BTC BIG PICTURE One of the lagre picture that I am following in the coming months. Everyone expects 100k, which is possible because you see targets 1 and 1,618, but since the first wave was impulsive, I don't believe it will have a big extension.
Targets 74k and 95k until the price tells me otherwise. As for the smaller tf, I will comment below
First look at the smaller time frame , I expect price to make 3-3-3-3-3 and confirm the final diagonal.
Another view is that this move has already started its third impulsive wave. Disability zones 62k-63k where I will know which side it will go after price test those levels
Tradingsignals
Heading Into Earning With a Bearish FlagNASDAQ:ASML a leading chipmaker is showing an interesting pattern!
In the short term, momentum appears bullish as the price has crossed the 20 SMA and is approaching the 50 SMA, with analysts expecting positive earnings. However, on the daily and weekly charts, a bearish flag pattern is forming, which suggests a potential downtrend. If the price breaks above the 849 resistance, the bullish momentum could continue, but if it fails, the downtrend may push the price towards the 775 support level.
Economic data more supportive of 25 basis point cutThe market is still waiting for data to be more certain about the next move of the US Federal Reserve (FED). Analyst Giovanni Staunovo of UBS said that since the payroll data was released last week, the market has been discussing whether the world's leading economy is in a soft landing scenario. Staunovo added that the upcoming inflation data will partly answer that question.
This morning, gold prices continued to decline after the FED released the minutes of the September 17-18 meeting, in which it noted that the pace of future cuts will not be determined by the initial cut (the FED just cut interest rates by 0.5% last month).
Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said she wanted smaller cuts in the near term, due to the remaining inflation risks and significant uncertainties about the economic outlook.
According to the World Gold Council (WGC), central banks around the world have slowed their gold purchases in 2024 compared to 2023, but still maintained higher purchases than before 2022. This is partly due to the People's Bank of China stopping gold purchases since May until now...
💎 XAUUSD Buy limit 2606 - 2608💎
✔️TP1: 2615
✔️TP2: 2625
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2597
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
💎XAUUSD Sell limit 2632 - 2634💎
✔️TP1: 2624
✔️TP2: 2614
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2642
World gold price continued to decreaseWorld gold fee endured to decrease, right all the way down to 2,609 USD/ounce, thirteen USD decrease than yesterday. This is the sixth consecutive decrease, bringing gold costs to the bottom withinside the beyond month. The predominant thing inflicting gold to move down is stated to be the upward thrust of the USD as traders now no longer count on a good deal that the United States Federal Reserve (Fed) will considerably lessen hobby quotes on the November meeting.
The Fed has simply launched the mins of its September 17-18 meeting, which stated that the tempo of destiny discounts will now no longer be decided through the preliminary reduction (the Fed simply decreased hobby quotes through 0.5% closing month). . Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan stated she needs smaller cuts ahead, given lingering inflation dangers and substantial uncertainties approximately the financial outlook.
💎 TVC:GOLD Buy limit 2604 - 2607💎
✔️TP1: 2617
✔️TP2: 2627
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2595
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
💎 TVC:GOLD Sell limit 2637 - 2635💎
✔️TP1: 2627
✔️TP2: 2617
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2653
(CPI) in September 2024 expected to increase 2.3%The median estimate (yr-over-yr, now no longer seasonally adjusted) for the client rate index (CPI) for the month of September 2024 is 2.3%.
If 2.3% is the real yr-over-yr growth withinside the CPI, it'll mark the smallest growth withinside the quantity because February 2021 (1.7%).
The August 2024 client rate index expanded through 2.five% (yr-over-yr, now no longer seasonally adjusted), in comparison to the median estimate of 2.6%. Over the beyond 12 months, the growth withinside the CPI has passed the median estimate in five months, matched the median estimate in 2 months, and fallen quick of the median estimate in five months. It is thrilling to notice that real CPI quantity has been under the estimate over the last 4 months (May 2024 via August 2024). Over the beyond five years (60 months), the growth withinside the CPI has passed the median estimate 52% of the time, matched the median estimate 15% of the time, and fallen quick of the median estimate 33% of the time.
The median estimate of 2.3% is primarily based totally on 17 estimates gathered through FactSet. These CPI estimates variety from a low of 2.20% to a excessive of 2.40%, for a variety of 20 bps. This unfold is smaller than the trailing 12-month common unfold among the low and excessive estimate of 27 bps and smaller than the five-yr (60 month) common unfold among the low and excessive estimate forty nine bps.
The median estimate (yr-over-yr, now no longer seasonally adjusted) for the client rate index apart from food & energy (Core CPI) is 3.2%.
Tomorrow (October 10) the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will launch the CPI and Core CPI numbers for September.
💎 XAUUSD Buy limit 2604 - 2607💎
✔️TP1: 2617
✔️TP2: 2627
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2595
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
💎XAUUSD Sell limit 2637 - 2635💎
✔️TP1: 2627
✔️TP2: 2617
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2653
Asian session gold trading marginHello traders. 2605-2623 becomes the first border zone of the port. These are two important session port zones. When the price comes, we can trade and consider exiting the order before CPI. Besides, the price zone 15-17 is also paying attention to scalping. Wish everyone a successful transaction.
Bitcoin falling to 59K??? Short-term prediction!!Hey guys!
Many interesting things happening at the market right now, and here are my thoughts about BTC.
So in quick we have a red cross on 4H, so seems like we at least can see BTC around 59K, cause also this is important Fib 0,618 level.
The volumes are still descending, plus the green line was broke, which means that we have a convergence with volume.
For me, for sure we gonna touch 59K zone and after we will see.
What's your thoughts?
EURUSD / UNDER FOMC PRESSURE / 4HEURUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The price has declined by 60% after breaking out of a channel .
Currently, the price is approaching a demand zone between 1.093 and 1.091. This zone is where buyers may step in, stabilizing the price.
If the price stabilizes within this demand zone, it is expected to bounce up to the FVG between 1.098 and 1.102. The FVG represents a gap in the price where there was little trading, which often acts as a price target for retracement.
If the price breaks through the FVG, it could rise further, targeting the supply zone between 1.105 and 1.108, where sellers may re-enter the market and apply downward pressure.
On the downside, if the price fails to hold in the demand zone (1.093 to 1.091), it may decline further to another liquidity or demand zone around 1.088, where buying interest could once again materialize.
Supply Zone : 1.105 and 1.108.
Demand Zone : 1.093 and 1.091.
FVG : 1.098 and 1.102.
USDJPY / TRADING ABOVE DEMAND ZONE AND FVG / 4HUSDJPY / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Price Action , Prices are currently trading below the supply zone between 148.623 and 149.360 , The next target seems to be the demand zone (A) between 147.164 and 146.062.
Potential Outcomes , If prices reach the demand zone (A) and hold above it, a bullish reversal may occur, potentially pushing prices back toward the supply zone ,If prices break below demand zone (A), they may drop to the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone (B) between 145.321 and 144.268.
Further Movements , If prices stabilize below zone (B), the next targets would be zone (C) around 142.817 and further down to 141.801 , Conversely, if prices stabilize above demand zone (A), it indicates potential upward momentum, aiming back toward supply zone 148.623 to 149.360.
Supply Zone : 148.623 and 149.360.
Demand Zone : 147.164 and 146.062 , 142.817 and 141.801.
FVG :145.321 and 144.268.
XAUUSD / BREAKOUT CHANNEL / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
You’re observing a bearish trend, meaning prices are moving downward or are under selling pressure. This could be due to various factors such as a correction after an uptrend, external market conditions, or the asset hitting resistance zones.
The Fair Value Gap (FVG) is a price range that was quickly passed through during a previous move, creating an imbalance in market orders (usually between aggressive buyers and sellers). These gaps often act as key levels of interest where prices may retrace.
FVG Resistance Zone: You have identified an FVG between $2,621 and $2,637. As long as the price stays below this range, it indicates bearish sentiment and the likelihood of further decline ,This gap can act as a resistance zone, meaning price is struggling to rise above it due to strong selling pressure in that range.
If the price fails to break above the FVG resistance zone, you expect it to continue declining, with targets at:
Demand Zone $2,604 to $2,595: This is an area where buyers previously stepped in, causing prices to rise. It acts as support and a potential reversal point. If the price reaches these levels, you expect some buying interest to potentially stabilize or reverse the trend.
However, if the price breaks below the $2,595 support level, it could signal a deeper bearish move.
If the price manages to break above the FVG (i.e., trades above $2,637), this would suggest a potential bullish reversal or upward momentum, leading to the next key levels:
Supply Zone $2,645 to $2,652, This is where sellers previously overwhelmed buyers, and price dropped. Reaching this zone could lead to consolidation or resistance unless there is enough buying power to push through.
Uptrend Confirmation , To confirm a more sustained uptrend, the price needs to break above the $2,652 level. A successful breakout here could lead to a move toward the next target of $2,664.
World gold costs dropped sharply withinside World gold prices dropped sharply in the context of the rising USD index. Recorded at 0:00 on October 9, the US Dollar Index measuring the fluctuation of the greenback with 6 major currencies was at 102,340 points (up 0.04%).
World gold prices faced a wave of selling when a senior official of Hezbollah expressed support for Lebanese officials' efforts towards a ceasefire. Market participants are seeing the news as a easing of tensions in the Middle East.
Not only gold, news about Hezbollah has "sunk" the crude oil market - a commodity that is closely related to precious metals. Nymex crude oil price decreased by about 3.75 USD/barrel to 73.5 USD/barrel.
💎 TVC:GOLD buy 2617- 2615💎
✔️TP1: 2625
✔️TP2: 2635
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2609
💎 TVC:GOLD sell 2637- 2635💎
✔️TP1: 2625
✔️TP2: 2615
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2643
Gold price analysis October 9Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices fell sharply on Tuesday following a strong US jobs report and news reports that Hezbollah backed calls for a ceasefire in the conflict between it and Israel. As a result, hints of a possible de-escalation of the Middle East conflict opened the door for traders to take profits. XAU/USD traded at $2,615, down more than 1%.
This prompted a sell-off in XAU/USD, which fell more than $35 to an intraday low of $2,604 before buyers took it to the current spot price. Additionally, rising US Treasury yields weighed on the non-yielding metal. The benchmark US 10-year yield remained unchanged above 4%, but has risen more than six basis points this week following last Friday's September Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report.
Against this backdrop, interest rate traders have adjusted their expectations for the next move by the Federal Reserve (Fed). Most Fed speakers have been gradual in their tone toward easing monetary policy. However, some, like St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem, only expect one more cut by year-end after backing a 50 bps cut in September.
Technical Analysis
The Asian session range that we are paying attention to is around 2603 and 2627. The bottom support zone that the US session touched last night is also known as session support. The resistance zone is a breakout retest zone that the market respects. The upper range converges with the 34 EMA for a good trading plan in the Asian session. In the US session, the price range is wider with the price zone of interest around 2592 and the resistance of 2648 is considered a key price zone to hold the price from long declines.
Fears of rising disputes reduce confidence in goldOn the opposite hand, there may be a danger of inflation, the Boston Fed president stated
Boston Fed President Susan Collins stated Tuesday that the U.S. economic system is at danger now no longer simplest from the chronic race however additionally from a recession.
Collins stated there may be nonetheless a risk the hard work marketplace might be robust whilst the taper is complete, however "it`s all at danger."
"There's plenty to preserve song of. I suppose humility is continually essential and we have got discovered that there may be surprises alongside the way," Collins stated.
On the only hand, the Federal Reserve's push to elevate hobby prices to lessen emissions has made the economic system "extra liable to negative shocks," in keeping with Collins.
"My self belief in displaying development has increased - however so has the danger of the economic system slowing once more to the diploma had to repair charge stability," she stated.
💎 XAUUSD buy 2617- 2615💎
✔️TP1: 2625
✔️TP2: 2635
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2609
💎 XAUUSD sell 2637- 2635💎
✔️TP1: 2625
✔️TP2: 2615
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2643
USDCAD ShortUSDCAD looks like a sell on the H4 and has been moving steadily down from my last entry in UC. I believe that there will be a potential double top move looking to move towards the 1.35800s towards the 1.35371 prior to a pullback or further breakdown of the pair. I am looking for this mainly to be a day trade, however, I will also be placing a swing trade for my other trading accounts to bare in mind to also use PROPER risk management. RSI also indicates that we are long overdue a major short and will see it within the next few candles how far USDCAD can go.
ENTRY: 1.36595
TP 1 (Day Trade): 1.35371
TP 2 (Swing Trade): 1.34806
SL: 30 pips from entry
Please message me if you have any questions! Please enjoy your day and be sure to follow our page!
EURAUD: Classic Pullback Trade From Resistance 🇪🇺 🇦🇺
EURAUD looks quite oversold after a test of a wide, key daily resistance.
We see a double top formation after its test and a local sign of strength of
the sellers with the violation of its horizontal neckline.
The price may drop to 1.6267 level.
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EGLD - Time to buy again!EGLD is forming a falling wedge on Daily timeframe , Up we go if we do breakout.
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard .💚
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Gold price analysis October 8Fundamental analysis Gold prices attracted some selling for the fifth consecutive day on Tuesday, falling to their lowest in more than a week, close to the $2,630 trading range support level in the first half of the European session. Friday’s upbeat US jobs report provides further evidence of a resilient labor market and forced investors to trim their bets on another aggressive rate cut by the Federal Reserve. This, in turn, was seen as a major factor undermining demand for the non-yielding yellow metal.
That said, a softening US dollar (USD), coupled with the risk of further escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, could provide some support to safe-haven gold prices. Traders may also refrain from placing aggressive bets ahead of the release of the FOMC meeting minutes on Wednesday. Additionally, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the US Producer Price Index (PPI), scheduled for release on Thursday and Friday, will provide fresh impetus to XAU/USD.
Technical analysis
Gold price is pushed up to 2647 before the US session. Attention price zone 2649-2651. When the US session enters, the price cannot break this zone, we sell to 2622-2611. In case this zone breaks, we wait for retes BUY in the 2643-2645 zone, target today 2660. Wish you successful trading with the strategy and important price zones that I have noted.
SHIBUSDT potential test of Down Trend Resistance lineSHIBUSDT is currently in an accumulation phase, with the price oscillating around the 0.000015 level. The market has bounced off this support level twice before initiating an upward impulse move. The most recent swing upward was stronger than the previous one, signaling a potential increase in bullish momentum. Growing expectations of a possible bull run could act as a trigger for further upward movement. The market continues to bounce off the upward trendline, forming higher lows, which indicates buying pressure. Based on this analysis, the price could retest the channel border, potentially leading to further bullish momentum. The target is the resistance zone at 0.00002.
I Cannot Short This !!! situation+next targets.DOT is forming a falling wedge on Daily timeframe , Up we go if we do breakout. the price can be bullish and I expect the price to go up to the Fibonacci line of 0.618 = 6.80$ Stay tuned for more updates, thanks.
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
World gold prices decreased despite the decline in the USD indexGold rate fluctuates strongly because of many conflicting elements affecting it. Jesse Colombo - unbiased analyst, stated the state of affairs withinside the Middle East is complex and nobody can are expecting what is going to happen. Therefore, humans rushed to shop for gold and hold the rate strong as at present.
On the contrary, Michael Moor - founding father of Moor Analytics commented that gold fees will lower in the course of this time. Meanwhile, Mark Leibovit - writer of VR Metals/Resource Letter, believes that the marketplace has reached the pinnacle of the short-time period cycle.
Regarding the gold import state of affairs of valuable banks, in step with treasured metals analysts at Heraeus, in spite of growing gold fees, India`s gold imports have skyrocketed to the very best degree considering that the start of 2021.
In their modern-day replace on treasured metals, analysts at Heraeus stated India's gold imports have hit a 3.5-12 months excessive in education for robust seasonal call for.
“Strong call for from Indian clients and restocking through the metals enterprise in advance of the Diwali competition despatched the country's gold imports hovering to a greater than three-12 months excessive of a hundred twenty five tonnes in August. This marks an boom of 58% 12 months-over-12 months and 212% month-over-month. Imports had been supported through a reduce in import price lists on treasured metals in July.”
💎 TVC:GOLD Buy 2630 - 2627💎
✔️TP1: 2647
✔️TP2: 2657
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2619
💎 TVC:GOLD Sell 2653 - 2655💎
✔️TP1: 2640
✔️TP2: 2637
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2663
Is now a good time to buy gold stocks?Over the beyond six months, gold charges have risen, attaining new report highs nearly each month. However, the yellow metal`s rate has encountered a few resistance for the reason that hitting US$2,670 on October 1, sending it right all the way down to as little as US$2,639.
Hemke defined in an October three interview that this may be the end result of the marketplace checking out resistance at $2,650.
In September, gold charges hit a brand new report excessive above $2,six hundred after the U.S. Federal Reserve reduce its benchmark hobby price for the primary time for the reason that begin of the 2022 bull run.
“Gold charges bottomed at US$1,895 in mid-February and had been replied for the reason that then — gold charges have expanded 25 percentage in that period,” he advised INN in an interview recorded early September .
"It's now no longer that the gold producers, the large groups and the intermediaries, have not reacted. The large gold groups, now no longer counting the trouble groups, are up forty five to ninety percentage from the lowest gold rate." in February, and intermediaries expanded from 50 percentage to 132 percentage"
💎 XAUUSD Buy 2630 - 2627💎
✔️TP1: 2647
✔️TP2: 2657
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2619
💎XAUUSD Sell 2653 - 2655💎
✔️TP1: 2640
✔️TP2: 2637
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2663
XAUUSD / TRADING ACCUMULATION ZONE / 1HXAUUSD / 1H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Zone A (2,659$ - 2,653$) , The price is currently attempting to stabilize within this range.
If stabilization occurs, it suggests a potential breakout to reach the demand zone (2,631$ - 2,623$).
Demand Zone (2,631$ - 2,623$) , If the price breaks below Zone A, this demand zone is the next target , A breakout from this zone could lead to a rise towards Zone B.
Zone B (2,664$ - 2,672$) , If the price breaks into Zone B, remaining stable suggests a potential decline back to Zone A and possibly lower to the demand zone , However, if the price breaks above Zone B, it may aim for Zone C.
Zone C (2,681$ - 2,685$) , A breakout above Zone C could lead to further increases, but stabilization here may result in a decline back to Zone B or lower to Zone A.
Historical Zone (2,700$ - 2,710$) , Breaking the key resistance levels could indicate a move towards this new historical range, suggesting bullish sentiment.
Supply Zone : 2,659$ - 2,653$ , 2,664$ - 2,672$ , 2,681$ - 2,685$.
Demand Zone : 2,631$ - 2,623$.