GOLD - Falling WedgeGold's current Falling Wedge Reversal pattern presents an excellent opportunity for traders to capitalize on a potential upward movement. By waiting for a confirmed breakout above 2334 , or alternatively entering at the support level of 2320 , traders can strategically position themselves for potential gains. Ensuring a stop loss at 2316 will help manage risk and protect capital.
Tradingsignals
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT
In last week's KOG Report, we gave the support levels below, and suggested that if the market opened and those levels held price, we felt an opportunity to long the market would be available into the 2350-55 region and above that 2375, we achieved just short. Due to the ranging price, we stuck with the plan to then look for the short trade from above which also presented itself after we completed going long. It was a decent but frustrating week for traders, however, we completed near all the Excalibur targets, managing to trade it up into our given levels, bar a few pips, and then down again for the end of the week exactly from the level we had given to expect the minor selloff from. We then gave an end of week report with the target level below which was also completed and gave late session traders an opportunity to capture the long on the RIP with a tap and bounce.
A fantastic week in Camelot, not only on gold, but the numerous other pairs we trade analyse and apply the algo to. Excalibur, the hot spots and the red-boxes together with KOG's bias of the day working well again.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
We have the order region above 2330-35 with extension of the move into the 2345 region. It’s that 2340 region which is important to look for if we get a move to the upside from opening, price below that level looks weak and we could then see further opportunities to short the market lower into the 2310 and below that 2285-95 region, which is where we feel the RIP will come from for any longs into the immediate levels of resistance.
Below we have the 2320-15 price point, which again is a level of importance, a dip into that price point with rejection could again give the opportunity to long back up into that order region above before then resuming the move to the downside.
Please note, the above is based on the price staying below the order region resistance, if we break above that level we will update our plans through the week. We have to remember, there is no significant breakout here as yet, we’re still in the range 2320-2365-70 which price has been gathering orders within.
We have a lot of news this week as well as NFP on Friday, the market will be very choppy and ranging so please be careful. We always tell our traders, the last few days of the month and the first few days of the month need to be played with caution and your risk management needs to be up to scratch if you’re going to trade these markets.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
USDCHF at Support LevelThis currency pair is at a support level. Prices had rejected that zone several times.
Although the structure looks like a head and shoulder pattern, the support level hasn't been broken yet therefore an opportunity to buy is the best choice.
The profit target should be the first resistance level.
DISCLAIMER
The signals provided by LeoFX are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the signals, and we are not responsible for any losses or damages arising from the use of our signals.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLANS FOR THE WEEK AHEADHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels 2331 Goldturn resistance and 2310 Goldturn support. We will need to see a test and lock on either levels to open the next range.
We now have gaps between both support and resistance weighted levels. Gap above at 2331 weighted level and gap below at 2310 Goldturn.
We will need to see ema5 lock above 2331 to open the range above or a rejection will follow to find support at the retracement range. A cross and lock below 2310 will open the swing range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2331
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2331 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
2345
2359
BEARISH TARGETS
2310
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2310 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2285 - 2274
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLANS FOR THE WEEK AHEADHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels 2339 resistance and 2313 is the weighted support for this range. We will need to see either weighted level break and lock to confirm the next range.
We will need to see ema5 lock above 2339 to open the range above or a rejection will follow to find support in the retracement range. A cross and lock below 2313 will open the swing range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2339
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2339 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2360
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2360 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2389
BEARISH TARGETS
2313
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2313 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2290 - 2275
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART LONG TERM/RANGE ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
This is an update on our weekly chart idea that we have been tracking and trading successfully over the last few months and currently still being respected.
So far we were able to track the entre move up and down twice with level to level tracking and our long term swing range zones have also provided the bounces each time.
After completing our bullish target of 2438 2 weeks ago confirmed by the body close gap at 2404. No further gap was created and only a wick confirming the rejection.
The rejection completed the detachment to ema5 below as highlighted land also inline with the channel top, which we were looking for a re-test to confirm support.
CURRENT UPDATE
We got the bounce from the channel top into 2360 for a nice catch and now we are seeing price reject at 2360 and closed below the channel top opening the gap below at 2313. We will need to see ema5 also cross into the channel to support the body close for further continuation in the channel or failure of ema5 to cross back into the channel will see another push up from the channel top.
If this support breaks and the channel top does not provide the dynamic support we are looking for then we are likely to see price break back into the channel for a further correction to respect the levels in the channel once again. The levels will then provide the bounces inline with our plans to buy dips, level to level using our smaller time-frames.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top
Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
MR GOLD
XAUUSD TOP AUTHOR
GOLD MONTHLY CHART LONG TERM/RANGE ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
We have been successfully tracking this chart for a while now and after completing all our targets inline with our plans the new month candle opened in a central range with room above and below for the updated detachment to complete, highlighted with the new circle and also room above to re-test the new open range
LAST WEEKS UPDATE
We saw price take a drop last week inline with the longer term correction we were looking for on this monthly chart.
While chasing the bull on our smaller timeframe over the last few months we kept in mind the detachment every week on this chart reminding our followers, with the highlighted circle keeping in mind the market can throw this curve ball at anytime due to the detachment below and to manage risk according in the range due to the wider available range.
CURRENT UPDATE
We saw a continuation of the drop further closing the gap of the detachment with a gap now left open at 2235. Long term we will like to see and look for price to support above the channel top for a continuation to re-test the range above.
We still remain Bullish and will only safely take buys from support levels.
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD TOP AUTHOR
GOLD CHART UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great finish to the week with another nice catch from the dip.
Not much to update today, as we saw price play between both weighted levels like we suggested yesterday. Currently back to testing the 2322 level again. We will need to see ema5 lock above or below either level to open the next range.
We will now come back Sunday with our multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead.
Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
As always, have a great weekend with family and loved ones.
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Wait for the long-term BUY point after the recovery wave endsGold prices temporarily halted their recovery streak as the USD increased slightly, in addition to the FED's hawkish comments, and stronger-than-expected US economic data reduced expectations of a FED interest rate cut in September. This creates momentum for the USD to put pressure on gold.
On the other hand, geopolitical tensions and instability may promote gold buying as a safe haven, and banks' demand will continue to boost gold prices.
Gold is continuing to maintain the recovery of wave 4 in the elliot wave model, investors are waiting for a trendline break around 2350 to catch the SELL retest with the expectation that gold will fall to the support area of 2325 and 2305.
Our long-term BUY point is around 2305 when the recovery wave of the buying trend ends.
SELL price range 2370 - 2472 stoploss 2376
SELL price range 2386 - 2488 stoploss 2392
BUY price range 2324 - 2322 stoploss 2318
BUY price range 2305 - 2307 stoploss 2301
Wait for the SELL point to retest the EURUSD trendlineEUR/USD fell sharply on Wednesday, returning to the 1.0800 degree after broad-primarily based totally danger urge for food disappeared. The pair is buying and selling firmly inside technical resistance as buyers put together for a sequence of mid-variety European financial signs on Thursday, observed with the aid of using an replace on Gross Domestic Product increase (GDP) quarterly for the United States.
Pan-European purchaser self belief in May is predicted to preserve constant at -14.3, at the same time as the Overall Economic Sentiment Index is predicted to get better barely to 96.2 from 95.6. Then, US quarterly GDP is predicted later withinside the day, with annual Q1 GDP forecast to say no barely to 1.3% from 1.6%. Markets hungry for hobby charge cuts from the Federal Reserve may be seeking out symptoms and symptoms of weak point withinside the US financial system as increase solidifies, the hard work marketplace tightens and inflation figures display up. Inflation stays high, hindering the Fed`s capacity to reduce hobby fees at a fast pace. Investors hold to search.
The buying and selling week will cease with German Retail Sales on Friday, predicted to fall -0.1% MoM in May. Pan-European Core Consumer Price Index (HICP) for the 12 months resulted in May is forecast to growth to 2.8% from 2.7%. US inflation records will cease the buying and selling week, with the United States Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index predicted to stay unchanged at 0.3% MoM in April.
GBPUSD recovered insignificantlyThe GBP/USD pair weakened to 1.2695 during the Asian session
The GBP/USD pair fell to 1.2695 during the Asian session on Thursday. The main cause of this decline was the strengthening of the US Dollar (USD) amid higher US interest rates and reduced expectations of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in September. In recent weeks, Fed officials have taken a cautious stance on the inflation outlook, leading traders to reduce expectations for an easing cycle this year.
Market movements
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets are pricing in a 50% chance that the Fed will leave interest rates unchanged in September. The combination of the Fed's cautious stance and stronger US economic data has provided support. support for the USD in previous sessions.
Economic forecast
Investors will get more cues from the second estimate of U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the first quarter of 2024, which is expected to grow 1.3%. If the report shows better-than-expected results, this could boost USD further and create a drag on GBP/USD. Additionally, economic data such as US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims, Merchandise Trade Balance and Pending Home Sales will be released later in the day. Statements from Fed officials such as Raphael Bostic, John Williams and Lorie Logan are also expected to have an impact.
Support: 1,265- 1,260
Resistance: 1,275 - 1,280
Gold will likely resume its upward trendThe recent short-term uptrend is showing signs of reversing when gold prices have dropped more than 4% from the historic peak of 2,450 USD, set just a few trading sessions ago. This adjustment shows that investor psychology is changing, as buyers tend to take profits and look for investment channels with higher profitability.
Tonight, 19:30 Vietnam time, the US core PCE index will be announced. With the return of fundamental factors, gold may continue to decline in the short term. Persistent inflation will likely force the Fed to maintain a "hawkish" stance for longer, adding to the bearish bias in non-yielding assets, creating an unfavorable environment for the precious metal.
GDP is the focus of the market today💥After the gold price reached a new all-time high, it encountered a sell-off and fell back to more than 120 US Dollars an ounce from a high of 2,450 USD/ounce. Gold continued to fall when the FED made new statements. about monetary policy. Gold prices will continue to decline if the US economy continues to grow and data shows that the US economy is still at a good level.
💥The recent trend of the United States maintaining high interest rates for a longer period of time will support the US Dollar and US bond yields at high levels, putting certain pressure on the precious metals market. However, in the corner More generally if the Federal Reserve begins to cut interest rates in the future, it will significantly support gold prices. In addition, with the support of factors such as central banks continuously increasing gold purchases and the increasing instability of the global geopolitical situation, the potential for gold prices to increase in the near future still remains. big.
💥After a sweep to the 2325 price range as in previous analysis, gold rebounded strongly to 2335, back in the sideway range. Currently, the currency pair is waiting for GDP data to determine the next market trend. Gold price has reached the important level of 2325, the next level of the downtrend is heading towards 2305, an area where we can BUY long term. In the opposite direction, gold bounces strongly from 2325, the resistance level of 2360 (EMA 89) will be an important area to know that the uptrend has returned to gold and the short-term downtrend has ended.
XAUUSD : Gold stopped its upward trend this weekWorld gold price (XAU/USD) increased slightly to close at 2,343 USD after the second preliminary estimate of US Q1 GDP growth rate showed stagnation, increasing market expectations for Fed's future rate reduction. Meanwhile, recent negative technical news along with hawkish comments from Fed officials are still weighing on market sentiment. However, many experts agree that long-term dynamics such as geopolitical tensions, global economic instability, trade wars or demands from central banks, especially the PBOC, will continue. continue to support gold prices to rise.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Just pure perfection on the level to level tracking!!!
Yesterday after completing 2361 and rejection we confirmed price was heading towards the 2322 weighted level and also stated that, as long as ema5 remains above 2322, we can use our smaller time-frames and intraday levels to buy dips from this range.
- This played out perfectly for the 2322 touch and then the reaction for the buys inline with our plans to buy dips.
Price will play between both weighted levels until we see ema5 lock above or below either level to open the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2361 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2361 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2385
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2385 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2416
BEARISH TARGETS
2322 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2322 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2290
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2290 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2274 - 2246
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold ( XAUUSD ) analysis www.tradingview.com
On the 4-hour chart, XAUUSD has developed a head and shoulders pattern, indicative of a classic reversal trend. The price is currently hovering around a pivotal support level, with the moving averages suggesting a potential for further downward movement.
A selling opportunity for XAUUSD may arise if the price breaks below the support at 2330, potentially leading to a further drop towards 2285.
XAUUSD : Gold turned down sharply and hung for two daysGold prices have broken the support level around $2,335, where the rising trendline intersects the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the March-May rally. Combined with higher-than-average trading volume will be a signal for change. Many traders are selling gold and the bearish trend may continue.
In the event that XAU/USD plummets below $2,335, the 50-day SMA at $2,325 will be the bearish guard for the next bearish curve. While breaking this support may be difficult, if successful, there is room for a pullback to $2,265.
Conversely, if gold prices reverse upward, resistance will be at $2,365, followed by $2,377. If the gold price breaks through the resistance level at $2,377, the possibility of a decline will be significantly reduced. This breakout could open the door for further price increases to $2,420.
The opposition between the FED and Middle Eastern politicsComplicated geopolitical developments are counterbalancing the Fed's recent stance to support gold prices. On the one hand, the Fed strengthens the Dollar compared to other major currencies. On the other hand, gold is also supported. Support when potential market risks are likely to flare up and increase the attractiveness of Precious Metals that do not generate yields.
Amid the worsening situation, this news pushed the safe-haven asset gold up rapidly. However, gold also needs more of these types of impacts to reach its original price of $2,400.
In addition to closely monitoring the situation taking place in the Middle East, traders also need to pay attention to developments from the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, etc. Basically, traders need to pay attention to everything. Regardless of any major geopolitical developments happening globally, gold is an asset that easily reacts to sudden news on the market.
Analyze technical prospects
Gold is trying to operate around the EMA334 level as it recovers from the technical level of $2,324 USD, which readers noticed in last Friday's edition. However, the recovery momentum is limited with EMA21.
For the gold price to be technically bullish, it would at least need to break out and return to above-trend activity i.e. above the 2370 zone and its short-term target level followed by the opening Fibonacci level. The wide trend is the original price of 2,400 USD.
Meanwhile, gold is at risk of a further decline if it sells off below the $2,324 support level with a target then around $2,305 – $2,300.
Support: 2335 - 2,324 - 2305 USD
Resistance: 2,356 –2,370 - 2,400 USD
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the chart today, tracking the movement up and down.
Yesterday we stated after hitting 2361 that we now need to see ema5 lock above 2361 to open the next target or rejection with no lock. We were able to get a few more hits on the 2361 level during Tokyo session and were able to use the smaller timeframes to buy dips.
2361 failed to cross with ema5 and therefore confirmed the rejection that we are seeing now towards the 2322 weighted level. As long as ema5 remains above 2322, we can use our smaller time-frames and intraday levels to buy dips from this range.
Our 1h chart has a gap open to 2365, which was just short by a few pips but as good as done and we have support at 2331 on the 1H chart. We will keep this in mind, as we track both charts.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2361 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2361 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2385
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2385 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2416
BEARISH TARGETS
2322
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2322 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2290
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2290 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2274 - 2246
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Bitcoin: How to Forecast the End of a Trend.The advance from Dec 2018 seems to be tracing an impulse pattern. Wave 1 is an impulse, wave 2 is a zigzag which neatly predicts flat wave 4 by guideline of alternation.
The fifth wave appears to be tracing an impulse as well; an extension. It's probable that two minute degrees have reached completion at this stage and the market appears to be tracing out the third wave.
So how do you forecast the target for wave 5?
One way is to use an Elliott wave channel. Connect the end of wave 2 and 4. Draw a parallel line along the top of wave 3 to project wave 5 target. It is quite common for wave 5 to end upon reaching the upper boundary line of the channel
In some cases, when wave 3 is uncommonly strong, almost vertical. Draw a parallel line using the top of wave 1 instead of wave 3.
From experience, it's quite advantageous to draw the two upper boundary lines.