EURUSD analysis 06/05/2024EUR/USD steadies below 1.0900 ahead of key US dataEUR/USD is consolidating below 1.0900 early Wednesday amid modest gains in the US Dollar. Fed rate cut bets keep US bond yields lower, limiting the pair's downside. Key US data on Wednesday could provide some impetus ahead of the ECB on Thursday.
The pair is approaching the lower trendline of the uptrend and is being supported by the EMA34 and EMA 89. In case the news is positive for the USD, it is possible that EURUSD will break the trendline and two EMA line to approach the 1.08300 support zone.
The old peak at 1.9100 will be the first resistance area that the pair encounters when the price is pushed up from the current support area. With the negative release news for USD the highest level EURUSD reached today was 1.09700.
BUY zone 1.08300 SL 1.08000
SELL zone 1.09100 SL 1.09400
SELL zone 1.09700 SL 1.10000
Tradingsignals
Gold soon regained its rising position (week 24 gold analysis)💥Gold reacted strongly at 2360 and could not overcome the old resistance level to break back to 2400. Gold has formed a double top pattern on the 4th hour frame.
💥After returning below 233x, important support levels 2317-2310 -2305 will be believed by investors to push gold prices back up.
💥The price is retracing relatively far from MA 34 and MA 89, so the downtrend can maintain for the first few days of the week before gold bounces back strongly at the end of next week.
💥When the gold price drops, we will BUY at the support points listed above. new stop loss of 50 pips for each signal. possible profit level according to RR11 ratio. When the price reaches the 2310 or 2301 area, we can consider making long-term BUY signals.
💥If you check back at the levels we have shared weekly over time, you can see how effectively they are used to trade with or against short/medium term fluctuations and trends .
Resistance 2360-2400
Support 2317-2310-2305
EURUSD analysis week 24EUR/USD clings to gains above 1.0850 following US inflation data. EUR/USD traded in positive territory around 1.0850 during the US session on Friday. The US dollar struggled to maintain its strength following the April PCE inflation data and helped the pair hold its ground at the end of the week.
The EU region's CPI consumer price index has begun to cool down, but according to March and April data, this index still increased around 2.4% over the same period last year in recent shares shared by the ECB President. believes that inflation in the EU area is expected to continue to decrease and the ECB can lower interest rates if they meet the inflation assessment criteria they have identified.
The price range of the EURUSD pair is getting narrower, showing that the long-term accumulation of the currency pair is about to reach a boom stage. Pay attention to the break out hooks 1,080 and 1,088 to get appropriate trend trading signals. When the price breaks out of the narrow range, important support and resistance levels will be quite far away. Above the old peak resistance level around 1,093 and in the opposite direction, the old Dow breaking support area at 1,074 will be a support area that investors trust.
Trading signals:
BUY zone 1.07400-1.07200 SL 1.06900
SELL zone 1.09300-1.09500 SL 1.09800
Beak out and retest: 1.08800 and 1.08000
GBPUSD analysis week 24📌GBP/USD eases from 1.2765, keeping gains modest. GBP/USD hit a two-day peat at 1.2765 during the US session, as US data showed core PCE inflation held steady at 2.8% yoy in the month Private. The pair retreated later as risk aversion triggered demand for the US Dollar.
📌The possibility of the FED cutting interest rates in September is quite low. As the Fed has said they want to see inflation fall for months before considering a move to normalize policy, higher-than-expected inflation would significantly impact markets. FED interest rate cut will be delayed until November. If this index is lower, it will boost the prospect of FED lowering interest rates in September
📌The pair is trading within the border of the uptrend line and is strongly boosted by the EMA 34 and EMA 89 to extend the upward price momentum. The narrow price range of 1,280 and 1,268 that has been maintained continuously for the past two weeks could completely be broken in the next week with further resistance and support levels at 1,288 above and vice versa at 1,265 below.
🕯Trading signals
SELL zone 1.28800-1.29000 SL 1.29300
BUY zone 1.26500-1.26300 SL 1.26000
Analysis GBPUSD trading signal The British pound remains steady in today's US session, however it remains below the 1.2800 level.
The main price range that the pair is trading with is the main resistance at 1.28200 and support at 1.27500
In general, the currency pair is still in an uptrend, so we will prioritize BUY signals to be safer when trading this pair.
Trading signals
BUY 1,275-1,273 SL 1,272
SELL 1,282-1,284 SL 1,285
Gold rose sharply after ADP when the ADP index was lowWorld gold prices reached the highest level of the last two weeks around 2374. Gold was supported by the weakening of the USD and the decline in US government bond yields after the latest labor market data. The ADP report of private companies added 152,000 jobs in May, much lower than forecast and compared to recorded in the previous month, this is the lowest level since the beginning of the year.
Weak labor numbers may force the Fed to act soon. The possibility of the FED reducing interest rates in September is higher than 60% to boost the economy from which gold can benefit.
Gold has escaped the falling price range and returned to the uptrend in line with the market trajectory. Gold created a new trading range with the main resistance and support levels at 2400 and 2358. The EMA 34 and EMA 89 crossed each other in the h2 frame, signaling that the market began to reverse strongly and the price line formed a trend. short-term increase to reach the key price level of 2400.
Support: 2358 - 2351 - 2345 - 2340 - 2331
Resistance: 2380 - 2385 - 2390 - 2400 - 2414
BUY zone 2357 - 2355 SL 2351
BUY zone 2341 - 2339 SL 2335
SELL zone 2383 - 2385 SL 2390
SELL zone 2398-2400 SL 2403
GOLD CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A PIPTATSIC finish today starting with our 2359 target HIT!!!!! We called this target yesterday, and the day before to complete this range
This target followed with the cross and lock above 2359 opening 2374 and potentially 2390 at a stretch. 2374 was also hit today with a dip back to 2359 for support and then buying dips inline with our plans for the bounce back into our target of 2374. JUST PERFECT!!!!
We call 2390 a potential but will need an ema5 lock to further confirm this target.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2331 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2331 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
2345 - DONE
2359 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2359 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
2364 - DONE
POTENTIALLY 2390
BEARISH TARGETS
2310
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2310 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2285 - 2274
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
AUDCHF: Bearish Outlook Explained 🇦🇺🇨🇭
On the today's live stream, we discussed AUDCHF.
The pair broke a solid horizontal daily demand zone yesterday.
It turned into a supply area.
Taking into consideration that the market is under a strong bearish
pressure for 3 weeks, we may see a downward movement again.
Next support - 0.5875
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Many important economic data are waitingGold prices rose at the beginning of the week when the latest report showed that US manufacturing activity slowed for the second consecutive month.
Specifically, the purchasing management index in the manufacturing sector decreased to 48.7% in May, compared to 49.2% recorded in April. This figure is weaker than the forecast of the world. expert.
Disappointing economic data raises the possibility that the US Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this year, pushing the dollar to a three-week low and benchmark US Treasury yields falling. dropped to its lowest level in 2 weeks.
Today's world gold price is listed on Kitco at about 2,350 USD/ounce, up 23 USD/ounce compared to early yesterday morning. Gold futures last traded at $2.3716 per ounce, up $25.60.
Gold price forecast
The Fed's interest rate direction will be the main factor affecting the direction of gold in the short term. Therefore, the market will continue to listen for information that is expected to have an impact on the Fed's decision.
This week, besides employment data, the gold market will wait for the interest rate decision of the European Central Bank (ECB). The bank is almost certain to cut interest rates by 25 basis points and this could become the first major central bank to cut interest rates this cycle. The ECB's decision may cause investors to recalculate the time and scale of the Fed's interest rate easing.
Many analysts predict that, ahead of the Fed's monetary policy meeting on June 11-12, many investors will increase buying, causing gold prices to increase sharply before the meeting.
Technically
The important price range today is that gold is trading at 2363 and 2335. If gold wants to regain its strong bullish position, gold needs to surpass the important area at 2363 and 2365 in the opposite direction. The sideways trend will continue when gold Moving towards the 2335 support zone. In the h4 time frame, the two EMA lines show that the main trend is still moving sideways within a wide range. Gold is waiting for a breakthrough from US data this week to escape the border.
Support: 2335 - 2328 - 2315 - 2305
Resistance: 2355 - 2363 - 2374 - 2389
BUY price range 2327 - 2325 stoploss 2321
SELL price range 2374 - 2376 stoploss 2380
Maintain wide trading margins for a long timeGold continued to fall and traded below $2,330 on Tuesday, erasing most of Monday's gains in the process. Renewed US dollar strength drags XAU/USD lower as markets take a cautious stance ahead of US data.
The $2,360 area (Friday's high) acted as a barrier for gold and caused gold to fall sharply as the strength of the PMI news was not enough to break this resistance.
Gold has difficulty escaping the trendline that has lasted for nearly two weeks. Gold will soon be pushed up by the 2315 -2310 or 2305 support zones and continue to wait for ADP data or even wait until Friday when nonfarm is announced by breaking out of this wide accumulation zone.
Price zones need attention to have an effective trading strategy
Support: 2320 -2305
Resistance 2360-2348
XAUUSD : Gold turned up slightly again after the USD newsYesterday on June 5, world prices increased to a high of 2,357 USD and reached 2,373 USD this morning, supported by the weakening of the USD and a decrease in US government bond yields after the latest data showed changes. The labor market is very hot. According to how high
According to ADP, employers added 152,000 jobs in May, much lower than forecast and the number recorded last month, and also the lowest level since the beginning of the year.
RJO Futures senior market strategist Bob Haberkorn said weak labor numbers such as the coronavirus outbreak could prompt the Fed to act somewhat. According to FedWatch CME, the market believes there is about a 67% chance that the Fed will conduct its first rate hike in September, up from less than 50% last week. A low interest rate environment reduces the cost of holding gold, thereby increasing the appeal of this precious metal amid global instability.
In addition, the World Gold Council (WGC) said that net purchases by global central banks increased to 33 tons in April. This is also a big driving force pushing gold prices up recently.
ROSE - Selling the TopWe have two setups here in either direction we have been screening ROSE and ONDO for quite a while now and we want to bid both this short and the long. We let those things run over the night, therefore we play it with a hard stop.
On ROSE we have been ranging for quite a while and we finally broke out and cleared out the imbalances that have settled on the sell off candle on the 12.04 the supply needs to be flipped in order to be bullish. Even tough BTC seems to hold it's level nicely we think this daily supply is too much for ROSE to flip. As a target we are eying the POC at $0.0927 but we are going to take profits on the way down.
You will find ONDO here -
ONDO - low time frame setupOn Ondo on the other hand we are looking for long setup on the lower time frame. It seems as ONDO is topping out on the lower time frame and even with other coins pushing ONDO has some problems following other alts. If the trendline is getting lost, as we anticipate, we could witness a quick sell off into the FVG 2H. We want to bid mid FVG with the support down below. Stop loss is right below the support zone and the target are the current wicks but it could continue even higher.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A great day on the chart today, riding the entire move up after having the gap left open from yesterdays update.
Yesterday we updated that our cross and lock confirmation opened 2345 and 2359. 2345 was hit and only 2359 was left.
2331 provided the support with no lock below confirming the rejection followed with the push up, riding the move all the way up, just a few pips short of 2359.
This final target will #complete this range. We will then need a cross and lock above 2359 to open the range above or a rejection here will see a drop down to look for support at 2345 and 2331 Goldturns.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2331 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2331 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
2345 - DONE
2359 -
BEARISH TARGETS
2310
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2310 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2285 - 2274
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold is in a downtrend and will fall sharplyGold prices (XAU/USD) may find support at the 50 EMA in case the price breaks out of a sideways range after initially trading off the May highs.
XAU/USD has broken the main uptrend line and may be in a short-term downtrend. According to the mantra "the trend is the trend", the probability of price increase will continue to decrease. The 50 EMA at 2,310 USD and the May 3 low at 2,277 USD will be the final supports before gold prices fall further. The RSI indicator also dropped, surpassing level 50, further reinforcing this scenario.
On the contrary, the resistance levels to pay attention to are the EMA 20 at 2,350 USD and the main resistance is the 2,400 USD area, corresponding to the main trendline of the rising wave from the beginning of the year. To overcome these levels will require a lot of effort from buyers and enough momentum and is unlikely to happen in the short term.
XAUUSD : Gold will fall after today's dataThe price of gold (XAU/USD) yesterday fell more than 1.4% from a high of 2,352 USD to a low of 2,318 USD, a decrease of about 40 USD. This trend is partly due to the slight recovery of the USD, which has a negative correlation with gold. In addition, investors' attention may be shifting to the bond market as concerns about economic growth increase after recent poor data from the US.
Job openings data according to the newly released JOLTS report were lower than expected with only 8.06 million in April, compared to the forecast of 8.34 million and 8.35 million in March (according to data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics). ). This data shows that the US labor market is showing signs of weakness. The US non-farm payrolls (NFP) report scheduled to be released on Friday will be the most important event this week. JOLTS numbers lower than expected are considered a bad signal. If NFP also shows similar results, the USD will likely come under significant selling pressure, thereby supporting gold prices.
TRADE The CHOP: 3 Ways to Make ATLEAST +15% Choppy markets are identified by low volume and sideways trading / range trading. It seems uninteresting in most cases, but you don't have to sit around and wait for the next big impulse wave!
Here are three plays YOU can take during choppy markets:
1) 4H : Short Resistance
Chop trading can be a blessing - the price often touches the same support zone and the same resistance zone 2 - 3 times, before breaking out either way. This means that if you spot your zone early, you could take a short timeframe swing trade. Another way to find a trade is to look for gaps in the candles:
2) 4H : Long Support
South Africa is in a time of turbulence, and the Rand is weak as the country anticipates who will join forces to govern in the next two weeks. Analysts are expecting the Rand to hit R20 per USD as investors shy away from uncertainty.
But we can keep it modest and low risk with a 10x TP at R19 😉
3) Daily : SPOT Hold to TP Zone
Nothing like a classic low risk trade - but you may need some patience with it! If you're not willing to look at charts all day, or have alarms wake you up at 2:30am to take a trade then this is your style.
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FX:USDZAR POLONIEX:SOLOUSDT NASDAQ:PYPL BINANCE:SHIBUSDT
+4R Textbook trade breakdown☝️Do not act based on my analysis, do your own research!!
The main purpose of my resources is free, actionable education for anyone who wants to learn trading and improve mental and technical trading skills. Learn from hundreds of videos and the real story of a particular trader, with all the mistakes and pain on the way to consistency. I'm always glad to discuss and answer questions. 🙌
☝️ALL ideas and videos here are for sharing my experience purposes only, not financial advice, NOT A SIGNAL. YOUR TRADES ARE YOUR COMPLETE RESPONSIBILITY. Everything here should be treated as a simulated, educational environment. Important disclaimer - this idea is just a possibility and my extremely subjective opinion. Do not act based on my analysis, do your own research!!
XAUUSD : Gold is slightly decreasing after the increaseTechnically, the $2,360 area, corresponding to Friday's session high, is considered the closest barrier, followed by the $2,364 level. Overcoming these barriers in a convincing way can trigger the excitement of buyers and push the gold price to the $2,385 area, then towards $2,400. The upward momentum could even continue to extend to the $2,425 area, or even the historic peak recorded in May at $2,450.
On the contrary, the SMA 50, currently fluctuating around 2,334 USD, will act as the first important support. The next support zone is around 2,325 USD and beyond is yesterday's session low near 2,314 USD. However, it should be noted that oscillators on the daily chart are starting to show negative signals. Therefore, a credible break-down above the 50 SMA could pave the way for stronger declines, sending gold prices to retest the $2,300 level and even the key support zone around 2,285 - 2,284 USD.
The short-term downtrend continues todayAfter reaching the lowest level in 3 weeks around 2315, gold reacted strongly and increased to 10 levels. The latest break out level at 2337 is still doing well as resistance today, my expectation is that gold will fall to the 2305-2300 range. today. Although in the h4 time frame gold is in a short-term downtrend, back in the daily frame gold is still ready to increase strongly at any time.
Support: 2,305 – 2,300USD
Resistance: 2,340 – 2,353USD
BUY price range 2306 - 2304 stoploss 2300
SELL price range 2340 - 2342 stoploss 2346