Gold futures shine bright with a strong gainGold traders and buyers have remained energetic customers on charge dips, assisting the valuable metal`s pricing at those new highs.
On the day by day chart, a easy Japanese candlestick sample referred to as a "Three River Morning Star" has emerged. This sample, shaped after a charge decline, may be a robust indication of a key reversal from bearish to bullish.
The sample includes a big crimson candlestick inside a described downtrend, accompanied with the aid of using a small-bodied candle (both crimson or inexperienced) that opens and closes beneath the primary crimson candle. The very last candle is a big inexperienced candle that opens above the center candle and closes above the middle of the frame of the primary candle.
With gold's current energy and the formation of this bullish reversal sample, the valuable metal's upward momentum may want to hold to polish withinside the coming sessions.
Tradingsignals
XAUUSD : Gold will increase strongly againAlthough the price of gold is slightly decreasing today, looking at the technical level, the prospect of an increase in price of this precious metal is still very high as XAU/AUD is trading actively above the 100 EMA today. However, the indicator RSI 14 is currently at an intermediate level around the 50 line, showing the possibility that XAU/USD will move sideways or not have a clear trend in the short term.
The first upside price target will appear at the upper border of the Bollinger band at $2,427. If gold's momentum is sustained, prices could head towards an all-time high of $2,450. Breaking through this resistance level, gold could rise to the psychological level of $2,500.
Conversely, the $2,325 level will be the initial support zone for XAU/USD. The next key support level is $2,300. Any sell-off below this level would send gold prices closer to the lower edge of the Bollinger band at $2,277, followed by the 100-day EMA at $2,222.
Gold price decreases temporarily or long term💥Gold prices extended their decline on Wednesday. The yellow metal's potential for further upside may be limited as the FOMC minutes are understood to be significantly more hawkish than previous releases.
💥The future direction of gold may depend on the results of the FOMC Minutes. Technical indicators in the daily chart suggest an extension of the ongoing correction, as indicators retreat sharply from indexes near overbought levels, maintaining a solid bearish slope at positive levels. pole. The potential downside target and key support zone is around $2,338, where the pair has its lowest level in the last three weeks. Meanwhile, the EMA 34 and EMA 89 are showing a downward slope in the h2 time frame, and the price is trading below the two EMA lines, showing that the downtrend will last at least until next week.
💥PLAN trading May 23
Support: 2352 - 2337 - 2321
Resistance: 2383 - 2400 - 2413
SELL price range 2380 - 2382 stop 2385
BUY price range 2338 - 2336 stop 2333
THIS BTC CONFIRMATION CAN GET BTC TO 75KBTC looks interesting over the next time frames and it can show more increase. That's why we're keeping an eye on Bitcoin at this moment.
$68540 is a key confirmation zone. this level has already a confirmed, there's a high chance it could reach $75K - in the long term, and hype times can make the coin to the target faster.
Remember, there are no guarantees in the market. Always follow a consistent system based on your strategies and analysis.
Good times, everyone.
This update is not trading or financial advice.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the market today completing our 4H chart idea bullish target.
This chart was shared on Sunday with 2361, as an open target. This target was completed today with a perfect hit.
We now need to see ema5 lock above 2361 to open the next target. Our 1h chart has a gap open to 2365, which was just short by a few pips. We will keep this in mind, as we track both charts.
As stated above we will need to see ema5 lock above 2361 to further open the range above or a rejection will follow to find support in the retracement range. A cross and lock below 2290 will open the swing range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2361 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2361 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2385
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2385 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2416
BEARISH TARGETS
2322
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2322 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2290
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2290 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2274 - 2246
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD : Gold is recovering againWorld gold price (XAU/USD) yesterday increased more than 25 USD to a high of 2,358 USD. Although expectations about the Fed cutting interest rates recently have many negative changes, gold has a lot of momentum and one of the measurements is that the world geopolitical situation is becoming more complicated with military conflicts. There is increasing tension between Israel and Hamas forces. But analysts predict that investors are still betting on gold prices to increase in the near future. Forecasts say that by the end of the week, gold price will increase to 2,375 USD.
Bitcoin - all you need to know nowSome of Mt Gox Funds (MT Gox funds refer to the assets held by the bankrupt Bitcoin exchange Mt. Gox. Once the largest Bitcoin exchange in the world, Mt. Gox declared bankruptcy in 2014 after allegedly losing millions of Bitcoins to a hack. The remaining funds are now being managed to repay creditors.) have been moved overnight, not the first time we've seen this happen this and the market react temporarily poorly to it.
Definitely something to be wary of but not something to panic about for now. The tensions in the middle east and the tensions between china and vietnam are definetely something that could shake up the market even though I am fairly sure that this is not something China is about to do but more of a distraction for something...
My feed on X this morning are mega bearish that funds are being moved once again. Twitter has been shocking the past couple of weeks, value there remains minimal. Try to refrain from reading stupid takes and stick to the news etc.
Will see how we trade today following New York Opening after holiday weekend.
Looking at the chart itself, we should be holding the demand now because we got the COS with the surge yesterday evening. We broke the supply and sell off with the news. Now it is decision time for BTC to either hold this level or find it's support somewhere deeper. We will see 🫡
GOLD-Short-term downtrend is formed💥Gold prices (XAU/USD) rose sharply on Monday. A softer US dollar (USD) and renewed escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East provide some support for gold.
In the long term, the precious metal could be supported by growing gold demand from central banks. However, lower bets on a Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut this year and a hawkish stance from Fed officials could cause some selling pressure on XAU/USD because it makes gold less attractive as a store of value when interest rates rise.
💥On Monday, US banks will be closed due to the Memorial Day bank holiday. Gold traders will get more cues from the Fed's speech on Tuesday. The first data on first-quarter US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on Thursday will be in focus, with estimates expected to grow 1.5% in Q1. Stronger-than-expected data could boost greenback and put pressure on USD-denominated gold.
💥Gold is trading below the EMA 34 and 89 around the price level of 2443. Gold is on its way to the first resistance zone at 2353. When this resistance level is broken, 2370 will be where gold will encounter real obstacles. when you want to move up to 2400. In the opposite direction, when the gold price drops due to US economic factors, the support areas 2320 and 2305 will support the gold price to increase again.
💥Trading signals
BUY zone 2318-2320 SL 2315
BUY zone 2305-2303 SL 2300
SELL zone 2353-2355 SL 2360
SELL zone 2370-2372 SL 2375
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out, as analysed hitting our open bullish target at 2350. We were able to trail this to 2358 for a nice catch.
We are now seeing ema5 lock above 2350 opening 2365 and 2378. 2365 will need a ema5 cross to further confirm the 2378 gap.
We now have gaps above and a retracement range below that has not had a test. As long as we stay above the retracement range, we are likely to see the bullish gaps complete. A break and lock below the weighted level of the retracement range will open the swing range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2350 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2350 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
2365
2378
BEARISH TARGETS
2315
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2315 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2274
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2374 WILL OPEN STRUCTURE SUPPORT
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
EURUSD BUYMonthly:
1. Direction:
Bullish
2. Reasons:
1. A good Displacement
2. price is moving from IRL to ERL
3. price respected monthly OB
Weekly:
1. Direction:
Bullish
2. Reasons:
1. Price formed the new FVG
2. massive displacement to the upside
3. price is moving from IRL to ERL
Daily:
1. Direction:
Bullish
2. Reasons:
1. Respecting the daily FVG
2. Good displacement to the upside
3. price is moving from IRL to ERL
4H:
1. Direction:
Bullish
2. Reasons:
1. respected FVG
2. BOS with displacement
3. formed good FVG
GBPUSD BUYMonthly:
1. Direction:
Bullish
2. Reasons:
1. price is respected OB.
2. A good Displacement
3. price is looking for Monthly ERL
Weekly:
1. Direction:
Bullish
2. Reasons:
1. Price respected monthly FVG
2. BOS with massive displacement
3. price is moving from IRL to ERL
4. price created bullish FVG
Daily:
1. Direction:
Bullish
2. Reasons:
1. Bullish order flow
2. BOS to the upside
3. Good displacement
4H:
1. Direction:
Bullish
2. Reasons:
1. wait for FVG reaction
2. FVG formations
3. BOS with displacement
Bearish DXYMonthly:
1. Direction:
Bearish
2. Reasons:
1. price is respecting OB.
2. A good Displacement
Weekly:
1. Direction:
Bearish
2. Reasons:
1. Price disrespected Bullish FVG
2. BOS with massive displacement
3. price is moving from ERL to IRL
Daily:
1. Direction:
Bearish
2. Reasons:
1. bearish orderflow
2. Respected the daily FVG
3. Good displacement
4H:
1. Direction:
Bearish
2. Reasons:
1. MMSM formation
2. FVG formations
3. BOS with displacement
Gold will turn around and continue to riseGold prices rose during the Asian session on Monday. The metal's rise is supported by a weak USD and rising geopolitical risks in the Middle East. Speeches from Fed officials such as Fed Chair Michelle Bowman, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester and Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari on Tuesday will be notable. However, lower bets on a Fed rate cut this year and a hawkish stance from Fed officials could weigh on gold prices.
On Monday, US banks will be closed due to the Memorial Day holiday. Gold traders will wait for further cues from the Fed's statements on Tuesday. Of particular interest will be US GDP data for the first quarter on Thursday, which is expected to increase 1.5% in the first quarter. Stronger-than-expected data could strengthen the dollar and weaken gold prices.
XAUUSD : Gold retreated after the weekend sessionThe gold market has had a volatile week, recording record highs before plummeting. On Monday, the price quickly reached a new historic high of 2,450 USD but could only hold there for a short time and then retreated to close at 2,426 USD. On Tuesday morning, gold prices began to decline slightly but still had a retreat and closed at 2,421 USD. This small decrease turned out to be just a prelude to the coming storm.
The catalyst for the sharp sell-off appeared on Wednesday when the Fed released the latest version of the FOMC meeting. The minutes showed that Fed officials expressed concern about recent inflation reports, questioning the effectiveness of monetary policy in bringing inflation to the 2% target in a sustainable way.
On Thursday, gold continued to experience a large decline and after only 3 sessions, the price of gold rose to more than 120 USD from its historical peak of 2,450 USD.
Selling pressure also comes from the strong USD throughout the week. Although the DXY index fell 0.27% to close at 104.76, even this temporary weakness could not buoy the gold market.
However, geopolitical news that emerged over the weekend supported gold prices, at least temporarily halting the decline and possibly even opening up a recovery.
XAU increased slightly in this morning sessionLast weekend, after reaching a historic peak of 2,450 USD/ounce, gold prices were profit-taking and sold off fiercely. Gold has lost value partly due to the strength of the dollar, but also because the latest economic data from the US confirms rising inflation risks, leading investors to believe that the Fed will need to maintain limited interest rates. take longer.
In the first three months of 2024, PCE and CPI data showed inflation rose more than expected. April's CPI report revealed that inflation increased slightly more than expected by 0.3% month-on-month and 3.4% year-on-year.
Meanwhile, the employment cost index, the main measure for calculating salaries for civilian workers, also increased more than expected by 1.2% in the first quarter, causing predictions about the possibility that the Federal Reserve will Interest rate cuts have gradually been scaled back.
Markets are now betting on the Fed's first interest rate cut in November instead of September. Rising interest rates hurt the need to hoard non-yielding assets like gold. However, gold prices still increased nearly 3.5% during the month thanks to safe haven capital flows and strong purchasing power from central banks.
EURUSD price analysis week 22📌After the surprise data on US services PMI skyrocketed, there was concern that the FED would cut interest rates less than expected. This caused investors to rush into the USD and pushed the Euro down despite the EUR PMI data. better than previously announced expectations.
📌EUR/USD recovers to 1.0850 as risk mood improvesEUR/USD gains traction and rises to 1.0850 on Friday. The improvement seen in the risk mood made it difficult for the US Dollar (USD) to maintain its strength and helped the pair erase some of its weekly losses.
📌EURUSD does not break the EMA 89 and continues to maintain its long-term uptrend. After bouncing up to 1.0850 EUR, it created a new, more stable and solid trendline. This 1.0850 area is currently a resistance area saved by the trendline and the old peak in the h4 time frame, so there is a high possibility that the pair will have a slight recovery. The highest increase that the pair can achieve next week is around the price range of 1.0930 after breaking the peak around 1.0890. On the opposite side, if the rising trendline is broken, the next support level is around 1.0770, at which point a short-term downtrend will begin to form if this support is broken.
🕯Trading signals
BUY EURUSD zone 1.07700-1.07500 SL 1.07200
SELL EURUSD zone 1.09300-1.09500 SL 1.09800
GOLD price analysis week 22In the past week, Gold prices dropped sharply when the statements of FED members took on a "hawkish" tone. At the FOMC meeting
Many Fed members proposed raising interest rates if inflation remains high. Fed members said inflation data for the first quarter of 2024 was "disappointing".
According to a survey by global fund BOFA: Commodities had a record increase last month! This can be seen as an early prediction for PCE data to be released on Friday, May 31. A larger PCE data release will make traders bet on the Fed being more likely to change its initial interest rate cut plans in September and November.
Holding interest rates longer in terms of correlation will help the dollar and government bonds benefit, whereas investments that do not bring returns, in this case the precious metal Yellow, will be under selling pressure.
Notable economic data and events next week
Tuesday: -Consumer confidence index
Thursday: -Preliminary first-quarter US GDP
number of applications for unemployment benefits, pending home sales
Friday: Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) and Revenue
U.S. Personal Income and Expenditures
Gold price chart view
On the daily time frame, Gold price closed close to the ichimoku kumo cloud and below the tenkan+ kijun line, it is worth noting that the chikou-span moved below the price line. The price trend is up, the nearest resistance area is around 2352$, rising and closing above this level, the price could move towards 2365$ (an important price level that determines the previous trend), the technical resistance area behind that would be 2375-2383$ . On the downside, $2325 is the closest support area the price needs to break, followed by $2313-2304 in the short term. In the long term, a break and close below the $2,300 area could usher in a more bearish trend. On the H4 time frame, the signal lines show us a bearish trend, after an increase the price "adjusts" back to near tenkan-sen to regain balance and eliminate the "oversold" state. Opening next week's session, if the price falls below $2,325, it will be an early warning that the "correction" has ended and the Gold price continues its previous trend. In the small frame H1, the downtrend has turned to a sideways state. It is necessary to monitor to identify early signals on this frame.
The downtrend is still dominant, open selling positions close to the technical resistance area should be given priority.
Resistance and support levels
resistance area: 2353-2363-2375-2385
Support area: 2313-2304-2290-2282
Gold dropped sharply as the FED continued to be hawkishA bad home sales report (but record April home prices) combined with falling traffic and smaller spending data from Target cast an early shadow on the markets but it was the FOMC Minutes that did the trick. big waves with their more hawkish comments.
For any and all that say "yeah but they're old, we've had CPI and Retail Sales since then", see the chart below to find growth macro data disappointing since the last FOMC meeting and the development of the data matrix continues to increase - not stopping at the state of testing the technical summary...
The gold market remained unchanged before the FED meeting. However, in the Asian session, there was a very deep decline to the resistance area of 2342 - 2338.
Currently, it is calming above the 2360 level
But with these moves, we have the possibility that gold could fall further again
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the price to push up into the order region 2430-35 and above that we gave the extension level of 2445-65 if they wanted to take it there. We gave KOG’s bias level bullish above targets 2430-35 and above that 2447 as well as the path showing the short from the region. 2447 was completed, the extension level was hit and the move down gave traders an absolutely wonderful opportunity to short the market the whole week into the 2400 level, 2385 and beyond based on KOG’s daily bias levels.
In between these moves we managed to capture some long trades as well on the tab and bounces, giving us a pip capture through the roof in Camelot, not only on Gold, but the numerous other pairs we trade. Another fantastic week for our targets and traders.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
This week we’re going to keep it simple as it’s the end of the month, together with a bank holiday on Monday. After a month like this, we would suggest traders take it easy and concentrate more on taking this level to level depending on the move and structure that is presented to us after the weekly open. We have a key level support region as well as an order region below sitting around the 2305-10 price points which we feel is a viable level for price to attempt. Above, we have the order region 2350-55 and above that 2375 which is holding a lot of voids. Lower price is open for attack, with 2304 being the main support point and below that 2298 in the dip and extension of the move, so look out for these price points for any short trades as well as tap and bounces!
We’ve illustrated the move we’re looking for together with the levels above but our bias for this week will be played with caution due to it being the end of the month. If we open and see the Friday low supporting the price, we feel an opportunity on the break of 2340 will give traders an opportunity to long the market into the 2350-55 region and above that 2365-75 where we could see a flip, if they form a reversal taking us back down to the 2300 region and possibly lower.
2375 is an important price point where price needs to remain below to continue the move to the downside, as breaking this level will then flip the bias and we’ll be looking at attempting to break above 2400 again.
If, they continue downside from the open, it’s actually works in our favour as shorting it down here isn’t a great idea in case of an aggressive turn. So we’ll look below at the order region and as long as we stay above it, we feel an opportunity to take the long trade on the swing is available for traders.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG