EGO NO GO Traders’ Downfall: Six Actions to AvoidThere is NO place for ego and bravado with trading.
If it falls under your personality, you have been warned.
Do you know why?
Because ego and emotion are traders’ kryptonite.
In this piece, we’ll dive into the egotistical trader’s playbook and shine a light on six actions that could be crippling your trading game.
EGO NO GO #1: Overtrade: More is Not Always More
Overtrading is like trying to sprint a marathon; it’s unsustainable and a fast track to burnout.
You need to pace yourself or you’re going to get a spasm or a stitch.
As a trader, you’re not a machine-gun trader, firing rounds at every shadow.
You need to only look and wait for the highest probability trades.
Remember, it’s about the right trades, not just more trades.
Solution: Quality Over Quantity as I always tell my MATI Traders!
EGO NO GO #2: Revenge Trade: The Emotional Spiral
After a loss, I know it feels tempting to jump straight back into the markets in order to recover your funds.
But let’s face it…
Revenge trading is about as effective as using a leaky bucket to bail water out of a sinking ship.
Solution: Keep Cool and Carry On
Clear your head.
Take a walk, grab a beer – The market will always be there for you the next day.
And it will probably dish out even better trades.
Remember, the market doesn’t know you, and it certainly doesn’t owe you. Stick to your plan, not your pride.
EGO NO GO #3: Ignore Risk Management: The Silent Killer
If you ignore risk management, it’s like skydiving without checking your parachute.
What if you jumped and instead of a parachute you’re wearing a backback?
Don’t laugh, these things happen.
With trading you need your risk management measures:
Stop loss of less than 2%
Drawdown management when the portfolio goes down.
Risking money you can emotionally handle to lose.
Making sure of your trade size.
Checking your risk to rewards.
Ensuring you’ve protected your positions.
Solution: Plan Your Risk
Decide on your risk parameters before you enter a trade, and then—this is key—stick to them.
Your future self will thank you.
EGO NO GO #4: Dismiss Market Analysis: Gut Feelings vs. Hard Data
You also need to check the weather.
By weather I mean, look at the news events coming out for the day and week.
Is it NFP (Non Farm Payrolls)? – The day when you DON’T day trade.
Is it CPI (Consumer Price Index)? – The day you DON’T Trade
Is it FOMC where the federal committee talks and causes volatility?
Solution: Check the news events and be vigilant.
EGO NO GO #5: Blame Everything: The Pointless Game
When trades go south.
They look to blame.
They point fingers to their mentors, their strategy, themselves.
There is NO blame game with the markets.
If you followed your rules, strategies, risk to reward and everything else – You did the best of your ability for that trade.
Solution: Own your trade to Hone your trade It
Accept responsibility, learn from your mistakes, and grow stronger. It’s the only way.
EGO NO GO #6: Fail to Adapt: Evolve or Be Left Behind
The market is a beast that’s always changing.
I always say adapt or die.
Feel the general market’s environment.
Know whether it’s in a favourable or unfavourable period.
Tweak your system to improve your metrics.
Change the markets by adding or removing ones that aren’t working.
Take ego out of the analysis.
Solution: Stay Sharp, Stay Updated
FINAL WORDS:
I’m sure you already feel less egotistical when it comes to trading. And that means, this article has done it’s job.
Whenever you feel ego creeping in, remember this article save it and store it.
In fact go through all the articles that resonate, print them and store them in a file.
It will be your guide to trading well!
Let’s sum up the ego tendencies and how to avoid them…
Avoid Overtrading: Less can be more.
No Revenge Trading: Act with strategy, not emotion.
Stick to Risk Management: It’s your safety net.
Conduct Market Analysis: Never trade uninformed.
Stop the Blame: Learn and move forward.
Adapt to the Market: Evolve your strategy to stay relevant.
Tradingtips
Premium Gold idea !!! we are back $$$ bear bear "Success is not defined by how many times you fall, but by how many times you rise after falling."
Entry: I will let you guys choose
SL: never forget stop loss
Target: I will let you decide this also
I'm only concerned with the direction with a 4hr period
There is 2 more hours left until another analysis 8am est
Recommendations for new tradersNo matter the size of your deposit, begin trading with small amounts: $10, $100. As you gain experience, you can increase your deposit, but be ready to lose it. This will help you understand market participant behavior.
- Trade only with funds you can afford to lose; losing them shouldn't affect your quality of life.
- Don't rush to leave your main job; let trading be a hobby initially. It might turn into something more over time, but that's not guaranteed.
- More trades don't equal more profit. Sometimes fewer trades can be more profitable than many daily trades. Without experience, it can be challenging to know when to stay out of the market.
- Traders spend 90% of their time analyzing instruments and circumstances. Forget rushing; opportunities appear and disappear daily. Learn to wait. Begin with paper trading to get accustomed to the process.
- Note the time spent as well as profit or loss. Regardless of your preferred timeframes, start with longer ones like monthly, weekly, and daily charts for an overall view.
- Markets are cyclical; they don't rise or fall indefinitely. Reversals often happen unexpectedly. Base decisions on a well-thought-out plan, not emotions.
- Develop your own strategy based on your data and temperament. Don't ask others where to buy or sell; they don't know. If an instrument has risen several hundred percent from the bottom, entering without stops is irrational.
- If it has gained several thousand percent, avoid entering without waiting for a significant pullback. Even if indicators suggest a specific direction, always consider a 1% chance of the opposite happening to avoid significant losses. Always manage risks.
- Regularly withdraw a portion of your profits. Understand why you're investing your time. Ideally, withdraw all your initial investment over time to make operating the deposit easier psychologically.
- There are no universal strategies. Your strategy should be proven but flexible to market conditions. What works in a rising market may not work in a falling one, and vice versa. Adapt quickly and manage risks skillfully to make money.
Seeing others make profitable trades can lead to envyFor new traders, market decisions are often driven by emotions like fear and greed, rather than well-established trading strategies. While much has been written about this, there are other significant factors that influence traders' decisions:
Social Pressure: Traders often make trades based on the opinions and actions of others, rather than their own strategies and the real market situation. This social influence can come from chat rooms, online communities, or social media, where opinions are frequently voiced by other inexperienced traders.
Envy: Seeing others make profitable trades can lead to envy. This emotion pushes traders to make impulsive decisions, such as entering trades without proper analysis, hoping to replicate others' successes. Instead of waiting for their own signals, they act on impulse and lose control.
Common Mistakes Among New Traders:
Reacting to News and Opinions: Rather than following their own trading vehicle (strategy), novice traders often react to news or opinions from others. This leads to decisions that are not grounded in their own analysis.
Overactivity: Many mistakes stem from the feeling of needing to always be active in the market. New traders see others trading successfully and feel pressured to do the same. This can result in excessive trading and taking positions without proper signals.
Paralysis from Fear: When a genuinely good opportunity arises, traders who have been overly active may be too paralyzed by fear to act. Their energy is wasted on meaningless transactions, and negative emotions cloud their judgment.
Impact on Trading Performance:
Wasted Energy: Excessive, impulsive transactions deplete a trader’s energy and focus, leading to poor decision-making when real opportunities present themselves.
Negative Emotions: Constantly reacting to others and not following a personal strategy can result in frustration and dissatisfaction, which negatively impact self-esteem and confidence in one’s trading vehicle.
Loss of Control: Acting out of fear, greed, social pressure, or envy leads to a loss of control over trading decisions, causing more losses and missed opportunities.
Key Takeaways for New Traders:
Develop a Personal Strategy: Rely on your own trading plan and analysis.
Stay Patient: Wait for your entries and avoid impulsive trading.
Manage Emotions: Keep emotions like fear, greed, envy, and social pressure in check to maintain control over your trading decisions.
Focus on Long-Term Success: Avoid excessive trading and focus on making informed, strategic trades.
By being aware of these psychological factors and actively working to mitigate their impact, new traders can make more informed and rational trading decisions.
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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• Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓
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USD/JPY: Ride this Third wave Decline.The decline from 160.24 high subdivides into five waves. This move is significant as it identifies the dominant trend as down. The technical name for this pattern is a leading diagonal.
The subsequent three-wave price action unfolding in USD/JPY supports this bearish conviction. Countertrend price action commonly subdivides into a three. It is often slow, choppy and typically contained within a parallel channel. The technical name for this rally is a Zigzag pullback.
As illustrated earlier in my education ideas, in zigzag formations, the upper boundary of a parallel channel often projects the end of wave C with dramatic precision.
Moreover at 158.52, wave C would equal the length of wave A which is a common Fibonacci relationship in zigzag formations.
It is also the case that when a leading diagonal occurs in wave (1) position of an impulse, it is sharply retraced by a zigzag correction with 61.8% and 78.6% levels common targets. Although not shown,the 78.6% retracement level corresponds to the upper boundary of the trend channel and wave C equality target.
So in anticipation of wave (3) decline; a trader's bread and butter, the recommendation is to short at or near the 61.8% retracement level. The Protective Stop will be placed at 160.24; the origin of this decline. Why? Wave (2) of an impulse can NOT retrace more than 100% of wave (1).
The target for this trade is a drop of at least 13.58 as in (160.24 - 151.83) X 1.618. Why? As a guideline, wave (3) of an impulse often extends and commonly travels 1.618 times the length of the (1). A Risk: Reward of 1:3
Working with 153.60 as our key level. A break below this level would hint that wave (2) is over and wave (3) to the downside is underway.
Have a profitable trading week!
Mastering the Trader Skillset: Building a Strong PyramidIn the dynamic world of trading, success hinges on a robust skillset. Imagine this skillset as a pyramid, with each level representing a crucial component that traders must master to achieve consistent profitability. At the base, we have Technical Analysis, followed by Risk Management in the middle, and Discipline and Patience at the top. Additionally, Automation plays a pivotal role, integrating seamlessly across the entire structure. Let's delve into each of these elements and understand how they contribute to a trader's success.
The Base: Technical Analysis
The foundation of the trader's pyramid is Technical Analysis. This involves studying price charts, patterns, and various indicators to make informed trading decisions. Mastering technical analysis is crucial because it:
1. Identifies Trends and Patterns: Recognizing market trends and chart patterns allows traders to predict future price movements, making it easier to enter and exit trades at optimal times.
2. Utilizes Indicators: Tools like moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), and Bollinger Bands provide insights into market momentum, volatility, and potential reversals.
3. Supports Strategy Development: Technical analysis forms the basis for creating and refining trading strategies, whether they are short-term or long-term.
The Middle: Risk Management
Sitting at the middle of the pyramid is Risk Management, a critical component that ensures long-term survival in the market. Effective risk management includes:
1. Position Sizin: Determining the appropriate size for each trade to limit exposure and avoid catastrophic losses.
2. Stop-Loss Orders: Implementing stop-loss orders to automatically close losing positions before they can significantly impact the trading account.
3. Diversification: Spreading investments across different assets or markets to reduce risk.
By prioritizing risk management, traders can protect their capital and remain in the game, even during periods of market volatility.
The Peak: Discipline and Patience
At the pinnacle of the pyramid are Discipline and Patience, the traits that distinguish successful traders from the rest. These qualities are essential for:
1. Adhering to Strategies: Sticking to predetermined trading plans and strategies, even in the face of emotional challenges and market noise.
2. Avoiding Overtrading: Exercising restraint to prevent impulsive decisions and overtrading, which can erode profits and increase risk.
3. Waiting for the Right Opportunities: Having the patience to wait for high-probability setups, rather than forcing trades.
Discipline and patience ensure that traders remain consistent and rational, avoiding the pitfalls of emotional trading.
The Integrative Element: Automation
Automation in trading acts as an integrative element that enhances every level of the pyramid. It involves using algorithms and trading bots to execute trades based on predefined criteria. Automation benefits traders by:
1. Eliminating Emotional Bias: Automated systems follow strategies without being influenced by fear or greed, ensuring objective decision-making.
2. Enhancing Efficiency: Automation can analyze vast amounts of data quickly and execute trades with precision, improving overall trading efficiency.
3. Consistence: Automated strategies maintain consistency in trading, sticking to the plan without deviation.
By incorporating automation, traders can optimize their technical analysis, streamline risk management, and uphold discipline and patience.
The trader skillset pyramid provides a comprehensive framework for achieving trading success. Technical Analysis forms the sturdy base, enabling traders to understand market behavior and develop strategies. Risk Management, positioned in the middle, safeguards their capital and ensures longevity. Discipline and Patience, at the top, are the hallmarks of professional trading, allowing traders to execute their plans effectively. Automation, interwoven throughout, enhances each component, providing a modern edge in the fast-paced trading environment.
By mastering each level of this pyramid, traders can build a resilient and profitable trading career, equipped to navigate the complexities of financial markets with confidence.
Mastering Risk: Stop Loss in TradingTypes of Stop Loss
Money Stop
Definition: A trader sets a fixed amount they are willing to lose on a trade, for example, £20.
Issue: This approach often leads to larger losses because it doesn’t align with market movements.
Advice: Avoid using the money stop.
Time Stop
Definition: Used mainly by scalpers, this involves closing a trade if it doesn't move in the expected direction within a set time frame (e.g., 4-8 bars).
Key Point: It requires discipline to adhere to the set time limit.
Advice: Suitable for scalpers.
Technical Stop Loss
Definition: Based on price movements and market structure, this is the most effective stop loss for technical traders.
Types:
Initial Stop Loss: Set at the entry of a new position, usually at a momentum high or low. The trade remains valid as long as the price doesn't reach this point.
Technical Trailing Stop: Used to protect gains on a winning trade. As the price moves in your favor, adjust the stop to a new structure point that, if reached, invalidates the trade.
27 Articles That Helps You to Avoid MONEYGONE PatternAre you tired of feeling like your money disappears into thin air? Say goodbye to the ' MONEYGONE ' pattern with our collection of 27 articles packed with tips and tricks to keep your finances on track.
In #VestindaTips we've put together this big guide all about how prices move and patterns in trading.
Whether you're new to trading or you've been doing it for a while, we want to give you helpful info to understand the ups and downs of the financial world. So, let's learn together and get ready to navigate those tricky markets!
Dynamics of Bull Market Cycles:
Understanding the ebbs and flows of bull markets is essential for capitalizing on upward trends. Dive into the intricacies of bull market cycles to identify opportunities and optimize your trading strategies.
Dynamics of Bear Market Cycles:
Conversely, bear markets present unique challenges and opportunities.
Explore the dynamics of bear market cycles to mitigate risks and maximize profits during downward trends.
Diamond Pattern: How-To Guide:
Uncover the secrets of the diamond pattern and learn how to recognize and interpret this rare yet powerful formation in trading.
Drawing Trendlines: A Practical Guide:
Master the art of drawing trendlines with precision and accuracy. This practical guide offers valuable tips and techniques to identify trends and make informed trading decisions.
Think You Know Candlestick Patterns?
Delve deeper into the realm of candlestick patterns and refine your understanding of these fundamental tools for technical analysis.
What is a Bearish Pennant Pattern?
Decode the mysteries of the bearish pennant pattern and discover how to spot this bearish continuation formation in the market.
Market Gaps: Strategies, Types, Fills, and Crypto:
Explore the phenomenon of market gaps and uncover effective strategies for navigating these price discontinuities across various asset classes, including cryptocurrencies.
Three White Soldiers:
Learn to recognize and interpret the significance of the three white soldiers pattern, a bullish reversal formation that signals a potential shift in market sentiment.
Bullish Pennant Pattern:
Gain insights into the bullish pennant pattern and harness its predictive power to identify lucrative trading opportunities in the market.
How to Island Reversal Pattern:
Navigate the waters of the island reversal pattern and understand its implications for trend reversal and market sentiment.
The Triangles: With Real-Life Examples:
Explore the various types of triangle patterns, including symmetrical, ascending, and descending triangles, with real-life examples illustrating their significance in technical analysis.
Cracking the Short Squeeze:
Demystify the phenomenon of short squeezes and learn how to capitalize on these explosive market dynamics for potentially substantial gains.
Hammer of Trend Change:
Discover the hammer candlestick pattern and its role as a potent signal for trend reversal, providing traders with valuable insights into market dynamics.
Basics of Elliott Wave Theory:
Unlock the foundational principles of Elliott Wave Theory and leverage this powerful tool for predicting market cycles and trends.
The Core Confirmations Every Trader Must Know:
Equip yourself with essential trading confirmations to validate your analysis and make well-informed trading decisions with confidence.
What are Tweezer Top and Bottom Patterns?
Unravel the mysteries of tweezer top and bottom patterns and learn how to interpret these candlestick formations for identifying potential trend reversals.
How to Altseason Cycle || Cheat Sheet || Bitcoin Dominance:
Navigate the altseason cycle with ease using this comprehensive cheat sheet, complete with insights into Bitcoin dominance and its implications for the broader cryptocurrency market.
Rising and Falling Wedges Explained:
Understand the characteristics of rising and falling wedges and learn how to effectively trade these patterns for profit.
How to Head and Shoulders:
Master the head and shoulders pattern, a classic reversal formation that can provide valuable insights into market trends and potential trend reversals.
Double Top vs. Double Bottom Patterns:
Distinguish between double top and double bottom patterns and learn how to identify and trade these reversal formations effectively.
Triple Top vs. Triple Bottom Patterns:
Explore the nuances of triple top and triple bottom patterns and their implications for market trends and price action.
DIVERGENCE CHEATSHEET:
Decode divergence patterns with this comprehensive cheat sheet, providing invaluable insights into market dynamics and potential trend reversals.
Supply and Demand Zones: Buying Low, Selling High:
Master the art of identifying supply and demand zones to capitalize on optimal entry and exit points in the market.
Ascending Channels: The Guide:
Navigate ascending channels with confidence using this comprehensive guide, complete with strategies for trading within these bullish formations.
Wyckoff Accumulation & Distribution:
Unlock the secrets of Wyckoff accumulation and distribution phases and learn how to spot these market manipulation tactics for profitable trading opportunities.
The Cup and Handle Pattern in Trading:
Discover the cup and handle pattern, a classic bullish continuation formation that can signal significant uptrends in the market.
The ABCD Pattern: from A to D:
Explore the ABCD pattern and its role in identifying potential entry and exit points in the market, providing traders with a structured approach to trading.
With all the cool stuff you've learned from our guide on price action and patterns, you'll be ready to tackle the twists and turns of the financial world like a pro! It doesn't matter if you're just starting out or you've been at it for a while, getting the hang of these basic ideas is super important for making good trades and winning big. So, go ahead and dive in! Happy trading, everyone!
Top-5 tips for Top-Down Multiple Time Frame Analysis Trading
I am trading multiple time frame analysis for many years. After reviewing trading ideas from various traders on Tradingview, I noticed that many traders are applying that incorrectly
In this article, I will share with you 5 essential tips , that will help you improve your multiple time frame analysis and top-down trading.
The Order of Analysis Matters
Multiple time frame analysis is also called top-down analysis for a reason. When you trade with that, you should strictly start your analysis with higher time frames and then dive lower, investigating shorter-term time frames.
Unfortunately, most of the traders do the opposite. They start from a lower time frame and finish on a higher one.
Above are 3 time frames of EURGBP pair: daily, 4h, 1h.
To execute multiple time frames analysis properly, start with a daily, then check a 4h and only then the hourly time frame.
Limit the Number of Time Frames
Executing multiple time frame analysis, many traders analyse a lot of time frames.
They may start from a weekly and finish on 5 minute time frame, going through 5-8 time frames.
Remember that is it completely wrong. For execution of a multiple time frame analysis, it is more than enough to analyse 3 or even 2 time frames. Adding more time frames will overwhelm your analysis and make it too complex.
Analyse Particular Time Frames
Your multiple time frame analysis should be consistent and rule-based. It means that you should strictly define the time frames that you analyse.
For example, for day trading, my main trading time frames are daily, 4h, 1h. I consistently analyse ONLY these trading time frames and I look for day trades only analysing this combination of time frames.
Higher is the time frame, stronger the signal in provides
Trading with multiple time frame analysis, very often you will encounter controversial signals: you may see a very bullish pattern on a daily and a very bearish confirmation on 30 minutes time frame.
Always remember that the higher time frames confirmations are always stronger, and their accuracy is probability is always higher.
Above there are 2 patterns:
a head and shoulders pattern on a daily time frame with a confirmed neckline breakout, and an inverted head and shoulders pattern on a 4h time frame with a confirmed neckline breakout.
2 patterns give 2 controversial signals:
the pattern on a daily is very bullish and the pattern on a 4h is very bearish.
The signal on a daily time frame will be always stronger ,
so it is reasonable to be on a bearish side here.
You can see that the price dropped after a retest of a neckline of a head and shoulders on a daily, completely neglecting a bullish pattern on a 4H.
Each Time Frame Should Have Its Purpose
You should analyse any particular time frame for a reason.
You should know exactly what you are looking for there and what is the purpose of your analysis.
For example, for day trading, I analyse 3 time frames.
On a daily, I analyse the market trend and key levels.
On a 4H time frame, I analyse candlesticks.
On an hourly time frame, I look for a price action pattern as a confirmation.
On GBPAUD on a daily, I see a test of a key horizontal resistance.
On a 4H time frame, the price formed a doji candle.
On an hourly, I spotted a double top, giving me a bearish confirmation.
These trading tips will increase the accuracy of your multiple time frame analysis. Study them carefully and adopt them in your trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Dynamics of Bull Market CyclesBull markets are the epitome of investor optimism and economic growth, characterized by rising asset prices and increasing investor confidence. However, within every bull market, there lies a cyclical pattern composed of distinct phases: Discovery, Momentum, and Blow-off. Understanding these phases is crucial for investors to navigate the market efficiently and capitalize on opportunities while mitigating risks.
🟣 Discovery Phase:
👉 Accumulation: During the accumulation phase, institutional investors and smart money recognize undervalued assets and begin quietly accumulating positions. This often occurs when the broader market sentiment is still pessimistic or uncertain, presenting attractive buying opportunities.
👉 Trend Emergence: As accumulation continues, subtle shifts in market dynamics become apparent. Prices begin to exhibit higher highs and higher lows, indicating the emergence of an uptrend. Technical indicators such as moving averages may start to show bullish crossovers, further confirming the trend.
🟣 Momentum Phase:
👉 Shake-out: The shake-out phase is characterized by short-term price declines or corrections that test investor resolve. Weak-handed investors, who bought near the end of the accumulation phase or are driven by fear, panic sell their positions. This phase often creates volatility and uncertainty but also offers opportunities for long-term investors to accumulate quality assets at discounted prices.
👉 Momentum Building: Following the shake-out, momentum begins to build as the broader market recognizes the strength of the uptrend. More investors start participating in the rally, driving prices higher. Positive news catalysts and strong earnings reports further fuel the momentum, attracting even more investors.
👉 First Sentiment: As the bull market gains momentum, investor sentiment shifts from cautious optimism to moderate confidence. Market participants start to believe in the sustainability of the uptrend, leading to increased buying activity. However, skepticism may still linger, especially among contrarian investors who remain wary of potential overvaluation.
🟣 Blow-off Phase:
👉 Renewed Optimism: In the blow-off phase, optimism reignites as investors regain confidence in the market's upward trajectory. Corrections or pullbacks are viewed as buying opportunities rather than signals of impending reversal. Institutional investors and retail traders alike re-enter the market, driving prices to new highs.
👉 FOMO (Fear of Missing Out): Fear of Missing Out becomes prevalent as investors fear being left behind in the rally. Social media, financial news outlets, and word-of-mouth recommendations amplify the sense of urgency to buy, further fueling price appreciation. This FOMO-driven buying frenzy can lead to exaggerated price moves and irrational exuberance.
👉 Euphoria: Euphoria marks the peak of the bull market cycle. Investors become irrationally exuberant, believing that the current uptrend will continue indefinitely. Risk management takes a backseat as greed overrides caution. Valuation metrics may reach extreme levels, signaling frothiness in the market.
Understanding the cyclical nature of bull market cycles is essential for investors to navigate the market successfully. By recognizing the distinct phases of Discovery, Momentum, and Blow-off, investors can make informed decisions, capitalize on opportunities, and protect their portfolios from potential downturns. While bull markets are synonymous with optimism and prosperity, prudent risk management and a keen awareness of market dynamics are critical for long-term investment success.
🔄 Time Changes Everything! 🕒shibunacci - "The more you examine it, the more it begins to make sense and truly astonishes you. 🧐 This observation underscores that the concepts of support and resistance are not static; they evolve dynamically, influenced by various factors, time being a primary one. ⏳ Understanding this can significantly enhance our strategic approach, as it reminds us of the fluid nature of these critical analytical markers. 💡"
Sui Very BullishWe were Squeezing back in November, We started having an outbreak in positive volume.
Once we crossed over the 50 period moving average we started a new trend. We had a golden cross and didn't have a pullback until Jan 15th where we started a correction and had a healthy touch on the .618 before continuing crushing the previous swing high finding it's way with some resistance around the 1.61 fib at 2.12
After 2.12 according to the fib extension we can look at price targets 3.20, 4.28, and 4.95 in the not so distant future.
Sei is looking Incredibly BullishWe're Currently at the last swing high after a health correction testing back to the .618 fib
We can see the 50 Day Moving Average came up and hugged against the fib line & moving average simultaneously.
Sei is one of the Most Bullish Projects to date as it seems with no intention of stopping.
Prices to consider according to fib ranges
1.36
2.14
2.92
3.41
Timeframe Tango: Finding Your Trading RhythmWelcome to the thrilling world of timeframes—a place where every minute counts and every candlestick tells a story. You've probably asked yourself a million times, "What's the best timeframe to trade?" Well, buckle up because we're about to dive deep into the mesmerizing world of timeframes and trading strategies!
Picture this: timeframes are like puzzle pieces. Lower timeframes, such as the 100 or 500-piece puzzles, are intricate and require patience. Think of them as the fast and furious lanes of trading where every tick matters. Conversely, higher timeframes resemble those 10 or 20-piece puzzles—quicker to solve and offer a broader market perspective.
Now, let's talk strategy. It's all about how fast and efficiently you piece those puzzles together. Whether crafting your unique strategy or borrowing a page from the pros, the goal remains: wait for the market to paint your perfect setup.
But here's the kicker: you've got to be strategic with your timeframes. Let's break it down with some juicy details!
Imagine you're a 9-5 warrior or a student hustling through classes. Your time is precious. So, let's talk hours. How many trade opportunities can you snag in an hour?
If you thrive on adrenaline and lightning-fast decisions, the 1- and 5-minute timeframes might be your playground. You're in for a wild ride with 60 to 12 candlesticks printed each hour! Scalping and day trading become your middle names as you seize opportunities left and right. When analyzed correctly, you could see 1-3 opportunities within an hour.
But if you've got more wiggle room in your schedule, let's talk swing trading. Picture the 15-minute to minutes—a sweet spot for those seeking a balance between action and analysis. With 4 and 2 candlesticks printed each hour, you've got time to breathe and plan your moves.
Now, let's zoom out a bit. Say hello to the 1 and 4-hour timeframes—the realm of short-term swing trading. Here, you're not watching the clock; you're watching the trend unfold over hours and days. With 24 to 6 candlesticks printed in a day, you've got ample opportunities to spot those juicy setups. Think 3-4 trade opportunities a week on the 1-hour timeframe and 1-2 on the 4-hour timeframe. It's the sweet spot between day trading and short-swing trading!
Finally, we arrive at the granddaddy of timeframes—the daily chart. Here, we're talking about long-term swings and big-picture analysis. With three to four great opportunities a month, you have time to breathe, plan, and execute precisely. It's like watching the market paint its masterpiece, one candlestick at a time.
So, what's your trading style? Are you a scalping sensation, a swing trading maverick, or a long-term visionary? Find the timeframe that fits your schedule like a glove, and let's embark on this epic trading journey together!
Catch you on the charts,
Shaquan
TradingView is Everything You Need to Start Trading
If you are planning to start Forex and Gold trading, I prepared for you a list of 6 essential things that you will need for a successful start.
1 - Charting Software
Obviously, if you want to trade, you should analyze the charts.
Most of the beginners apply metatrader 4 or 5 for that.
Even though meta trader is good as a trading terminal, from charting perspective it is already outdated.
My recommendation to you is to apply TradingView for chart analysis.
It is very user-friendly, it offers all popular trading instruments, and it has a wonderful community where you can check ideas and forecasts of experienced traders.
2 - Set up Your Watch List
There are hundreds of different trading instruments for Forex traders:
major and minor pairs, exotic pairs, cfds on gold, silver, oil, etc...
Your task as a beginner is to focus on a very narrow list of trading assets.
Build a trading list of maximum 8 instruments , learn to trade them and expand the list as you mature in trading.
Here is the example of a watch list for beginners: 7 major USD forex pairs.
3 - Make a Trading Plan
There are hundreds of different trading strategies and techniques in Forex trading. And obviously, you can not trade them all.
Pick a strategy that you like, that makes sense to you.
Focus on that and practice, practice, practice.
4 - Economic Calendar
Even if you decide to trade only technical analysis, you should not forget to check fundamentals in the economic calendar and learn their impact on the markets.
You need an economic calendar for that.
There is an economic calendar on TradingView, it is very reliable and you can find the important news there
Pay attention to important 3-star news, and preferably don't trade ahead of the releases while you are learning.
5 - Demo Account
Trading education is a long journey.
While you are studying trading basics and trying different trading strategies, you should strictly trade on a demo account.
I recommend paper trading on TradingView, so that you could have the analysis and the trades on the same chart.
6 - Position Size Calculator
You should learn to calculate lot size for your trades from the beginning. You should always know how much is your risk per trade. For that reason, placing the trades on a demo account, you should measure lot sizes for your trades.
If you demo trade on TradingView, it offers a default position size calculator when you can set the lot size according to a desired risk.
Good luck in your journey and be prepared to work hard!
Why Supply and Demand Zones Matters?Supply and demand zones are crucial concepts in technical analysis. They represent where the market tends to pull back before moving in its natural impulsive move. You can gain valuable insights into your trades' potential entry and exit points by identifying these zones.
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Demand represents the quantity of buyers vs. sellers in the market. Supply represents the currency being bought. We will keep it that simple.
How to Identify Supply and Demand Zones
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There are several methods you can use to identify zones:
Swing Highs and Lows: Look for areas where the price has previously reversed direction. These swing lower highs and higher lows can serve as potential entry zones.
Zones: Draw your zones on the wicks of the candlesticks depending on the direction the price is moving to highlight your entry.
Price Action: Use price action candlesticks to permit you to enter your trade.
Utilizing Supply and Demand Zones in Trading
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Once you have identified your zones, you can incorporate them into your trading strategy. Here are a few ways to utilize these zones:
Entry and Exit Points : Use supply and demand zones to determine optimal entry and exit points for your trades. Buying and selling when the price touches the zone can increase your chances of profitable trades.
Stop Loss Placement : Place your stop loss orders below your last low when buying and above the last high when selling. This helps protect your capital if the price has a little bit further to go before going your way.
Profit Targets : Set profit targets back at the high in an uptrend and low in a downtrend.
Now, you want to turn your knowledge into a trading plan. Creating a trading plan is all about writing down what you do on the price chart.
You don't want to rush this step because you are detailing how you will make money trading here.
Before doing that, you must ensure you have backtested your strategy and its profitability. I
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Developing a Trading Plan and Setting Realistic Goals to Achieve Consistent Profitability
Now, we will dive into the importance of developing a trading plan and setting realistic goals to achieve consistent profitability in the forex market. 📈💰
Why a Trading Plan Matters
Having a well-defined trading plan is like having a roadmap to success. It provides structure, discipline, and clarity to your trading activities. Without a plan, you may make impulsive decisions based on emotions or market noise, leading to inconsistent results and unnecessary losses. So, let's get started on creating your trading plan! 🗺️✍️
Define Your Trading Strategy
The first step in developing a trading plan is defining your strategy. This involves determining the type of trader you want to be, whether a day trader, swing trader, or position trader. Each style requires a different approach and time commitment, so choose the one that aligns with your goals and lifestyle.
Inside the Trade On Purpose Community &Trading Strategy, we focus on swing trading because many beginner traders work, and day trading may not fit their work schedule.
Also, swing trading allows you to breathe through your trades. You can make money trading and enjoy your profits while waiting for the next setup.
Next, identify the trading indicators and tools you will use to analyze the market. This could include moving averages, trend lines, or candlestick patterns. Remember, focusing on a few reliable indicators is important rather than overwhelming yourself with too many.
Inside the community, we don't focus on indicators. We focus on the 4 most repeated candlesticks on the price chart.
Doing this allows us to use these candlesticks as our structure and entry so we don't become overwhelmed with looking at too much.
Set Realistic Goals
Now that you have your trading strategy, it's time to set realistic goals. Setting achievable goals is crucial for maintaining motivation and measuring your progress. Start by determining your desired monthly or yearly profit target. Be realistic and consider factors such as market volatility and your available trading capital.
Break down your profit target into smaller, manageable goals. This will help you stay focused and prevent feeling overwhelmed. Remember, consistency is key in trading, so aim for steady growth rather than trying to hit home runs with every trade.
For example, the monthly goal for 2024 is between 5-10%. This means I only need to focus on my A+ setups and can risk between 0.50%-1% per trade on any given idea. If it's a good month, I'll only need 3-4 winning and swing trade setups.
Risk Management and Trade Execution
No trading plan is complete without addressing risk management and trade execution. Determine your risk tolerance and set appropriate stop-loss levels for each trade. This will help protect your capital and minimize losses when the market doesn't go as expected.
Additionally, establish rules for trade entry and exit. Define the criteria that must be met before entering a trade and the conditions that will trigger your exit. This will help you avoid impulsive decisions and stick to your plan.
We use a mix of pending and market orders inside the community.
Pending orders are good to set if you're not in front of your computer often. You can set your order and let the market do its thing.
Market orders are good if you can be in front of your chart and desire to enter the trade yourself.
Stay Disciplined and Adapt
Lastly, remember that a trading plan is not set in stone. The market constantly evolves, and you must adapt your plan accordingly. However, avoid making changes based on short-term market fluctuations or emotions. Stick to your plan, analyze your trades regularly, and adjust based on data and evidence.
By developing a trading plan and setting realistic goals, you are taking a significant step towards achieving consistent profitability in forex trading. Stay disciplined, be patient, and always keep learning. Tomorrow, Implementing risk management strategies to protect your capital and minimize losses. Stay tuned! 💪😊
Full Time Trading. Everything You Need to Know
Once you mature in trading and become a consistently profitable trader, the question arises: are you ready to trade full time?
Becoming a full time trade is a very significant step and my things must be taken into consideration before you make it.
✨ Becoming a full time trader implies that you quit your current job, that you give up a stable income - your salary.
In contrast to classic job, trading does not give guarantees . Please, realize that such a thing as stable income does not exist in trading.
Trading is a series of winning and losing trades, positive and negative periods. For that reasons, remember that in order to become a full time trader, your average monthly trading income must be at least twice as your monthly expenses.
✨ Moreover, even if your trading income is sufficient to cover two months of your life, that is still not enough. You must have savings.
Trading for more than 9 years, I faced with quite prolonged negative periods. One time I was below zero for the entire quarter.
For that reason, supporting a family and living a decent life will require savings that will help you not to sink during the losing periods.
✨ Another very important sign is your correct and objective view on your trading. Please, realize that if you bought Bitcoin one time and made a couple of thousands of dollars, it does not make you a consistently profitable trader.
Please, do not confuse luck with the skill. Your trading must be proven by many years of trading.
✨ You must be emotionally prepared for the living conditions that full time trading will bring you.
Being a full time trader implies that you are constantly at home,
you work from home from Monday to Friday.
You do not see your colleagues, your social life will change dramatically.
I know a lot of people who started to trade full time and then realized that they can not work from home for different reasons.
⭐️ So what are the necessary conditions for becoming a full time traders:
you should have savings that will cover the negative trading periods,
your average monthly trading income should be at least twice as your monthly expenses,
your trading efficiency must be proven by objective, consistent results,
and you must be psychologically prepared for working from home.
When these conditions are met, you can make a significant step and become a full-time trader.
Are you ready?
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9 Essential TIPS For Newbie Traders (Learn from my Mistakes!)
In the today's article, I will reveal trading secrets I wish I knew when I started trading.
1️⃣ Forget about becoming a pro quickly
Most of the traders believe, that you can learn how to trade easily and that it takes a very short period of time in order to master a profitable trading strategy.
The truth is, however, that trading is a long journey.
I spent more than 3 years, trying different strategies and looking for a profitable technique to trade. Once I found that, it took more than a year to polish a trading strategy and to learn how to apply that properly.
Be prepared to spend YEARS before you find a way to trade profitably.
2️⃣ Focus on One Strategy
While you are learning how to trade you will try different techniques, tools and strategies. And the thing is that newbies are trying multiple things simultaneously. The more strategies you try at once, the more setups you have on your chart. The more setups you have on your chart, the more complex and difficult is your trading.
Remember that in this game, your attention is the key.
You should meticulously study each and every trading setup.
For that reason, I highly recommend you to focus on one strategy, one approach, one technique. Test it, try it and look for a new one only when you realize that it doesn't work.
Here is the example how the same price chart can provide absolutely different trading opportunities depending on a trading strategy.
Price action pattern trader would recognize a lot of a patterns, while indicator based trader could spot absolutely different bullish and bearish signals.
Now, try to imagine how hard it would be to follow both strategies simultaneously.
3️⃣ Start with small capital that you can afford to lose
You will lose your first trading deposit and, probably, the second one and potentially the third one as well.
Losses are the only way to learn real trading. While you are on a demo account, you feel like a king, but once you start risking your savings, the perspective completely changes.
For that reason, make sure that you trade with an account that you can afford to lose. The fact of blowing such an account should be unpleasant, but that should not affect your daily life.
4️⃣ Use stop loss
I am doing trading coaching for more than 4 years.
What pisses me off is that the main reason of the substantial losses of my mentees is the absence of stop loss. Why can it be if naturally everyone: from your broker to Instagram trading gurus repeat that day after day.
Set stop loss, know in advance how much you risk per trade, and know the exact level on a price chart where you become wrong.
Imagine what could be your loss, if you shorted USDJPY and hold the trade while the market kept going against you.
5️⃣ Forget about getting rich quick
That is the iconic fallacy. I believe that around 90% of people who come in this game want to get rich quick, want easy money.
And no surprise, when I share a trading setup on TradingView, and it loses I receive dozens of messages that I am a scammer.
People truly believe that professional trading implies 100% win rate and quick and easy money.
The truth is, traders, that trading is a very tough game. And with a good trading strategy, you have just a little statistical edge that will give you the profits that would slightly overcome your losses.
6️⃣ Train your eyes
Professional trading implies pattern recognition: it can be some technical indicators pattern, the price action or candlestick formation, etc.
Your main goal as a trader is to learn to identify these patterns.
Pattern recognition is a hard skill to acquire.
You should spend dozens of hours in front of the screen in order to train your eyes to identify certain patterns.
Here is how many patterns you would spot on GBPUSD chart, paying close attention.
7️⃣ Track and analyze your trades
Study all the trades that you take, especially the losing ones.
Look for mistakes, look for the reasons why a certain setup played out and why a certain one didn't. Journal your trades and make notes.
8️⃣ Don't use technical indicators
Newbies believe that technical indicators should do the work for them.
They are constantly looking for one or a bunch that will accurately show where the market will go.
However, I always say to my mentees that technical indicators make the chart messy and distract.
If you just started trading, focus on a naked chart, learn to analyze the market trend, key levels, classic price action patterns.
Learn to make accurate predictions relying on a price chart alone.
Only then add some technical indicators on your chart.
They won't do the work for you, but will help you to slightly increase the accuracy of a certain setup.
Above is the classic chart of newbie trader.
A lot of indicators and a complete mess
The same chart would look much better without technical indicators.
9️⃣ Find a Mentor
There are hundreds of trading mentors. Find the one with a trading style that you like.
Follow him, learn from his trading experience, listen to his trading recommendations.
9 years ago I found a guy, his name was Jason.
I really liked his free teachings, and they were meaningful to me.
I decided to purchase his premium coaching program.
It was 200$ monthly - a huge amount of money for me at that time.
However, with his knowledge I saved a lot, I learned a lot of profitable techniques and tricks that helped me to become a professional forex trader.
Of course, this list could be much bigger.
The more I think about different subjects in trading, the more important tips come to my mind. However, I believe that the tips above
are essential and I truly wish I knew all that before I started.
I hope that info will help you in your trading journey!
Good luck to you.
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Trading on Holidays: Liquidity and Spreads
When trading forex, it's essential to check spreads, especially during holidays.
Trading forex during holidays can be a bit more challenging due to reduced liquidity in the market.
Liquidity refers to the ease with which assets can be bought or sold without causing a significant change in price. During holidays, liquidity can be lower as many traders and financial institutions take time off, leading to fewer participants in the market.
Lower liquidity can directly impact the spread, which is the difference between the bid and ask price of a currency pair. In times of reduced liquidity, spreads tend to widen, meaning the difference between the buying and selling price of a currency pair increases. This can lead to higher trading costs for traders, as wider spreads require a larger price movement in the underlying asset before a trade becomes profitable.
It's essential for traders to be aware of these potential spread increases during holidays to avoid unexpected trading costs.
Additionally, wider spreads can also lead to slippage , where a trade is executed at a different price than expected. This can further impact trading results, especially during fast-moving markets with low liquidity.
Therefore, checking spreads during holidays is crucial for forex traders to anticipate potential increases in trading costs and adjust their trading strategies accordingly.
On TradingView, you can check the spreads in the top left corner. There you can find bid, ask prices and the spread between them.
It's important to factor in the impact of wider spreads on profitability and risk management when trading during these periods. By staying informed about spread changes during holidays, traders can make more informed decisions and better navigate the challenges of lower liquidity in the forex market.
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Essentials for Prosperous TradingWhile the basics seem straightforward, the intricacies of the market often trip up even the most knowledgeable individuals. Trading transcends a mere understanding of market dynamics; it requires a unique blend of pattern recognition, abstract thinking, and a mindset that combines personality traits, self-discipline, and a specific mental approach.
The Foundations of Successful Trading:
🟣 Unmasking the Illusion of Gambling:
A staggering 99% of novice traders harbor unrealistic expectations about potential returns, often treating trading as a form of gambling. The first step toward success involves dispelling these illusions.
🟣 Setting and Maintaining Your Risk-Reward Ratio:
Risk management is paramount. By risking no more than 1% of the deposit per trade and employing a variable lot size, traders gain consistent control over the risks involved.
🟣 Resisting the All-In Temptation:
Novice traders often succumb to the allure of recovering losses hastily by going all in on a single trade. Learning gradually, even at the cost of account diminution, is a crucial aspect of trading education.
🟣 Capital Protection through Stop-Loss Orders:
Implementing stop-loss orders is imperative. Relying on the erroneous belief that one can manually close a position when the pre-determined stop-loss level is hit is a perilous misconception.
🟣 Instituting Loss-Cutting Measures:
Setting a daily loss limit and refraining from trading after a set number of consecutive losses are essential to prevent emotional trading and safeguard capital.
Maintaining Composure in the Trading Arena:
🟣 The Role of Emotional Intelligence:
Exemplary traders exhibit robotic emotional detachment while retaining the cognitive flexibility and intuition that machines lack. Timing entry points accurately is paramount to success.
🟣 Emotion Control:
Whether it's euphoria or panic, extremes of emotion are detrimental to successful trading. The mantra is clear: emotions belong in a casino; trading is all about business.
🟣 Overcoming FOMO (Fear of Missing Out):
Resisting the urge to trade uncertain opportunities out of fear of missing potential profits is crucial. Decisions driven by FOMO are counterproductive and should be avoided.
🟣 Breaking Free from Herd Mentality:
Following the crowd leads to the 99% category of losing traders. Individualized strategies, free from herd mentality, are key to success.
🟣 Crafting a Watch List:
Building a diverse watch list provides choices. Seeking opportunities within this list avoids the futile pursuit of non-existent patterns.
Consistency: The Key to Sustainable Success:
🟣 Steady Gains Over Boom-Bust Performances:
Establishing consistent trading practices is pivotal for transforming trading into a reliable income source. Slow, steady gains surpass erratic boom-bust performances.
🟣 Identifying a Strategy:
Conducting thorough research on various trading strategies and selecting those that align with personal understanding is the foundation of success.
🟣 Utilizing Paper Trading and Backtesting:
Validation through backtesting and real-time insights from paper trading refine chosen strategies and enhance their effectiveness.
🟣 Tracking Trades for Insight:
Maintaining a comprehensive record of trades is an invaluable tool. Analyzing this data helps identify strengths, weaknesses, and patterns in trading.
🟣 Formalizing Rules for Objectivity:
Objectivity is the linchpin of consistent trading. Defining each element of a strategy precisely and creating a strict algorithm to follow meticulously ensures emotional detachment.