THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the support level of 2145-7 to be attempted and if held we felt that region would represent an opportunity to long the market using KOG’s daily bias levels and the levels on the chart. We said we would be looking for 2165-7 and in extension of the move into 2175 which were both completed. We then released the FOMC KOG Report, giving the level of 2180-5 as a RIP region, which gave us a good capture short, and then suggested that the break of 2175 could lead us into extreme levels 2210 which was highlighted. As you can see, the FOMC move tapped into the higher region and slightly higher, before a reaction in price with a huge rejection. We managed to trade the long into key levels, missed the all time high as it was overnight, and then captured a nice short as well. Tracked and traded up and down using our red box strategy, indicator and of course Excalibur.
A great week on not only Gold, but we hit our all time high targets on US30, NAS100 and DAX ending a phenomenal week in Camelot.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
It’s the last week of the month and Friday is the last day, so expect there to be some aggressive movement, whipsawing and choppy price action. We can already see profit taking from the highs, what we want to see if they are going to try and retest that high, or as institutions usually do, continue the move in the intended direction.
This week we’re sticking to a similar plan from last week, but hopefully without the extreme movement. We have the higher resistance level now at 2175-80 with extension of 2193-5, which was our bearish below bias level and as long as we stay below this level, if attempted, we will be looking to hold any short trades further down into the 2155, 2150 and below that 2147 regions initially. If the move down continues, we would expect a RIP around the 2135-40 region giving an opportunity to capture the scalps back up. The 2155-50 is the hurdle, if we can flip this level the move down will give us more confidence in lower pricing.
Please note – Breaking above 2175 and holding will flip us again, and we’re likely to go and test that high. It has to be traded day by day at the moment unless you’re holding trades from key levels above or below.
In summary:
Move up into resistance, as long as it holds we’ll look to take this down further into the levels given. Move down, we’ll level to level trade it, holding anything from above and look for bounces for the scalps long. It’s looking like we may see some gaps on opening, so please be careful.
KOG’s Bias for the week:
Bearish below 2175 with targets below 2145
Bullish on break of 2175 with targets above 2183 and above that 2195
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As always, trade safe.
KOG
