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THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT: I last week’s KOG report we said we would be watching that 2340 extension level for a move upside in the early part of the week, and if achieved we would be looking to short the market back down initially into the 2310 level which is where we felt the RIP will come from. We had a little stretch into 2355 but got the move we wanted for the trade and then the bounce. On the way up we also took the long in Camelot giving us a fantastic start to the week. During the week we updated traders with the plan to go long into that higher regions and gave them a target level of 2370 which was achieved, in Camelot we had 2385, which was hit on the nose, gave us a TAP AND BOUNCE short trade, and the rest is history, what a move and trades on Gold last week giving us another record breaking capture. Well done to our team for their hard work not only on Gold but the numerous other pairs we trade and analyse, with Oil also giving us a lovely upside trade. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? We’ll start by saying we have FOMC and Cpi this week on the same day, so please trade carefully and expect there to be more aggressive price action across the markets. We have some key levels here on gold sitting below at 2380-75 which we feel are reasonable for attack and as shown on the chart, if held we feel there is an opportunity to long the market back up into 2310 and above that 2325 regions with extension of the move into 2330. That would be the ideal move for us, and if we see resistance with a clean set up in that resistance level, we’ll be hunting a short again to take this a lower. PLEASE NOTE – If they break below that level early session, the long trade will come from lower down in the 2250-55 region, which is a level to watch for this week! KOG's bias for the week: Bearish below 2335 with targets below 2385 and below that 2373 Bullish on break of 2335 with targets above 2355 and above that 2389 In summary: Price goes up, we’ll trade it level to level, expecting ranging and choppy market conditions, looking for the higher resistance levels. Higher resistance levels, we’ll be looking for the short trade if it presents itself. Price goes down, we’ll look for support to hold, a clean reversal and we’ll look to long. Nice and simple, we’re looking for a few decent trades on Gold this week due to FOMC and Cpi. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
14
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT In last week's KOG Report, we gave the support levels below, and suggested that if the market opened and those levels held price, we felt an opportunity to long the market would be available into the 2350-55 region and above that 2375, we achieved just short. Due to the ranging price, we stuck with the plan to then look for the short trade from above which also presented itself after we completed going long. It was a decent but frustrating week for traders, however, we completed near all the Excalibur targets, managing to trade it up into our given levels, bar a few pips, and then down again for the end of the week exactly from the level we had given to expect the minor selloff from. We then gave an end of week report with the target level below which was also completed and gave late session traders an opportunity to capture the long on the RIP with a tap and bounce. A fantastic week in Camelot, not only on gold, but the numerous other pairs we trade analyse and apply the algo to. Excalibur, the hot spots and the red-boxes together with KOG's bias of the day working well again. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? We have the order region above 2330-35 with extension of the move into the 2345 region. It’s that 2340 region which is important to look for if we get a move to the upside from opening, price below that level looks weak and we could then see further opportunities to short the market lower into the 2310 and below that 2285-95 region, which is where we feel the RIP will come from for any longs into the immediate levels of resistance. Below we have the 2320-15 price point, which again is a level of importance, a dip into that price point with rejection could again give the opportunity to long back up into that order region above before then resuming the move to the downside. Please note, the above is based on the price staying below the order region resistance, if we break above that level we will update our plans through the week. We have to remember, there is no significant breakout here as yet, we’re still in the range 2320-2365-70 which price has been gathering orders within. We have a lot of news this week as well as NFP on Friday, the market will be very choppy and ranging so please be careful. We always tell our traders, the last few days of the month and the first few days of the month need to be played with caution and your risk management needs to be up to scratch if you’re going to trade these markets. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
4
Bitcoin: How to Forecast the End of a Trend.The advance from Dec 2018 seems to be tracing an impulse pattern. Wave 1 is an impulse, wave 2 is a zigzag which neatly predicts flat wave 4 by guideline of alternation. The fifth wave appears to be tracing an impulse as well; an extension. It's probable that two minute degrees have reached completion at this stage and the market appears to be tracing out the third wave. So how do you forecast the target for wave 5? One way is to use an Elliott wave channel. Connect the end of wave 2 and 4. Draw a parallel line along the top of wave 3 to project wave 5 target. It is quite common for wave 5 to end upon reaching the upper boundary line of the channel In some cases, when wave 3 is uncommonly strong, almost vertical. Draw a parallel line using the top of wave 1 instead of wave 3. From experience, it's quite advantageous to draw the two upper boundary lines.
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by Aquanet_Market_Forecast
GOLD IS BEARISH !!!!www.tradingview.com GOLD maintains a bearish stance. The price appears to be exiting the corrective phase that ensued following an unconfirmed breach of support. The market seems poised for a further decline. On the 1-hour chart, XAUUSD has broken below the trendline and is positioned beneath the 50 and 100 Moving Averages. The Momentum oscillator has crossed below the 100 level from above, providing an additional bearish signal for Gold. Initiate a sell position on XAUUSD if it breaches below $2340; 🎯 Target $2328.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDShort
by Goldxking
USD/JPY: Ride this Third wave Decline.The decline from 160.24 high subdivides into five waves. This move is significant as it identifies the dominant trend as down. The technical name for this pattern is a leading diagonal. The subsequent three-wave price action unfolding in USD/JPY supports this bearish conviction. Countertrend price action commonly subdivides into a three. It is often slow, choppy and typically contained within a parallel channel. The technical name for this rally is a Zigzag pullback. As illustrated earlier in my education ideas, in zigzag formations, the upper boundary of a parallel channel often projects the end of wave C with dramatic precision. Moreover at 158.52, wave C would equal the length of wave A which is a common Fibonacci relationship in zigzag formations. It is also the case that when a leading diagonal occurs in wave (1) position of an impulse, it is sharply retraced by a zigzag correction with 61.8% and 78.6% levels common targets. Although not shown,the 78.6% retracement level corresponds to the upper boundary of the trend channel and wave C equality target. So in anticipation of wave (3) decline; a trader's bread and butter, the recommendation is to short at or near the 61.8% retracement level. The Protective Stop will be placed at 160.24; the origin of this decline. Why? Wave (2) of an impulse can NOT retrace more than 100% of wave (1). The target for this trade is a drop of at least 13.58 as in (160.24 - 151.83) X 1.618. Why? As a guideline, wave (3) of an impulse often extends and commonly travels 1.618 times the length of the (1). A Risk: Reward of 1:3 Working with 153.60 as our key level. A break below this level would hint that wave (2) is over and wave (3) to the downside is underway. Have a profitable trading week!
Short
by Aquanet_Market_Forecast
XAUUSD. Weekly trading levels 13 - 17.05.2024We continue the experiment with a wider range of zones. Let's see if we can guess the places to search for deals for the week ahead. Last week is HERE or in the related ideas at the bottom of the post. During the week you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a trade is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation. If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones. Levels are valid for a week, the date is in the title. The next morning I adjust the levels based on the new data and publish a new post. The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :) ---------------------------------------------- Levels are drawn based on volumes and data from CME. Used as areas of interest for trade. When approaching a level, a “reaction” is expected, which can be traded for both a rebound and a breakout. The worst option is if we revolve around the level in a flat. Do not reverse the market at every level; if there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to enter into a continuation of the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern. Don’t forget to like Rocket, Comments and Subscribe!!!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Forex_Hoby
Trade Plan NQ Futures: week starting May 5th, 2024 Trade Plan NQ Futures: week starting May 5th, 2024 Based on the provided levels for the NQH2024 futures contract, here's a weekly trade plan focusing on trading from the pivot to the upside or downside targets: Weekly Pivot: 17847 Current Price: 18000 Upside Targets: First Target: 18090 Second Target: 18348 Third Target: 18605 Downside Targets: First Target: 17731 Second Target: 17560 Third Target: 17378 Trade Plan: Long Trades: Look for buying opportunities if the price remains above the weekly pivot (17847). Entry: Consider entering long positions on pullbacks towards the pivot (17847) or if the price breaks above the current price (18000). Targets: Target the upside levels of 18090, 18348, and potentially 18605. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the pivot or below significant support levels identified during the week. Short Trades: Consider shorting the market if the price breaks below the weekly pivot (18847) or the current price (18000). Entry: Enter short positions on breakdowns below the pivot (17731) or the current price (18000). Targets: Aim for downside targets of 17731, 17560, and potentially 17378. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the pivot or above significant resistance levels identified during the week. Risk Management: Ensure proper risk management by sizing positions appropriately based on the distance to target and stop loss levels. Consider using trailing stops to lock in profits as the price moves in your favor. Monitor the market closely for any changes in price action or news events that could affect the trade. Note: Always adapt your trading plan based on real-time market conditions and adjust your approach as necessary to manage risk effectively.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by dhjesus
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT In last week’s KOG Report, we said we would only be looking for one move and that was to short the market into the levels illustrated on the chart. We had the initial opportunity from the intra-day resistance level giving the move breaking through the order region temporarily giving us the bounce to long back up into resistance where we said we wanted to monitor price to establish another short opportunity. Both these worked well although not as straight forward as we had hoped. During the week, we gave the FOMC Report highlighting the levels to long up into the resistance level and then short the market from higher up, this move however, was a point to point, level to level move continuing the fantastic week we had on Gold, completing over 8 targets activated. Well done to the team again, not only on Gold but the numerous other pairs we trade giving us over 800pips combined captures. So, What can we expect in the week ahead? After NFP and FOMC last week, this week we have a bank holiday in the UK which may give us some thin volume to start the week. NFP caused a lot of confusion amongst traders and only managed to whipsaw them back into where the price started. Support now stands at the 2295-7 region, which in our opinion, If held in the early session could give us a push upside towards the order region above, targeting the resistance levels of 2310 initially and above that 2320. Now, what we want to see here is if market can hold this order region again and give us the opportunity to get that short again. If we get the short from above we’ll be looking for the lower levels to be targeted and hopefully we can complete the move. There are a couple of curveballs here this week, 1) this could open and continue the move downside, if so, we’ll look for the retracements to get in and we’ll target our Excalibur targets upon activation. 2) staying below that 2330-40 order region is important for us to carry out this plan and continue with the move downside. In our opinion, the decent long trades will come from lower down for the ideal swing. That’s all for this week’s report, simple plan again, not going to over complicate it with numerous what’s and if’s. As usual, we’ll update traders through the week with the daily report, KOG’s bias of the day and the daily levels. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
12
Brent stopped out and Drawdown increasingIn this live trading session video,we look at the BRTUSD trade that got recently stopped out for a small loss on the 100k traders challenge account. We also look closely at the drawdown and why this is happening according to the strategy characteristics on both 50% OE and 20% OE strategy. Finally, we explore on what we should do about this by looking at 3 different options. The concepts and ideas in this video can be cross transferred onto any strategy.
ACTIVTRADES:BRENT
by masterthemarkets2010
PayPal - Is the stock dead?Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at PayPal. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: With the Covid-Crash in 2020 we saw a beautiful bullish break and retest on PayPal in confluence with a retest of an ascending trendline. This retest was followed by a rally of +200% towards the upside. From there, PayPal stock declined more than 80% and it is likely that we will never ever see the previous highs again. If you decide to take a trade though, make sure to properly manage your risk. -------- Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:PYPLLong
by basictradingtv
3
Dow Jones - Textbook trading setup!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at the Dow Jones. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: There is one major long term pattern which we have been looking at for a very long time - a rising channel formation. Just a couple of months ago the Dow Jones retested the lower support trendline and created a beautiful triangle breakout while rejecting towards the upside. If we now get a retest of the breakout level which is then acting as support, a major continuation higher is quite likely. -------- Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
DJ:DJI
by basictradingtv
7
Aussie for small profit and Sys vs Cash,3 pointsIn this live trading session video,we look at the AUDUSD trade that got recently stopped out for small profit on the 50k traders challenge account. 3 of the previous trades got stopped out before this and we look at how we should review the strategy as a professional if it is still working. We look at the the 3 steps we need to do for this System vs Cash results analysis review. The concepts and ideas in this video can be cross transferred onto any strategy.
by masterthemarkets2010
Top 4 Price Action Signals For Beginners. Best Trading Entries I will reveal 4 accurate price action signals that even a newbie trader will manage to easily recognize. Watch carefully because these signals alone will help you to make a lot of money trading Forex, Gold or any other financial market. Change of Character Change of character is a strong signal that indicates a trend violation and a highly probable market reversal. In a bearish trend, the change of character will be a bullish violation of the level of the last lower high. Check how the change of character accurately indicated a bullish reversal on EURJPY pair. In a bullish trend, a bearish violation of the level of the last higher low will signify a change of character and a highly probable bearish reversal. Bearish violation of the last higher low level and a change of character on USDJPY gave a perfect bearish signal. Breakout of Consolidation No matter what time frame you trader, you probably noticed that quite often the markets become weak and start consolidating . Most of the time, the prices tend to consolidate within horizontal ranges. Breakout of one of the boundaries of the range can give you a strong trading signal. Check how the price acted on GBPCHF. The breakout of the support/resistance of the range always gave an accurate signal, no matter what was the preceding direction of the market. Trend Line Breakout of a Pattern There are a lot of trend line based bullish and bearish price action patterns: the ranges, the wedges, the triangles, the channels. What unites these patterns is that the violation of the trend line of the pattern gives a strong trading signal. A bullish breakout of a resistance line of a falling wedge, a bullish flag and a symmetrical triangle will give us a strong bullish signal. Just look how EURUSD bounced after a bullish breakout of a resistance line of a falling wedge pattern. While a bearish breakout of a support line of a rising wedge, a bearish flag or a symmetrical triangle will indicate a highly probable bearish continuation Here is how a bearish breakout of the support of a symmetrical triangle formation helped me to predict a bearish movement on Gold. Neckline breakout of a horizontal pattern There are a lot of different price action patterns. One element that unites many of them is the so-called horizontal neckline. In bearish price action patterns like double top, head and shoulders, descending triangle, triple top, etc. a horizontal neckline represents a support from where buyers are placing their orders. Bearish violation of such a neckline will be considered to be an important sign of strength of the sellers and a strong bearish signal. In bullish price action patterns like double bottom, inverted head and shoulders pattern, ascending triangle, cup & handle, etc. a horizontal neckline represents a resistance where sellers a placing their orders. Its bullish violation will a strong bullish signal. Below is a perfect example how a bullish breakout of a neckline of an inverted head and shoulders pattern on Bitcoin triggered a strong bullish rally. Here is how a breakout of a neckline of a double top on USDCAD confirmed an initiation of a bearish correctional movement. The most important thing about these price action signals is that it is very simple to recognize them. You should learn the basic price action rules and a couple of classic price action patterns, it will be more than enough for you to identify confirmed bullish and bearish reversals on any time frame and any trading instrument. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
7