Tradingsignals
Gold prices are standing still and waiting for results from FEDAfter completing the new history, gold easily becomes a time-limited investor. Not only that, gold prices at such a high level are difficult to attract new buyers to the market, also causing this commodity to decrease in price.
Sharing the same opinion, Anuj Gupta - Head of Commodities and Currency at HDFC Securities - determined that the upward trend in gold prices is still there and the direction of the precious metal will depend on the main direction of the US Federal Reserve. (Fed).
He believes that the speech of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell at the upcoming Jackson Hole congress will find a clearer picture of the monetary policy presentation of the Bank of America.
Accordingly, if Mr. Powell shows concern about the balance between economic growth and deflation, this will strengthen the possibility of cutting interest rates. Conversely, if he is optimistic and does not offer a commitment instrument, the school may have to adjust its current expectations.
Gold Price Analysis August 19Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices remained on the defensive in early European trading on Monday, although they held above $2,500 and remained within striking distance of their record highs. Growing expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin lowering borrowing costs in September triggered a fresh decline in US Treasury yields. This, in turn, dragged the US Dollar (USD) to its lowest level since January and acted as a boost for the non-yielding yellow metal.
In addition, the risk of escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the protracted Russia-Ukraine war contributed to limiting the decline in the safe-haven commodity. However, traders appeared reluctant to place fresh bets on Gold prices, preferring to wait for further signals on the Fed’s rate cut path. Therefore, the focus remains on the release of the FOMC meeting minutes on Wednesday and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, Friday’s breakout above the $2,470-2,472 horizontal barrier and subsequent strength above the previous all-time high is seen as a fresh impetus for bullish traders. Furthermore, the oscillators on the daily chart are holding in positive territory and are still far from overbought territory, suggesting that the path of least resistance for Gold prices is to the upside. That said, the failure to build momentum above the psychological $2,500 mark warrants some caution for the bulls. Therefore, it would be prudent to wait for some follow-through buying above Friday’s time-allowed top, around the $2,509-2,510 region, before positioning for any further gains.
On the other hand, the $2,472-2,470 resistance level currently seems to protect the immediate decline. Any further decline is likely to attract fresh buyers and remain limited in the $2,448-2,446 zone. The latter will act as a key pivot for short-term traders, a decisive break of which will open the way for deeper losses.
Resistance: 2509 - 2519 - 2533
Support: 2495 - 2488 - 2475 - 2470
SELL scalp price zone 2508 - 2510 stoploss 2514
SELL price zone 2532 - 2534 stoploss 2538
BUY price zone 2477 - 2375 stoploss 2471
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our 1h chart idea playing out perfectly, as analysed.
We got the cross and lock below 2500 opening the retracement range, which was hit perfectly. This followed with the perfect bounce for a nice catch and now heading for 2509.
We currently have a gap above at 2509 and will need a cross and lock above this level to open the range above. Failure to test and break 2509 level will follow with a rejection for another retracement test to the full retracement.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2509
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2509 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2519
2533
BEARISH TARGETS
2500 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2500 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2488 (DONE) - 2472
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2472 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2458 - 2446
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold price remained steady at 2500Gold costs have surged beyond report highs as a aggregate of upbeat US monetary reports, expectancies of Fed hobby charge cuts and growing tensions withinside the Middle East boosted demand. secure haven assets. Fears that Iran should retaliate towards Israel for current conflicts have heightened geopolitical tensions, and not using a enormous development in ceasefire negotiations. This uncertainty keeps to underpin gold`s rally, making it a key attention for traders looking for shelter amid worldwide uncertainty.
Gold costs are buying and selling better whilst presently checking out resistance. MACD has illustrated growing bullish momentum. However, the RSI is at 68, suggesting the commodity should face a technical correction because the RSI enters oversold territory.
Resistance levels: 2500.00, 2535.00
Support levels: 2465.00, 2445.00
Gold may trade sideways at the end of the week☘️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices are struggling to capitalize on the previous day's positive move and are hovering between modest gains heading into Friday's European session. Upbeat US macro data on Thursday eased fears of a sharp slowdown in the world's largest economy and boosted investor confidence, undermining demand for the safe-haven metal. However, rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, coupled with bets on the imminent start of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) policy easing cycle, supported XAU/USD.
In fact, the market has fully priced in a 25 basis point (bps) interest rate cut at the upcoming FOMC policy meeting in September. This prospect, in turn, triggered a fresh decline in US Treasury yields and attracted fresh sellers around the US Dollar (USD), which turned out to be another factor acting as a bullish driver for Gold
☘️Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, the overnight failure near the $2,470 resistance level makes it prudent to wait for some follow-through buying before positioning for any further gains. With the daily chart oscillators holding in positive territory, Gold could then aim to break above the all-time highs, around the $2,483-$2,484 zone hit in July, and conquer the psychological $2,500 mark. A sustained strength above the latter would confirm a breakout above a month-old trading range and could be viewed as a fresh trigger for bullish traders, setting the stage for a further near-term upside move.
On the downside, the $2,447-2,445 horizontal zone now looks to protect the immediate downside ahead of the $2,430-2,429 zone and the weekly low, around $2,424. Some follow-through selling could leave Gold vulnerable to further weakness below $2,400.
Resistance: 2475 - 2488 - 2500 -2509
Support: 2438 - 2333 - 2426 - 2421
Price ranges to note:
SELL zone 2473 - 2475 stoploss 2479
SELL zone 2498 - 2500 stoploss 2504
BUY zone 2438 - 2436 stoploss 2432
BUY zone 2426 - 2324 stoploss 2420
SNOW Snowflake Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold SNOW before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of SNOW Snowflake prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 110usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-9-20,
for a premium of approximately $2.70.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
GBPUSD analysis week 34Fundamental Analysis
The British pound (GBP) outperformed its major peers in New York trading on Friday. The British currency gained significantly as the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that retail sales rebounded in July, as expected, after a sharp decline in June.
Retail sales are a key gauge of consumer spending. Strong consumer demand tends to drive inflationary pressures in the economy, so the data could dampen expectations that the Bank of England (BoE) will opt to cut interest rates again in September.
The BoE's next monetary policy meeting in September could also be a tough call. UK service sector inflation fell sharply in July as wage growth slowed. However, the latest labor market data also showed a surprising drop in the Unemployment Rate and the economy is clearly on the path of expansion.
Technical Analysis
GBPUSD continues to trade in an ascending channel with the nearest support and resistance in the price range at 1.286 and 1.300 after posting a strong gain on Friday. On the H4 timeframe, the EMA 34 has crossed well above the EMA 89, indicating a strong bullish market structure, with the upside momentum heading towards last month’s high resistance around 1.304. On the other hand, any daily close below the 1.286 support would not confirm a bearish reversal. The pair needs to break the support level of 1.280 to really break the bullish structure on the current chart. RSI reaches the overbought level, indicating that the bullish momentum will continue in the early days of next week
Resistance: 1.300-1.304
Support: 1.286-1.280
Trading signal
SELL GBPUSD 1.303-1.305 SL 1.307
BUY GBPUSD 1.287-1.285 SL 1.283
EURUSD analysis week 33Fundamental Analysis
EUR/USD regained momentum and rose to 1.1020 in the American session on Friday after snapping a three-day winning streak. Upbeat macroeconomic data from the United States boosted the US dollar (USD) and sent EUR/USD lower. The US Department of Labor reported that initial weekly jobless claims fell by 7,000.
Improved risk sentiment on Friday morning made it difficult for the USD to continue Thursday's gains and sent EUR/USD higher. The US economic calendar will feature data on Housing Starts and Building Permits for July. Additionally, the University of Michigan will release preliminary Consumer Sentiment Index data for August. The market reaction to these data may not last long.
Technical Analysis
EURUSD continues to trade in an ascending channel with the nearest support and resistance in the price range at 1.106 and 1.091 after gaining ground above 1.100. On the D1 timeframe, the EMA 34 has crossed well above the EMA 89, indicating a strong bullish market structure, with the upside momentum heading towards the most important resistance around 1.113. On the other hand, any daily close below the 1.1091 support would not confirm a bearish reversal. The pair would need to break the 1.081 support to truly break the bullish structure on the current chart.
Resistance: 1.106-1.113
Support: 1.092-1.081
Trading Signals
SELL EURUSD 1.112-1.114 SL 1.116
BUY EURUSD 1.092-1.090 SL 1.088
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
We had a PIPTASTIC finish to the week with all our Bullish targets complete!!!
After completing our targets yesterday we got the correction back into the range below and we stated that we will now need to see ema5 cross and lock above 2459 to open 2475 once again.
- We got the cross and lock above 2459 once again and then followed with the 2475 retest hit, just like we said. We then got the ema5 cross and lock above 2475 opening 2488 and 2500, which were both hit perfectly completing this range - BOOOOOM!!!
We will now come back Sunday with our Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GBPCHF: Multiple Time Frame Analysis & Bearish Outlook 🇬🇧🇨🇭
GBPCHF may retrace from a key daily horizontal resistance.
The price formed a triple top pattern on that on an hourly time frame
and just broke its neckline.
We can expect a retracement at least to 1.118 level now.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Expect a 25-point cut from the Fed's interest ratesWorld gold fees persevered to say no with spot gold down 17 USD to 2,448.2 USD/ounce. Gold futures final traded at $2,486 an ounce, up $18.eighty from the intense spot.
A sharp growth in after-income interest at the start of the week persevered to place stress on gold, inflicting the valuable metallic to lose any other 1%. Besides, the document capitalized at the cutting-edge improvement that dampened marketplace optimism approximately a first-rate pivot at the following coverage assembly which additionally contributed to the decline in gold fees.
According to a document with the aid of using the United States Department of Labor`s Bureau of Labor Statistics, the United States client fee index expanded 0.2% final month, after falling 0.1% in June. So, over the equal length final year, CPI rose 2.9%, then rose 3% in June.
According to the FedWatch CME tool, after the CPI document turned into released, the chance that the Fed will reduce hobby costs with the aid of using 50 foundation factors on the September assembly has reduced to 41% from 50% previously.
USDJPY trading signalsJapanese Yen remains stronger as US Dollar remains tepid ahead of key economic data
The Japanese Yen edges higher due to rising odds of the BoJ adopting a hawkish stance amid upbeat GDP data. Japan's Gross Domestic Product increased by 0.8% in Q2, marking the strongest quarterly growth since Q1 of 2023. The US Dollar advanced due to improved Treasury yields despite a dovish sentiment surrounding the Fed.
BUY USDJPY now zone 147.300-147.100
↠ Stoploss 146.900
→Take Profit 1 147.600
→Take Profit 2 148.300
EUR JPY Trade Setup 30 mins timeframe. EUR JPY has formed an head and shoulders pattern on the 30 mins timeframe.
This pattern was formed at the 4 hour resistance level.
Now we need to see a soild candlesticks confirmation pattern before going short.
Don't trade all the time, trade forex only at the confirmed trade setups.
Gold price declines from multi-week peakWorld gold charges reduced barely because the USD index increased. Recorded at 9:15 a.m. on August 14, the United States Dollar Index measuring the fluctuation of the dollar with 6 main currencies changed into at 102,427 points (up 0.05%).
Despite the decrease, the valuable metallic remains at a excessive stage earlier than US financial records. The US introduced that the manufacturer charge index (PPI) in July on a every year foundation reduced sharply from 2.7% to 2.2% over the equal length final 12 months.
However, the July PPI index (except for unstable meals and power charges) on a 12 months-on-12 months foundation changed into up 3.3% 12 months-on-12 months, better than June`s 3.2% growth. .
July's middle PPI index on a every year foundation unexpectedly dropped sharply from 3% final month to 2.4%, a great deal decrease than the preceding forecast of 2.7%. The July PPI index on a month-to-month foundation reduced from an growth of 0.2% the preceding month to 0.1%.
Newly launched records is still moderate, with product charges in July withinside the US growing much less than expected. The contemporary troubles keep to reinforce the opportunity of hobby charge cuts on the FED's subsequent principal list.
Gold price analysis August 14Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices attracted some follow-through selling for the second consecutive day on Wednesday and moved further away from the monthly peaks retested earlier this week. A generally positive tone around equity markets dampened demand for the safe-haven precious metal, although geopolitical tensions stemming from ongoing conflicts in the Middle East helped limit losses.
In addition, expectations of further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, bolstered by signs of continued subdued inflation, acted as a catalyst for non-yielding gold prices. Traders also appeared reluctant to place positive bets, preferring to wait for further cues on the Fed’s policy path. As a result, the market’s focus remained on US consumer inflation data.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, the recent bounce from the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) support and the positive oscillators on the daily chart favor the bullish traders. Therefore, any meaningful decline can still be viewed as a buying opportunity and remains limited. Gold prices appear to be preparing to retest the record high, around the $2,483-2,484 region and target the psychological $2,500 mark. Sustained strength above the latter would mark a fresh breakout through the wider trading range maintained over the past month or so and set the stage for a further near-term upside move.
On the downside, the $2,450-2,448 resistance level now looks to protect the immediate downside, below which gold could slide back to the weekly lows around the $2,424-2,423 region touched on Monday. The next relevant support level is anchored near the $2,412-2,410 region ahead of the $2,400 round-figure mark.
Canh Sell scalp 2485 - 2487, stoploss 2491
Canh Sell 2500 - 2502, stoploss 2506
Canh Buy scalp 2435 - 2433, stoploss 2429
Canh Buy 2426 - 2424, stoploss 2420
Gold Price Analysis August 13Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices are struggling to capitalize on the previous day’s strong gain of more than 1% and attracted some intraday sellers near a retested monthly peak in the Asian session on Tuesday. The decline could be attributed to some repositioning ahead of key US inflation figures and a positive risk-on bias, which tends to dampen demand for the safe-haven precious metal.
However, rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and concerns about a broader regional conflict could dampen market optimism. This, coupled with dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve (Fed), which put US Dollar (USD) bulls on the defensive, should provide some support to the lackluster Gold prices. Traders are now looking forward to the US Producer Price Index (PPI) for meaningful momentum.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, the overnight breakout above the $2,448-2,450 horizontal resistance is seen as a fresh impetus for bullish traders. Furthermore, the oscillators on the daily chart have gained positive traction, further suggesting that the path of least resistance for Gold is to the upside. Hence, a further move back to challenge the record high, around the $2,483-2,484 region, looks like a clear possibility. Next up is the psychological $2,500 level, which if decisively cleared would set the stage for an extension of the upward trajectory.
On the downside, the $2,450-2,448 resistance now looks to protect the immediate downside, below which, Gold could slide back to the overnight lows around the $2,424-2,423 region. The next relevant support level is anchored near the $2,412-2,410 zone ahead of the $2,400 round-figure mark.
Pay attention to the support-resistance zone for the best trading strategy.
Resistance: 2469 - 2475 - 2486 - 2492- 2500 - 2508
Support: 2459 - 2446 - 2434 - 2425
Sell 2485 - 2487, Stoploss 2491
Sell 2500 - 2502, Stoploss 2506
Buy 2435 - 2433, Stoploss 2429
Buy 2426 - 2424, Stoploss 2420
World gold price increased sharply to 2,477 USD/ounceThe price of gold traded on the world market this afternoon, August 13, stood at 2,462.1 USD/ounce, down 11.8 USD/ounce compared to the morning session. Gold futures price was at 2,500.8 USD/ounce, down 8.3 USD/ounce compared to the morning session. Thus, with this morning's trading session, world gold decreased.
Having received support for the gold price trend, some experts believe that the US Federal Reserve (FED) will provide monetary policy at the upcoming meeting, also supporting the price increase forum. of these precious metals. According to CME group's FedWatch interest rate tracking tool, the market is pricing in a 49% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates by 50 basis points next September.
The current gold market goes up and down very quickly, making it difficult for traders to choose a direction in the short term, but experts still expect that gold will increase in price by the end of the year.
US30 Chaos and How to deal with itAs I would have mentioned within the last video I posted I was actually expecting a pullback - well it turned out to be a full on retracement and that forced me to stop trading because the momentum literally went against what I was expecting.
This is to show how we can use probability, timing and momentum to make informed decisions on what trades we should and shouldn't take.
Hope you have a good day today
Look out for the next video I am going to post on GOLD