The Road to Trading Mastery: the Pyramid of SuccessGreetings, esteemed members of the @TradingView and all Vesties out there!
The Pyramid of Trading Success, a conceptual model designed to guide you through the essential principles and steps for success in the dynamic trading world. This pyramid serves as a roadmap, helping you build a robust foundation and ascend to proficiency and profitability in your trading experience. Let's explore the key layers that make up this pyramid:
1. Emotional Well-being / Financial Stability / Trustworthy Broker (Base of the Pyramid)
At the foundation, prioritize emotional well-being, self-awareness, and financial stability. Constructive self-evaluation and rational thinking are your allies. Choosing a trustworthy broker adds integrity to your trading experience.
2. Robust Safety System
Implement a robust safety system by practicing swift loss-cutting, avoiding unreliable assets, refraining from gambling, and adopting a long-term mindset for sustainable success.
3. Portfolio Management
Rely on statistics, discard ineffective approaches, monitor market trends, consider long-term goals, and stay informed about economic indicators for effective portfolio management.
4. Asset Allocation
Diversify your investments strategically to spread risk, drawing on years of experience in trading financial markets for optimal decision-making.
5. Tools
Utilize the right tools by conducting strategy backtesting and considering automation. Backtesting refines your approach, while automation streamlines execution, minimizing emotional biases.
Steps for Strategy Backtesting:
Define strategy parameters, financial market, and chart timeframe.
Search for trades based on the specified strategy, market, and timeframe.
Analyze price charts for entry and exit signals.
Record and calculate returns, considering commissions and trading costs.
Compare net return to capital for a percentage return over the specified timeframe.
6. Remaining
Focus on essentials covered in the first five points. Avoid distractions like social trading or complex indicators. A disciplined approach, grounded in fundamental principles, is key for tangible results in your trading journey.
By following the Pyramid of Trading Success, you're adopting a comprehensive and methodical approach to trading, increasing your chances of achieving sustainable success in the dynamic world of financial markets.
We welcome your valuable feedback on our article about the Trading Pyramid. Your opinion matters, and your insights can help us tailor our content to better meet your needs.
Tradingtips
Overtrading Pitfalls: Breaking It DownIn trading, a prevalent pitfall is the tendency to take on an excessive number of positions, driven by the misconception that more trades equate to higher profits. However, trading isn't a lottery; success requires a more strategic approach.
Misguided Profit Expectations:
Traders often fall into the overtrading trap when their profit expectations don't align with market volatility. The temptation to catch multiple moves to meet ambitious goals can lead to unnecessary trades and increased risk.
Working Harder Misconception:
There's a prevalent misconception that success in trading comes from sheer volume — taking more trades equates to working harder. However, the real focus should be on quality trades rather than quantity. Precision over volume is the key.
Conditioning for Better Results:
Traders may be conditioned to believe that increasing the number of trades will automatically lead to better results. This belief can contribute to overtrading tendencies, where the quantity of trades takes precedence over their quality.
Need for Constant Action:
Some traders feel the need for constant activity, thinking that staying engaged all the time is necessary for success. This drive for continuous action can lead to overtrading behaviors, where the quantity of trades becomes more significant than their strategic value.
Lack of Focus:
Having too many open trades simultaneously can weaken a trader's focus. This lack of concentration may result in missed opportunities and emotional decision-making. Quality analysis and execution require a focused, selective approach.
Understanding and overcoming these overtrading pitfalls is crucial for long-term success in the dynamic world of trading. By recognizing the psychological and strategic factors that contribute to overtrading, traders can shift their approach to prioritize quality over quantity, ultimately leading to more informed and successful trades. Remember, it's not about the number of trades but the thoughtful, well-executed ones that make a real impact.
Five Habits for Safer TradingGreetings @TradingView community!
There are five everyday habits that can significantly limit your risk exposure and contribute to a more secure trading experience.
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1. The Imperative Trading Plan
Despite repeated emphasis, many traders still operate without a well-defined trading plan, succumbing to impulsive decisions. Every trader should have a plan specifying entry and exit points, curbing emotional reactions to adverse price movements. A trading plan acts as a compass, navigating the unpredictable seas of the financial markets.
2. Trading Detox: Take a Step Back
Feeling trapped in a trading rut? Fundamentals and technical analyses losing their edge? Taking a step back from trading provides a valuable reset. By disengaging emotionally from positions, traders gain a fresh perspective on market themes and chart patterns. A break allows for reflection on past trades, often revealing insights that lead to an improved trading plan upon return.
3. Profit Lock-in Strategy
Often overlooked, locking in profits on winning trades is a prudent risk management practice. While riding a trend is tempting, securing a portion of profits limits exposure to potential volatility. Following strategies like STA or scaling techniques, where positions are adjusted based on market conditions, allows traders to secure gains even if trends abruptly reverse.
4. Precision in Execution
The ease of electronic trading comes with a caveat—erroneous commands. The infamous "fat finger" event of May 2010, resulting in a trillion-dollar market drop, serves as a cautionary tale. Double, triple, and quadruple-checking your orders is crucial. Make reviewing commands a routine, taking only seconds of your time but preventing costly blunders.
5. Regular Withdrawals for Stability
While seeing an account grow is gratifying, regularly withdrawing profits is a prudent move. It prevents overexposure and guards against impulsive decisions associated with additional capital. Being consistently profitable requires a focus on the trading process rather than profits. Treat yourself to the fruits of your labor by withdrawing money, enjoying a well-deserved break, and maintaining a healthy trading perspective.
Incorporating these habits into your daily trading routine can enhance your risk management strategy, contributing to a safer and more successful trading experience.
Influencers and trading Today I want to make a post about influencers and the crypto market.
The most important thing for you to understand is that no one, absolutely no one can know the future. People who share ideas on any social media are ordinary people who analyze the market just like you. The only difference is they post it on social media.
No one anywhere ever says and has never said that these people know more than you. A person who has 20 followers on X can have more correct ideas than someone who has 100,000 followers. And that's normal.
You also don't need to listen to and believe everything that world magazines, excerpts and analysts tell you. Big hedge funds with billions in their accounts make wrong predictions and that's okay. It is important that at the distance you are in profit and not loss. This applies to both the investment portfolio and daily trades.
Remember, all responsibility for YOUR money always belongs to YOU. All the actions you take or not take on the market, you do by yourself by pressing the buy or sell buttons or dont touching any button. If you give your funds to someone in trust management, it is only YOUR personal choice. If you follow and copy some trades of an influencer in copy trading, it is YOUR personal choice. No one is forcing you to follow anyone at all, copy their deals, or follow any signals. There is always a 50/50 probability of price movement in the market. All responsibility for your profit or your loss on YOU.
Influencers are ordinary people who run their own blogs where they share ideas, to someone these ideas may be close to someone not, this does not mean that this ideas is bad or good. A person is simply sharing his ideas. No one is forcing you to watch videos or subscribe to channels or any accounts. All people can make correct and incorrect predictions by analyzing the market. The only question here is whether you have your own plan or not, because most likely the influencer has a plan for any result in the market. And he knows what he will do if the market goes down or up. If, after seeing an idea, you are not ready for a completely different scenario, this is your personal problem. Social media is free and people launch blog about training, cooking, painting, they share their experiences and ideas, so do traders share their experiences and ideas.
No one influencer owes YOU anything. This is a person who runs his own blog, because social networks are a place to express his thoughts and ideas. If the influencer makes the correct forecast, he is well done, if not, everyone starts laughing at him. Everyone makes correct predictions and incorrect ones. This is normal. At least the influencer has his vision of the market, and if you don't have it at all, then the only loser in the market is you, because you don't know how to analyze the market at all, you don't know how to do it, and you watch dozens of bloggers to find out the Graal. I also noticed such a thing, if the forecast is correct and the idea worked, someone made money, for some reason no one writes the blogger, thank you for the idea, let me share % of the earnings with you, but if the idea turned out to be wrong, everyone blames the blogger for allegedly losing money because of him. This is the stupid nature of people who are always looking for people to blame for their mistakes in everything. No one owes you anything on the market. All your victories and defeats are solely your responsibility.
Which influencers should definitely be avoided . Just an entertaining type of content where you are shown that trading is easy, no it is not easy. Trading is a profession and requires knowledge, skills, experience and daily analysis and work with oneself in terms of psychology. If an influencer simply posts every day “write 10 altcoins to buy now” “what you can buy $10,000 now shill me your tokens” this is just content for engagement. Many influencers earn more from referral links than from trading itself. Many exchanges offer conditions where traders conditionally trade with virtual funds and show their phenomenal trends, but these are not real funds, but simply luring new users to the platform, where the influencer will receive a % of each of your trades, whether it is successful or losing. It is good to be a partner with exchanges, because an influencer can help in case of blocking someone's account, can directly contact a representative of the exchange, help someone from the subscribers, has access to discounts and promotions on exchanges that give bonuses. It is important to understand that you do not need to follow a blogger just because he promises you some super discounts. It is not necessary to trust 100% of funds and believe in signal groups even if it is a free group. A person can simply give signals and they will be either true or false. All responsibility lies with YOU anyway. No need to pay for signal groups, no one is going to make YOU rich for $200 a month waiting for some signals. Do not be fooled by promises that in 2 weeks you will be able to trade in a profit. Avoid influencers who constantly send you some new tokens, always check the information yourself and do your own analysis. Very often, when a new token is created, an amount of money is allocated for marketing and scam projects pay influencers to advertise the token. It is possible that the influencer himself does not know the plans of the team, but be respectful and work on the power of the research in the future.
Influencers and courses - The most valuable resource in life is time. There is no information in the world that you will not find in the public domain - this is a fact (well, we do not take various inside stories, very large connections, etc.). However, how long will it take you to obtain this information, find everything you need, gain experience, etc.
I haven’t seen people who learn English from open sources; most go to a tutor. For what? You can open the Internet and learn a new language yourself.
If a person values his time, he goes to study with a professional. Some may not succeed, some may not have two free years to fully study crypt, etc.
Friends, it is normal to learn something. Buying training and courses if they are individual and personal is normal. But here, each person has his own approach. It’s easier for someone to learn everything on their own (for me its easier because I love learning something new by my own) , or it’s easier to learn information from a teacher, or it’s better to learn from books, or it’s better to learn from video lessons. Some need to take training offline, some need individual classes, and some need group classes.
Before you buy any training again, analyze why you are buying it, what YOU need it for, and think about who you would like to get trained with. Now everyone want to be a coach so double check what courses you looking to join.
Indicators . The indicators are a tool and not a charming money button. Standard tools and original products such as writing code, focusing on evidence and analytics. Indicators are the greatest additional tool for a trader because indicators can analyze data on different time frames in real time, providing more information for analysis and decision-making. The indicators does not carry the emotion of, they just show a picture of what is going on in the market now. The indicator cannot predict a new posts in media that can appear at any moment, the indicators cannot predict what Jerome Powell or Elon Musk will say in twitter next moment, the indicator is an excellent tool that you can successfully integrate into your trading strategy. On backtest you can find more confirmation from the indicators of your trading strategy and significantly improve the success of your trading. It show you wider picture and data to confirm or deny your technical analysis. Therefore, with proper use of indicators, they will become your reliable assistant, if not a charmer.
The deposit amount is yours and that of the influencer. Don’t think that an influencer posts great PNL and great earnings numbers, he trades better than you, or know something better than you 100%. You can simply buy a token at an early stage and earn your first capital. Main thing is not the size of the deposit, but discipline and trading at a distance. There is a lot of stories when people bought for example by luck or randomly Shiba Inu or Pepe, took away hundreds of thousands of dollars in profits, and then the traders lost the entire deposit. If you have a deposit of 1000 dollars and in whom there is absolutely no difference between you and 100 thousand, there is no need to be jealous of yourself and think that you are not successful. As soon as you earn your % from 1000 dollars and work systematically following your strategy, you doing everything correctly. Then you can simply scale your income and improve your skills and strategy. What is important at a distance is the percentage of winning trades and not the one time income. A person with a 100 thousand deposit can spend all the money if the risk management and self-esteem are not protected. Moreover, when the numbers are higher, your emotional and psychological state does not suffer. You are doing everything right. Don’t let social media and “luxury” lifestyle spill into your path as a trader.
Filter your news feed and maintain hygiene on social media. Continue to practice and improve your knowledge, skills and trading strategy. If you like the thoughts, ideas, and market dynamics of any influencer, you can follow him, looking for new ideas and a different look at the market that can give you new information for your analysis. But always DYOR and take 100% responsibility for your actions
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✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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Drawing Trendlines: A Practical GuideMastering technical analysis is essential for any trader. One powerful tool that every trader use is the trendline . Let's delve into the intricacies of trendlines, their role in predicting market sentiment, and how traders can utilize them to make informed decisions.
Understanding Trendlines
Defining Trends:
Trendlines serve as invaluable tools to identify and define trends in an asset's price. Whether it's an uptrend or downtrend , these lines act as visual aids on candlestick charts, providing insights into market direction and serving as support or resistance.
Trendline Analysis:
The peaks and troughs of trendlines signify essential support and resistance levels. Support , situated below the current market price, indicates a potential halt in a downtrend, with buying interest overcoming selling pressure. Conversely, resistance , above the market price, suggests a potential reversal in an uptrend.
Steps for Drawing Trendlines:
1. Open a trading chart and access the 'draw tools' tab.
2. Add trendlines to your charts, considering support, resistance, and trend direction.
3. Study price charts to identify trends and determine entry and exit points.
4. Execute trades using stop-loss and take-profit orders to manage risk effectively.
Trendline Channels
Introducing Channels:
Channels are formed when an asset's price moves consistently between two parallel trendlines. These upper and lower trendlines, connecting swing highs and lows, provide a more nuanced view than single trendlines, showcasing both support and resistance levels.
Rules for Trendlines and Channels:
- Declines approaching an uptrend line or rises approaching a downtrend line can present opportunities to initiate positions.
- Penetration of an uptrend line , especially on a closing basis, signals a sell, while penetration of a downtrend line signals a buy.
Trendline Breakout Strategy
Identifying Breakouts:
Breakouts within a trend are crucial events. A breakout above or below a trendline suggests a potential change in trend direction. Traders keen on spotting breakouts can capitalize on new trends by initiating buy or sell positions.
Trendline Breakout Example:
A downtrend , highlighted by a trendline, comes to an end with a break in the trendline. Traders who spot this breakout can anticipate a short-term spike, providing opportunities for profitable trades.
Mastering trendlines is a skill that can significantly enhance a trader's ability to read and navigate financial markets. Whether you're a forex trader or delving into crypto markets, understanding trendlines and their applications is a crucial step toward achieving success in the dynamic realm of trading. Remember, while trendlines are potent, combining them with comprehensive market analysis ensures a well-rounded approach to trading.
Learn 2 Essential Elements of Trading
In the today's post, we will discuss how trading is structured , and I will share with you its 2 key milestones.
Trading with its nuances and complexities can be explained as the interconnections of two processes: trading rules creation and trading rules following.
1️⃣ With the trading rules, you define what you will trade and how exactly, classifying your entry and exist conditions, risk and trade management rules. Such a set of consistent trading rules compose a trading strategy.
For example, you can have a following trading plan:
you trade only gold, you analyze the market with technical analysis,
you buy from a key support and sell from a key resistance on a daily, your entry confirmation is a formation of a reversal candlestick pattern.
You set stop loss above the high/low of the pattern, and your target is the closest support/resistance level.
Here is how the trading setup would look like.
In the charts above, all the conditions for the trade are met, and the market nicely reached the take profit.
2️⃣ Trading strategy development is a very simple process. You can find hundreds of different ones on the internet and start using one immediately.
The main obstacle comes, however, with Following Trading Rules.
Following the rules is our second key milestone. It defines your ability to stay disciplined and to stick to your trading plan.
It implies the control of emotions, patience and avoidance of rationalization.
Once you open a trade, following your rules, challenges are just beginning. Imagine how happy you would feel yourself, seeing how nicely gold is moving to your target after position opening.
And how your mood would change, once the price quickly returns to your entry.
Watching how your profits evaporate and how the initially winning position turns into a losing one, emotions will constantly intervene.
In such situations, many traders break their rules, they start adjusting tp or stop loss or just close the trading, not being able to keep holding.
The ability to follow your system is a very hard skill to acquire. It requires many years of practicing. So if you believe that a good trading strategy is what you need to make money, please, realize the fact that even the best trading strategy in the world will lose without consistency and discipline.
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The World of ETFsIn the vast landscape of investments, Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) stand as a unique bridge, merging the best of both stocks and mutual funds. While traditional managed funds pool investors' money into assets managed by professionals, ETFs introduce a compelling twist, allowing for the flexibility of stock trading.
Unlike managed funds, ETFs are akin to stocks, enabling investors to buy and sell them at any time during market hours . This accessibility aligns ETFs more closely with the dynamic nature of stocks, catering to the on-demand needs of modern investors.
However, just like any investment, ETFs come with their nuances and risks. Diversification, often touted as an investment safety net, does mitigate some risks but can't fully shield against market volatility.
Different ETFs carry varying levels of risk, making understanding these distinctions vital before investing. Additionally, the past performance of ETFs isn't always a reliable indicator of future results, underlining the importance of comprehensive research and sound decision-making.
Bitcoin ETFs: The Gateway to Crypto Investments
In recent years, the advent of Bitcoin ETFs has added an intriguing chapter to the investment narrative. These financial instruments enable investors to engage with Bitcoin's price movements without directly owning the cryptocurrency. Bitcoin ETFs, traded on conventional stock exchanges, provide an accessible avenue for traditional investors to venture into the crypto sphere.
Within the realm of Bitcoin ETFs, there are two primary types: spot and futures-based ETFs:
Spot Bitcoin ETFs offer direct exposure to Bitcoin's real-time market price, involving the actual cryptocurrency.
On the other hand, futures-based ETFs utilize Bitcoin futures contracts, enabling speculation on the asset's future price without owning the underlying asset.
The interest in Bitcoin ETFs can be attributed to several factors. First and foremost, they offer unparalleled ease of access. Trading on mainstream stock exchanges simplifies the process, allowing investors to leverage existing brokerage accounts without delving into the complexities of crypto exchanges.
Moreover, the regulatory oversight accompanying ETFs adds a layer of security, easing concerns related to fraud and market manipulation prevalent in unregulated crypto markets.
Additionally, the introduction of Bitcoin ETFs signifies a significant shift, indicating the integration of cryptocurrencies into traditional financial systems.
While the United States has yet to approve a spot Bitcoin ETF, several Bitcoin futures-linked ETFs have gained regulatory approval , broadening investment horizons.
Beyond Bitcoin: Exploring the Crypto ETF Spectrum
While Bitcoin has seized the spotlight, the crypto ETF landscape is not confined to it alone. Outside the United States, various Cryptocurrency Exchange-Traded Products (ETPs) encompass a spectrum of digital assets beyond Bitcoin. These offerings enable diversification within the digital asset space, catering to investors keen on exploring a range of cryptocurrencies.
In the United States, ETFs linked to cryptocurrencies like Ether also exist, albeit in the futures-related domain. Although spot-based crypto ETFs are yet to make their debut, the evolving regulatory landscape and market demand may pave the way for these in the future.
As the financial world continues its digital transformation, understanding ETFs and their crypto counterparts becomes paramount. By bridging the gap between traditional stocks and the dynamic crypto sphere, ETFs empower investors with newfound opportunities and avenues for portfolio growth.
Stay tuned for the evolving of crypto ETFs, where the world of investments meets the future of finance.
OvertradingOvertrading is a common issue in trading and can lead to significant losses. It occurs when a trader excessively opens and manages positions, often due to psychological and emotional factors. To avoid overtrading, consider the following strategies:
Establish a Solid Trading Plan: Having a well-defined trading plan is crucial. Your plan should outline entry and exit strategies, risk management rules, and criteria for position sizing. Stick to this plan and avoid deviating from it due to emotional impulses.
Risk Management: Limit the amount of capital you risk on each trade. A common guideline is not to risk more than 1-2% of your total trading capital on a single trade. This approach helps protect your capital from significant losses.
Diversify Your Portfolio: Avoid putting all your capital into a single trade or asset. Diversifying your investments across different assets can help spread risk and reduce the temptation to overtrade a single asset.
Set Trading Hours: Define specific trading hours or sessions during which you'll be actively trading. Outside of these hours, avoid opening new positions or making impulsive decisions. This approach can help maintain discipline.
Emotional Control: Recognize the emotional triggers that lead to overtrading, such as desperation, overconfidence, or impatience. When you feel these emotions, take a step back from trading, focus on your trading plan, and practice mindfulness techniques to manage emotions.
Monitor Your Trading Frequency: Keep track of the number of trades you execute in a day or week. If you notice you're trading excessively, it's a warning sign of overtrading. Review your trading activities and identify what drove you to make those trades.
Limit the Number of Open Positions: Setting a maximum number of concurrent open positions can prevent overtrading. This restriction forces you to be selective and prioritize quality over quantity.
Use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Orders: Implementing stop-loss and take-profit orders can automate your exit strategy. This reduces the temptation to constantly monitor and adjust trades, which can lead to overtrading.
Trade Size: Be mindful of your position size relative to your account balance. Avoid increasing position sizes disproportionately after a series of wins. Stick to a consistent position sizing strategy that aligns with your risk tolerance.
Take Regular Breaks: Trading for extended periods can lead to fatigue and emotional decision-making. Schedule breaks to clear your mind and refocus your trading strategy.
Remember, trading is a long-term endeavor, and success is not determined by individual trades but by your overall performance. Avoid the allure of quick profits and stay disciplined in following your trading plan to mitigate the risks associated with overtrading.
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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Think You Know Candlestick Patterns?Welcome to the world of candlestick patterns!
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Doji candlesticks, with their equal or nearly equal open and close, offer crucial insights into market indecision. Understanding these formations is key to anticipating potential reversals and trade decisions. Let’s delve deeper into their significance and how to incorporate them effectively into your trading strategy.
Understanding Doji:
A Doji occurs when opening and closing prices are almost identical, signaling market indecision.
Neutral Nature: Doji are neutral signals, highlighting the tug-of-war between buyers and sellers.
Psychological Insight: Forming amid market uncertainty, Doji reflect hesitancy and potential trend shifts.
4 Types of Doji and Their Meanings:
Dragonfly Doji:
Description: Open and close near the high of the day.
Interpretation: Sellers drive prices down, but buyers regain control.
Action: Explore long positions with support from trend analysis and resistance levels.
Gravestone Doji:
Description: Open and close occur near the low of the day.
Interpretation: Buyers initially push prices up, but sellers regain control.
Action: Consider short positions if confirmed by trend analysis and support/resistance levels.
Traditional Doji:
Description: Open and close are almost identical.
Interpretation: Strong market indecision; trend reversal potential.
Action: Confirm with trend analysis; consider reversal or continuation trades accordingly.
Long-Legged Doji:
Description: Significantly long upper and lower shadows.
Interpretation: Represents high indecision; neither buyers nor sellers dominate.
Action: Await confirmation from other indicators for trade decisions.
Incorporating Doji Into Your Strategy:
Combining with Support/Resistance: Doji at key support/resistance levels enhance their significance. Use them to validate potential reversal points.
Utilizing Trend Analysis: Doji are potent when aligned with prevailing trends. In an uptrend, Doji signal potential reversals, while in downtrends, they may indicate trend exhaustion.
Implementing Fibonacci Levels: Combine Doji with Fibonacci retracement levels for robust entry/exit points. A Doji at a Fibonacci level strengthens the reversal signal.
Risk Management: Define stop-loss and take-profit levels logically. Doji, while insightful, don’t guarantee outcomes. Protect your investments with sound risk management.
Remember, successful trading is a blend of strategy, discipline, and adaptability. Doji candlesticks, as valuable tools, provide glimpses into market psychology. When integrated wisely, they can bolster your trading decisions, enhancing your overall effectiveness in the dynamic world of trading.
Learn the 3 TYPES of MARKET ANALYSIS
In the today's post, we will discuss 3 types of analysis of a financial market.
🛠1 - Technical Analysis
Technical analysis focuses on price action, key levels, technical indicators and technical tools for the assessment of a market sentiment.
Pure technician thoroughly believes that the price chart reflects all the news, all the actions of big and small players. With a proper application of technical strategies, technical analysts make predictions and identify trading opportunities.
In the example above, the trader applies price action patterns, candlestick analysis, key levels and 2 technical indicators to make a prediction that the market will drop to a key horizontal support from a solid horizontal resistance.
📰2 - Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysts assess the key factors and related data that drive the value of an asset.
These factors are diverse: it can be geopolitical events, macro and micro economic news, financial statements, etc.
Fundamental traders usually make trading decision and forecasts, relying on fundamental data alone and completely neglecting a chart analysis.
Price action on Gold on a daily time frame could be easily predicted, applying a fundamental analysis.
A bearish trend was driven by FED Interest Rates tightening program,
while a strong bullish rally initiated after escalation of Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
📊🔬 3 - Combination of Technical and Fundamental Analysis
Such traders combine the principles of both Technical and Fundamental approaches.
When they are looking for trading opportunities, they analyze the price chart and make predictions accordingly.
Then, they analyze the current related fundamentals and compare the technical and fundamental biases.
If the outlooks match, one opens a trading position.
In the example above, Gold reached a solid horizontal daily support.
Testing the underlined structure, the price formed a falling wedge pattern and a double bottom, breaking both a horizontal neckline and a resistance of the wedge.
These were 2 significant bullish technical confirmation.
At the same time, the escalation of Israeli-Palestinian conflict left a very bullish fundamental confirmation.
It is an endless debate which method is better.
Each has its own pros and cons.
I strongly believe that one can make money mastering any of those.
Just choose the method that you prefer, study it, practice and one day you will make it.
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Market Gaps: Strategies, Types, Fills and Crypto.Greetings, traders!
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In stock trading, gaps can significantly impact market dynamics. They occur when a stock's price makes a sudden leap between two candlesticks, often due to substantial news breaking after market hours.
These gaps can be upward (gap up) or downward (gap down), signifying abrupt shifts in market sentiment.
Understanding Gap Types:
Common Gaps: These gaps appear without any specific underlying event and are often encountered in stocks with low trading volumes.
Breakaway Gaps: Breakaway gaps are akin to a breakout, occurring when a stock price surges above a resistance level or plunges below a support level, breaking established market norms.
Continuation Gaps: These gaps arise in the direction of an existing trend, typically propelled by increased buying or selling activity.
Exhaustion Gaps: Exhaustion gaps signal a potential reversal of the trend, but they usually occur on low trading volumes.
Unpacking the Gap Fill Phenomenon:
Gap "fill" occurs when the stock price retraces to pre-gap levels, offering traders opportunities to benefit from the market's oscillations. However, not all gaps experience this reversion, especially breakaway gaps, as broken support or resistance might hinder the fill.
Trading Gap Fills:
Strategies and Considerations: To navigate the complex landscape of gaps and gap fills, traders should consider several key factors:
Tailored Strategies: Crafting strategies based on the gap type, the prevailing market trends, and trading volumes.
Volume Analysis: High trading volume often indicates a continuation of the gap, while low volume may suggest a potential gap fill.
Patience is Key: Traders should exercise patience, waiting for a confirmed trend to emerge before making trading decisions.
Breakaway Gaps: While many gaps in trading tend to fill over time, breakaway gaps possess unique characteristics that often result in them remaining open.
Breakaway gaps typically stand out due to:
Robust Momentum: These gaps are typically backed by powerful market momentum, making it difficult for prices to retreat quickly.
New Market Perception: They often signal a significant shift in how the market views a stock's value, establishing a new price reality.
Lack of Immediate Resistance: Occurring where trading activity is limited, breakaway gaps find little resistance to their newfound position.
Market-Wide Acceptance: When breakaway gaps respond to widely accepted news or events, the market solidifies the new price level, resisting attempts to fill the gap.
Altered Investor Psychology: These gaps can initiate shifts in investor psychology, leading to sustained buying or selling pressure, reinforcing the gap's persistence.
Navigating Risk and Opportunity in Unfilled Gaps:
Unfilled gaps can present challenges, but they also offer unique opportunities. Traders who understand the enduring nature of breakaway gaps can develop strategies that harness the momentum and trend shifts linked to these gaps. By aligning trades with prevailing market sentiment, traders can leverage the complexities of unfilled gaps to their advantage.
Cryptocurrency Market: An Exception to the Gap Rule:
It's important to note that the cryptocurrency market operates differently from traditional stock markets. Gaps are relatively rare in the crypto realm, primarily due to its 24/7 trading structure. The continuous trading activity minimizes the possibility of significant price gaps.
However, rapid and substantial price changes can result in occasional "gap-like" phenomena. For instance, a sudden surge in buying or selling activity can lead to notable price shifts. Understanding these distinctions is crucial when trading cryptocurrencies.
Recognizing gap types, considering market context, and aligning strategies with prevailing market sentiment can empower traders to navigate the intricacies of gaps and leverage them effectively. In the cryptocurrency market, it's essential to comprehend the unique dynamics that affect gap occurrences.
Three White SoldiersGreetings, traders! Today, let’s dive into a powerful candlestick pattern: the Three White Soldiers. This pattern, often regarded as a bullish signal, can provide valuable insights.
Understanding the Three White Soldiers Pattern:
The Three White Soldiers pattern is identified by three consecutive bullish candles, symbolizing a robust influx of buying pressure. When these candles appear in a sequence, it suggests a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish.
Key Characteristics:
Bullish Momentum: The pattern signifies a strong uptrend, indicating a potential continuation of the existing market trend.
Candlestick Size: Pay attention to the size of the candles. In this pattern, large-bodied candles with minimal wicks reflect substantial buying activity. This emphasizes the dominance of buyers in the market.
Volume Confirmation: Volume indicators on charting platforms can validate the pattern. An uptick in volume during the formation of the Three White Soldiers further strengthens its significance.
Trading Strategies with the Three White Soldiers Pattern:
Confirmation with Volume: Ensure the pattern is supported by increased trading volume, affirming the authenticity of the bullish move.
Combine with Other Indicators: Enhance your trading strategy by integrating the Three White Soldiers pattern with trend lines, Fibonacci retracement levels, or other technical indicators. This synergy can provide a more comprehensive view of the market.
Wait for Confirmation: Patience is key. Wait for the bullish candles to close before considering the pattern confirmed. This approach reduces the risk of false signals.
Consider Timeframes: Analyze the pattern across multiple timeframes. A Three White Soldiers formation on higher timeframes (such as daily or weekly charts) often indicates stronger bullish potential.
Risk Management and Trade Execution:
Set Stop-Loss: Establish stop-loss below first candlestick of the Three White Soldiers.
Diversify Your Trades: Avoid over-concentration in a single asset. Diversifying your trades across different instruments can mitigate risks associated with individual market volatility.
By combining this pattern with meticulous analysis, strategic planning, and risk management, traders can enhance their overall trading prowess.
Happy trading, and may the markets be ever in your favour!
Trading Secrets Revealed: Mindset Shift from Beginner to Expert
In the today's post, we will discuss the evolution of a mindset of a trader as he matures in trading.
✔️Beginner
For some unknown reasons, beginners assume that a couple of educational videos and books about trading is more than enough to start trading successfully.
They believe that they got a comprehensive knowledge and that very few things remain to learn.
They start trading, but quickly realize that their knowledge is not enough to make even small gains.
✔️COMPETENT
After practicing a couple of years, traders come to the conclusion
that they know everything in that field. That they learned, tested and tried all concepts and techniques that are available.
They consider themselves to be the experts in the field BUT
for some unknown reasons, these traders still are not able to trade profitably.
✔️EXPERT
After many years of learning, training and practicing, eyes finally open.
Traders realize how limited is their knowledge and how much more there is to learn.
While they already have the skills to trade in profits, they understand now that even the entire life is not enough to learn all the subtleties of trading.
And here is a little lifehack for you:
if you are a beginner, embrace a mindset of an expert.
Start from realizing how little you actually know and how much more there is to know, that will help you a lot in your trading journey.
Learn 6 Common Beginner Trading Mistakes
In the today's post, we will discuss very common beginner's mistakes in trading that you should avoid.
1. No trading plan 📝
That is certainly the TOP 1 mistake. I don't know why it happens but 99% of newbies assume that they don't need a trading plan.
It is more than enough for them to watch a couple of educational videos, read some books about trading and Voilà when a good setup appears they can easily recognize and trade it without a plan.
Guys, I guarantee you that you will blow your trading account in maximum 2 months if you keep thinking like that. Trading plan is the essential part of every trading approach, so build one and follow that strictly.
2. Overtrading 💱
That mistake comes from a common newbies' misconception: they think that in order to make money in trading, they should trade a lot. The more they trade, the higher are the potential gains.
Same reasoning appears when they choose a signal service: the more trades a signal provider shares, the better his signals are supposed to be.
However, the truth is that good trades are very rare and your goal as a trader is to recognize and trade only the best setups. While the majority of the trading opportunities are risky and not profitable.
3. Emotional trading 😤
There are 2 ways to make a trading decision: to make it objectively following the rules of your trading plan or to follow the emotions.
The second option is the main pick of the newbies.
The intuition, fear, desire are their main drivers. And such an approach is of course doomed to a failure.
And we will discuss the emotional trading in details in the next 2 sections.
4. Having no patience ⏳
Patience always pays. That is the trader's anthem.
However, in practice, it is extremely hard to keep holding the trade that refuses to reach the target, that comes closer and closer to a stop loss level, that stuck around the entry level.
Once we are in a trade, we want the price to go directly to our goal without any delay. And the more we wait, the harder it is to keep waiting. The impatience makes traders close their trades preliminary, missing good profits.
5. Greed 🤑
Greed is your main and worst enemy in this game.
It will pursue you no matter how experienced you are.
The desire to get maximum from every move, to not miss any pip of profit, will be your permanent obstacle.
Greed will also pursue you after you close the profitable trades. No matter how much you win, how many good winning trades you catch in a row, you always want more. And that sense main lead you to making irrational, bad trading decision.
6. Big Risks 🛑
Why to calculate lot size for the trade?
Why even bother about risk management?
These are the typical thoughts of the newbies.
Newbie traders completely underestimate the risks involved in trading and for that reason they are risking big.
I heard so many times these stories, when a trading deposit of a trader is wiped out with a one single bad trade.
Never ever risk big, especially if you just started.
Start with a very conservative approach and risk a tiny little portion of your trading account per trade.
Of course there are a lot more mistakes to discuss.
However, the ones that I listed above at the most common
and I am kindly recommending you to fix them before you start trading with a substantial amount of money.
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Basics of Elliott Wave TheoryWelcome to the world of Elliott Waves.
If you appreciate our charts, give us a quick 💜💜
Elliott Wave Theory revolves around three key elements:
Impulse waves (in the direction of the trend)
Corrective waves (against the trend)
Wave degrees
Impulse waves consist of five sub-waves, while corrective waves comprise three. These waves form cycles, representing market psychology in action.
Key Rules of Elliott Waves
Wave 2 cannot retrace beyond the starting point of wave 1.
Wave 3 must be longer than both wave 1 and wave 5.
Wave 4 cannot exceed the end point of wave 1.
Elliott Waves and Fibonacci Retracement
Incorporating Fibonacci retracement levels refines Elliott Wave analysis. The fourth wave often hovers between 23.6%, 38.2% and 50%, while correction waves C often unfold within the 50% to 61.8% range.
Elliott Waves as Guides, Not Guarantees
It’s crucial to view tools like Elliott Wave Theory as guiding lights, not crystal balls. While they don’t assure foolproof predictions, they offer a framework to decipher market cycles. As patterns repeat, understanding market psychology becomes the trader’s edge.
Learn What is TRAILING STOP LOSS | Risk Management Basics
In the today's article, we will discuss a trailing stop loss. I will explain to you its concept in simple words and share real market examples.
🛑 Trailing stop loss is a risk management tool that allows to protect unrealized profits of an active trading position as long as the price moves in the desired direction.
Traditionally, traders trade with fixed stop loss and take profit. Following such an approach, one knows exactly the level where the trade will be closed in a profit and the level where it will be closed in a loss.
Take a look at a long trade on USDCAD above.
The trade has fixed TP Level - 1.354 and fixed SL Level - 1.341.
Once one of these levels is reached, the trade will be closed.
Even though the majority of the traders stick to fixed sl and tp, there is one important disadvantage of such an approach – substantial gains could be easily missed.
After the market reached TP in USDCAD trade, the price temporarily dropped, then a strong bullish rally initiated and the price went way above the Take Profit level. Potential gains with that long position could be much bigger.
Trailing stop solves that issue.
With a trailing stop loss, the trader usually opens the trade with Stop Loss and WITHOUT Take Profit.
Take a look at a long trade on USDCHF.
Trader expects growth, he opens a long position and sets stop loss – 0.8924, while take profit level is not determined.
As the market starts growing, one decides not to close the trade in profit, but modify stop loss – trail it to the level above the entry.
As the market keeps rallying, one TRAILS a stop loss in the direction of the market, protecting the unrealized gains.
When the market finally starts falling, the price hits stop loss and a trader closes the trade in a substantial profit.
The main obstacle with the application of a trailing stop is to keep it at a distance from current price levels that is not too narrow nor too wide.
With a wide stop loss distance, substantial unrealized gains might be washed out with the market reversal.
Imagine you predicted a nice bullish rally on Bitcoin.
The market bounced nicely after you opened a long position .
Trailing stop loss too far from current price levels, all the gains could be easily wiped out.
While with a narrow trailing stop distance, one can be stop hunted before the move in the desired direction continues.
A trader opens a long trade on EURJPY and the price bounces perfectly as predicted.
One immediately trails the stop loss.
However, the distance between current prices was too narrow and the position was closed after a pullback.
And then market went much higher
In conclusion, I want to note that fixed SL & TP approach is not bad, it is different and for some trading strategies it will be more appropriate. However, because of its limitations, occasionally big moves will be missed.
Try trailing stop by your own, combine it with your strategy and I hope that you will make a lot of money with that!
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The Core Confirmations Every Trader Must KnowWelcome to Vestinda, where we delve into the fundamental aspects of successful trading.
If you appreciate our charts, give us a quick 💜💜
In this journey, we unravel the four pillars of confirmation that seasoned traders rely on to make strategic moves in the market.
1. Price Action: Market Language
Price action speaks volumes about market sentiment. Supply and Demand dynamics, chart patterns like triangles and double tops, and candlestick patterns such as Doji or Hammer provide invaluable insights into potential market directions. By understanding these patterns, traders gain a deeper understanding of the market's pulse.
2. Divergence: Market Discrepancies
Divergence analysis, often derived from indicators like RSI (Relative Strength Index), OBV (On-Balance Volume), and CCI (Commodity Channel Index), uncovers hidden trends. When price movements diverge from these indicators, it signals potential market shifts. Astute traders keenly observe these disparities, foreseeing possible trend reversals or continuations.
3. Fibonacci: The Golden Ratios of Trading
Fibonacci levels are not mere numbers; they are golden keys to unlocking market secrets. Traders leverage key Fibonacci levels (like 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%) to identify potential reversal or continuation zones. These levels act as psychological barriers, guiding traders to make informed decisions regarding entry, exit, and stop-loss points.
4. Momentum: The Market Waves
Momentum indicators, such as Moving Averages and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), are the pulse of market trends. Moving Averages, both simple and exponential, provide a smoothed outlook of price movements, aiding in trend identification. MACD, on the other hand, explores the relationship between two moving averages, shedding light on the strength of price movements and potential crossovers, indicating shifts in market momentum.
Incorporating these four confirmations into your trading arsenal enhances your ability to interpret market signals.
By embracing the nuances of price action, divergence analysis, Fibonacci retracements, and momentum indicators, you are equipped with a comprehensive toolkit to navigate the complexities of the financial markets. Stay vigilant, adapt to changing market conditions, and let these confirmations guide you toward trading mastery.
What is Tweezer Top and Bottom Patterns?Welcome to the world of trading patterns. If you appreciate our charts, give us a quick 💜💜
Today let's explore Tweezer top and bottom patterns, often referred to as simply "tweezers," are powerful candlestick formations that hold the potential to unveil significant shifts in market sentiment.
These patterns materialize as twin candles appearing at the culmination of a trend, indicating the impending transition of market dynamics. In this exploration, we'll delve into the intricacies of these patterns, unveiling their secrets for traders seeking to navigate the ever-evolving landscape of financial markets.
Tweezer Top:
A tweezer top pattern occurs during an uptrend when the price reaches a high point and then experiences a sudden reversal. It is characterized by two consecutive candlesticks with almost identical highs. The pattern suggests that the bulls are losing their grip, and a potential trend reversal or a bearish correction might follow.
Traders often interpret the tweezer top as a signal to consider selling or shorting an asset, especially if it appears after a prolonged uptrend. However, it's essential to confirm this pattern with other technical indicators or chart patterns to increase its reliability.
Tweezer Bottom:
Conversely, a tweezer bottom pattern emerges in a downtrend when the price reaches a low point and then reverses its direction. Similar to the tweezer top, tweezer bottoms consist of two consecutive candlesticks with nearly identical lows. This pattern signifies a potential end to the bearish trend, indicating that the bulls might take control soon.
Traders view the tweezer bottom as a signal to consider buying or going long on an asset, particularly if it appears after an extended downtrend. As with any trading pattern, it's crucial to validate the tweezer bottom with other technical tools to confirm the potential trend reversal.
Key Considerations:
Confirmation is Key: Tweezer patterns, while useful, should always be confirmed by other technical indicators or chart patterns before making trading decisions.
Volume Analysis: Analyzing trading volumes during the formation of tweezer patterns can provide additional confirmation of the potential trend reversal.
Market Context: Consider the overall market context and fundamental factors influencing the asset to make well-informed trading decisions.
How to Altseason Cycle || Cheat Sheet || Bitcoin DominanceMonitoring Bitcoin dominance (BTC-DOM) is a valuable tool for crypto traders. It provides insights into the relationship between Bitcoin (BTC-USD) and altcoins (ALT-USD), helping you make bette decisions about your altcoins and tokens.
Spotting Altcoin Seasons:
Altcoin seasons are periods of heightened interest in different cryptocurrencies and tokens, often causing their total market cap to surpass that of Bitcoin.
Understanding BTC-DOM's movements can help you anticipate how the market might react:
1. BTC-DOM Goes UP:
When BTC-DOM rises and BTC-USD also climbs, it often indicates a bullish phase for Bitcoin. During this time, ALT-USD may stay relative stable and face sideways.
If BTC-USD experiences a decline while BTC-DOM is on the upswing, ALT-USD might witness a significant dump.
When BTC-USD moves sideways and BTC-DOM follows suit, ALT-USD tends to maintain a stable course.
2. BTC-DOM Goes SIDEWAYS:
If BTC-DOM remains relatively stable and BTC-USD sees an uptrend, ALT-USD often mirrors this upward movement.
Conversely, if BTC-USD takes a dip while BTC-DOM remains flat, ALT-USD tends to follow suit with a decline.
When both BTC-USD and BTC-DOM exhibit sideways patterns, ALT-USD typically remains in a state of relative stability.
3. BTC-DOM Goes DOWN:
A decrease in BTC-DOM coupled with a rising BTC-USD often leads to a pumps for ALT-USD.
When BTC-USD experiences a decrease while BTC-DOM falls, ALT-USD may stabilize or enter a sideways phase.
If BTC-USD moves sideways while BTC-DOM declines, ALT-USD often witnesses an upward movement.
Remember that while these trends offer valuable insights, the crypto market is highly volatile. Low cap altcoins can behave unexpectedly even when Bitcoin dominance suggests a particular trend. Therefore, use Bitcoin dominance as one of many tools in your investment strategy, and always conduct thorough research before making decisions.
Learn What Time Frame to Trade
If you just started trading, you are probably wondering how to choose a trading time frame . In the today's post, I will go through the common time frames , and explain when to apply them.
1m; 5m, 15m Time Frames
These 4 t.f's are very rapid and are primarily applied by scalpers.
If your goal is to catch quick ebbs and flows within a trading session, that is a perfect selection for you.
30m, 1H Time Frame
These 2 are perfectly suited for day traders.
Executing the analysis and opening the trades on these time frames,
you will be able to catch the moves within a trading day.
4h, Daily Time Frames
These time frames are relatively slow.
They are mostly applied by swing traders, who aim to trade the moves that last from several days to several weeks.
Weekly, Monthly Time Frames
These time frames reveal long-term historical perspective and are mostly used by investors and position traders.
If your goal is to look for buy & hold assets, these time frames will help you to make a reasonable decision.
📝When you are choosing a time frame to trade, consider the following factors :
1️⃣ - Time Availability
How much time daily/weekly are you able to sacrifice on trading?
Remember a simple rule: lower is the time frame, more time it requires for management.
2️⃣ - Risk Tolerance
Smaller time frames usually involve higher risk,
while longer-term time frames are considered to be more conservative and stable.
3️⃣ - Your Trading Goals
If you are planning to benefit from short term price fluctuations you should concentrate your attention on lower time frames,
while investing and long-term capital accumulation suite for higher time frames.
Time frame selection is nuanced and a complex topic. However, I believe that these simple rules and factors will help you to correctly choose the one for you.
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Rising and Falling Wedges ExplainedWelcome to the world of trading patterns. If you appreciate our charts, give us a quick 💜💜
Today, we'll explore two important ones: the Rising Wedge and the Falling Wedge . These patterns can signal shifts in market trends. Let's dive in and see how they work.
Rising Wedge:
In an uptrend, the Rising Wedge hints at a bearish turn. It takes shape as prices find a middle ground between two upward-sloping lines, one as support and the other as resistance, both inching closer. As the price inches towards the wedge's tip, its upward push tends to fade, suggesting a potential shift to a downward trend.
Your sell signal triggers with a bearish break beneath the wedge's support.
Set a stop loss just above the wedge's highs.
Aim for the next significant support level.
Falling Wedge:
Unlike the Rising Wedge, the falling wedge spells optimism in a downtrend. It emerges as prices consolidate between two downward-sloping lines, one providing support and the other resistance, both drawing nearer. As prices approach the wedge's apex, the downward momentum loses steam, hinting at a potential shift towards an upward trend.
Your buy signal activates with a bullish breakout beyond the wedge's resistance.
Place a stop loss just below the wedge's lows.
Target the next notable resistance.
Feel free to let us know your thoughts and if you have any questions. Your feedback is valuable and helps us improve. Happy trading!
Trading Psychology : 5 Questions to Ask your self Before TradingWhen it comes to trading, it's often said that success is not just about having a winning strategy; it's equally, if not more, about mastering the psychological aspects of trading.
when i started trading , I struggled with this concept, and it led to blown accounts, financial losses, and a destruction my mental health. However, through perseverance, reading books , and self-improvement, I managed to get my expectations and psychology in check, and the transformation in my trading results was remarkable.
In this article, I'll share the five crucial questions I ask myself before making any trade. These questions have helped me develop a disciplined and resilient trading mindset, and I believe they can do the same for you.
1. Does this trade fit my trading plan?
Before even considering a trade, it's vital to have a well-defined trading plan. Ask yourself if the trade aligns with your plan's criteria. This question reminds you to stick to your strategy and avoid impulsive decisions driven by market noise.
2. Am I mentally and financially ready to accept the risk of the trade?
Trading is a risky activity , its important to know if you are mentally able to handle potential losses and also it's crucial to assess whether you are mentally prepared to trade , if you are not feeling good mentally don't trade period. , Additionally, ensure that you have the necessary financial resources to accept the risk involved in the trade. Trading should never jeopardize your financial stability.
3. Am I trading based on FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) or a well-thought-out plan?
FOMO can be a trader's worst enemy. Ask yourself if you are entering a trade out of fear that you might miss out on an opportunity. A well-thought-out plan should drive your decisions, not emotions. always remember that EVERY SINGLE DAY there are new and better opportunities in the market .
4. Am I experiencing overconfidence (euphoria)?
FOMO can be a trader's worst enemy. Ask yourself if you're entering a trade out of the fear of missing out on an opportunity. A well-thought-out plan should be the driving force behind your decisions, not emotional impulses.
Overconfidence can lead to reckless trading. Evaluate your current state of mind. Are you feeling overly confident, perhaps due to recent successes? Remember that the market can be unpredictable, and overconfidence can cloud your judgment.
remember that EVERY SINGLE DAY there are new and better opportunities in the market you are not missing out on anything you are just waiting for the best opportunity that fits your trading rules and strategy .
5. Am I in the present moment (mindful)?
Trading, as Mark Douglas beautifully emphasizes in "Trading in the Zone," demands a state of mindfulness. Are you fully immersed in the present trade, or do your thoughts wander elsewhere? Staying in the zone of mindfulness enables you to make grounded and rational decisions while responding adeptly to dynamic market shifts.
ask yourself Are you fully engaged in the trade at hand, or are your thoughts scattered? Staying in the present moment allows you to make more rational decisions and react effectively to market changes.
Learn TOP 3 Elements of a Perfect SWING TRADE
Hey traders,
In the today's post, I will share with you a formula of ideal swing trading setup.
✔️Element 1 - Market Trend
When you are planning a swing trade, it is highly recommendable that the direction of your trade would match with the direction of the market trend.
If the market is trading in a bullish trend, you should look for buying the market, while if the market is bearish, you should look for shorting.
Take a look at CHFJPY pair on a daily. Obviously, the market is trading in a bullish trend and your should look for swing BUYING opportunity.
✔️Element 2 - Key Level
You should look for a trading opportunity from a key structure.
IF the market is bullish, you should look for buying from a key horizontal or vertical SUPPORT, WHILE if the market is bearish, you should look for shorting from a key horizontal or vertical RESISTANCE.
CHFJPY is currently approaching a rising trend line - a key vertical support.
Please, note that if the price is NOT on a key structure, you should patiently wait for the test of the closest one.
✔️Element 3 - Confirmation
Once the market is on a key level, do not open a trading position blindly. Look for a confirmation - for the sign of strength of the buyers, if you want to buy or for the sign of strength of the sellers, if you are planning to short.
There are dozens of confirmation strategies, one of the most accurate is the price action confirmation.
Analyzing a 4H time frame on CHFJPY, we can spot a falling wedge pattern. While the price is stuck within that, the minor trend remains bearish. Bullish breakout of the resistance of the wedge will be the important sign of strength of the buyers and can be your strong bullish confirmation.
Following these 3 conditions, you will achieve high win rate in swing trading. Try these techniques yourself and good luck in your trading journey.