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TradeCityPro | Comprehensive Bitcoin Analysis for 2025👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel! Let's go for the most complete BINANCE:BTCUSDT Bitcoin analysis you can see. In this analysis, we are going to examine the data from monthly to weekly to daily time frames and more in the most complete way possible! 🌐 Monthly Timeframe In the monthly timeframe, as you can see, Bitcoin is positioned between two curved trendlines and has reacted to these zones multiple times. The last time the price hit the bottom of this channel, it recorded a low of 16,000, after which the crypto bull run began. The top of this channel also coincided with the 69,000 peak in the previous bull run, allowing us to identify the end of that bull run. One key point about this channel is that the slope of its trendlines is decreasing, and overall, a weakening trend in Bitcoin is observed, which is logical. This is because every time Bitcoin has made an upward leg, a massive amount of capital has flowed into it, so it naturally moves less in the subsequent leg. This point might seem negative to newer market participants, as Bitcoin’s bull runs used to happen faster in the past, and the price moved more significantly in percentage terms. For example, the 2017 bull run saw Bitcoin grow by nearly 7,000%, while in the 2019 bull run, it grew by about 1,500%. However, within this seemingly negative point, there’s a positive aspect: this reduction in volatility indicates Bitcoin’s maturity and that of the broader crypto market. When an asset has a large amount of capital invested in it, its volatility naturally decreases, but this also reduces the risk of investing in that asset. For instance, gold currently holds the top spot globally with a market cap of 21 trillion dollars, while Bitcoin’s market cap is around 2 trillion dollars. This gap makes Bitcoin appear as a better investment choice at first glance, as its lower market cap suggests greater growth potential. On the other hand, the risk of investing in Bitcoin is higher because it has less capital invested in it, and large institutions like governments prefer to invest in gold, earning lower returns over time compared to Bitcoin. For these institutions, the most important factor is risk optimization, and gold has proven itself as the lowest-risk asset over centuries. So, overall, we can conclude that the more capital flows into Bitcoin, the lower its volatility becomes. As volatility decreases, it becomes a safer asset for investment, attracting more interest from large institutions. Additionally, we should consider that if Bitcoin isn’t destroyed or proven to be a scam, it could become a safe-haven asset like gold in the future. Its supply is well-optimized, and due to the halving mechanism, its issuance is tightly controlled, which gives it an inherently bullish nature like gold. Note that when I say Bitcoin’s movements are slowing down and more capital inflow reduces its volatility, I don’t mean it will stop moving upward. Rather, it means its cycles will take longer, and its movements will be heavier. For example, gold, despite its high market cap, still moved upward last year. Currently, Bitcoin has started a new upward leg after rising from the 16,000 zone. It first reached the previous high, then, after reacting to the 0.5 Fibonacci Extension level (which overlapped with the 71,000 zone), it pulled back to the 57,000 zone and has now moved to the 0.618 level near 101,000. Based on the candles formed in the monthly timeframe, it seems the upward movement is ongoing. If the 0.618 level is broken, the price could see a few more bullish candles. The next Fibonacci level is 0.786, near 165,000, and if the price movement extends a bit longer, this level could also overlap with the top of the curved channel. In my opinion, the maximum potential for Bitcoin in this bullish cycle is between 160,000 and 180,000. However, keep in mind that this is just my personal view, and I’m not making decisions based solely on this analysis or planning to sell if Bitcoin reaches this range. This is merely a mental target, and if I see Bitcoin reaching this range with strong bullish momentum, there’s a chance it could break through. In that scenario, if Bitcoin reaches this range without any trend weakness and with high momentum, I’ll update the analysis for you and examine higher targets Bitcoin could reach. On the other hand, if I see Bitcoin’s momentum weakening and showing trend deterioration before reaching the resistance zone, I’ll adjust my perspective. If the trend reversal triggers I’ll discuss later are activated, I’ll exit the market. In the RSI oscillator, we have very important zones that can help us assess the trend’s health. A ceiling at 77.65 has formed, which, if reached by RSI, could indicate a momentum-based market top. However, if this level is broken, the bullish scenario I mentioned is highly likely to occur, and the price could move beyond our expected target. On the other hand, there’s a support floor at 58.90, and I believe the confirmation of the end of Bitcoin’s bull run will come with a break of this level in RSI. If RSI consolidates below this zone, bullish momentum will weaken, and the price will gradually enter a corrective phase. Regarding volume, I should note that the decreasing volume in this timeframe isn’t reliable data because Bitcoin’s volume is spread across various exchanges, and comparing volume at this scale isn’t accurate or useful. I have nothing more to say about the monthly timeframe. Let’s move to lower timeframes. 📊 Weekly Timeframe Let’s dive into the weekly timeframe, where we can observe price movements in greater detail. As you can see, after being supported at the 16,000 zone, Bitcoin faced a significant resistance at 31,000. Breaking this level kicked off the bullish trend. In the first leg, the price moved from 16,000 to 31,000, and after breaking 31,000 in the second leg, the upward move continued to 72,000. One of the main reasons for this bullish cycle was the U.S. interest rate. Simultaneously with the breakout of the 31,000 zone, the U.S. Federal Reserve changed its policies and began lowering interest rates. This triggered a massive capital inflow into Bitcoin, initiating its bullish move. During the corrective phase, the price oscillated between the 72,000 and 55,000 zones for several months. After breaking the 72,000 ceiling, another bullish leg took the price to 105,000. One of the reasons for this bullish move was Trump’s strong support for crypto during the U.S. election. He frequently mentioned Bitcoin positively in his speeches and considered it part of his policies. However, after Trump was elected president, he didn’t fully deliver on his promises. The imposition of tariffs not only impacted Bitcoin but also significantly affected the U.S. dollar, major company stocks, and indices like the S&P. As a result, Bitcoin dropped back to near the 72,000 zone. Additionally, for the past few months, the U.S. Federal Reserve has not changed interest rates due to these tariffs. In all its statements, it has indicated that it’s waiting for the tariffs to be finalized and is in no rush to make decisions regarding monetary policy. Thus, in recent months, the interest rate variable has been effectively neutral, with the most significant fundamental news being the U.S. tariffs against China and Europe. After Bitcoin’s drop to near 72,000, news of a 90-day agreement between China and the U.S. emerged, stating that tariffs would be lifted for 90 days to allow negotiations. This news was enough to restart the bullish move for Bitcoin and stocks like the S&P. As you can see, Bitcoin has now surpassed the 105,000 ceiling and is currently deciding its next move above this zone. Looking at RSI, there’s a key support level at 44.75, where every time the price has hit this level, a new bullish leg has started. This level accurately indicated the 55,000 and 72,000 bottoms and has been very reliable. However, there’s a clear divergence in RSI between the 72,000 and 105,000 peaks. The current peak above 105,000 is higher, but RSI is still forming lower highs, which could strengthen the divergence. Currently, RSI is near the overbought zone and appears to be rejecting from the 70 level. If RSI is rejected from this zone, the price might fake out the 105,000 breakout and drop below it. If this happens, it would signal a significant trend weakness, greatly increasing the likelihood of a trend reversal. However, if RSI consolidates above the 70 level and the price makes another bullish leg, we’ll still have divergence, but the trend weakness will be much less severe than in the fake-out scenario. If the price makes another bullish leg, our targets based on Fibonacci are the 130,000 and 160,000 zones. In any case, if RSI forms a lower high compared to its previous peak and the price enters a corrective phase, I believe the 44.75 level will break, activating the divergence. If this happens, we’ll get a momentum-based confirmation of the bull run’s end, and we’ll then need to wait for a price-based confirmation. Currently, the price confirmation for a trend reversal would first be a fake-out of the 105,000 breakout, with the main trigger being a break of the 72,000 level. If the price forms a higher high, we’ll need to wait and identify the trend reversal trigger based on market structure and conditions. Personally, I believe Bitcoin will have another bullish move to the 130,000 zone, and simultaneously, dominance will move upward again. After this move, as Bitcoin consolidates or corrects, dominance will drop, leading to an altcoin season for a few months. After Bitcoin’s consolidation and the end of the altcoin season, the market’s bearish phase will begin, which I’ll discuss further if it occurs. If you’ve bought Bitcoin at lower levels and are holding, I think you can continue holding, as there’s a high chance of another bullish leg, and we don’t yet have any confirmation of a trend reversal. I suggest continuing to hold until we get a clear reversal signal. For buying Bitcoin on the spot market in this timeframe, it’s not possible to provide a trigger right now, as we’re at the end of a bullish leg, and the upward trend from 16,000 has been very prolonged. I believe we’ll see at most one more bullish leg, so if you’re skilled at trading, I suggest using this capital to open positions in futures to maximize profits. Be cautious—I’m saying this only if you have trading skills, not to blindly open positions with all your capital without a trigger. That would only lead to losses. If you haven’t bought any Bitcoin in this bullish trend yet, you can wait for the potential altcoin season. I suggest starting now to identify good projects so that when Bitcoin dominance shows bearish confirmation, you can buy the altcoins you’ve researched and profit from that market phase. 📈 Daily Timeframe In the daily timeframe, as you can see, Bitcoin underwent a corrective phase, dropping to the 76,000 zone. After forming a base at this level, a bullish leg to 106,000 was triggered at 87,700. Currently, the price is above the 106,000 zone but hasn’t consolidated above it yet. The reason I say it hasn’t consolidated is that market volume is decreasing after the breakout. Additionally, when the price breaks through a supply zone like an all-time high, significant momentum is required, but that hasn’t happened, and the price is ranging above this zone without significant movement. If Bitcoin consolidates above this zone, the bullish move could continue. The targets we can consider are the 116,000 and 130,000 zones. The RSI oscillator has a critical support at 59.78, which is a very important momentum level. If this level is broken, this bullish leg could end, and the market might enter a corrective phase. Volume is also slightly decreasing and showing some divergence with the trend, which is another sign of trend weakness. If the price consolidates below 106,000, we’ll get confirmation of a fake-out of this breakout, and the price could move downward again. The lower support zones are 102,600 and 92,300. If the price forms a lower high and low below 106,000, we can confirm a trend reversal. Breaking the 76,000 level would be the main confirmation of a trend change. 💼 4-Hour Timeframe In the 4-hour timeframe, Bitcoin entered a corrective phase after reaching the 111,700 zone and has formed a descending triangle between the 106,000–107,000 range and a downward trendline. The 106,000–107,000 range is a very strong support zone, and the price has tested this level multiple times but keeps forming lower highs compared to 111,700, increasing the likelihood of breaking this support zone. On RSI, there’s a support level at 35.94, which is a very strong momentum zone. Breaking this level could confirm the entry of bearish momentum, increasing the likelihood of breaking the support zone. With a break of the support zone and the 35.94 level in RSI, we can enter a short position. If the price forms a lower high and low below this support zone, we can confirm a trend reversal. The next key support zones are 101,600 and 93,700. For the bullish trend to continue, breaking the downward trendline would confirm an upward move. If the trendline is broken, the price could rise to 111,700. Breaking the 111,700 level would be the main confirmation of the bullish trend’s continuation, activating the trendline breakout as the primary trigger. 🔍 Binance Open Interest is Surging as BTC Regains Bullish Momentum Tracking what’s happening in the derivatives market has become essential, given the current market structure. Derivatives volumes are significantly higher than those on spot markets or ETFs, especially on Binance, which ranks just behind the Chicago Mercantile Exchange in terms of volume. As a result, derivatives activity can have a major impact on Bitcoin’s price, making on-chain data related to derivatives extremely valuable to monitor. This has clearly been the case since BTC resumed its bullish trend, reflected in the rising Open Interest on Binance. It jumped from $7.5B on April 8th to over $11.2B today. We can also note that the 30-day and 50-day SMAs have just crossed back above the 100-day average. Derivatives activity has clearly helped fuel the price move, even though many short positions were opened along the way. Seeing Open Interest climb is generally a good sign, as it gives the market momentum and can lead to strong upward moves. However, this kind of push tends to be fragile. At the moment, we haven’t yet returned to a new Open Interest ATH on Binance, which may suggest that we’re not in a full-blown euphoric phase on derivatives markets just yet. 📊 Minimal Sell Pressure Despite STH & LTH Deposits on Binance Keeping an eye on STH (Short-Term Holders) and LTH (Long-Term Holders) behavior gives us valuable clues about market sentiment. In this update, we’re focusing on Bitcoin inflows to Binance from both STHs and LTHs. These flows help us measure selling pressure and get a feel for how price action might unfold. Let’s start with STHs the group that tends to react quickly and emotionally to market shifts. 🧠 We’ve seen their behavior play out clearly in the past: During the August 2024 correction, they sent over 12,000 BTC to Binance. Then again, around late February to early March, during the tariff news-driven panic that pushed BTC below $80K, they dumped over 14,000 BTC. But here’s the good news: right now, STH inflows are still moderate only about 8,000 BTC has been sent to Binance so far, which is roughly in line with the last correction. 🔍 As for LTHs, the numbers are even calmer. Currently, just 86 BTC has flowed in from long-term holders—far lower than the 254 BTC seen before the last major top and way below the 626 BTC peak back in 2024. 📊 Bottom line? Whether we’re looking at STHs or LTHs, there’s no real sign of strong selling pressure at the moment. Still, it’s worth watching in the context of ongoing demand—which remains relatively healthy for now. Coinbase Premium Signals Strong Institutional Demand There’s no doubt institutions are stepping in and no, it’s not just because of ETFs. 💡 Why not ETFs? Because spot Bitcoin ETFs aren’t exclusive to institutions. Retail investors can access them just as easily, and in terms of raw volume, ETFs still don’t come close to the spot or futures markets. That said, the inflows are still impressive: the 30-day average daily inflow is now over $330 million, and that trend is holding strong. 🚀 The Real Signal? The Coinbase Premium Gap This metric tracks the price difference between Coinbase Pro (favored by U.S. professional/institutional investors) and Binance. Right now, the 30-day moving average of the premium gap is 55 a clear sign of heightened U.S. investor activity, which strongly points to institutional participation. 💰 Futures Activity Surges as Spot Demand Fades on Binance Futures volume on Binance has been rising, while spot volume has dropped significantly in recent days even as Bitcoin broke into price discovery. This shift in volume composition is worth watching closely, as it provides important clues about the market’s internal strength. Volume isn’t just a number—it reflects the type of demand driving the market. When demand comes from spot markets, it often suggests long-term conviction. In contrast, demand driven by futures markets tends to reflect short-term speculation, which can introduce instability. Since May 5, we’ve seen futures activity increase modestly, while spot volumes have clearly declined. This suggests that the current price action may be fueled more by leverage and short-term bets than by solid, long-term buying. Without strong spot support, trends powered by derivatives are more fragile and prone to sharp reversals. This environment calls for increased caution, especially for those considering new entries or leveraged positions. ⚡️ BTC Gains Bullish Momentum as Binance Open Interest Rises Tracking what’s happening in the derivatives market has become essential, given the current market structure. Derivatives volumes are significantly higher than those on spot markets or ETFs, especially on Binance, which ranks just behind the Chicago Mercantile Exchange in terms of volume. As a result, derivatives activity can have a major impact on Bitcoin’s price, making on-chain data related to derivatives extremely valuable to monitor. This has clearly been the case since BTC resumed its bullish trend, reflected in the rising Open Interest on Binance. It jumped from $7.5B on April 8th to over $11.2B today. We can also note that the 30-day and 50-day SMAs have just crossed back above the 100-day average. Derivatives activity has clearly helped fuel the price move, even though many short positions were opened along the way. Seeing Open Interest climb is generally a good sign, as it gives the market momentum and can lead to strong upward moves. However, this kind of push tends to be fragile. At the moment, we haven’t yet returned to a new Open Interest ATH on Binance, which may suggest that we’re not in a full-blown euphoric phase on derivatives markets just yet. 🔄 Bitcoin Heatmap Analysis Let’s move on to the Bitcoin heatmap analysis, which was missing from this analysis and completes the most comprehensive data for these days. I hope it’s useful for you. In the 6-month timeframe, Bitcoin has had a good upward trend but experienced a rejection after hitting orders in the 110,000–113,000 range. It’s currently in the 104,000 zone, with the most important support zone at 92,000, which is likely to hold. In the monthly timeframe, we’ve broken through the 106,000 zone, which was a strong support level based on orders, but there isn’t a strong support zone immediately below. The next support level is 100,000–102,000, which could be a solid level, while the 110,000–112,000 zone is currently the most valid resistance level for Bitcoin. In the weekly timeframe, a similar event has occurred. We’ve been rejected from the significant 110,000 resistance zone and are heading for further downside, but at a slow pace. In this timeframe, no specific support orders have been registered yet, and it will take some time for traders to place their buy orders on exchanges. However, even if we bounce from this level, we shouldn’t underestimate the 110,000 resistance. 📝 Final Thoughts This is the most comprehensive Bitcoin analysis for the community. We’ve done our best to collect the data comprehensively in this post for your awareness and present it to you in this analysis, hoping it has been useful for you! Our team has worked on this analysis for several days, so we’d be thrilled if you boost, comment, and share the analysis with your friends.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by tradecitypro
1.5 K
KO 1D — A Diamond Not Yet Broken, But Already CrackingOn the daily chart of Coca-Cola, a classic diamond top structure is forming — not yet completed, but clearly visible. The market expanded its range in the initial stage, then began to compress into a tighter zone, creating the typical shape of a diamond. This isn’t a continuation pattern — it’s the setup phase for redistribution. The key level sits at $68.50 — the base of the diamond. As long as this line holds, the pattern remains inactive. But current price behavior says more than enough: weakening momentum, falling volume, and a lack of aggressive follow-through on recent highs. This isn’t accumulation — it’s preparation. Price is currently trading between the MA50 and MA200, signaling a neutral phase with downside risk. The moving averages are narrowing, but no crossover has occurred yet. That’s critical — the trend isn’t broken, but it’s clearly losing energy. If $68.50 gives way, the measured move from the pattern projects a decline toward $61.82. From a fundamental standpoint, Coca-Cola remains stable — but uninspiring. Earnings met expectations, revenue was steady, and no major catalysts are visible. In this type of environment, technical structure often becomes the tool for institutional rotation — not because the story collapsed, but because the setup makes sense. The edges of the diamond are in place. All that’s missing is the break. If the neckline fails, the downside scenario is already built — structurally and logically.
NYSE:KOShort
by TotoshkaTrades
"PEPE 1H Analysis - Breakout Incoming? 📊 *PEPE/USDT – 1H Technical Analysis* An ascending triangle pattern is developing on the 1-hour timeframe, which often indicates potential bullish momentum. 🟢 Price is approaching a key resistance near *0.00001516*. 🟡 A clean breakout above this level with strong volume may open the door for further upside. 🔴 Watch for *confirmation* before considering any move. 🔍 This chart is purely for educational and analytical purposes. No financial advice. Do your own research before making any trading decisions. #PEPE #PEPEUSDT #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #Altcoins
by Smart_Trading_Strategy
Nvidia Earnings Boost, Trade Tariffs Legitimacy, NQ trade ideaCME_MINI:NQ1! Big Picture Context: . NQ futures rallied after NVIDIA posted an earnings beat and after the Manhattan-based Court of International Trade blocked President Trump's Liberation Day tariffs. Goldman Sachs noted that the ruling on Liberation Day tariffs gives the administration 10 days to halt tariff collection, but does not affect sectoral tariffs. The administration can still impose across-the-board and country-specific tariffs under other legal authorities. Jobless claims and continuing claims have come in higher. What has the market done? The rally faded in the overnight session. However, the catalysts provided energy for prices to move higher. Currently, price is trading above the prior week’s high, yesterday’s high, and it is also trading above the yearly open, and 2025 VPOC and mcVPOC for the last 3 weeks. What is it trying to do? The market is negating the recent bear market territory sell-off and negating a bear market rally. It is propelling higher. How good of a job is it doing? The market has created good structure and micro composites, despite some gaps left open, and it has created higher lows since last Friday. What is more likely to happen from here? Scenario 1: Long Continuation In this scenario, we are looking for NQ to turn at the immediate 2025 LVN support area. If it edges higher, we will be looking for potential long opportunities above the 21710–21720 area, targeting overnight highs and potentially the next HVN. Scenario 2: Gap Close and Reversal In this scenario, we are looking for a pullback, testing pHi and pWk-Hi. We will look for a rounded base that consolidates here on a lower timeframe, such as the 5-minute timeframe, and look for a reversal back towards the 21710–21720 level. pWk-Hi: prior Week's High pHi: prior Day's High HVN: High Volume Node LNV: Low Volume Node VPOC: Volume Point of Control C: Composite (prefix before VAL, VAH, VPOC, VP, AVP) mC: micro-Composite (prefix before VAL, VAH, VPOC, VP, AVP)
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by EdgeClear
BTC - Let's Do It Again!!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 As per our last analysis (attached on the chart), BTC rejected the lower orange trendline and moved higher as expected! ✅ 🔄 BTC is now retesting the lower trendline again, so we’ll be looking for new trend-following buy setups as long as the red structure at $105,000 holds! 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
19
Be careful with TON !!!Currently, TON is forming an ascending triangle, indicating a potential price increase. It is anticipated that the price could rise, aligning with the projected price movement (AB=CD). However, it is crucial to wait for the triangle to break before taking any action. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
1
Skeptic | Gold (XAU/USD): Breakout Triggers Set to Pop?Hey everyone, Skeptic here! Let’s fire up this Thursday morning with a fresh Gold (XAU/USD) analysis! 😊 We’re diving into the Daily Timeframe to spot the trend, then zooming into the 4-Hour Timeframe for juicy long and short triggers. Stay with me—let’s get to it! 📊 Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture Gold’s been on a tear, climbing to a high of 3416.19 (it went higher, but I’m using the candle close for faster triggers when we hit those levels :)). Now, we’re in a correction phase, forming a downward channel . This correction has been solid, dropping to the 0.5% Fibonacci retracement. What’s cool about this channel is how cleanly it’s reacting to the ceiling, floor, and midline, making it super valid for us. A break of either the ceiling or floor could give us some killer triggers. But since we’re in a correction, it’s smart to dial back risk on all positions. Lowering risk can mean taking profits quicker, shrinking position sizes, tighter stop losses, or a mix of these to keep your account safe. 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups Now, let’s get to the 4-hour chart for our long and short triggers. 📈 For longs, we’ve got two setups. The first is a bit risky since we haven’t confirmed the downward channel breakout yet—it’s a preemptive move. You can go long after breaking the resistance at 3366.71 . Our main long trigger, though, is a break above 3416.19 , which also cracks the channel’s ceiling and sets us up for new all-time highs. If you catch this one, don’t rush to take profits too fast—let it run! 📉 For shorts, a break below support at 3249.68 opens the door, with RSI hitting oversold as a solid confirmation. But since this goes against the major uptrend, it’s risky—take profits early and keep position sizes small to stay safe. :) 💬 Let’s Talk! If this analysis sparked some ideas, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to dive into next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll tackle it. Thanks for joining me—see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by SkepticWise
1
Skeptic | USD/JPY Analysis: Bearish Momentum Fuels Short Setups!Hey everyone, Skeptic here! I know some of you might’ve missed our last USD/CHF short signal that hit a sweet 3:1 R/R—no worries! 😊 The market’s always here, so missing a trade isn’t the end of the world. I’m not here to push FOMO; my goal is to take you on a long-term trading journey, and I’m stoked to have you along for the ride! :))) Let’s get back to USD/JPY and break down the latest action. 📊 Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture First, let’s zoom out and talk about the DXY (US Dollar Index), which recently broke the 99.005 support and turned bearish. This puts USD-based pairs like USD/JPY in the spotlight for short opportunities this week. Here’s what’s happening with USD/JPY: Trend Context: The major trend is bearish. Last week, sellers showed no mercy to buyers, and with DXY’s bearish move, we’re likely to see more of the same this week. Key Level: We’re currently reacting to a major daily support at 142.305. Expect a range or reaction here, so we must wait for confirmation before shorting. Recent Correction: The prior correction reached the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement and seems to have resumed the major bearish trend. With this in mind, let’s zoom into the 4-Hour Timeframe to hunt for long and short setups. 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups The 4-hour chart is giving us some clear signals to work with. Here’s the plan: Short Setup: Key Level: The 142.338 level is critical, as it formed a ceiling at 148.569 in the past and acted as support before. Trigger: If we form a lower high and then break below 142.305, open a short position. Confirmation: Use RSI to back up the breakout, ensuring momentum aligns. Why It Works: A lower high signals increasing weakness in this support, making a break more likely. Long Setup: My Take: I personally don’t have a long trigger right now. Both the major and minor trends are downtrends, so going long doesn’t make sense in these conditions. If You Insist: If you’re set on a long, wait for a break above 144.125. But keep it tight—low risk, small stop loss, and take profits quickly once you hit a decent R/R. 💬 Let’s Talk! If this analysis sparked some ideas, give it a quick boost—it really helps! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to dive into next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll tackle it. Thanks for joining me—see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
by SkepticWise
3
Skeptic | SPX 500 Update: Bullish Breakout Brewing?Hey everyone, Skeptic here! It’s been a while since we’ve checked in on the SPX 500 , but the market’s now flashing a killer long opportunity with a high R/R—don’t miss this one! 😊 Stay with me to the end for the full breakdown. Let’s dive into the Daily Timeframe to set the stage. 📊 Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture The SPX 500 pulled off a deep correction , dropping from a high of 6154.64 to lows around 4810.39 with some wild shadows that caught everyone off guard. But now, it’s firing up with fresh momentum, carving out higher highs and higher lows that scream bullish strength. The corrections in this new uptrend are super shallow and flow with the trend—exactly what we want to see! After hitting resistance at 5961.82 , we’ve had a slight pullback, but it looks like this correction is wrapping up, and we’re on the verge of the next big uptrend leg. Let’s zoom into the 4-Hour Timeframe to hunt for long and short triggers. 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups On the 4-hour chart, the correction shaped up as a descending trendline . We broke it, pulled back, and now we’re primed to crack 5895.39. A breakout above this level is our main long trigger. To get more precise, let’s check the 1-Hour Timeframe. For the long setup , a clean break above 5896.34 gets us in the game. This move also busts through P.P. Level 1, giving us solid confirmation, and we could ride the wave up to P.P. Levels 3 or 4, targeting 5930.83 to 5956.97 . Those are prime spots to lock in some profits, but don’t close the whole position—since we’re trading with the trend, we can hold for more upside. For shorts, I’ve got nothing. Going against this bullish momentum would be pure madness! I’d wait for a sharp drop below support at 5849.67 before even considering short triggers, but right now, there’s zilch. 💬 Let’s Talk! If this update sparked some ideas, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments. Thanks for hanging out— let’s grow together and remember: Weathermen forecast. We trade! :))) ✌️
SPREADEX:SPXLong
by SkepticWise
1
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #104👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s dive into Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis I’ll walk you through the triggers for the New York futures session. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe On the 1-hour chart, as you can see, Bitcoin was once again rejected from the 110128 level yesterday and is now hovering near 108237. ✔️ At the moment, price hasn’t yet touched the 108237 support. If it manages to stay above this level without breaking below, the chances of retesting 110128—and even breaking above it—increase. 🔍 If 108237 is broken, a short position could be considered. However, keep in mind that this setup goes against the current uptrend. As mentioned in previous analyses, the 106192–107010 range is a major support zone, and as long as price remains above it, the trend remains bullish. 📉 The main short trigger would be a break below this key support. If that occurs, it could introduce strong bearish momentum. An RSI break below 38.57 would serve as a momentum confirmation. ✨ During this pullback from 110128, market volume has been decreasing, which indicates the strength of the ongoing uptrend. 💥 If 110128 is broken, and considering the strong trend, a long position could be initiated. An RSI break above 50 would provide additional confirmation. The primary long trigger remains a break above 111747. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Bitcoin Dominance continued to fall yesterday, reaching as low as 63.87. It has shown a slight bounce from that level and is currently in a mild upward correction. ⭐ If a lower high forms below 64.18, the chances of breaking below 63.87 increase. However, if the correction goes beyond 64.18, the probability of resuming the uptrend will grow. 📅 Total2 Analysis Yesterday, Total2 was rejected from 1.24 and corrected down to 1.21. If price bounces from here and heads back toward 1.24, the chances of breaking that resistance will rise. 📊 If 1.21 fails to hold, a deeper correction toward 1.18 could follow. 📅 USDT.D Analysis USDT Dominance is forming a lower high compared to 4.56. If this plays out and 4.49 is broken, it would confirm a bearish move. ⚡️ On the other hand, if 4.56 is broken to the upside, the move could extend toward 4.62. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
14
XAUUSD (Gold/USD) – Smart Money Setup with Key Zones & Target 🧠 Market Summary: This chart shows a classic Smart Money Concept (SMC) play. We're looking at how big players (banks, institutions) trap retail traders, push price through liquidity zones, and move toward their real targets. 📌 Detailed Breakdown: 1️⃣ Ellipse Zone (Left Side – Accumulation Phase) This shaded ellipse shows where price was moving sideways in a tight range. This is a classic accumulation zone, meaning big players were quietly building their long positions. ✅ Price stayed in this range from May 20–21 before breaking out with strong bullish candles. 👉 What this means: Institutions are loading up. Once they’re filled, they push price upward fast. 2️⃣ Central Zone of Market (Green Diamond) After the breakout, price made a small pause/retest, which we marked with a green diamond. This is a re-accumulation area—a temporary consolidation before another push up. It’s also a mid-point, showing the “central engine” of this price move. 👉 What this means: Market still bullish here, collecting more orders. 3️⃣ Major Resistance Zone (Top of Chart) Price reached this supply zone near 3,360–3,370 and immediately faced strong rejection. You can see: Long wicks at the top Bearish pressure stepping in Start of a curve formation 👉 What this means: Big players are offloading their long positions and preparing for a reversal. 4️⃣ Rounded Top Curve (Distribution Phase) Notice the arc shape drawn over the candles. This is a distribution pattern — a rounding top that shows price is topping out slowly. It’s often a sign that smart money is exiting while trapping late buyers. 🔻Price then dropped aggressively, breaking structure. 5️⃣ BOS (Break of Structure) A major bearish signal occurred here. Price broke a recent low and created a BOS (Break of Structure) — a strong confirmation that the market has shifted from bullish to bearish. 👉 What this means: Now we look for retracement entries to go short. 6️⃣ 50% Retracement + Reversal Area After the BOS, price pulled back to the 50% Fibonacci level and hit a small resistance zone (highlighted in purple). This is a classic area for smart entries. ✅ This level rejected price again — showing bearish confirmation. 7️⃣ Target Zone – 3,330.055 A clean, well-defined target area where: Liquidity rests Previous orders may get triggered Market could react strongly 👉 If price pushes into this zone again, expect a reaction (either continuation or a reversal). 8️⃣ Support Zone – 3,290.345 This is your final support zone if the market continues to drop. If price breaks this support, it could open room for a larger bearish move. 🎯 Trading Plan (Example): 📈 If price retraces to 3,330.055 and shows rejection → consider short setup 📉 Watch 3,290.345 for bounce or breakdown ❌ Invalidation: Break above 3,370 (major resistance) 💡 Bonus Tip – Trading Psychology: “Smart money doesn’t chase. It waits for the trap to be set, then strikes with precision.” Stay patient. Don’t rush entries. Let price come to your zones. 🏁 Summary: This chart is a full example of smart money manipulation, showing: Accumulation → Expansion → Distribution → Breakdown BOS + 50% retrace = high-probability short Key zones: 3,330 (Target) & 3,290 (Support) 📢 Don’t Forget: If this analysis helped, drop a like, share, or comment your view below! #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoney #PriceAction #TradingView #Minds #ForexStrategy #GoldSetup #SMC #LiquidityZones
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Be careful with ETH !!!Currently, ETH is forming an ascending triangle, indicating a potential price increase. It is anticipated that the price could rise, aligning with the projected price movement (AB=CD). However, it is crucial to wait for the triangle to break before taking any action. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by CobraVanguard
1
Steepening Yields & Uncertainty: What says the Bond Markets? CBOT:ZN1! US Yield Curve in Image Above Showing yields on May 27, 2024 vs May 27, 2025 . What happened in a year and how to understand this? Looking at the image above, the yield curve was inverted on this day last year. Comparing last year’s term structure to today’s, we can see that the yield curve has steepened sharply. What does this signify? Let’s dive deeper as we share our insights and assessment of what the bond market is doing. At the March 16, 2022, meeting, the FED finally pivoted away from their "transitory inflation" narrative to a significant supply shocks narrative—supply-demand imbalances and Russia-Ukraine war-related uncertainty. This started a rate hike cycle, with rates peaking at 5.25%–5.50% in the July 26, 2023, meeting. The Fed Funds rate was reduced by 100 bps, with a cut of 50 bps on September 18, 2024, and two cuts of 25 bps in the November and December 2024 meetings. The FED paused its rate cutting at the start of the year, citing—as we have all heard recently—that the inflation outlook remains tilted to the upside, and given policy uncertainty and trade tariffs, the risk to slowing growth continues to increase. Businesses are holding back spending due to this confusion and continued uncertainty. ** Refer to the image of FED rate path above. The start of the rate hike cycle also began the FED’s balance sheet reduction program—from a peak of $8.97 trillion to the current balance of $6.69 trillion. **Refer to the image of FED's balance sheet above. Rates remained elevated at these levels to bring down inflation, which peaked at 9.1% in June 2022. Inflation has currently eased to 2.3% as of April 2025. Refer to the CPI YoY image above. Ray Dalio, Jamie Dimon, and most recently non-voter Kashkari (FED) highlighted stagflationary risks. FED Chair Powell noted risks to both sides of its dual mandate in its most recent meeting March 19, 2025. In the March meeting, they also announced a slower pace of reducing Treasury securities, agency debt, and agency mortgage-backed securities. In this announcement, Treasury securities reduction slowed from $25 billion to $5 billion per month, while maintaining agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities reduction at the same pace. Many participants and analysts noted this as a dovish pivot. However, given the current market conditions and the supply-demand imbalance emerging within US Treasury and bond markets, we note the rising yields. The yield curve steepening signifies that investors want better return on their bond holdings. The interesting turn of events here is that US Treasuries and bonds have not provided the safety they usually do in times of uncertainty and policy risk. The dollar has fallen in tandem with bonds, resulting in a devalued dollar and rising yields. Thirty-year yields touched the 5% level, and the DXY index traded at levels last seen in March 2022. Looking deeper under the hood, we note that a repeat of COVID-pandemic-style stimulus measures may perhaps result in an uncontrollable inflation spiral. The ballooning twin deficits—i.e., trade and budget deficits—with the new “Big Beautiful Bill,” or as some analysts joked, noting this as a foreshadowing of the newest credit rating: “BBB.” Any black swan event may just be the catalyst needed to tip these dominoes to start falling. As we previously noted in some of our commentary, debt service payments are now more than defense spending. The new bill, once passed, is going to add another $2.5 trillion to the deficit. While the deficit is an issue in the US, it is important to note that it is a global issue. The key question here will be: in due time, will the US bond market and US dollar regain their usual haven status? Or will we continue seeing diversification into Gold, Bitcoin, and global markets? So, to summarize these mechanics playing out in the US and global markets—in our view—sure, the US administration, one may debate, is not helping by creating this environment of uncertainty in global trade, coupled with a worsening deficit and higher-for-longer rates. The markets currently are perhaps at their most unpredictable stage, with so much going on in the US and across the world. It is still too early to write off US exceptionalism, and there will be value in rotating back to US markets once the dust on policy uncertainty settles. We suggest that investors stay diversified, watch for any upside surprises to the inflation and do not chase yields blindly as the move may already be overstretched. It is also our view that we are past the extreme policy uncertainty having already noted Trump put when ES Futures fell over 20%. Although note that near All-time highs or at 6000 level, we are likely to see further headline risks until trade deals are locked in. As always, be nimble, pragmatic and be ready to adjust with evolving market conditions. Definitions Plain-language definition: A “basis point” (bps) is 0.01%. So, a 50 bps cut = 0.50% reduction in interest rates. Plain-language definition: A steep yield curve means long-term interest rates are much higher than short-term ones. This can reflect rising inflation expectations or increased risk. A “black swan event”—an unpredictable crisis—could set off a chain reaction if confidence in US finances weakens further. Trade deficit: Importing more than exports Budget deficit: Government spending far more than it earns
CBOT:ZN1!
by EdgeClear
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #103👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s dive into Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis I’ll walk you through the triggers for the New York futures session. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe As you can see on the 1-hour chart, Bitcoin was rejected from the 110128 resistance yesterday and began a pullback, but it didn't reach the support at 107010 — instead, it formed a higher low and is now moving back toward 110128. 📊 Buy volume during this bullish leg has been relatively low, which isn’t ideal for a strong uptrend and indicates potential weakness. 📈 If the 110128 resistance breaks, a long position can be considered. However, if you take this trade, I suggest not setting your target at 111747 — instead, aim for higher targets and hold the position longer. 💥 The main long trigger remains at 111747. So if you missed or don’t want to trade the 110128 breakout, you can wait for this higher confirmation. 🔽 As for short setups, just like yesterday, it's still better to wait for a trend reversal. As long as the price remains above the support zone, the uptrend remains intact. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Bitcoin Dominance broke above 64.32 yesterday but failed to hold and fell back below it, also breaking the 64.18 support. It’s now moving toward 63.97. ⭐ Currently, there is strong bearish momentum in BTC.D, and if 63.97 is broken, this downward move is likely to continue. 📅 Total2 Analysis Total2 printed a higher low above 1.18 and has now broken above the 1.22 resistance. ✨ If it can hold above this level, we could see an upward move toward 1.26. For bearish confirmation and short positions, a break below 1.18 would be the key trigger. 📅 USDT.D Analysis USDT Dominance printed a lower high compared to 4.62 and is now sitting on support at 4.49. A break below this level could push the dominance down to 4.38. 🎲 To confirm a bullish reversal in USDT.D, we would need to see a break above 4.62. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
9
TradeCityPro | AVAX: Watching Key Resistance in RWA Uptrend👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! In this analysis, I’ll be reviewing the AVAX coin — one of the popular RWA projects in crypto with a high market cap. 🔍 This coin currently has a market cap of $9.94 billion and ranks 14th on CoinMarketCap. ⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe As shown on the 4-hour chart, there’s a clear ascending trendline that has been tested several times. There was also a fake breakout below the trendline, and now price is reacting to it once again. ⚡️ A resistance level has formed at 23.90, which the price has reacted to. Given the recent bounce off the trendline, the probability of breaking 23.90 has increased. ✔️ A break above 23.90 offers a potential long entry, though this isn’t the main long trigger. The target for this move would be 25.78. The main long position should be considered after a breakout above 25.78. 💥 The 25.78 zone is a key resistance level that marked the top of previous bullish legs, so breaking it could lead to a strong bullish trend. 🔽 On the flip side, if the price prints a lower high below 25.78 and moves back toward the trendline, the probability of breaking the trendline increases. ✨ If the trendline breaks, the confirmation trigger would be 22.10. A break below 22.10 opens a short setup, with the next support level located at 19.23. 📊 Currently, market volume is favoring the buyers. With renewed buying volume off the trendline, if this momentum continues, the bullish scenario becomes more likely. 📝 Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Long
by tradecitypro
4
Skeptic | Watchlist #1 - May 27, 2025: XAG/USD, EUR/USD, USD/JPYHey everyone, Skeptic here! Starting today, I’m kicking off a daily watchlist to share the setups I’m eyeing! 😎 These are the pairs I’m personally trading or watching for trigger activations. Feel free to create a dedicated section in your TradingView called “ Skeptic ” and plug in this watchlist with the triggers I provide. Then, based on your own strategy, jump into trades at those key levels if they align with your plan. My watchlist format will include a screenshot of the 4H or 1H timeframe with long/short triggers marked on the chart. If needed, I’ll add quick explanations or tips, but I’m keeping it short, sharp, and to the point to maximize your value. The goal? Help you blend these setups with your own strategy without overloading you with fluff. Let’s dive into today’s Daily Forex Watchlist! 👀XAG/USD Long Trigger : 33.68855, Short Trigger : 31.91991. 👀EUR/USD Long Trigger : 1.14183, Short Trigger : 1.12663. 👀USD/JPY Long Trigger : 144.125, Short Trigger : 142.218. 💬 Let’s Chat! If this watchlist sparked some ideas, give it a quick boost—it means a ton! 😊 Thanks for joining me— let’s grow together! ✌️
by SkepticWise
1
TradeCityPro | ADAUSDT Is It Time to Buy Cardano?👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel! Let’s dive in and analyze one of the market’s favorite coins, Cardano (ADA), which is in a strong position compared to most altcoins and is holding at higher resistance levels. 🌐 Overview Bitcoin Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together. This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames. Bitcoin Chart 📊 Weekly Timeframe On the weekly time frame, ADA, like SOL, SUI, XRP, and most of the top ten coins in the market, is still in a better situation, with the price fluctuating at higher levels. After being rejected at 1.1983 and losing support at 0.7959, we experienced a sharp drop to 0.50, driven by panic in the market due to Trump and U.S. tariffs on other countries. Currently, in the weekly time frame, we’re still at higher levels compared to most of the market, and we can expect a strong move going forward. It’s worth noting that breaking 1.1988 will provide the best trigger for a buy. 📈 Daily Timeframe Interesting things are happening on the daily time frame, and we’re clearly still at higher levels than other altcoins. If the market itself undergoes a trend change, we can be ready for a long trigger sooner. After breaking 0.8204 and losing the 0.236 Fibonacci level, we experienced a sharp decline that also saw high volume. I expected that after this volume, we’d transition from volatility to forming a range box, and that’s exactly what’s happening. We’re forming a box between 0.6777 and 0.8204, but if today’s daily candle closes as it is, the downtrend will continue! Additionally, after this event, we had a break of the support floor that turned out to be a fakeout, leading us to establish a new support level. Currently, our most important support is 0.6090, and we’re moving along a daily trendline. If we bounce from this trendline and break the 0.8419 resistance, it will be the best trigger for a buy. On the other hand, if the support breaks and we lose the 0.7417 low, we can go for a short position. 📝 Final Thoughts Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities! This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Long
by tradecitypro
3