Potential Long Setup on OPWe've identified a promising long setup on OP with several strong confluences:
1. **Sweep of MDay-Low Range**: The price has swept the MDay-Low range, moving right into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Demand zone.
2. **Bullish Market Structure**: The market remains bullish as long as the demand holds.
3. **Range Low Within Demand**: The range low is situated inside the demand zone.
4. **Multiple FVGs Above**: Various FVGs on different time frames are positioned between $2.83 and $2.97. We anticipate these levels will be taken out in the future, though the timing is uncertain.
Additionally, we have lost the trendline and retested it perfectly, which should provide sufficient momentum to the downside, allowing us to get filled here. We have set the stop loss a bit wider than usual to account for a potential dip below the demand zone to capture the resting liquidity there. All these factors combined provide enough momentum and security to validate this setup as a high-probability trade.
Tradingsignals
Gold Market Update Exploring TrendsDiscover an enticing Buying opportunity in GOLD as it undergoes a critical retest of a key resistance area. With market analysis, technical indicators, and price action as your allies, evaluate the potential upside move. Stay vigilant and informed to capitalize on this precious metal's market dynamics.
Powell's been very clear that the next move is a cut“Bears have had ample opportunity to re-take control of the trend, but ever since the low printed on the NFP report, bulls have been making their way back,” Stanley said. “This week saw a break of the falling wedge, which takes on a similar appearance as a bull flag, and this keeps the door open for continued strength next week.”
Adrian Day, President of Adrian Day Asset Management, sees the situation as fairly balanced for the coming week.
“Gold’s resilience has been very strong,” Day said, “but I suspect we will see a pullback after another assault on $2,400, so for next week I’ll go with unchanged.”
Adam Button, head of currency strategy at Forexlive.com, is concerned about Asian demand, but believes the uptrend remains in place. “Your story about the slowdown in gold buying from China has me worried, but it’s tough to argue with the price action,” he said.
“We should consider that gold quotes have been periodically updating historical highs since February,” said Alex Kuptsikevich, senior market analyst at FxPro. “We can also consider the April retreat as a correction to the area of 76.4% of the growth impulse from the minimum close of the day in February to the maximum close in April. In this case, the growth target becomes the area of $2640 (161.8% of the initial rally).”
DXY : The USD will continue to weakenOn the morning of May 15, the State Bank (SBV) announced the central exchange rate USD/VND at 24,269 VND, an increase of 3 VND. The exchange rate range allowed for transactions at Commercial Banks ranges from 23,400 - 25,450 VND. The USD/VND exchange rate was also brought to the trading range of 23,400 - 25,450 VND by the SBV Exchange.
This morning's exchange rate increased slightly at commercial banks. Specifically, Vietcombank has a buying level of 25,152 and a selling level of 25,482, an increase of 3 dong in both buying and selling directions compared to yesterday. Meanwhile, the exchange rate on the free market increased more strongly. In Hanoi at 05:15, the exchange rate fluctuated around 25,768 - 25,848 VND, an increase of 10 VND on the buying side and an increase of 20 VND on the selling side compared to yesterday.
The DXY index yesterday almost lost the 105.00 mark after the PPI data was released. Currency pairs also fluctuated accordingly, even the USD/VND exchange rate in the forex market also decreased sharply. However, somehow miraculously, the listed exchange rate still increased slightly.
XAUUSD : Gold is pushing towards record territoryGold prices steady amid mixed US PPI data, investors ready for tonight's CPI data
Gold's rally continues after falling on Monday at $2,357, but has yet to surpass the recent high of $2,378, recorded on May 10. This could cause the XAU/ USD moves sideways within a certain price range. According to the RSI indicator, the current trend is beneficial for investors holding gold.
Therefore, the first level of resistance for XAU/USD will be the high of May 10, which is $2,378. If surpassed, the next level will be $2,400, followed immediately by the April 19 high of $2,417 and the historical peak of $2,431.
Conversely, if bears prevail and push the price below $2,359, it could lead to a decline to the May 9 low of $2,306, then to $2,300. Once crossed, the next stop will be the 50-day SMA at $2,249.
GOLD 4H CHART MARKET UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great day on the chart today catching the move up form support inline with our plans to buy dips.
Yesterday after break and lock confirmation below 2357, we got our retracement target hit at 2337. We then highlighted, as per the chart arrow our expectation for a bounce back into 2357.
- This played out perfectly for the bounce into 2357 today. We will now look for a cross and lock above 2357 for a continuation above or a rejection here can provide the momentum for another retest at the retracement range for the full retracement range test.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2389
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
2412
2435
BEARISH TARGETS
2357 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2357 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2337 - DONE
2317
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2317 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2290 - 2274
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
RNDR - another long opportunityRender is reacting more than others and it seems to be in an different market structure here as we have been building more higher higher lows and higher highs when zooming out. Currently we are on the edge of the MDay-Low range, we are looking for a sweep of this Weak Low and the MDay-Low right into the 1H demand zone and the range low. The volume profile should hold too. If RNDR is not holding this case, we are going to drop to $8.68-8, where we are going to set new entrys in case we fall through the demand. This setup is more risky as BTC seems to not get above the desired 63.5k level. Manage your risk accordingly.
GBPUSD SELL | Idea Trading AnalysisGBPUSD is moving in a descending channel near the upper boundary.
The volatility of the price movement decreased when approaching the channel boundary.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDJPY
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
GOLD 4H CHART MARKET UDATEHey Everyone,
Our 4H chart kick starts the week with 2357 support hit first. This followed with ema5 lock below 2357 opening the retracement range.
This allowed us to wait patiently for the retracement range to be hit. This was hit perfectly and now we are seeing price test the first level of the retracement range.
We expect support bounce on each level of the retracement range and now waiting patiently.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2389
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
2412
2435
BEARISH TARGETS
2357 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2357 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2337 - DONE
2317
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2317 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2290 - 2274
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
EURCHF: Very Bullish Pattern 🇪🇺🇨🇭
EURCHF formed a cup & handle pattern after a test of a key horizontal support.
I am looking for a bullish breakout of its neckline to buy the pair.
A daily candle close above 0.978 will confirm the violation.
A bullish continuation will be expected to 0.982 resistance then.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Gold Prices to Continue the Bullish Trend During 2024As 2024 unfolds, gold prices are poised for a significant surge due to the economic and geopolitical forces that underline a strong bullish trend in the market. Despite the challenges posed by a strengthening U.S. dollar and hawkish stances from the Federal Reserve, gold has maintained robust performance. This strength is further supported by a marked increase in global demand, as highlighted in reports from the World Gold Council.
Investments in the over-the-counter markets, steadfast buying by central banks, and rising demand from key Asian economies like China and India underscore gold’s dual role as a traditional safe haven and a crucial hedge against currency risk and inflation. These factors, combined with an uncertain geopolitical landscape and the potential for softened Federal Reserve policies, are crafting an environment ripe for gold’s value to climb, making it an increasingly attractive investment for 2024 and beyond.
💵 SELL TVC:GOLD 2365-2367💵
✔️TP 2355
✔️TP 2345
❌SL 2375
💵 BUY TVC:GOLD 2340 - 2342💵
✔️TP 2350
✔️TP 2360
❌SL 2333
Understanding the Technical Bullish OutlookTechnical analysis of gold also shows bullish prospects. Gold prices have charted an ascending widening wedge pattern since 2016, starting from a low of $1124.30. This pattern is often recognized for its expanding trend lines and suggests increasing volatility and bullish sentiment as price makes higher highs and lows.
Furthermore, another bullish pattern has emerged within this ascending expanding wedge pattern: the formation of an inverted head and shoulders pattern, often considered a reversal pattern indicating a transition from the market price reduction to price increase. The head of this pattern formed at $1622.20, with shoulders completed at $1673.30 and $1810.80.
The key aspect of this pattern is the break above the neckline at $2075 in March 2024, signaling a strong long-term breakout. This breakout is significant because gold prices have stabilized below the key pivot point of $2075 for several years. A successful breach above this level suggests a potential rally to $3000, marking the initial target set by the ascending expanding wedge pattern.
💵 SELL OANDA:XAUUSD 2365-2367💵
✔️TP 2355
✔️TP 2345
❌SL 2375
💵 BUY OANDA:XAUUSD 2340 - 2342💵
✔️TP 2350
✔️TP 2360
❌SL 2333
DXY : USD is forecast to weaken at the end of the yearFor USD, the weekend before May 10, the SBV announced the central exchange rate of 24,271 VND, an increase of 6 VND compared to the previously listed rate, the reference exchange rate at the SBV Exchange was at 23,400 - 25,450 VND. . Buying prices at commercial banks currently fluctuate between 25,120 - 25,225 VND while selling prices reach 25,484 VND. On the black market, the buying and selling price of USD is at 25,670 - 25,750 VND.
Despite trading in a week lacking directional data, the DXY index remained quite volatile and overall had a bullish week of trading. The index is currently still trading above the key support level of 105.00 at the time of writing. This week, the market will be quite busy when the US economic calendar thickens with PPI, CPI and Retail Sales,... announced. Most important will be the CPI, which has a significant influence on market expectations of the Fed cutting interest rates.
XAUUSD : Gold is still expected to increase in the near futureWorld gold price (XAU/USD) increased nearly 1.5% at one point last weekend, reaching a high of $2,378 before closing at $2,360. This is the second consecutive rising session since the previous sideway period.
This precious metal broke out strongly in the context of geopolitical tensions showing signs of escalating in Gaza when peace negotiations between Hamas and Israel in Cairo failed. Gold demand is also driven by concerns about the US labor market. Recent economic data has shown signs of weakness, fueling speculation that the Fed may lower interest rates sooner than expected, thereby stimulating demand for gold. Besides, globally, the general trend of central banks is shifting to reducing interest rates or at least, they are showing that they are ready to lower interest rates. The interest rate environment shows signs of peaking and starting to gradually decrease, which also creates a push for gold prices.
Centrally, the Fed's monetary policy is always adaptive to the situation and based on the latest data. Therefore, the timing of interest rate cuts may change depending on inflation developments, if inflation decreases or increases faster than expected. This week's CPI report will be in focus as this data point could have a significant impact on gold prices.
Mr. Jim Wyckoff, Senior Market Analyst at Kitco News, commented: "If this week's inflation data is high or even moderate, the likelihood of the Fed cutting interest rates as early as September will decrease. go significantly."
GBPJPY: The USD stabilized at the end of the week, the British PThe greenback steadied on Friday after dropping floor withinside the preceding consultation on susceptible jobs records, whilst sterling edged up following stronger-than-anticipated boom figures.
At 04:10 ET (08:10 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the dollar towards a basket of six different currencies, changed into buying and selling simply better at 105.115.
The USD is heading in the right direction for small profits this week
The USD steadied on Friday and is on route to advantage barely this week after falling on Thursday after records launched displaying a larger-than-anticipated advantage in subject matter records unemployment blessings request}} weekly.
This proof of a cooling US hard work marketplace has strengthened a few expectancies that the Federal Reserve will start slicing hobby costs in September.
Still, hard inflation stays the Fed`s foremost factor of contention, with a chain of officers caution of such remarks this week which have boosted the greenback this week.
San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly stated Thursday that there is "considerable" uncertainty approximately in which U.S. inflation will head withinside the coming months.
She added: “In a state of affairs in which inflation stays at... levels, with out in addition development being made, it isn't always suitable to begin adjusting costs until we see a slowdown withinside the hard work marketplace ”.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP AND TRADING PLANS FOR THE WEEK AHEADHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two levels 2365 and 2346. We have a open gap above at 2365, 2379 Goldturn and below at 2346.
We will need to see ema5 lock above 2379 to further open the range above or a rejection will follow to find support at the retracement range. A cross and lock below 2346 will open the swing range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2365
2379
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2379 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
2393
2408
BEARISH TARGETS
2346
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2346 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2321 - 2305
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX