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SMCI: When a chart says it’s time to reconnect with the AI hypeOn the daily chart, Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) is showing a clean bullish setup. Price broke out of a descending trendline (green dashed), confirmed it with a retest, and is now consolidating above the breakout zone. The golden cross — where the MA50 crossed above the MA200 — confirms a long-term trend reversal.
Volume profile indicates strong accumulation near $41–43. The 0.5 Fibonacci level at $41.84 acted as support. Above the current range, there’s low volume resistance up to $63.57 (0.786), followed by $66.44 and a final extension target at $79.82 (1.272).
Fundamentals: SMCI is a leading server hardware manufacturer. Demand for their systems has soared with the explosion of AI infrastructure. The company maintains solid financials, with rising quarterly revenue and growing presence in the cloud sector. Institutional investors have been actively increasing their positions since late 2023 — a sign of strong long-term conviction.
Tactical plan:
— Entry: market $42–43
— Target 1: $55.91
— Target 2: $63.57
When technicals scream textbook breakout and fundamentals bring AI momentum to the table — it might just be one of the best late entries in the AI wave this summer.
CAD/JPYSince my ascending triangle formation has violated its characteristics it is no longer valid. I took this opportunity to revisit this pair and start again. I still believe price is operating from the Double Bottom Formation so I'm still looking for price to go up. Here we have 4 touches on our Trendline & A Expanding Flat Formation (highlighted in blue letters). I have entered a position after the 4hr close but im still looking for a retrace for a better position.
ABCL: When biotechnology not only curesABCL: When biotechnology not only cures, but also makes your wallet happy!
Hello, fellow investors and those who just like to tickle your nerves on the stock exchange!
Today we have on our agenda (and on the chart) - the stock AbCellera Biologics Inc. (ABCL), which seems to have decided to prove that even at the bottom there is life, and then even throw a party with a breakthrough!
As you can see, our hero ABCL has been playing ‘hide and seek with the trend line’ for a long time, showing an enviable resilience in the fall, just like your sofa after a day at work. However, if you look closely, the ‘ma/ema below price’ signalled that buyers, like secret agents, had already taken control of the situation, preparing for the decisive throw.
And here it is, it's happening! The recent ‘breakout + retest’ is not just a technical term, but a real escape from the ‘bearish’ prison with a subsequent test of strength. Not only did price break through resistance, but it came back to see if it was indeed broken. It's like going out of the house, forgetting your keys, coming back in, getting them, and then going out again - only in the stock market it's a sign of strength and determination!
Now that the dust has settled and the ‘1d’ trendline is behind us, our sights are set on the upside. Targets? Of course! ‘tp1-4.81’ and ‘tp2-6.00’ are not just numbers, they are potential points where we can pat ourselves on the shoulder and say, ‘I told you so!’. А ‘2,618 (6,61)’ - is for the very brave and patient who are willing to wait for the true bull dance.
All in all, ABCL seems to have turned a page in its history, swapping sad ballads for upbeat dance hits. But remember, friends: the market is a capricious thing, and even the most beautiful charts can bring surprises. So, act wisely, don't forget about risks and, of course, enjoy the process! Have a good trading!
I don't know why ???Bitcoin is now at a point where it cannot be ignored! In my view, the bullish wave has started after the corrective wave ended. This wave could continue until it breaks the ascending triangle, then with a slight correction, push the price upward again. The current period and the coming days could be crucial in determining the market's trend.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
GRAB 1W: Two Years of Silence — One Loud BreakoutGRAB 1W: When stocks go quiet for two years just to slap bears across both cheeks
The weekly chart of GRAB shows a textbook long-term accumulation. After spending nearly two years in a range between $2.88 and $4.64, the price is finally compressing into a symmetrical triangle. We’ve already seen a breakout of the descending trendline, a bullish retest, and the golden cross between MA50 and MA200. Volume is rising, and the visible profile shows clear demand with little resistance overhead.
The $4.31–$4.64 zone is key. Holding this level opens the path to $5.73 (1.0 Fibo), $6.51 (1.272), and $7.50 (1.618). The structure is clean, momentum is building, and this accumulation doesn’t smell like retail — it smells institutional.
Fundamentally, GRAB is a leading Southeast Asian tech platform combining ride-hailing, delivery, fintech, and financial services. Yes, it’s still unprofitable (–$485M net loss in 2024), but revenue is growing fast, recently crossing $2.3B. Adjusted EBITDA has been improving steadily, and the company holds $5.5B in cash equivalents with minimal debt — giving it excellent liquidity and expansion flexibility.
Valued at ~$18B, GRAB operates in the world’s fastest-growing digital market, with increasing institutional exposure from players like SoftBank and BlackRock. The 2-year base hints at smart money preparing for the next big move.
Tactical plan:
— Entry: by market
— Targets: $5.73 → $6.51 → $7.50
— Stop: below $4.00 or trendline
If a stock sleeps for 2 years and forms a golden cross — it’s not snoring, it’s preparing for liftoff. The only thing left? Don’t blink when it moves.
Skeptic | RSI Masterclass: Unlock Pro-Level Trading Secrets!Hey traders, it’s Skeptic ! 😎 Ready to transform your trading? 95% of you are using the Relative Strength Index wrong , and I’m here to fix that with a game-changing strategy I’ve backtested across 200+ trades. This isn’t a generic RSI tutorial—it’s packed with real-world setups, myth-busting insights, and precise rules to trade with confidence. Join me to master the art of RSI and trade with clarity, discipline, and reason. Big shoutout to TradingView for this epic free tool! 🙌 Let’s dive in! 🚖
What Is RSI? The Core Breakdown
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) , crafted by Welles Wilder, is a momentum oscillator that measures a market’s strength by comparing average gains to average losses over a set period. Here’s the formula:
G = average gains over n periods, L = average losses.
Relative Strength (RS) = | G / L |.
RSI = 100 - (100 / (1 + RS)).
Wilder used a 14-period lookback , and I stick with it—it’s smooth, filters noise, and gives a crystal-clear read on buyer or seller momentum. Let’s get to the good stuff—how I use RSI to stack profits! 📊
My RSI Strategy: Flipping the Script
Forget what you’ve read in books like The Handbook of Technical Analysis by Mark Andrew Lim— overbought (70) and oversold (30) aren’t just for shorting or buying. I go long when RSI hits overbought, and it’s been a goldmine. I’ve backtested over 200 trades with this approach, and it’s my go-to confirmation for daily setups. Why does it work? When RSI hits overbought on my 15-minute entry chart, it signals explosive buyer momentum. Here’s what you get:
Lightning-Fast R/R: I hit risk/reward targets in 30 minutes to 2 hours on 15-minute entries (longer for 1-hour entries, depending on your timeframe).
Massive R/R Potential: An overbought RSI on 15-minute can push 1-hour and 4-hour RSI into overbought, driving bigger moves. I hold for R/Rs of 5 or even 10, not bailing early. 🚀
Rock-Solid Confirmation: RSI confirms my entry trigger. Take BTC/USD:
BTC bounces off a key support at 76,000, sparking an uptrend.
It forms a 4-hour box range, but price tests the ceiling more than the floor, hinting at a breakout.
Trigger: Break above the box ceiling at 85,853.57.
On 15-minute, a powerful candle breaks the ceiling, and RSI hits overbought—that’s my green light. I open a long.
Soon, 1-hour and 4-hour RSI go overbought, signaling stronger momentum. I hold, and BTC pumps hard, hitting high R/R in a short window.
This keeps trades fast and efficient—quick wins or quick stops mean better capital management and less stress. Slow trades? They’re a mental grind, pushing you to close early for tiny R/Rs. 😴
Pro Rules for RSI Success
Here’s how to wield RSI like a trading weapon:
Stick to the Trend : Use RSI in the direction of the main trend (e.g., uptrend = focus on longs).
Confirmation Only: Never use RSI solo for buy/sell signals. Pair it with breakouts or support/resistance triggers.
Fresh Momentum: RSI is strongest when it just hits overbought/oversold. If the move’s already rolling, skip it—no FOMO, walk away!
Customize Zones: Overbought (70) and oversold (30) can shift—it might show reactions at 65 or 75. Adjust to your market’s behavior.
Backtesting RSI: Your Path to Mastery
To make RSI yours, backtest it across at least 30 trades in every market cycle— uptrend, downtrend, and range. Test in volatile markets for extra edge. 😏 Key takeaways:
Range Markets Kill RSI: Momentum oscillators like RSI (or SMA) are useless in ranges—no momentum, no signal. Switch to ROC (Rate of Change) for ranges—I use it, and it’s a beast. Want an ROC guide? Hit the comments!
Overextended RSI Zones: On your entry timeframe (e.g., 15-minute), check higher timeframes (e.g., 4-hour) for past RSI highs/lows. These are overextended zones—price often rejects or triggers a range. Use them to take profits.
Final Vibe Check
This RSI masterclass is your key to trading like a pro—fast R/Rs, big wins, and unshakable confidence . At Skeptic Lab, we live by No FOMO, no hype, just reason. Guard your capital— max 1% risk per trade, no excuses. Want an ROC masterclass or more tools? Drop a comment! If this fired you up, smash that boost—it means everything! 😊 Got a setup or question? Hit me in the comments. Stay sharp, fam! ✌️
GOLD- at CUT n REVERSE Region? What's next??#GOLD - perfect drop after Iran Israel casefire and now market just reached at his current ultimate swing region.
That is around 3343 to 3346-47
Keep close that region and only hold buying positions above tha.
NOTE: we will go for cut n reverse belowt that in confirmation .
Good luck
Trade wisely
Brent Oil Breakdown – Rejection & Freefall From Channel HighsBrent Oil delivered a textbook reversal last week.
After weeks of climbing within a rising channel, price printed a strong rejection wick at the upper boundary (~$79.45), then followed through with a violent sell-off, slicing through structure and breaking the channel cleanly.
🔍 Key Levels:
• Rejection High: $79.45
• Structure Break: $74.89 (former support, now resistance)
• 4H Demand Zone: $66.00–$69.00
• Daily Demand Confluence: Aligned with 4H zone
On the 1H and 23min, we’re now seeing price trying to stabilise above $69.80 — right on top of the 4H and daily zone confluence.
📉 Bias:
Currently bearish below $74.89.
A clean retest of that level could offer continuation entries.
However, price is now in a high-probability reaction zone, so intraday longs are possible if price shows strength above $70.
⛽ Watch For:
• Bullish price action around $68.50–$70.00
• Weak retracements into $72–$73 for potential short entries
• Break below $66.00 could open floodgates back toward $63 and $60.00
Market Structure AnalysisMarket Structure Analysis
HH (Higher High) and HL (Higher Low) labels indicate the prior uptrend structure.
The recent price action shows consolidation and potential trend reversal or correction.
🟦
Highlighted Zones
Supply Zones (resistance): Marked in light teal rectangles near the top of price action (e.g., around 3,400).
Demand Zones (support): Marked below the current price (e.g., around 3,360 and lower near 3,320).
🔄
Ch0CH (Change of Character)
A “Ch0CH” label is marked — this typically signals a potential shift in market structure (e.g., from bullish to bearish).
This is further supported by the price breaking below a previous higher low.
📉
Trade Setup
Red Zone: Indicates the stop-loss region.
Green Zone: Indicates the take-profit target.
A short (sell) position is implied here, expecting price to drop from the current level to the lower demand zone.
🔁
Projected Price Path
A dotted white line projects a potential bearish move, with a minor retracement before continuation down to ~3,328.
Crude Oil Prices Rocketing amid geopolitical risks
NYMEX:CL1! NYMEX:MCL1! NYMEX:BZ1!
Macro:
Geopolitical tensions remain high and markets are now likely to price in our scenario discussing ongoing air and missile war, given one-off intervention from the US thus far. According to Reuters, the U.S. now assesses that Iranian retaliation could occur within the next two days.What happens next is anybody’s guess but as traders, it is important to navigate these uncertainties with scenario planning and/or reduce risk to account for increased volatility.
We also get Services and Manufacturing PMI data today and PCE Price Index on Friday. Chair Powell is set to testify on Tuesday 9am CT.
Key levels:
Jan 2025 High: 76.57
2025 High: 78.40
2025 CVAH(Composite Value Area High): 75.68
Key LIS zone: 73.50-73.15
We anticipate the following scenarios in crude oil:
Scenario 1:
Prices remain elevated as tensions remain high, despite limited retaliation, however, the situation overall now escalated beyond return to diplomacy.
Scenario 2:
Any push towards de-escalation, unlikely in our analysis, but given the headline risk, crude prices may remain volatile and come off the highs.
Given our key LIS (Line in Sand) zone above, we favor longs above this and shorts below this zone.
#USOIL - CUT n REVERSE region, still holds??#USOIL.. well guys in first go market perfectly holds our region then again n again..
Now again. Market is in our resistance region and if market hold again then again drop expected.
But
Keep in mind that above that region new will go for cut n reverse on confirmation .
Good luck
Trade wisely
Gold:bullish wedge inside a rising channel-double trap for bearsInside the major upward channel, gold formed a falling wedge — and, of course, faked a breakdown. But the move reversed quickly: price reclaimed the wedge, surged on volume, and held above the key 3363–3368 area. This isn't just a bounce — it's a structural reclaim in line with the broader trend.
Price is now in the upper part of the rising channel and has broken a local downtrend line, reinforcing the bullish signal. Consolidation around 3380–3395 might be the last pause before acceleration. Above that lies a volume gap — no resistance until 3452.
MACD is flipping bullish, RSI turning upward, and volume confirms smart money presence. Classic: trap below, breakout above. As long as 3363 holds — longs remain in control.
Skeptic | Weekly Watchlist Top Triggers for Forex, Gold & More!DXY: The Market’s Compass
Let’s kick it off with DXY—the Dollar Index every trader needs to watch to get the market’s big picture.
Daily Timeframe: After a failed break below the critical support at 98.801 , DXY dumped to 97.596 , then pulled back to test 98.801 . With rate cuts looking likely soon , I’m betting on more downside for DXY. The only wildcard? Rising Middle East tensions could spike inflation, push rates higher, and strengthen DXY, hammering crypto and CFD indices.
4-Hour Triggers:
Short: Break below 98.530 —a clean setup to ride down to 97.596 . I’m leaning heavier on this, pairing it with USD-based forex trades for max R/R. 😤
Long: Break above 99.114 —riskier against the trend, so keep stops tight and profits quick.
Pro Tip: Shorts are the safer play here, but watch geopolitical news for sudden reversals.
EURX: Uptrend Power
EURX is flexing some muscle.
Weekly Timeframe: The resistance at 1072.6 looks broken. If we avoid a fakeout and hold above this zone, I’m expecting the major uptrend to keep rolling.
Game Plan: No trigger needed—just confirm a few 4-hour candles above 1072.6, and I’m opening longs on EUR-based pairs. Patience for confirmation is key! 🙌
Pro Tip: Watch for fake breakouts—let the market prove itself before jumping in.
Commodities: Gold & Silver
XAU/USD (Gold)
My gold analysis from last week still holds ( check it if you missed it—it’s got Middle East war scenarios and Bitcoin insights too ). No need to repeat—go read it for the full scoop! 📚
XAG/USD (Silver)
Silver’s been on a wild ride after a massive pump.
4-Hour Timeframe : We’re now in a 4-hour range, which makes sense, and I expect it to linger into next week.
Triggers:
Long: Break above resistance at 37.31559 .
Short: Break below support at 35.56800 .
Pro Tip: If you’re holding my 33.68317 long from last week, don’t close yet—let it ride for more gains. If you’re not in, avoid FOMO and wait for the range break. 😎
Forex Pairs
EUR/USD: Ready to Pop
With EURX in an uptrend and DXY likely breaking support, I’m super bullish on EUR/USD next week.
4-Hour Triggers:
Long: Break above resistance at 1.15429 . No need for RSI or SMA confirmation—just a clean breakout, and we’re in. 🚀
Short: Break below 1.13566—only if EURX’s 1072.6 break turns out to be a fakeout.
Pro Tip: Longs are the play here—keep it simple and ride the breakout wave.
GBP/USD: Bearish Break
GBP/USD is looking spicy after a downward move.
Daily Timeframe: The upward channel broke to the downside. I cloned the channel and placed it below—support at 1.34090 is massive, with multiple reactions in the past.
4-Hour Trigger: Break below 1.34090 opens a bearish move with high R/R. I’m personally shorting this break. 😤
Pro Tip: This is a key level—set alerts and don’t miss it!
USD/JPY: Range Game
USD/JPY is stuck in a long 4-hour box range.
4-Hour Timeframe: Price keeps testing the ceiling but travels less toward the floor, showing traders want to break up, not down.
Triggers:
Long: Break above ceiling at 146.204.
Short: Break below the upward trendline, then support at 145.194 .
Pro Tip: Longs have more juice—watch for volume on the break.
EUR/CHF: Mirror of USD/JPY
EUR/CHF is vibing like USD/JPY—a 4-hour box range.
4-Hour Triggers:
Long: Break above resistance at 0.94293 .
Short: Break below channel floor at 0.92963 .
Pro Tip: Wait for a clean break—ranges can be choppy!
Final Vibe Check
That’s your Weekly Watchlist , fam! I’ll keep you updated daily as markets shift. Stay safe with capital management—max 1% risk per trade, no excuses. This week’s loaded with banger triggers, so sit down now, analyze, and set your alerts so you don’t miss a single move. Let’s make it a profitable week! 🚨
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this watchlist got you hyped, smash that boost—it means the world! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to hit next? Drop it in the comments. Thanks for rolling with me—keep trading sharp! ✌️
DOGEUSDT - near support? Holds or not??#DOGEUSDT... market just reached near his supporting area even ultimate area. That is around 0.10 and current market price is around 0.15
If market holds current supporting area then we can expect a bounce from here.
Below 0.10 we will never see again bounce ... Note that.
Good luck
Trade wisely
TRX's situation+ Target PredictionFinally, the price broke the wedge, and the price experienced a significant drop. I think is the time for TR to rise again to 0.73 after more correction . STRONG SUPPORT 0.26.
Previous analysis
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to