, in the context of political instability in Europe and sharply falling interest rates. Gold prices recovered after the US jobs report and the Central Bank of China did not buy gold reserves.
Adrian Day, Chairman of Adrian Day Asset Management, said gold prices are recovering after last week's selling amid more balanced US economic news, weak inflation data and high unemployment claims. more , both are supported for interest rate cuts.
Colin Cieszynski, market strategist at SIA Wealth Management, said gold prices are now poised for a technical bounce from support.
💵 OANDA:XAUUSD SELL 2353 - 2356💵
✔️ TP 2343
✔️ TP 2333
❌ SL 2363
💵 OANDA:XAUUSD BUY 2314 - 2317💵
✔️ TP 2330
✔️ TP 2345
❌ SL 2308
GOLD Next week expectation #XAUUSD Next week..!
This week gold reached the resistance zone 2238.00 - 2241.00 area. And pull back to 2295.00 level. Already pullback with the trend line and i Expect gold will be ready to retest the 2281.00 -2286.00 support area.
If unfortunately broke the current resistance I expected the price will make a bullish movement and will reach for 2368.00 - 2376.00 level.
GOLD Next week expectation #XAUUSD Next week..!
This week gold reached the resistance zone 2238.00 - 2241.00 area. And pull back to 2295.00 level. Already pullback with the trend line and i Expect gold will be ready to retest the 2281.00 -2286.00 support area.
If unfortunately broke the current resistance I expected the price will make a bullish movement and will reach for 2368.00 - 2376.00 level.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price test 2332 weighted level and we will need to see ema5 cross and lock above 2332 to open the range above to test 2343 and 2349.
Rejection here will see price fall back into the retracement range 2322 - 2312 and a further test and break below 2312 will open the swing range
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2322 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2343
2349
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2349 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2367
BEARISH TARGETS
2322
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2322 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2312
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2312 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2302 - 2294
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP FOR THE WEEK AHEADHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels 2336 resistance and 2307 Goldturn support. We will need to see a test and lock on either levels to open the next range.
We will need to see ema5 lock above 2336 to open the range above or a rejection before this will follow to find support at the retracement range. A further cross and lock below 2307 will open the swing range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2336
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2336 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2356
BEARISH TARGETS
2307
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2307 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2290 - 2275
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see our updated daily chart structure.
Last week we were seeing price test support at 2309 with a candle break below opening gap to 2259 and we confirmed we would need to see ema5 to lock below 2309 to further confirm this gap otherwise a failure to lock below will follow with a reactional bounce here to 2355.
- This played out perfectly with ema5 failing to cross below 2309, which followed with the rejection and gave the perfect bounce and now heading towards the 2355 open gap. We were able to catch majority of the bounce using our smaller time frame analysis last week
We are likely to see play between both these levels until we see ema6 lock above or below either lever to open the next range.
We have marked the charts with the weighted levels and will use them to track the movement up and down confirmed with ema5 cross and lock confirmation.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis and trading plans to navigate the range in true level to level fashion.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we will continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our algo generated levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top
Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
MR GOLD
XAUUSD TOP AUTHOR
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM/RANGE ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
After tracking and trading our last weekly chart idea successfully over the last few months, we have decided to now update the chart with new levels and re-align the ascending channel.
Although we saw price break out of this channel ema5 has created the true channel top resistance here. Price is now heading towards the channel half line and found support above 2310 Goldturn. Although we have a close below 2310, ema5 remains above 2310 providing the support with a bounce heading towards 2356 for a test.
The channel half line is a crucial level of support on this chart and as long as ema5 remains above the channel half line, we should be able to continue to buy dips. A break and lock below the channel half line will open the range test for the channel bottom.
The levels within the channel will provide the bounces inline with our plans to buy dips in true level to level fashion using our smaller time-frames. Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings instead of chasing the bull from the top.
Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
MR GOLD
XAUUSD TOP AUTHOR
SILVER.. there is only area, holding or not??#SILVER.. well guys market have one n only area 29.02 keep close it in my pervious idea i told you about selling move below that level. but keep in mind if market hold it then it will be your supporting area for next further move to upside.
don't be lazy here.
good luck
trade wisely
Attention price range before FOMCGold dropped from peak to 2,340 USD before Fed information
After CPI rose to a three-day high past the $2,340/troy ounce mark, gold prices now appear to have digested that initial move and returned some gains amid a weaker dollar and Yields fell ahead of the FOMC event later in the session.
The 2340 level is unlikely to hold before the FOMC. The 2352 resistance zone will be better for you if you want to SELL gold. Today it is predicted that the FOMC will continue to support the dollar, so the possibility of gold falling will be very high. Scalp support may be around the old bottom of 2390