Top-5 tips for Top-Down Multiple Time Frame Analysis Trading
I am trading multiple time frame analysis for many years. After reviewing trading ideas from various traders on Tradingview, I noticed that many traders are applying that incorrectly
In this article, I will share with you 5 essential tips , that will help you improve your multiple time frame analysis and top-down trading.
The Order of Analysis Matters
Multiple time frame analysis is also called top-down analysis for a reason. When you trade with that, you should strictly start your analysis with higher time frames and then dive lower, investigating shorter-term time frames.
Unfortunately, most of the traders do the opposite. They start from a lower time frame and finish on a higher one.
Above are 3 time frames of EURGBP pair: daily, 4h, 1h.
To execute multiple time frames analysis properly, start with a daily, then check a 4h and only then the hourly time frame.
Limit the Number of Time Frames
Executing multiple time frame analysis, many traders analyse a lot of time frames.
They may start from a weekly and finish on 5 minute time frame, going through 5-8 time frames.
Remember that is it completely wrong. For execution of a multiple time frame analysis, it is more than enough to analyse 3 or even 2 time frames. Adding more time frames will overwhelm your analysis and make it too complex.
Analyse Particular Time Frames
Your multiple time frame analysis should be consistent and rule-based. It means that you should strictly define the time frames that you analyse.
For example, for day trading, my main trading time frames are daily, 4h, 1h. I consistently analyse ONLY these trading time frames and I look for day trades only analysing this combination of time frames.
Higher is the time frame, stronger the signal in provides
Trading with multiple time frame analysis, very often you will encounter controversial signals: you may see a very bullish pattern on a daily and a very bearish confirmation on 30 minutes time frame.
Always remember that the higher time frames confirmations are always stronger, and their accuracy is probability is always higher.
Above there are 2 patterns:
a head and shoulders pattern on a daily time frame with a confirmed neckline breakout, and an inverted head and shoulders pattern on a 4h time frame with a confirmed neckline breakout.
2 patterns give 2 controversial signals:
the pattern on a daily is very bullish and the pattern on a 4h is very bearish.
The signal on a daily time frame will be always stronger ,
so it is reasonable to be on a bearish side here.
You can see that the price dropped after a retest of a neckline of a head and shoulders on a daily, completely neglecting a bullish pattern on a 4H.
Each Time Frame Should Have Its Purpose
You should analyse any particular time frame for a reason.
You should know exactly what you are looking for there and what is the purpose of your analysis.
For example, for day trading, I analyse 3 time frames.
On a daily, I analyse the market trend and key levels.
On a 4H time frame, I analyse candlesticks.
On an hourly time frame, I look for a price action pattern as a confirmation.
On GBPAUD on a daily, I see a test of a key horizontal resistance.
On a 4H time frame, the price formed a doji candle.
On an hourly, I spotted a double top, giving me a bearish confirmation.
These trading tips will increase the accuracy of your multiple time frame analysis. Study them carefully and adopt them in your trading.
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Dynamics of Bull Market CyclesBull markets are the epitome of investor optimism and economic growth, characterized by rising asset prices and increasing investor confidence. However, within every bull market, there lies a cyclical pattern composed of distinct phases: Discovery, Momentum, and Blow-off. Understanding these phases is crucial for investors to navigate the market efficiently and capitalize on opportunities while mitigating risks.
🟣 Discovery Phase:
👉 Accumulation: During the accumulation phase, institutional investors and smart money recognize undervalued assets and begin quietly accumulating positions. This often occurs when the broader market sentiment is still pessimistic or uncertain, presenting attractive buying opportunities.
👉 Trend Emergence: As accumulation continues, subtle shifts in market dynamics become apparent. Prices begin to exhibit higher highs and higher lows, indicating the emergence of an uptrend. Technical indicators such as moving averages may start to show bullish crossovers, further confirming the trend.
🟣 Momentum Phase:
👉 Shake-out: The shake-out phase is characterized by short-term price declines or corrections that test investor resolve. Weak-handed investors, who bought near the end of the accumulation phase or are driven by fear, panic sell their positions. This phase often creates volatility and uncertainty but also offers opportunities for long-term investors to accumulate quality assets at discounted prices.
👉 Momentum Building: Following the shake-out, momentum begins to build as the broader market recognizes the strength of the uptrend. More investors start participating in the rally, driving prices higher. Positive news catalysts and strong earnings reports further fuel the momentum, attracting even more investors.
👉 First Sentiment: As the bull market gains momentum, investor sentiment shifts from cautious optimism to moderate confidence. Market participants start to believe in the sustainability of the uptrend, leading to increased buying activity. However, skepticism may still linger, especially among contrarian investors who remain wary of potential overvaluation.
🟣 Blow-off Phase:
👉 Renewed Optimism: In the blow-off phase, optimism reignites as investors regain confidence in the market's upward trajectory. Corrections or pullbacks are viewed as buying opportunities rather than signals of impending reversal. Institutional investors and retail traders alike re-enter the market, driving prices to new highs.
👉 FOMO (Fear of Missing Out): Fear of Missing Out becomes prevalent as investors fear being left behind in the rally. Social media, financial news outlets, and word-of-mouth recommendations amplify the sense of urgency to buy, further fueling price appreciation. This FOMO-driven buying frenzy can lead to exaggerated price moves and irrational exuberance.
👉 Euphoria: Euphoria marks the peak of the bull market cycle. Investors become irrationally exuberant, believing that the current uptrend will continue indefinitely. Risk management takes a backseat as greed overrides caution. Valuation metrics may reach extreme levels, signaling frothiness in the market.
Understanding the cyclical nature of bull market cycles is essential for investors to navigate the market successfully. By recognizing the distinct phases of Discovery, Momentum, and Blow-off, investors can make informed decisions, capitalize on opportunities, and protect their portfolios from potential downturns. While bull markets are synonymous with optimism and prosperity, prudent risk management and a keen awareness of market dynamics are critical for long-term investment success.
🔄 Time Changes Everything! 🕒shibunacci - "The more you examine it, the more it begins to make sense and truly astonishes you. 🧐 This observation underscores that the concepts of support and resistance are not static; they evolve dynamically, influenced by various factors, time being a primary one. ⏳ Understanding this can significantly enhance our strategic approach, as it reminds us of the fluid nature of these critical analytical markers. 💡"
Sui Very BullishWe were Squeezing back in November, We started having an outbreak in positive volume.
Once we crossed over the 50 period moving average we started a new trend. We had a golden cross and didn't have a pullback until Jan 15th where we started a correction and had a healthy touch on the .618 before continuing crushing the previous swing high finding it's way with some resistance around the 1.61 fib at 2.12
After 2.12 according to the fib extension we can look at price targets 3.20, 4.28, and 4.95 in the not so distant future.
Sei is looking Incredibly BullishWe're Currently at the last swing high after a health correction testing back to the .618 fib
We can see the 50 Day Moving Average came up and hugged against the fib line & moving average simultaneously.
Sei is one of the Most Bullish Projects to date as it seems with no intention of stopping.
Prices to consider according to fib ranges
1.36
2.14
2.92
3.41
Timeframe Tango: Finding Your Trading RhythmWelcome to the thrilling world of timeframes—a place where every minute counts and every candlestick tells a story. You've probably asked yourself a million times, "What's the best timeframe to trade?" Well, buckle up because we're about to dive deep into the mesmerizing world of timeframes and trading strategies!
Picture this: timeframes are like puzzle pieces. Lower timeframes, such as the 100 or 500-piece puzzles, are intricate and require patience. Think of them as the fast and furious lanes of trading where every tick matters. Conversely, higher timeframes resemble those 10 or 20-piece puzzles—quicker to solve and offer a broader market perspective.
Now, let's talk strategy. It's all about how fast and efficiently you piece those puzzles together. Whether crafting your unique strategy or borrowing a page from the pros, the goal remains: wait for the market to paint your perfect setup.
But here's the kicker: you've got to be strategic with your timeframes. Let's break it down with some juicy details!
Imagine you're a 9-5 warrior or a student hustling through classes. Your time is precious. So, let's talk hours. How many trade opportunities can you snag in an hour?
If you thrive on adrenaline and lightning-fast decisions, the 1- and 5-minute timeframes might be your playground. You're in for a wild ride with 60 to 12 candlesticks printed each hour! Scalping and day trading become your middle names as you seize opportunities left and right. When analyzed correctly, you could see 1-3 opportunities within an hour.
But if you've got more wiggle room in your schedule, let's talk swing trading. Picture the 15-minute to minutes—a sweet spot for those seeking a balance between action and analysis. With 4 and 2 candlesticks printed each hour, you've got time to breathe and plan your moves.
Now, let's zoom out a bit. Say hello to the 1 and 4-hour timeframes—the realm of short-term swing trading. Here, you're not watching the clock; you're watching the trend unfold over hours and days. With 24 to 6 candlesticks printed in a day, you've got ample opportunities to spot those juicy setups. Think 3-4 trade opportunities a week on the 1-hour timeframe and 1-2 on the 4-hour timeframe. It's the sweet spot between day trading and short-swing trading!
Finally, we arrive at the granddaddy of timeframes—the daily chart. Here, we're talking about long-term swings and big-picture analysis. With three to four great opportunities a month, you have time to breathe, plan, and execute precisely. It's like watching the market paint its masterpiece, one candlestick at a time.
So, what's your trading style? Are you a scalping sensation, a swing trading maverick, or a long-term visionary? Find the timeframe that fits your schedule like a glove, and let's embark on this epic trading journey together!
Catch you on the charts,
Shaquan
TradingView is Everything You Need to Start Trading
If you are planning to start Forex and Gold trading, I prepared for you a list of 6 essential things that you will need for a successful start.
1 - Charting Software
Obviously, if you want to trade, you should analyze the charts.
Most of the beginners apply metatrader 4 or 5 for that.
Even though meta trader is good as a trading terminal, from charting perspective it is already outdated.
My recommendation to you is to apply TradingView for chart analysis.
It is very user-friendly, it offers all popular trading instruments, and it has a wonderful community where you can check ideas and forecasts of experienced traders.
2 - Set up Your Watch List
There are hundreds of different trading instruments for Forex traders:
major and minor pairs, exotic pairs, cfds on gold, silver, oil, etc...
Your task as a beginner is to focus on a very narrow list of trading assets.
Build a trading list of maximum 8 instruments , learn to trade them and expand the list as you mature in trading.
Here is the example of a watch list for beginners: 7 major USD forex pairs.
3 - Make a Trading Plan
There are hundreds of different trading strategies and techniques in Forex trading. And obviously, you can not trade them all.
Pick a strategy that you like, that makes sense to you.
Focus on that and practice, practice, practice.
4 - Economic Calendar
Even if you decide to trade only technical analysis, you should not forget to check fundamentals in the economic calendar and learn their impact on the markets.
You need an economic calendar for that.
There is an economic calendar on TradingView, it is very reliable and you can find the important news there
Pay attention to important 3-star news, and preferably don't trade ahead of the releases while you are learning.
5 - Demo Account
Trading education is a long journey.
While you are studying trading basics and trying different trading strategies, you should strictly trade on a demo account.
I recommend paper trading on TradingView, so that you could have the analysis and the trades on the same chart.
6 - Position Size Calculator
You should learn to calculate lot size for your trades from the beginning. You should always know how much is your risk per trade. For that reason, placing the trades on a demo account, you should measure lot sizes for your trades.
If you demo trade on TradingView, it offers a default position size calculator when you can set the lot size according to a desired risk.
Good luck in your journey and be prepared to work hard!
Why Supply and Demand Zones Matters?Supply and demand zones are crucial concepts in technical analysis. They represent where the market tends to pull back before moving in its natural impulsive move. You can gain valuable insights into your trades' potential entry and exit points by identifying these zones.
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Demand represents the quantity of buyers vs. sellers in the market. Supply represents the currency being bought. We will keep it that simple.
How to Identify Supply and Demand Zones
🔍📊📉
There are several methods you can use to identify zones:
Swing Highs and Lows: Look for areas where the price has previously reversed direction. These swing lower highs and higher lows can serve as potential entry zones.
Zones: Draw your zones on the wicks of the candlesticks depending on the direction the price is moving to highlight your entry.
Price Action: Use price action candlesticks to permit you to enter your trade.
Utilizing Supply and Demand Zones in Trading
📊📈💰
Once you have identified your zones, you can incorporate them into your trading strategy. Here are a few ways to utilize these zones:
Entry and Exit Points : Use supply and demand zones to determine optimal entry and exit points for your trades. Buying and selling when the price touches the zone can increase your chances of profitable trades.
Stop Loss Placement : Place your stop loss orders below your last low when buying and above the last high when selling. This helps protect your capital if the price has a little bit further to go before going your way.
Profit Targets : Set profit targets back at the high in an uptrend and low in a downtrend.
Now, you want to turn your knowledge into a trading plan. Creating a trading plan is all about writing down what you do on the price chart.
You don't want to rush this step because you are detailing how you will make money trading here.
Before doing that, you must ensure you have backtested your strategy and its profitability. I
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Developing a Trading Plan and Setting Realistic Goals to Achieve Consistent Profitability
Now, we will dive into the importance of developing a trading plan and setting realistic goals to achieve consistent profitability in the forex market. 📈💰
Why a Trading Plan Matters
Having a well-defined trading plan is like having a roadmap to success. It provides structure, discipline, and clarity to your trading activities. Without a plan, you may make impulsive decisions based on emotions or market noise, leading to inconsistent results and unnecessary losses. So, let's get started on creating your trading plan! 🗺️✍️
Define Your Trading Strategy
The first step in developing a trading plan is defining your strategy. This involves determining the type of trader you want to be, whether a day trader, swing trader, or position trader. Each style requires a different approach and time commitment, so choose the one that aligns with your goals and lifestyle.
Inside the Trade On Purpose Community &Trading Strategy, we focus on swing trading because many beginner traders work, and day trading may not fit their work schedule.
Also, swing trading allows you to breathe through your trades. You can make money trading and enjoy your profits while waiting for the next setup.
Next, identify the trading indicators and tools you will use to analyze the market. This could include moving averages, trend lines, or candlestick patterns. Remember, focusing on a few reliable indicators is important rather than overwhelming yourself with too many.
Inside the community, we don't focus on indicators. We focus on the 4 most repeated candlesticks on the price chart.
Doing this allows us to use these candlesticks as our structure and entry so we don't become overwhelmed with looking at too much.
Set Realistic Goals
Now that you have your trading strategy, it's time to set realistic goals. Setting achievable goals is crucial for maintaining motivation and measuring your progress. Start by determining your desired monthly or yearly profit target. Be realistic and consider factors such as market volatility and your available trading capital.
Break down your profit target into smaller, manageable goals. This will help you stay focused and prevent feeling overwhelmed. Remember, consistency is key in trading, so aim for steady growth rather than trying to hit home runs with every trade.
For example, the monthly goal for 2024 is between 5-10%. This means I only need to focus on my A+ setups and can risk between 0.50%-1% per trade on any given idea. If it's a good month, I'll only need 3-4 winning and swing trade setups.
Risk Management and Trade Execution
No trading plan is complete without addressing risk management and trade execution. Determine your risk tolerance and set appropriate stop-loss levels for each trade. This will help protect your capital and minimize losses when the market doesn't go as expected.
Additionally, establish rules for trade entry and exit. Define the criteria that must be met before entering a trade and the conditions that will trigger your exit. This will help you avoid impulsive decisions and stick to your plan.
We use a mix of pending and market orders inside the community.
Pending orders are good to set if you're not in front of your computer often. You can set your order and let the market do its thing.
Market orders are good if you can be in front of your chart and desire to enter the trade yourself.
Stay Disciplined and Adapt
Lastly, remember that a trading plan is not set in stone. The market constantly evolves, and you must adapt your plan accordingly. However, avoid making changes based on short-term market fluctuations or emotions. Stick to your plan, analyze your trades regularly, and adjust based on data and evidence.
By developing a trading plan and setting realistic goals, you are taking a significant step towards achieving consistent profitability in forex trading. Stay disciplined, be patient, and always keep learning. Tomorrow, Implementing risk management strategies to protect your capital and minimize losses. Stay tuned! 💪😊
Full Time Trading. Everything You Need to Know
Once you mature in trading and become a consistently profitable trader, the question arises: are you ready to trade full time?
Becoming a full time trade is a very significant step and my things must be taken into consideration before you make it.
✨ Becoming a full time trader implies that you quit your current job, that you give up a stable income - your salary.
In contrast to classic job, trading does not give guarantees . Please, realize that such a thing as stable income does not exist in trading.
Trading is a series of winning and losing trades, positive and negative periods. For that reasons, remember that in order to become a full time trader, your average monthly trading income must be at least twice as your monthly expenses.
✨ Moreover, even if your trading income is sufficient to cover two months of your life, that is still not enough. You must have savings.
Trading for more than 9 years, I faced with quite prolonged negative periods. One time I was below zero for the entire quarter.
For that reason, supporting a family and living a decent life will require savings that will help you not to sink during the losing periods.
✨ Another very important sign is your correct and objective view on your trading. Please, realize that if you bought Bitcoin one time and made a couple of thousands of dollars, it does not make you a consistently profitable trader.
Please, do not confuse luck with the skill. Your trading must be proven by many years of trading.
✨ You must be emotionally prepared for the living conditions that full time trading will bring you.
Being a full time trader implies that you are constantly at home,
you work from home from Monday to Friday.
You do not see your colleagues, your social life will change dramatically.
I know a lot of people who started to trade full time and then realized that they can not work from home for different reasons.
⭐️ So what are the necessary conditions for becoming a full time traders:
you should have savings that will cover the negative trading periods,
your average monthly trading income should be at least twice as your monthly expenses,
your trading efficiency must be proven by objective, consistent results,
and you must be psychologically prepared for working from home.
When these conditions are met, you can make a significant step and become a full-time trader.
Are you ready?
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9 Essential TIPS For Newbie Traders (Learn from my Mistakes!)
In the today's article, I will reveal trading secrets I wish I knew when I started trading.
1️⃣ Forget about becoming a pro quickly
Most of the traders believe, that you can learn how to trade easily and that it takes a very short period of time in order to master a profitable trading strategy.
The truth is, however, that trading is a long journey.
I spent more than 3 years, trying different strategies and looking for a profitable technique to trade. Once I found that, it took more than a year to polish a trading strategy and to learn how to apply that properly.
Be prepared to spend YEARS before you find a way to trade profitably.
2️⃣ Focus on One Strategy
While you are learning how to trade you will try different techniques, tools and strategies. And the thing is that newbies are trying multiple things simultaneously. The more strategies you try at once, the more setups you have on your chart. The more setups you have on your chart, the more complex and difficult is your trading.
Remember that in this game, your attention is the key.
You should meticulously study each and every trading setup.
For that reason, I highly recommend you to focus on one strategy, one approach, one technique. Test it, try it and look for a new one only when you realize that it doesn't work.
Here is the example how the same price chart can provide absolutely different trading opportunities depending on a trading strategy.
Price action pattern trader would recognize a lot of a patterns, while indicator based trader could spot absolutely different bullish and bearish signals.
Now, try to imagine how hard it would be to follow both strategies simultaneously.
3️⃣ Start with small capital that you can afford to lose
You will lose your first trading deposit and, probably, the second one and potentially the third one as well.
Losses are the only way to learn real trading. While you are on a demo account, you feel like a king, but once you start risking your savings, the perspective completely changes.
For that reason, make sure that you trade with an account that you can afford to lose. The fact of blowing such an account should be unpleasant, but that should not affect your daily life.
4️⃣ Use stop loss
I am doing trading coaching for more than 4 years.
What pisses me off is that the main reason of the substantial losses of my mentees is the absence of stop loss. Why can it be if naturally everyone: from your broker to Instagram trading gurus repeat that day after day.
Set stop loss, know in advance how much you risk per trade, and know the exact level on a price chart where you become wrong.
Imagine what could be your loss, if you shorted USDJPY and hold the trade while the market kept going against you.
5️⃣ Forget about getting rich quick
That is the iconic fallacy. I believe that around 90% of people who come in this game want to get rich quick, want easy money.
And no surprise, when I share a trading setup on TradingView, and it loses I receive dozens of messages that I am a scammer.
People truly believe that professional trading implies 100% win rate and quick and easy money.
The truth is, traders, that trading is a very tough game. And with a good trading strategy, you have just a little statistical edge that will give you the profits that would slightly overcome your losses.
6️⃣ Train your eyes
Professional trading implies pattern recognition: it can be some technical indicators pattern, the price action or candlestick formation, etc.
Your main goal as a trader is to learn to identify these patterns.
Pattern recognition is a hard skill to acquire.
You should spend dozens of hours in front of the screen in order to train your eyes to identify certain patterns.
Here is how many patterns you would spot on GBPUSD chart, paying close attention.
7️⃣ Track and analyze your trades
Study all the trades that you take, especially the losing ones.
Look for mistakes, look for the reasons why a certain setup played out and why a certain one didn't. Journal your trades and make notes.
8️⃣ Don't use technical indicators
Newbies believe that technical indicators should do the work for them.
They are constantly looking for one or a bunch that will accurately show where the market will go.
However, I always say to my mentees that technical indicators make the chart messy and distract.
If you just started trading, focus on a naked chart, learn to analyze the market trend, key levels, classic price action patterns.
Learn to make accurate predictions relying on a price chart alone.
Only then add some technical indicators on your chart.
They won't do the work for you, but will help you to slightly increase the accuracy of a certain setup.
Above is the classic chart of newbie trader.
A lot of indicators and a complete mess
The same chart would look much better without technical indicators.
9️⃣ Find a Mentor
There are hundreds of trading mentors. Find the one with a trading style that you like.
Follow him, learn from his trading experience, listen to his trading recommendations.
9 years ago I found a guy, his name was Jason.
I really liked his free teachings, and they were meaningful to me.
I decided to purchase his premium coaching program.
It was 200$ monthly - a huge amount of money for me at that time.
However, with his knowledge I saved a lot, I learned a lot of profitable techniques and tricks that helped me to become a professional forex trader.
Of course, this list could be much bigger.
The more I think about different subjects in trading, the more important tips come to my mind. However, I believe that the tips above
are essential and I truly wish I knew all that before I started.
I hope that info will help you in your trading journey!
Good luck to you.
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Trading on Holidays: Liquidity and Spreads
When trading forex, it's essential to check spreads, especially during holidays.
Trading forex during holidays can be a bit more challenging due to reduced liquidity in the market.
Liquidity refers to the ease with which assets can be bought or sold without causing a significant change in price. During holidays, liquidity can be lower as many traders and financial institutions take time off, leading to fewer participants in the market.
Lower liquidity can directly impact the spread, which is the difference between the bid and ask price of a currency pair. In times of reduced liquidity, spreads tend to widen, meaning the difference between the buying and selling price of a currency pair increases. This can lead to higher trading costs for traders, as wider spreads require a larger price movement in the underlying asset before a trade becomes profitable.
It's essential for traders to be aware of these potential spread increases during holidays to avoid unexpected trading costs.
Additionally, wider spreads can also lead to slippage , where a trade is executed at a different price than expected. This can further impact trading results, especially during fast-moving markets with low liquidity.
Therefore, checking spreads during holidays is crucial for forex traders to anticipate potential increases in trading costs and adjust their trading strategies accordingly.
On TradingView, you can check the spreads in the top left corner. There you can find bid, ask prices and the spread between them.
It's important to factor in the impact of wider spreads on profitability and risk management when trading during these periods. By staying informed about spread changes during holidays, traders can make more informed decisions and better navigate the challenges of lower liquidity in the forex market.
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Essentials for Prosperous TradingWhile the basics seem straightforward, the intricacies of the market often trip up even the most knowledgeable individuals. Trading transcends a mere understanding of market dynamics; it requires a unique blend of pattern recognition, abstract thinking, and a mindset that combines personality traits, self-discipline, and a specific mental approach.
The Foundations of Successful Trading:
🟣 Unmasking the Illusion of Gambling:
A staggering 99% of novice traders harbor unrealistic expectations about potential returns, often treating trading as a form of gambling. The first step toward success involves dispelling these illusions.
🟣 Setting and Maintaining Your Risk-Reward Ratio:
Risk management is paramount. By risking no more than 1% of the deposit per trade and employing a variable lot size, traders gain consistent control over the risks involved.
🟣 Resisting the All-In Temptation:
Novice traders often succumb to the allure of recovering losses hastily by going all in on a single trade. Learning gradually, even at the cost of account diminution, is a crucial aspect of trading education.
🟣 Capital Protection through Stop-Loss Orders:
Implementing stop-loss orders is imperative. Relying on the erroneous belief that one can manually close a position when the pre-determined stop-loss level is hit is a perilous misconception.
🟣 Instituting Loss-Cutting Measures:
Setting a daily loss limit and refraining from trading after a set number of consecutive losses are essential to prevent emotional trading and safeguard capital.
Maintaining Composure in the Trading Arena:
🟣 The Role of Emotional Intelligence:
Exemplary traders exhibit robotic emotional detachment while retaining the cognitive flexibility and intuition that machines lack. Timing entry points accurately is paramount to success.
🟣 Emotion Control:
Whether it's euphoria or panic, extremes of emotion are detrimental to successful trading. The mantra is clear: emotions belong in a casino; trading is all about business.
🟣 Overcoming FOMO (Fear of Missing Out):
Resisting the urge to trade uncertain opportunities out of fear of missing potential profits is crucial. Decisions driven by FOMO are counterproductive and should be avoided.
🟣 Breaking Free from Herd Mentality:
Following the crowd leads to the 99% category of losing traders. Individualized strategies, free from herd mentality, are key to success.
🟣 Crafting a Watch List:
Building a diverse watch list provides choices. Seeking opportunities within this list avoids the futile pursuit of non-existent patterns.
Consistency: The Key to Sustainable Success:
🟣 Steady Gains Over Boom-Bust Performances:
Establishing consistent trading practices is pivotal for transforming trading into a reliable income source. Slow, steady gains surpass erratic boom-bust performances.
🟣 Identifying a Strategy:
Conducting thorough research on various trading strategies and selecting those that align with personal understanding is the foundation of success.
🟣 Utilizing Paper Trading and Backtesting:
Validation through backtesting and real-time insights from paper trading refine chosen strategies and enhance their effectiveness.
🟣 Tracking Trades for Insight:
Maintaining a comprehensive record of trades is an invaluable tool. Analyzing this data helps identify strengths, weaknesses, and patterns in trading.
🟣 Formalizing Rules for Objectivity:
Objectivity is the linchpin of consistent trading. Defining each element of a strategy precisely and creating a strict algorithm to follow meticulously ensures emotional detachment.
Diamond Pattern: How To GuideThe Diamond pattern, an often-overlooked gem in technical analysis, holds the potential for substantial profits.
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Despite its rarity, this unique pattern can be a valuable asset for traders. In this article, we'll explore the essentials of the Diamond pattern, from its formation principles to practical trading strategies.
Understanding the Diamond Pattern:
The Diamond pattern, a reversal pattern, takes shape at the top of an uptrend or the bottom of a downtrend. Recognized by its diamond shape, the pattern signifies a period of decreased volatility, with market participants positioning themselves for the next significant move.
Diamond Pattern Formation:
Top of Uptrend: Starts with an expanding triangle, followed by a converging triangle. The second wave of players triggers a rapid price decline, forming the Diamond pattern.
Bottom of Downtrend: Bears induce a sideways movement, and the second wave of traders, motivated by greed, initiates active selling. Profit-taking by the first wave of sellers leads to the formation of the Diamond pattern.
Trading Strategies:
Opening a Selling Position:
Sell when the price breaks the lower right support line and the candlestick closes below it.
Place a Stop Loss behind the nearest high.
Potential profit: 60-80% of the Diamond's height.
Alternative Selling Approach:
Enter at the breakaway of the Diamond's low for a conservative approach.
Place Stop Loss behind the nearest low or Diamond's high.
Opening a Buying Position:
Buy when the price breaks the upper right resistance line, and the candlestick closes above it.
Place a Stop Loss behind the nearest low.
Potential profit: 60-80% of the Diamond pattern size.
Alternative Buying Approach:
Enter at the breakaway of the Diamond's high for a conservative option.
Place Stop Loss behind the nearest low or Diamond's low.
Closing Thoughts:
Mastering the Diamond pattern requires patience, technical analysis skills, and disciplined risk management. Despite its infrequency on larger timeframes, the potential for significant profits makes the Diamond pattern a valuable tool in a trader's toolkit. Traders should exercise caution, ensuring the pattern is complete, and adhere to risk management rules, especially with larger stop-loss sizes on larger timeframes.
of Fibonacci RetracementsIn this article, we delve into the intricacies of the Springboard Effect of Fibonacci Retracements , drawing parallels between the trading world and the physics of a springboard.
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The Springboard Analogy:
Imagine a scenario with four different springboards, each with varying degrees of stiffness. Now, drop an identical weight from the same height onto each board. The resulting bounce illustrates the concept of retracement and extension in the context of momentum trading.
Barely Any Springs (0.236 Retracement):
A bounce at the 0.236 retracement level is seen as a potential trend failure. Buyers may step in, but the bounce is likely weak. Traders shift focus to shorter-term scalping opportunities, targeting other fib levels within the retracement as potential resistance.
Few Springs (0.328 Retracement):
Here, the bounce on the 0.328% retracement is viewed with caution. While a good bounce may occur, traders remain vigilant about a potential double top, closely monitoring candlestick reactions and utilizing the CCI to identify divergence if momentum falters.
Moderate Springs (0.5 Retracement):
A bounce at the 0.5 retracement level signifies continued bullish momentum. Buyers are willing to enter at a relatively lower point, maintaining optimism. Targeting the 1.272 extension, traders consider this a bullish signal. Aligning with nearby resistance or front-running the level becomes a strategic move.
Lots of Springs (0.618 Retracement):
This scenario represents a strong market extension. A bounce at the 38.2% retracement level indicates a plethora of buyers eager to enter the market promptly. This serves as a positive sign, suggesting a robust extension. The target? The 1.618 extension, potentially aligned with a nearby resistance level.
The Springboard Effect provides traders with a tangible framework for interpreting retracements and anticipating market extensions. By aligning retracement levels with the stiffness of a springboard, traders gain insights into the potential strength or weakness of a continuation. Whether aiming for robust extensions or preparing for short-term scalps, understanding the nuances of the Springboard Effect adds value to a trader's toolkit.
Embrace this strategy, and may your trades be propelled to new heights.
Protecting Your Investments: The Art of Setting Stop Losses 📉💰
Protecting Your Investments: The Art of Setting Stop Losses 📉💰
✅Setting stop losses is a crucial aspect of risk management in the world of investing. Whether you are a seasoned trader or just starting out, understanding how to set stop losses can help protect your capital and minimize losses. In this article, we will delve into the intricacies of setting stop losses and provide practical examples to illustrate the process.
✅Understanding Stop Loss
A stop loss is an order placed with a broker to buy or sell a security once the price reaches a certain level. It is used to limit potential losses on a trade. When setting a stop loss, it's important to consider factors such as volatility, market conditions, and individual risk tolerance.
Gold broke the rising support so a short trade was opened at the retest, with the SL being above the local key structure
✅ How to Set Stop Losses
1. Determine your risk tolerance: Before setting a stop loss, it's essential to assess how much you are willing to risk on a trade. This will help you determine the appropriate level for your stop loss.
2. Consider technical analysis: Utilize technical indicators and chart patterns to identify key support and resistance levels. These can serve as potential areas to place your stop loss.
3. Implement a trailing stop: As the price of a security moves in a favorable direction, consider adjusting your stop loss to lock in profits while still protecting against potential reversals.
Gold was retesting the horizontal resistance level so a short trade was activated, with the SL above the resistance level
✅Examples:
1. Scenario 1: An investor purchases 100 shares of Company XYZ at $50 per share. They set a stop loss at $45 to limit potential losses if the stock price declines.
2. Scenario 2: A swing trader enters a long position on a currency pair at 1.2000. They place a trailing stop loss at 1.2050 to protect against adverse price movements.
Gold was retesting the strong horizontal support level from where we took a long trade and placed the SL below the lower bound of the support level
When setting stop losses, it's important to strike a balance between protecting your capital and allowing for potential market fluctuations. By mastering the art of setting stop losses, investors can better navigate the unpredictable nature of financial markets and safeguard their hard-earned investments. 📊✅
Trading in December. Everything You Need to Know
Because of the coming holidays, you are probably wondering should you trade in December at all and if yes, when should you stop and resume your trading.
In this article, I will share with you how I trade in December.
First, let me briefly explain to you how holidays, especially Christmas and New Year, affect the financial markets.
In many countries, Christmas and New Year's Day are official banking holidays. 🗓
In Europe, for example, December 24th, 25th, 26th and 31st are official banking holidays.
In the UK, the markets are officially closed December 25th and 26th.
While December 25th is the official banking holiday in the US.
When I trade I stick to the following rule: when there is a banking holiday in US, UK or EU I don't place any trade in that exact day.
However, with winter holidays it is a bit different.
I always skip the entire Christmas week - from 25th to 30th of December , because even though many markets remain opened, they are hardly moving and very slow.
You should also be very careful, trading the third week of December.
Till Wednesday, I trade in a normal schedule.
The presence of various important fundamentals in the economic calendar (especially the US ones), indicates potential volatility and nice movements on the markets.
With many years of experience, I noticed that trading volumes start falling since Thursday. And on Friday in many countries there are early bank closes or banking holidays like in New Zealand.
So my advice is, close all your trades on Wednesday 20th in the middle of NY session and stop trading.
📝 Here is the plan: we trade in a normal schedule the first half of December and then all the trades are closed, and we are enjoying holidays.
And when should you resume trading?
Again, here is a constant debate among traders. My take is to resume trading from the third week of January.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
6 Practical Tips for Futures TradingIn derivatives trading, achieving success can lead to substantial profits, but it's crucial to trade carefully to avoid costly mistakes.
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Here are six simple and practical tips to help develop a strategy for successful futures trading.
1. Craft a Clear Trade Plan
Before jumping into the market, take the time to plan your trades thoroughly. This involves setting not only profit goals but also establishing an exit plan in case the trade doesn't go as expected. A well-thought-out trading plan, including risk-management tools like stop-loss orders, can protect you from making impulsive decisions based on emotions like fear and greed.
2. Safeguard Your Positions
Protect your investments by committing to an exit strategy. Instead of relying on mental stops, use stop-loss orders to set a predetermined point at which you will exit the trade. Consider using One-Triggers-Other (OTO) orders to automate the process, triggering a protective stop when your primary order executes.
3. Focus Wisely
Avoid spreading yourself too thin by trying to trade too many markets. It's essential to concentrate on a few markets and dedicate time to studying charts, reading market commentary, and staying informed. However, don't put all your eggs in one basket either—diversification in futures trading can offer advantages.
4. Take It Slow
If you're new to futures trading, start with a cautious approach. Avoid trading large quantities at the beginning, as this could lead to significant losses. Begin with one or two contracts, develop your trading methodology, and only increase your order size when you feel confident.
5. Think Both Ways
Be open to trading opportunities in both rising and falling markets. While it's natural to want to go long, don't overlook the potential benefits of going short. This flexibility can broaden your trading opportunities and enhance your overall strategy.
6. Learn from Margin Calls
A margin call may signal that you've become emotionally attached to a losing position. Instead of adding more funds or reducing positions to meet the call, consider it a wake-up call. Cut your losses, learn from the experience, and move on to the next trading opportunity.
By incorporating these practical tips into your trading approach, you can navigate the futures market more confidently and increase your chances of success. Remember, a well-thought-out strategy and disciplined execution are key to achieving profitable results in futures trading.
AB ⚡️ CD — Harmonic Patterns 🟣The AB⚡️CD pattern is a highly effective tool utilized in trading to identify potential opportunities across diverse markets, including forex, stocks, cryptocurrencies, and futures.
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This pattern takes the form of a visual and geometric arrangement, characterized by three consecutive price swings or trends.
When observed on a price chart, the ABCD pattern exhibits a striking resemblance to a lightning bolt ⚡️ or a distinctive zig-zag pattern.
Importance of the ABCD Pattern
The significance of the ABCD pattern lies in its ability to identify trading opportunities across different markets, timeframes, and market conditions. Whether the market is bullish, bearish, or range-bound, the ABCD pattern remains a reliable tool.
By recognizing the completion of the pattern at point D, you can get a perspective trade entries. Furthermore, the ABCD pattern helps you determine the risk-to-reward ratio before initiating a trade. When multiple patterns converge within the same timeframe or across different timeframes, it strengthens the trade signal and increases the likelihood of a profitable outcome.
Finding an ABCD Pattern
The ABCD pattern has both a bullish and bearish version. Bullish patterns indicate higher probability opportunities to buy or go long, while bearish patterns suggest opportunities to sell or go short.
To identify an ABCD pattern, it is essential to locate significant highs or lows on a price chart, represented by points A, B, C, and D. These points define the three consecutive price swings or legs of the pattern: the AB leg, the BC leg, and the CD leg.
Trading is not an exact science, so traders often employ Fibonacci ratios to determine the relationship between the AB and CD legs in terms of both time and price. This approximation assists in locating the potential completion of the ABCD pattern. When patterns converge, it increases the probability of successful trades and enables you to make more accurate decisions regarding entries and exits.
Types of ABCD Patterns
There are three types of ABCD patterns, each having both a bullish and bearish version. To validate an ABCD pattern, specific criteria and characteristics must be met. Here are the characteristics of the bullish and bearish ABCD patterns:
📈 Bullish ABCD Pattern Characteristics (buy at point D):
To effectively trade the bullish ABCD pattern, you might consider the following characteristics:
1. Find AB:
Identify point A as a significant high and point B as a significant low. During the move from A to B, ensure that there are no highs above point A and no lows below point B.
2. After AB, then find BC:
Point C should be lower than point A. In the move from B up to C, there should be no lows below point B and no highs above point C. Ideally, point C will be around 61.8% or 78.6% of the length of AB. However, in strongly trending markets, BC may only be 38.2% or 50% of AB.
3. After BC, then draw CD:
Point D, which marks the completion of the pattern, must be lower than point B, indicating that the market has successfully achieved a new low. During the move from C down to D, there should be no highs above point C.
4.1 Determine where D may complete (price):
To determine the price level at which point D may complete, Fibonacci and ABCD tools can be utilized. CD may equal AB in price, or it may be 127.2% or 161.8% of AB in price. Alternatively, CD can be 127.2% or 161.8% of BC in price.
4.2 Determine when point D may complete (time) for additional confirmation:
For additional confirmation, you can analyze the time aspect of the pattern. CD may equal AB in time, or it may be around 61.8% or 78.6% of the time it took for AB to form. Additionally, CD can be 127.2% or 161.8% of the time it took for AB to form.
5. Look for Fibonacci, pattern, trend convergence:
Convergence of Fibonacci levels, pattern formations, and overall trend can strengthen the trade signal. Therefore, you should look for instances where these elements align.
6. Watch for price gaps and/or wide-ranging candles in the CD leg:
As the market approaches point D, it is important to monitor for any price gaps or wide-ranging candles in the CD leg. These may indicate a potential strongly trending market, and you might expect to see price extensions of 127.2% or 161.8%.
📉 Bearish ABCD Pattern Characteristics (sell at point D):
To effectively trade the bearish ABCD pattern, you might consider the following characteristics:
1. Find AB:
Identify point A as a significant low and point B as a significant high. During the move from A up to B, ensure that there are no lows below point A and no highs above point B.
2. After AB, then find BC:
Point C should be higher than point A. In the move from B down to C, there should be no highs above point B and no lows below point C. Ideally, point C will be around 61.8% or 78.6% of the length of AB. However, in strongly trending markets, BC may only be 38.2% or 50% of AB.
3. After BC, then draw CD:
Point D, which marks the completion of the pattern, must be higher than point B, indicating that the market has successfully achieved a new high. During the move from C up to D, there should be no lows below point C and no highs above point D.
4.1 Determine where D may complete (price):
To determine the price level at which point D may complete, Fibonacci and ABCD tools can be utilized. CD may equal AB in price, or it may be 127.2% or 161.8% of AB in price. Alternatively, CD can be 127.2% or 161.8% of BC in price.
4.2 Determine when point D may complete (time) for additional confirmation:
For additional confirmation, you can analyze the time aspect of the pattern. CD may equal AB in time, or it may be around 61.8% or 78.6% of the time it took for AB to form. Additionally, CD can be 127.2% or 161.8% of the time it took for AB to form.
5. Look for Fibonacci, pattern, trend convergence:
Convergence of Fibonacci levels, pattern formations, and overall trend can strengthen the trade signal. Therefore, you should look for instances where these elements align.
6. Watch for price gaps and/or wide-ranging bars/candles in the CD leg:
As the market approaches point D, it is important to monitor for any price gaps or wide-ranging bars/candles in the CD leg. These may indicate a potential strongly trending market, and you might expect to see price extensions of 127.2% or 161.8%.
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