Weekly preview and trading idea for Monday 24.03.2025🔹 W1 – Weekly Bias
Bias: Bullish
SMC: Valid Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside, with consecutive higher highs.
Order Block: Last bullish OB (gray zone) still valid and respected.
Premium/Discount: Price is currently in the premium zone, indicating a higher probability of retracement.
FVG / Imbalance: Unfilled FVG zones remain between 2900 - 2800.
EMA 5/21/50/200: Price trades above all EMAs, confirming strong bullish momentum.
Key POI: 3060 – 3085 (potential reversal or reaction zone).
EQH: Potential Equal Highs forming, suggesting a liquidity grab is likely.
✅ Note: Weekly structure is intact, but we may expect a correction down into discount levels.
🔹 D1 – Daily Bias
Bias: Bullish (with active retracement)
SMC: BOS confirmed + liquidity grab above recent highs.
Price Action: Strong rejection from premium zone with a significant bearish candle.
Order Block: Valid OB between 2970 – 2990, aligning with Daily FVG.
EMA: EMA 5 and 21 are tightening up, signaling a potential short-term bearish cross.
Imbalance: Clear gap between 2985 – 2940 remains unfilled.
Daily POI: 2995 – 2970 → key zone to monitor for bullish reaction.
RSI: Not yet oversold, suggesting more room for downside movement.
🎯 Retracement Target (Daily): 2990 – 2950 for potential long setups.
🔹 H4 – Intraday Swing Setup
Bias: Bearish retracement
SMC: Confirmed BOS on H4
Order Block: Strong OB between 3025 – 3035 (origin of previous impulse drop)
FVG: Valid Fair Value Gap between 2988 – 2940
Imbalance: Still unfilled under 2970
EMA: Bearish EMA 5/21 crossover, EMA50 flattening
POI: 3030 (short setup zone), 2970 (potential buy reaction zone)
🔁 Scenario:
If price retests 3025–3030 and shows bearish PA → valid short.
If price drops into 2970–2950 and sweeps liquidity → potential long setup.
🔹 H1 – Entry Refinement
Bias: Temporary bullish correction
SMC: CHoCH printed, but no BOS yet
PA: Last reaction suggests mitigation
OB: OB zone at 3033–3037 still valid for shorting opportunities
EMA: EMA 5 and 21 remain bearish; 50 and 200 beginning to flatten
RSI: Nearing overbought – watch for signs of bearish reversal
POI (H1): 3033–3037 (short setup), 2985–2970 (buy zone)
🔹 M15 – Sniper Entry
Bias: Bullish correction in progress
SMC: CHoCH formed, waiting for confirmation of BOS
OB (M15): 3028 – 3033 → clean Order Block for possible bearish reaction
Imbalance: Unfilled gap at 3029 – 3032
EMA: EMA 5 > EMA 21 → minor bullish trend
RSI: Close to overbought – ideal for a reversal sniper short
EQH: Equal High at 3032 → ideal liquidity inducement
🎯 Sniper Trade Plan (Short):
Sell Entry Zone: 3029 – 3033
TP1: 3010
TP2: 2995
SL: Above 3035 (above OB high)
🔄 Alternative Scenario
If price breaks and closes above 3035 with bullish volume → short invalidated
Long setups only valid if price drops into discount zones (below 2985) with a bullish PA reaction + CHoCH confirmation
✅ Summary
Overall Bias: Bullish on higher timeframes, but currently in retracement → only looking for short-term sells
Sniper Short Zone: 3029 – 3033
Buy Zone to Re-enter: 2970 – 2940 (only on proper confirmations)
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Tradingstrategies
The Four Fears of Trading and the Law of HarmonyTrading is not just about charts, strategies, and numbers. It’s a psychological battlefield, where fear dominates — but there’s also an often-overlooked factor: harmony. WD Gann’s Law of Harmony teaches that markets, like people, have unique vibrations. When you trade in sync with stocks or currency pairs that ‘resonate’ with you, your confidence and performance improve. Let’s explore how combining Gann’s insights with an understanding of the Four Fears of Trading can create a balanced, more successful trading mindset.
What Is the Law of Harmony?
The Law of Harmony is one of WD Gann’s foundational principles. Gann believed that everything in the universe moves according to natural laws, and markets are no different. Each stock, commodity, or currency pair has its own ‘vibration’ or rhythm — a unique frequency that determines how it behaves. When a trader finds a market whose vibration aligns with their own psychological makeup and trading style, they experience greater clarity, confidence, and success. This is trading in harmony.
Gann used this principle to select markets that matched his analysis style, making it easier to forecast price movements. He believed that recognizing harmony between the trader and the market was just as important as the technical setup itself. He meticulously studied time cycles, price patterns, and astrological influences to find markets that moved in predictable, harmonic ways — and traded only those that felt “right.”
In essence, Gann’s Law of Harmony is about working with the market’s natural flow, not against it. When you’re in sync, trades feel clearer, decisions become easier, and success feels almost effortless.
The Four Fears of Trading
In a recent Twitter poll I conducted, 45% of traders admitted that fear was their toughest emotional challenge — more than greed, hope, or overconfidence. Fear in trading can be broken down into four key categories: the fear of losing money, fear of missing out (FOMO), fear of being wrong, and fear of leaving money on the table. Let’s explore each one — and how the Law of Harmony can help conquer them.
1. Fear of Losing Money
This is the most common fear among traders — nobody wants to lose money. The reality, however, is that losses are an inevitable part of trading. Trading is a game of probabilities, with each trade having around a 50% chance of success.
Many traders react to losses with irrational decisions like closing trades too early or holding onto losing trades in the hope they’ll bounce back. This behavior stems from loss aversion — the natural human tendency to avoid losses more than we seek equivalent gains.
How the Law of Harmony helps:
Trade assets that ‘vibe’ with you. Some stocks or forex pairs will naturally feel clearer and easier to predict — that’s harmony.
Stop forcing bad trades. If you consistently lose on a specific pair, stop forcing it. It might not align with your psychology.
Backtest your system. Develop and backtest a trading system over multiple market conditions (trending, sideways, volatile). When you find one that feels ‘right,’ stick with it.
2. Fear of Missing Out (FOMO)
FOMO drives traders to jump into unplanned trades, often near market tops, for fear they’ll miss a big move. This leads to poor entries, increased risk, and reduced potential rewards. The irony? These impulsive trades often result in losses.
How the Law of Harmony helps:
Shift your mindset from “making money” to “following a process.” Money is a byproduct of trading in harmony with the right instruments.
Accept that the market is endless. Opportunities are like waves — there’s always another one coming. When you trade in sync with a market’s natural rhythm, better setups come to you.
3. Fear of Being Wrong
From childhood, we’re conditioned to avoid mistakes. In trading, however, losses are not failures — they’re feedback. The fear of being wrong can cause traders to hold onto losing trades, cut winners short, or avoid taking trades altogether.
How the Law of Harmony helps:
Focus on pairs or stocks that feel intuitive. When you feel more connected to an asset’s behavior, the fear of being wrong diminishes.
Accept that not every market resonates with you — and that’s okay.
Embrace losing trades as a natural part of the business. Even in harmony, some trades won’t work — that’s part of the rhythm.
4. Fear of Leaving Money on the Table
This fear emerges when a trader exits a trade too soon, only to watch the market continue in their favor. It’s frustrating, but trying to capture every last pip is a recipe for disaster. Markets are unpredictable, and no one catches the exact top or bottom consistently.
How the Law of Harmony helps:
Trust the market’s rhythm. If you’re aligned with the right instrument, more opportunities will come.
Define your exit strategy before entering a trade.
Let go of perfection. Accept that partial profits are better than no profits. In a harmonious market relationship, consistency matters more than squeezing every move.
Final Thoughts: Finding Harmony in Trading
Fear is a natural part of trading — it’s part of being human. The goal isn’t to eliminate fear but to manage it. By identifying which type of fear affects you the most and combining it with Gann’s Law of Harmony, you’ll make more rational decisions and improve your long-term performance.
Imagine you’re at a party. A mutual friend introduces you to a new group of people. You might vibe with some, while others give you an uncomfortable feeling. Stocks and forex pairs work the same way. You naturally gel with some, understanding their behavior and making profitable trades, while others consistently lead to losses.
The secret to long-term trading success is not forcing trades or chasing markets — it’s about finding what resonates with you. Focus on the process, trade in harmony, and the profits will follow.
Remember: The market doesn’t reward those who fight it. It rewards those who flow with it.
Happy trading!
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
PIPTASTIC day on the markets today with our chart idea playing out as analysed. Yesterday we had the break below 2901 bearish target, opening the first level of the retracement range at 2878, which just fell short by a few pips. This then provided the support for the bounce all the way into 2922 completing our Bullish target. We were able to take the ride up all the way from the retracement range, inline with our plans to buy dips
We are now looking for a lock above 2922 for a continuation or failure to lock will see price reject into the lower Goldturns for support and bounce, also keeping in mind the small gap left on the retracement range
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2922 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2922 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2947
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2947 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2968
BEARISH TARGETS
2901 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2901 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING RETRACEMENT RANGE
2878 - 2851
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2851 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2820 - 2796
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Soybean Futures Surge: ZS, ZL, and ZM Align for a Bullish MoveI. Introduction
Soybean futures are showing a potentially strong upcoming bullish momentum, with ZS (Soybean Futures), ZL (Soybean Oil Futures), and ZM (Soybean Meal Futures) aligning in favor of an upward move. The recent introduction of Micro Ag Futures by CME Group has further enhanced trading opportunities by allowing traders to manage risk more effectively while engaging with longer-term setups such as weekly timeframes.
Currently, all three soybean-related markets are displaying bullish candlestick patterns, accompanied by strengthening demand indicators. With RSI confirming upward momentum without entering overbought territory, traders are eyeing potential opportunities. Among the three, ZM appears to be the one which will potentially provide the greatest strength, showing resilience in price action and a favorable technical setup for a high reward-to-risk trade.
II. Technical Analysis of Soybean Markets
A closer look at the price action in ZS, ZL, and ZM reveals a confluence of bullish factors:
o Candlestick Patterns:
All three markets have printed bullish weekly candlestick formations, signaling increased buying interest.
o RSI Trends:
RSI is in an uptrend across all three contracts, reinforcing the bullish outlook.
Importantly, none of them are currently in overbought conditions, suggesting further upside potential.
o Volume Considerations:
Higher volume on up moves and decreasing volume on down-moves adds credibility to the bullish bias.
III. Comparative Price Action Analysis
While all three soybean-related markets are trending higher, their relative strength varies. By comparing recent weekly price action:
o ZM (Soybean Meal Futures) stands out as the one which will potentially become the strongest performer.
Last week, ZM closed above its prior weekly open, marking a +1.40% weekly gain.
RSI is not only trending higher but is also above its average, a sign of potential continued strength.
o ZS and ZL confirm bullishness but lag slightly in relative strength when compared to ZM.
This comparative analysis suggests that while all three markets are bullish, ZM presents the most compelling trade setup in terms of technical confirmation and momentum.
IV. Trade Setup & Forward-Looking Trade Idea
Given the strong technical signals, the trade idea focuses on ZM (Soybean Meal Futures) as the primary candidate.
Proposed Trade Plan:
Direction: Long (Buy)
Entry: Buy above last week’s high at 307.6
Target: UFO resistance at 352.0
Stop Loss: Below entry at approximately 292.8 (for a 3:1 reward-to-risk ratio)
Reward-to-Risk Ratio: 3:1
Additionally, with the introduction of Micro Ag Futures, traders can now fine-tune position sizing, making it easier to manage risk effectively on longer-term charts like the weekly timeframe. Given the novelty of such micro contracts, here is a CME resource that could be useful to understand their characteristics such as contracts specs .
V. Risk Management & Trade Discipline
Executing a trade plan is just one part of the equation—risk management is equally critical, especially when trading larger timeframes like the weekly chart. Here are key considerations for managing risk effectively:
1. Importance of Precise Entry and Exit Levels
Entering above last week’s high (307.6) ensures confirmation of bullish momentum before taking a position.
The target at 352.0 (UFO resistance) provides a well-defined profit objective, avoiding speculation.
A stop-loss at 292.8 is strategically placed to maintain a 3:1 reward-to-risk ratio, ensuring that potential losses remain controlled.
2. The Role of Stop Loss Orders & Hedging
A stop-loss prevents excessive drawdowns in case the market moves against the position.
Traders can also hedge using Micro Ag Futures to offset exposure while maintaining a bullish bias on the broader trend.
3. Avoiding Undefined Risk Exposure
The Micro Ag Futures contracts enable traders to scale into or out of positions without significantly increasing risk.
Position sizing should be adjusted based on account risk tolerance, ensuring no single trade overly impacts capital.
4. Adjusting for Market Volatility
Monitoring volatility using ATR (Average True Range) or other risk-adjusted indicators helps in adjusting stop-loss placement.
If volatility increases, a wider stop may be needed, but it should still align with a strong reward-to-risk structure.
Proper risk management ensures that trades are executed with discipline, preventing emotional decision-making and maximizing long-term trading consistency.
VI. Conclusion & Disclaimers
Soybean futures are showing bullishness, with ZS, ZL, and ZM aligning in favor of further upside. However, among them, ZM (Soybean Meal Futures) potentially exhibits the most reliable momentum, making it the prime candidate for a high-probability trade setup.
With bullish candlestick patterns, RSI trends confirming momentum, and volume supporting the move, traders have an opportunity to capitalize on this momentum while managing risk effectively using Micro Ag Futures.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
EUR/USD at a Pivotal Level – Will Bulls Push Higher?The EUR/USD pair is showing signs of a trend reversal after breaking above a long-term descending trendline. This breakout, coupled with an inverse head and shoulders pattern and RSI bullish divergence, signals strengthening bullish momentum. However, the price faces key resistance around 1.0500-1.0527, aligned with the 200 EMA.
A confirmed break above this level could push the pair toward 1.10+, while failure to do so may lead to a pullback before another attempt higher.
GOLD UPCOMING TREND READ IN CAPTIONThis 4-hour chart of Gold (XAU/USD) shows a recent pullback from the resistance level at 2,920.364, with a key support zone around2,847.153, highlighted as a buy zone. Fibonacci retracement levels are also shown, with the price currently testing the 0.382 level at 2,871.969. The chart suggests a potential retest in the area between2,887.470 and $2,890.000 before a possible bounce toward higher resistance levels. The breakout above the recent high could lead to further gains, but a pullback toward support levels is expected first
JOURNAL FOR MGC1!Today I placed two trades on MGC1! my first entry was a sell scalp which was strictly a technical entry and the second was the buy back up because it goes with the bias of gold being bullish, and inflation fears, so for each trade Ive wait on a area of consolidation (order block) then wait on a break out in this case after that impulsive move to the downside on gold I waited for an area of support to form with rejections of pushing lower at this point an order block should start forming, I tend to get a better structure of an order block forming on the 5min, once a bullish engulfing to print above the last high then I take the trade, today I had no draw down my entry was precise!
Gold (XAUUSD) Respecting Parallel Channel Support
Technical Breakdown
Gold has been trending inside a well-defined parallel ascending channel, respecting both the support and resistance levels. Currently, price is testing the lower boundary of the channel, which has acted as a strong support multiple times in the past.
Key Observations :
✔️ Support Zone : Price is bouncing off the channel's lower boundary, indicating a potential bullish reversal.
✔️ Confluence Factors : This area also aligns with a previous structure support level, making it a strong buy zone.
✔️ Risk-Reward Ratio : The trade setup offers an excellent risk-to-reward ratio, with a well-placed stop loss to minimize risk.
📊 Trade Setup :
🟢 Entry: Around $2,950 (Confirmed support bounce)
🎯 Target 1 : $3,000 (Mid-channel resistance)
🎯 Target 2 : $3,050+ (Upper channel resistance)
🛑 Stop Loss : Below $2,900 (Invalidation level)
💡 Trading Tip: Always wait for confirmation like bullish candlestick patterns (pin bars, engulfing candles) before entering. Managing risk with proper SL placement is crucial.
🔥 Do you agree with this analysis?
Let me know in the comments & share your thoughts!
disclaimer trading involves high risks
BTC Market Thesis – February 20, 2025Current Market Overview
Current Price: $97,632
Open Position: $95,917.6
Decision: HOLD_BUY – The market is showing bullish momentum, suggesting further upside potential.
Stop Loss: $95,000
Take Profit: $99,600
Confidence Level: 80%
Technical & Market Indicators
RSI (1h): Indicates bullish momentum, suggesting buyers are gaining control.
MACD: Showing a moderate upward slope, signaling potential for further price appreciation.
CME Options Data:
Put/Call Ratio: 0.9 – slightly bullish as call options dominate.
Open Interest: Moderate, meaning traders are engaged but not at extreme levels.
Binance Perpetuals:
Funding Rate: 0.01 – Market leaning slightly towards longs.
Open Interest: 78,892 BTC, indicating a healthy level of market participation.
Profit Ratio Today: 1.20 – Indicates that traders who entered today are mostly in profit, reinforcing positive sentiment.
Possible Scenarios & Probability
1️⃣ Bullish Scenario (60% Probability)
📈 BTC breaks above $98,000 and reaches $99,600
Strong bullish sentiment pushes BTC past key resistance levels.
RSI & MACD confirm continued upward momentum.
Positive funding rate and moderate OI support a sustained uptrend.
Institutional traders (CME data) continue to favor long positions.
2️⃣ Neutral Scenario (25% Probability)
🔄 BTC consolidates between $96,500 – $98,000
Some profit-taking slows the rally, but support at $96,500 holds.
MACD remains positive but shows weakening momentum.
Open Interest suggests indecision, with traders waiting for further signals.
3️⃣ Bearish Scenario (15% Probability)
📉 BTC drops below $96,500 and tests $95,000
Unexpected negative news or macroeconomic factors trigger a sell-off.
RSI becomes overbought, leading to short-term correction.
A decline in Open Interest suggests traders are closing positions.
Final Takeaway
Primary Strategy: Hold and monitor resistance at $98,000.
Risk Management: A stop loss at $95,000 protects against unexpected downturns.
Trigger to Sell: If BTC struggles at GETTEX:98K with weakening momentum, a short-term exit may be considered.
Trigger to Buy More: A clean break above GETTEX:98K with strong volume confirms continuation to $99,600+.
Bitcoin Trapped in a Range – Which Way Will It Break?BTC is currently accumulating within a marked zone, trading within a broad range of approximately $17,800. The previous resistance line has now turned into support, indicating a possible consolidation phase before the next move.
The price is fluctuating near the 50 EMA ($97,811.26), which may act as dynamic resistance. A breakout above this level could signal renewed bullish momentum, while failure to hold support may lead to further downside.
Overtrading Chaos: Classroom Insights & Quick FixesWatching my students get caught up in the whirlwind of overtrading was like watching a rollercoaster ride gone wrong - all that excitement turned into stress, quick decisions based on gut feelings rather than strategy, and seeing their accounts shrink before my eyes. Here's what I've noticed firsthand:
-Emotion Over Logic: They were making choices fueled by the fear of missing out or trying to get back at the market after a loss, not because it was the smart move. Spot on. Emotional trading is the quickest path to financial ruin. It's all about managing those emotions.
-Exhaustion: The constant screen time was draining them, both physically and mentally. This is why I always preach about the importance of having a life outside of trading. Burnout is real and it clouds judgment.
-Costly Habits: Those small fees and spreads started adding up, eating away at their profits with each impulsive trade. Always remember, every trade has a cost. Overtrading is like death by a thousand cuts.
But here’s the good news - I've got some immediate steps I take to turn things around:
1)Trade Log Love: I get them to write down every trade, focusing on the reasons behind their decisions. It’s amazing how this simple act helps them learn from their actions. A trade log isn't just about accountability; it's about education. Every trade is a lesson.
2)Take a Breather: I enforce a little break after each trade. It's like hitting the reset button for your brain, ensuring the next trade isn't just a reaction to the last. This is critical. It’s about breaking the cycle of reactive trading. Think of it as forced discipline.
3)Quality Time: I shift the focus to waiting for those golden opportunities, teaching them that sometimes the best trade is the one you don't make. Patience in trading is not just a virtue; it's a strategy. The markets reward those who wait for the right moment.
Come join me as I navigate through the overtrading storm, helping my students, and maybe you too, become more thoughtful, strategic traders! This is what I call practical wisdom. Overtrading is a symptom of not having a solid plan. I'd recommend this course of action to any trader looking to turn their habits around.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for price to start with an incline into the lower support regions in order to give us another long opportunity into the target level 2902 initially, which was our Excalibur target. Gold however had another plan and started the move from the open, this allowed us to trade on the red boxes and trade the move upside surpassing the target level into the highs that we witnessed last week.
During the week, we update our traders with the path upside and suggested looking for the short trade from the Red box active level, which worked perfectly giving the move downside that we saw on Friday.
It was a fantastic week in Camelot, not only completing 8 Gold targets on Excalibur, but also all the bias level and red box targets. Not to mention the targets completed on all the other pairs we share and analyse. Well done to the traders who followed!
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
This week we’re looking for price to potentially give us further opportunities to short, however, we have a key level above of 2910! Support on the intra-day stands at 2870-65, which if targeted early session could give buyers the confidence they need to take that long into the 2890-5 region and above that 2904. There is an extension of the move into the 2910 region, but anywhere between the 2904-10 region are the levels we want to monitor for RIPs, and if they present themselves, the opportunity to take that swing short may be there again.
The key order region (liquidity pool) is sitting below at 2850-55 which is a decent level for price to attempt, but this region needs to be broken to go lower! If broken, we won’t be looking to go long again until we’re closer to lower 2800’s, so please trade with caution this week.
We do have higher targets on Gold, but, there needs to be a correction and if this is it, we’ll make sure to take advantage of it just like we have done for years, up, down, where ever it goes, we’ll trade it with our trusted pal Excalibur, the EA and our Red box indicators.
Not much more to say, low volume news this week, Monday could be a ranging day so expect choppy and whipsawing price action.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 2865 with targets above 2885, 2895, 2902 and above that 2910
Bearish on break of 2865 with targets below 2855, 2850, 2843, 2835 and below that 2828
RED BOXES:
Break above 2885 for 2888, 2902, 2910 and 2913 in extension of the move
Break below 2875 for 2870, 2865, 2857, 2855 and 2850 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD Would you like SeekingPips Live Market XAUUSD analysis?🟢SeekingPips🟢 has just learned that I am able to make CHART ANALYSIS VIDEOS in LIVE market conditions on this platform.🌎
(Yes I am a bit of a DINOSAUR 🦕)
🟢Marking up charts and sharing is great but ANALYSING & marking up charts in live market conditions is a different beast.✅️
⚠️That is one way to filter the TRADERS from the MARKETERS.
🟢SeekingPips🟢 focus is always on the things that matter most I'm really not interested in the FANCY STUFF & NEITHER SHOULD YOU BE.
⭐️I ALWAYS preach TIME over PRICE showing it in real-time is like magic when you see it for yourself⭐️
🌍I am happy to do so maybe twice a week if the interest is there.👍
✅️I'm willing to show the practice what I preach in video format.✅️
ℹ️ I need to see the interaction on my post and chart shares to know that it will be worth the time and effort.
🟢SeekingPips🟢 is still working his way around some of the great tools for use on this platform, I am still being advised every week by some of my followers of some of the tools here on TradingView.
Would shared VIDEOS be appreciated here?❔️
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing ema5 play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2928 with a correction target above at 2890 before that with ema5 lagging and due a touch above. We need ema5 to cross below 2890 to open 2857 and lock above 2928 to open the range above.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2890
2928
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2928 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2959
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2959 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2992
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2992 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3024
BEARISH TARGETS
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2890 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2857
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2857 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
2813 - 2785
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2857 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2744 - 2713
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Bitcoin Trading Thesis – February 11, 2025🔹 Current Price: $98,402
🔹 Action: OPEN LONG (Buy BTC)
🔹 Target: $100,500 📈 | Stop-loss: $96,500
🔹 Confidence Level: 85% ✅
Why is BTC Looking Bullish?
✅ Market Sentiment: Strong financial & order book indicators suggest bullish momentum.
✅ Technical Signals: RSI & MACD show upward momentum, signaling a potential breakout.
✅ Derivatives Data:
Funding Rate: Positive ➝ Traders paying a premium to long BTC.
Open Interest: 76,854 BTC ➝ High participation in futures, supporting bullish activity.
✅ Order Book Imbalance: Increased buy pressure from large market orders.
Key Scenarios
📊 Bullish Case (Higher Probability)
If BTC holds above GETTEX:98K , strong momentum could push it to $100,500 🚀.
Breaking $100K could trigger FOMO buying and push prices even higher.
📉 Bearish Case (Lower Probability)
If BTC fails to hold GETTEX:97K , it could retest $96,500 support before another move up.
A break below $96,500 would invalidate the bullish thesis.
Trading Strategy
🔹 Entry: Look for pullbacks near GETTEX:98K for better positioning.
🔹 Stop-loss: Tight risk management at $96,500.
🔹 Target: First take profit at $100,500, reassess for further upside.
💭 Will BTC finally break $100K, or will it pull back first? Drop your thoughts! 👇
#SWELLUSDT longsignal📉 LONG BYBIT:SWELLUSDT.P from $0.01928
🛡 Stop Loss: $0.01890
⏱ 1H Timeframe
✅ Overview:
➡️ BYBIT:SWELLUSDT.P is showing a strong upward movement after breaking out of consolidation. The price has broken key resistance levels and is now forming a retest zone, confirming bullish strength.
➡️ POC (Point of Control) is located at $0.01175, far below the current price, indicating a shift to a new accumulation phase.
➡️ Trading volumes have increased significantly, which could further strengthen the upward impulse.
⚡ Plan:
➡️ Enter LONG at $0.01928 after confirming the breakout level.
➡️ Stop-Loss set at $0.01890 to protect against false breakouts.
➡️ Primary targets – $0.01967, $0.02013, and $0.02065, where partial profit-taking is possible.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP1: $0.01967
🔥 TP2: $0.02013
⚡ TP3: $0.02065
🚀 Expectation: If the current trend holds, BYBIT:SWELLUSDT.P may continue its upward movement towards $0.02065 and beyond.
Bitcoin Intraday Thesis – February 10, 2025Market Context & Decision
Current BTC price: $97,336
Position: HOLD BUY (Entry: $95,414)
Target: $98,500 📈 | Stop-loss: $94,800
Key Insights
🔹 Bullish Sentiment – Financial data and historical trends suggest strong upward momentum.
🔹 Technical Indicators – Mixed signals, with BTC showing short-term overbought conditions, requiring caution.
🔹 Derivatives Data –
Funding Rate: -0.02% (Slight negative bias, but not strongly bearish).
Open Interest: 75,758 BTC (Healthy market activity).
Price Expectations & Strategy
📊 Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout (80% Confidence)
BTC pushes towards $98,500 if bullish sentiment continues.
Strong historical & financial backing supports the upward move.
📊 Scenario 2: Short-Term Correction
If BTC fails to break GETTEX:98K , overbought conditions may trigger a pullback.
Support at $96K-$95K remains key for continued bullish structure.
Conclusion
HOLD BUY remains the optimal strategy.
BTC likely to test $98,500, but traders should monitor support levels in case of volatility.
Keep an eye on funding rates & open interest for further confirmation.
🚀 Will Bitcoin reach $98,500 or face a pullback? Let’s discuss! 👇
Ethereum its going down soon Ethereum (ETH/USD) on a daily timeframe, illustrating a descending channel from November 2024. The price is currently around 2,634, within a key support zone. Several Fibonacci levels are highlighted, suggesting potential areas of interest, with the2,149.90 level being a critical support. The chart also includes an order block (OB) at higher levels around $3,400, which may act as resistance if the price retraces. A possible retest is expected before a move toward lower support levels.
SPX Nears All-Time Highs – Is a Breakout Imminent?The S&P 500 Index (SPX) has been following a strong upward trajectory, consistently forming higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL), indicating a bullish trend.
However, the price is now approaching a rising trendline that has acted as a key resistance multiple times in the past.
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the deeper pull back from the open and then hunt the long trades into the levels we published as our bias and red box targets. We managed to get the short early part of the week into the level we wanted 2730-35 giving us the long trade and a phenomenal pip capture.
We then published the FOMC KOG REPORT and stated a similar scenario, only this time expecting price to give us an undercut low before then resuming the move into all time highs. Price didn’t capture the liquidity from below enabling traders to keep positions from below and then carry trades up completing every target level down and up for the week!
A fantastic week in Camelot and for those who followed, not only on Gold but all the other pairs we trade and analyse, completing 28 targets during and high volatility and demanding week. Well done to the team!
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
We’re looking for two potential moves this week to start with. Ideally, we want to see the market open, test that high around the 2810-7 region and see a rejection there. If we can get that RIP there we feel the move downside can commence firstly into the 2775 region and below that 2755-60. That’s the level for us to watch for a potential long trade back up but we’ll treat it level to level unless the 2890-95 region is broken.
Our target level of 2828 is still active, however, we would again like to see a deeper pull back before attempting that long trade as we’re too high and It’s too dangerous up here.
On the flip, if we break above that 2810 level and can hold above it, we’ll be looking to complete our target level and based on a clean set up, a potential swing short for the bigger capture may come from up there.
Crucial level here is 2790 which has been circled on the chart, it’s likely they will use this level as a key level for this week.
KOG’s Bias for the week:
Bearish below 2810 with targets below 2795, 2775 and below that 2755.
Bullish on break of 2810 with targets above 2820, 2824, 2828 and above that 2835
RED BOXES:
Break of 2810 for 2815, 2818, 2828, 2830 and 2834 in extension of the move
Break of 2790 for 2785, 2877, 2765 and 2755 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
WTI - Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
While the price is above the support 64.000, resumption of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 80.100 breaks.
If the support at 64.000 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of uptrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 66.510 on 11/18/2024, so more gains to resistance(s) 75.446, 77.920 and maximum to Major Resistance (80.100) is expected.
Take Profits:
75.446
77.920
80.100
83.961
87.000
93.882
100.802
109.192
126.350
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LINK/USDT Analysis – Breakout or Rejection?CRYPTOCAP:LINK is approaching a key descending resistance zone, while the rising trendline continues to provide strong dynamic support (marked with golden boxes).
The price is currently at a decision point—either a breakout or a rejection from resistance.
Please tap the like button to show your support.
Thank you!
NASDAQ 100 (NAS100USD): Assessing the Potential BreakoutOver the past few months, the NASDAQ 100 (NAS100USD) has demonstrated a clear upward trajectory, marked by higher highs and higher lows—a classic sign of sustained bullish sentiment. However, we've seen periods of consolidation and recent volatility - let's take a look at its current technical landscape.
Current Market Overview:
As of January 29, 2025, the NASDAQ 100 is trading at approximately 21,600, a level that has served as a significant pivot point in recent trading sessions. A decisive move above this threshold could validate the ongoing uptrend and open the door to further gains.
Key Levels to Monitor:
Immediate Resistance : The 21,600 level is crucial. A sustained break above this point could signal the continuation of the bullish trend.
Support Levels : Should the price retreat, the 21,300 - 21,200 are notable support areas to watch.
Recent Developments:
The market has recently experienced heightened volatility, notably a sharp dip around January 27, followed by an aggressive recovery. This shows how unpredictable the market can be and hints at continued bullish movement.
Strategic Considerations:
Breakout Confirmation : A sustained move above 21,600, ideally accompanied by increased trading volume, would provide stronger confirmation of the breakout.
Support Retest : If the price successfully breaches the 21,600 resistance, this level could transform into a support zone. A subsequent retest of this level as support could present a compelling entry opportunity for long positions.
However , considering the Fed decision and fundamental factors around todays announcement - the most likely scenario would be slightly hawkish or a hawkish pause , which would be somewhat negative for the index. This would allow price to experience a temporary drop back down to the previous support (demand) level of 21,200 before buyers re-engage.
Trading Strategies:
Long Positions on Breakout Confirmation : A clear break and close above 21,600 could signal a long (buy) entry.
Long Positions on Retest of Support : A pullback to the 21,200 support level (assuming it holds) could offer a better opportunity to enter long positions.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and it's essential to conduct your own thorough research and analysis before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always use appropriate risk management techniques and trade responsibly. OANDA:NAS100USD IG:NASDAQ PEPPERSTONE:NAS100