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Trading Strategies for Capitalizing on the Volatility of OilAs financial market traders, we are always on the lookout for trading strategies that can help us capitalize on market trends and conditions. One such strategy is to take advantage of the volatility of oil prices. Oil is a valuable commodity that is subject to significant price fluctuations. There are several reasons why oil is volatile, including limited supply, high demand, geopolitical instability, and speculation. These factors can cause the price of oil to fluctuate rapidly and often unpredictably, which can create opportunities for traders who are able to anticipate and capitalize on changes in the price of oil. One way to take advantage of the volatility of oil prices is to use a trading strategy known as "contango trading." Contango trading involves buying oil futures contracts and holding them until they mature. When the price of oil is in contango (i.e. when the futures price is higher than the spot price), traders can profit by buying the futures contracts and holding them until they mature. This allows traders to take advantage of the difference between the spot price and the futures price, and can provide an attractive return on investment if the price of oil rises as expected. Another way to take advantage of the volatility of oil prices is to use a trading strategy known as "spread trading." Spread trading involves buying and selling oil futures contracts with different expiration dates. When the price of oil is volatile, the prices of different futures contracts can diverge, creating opportunities for traders to profit by buying and selling these contracts. For example, if a trader expects the price of oil to rise in the short term but fall in the long term, they may choose to buy a short-term futures contract and sell a long-term contract. If their prediction is correct, they could profit from the difference in the prices of the two contracts. Overall, the volatility of oil prices can create opportunities for traders who are able to anticipate and capitalize on changes in the price of oil. By using strategies such as contango trading and spread trading, traders can potentially profit from the volatility of oil prices and generate attractive returns on their investments. In Depth Contango Trading - This strategy is based on the expectation that the price of oil will rise over time, and it is used by traders who want to capitalize on this expected price increase. When the price of oil is in contango, it means that the futures price is higher than the spot price. For example, if the current spot price of oil is $50 per barrel, and the futures price for oil to be delivered in six months is $55 per barrel, then the price of oil is in contango. In this situation, traders who use contango trading would buy the futures contracts and hold them until they mature, hoping to profit from the expected increase in the price of oil. The profit from contango trading is the difference between the spot price and the futures price. In the example above, a trader who buys the futures contract at $55 per barrel and holds it until it matures would make a profit of $5 per barrel if the price of oil remains at $50 per barrel. If the price of oil increases above $55 per barrel, then the trader's profit would be even greater. Contango trading is a risky strategy, as it is based on the expectation that the price of oil will rise over time. If the price of oil does not rise as expected, or if it falls, then traders who use contango trading could suffer significant losses. Additionally, the volatility of oil prices means that it can be difficult to predict the direction of price changes, which can also create risks for traders who use this strategy.
FX:USOILEducation
by JoelWarby
The Power of PRICE ACTIONHello traders and future traders!! I know there is a point in the trading journey where you have so much information that it gets confusing, and you try to apply everything that you have read, but price action strategies shows us how simple are the markets and how easily we can interpret one without using tons of indicators, but just the price movement. Here are the 3 main advantages when it comes to price action trading and the reasons why this type of analysis is so powerful in many trading strategies. If you see any other advantages, but also disadvantages, leave a comment and let's discuss!
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by m_maia14
Learn How to Trade Descending Triangle Pattern Descending triangle formation is a classic reversal pattern. It signifies the weakness of buyers in a bullish trend and bearish accumulation. ⭐️The pattern has a very peculiar price action structure: Trading in a bullish trend the price sets a higher high and retraces setting a higher low. Then the market starts growing again but does not manage to set a new high, setting a lower high instead. Then the price drops again perfectly respecting the level of the last higher low setting an equal low. After that one more bullish movement and one more consequent lower high, bearish move, and equal low. Based on the last three highs a trend line can be drawn. Based on the equal lows a horizontal neckline is spotted. ❗What is peculiar about such price action is the fact that a set of lower highs signifies a weakening bullish momentum: fewer and fewer buyers are willing to buy from horizontal support based on equal lows. 🔔 Such price action is called a bearish accumulation. Once the pattern is formed it is still not a trend reversal predictor though. Remember that the price may set many lower highs and equal lows within the pattern. The trigger that is applied to confirm a trend reversal is a bearish breakout of the neckline of the pattern. 📉Then a short position can be opened. For conservative trading, a retest entry is suggested. Safest stop is lying at least above the level of the last lower high. However, in case the levels of the lower highs are almost equal it is highly recommendable to set a stop loss above them all. 🎯For targets look for the closest strong structure support. ❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section. Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
5
GoldViewFX - WEEKLY CHART UPDATEHey Everyone, This is the weekly chart setup we have been tracking our mid to longer-term targets and so far, this has been playing out as planned with 1787 being hit last week. We saw the weekly candle close above 1790 last week confirming further bullish momentum up with our 1858 target open. However, EMA5 cross and lock above 1790 will confirm this movement. Weekly chart setups are mid to long term targets and therefore swings need to be kept in mind to manage risk and plan entries accordingly. We will use our shorter timeframes to break down the levels within the swing structure to pick our entries accordingly from support levels. As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it! GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
6
#Head&Shoulder chart pattern in action Head and shoulder definition: A simple head and shoulders top formation is characterized by a peak representing the left shoulder, followed by a higher peak which is referred to as the head of the formation. A lower peak representing the right shoulder is found on the right‐hand side of the head. The head should be the highest peak in the formation. The neckline is a trendline that connects the troughs that lie on either side of the head. Necklines may be horizontal or inclined which in our case is inclined. In an inverted head and shoulders formation (also referred to as a head and shoulders bottom), the head is the lowest trough within the formation. Head and shoulder pattern completion: The head and shoulders formation is completed with a valid breakout of the neckline Until a valid penetration has occurred, the formation is regarded as merely tentative. But as you can see in our case the pattern is completed since we can see upside breakout of the chart pattern neckline. Head and shoulder pattern target: The minimum one‐to‐one price objective or target for a head and shoulders top formation is simply the vertical distance between the head and the neckline projected downward from the neckline breakout level. For an inverted head and shoulders formation, the vertical distance is projected upward from the neckline breakout level. You can see this vertical line in the chart. Head and shoulder pattern entry: ■■ Short at a break of the right shoulder’s uptrend line with a stop placed above the right shoulder or head (see Point 1 in Figure 13.9) ■■ Short at the peak of the right shoulder with a stop placed above the right shoulder or head, especially when there is a significant resistive confluence comprising of significant Fibonacci retracement levels, Floor Trader’s Pivot Point levels, and psychologically important price levels associated with double and triple zeros ■■ Short at the right shoulder when it is testing the left shoulder’s resistance level, with a stop placed above the resistance level or head ■■ Short on a valid penetration of the neckline with a stop placed above the neckline, right shoulder, or head (see Point 2 in Figure 13.9) ■■ Short on a retest of the neckline after a valid penetration with a stop placed above the neckline, right shoulder, or head (see Point 3 in Figure 13.9) ■■ Short on the penetration of the price associated with the trough created by the retest action, with a stop placed above the trough, neckline, right shoulder, or head (see Point 4 in Figure 13.9) i.postimg.cc Source: the handbook of technical analysis by Mark Andrew Lim
FX:JPYBASKETEducation
by mohemati
#USDCAD looking good for a sell4H bearish market structure as it can be seen in the chart, price just below an important structural point where price bounces up and down several times and shows that the area is important for traders. there are 2 areas that price can tap into and reject from, one of them is a local top in recent price bullish corrective move, price can take out liquidity from above it and then resume moving lower in impulsive move. or price can come all the way up to test 1H timeframe high. important notice for taking the position in area level 1 and 2 is: * price cannot close above the arrow, it is possible that price goes above the arrow but it should return immediately and close below it. * if price some how can manage to close above the 1H timeframe high then price short term bearish structure has shifted and therefor we can no longer looking for sell opportunities.
Short
by mohemati
4
1 Rule to STOP a portfolio CRASH I guess my number one rule to prevent a portfolio going bust is my 20% Rule… The rule is simple. If my portfolio ever drops below 20%, due to a losing streak, I halt trading… Notice the word halt instead of STOP. When a portfolio is down 20%, this is where you’ll halt your trading but you’ll KEEP following your trading strategy. So, you’ll simply demo trade your system and continue journaling your entries and exits… And only once the equity curve (your portfolio) goes back to all-time highs (on paper of course) then you can resume trading live… Do you have a trading question? Ask in the comments and I'll fully answer it in one of these posts on TradingView... Trade well, live free Timon MATI Trader
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso
FTM/USDT4H Timeframe shows us a classic bearish divergence => For taking a short position I wanna see an extended bearish divergence, it's because we can see it more often while spotting the trend reverse ( wave 3 and wave 4 make classic bearish divergence, BUT then the wave 5 making a higher high and taking the stop loss liquidity of the waves 3 and 4, after that we can see an extended divergence) ! In between the waves 3,4 and the wave 5 usually there is a hidden bullish divergence! On our FTM USDT chart we could notice a bearish divergence but it didn't go well, because MACD histogram did lower low while the chart was making higher high in the up trend, so it's a very nice bullish signal for taking a BUY position. If you missed it, no worries, just wait for the extended bearish divergence and go short!
by STUKOVA
3
ETHUSD ❕ BULLISH PATTERN FORMINGThe aftermath from FTX collapse fiasco causing panic selling and FUDs on DAX, investors are cautious of their crypto and even transferring out to cold wallets. However, ETH as well BTC is holding strong on chart pattern support and based on chart trends and technical analysis ETH has found bottom and will be seen consolidating sideways in the 1200-1500 region. I anticipate a rally in coming months if it able to hold on this region, the 1st target resistance is at 1800-2000 and following 2400-2600. If the pattern follows, we could anticipate a long bull run to 7000 region. As Warren Buffett put it: “The stock market is a device which transfers money from the impatient to the patient.” Disclaimer: Non-financial advice, only for educational purposes. Please do not forget the ✅' like'✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by vpalgo
6
EURGBP Short following UK CPIfrom Caxton Daily Market View GBP- High UK CPI Data Causes GBP Rally Figures for UK YoY CPI released early this morning showed inflation increasing at a higher rate than the 10.7% markets had expected. In the aftermath of the news GBP snapped a four day rally against USD, likely as the market begins to cool after last weeks extended bull run. The figures put BoE Governor Bailey under heavy pressure to hike the rate by another 75bps in December. However, Bailey has recently voiced his concerns about the decline in the UK housing market and weak GDP growth. His speech at 13:30 today will hopefully clarify what the BoE plans to do in response to the figures. from ING GBP: BoE speakers in focus Bank of England speakers will be in focus today after the release of the October CPI data. This is expected to be peaking around the 11%year-on-year level around now. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey and colleagues testify to the Treasury Select Committee at 1515CET today. We suspect the message will be very much the same as that given at the policy meeting earlier this month - i.e. do not expect 75bp hikes to become common and that the market pricing of the tightening cycle is too aggressive. GBP/USD briefly peaked over 1.20 yesterday. We think 1.20 is a good level to hedge GBP receivables. Equally, we have a slight preference for EUR/GBP staying over 0.8700. Tomorrow is the big event risk of the autumn budget - which on paper should be sterling negative. So all eyes are on the UK and GBP when the Bank of England governor speaks from now on. As if they weren't already. The GBP has declined every time the BoE has raised rates. CPI y/y came in above expectations at 11.1% v's 10.7% Core CPI y/y stays at 6.5% PPI Input m/m is down to 0.6% from 0.9% Double-digit inflation will not make the BoE MPC pivot from their current monetary policy
Short
by Macrobriefing
#USDSGD long#midterm trading idea as you can see price recently test a very important static support area which has been tested 3 times before from above. price took out liquidity from the lowest low of 3 bounces and failed to close below an arrow that we have on the chart. also if you check weekly timeframe you can see also price tested a 200 EMA as well and didn't close below EMA neither. for taking this position: 1- we need a bullish engulfing candle which shows that bulls are back. 2- a bearish corrective to test supporting area 3- taking a position in direction of the primary trend which base on DOW theory is still intact and we still dealing with bullish market. it is important also to have a look at DXY chart to make sure it holds above 104.620 trading idea is invalid if: 1- price close below 104.620 on DXY on Daily timeframe 2- price close below 1.3659 on USDSGD on Daily timeframe
Long
by mohemati
#EURCHFanother similar selling opportunity like what we have on #EURJPY. again we have bearish impulsive which is followed by a corrective bullish move, showing that price have an intention of more downside move, but in order to do that price needs to take out liquidity from somewhere. so in order to short this pair following things need to happen: 1- price comes up to reach the arrow which also is a static resistance area 2- price fails to close above the arrow 3- lower timeframe price structure shift to bearish. ( in lower timeframe price fail to create HH or HL and turn downside)
Short
by mohemati
2
How to Blow Your Account | Step-By-Step Guide 💰 to 🪙 Hey traders, In this article, we will discuss the set of actions, habits and beliefs that will blow your account. 1. Trades are based on emotional decisions Behind each trading position must be a reason. The entry reason of a professional trader is based on a very strict and objective conditions, while an unprofitable trader follows emotions and intuition. 2. Stop loss placement is for losers A lot of traders consistently neglect placing a stop loss. Remember, just one single trade without that may blow your entire account. 3. Set unrealistic goals There is a common misconception concerning trading: that the equity size is not proportional to potential gains. Such a reasoning leads to various false conclusions. One who is trading with 100$ account and expecting to buy lambo, will inevitably blow the account. 4. No time for trade journaling Why to even bother yourself with trade journaling?! It is just waste of time. Remember, that trading journal is one of that best tools for learning. Constantly assessing your past decisions, you identify the flaws of your strategy and fix that, increasing your future gains. 5. Trading plan is for fools I know a lot of traders who trade without a plan. Remember, that the trading plan is your roadmap. Without that, it is impossible to become a consistently profitable trader. 6. Blindly following other's view While you are learning how to trade, your task is to learn the reasoning behind the trades of the pro's in the industry. Following them without reflections, you are not learning and, moreover, you are becoming dependent. Losing, you put the responsibility on their shoulders instead of yours. Such an approach will lead you to failure. Learn to become responsible in your trading decisions and execute your own analysis before you follow any other trader. 7. Who needs economic data As we discussed many times, fundamentals are the driver of the market. Neglecting the trends and global situation, not studying the news, you will unavoidably be fooled by the market. 8. Indicators are the magic pill I know a lot of traders, who spend thousands of dollars looking for a magic indicator - the instrument that will make tons of money. The fact is that indicators are just a tool in your toolbox. Its goal is to provide some minor additional clues to your analysis. Overestimating the importance of indicators, you will most likely blow your account. 9. Not investing in education Many traders are spending their money not on education but on fancy tools, signal services, robots and indicators. However, the fact is that only knowledge gives freedom, only skills can make you independent. 10. Back testing is pointless Trying different strategies, many traders intentionally skip the back testing part. Remember, that back testing is the most proven way to verify the efficiency of a strategy, allowing you to save time and money simultaneously. 11. Paper trading does not make any sense Same thing with paper trading. For some reason, the majority of the traders skip demo trading, quickly opening a real account. However, the fact is that demo trading is the best, risk-free tool for learning how the market works. Unfortunately, these 11 fallacies and misconceptions are very common. Analyze your trading and make sure that you are not making these classic mistakes. What would you add in that list? ❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section. Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Education
by VasilyTrader
55