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XAUUSD. Weekly trading levels 13 - 17.05.2024We continue the experiment with a wider range of zones. Let's see if we can guess the places to search for deals for the week ahead. Last week is HERE or in the related ideas at the bottom of the post. During the week you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a trade is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation. If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones. Levels are valid for a week, the date is in the title. The next morning I adjust the levels based on the new data and publish a new post. The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :) ---------------------------------------------- Levels are drawn based on volumes and data from CME. Used as areas of interest for trade. When approaching a level, a “reaction” is expected, which can be traded for both a rebound and a breakout. The worst option is if we revolve around the level in a flat. Do not reverse the market at every level; if there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to enter into a continuation of the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern. Don’t forget to like Rocket, Comments and Subscribe!!!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Forex_Hoby
Trade Plan NQ Futures: week starting May 5th, 2024 Trade Plan NQ Futures: week starting May 5th, 2024 Based on the provided levels for the NQH2024 futures contract, here's a weekly trade plan focusing on trading from the pivot to the upside or downside targets: Weekly Pivot: 17847 Current Price: 18000 Upside Targets: First Target: 18090 Second Target: 18348 Third Target: 18605 Downside Targets: First Target: 17731 Second Target: 17560 Third Target: 17378 Trade Plan: Long Trades: Look for buying opportunities if the price remains above the weekly pivot (17847). Entry: Consider entering long positions on pullbacks towards the pivot (17847) or if the price breaks above the current price (18000). Targets: Target the upside levels of 18090, 18348, and potentially 18605. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the pivot or below significant support levels identified during the week. Short Trades: Consider shorting the market if the price breaks below the weekly pivot (18847) or the current price (18000). Entry: Enter short positions on breakdowns below the pivot (17731) or the current price (18000). Targets: Aim for downside targets of 17731, 17560, and potentially 17378. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the pivot or above significant resistance levels identified during the week. Risk Management: Ensure proper risk management by sizing positions appropriately based on the distance to target and stop loss levels. Consider using trailing stops to lock in profits as the price moves in your favor. Monitor the market closely for any changes in price action or news events that could affect the trade. Note: Always adapt your trading plan based on real-time market conditions and adjust your approach as necessary to manage risk effectively.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by dhjesus
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT In last week’s KOG Report, we said we would only be looking for one move and that was to short the market into the levels illustrated on the chart. We had the initial opportunity from the intra-day resistance level giving the move breaking through the order region temporarily giving us the bounce to long back up into resistance where we said we wanted to monitor price to establish another short opportunity. Both these worked well although not as straight forward as we had hoped. During the week, we gave the FOMC Report highlighting the levels to long up into the resistance level and then short the market from higher up, this move however, was a point to point, level to level move continuing the fantastic week we had on Gold, completing over 8 targets activated. Well done to the team again, not only on Gold but the numerous other pairs we trade giving us over 800pips combined captures. So, What can we expect in the week ahead? After NFP and FOMC last week, this week we have a bank holiday in the UK which may give us some thin volume to start the week. NFP caused a lot of confusion amongst traders and only managed to whipsaw them back into where the price started. Support now stands at the 2295-7 region, which in our opinion, If held in the early session could give us a push upside towards the order region above, targeting the resistance levels of 2310 initially and above that 2320. Now, what we want to see here is if market can hold this order region again and give us the opportunity to get that short again. If we get the short from above we’ll be looking for the lower levels to be targeted and hopefully we can complete the move. There are a couple of curveballs here this week, 1) this could open and continue the move downside, if so, we’ll look for the retracements to get in and we’ll target our Excalibur targets upon activation. 2) staying below that 2330-40 order region is important for us to carry out this plan and continue with the move downside. In our opinion, the decent long trades will come from lower down for the ideal swing. That’s all for this week’s report, simple plan again, not going to over complicate it with numerous what’s and if’s. As usual, we’ll update traders through the week with the daily report, KOG’s bias of the day and the daily levels. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
12
Brent stopped out and Drawdown increasingIn this live trading session video,we look at the BRTUSD trade that got recently stopped out for a small loss on the 100k traders challenge account. We also look closely at the drawdown and why this is happening according to the strategy characteristics on both 50% OE and 20% OE strategy. Finally, we explore on what we should do about this by looking at 3 different options. The concepts and ideas in this video can be cross transferred onto any strategy.
ACTIVTRADES:BRENT
by masterthemarkets2010
PayPal - Is the stock dead?Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at PayPal. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: With the Covid-Crash in 2020 we saw a beautiful bullish break and retest on PayPal in confluence with a retest of an ascending trendline. This retest was followed by a rally of +200% towards the upside. From there, PayPal stock declined more than 80% and it is likely that we will never ever see the previous highs again. If you decide to take a trade though, make sure to properly manage your risk. -------- Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:PYPLLong
by basictradingtv
3
Dow Jones - Textbook trading setup!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at the Dow Jones. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: There is one major long term pattern which we have been looking at for a very long time - a rising channel formation. Just a couple of months ago the Dow Jones retested the lower support trendline and created a beautiful triangle breakout while rejecting towards the upside. If we now get a retest of the breakout level which is then acting as support, a major continuation higher is quite likely. -------- Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
DJ:DJI
by basictradingtv
7
Aussie for small profit and Sys vs Cash,3 pointsIn this live trading session video,we look at the AUDUSD trade that got recently stopped out for small profit on the 50k traders challenge account. 3 of the previous trades got stopped out before this and we look at how we should review the strategy as a professional if it is still working. We look at the the 3 steps we need to do for this System vs Cash results analysis review. The concepts and ideas in this video can be cross transferred onto any strategy.
by masterthemarkets2010
Top 4 Price Action Signals For Beginners. Best Trading Entries I will reveal 4 accurate price action signals that even a newbie trader will manage to easily recognize. Watch carefully because these signals alone will help you to make a lot of money trading Forex, Gold or any other financial market. Change of Character Change of character is a strong signal that indicates a trend violation and a highly probable market reversal. In a bearish trend, the change of character will be a bullish violation of the level of the last lower high. Check how the change of character accurately indicated a bullish reversal on EURJPY pair. In a bullish trend, a bearish violation of the level of the last higher low will signify a change of character and a highly probable bearish reversal. Bearish violation of the last higher low level and a change of character on USDJPY gave a perfect bearish signal. Breakout of Consolidation No matter what time frame you trader, you probably noticed that quite often the markets become weak and start consolidating . Most of the time, the prices tend to consolidate within horizontal ranges. Breakout of one of the boundaries of the range can give you a strong trading signal. Check how the price acted on GBPCHF. The breakout of the support/resistance of the range always gave an accurate signal, no matter what was the preceding direction of the market. Trend Line Breakout of a Pattern There are a lot of trend line based bullish and bearish price action patterns: the ranges, the wedges, the triangles, the channels. What unites these patterns is that the violation of the trend line of the pattern gives a strong trading signal. A bullish breakout of a resistance line of a falling wedge, a bullish flag and a symmetrical triangle will give us a strong bullish signal. Just look how EURUSD bounced after a bullish breakout of a resistance line of a falling wedge pattern. While a bearish breakout of a support line of a rising wedge, a bearish flag or a symmetrical triangle will indicate a highly probable bearish continuation Here is how a bearish breakout of the support of a symmetrical triangle formation helped me to predict a bearish movement on Gold. Neckline breakout of a horizontal pattern There are a lot of different price action patterns. One element that unites many of them is the so-called horizontal neckline. In bearish price action patterns like double top, head and shoulders, descending triangle, triple top, etc. a horizontal neckline represents a support from where buyers are placing their orders. Bearish violation of such a neckline will be considered to be an important sign of strength of the sellers and a strong bearish signal. In bullish price action patterns like double bottom, inverted head and shoulders pattern, ascending triangle, cup & handle, etc. a horizontal neckline represents a resistance where sellers a placing their orders. Its bullish violation will a strong bullish signal. Below is a perfect example how a bullish breakout of a neckline of an inverted head and shoulders pattern on Bitcoin triggered a strong bullish rally. Here is how a breakout of a neckline of a double top on USDCAD confirmed an initiation of a bearish correctional movement. The most important thing about these price action signals is that it is very simple to recognize them. You should learn the basic price action rules and a couple of classic price action patterns, it will be more than enough for you to identify confirmed bullish and bearish reversals on any time frame and any trading instrument. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
7
BTC TWO SETUPS FOR LONG Two setups for long BTC. I'm waiting for the price to be decided so I'll see how I react. Right now, the killing is on both sides and there is no need to be exposed. The first thing I look at is that there is still space until the end of the c wave, which can also be seen from the Fibonacci pattern. From that point of view, B has gone high, which gives the possibility for C to go down to 57k, where there is also 100DMA - perhaps a safer entry. The second picture because he currently showed the strength of what the reaction will be from the 65500 and 68000 zones because the halving is going on. Follow what the hourly correction is doing there, because after the halving it can be sell the news
Long
by learnfromfailure
Keltner Bands Pullback StrategyHere we take a look at trading pullbacks using the Keltner Channels. I cover the initial setup, the types of entries, and trades to avoid. This setup contains 3 parts: The channel touch The Pullback The Entry The Channel Touch Here is an example of the beginning signal in our setup, a band touch. The top and bottom bands represent the ATR (Average True Range) of a loopback period. So a touch of the band indicates volatility in the underlying stock or commodity. This also presents us with a chance for a nice pullback with continuation. The Pullback The pullback is simple, it is a reversion to the mean. So, the price pulls back to the mean (the ema) that the Keltners are based on. From this point, you can start to determine the entry. The Entry Depending on your style, a stop order, or limit order trader, you get to create your style to enter the trade. The following are some ideas: zero line MACD cross, second entry (price action) long or short, a trigger zone (for limit order traders), and an ema touch (limit order traders). Zero Line Entry Price pulled back and crossed the zero line on the modified MACD indicator. Second Entry Long (High2) The entry is the second attempt to break the previous bars high in a pullback. The Trigger Zone I created these based on an internal Keltner channel. You can set your limit orders anywhere inside of them. EMA Touch Whenever the price touches an offset ema you can enter. So you can place and move your limit order as the ema moves. I like to offset by one because you are guaranteed a price touch (ema doesn't move). Backtesting is also my accurate with an offset ema. Conclusion The Keltner channels offer an extremely powerful way to determine a potential pullback within a trend. They also help define trends (on the first touch) and help objectively identify climatic behavior. This strategy as a whole allows for high-quality setups and the flexibility of entering and exiting trades based on trading style. I like to shoot for a 1:1 based on stop placement.
AMEX:IYREducation
by JoeRodTrades
3
The Anti: A Super Powerful 1:1 SetupIn this video, I discuss The Anti a trade first mentioned by Linda Raschke in her 1996 book Street Smarts. Her version used a Stoch indicator but, I prefer a modified MACD indicator. To take this setup, you first need an indication of market reversal. In our case that will be climatic activity. So this trade has 4 parts: Climatic activity or other indication of possible market reversal First leg MACD or Stoch slow line change of trend MACD or Stoch fast line hooking back into the slow line (against the trend)
GEducation
by JoeRodTrades
3
Swing It Into A Potential CrashIn summary, if you are in (or considering buying) shares, this is Mid-term bearish. I would highly recommend against entering or adding shares here. You will likely have a better chance to exit/sell in the 330s around March 11-12th. For those playing options, I can share my strategy - you'll have to be nimble to swing this for profits, but very do-able since I know the path it will take from here. The smarter strategy is to wait until this confirms a higher low and then short it around March 12th-13th, But if you like making real money on weekly options with high risk here is what to do. Not Financial Advice. To follow this chart, just pay attention to the thick black arrow - that is my forecast/path that price action will take. The thick red and green arrows align with the black arrow. Read below to see the exact levels and pivot dates I am looking for. - PANW will likely pullback some more to 276-290 (-4% to -9% from current price: 302.40). This will happen fast - by March 5th End of Day (3/5/2024). So IF it doesn't gap down Monday, I'll be buying a few Mar 8 295 puts for ~3.40 and then looking to sell for over 7.00 Tuesday 3/5 before the close . But if it gaps down Monday 3/5 (which is possible), I'll be holding off on this swing and waiting for my chance to swing long. Hard stop loss will be a break above 306 at any point, if it breaks above 306 that is first near-term bullish signal, if it breaks above 315 it will confirm it has started next bullish leg. - After the small pullback to expected range of 276-290, PANW will make its last bounce to around 327-338 (depending on where it bottoms in current down leg, this is a possible +16% to +22% bounce coming). Once I sell my Mar 8 puts on 3/5 before close, I will immediately buy Mar 15 300 calls - the premiums should be around 3.00-5.00 at this point but it will depend on where it bottoms exactly. The bounce will last through 3/11-3/12, so I will be looking to sell half my calls at 327 (for at least 27.00) and then sell the other half around 338 (for at least 38.00) *** After this bounce to 327-338, the real downside will begin. I will send an update with my precise target when we see how this plays out and at what levels it bottoms and tops in this path/forecast, but my estimate target is 210-240 by end of March to Early April (Potential for a 100 point drop!!). I'll be going big on April 19 puts when this bounces to the 327-338 range. Stay tuned for updates along the way.
NASDAQ:PANW
by JerryManders
394
Scalping Strategy for Trading BTCUSD on 15minThe Bollinger Band is a versatile technical indicator. It identifies trend direction, momentum, volatility, and overbought or oversold price conditions. This indicator provides all this information using three lines. The middle line of the classic Bollinger Bands is based on a 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA). Two lines are then drawn above and below the middle line forming a channel. The upper and lower lines are derived from the middle line by computing for the standard deviation of price movements compared to the 20 SMA. Because the outer bands are based on a standard deviation of price movements, the band tends to contract during market conditions with low volatility and expands during an influx of volume and volatility. Price breaching the bands could indicate a strong momentum, while price rejecting the outer lines could signal a probable mean reversal. The middle line of the Bollinger Band could also be used just as a standard Simple Moving Average. Trend could be based on how the line is sloping. It could also be used as a dynamic support or resistance line where price could bounce off. Advanced Bollinger Bands is a modified Bollinger Band which allows more control over how the lines are drawn. Traders could modify the type of moving average, the basis of price being applied to the computation, and much more. == MACD Signals == The classic Moving Average Convergence and Divergence (MACD) is based on the difference between a 12-period and 26-period Exponential Moving Average. It is then displayed as an oscillator that becomes positive during an uptrend and negative during a downtrend. A second line, called the signal line, is then derived from the MACD line. The signal line is a Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the MACD line. Trade signals are then generated based on the crossing over of the MACD line and the signal line. MACD Signals is modified version of the classic MACD. It allows more control for traders by allowing traders to tweak the type of moving average line used on each parameter. It could also be set to indicate trade signals generated by the MACD. The MACD Signals is displayed as an oscillating histogram. Positive bars indicate a bullish trend while negative bars indicate a bearish trend. Trade signals could be generated based on the crossing of the bars over its midline. == Trading Strategy == This trading strategy identifies possible trade setups based on the crossing over of a 5-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) line and the midline of the Bollinger Bands. These signals should be in confluence with the signals generated by the MACD Signals indicator. Trades should first be filtered based on the direction of the long-term trend. To do this, we will be using a 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA). Trend direction are simply based on the location of price in relation to the 200 SMA, as well as the slope of the 200 SMA line. Then, we will be waiting for a confluence of the crossover of the 5 SMA line and midline of the Bollinger Band and the trend reversal signal generated by the MACD bars. Trades are then confirmed based on the type of price action and candlestick patterns occurring around significant areas on the Bollinger Bands. It could be an indication of price rejection of the outer bands or a strong momentum as price crosses over the midline. == Indicators == 200 SMA (Green) bollinger_bands (default setting with 21 MA) MACD_Signals MAFast: 6 MASlow: 15 MASignal: 1 Preferred Time Frames: 15 min Trading Sessions : Tokyo, London and New York sessions == Buy Trade Setup == Entry Price should be above the 200 SMA line. The 200 SMA line should be sloping up. The 5 SMA line should cross above the midline of the Bollinger Band. Price action should show bullish patterns and indications. Enter a buy order on the confirmation of these conditions. Stop Loss Set the stop loss on the fractal below the entry candle. Exit Close the trade as soon as price closes below the midline (21MA) of the Bollinger Band.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Michael_Harding