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Trading Plan for Wednesday, May 22nd, 2024Trading Plan for Wednesday, May 22nd, 2024 Market Sentiment: Bullish, consolidating within a tight range. Expecting a breakout, but with heightened anticipation due to Nvidia's upcoming earnings after the bell. Important Note: Nvidia earnings after the bell could significantly impact market direction and volatility. Be prepared for potentially large, unpredictable moves. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5335 (major), 5329, 5322 (major), 5307 Major Supports: 5300-02 (major), 5272-68 (major), 5235-40 (major), 5217-21 (major) Key Resistances Near-term Resistance: 5346-49 (major), 5369 (major), 5401-03 (major) Major Resistances: 5412-15 (major), 5438 (major), 5472-76 (major) Trading Strategy Nvidia Earnings Watch: Exercise caution and be prepared for significant volatility following Nvidia's earnings announcement. Consolidation Breakout: The market is coiling up for a potential explosive move. Focus on the 5302-5347 range for a potential breakout in either direction. Long Opportunities: Look for bids at 5329, 5322, or 5300-02 if they hold after potential tests. Consider taking profits level to level, especially given the heightened risk environment. Short Opportunities: Avoid shorting green candles and breaking trends, as the win rate is typically low in such scenarios. However, for those comfortable with counter-trend trades, monitor 5412-15 as a potential shorting zone if price rallies significantly after earnings. Bull Case Bull Flag Breakout: The current consolidation range could be interpreted as a bull flag. An upward breakout above 5347 would target 5369 and 5401-03, potentially leading to a strong upward move. Holding Support: If the 5322 support level holds, expect further consolidation and a potential breakout later. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: A convincing break below 5302 would trigger a deeper retracement, potentially retesting the 5272-68 (major) and 5235-40 (major) zones. Shorting Opportunity: If 5302 is tested and followed by a bounce and acceptance of lower levels, consider entering a short position around 5299 for a level-to-level move down. News: Top Stories for May 22nd, 2024 🌐 IMF Highlights Cybersecurity Risks to Financial Stability: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has issued a warning about the increasing threat of cyberattacks, which pose a significant risk to global financial stability. This underscores the need for enhanced cybersecurity measures across the financial sector. 🏦 Federal Reserve's Cautious Stance on Inflation: Minutes from the Federal Reserve's latest meeting reveal a cautious approach towards inflation, with officials prepared to adjust interest rates if economic data warrants. This has implications for future monetary policy and market expectations. 🌍 Global Trade Prospects Brighten: Reports from the IMF, WTO, and OECD suggest a rebound in global trade, driven by easing inflation and a robust U.S. economy. This recovery follows a slowdown in 2023, with significant implications for global economic growth. 📊 Economic Outlooks and Forecasts: Various economic outlooks from entities like J.P. Morgan and Deloitte provide insights into future economic conditions, highlighting the ongoing adjustments in response to geopolitical risks, inflation concerns, and policy shifts. These forecasts are crucial for strategic planning and investment decisions.
CME_MINI:ESM2024Long
by spytradingpro
Crude Prices Decline as Weekly EIA Inventories Unexpectedly RiseEquity Markets Navigate Macro Scenarios Amid Interest Rate and Stagflation Concerns Equity markets navigate various macroeconomic scenarios as investors weigh the risks of prolonged high interest rates and potential stagflation. HSBC suggests that greater clarity from the Federal Reserve, even if leaning more hawkish, could ease market pressures. Strategists believe this could lead to global equity gains in both a balanced "goldilocks" scenario and a mild stagflation scenario. "The exact timing of Fed rate cuts should not significantly impact equities, especially if any delay is due to economic strength," they noted in a statement. The upside for global equities both in a goldilocks and a mini stagflation scenario Technically side: The price dropped as we mentioned in the previous idea, and still trading at the bearish zone to reach 75.35. so the bearish trend suggestion will continue as long as trades under 78.78 toward 76.60 and 75.35 the price will move between 80.73 and 75.35 for this week Pivot line: 78.78 Support lines: 76.60, 75.35, 69.78 Resistance lines: 80.73, 82.24, 83.75
TVC:USOILShort
by SroshMayi
BTCUSD (Bullish sentiment lifts global digital assets)Bullish Sentiment Boosts Global Digital Assets Market Amid Bitcoin Investments The global digital assets market is experiencing strong bullish sentiment, largely driven by increasing inflows into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and favorable trading conditions. Despite a notable outflow from Bitcoin ETFs, the latest Bitfinex Alpha report highlighted three key factors supporting the bullish outlook: consistently high daily closes, Bitcoin outflows from exchanges, and significant inflows into the spot Bitcoin ETF market. The price stabilized in the bullish zone as predicted in our previous analysis, reaching targets of 69030 and 71660. Technically: Currently, a correction is expected down to 69040 before the price attempts to push up to a new all-time high. The price is likely to consolidate between 69030 and 71660 until a breakout occurs. A decisive break below 69030 with a daily close under this level would signal a downtrend. Key levels to watch: Pivot Price: 69730 Resistance: 71660, 73810, 76500 Support: 69040, 66850, 64900 The price movement is anticipated to range between 69040 and 73810.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by SroshMayi
US30 (Sensitive Consolidation Movement )Dow Jones New Forecast You should see a few more months of inflation data that appear to be falling (before any prices are lowered) The price corrected to their support line as we mentioned in the previous chart, so now still has a consolidation between 39790 and 40005 till breaking, from this support line will try to start a bullish trend toward 40005, and above it will get 40130 and more otherwise closing 4h candle under 39785 means will drop to get 39580 Pivot line: 39790 Resistance Prices: 40005, 40130, 40420 Support Prices: 39570, 39360, 39070 The movement range will be between support 39790 and Resistance 40130 Previous idea:
OANDA:US30USD
by SroshMayi
GOLD Retreats from Record Highs as Profit-Taking Begins Gold Eases from Record Highs as Profit-Taking Kicks In "Gold's key role is to offset risk, whether financial, geopolitical, or volatility-related. That is not new, but sentiment has now realized it." Geopolitical events and lower interest rates make non-yielding gold an appealing investment. Recent data suggest that U.S. inflation has resumed its downward trend. However, several Fed policymakers remained cautious on Monday, indicating they want to ensure pricing pressures are fully back on track to the 2% target rate before starting to cut rates. Investors will closely monitor the Fed's last policy meeting minutes, due on Wednesday. Technical Analysis of Gold: The price of gold has dropped and reached its support line, as noted in our previous analysis. Currently, it is expected to attempt to reach 2426 from the support level at 2410. However, any stability below 2410 indicates a potential drop to 2397. Overall, the price will consolidate between 2410 and 2426 until a breakout occurs. Closing a 4-hour or 1-hour candle above 2429 will support a rise towards 2451. Pivot Price: 2411 Resistance Levels: 2426, 2451, 2462 Support Levels: 2397, 2388, 2377 Today's anticipated trading range is between the support level at 2397 and the resistance level at 2437. Previous Idea:
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SroshMayi
USNAS100 (Bullish Movement)USNAS100 New Forecast The price remains under bullish pressure, aiming for further gains to record a new all-time high. As long as it trades above 18660, the bullish trend is expected to continue towards 18790, 18950, and 19100. However, if the price reverses and stabilizes below 18600, it indicates a correction down to 18435. pivot line: 18660 Resistance Price: 18790, 18950, 19100 Support price: 18555, 18435, 18230 Its range for Today will be between Support 18550 and Resistance 18880 Previous idea:
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by SroshMayi
Trading Plan for Wednesday, May 15th, 2024Trading Plan for Wednesday, May 15th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Bullish, consolidating within a tight range after a strong rally. The market could continue to build out a bull flag pattern or break out directly to new highs. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5329 (major), 5318 (major), 5302-04 (major) Major Supports: 5272-74 (major), 5236 (major), 5208 (major) Key Resistances Near-term Resistance: 5347 (major), 5365-67 (major), 5386-89 (major) Major Resistances: 5404-07 (major), 5450 (major) Trading Strategy Chop Zone Management: The market is consolidating within the 5302-5347 range, with an even tighter range of 5329-5347. Avoid overtrading and focus on level-to-level scalping for small gains. Long Opportunities: Look for a bounce and reclaim above 5317 if the 5309-11 area is tested. If the market dips lower, consider longs at 5302-04, 5272, or 5287 (major). Short Opportunities: As always, avoid shorting green candles and breaking trends. If considering shorts, 5342-47 may offer a potential dip, but proceed with extreme caution. Bull Case Bull Flag Continuation: The market may continue to build out the 5309-5342 bull flag pattern, potentially breaking out for a new push into all-time highs (ATHs). Target 5359, then 5375-77 in this scenario. Consolidation and Breakout: If the market consolidates within the 5329-5347 range and breaks out above 5347, it could target the resistances mentioned above. Adding on Strength: Monitor overnight action for potential flagging below 5219 as a possible entry point for adding to long positions. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: A convincing break below 5302 could trigger a deeper retracement, potentially targeting 5272 and lower. Entry Points: Look for a bounce attempt and rejection at 5302, then consider entering a short position around 5300. Remember to manage risk with level-to-level profit-taking. News: Top Stories for May 15th, 2024 📈 Renewed Market Rally: The stock market has experienced a renewed record-setting rally, surprising many of Wall Street's top strategists and prompting revisions of year-end S&P 500 targets. This surge reflects robust confidence in market fundamentals and investor optimism. 🌍 Geopolitical Tensions and Commodity Prices: The death of Iran's President Ebrahim Raisi in a helicopter crash has introduced new uncertainties into the oil market, potentially affecting global oil prices. Concurrently, gold futures have reached new record settlements amid growing geopolitical tensions and rate-cut expectations. 🏦 Federal Reserve's Economic Outlook: The minutes from the Federal Reserve's latest meeting are highly anticipated as they may provide further clarity on the timing of potential rate cuts and reveal the level of consensus among policymakers. This release is crucial for understanding the Fed's future monetary policy direction. 💼 Corporate Earnings Reports: Nvidia's earnings report is particularly significant as it is a key driver of the S&P 500's recent growth. Investors and analysts will be closely watching this report to gauge the health of the tech sector and its impact on broader market trends. 📊 Global Economic Indicators: Recent data releases, such as the CPI report and retail sales data, have fueled speculations of a cooling economy. These indicators are essential for assessing the overall health of the economy and potential shifts in monetary policy.
CME_MINI:ESM2024Long
by spytradingpro
SPx (Still or Yet...)SP500 Index Forecast The price continues to attempt a correction towards 5281 as long as it trades below 5320. However, overall stability above 5325 would indicate a continuation of the bullish trend towards 5360 and beyond. The bearish scenario will be activated if the price breaks below 5281 and 5266. Pivot Line: 5313 Resistance Levels: 5325, 5340, 5357 Support Levels: 5281, 5263, 5227 Today’s expected trading range is between the support 5264 and the resistance 5370. Meanwhile, U.S. rate futures indicate a 3.6% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the June FOMC meeting and a 22.8% chance of a similar cut at the July policy meeting.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by SroshMayi
USNAS100 (More Bullish Pressure)USNAS100 New Forecast The price remains under bullish pressure, aiming for further gains to record a new all-time high. As long as it trades above 18650, the bullish trend is expected to continue towards 18790, 18950, and 19100. However, if the price reverses and stabilizes below 18600, it indicates a correction down to 18435. pivot line: 18655 Resistance Price: 18790, 18950, 19100 Support price: 18555, 18435, 18230 Its range for Today will be between Support 18550 and Resistance 18790
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by SroshMayi
Trading Plan for Monday, May 20th, 2024Trading Plan for Monday, May 20th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Bullish, consolidating after a historic rally. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5309-11 (major), 5302 (major), 5294 Major Supports: 5267-72 (major), 5232-35 (major), 5208-11 (major), 5150-55 (major) Key Resistances Near-term Resistance: 5329, 5333 (major), 5342-5345 (major) Major Resistances: 5375-77 (major), 5404-07 (major) Trading Strategy Consolidation & Pattern Formation: The market is in a post-rally consolidation phase, likely forming a bull flag pattern between 5309 and 5342. Expect choppy trading with potential for breakouts or breakdowns. Long Opportunities: Wait for a test of 5309-11 support, followed by a bounce and reclaim above 5317, as a potential long entry signal. Short Opportunities: As always, avoid shorting green candles and breaking trends. If considering shorts, wait for a confirmed breakdown of 5302, then look for an entry around 5300 after a bounce or failed breakdown. Level-to-Level Trading: Focus on scalping profits within the range as the market consolidates. Exercise patience and avoid overtrading in this choppy environment. Bull Case Bull Flag Continuation: The market may continue to fill out the 5309-5342 range, potentially leading to a breakout toward new all-time highs. Target 5359 and 5375-77 in this scenario. Adding on Strength: Monitor overnight action for potential flagging above 5309 and below 5219 as a possible entry point for adding to long positions. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: A breakdown below 5302, with confirmation from a bounce attempt and rejection, would signal a more significant correction. Use caution with breakdown trades as they are prone to traps. News: Top Stories for May 20th, 2024 🇨🇳 Steady Benchmark Lending Rates in China: Amidst ongoing efforts to stabilize the property sector, China's central bank has maintained its benchmark lending rates. This decision follows a series of bold measures aimed at addressing challenges in the property sector, highlighting the delicate balance the government seeks to maintain in its economic policies. 🏦 Federal Reserve's Upcoming Policy Meeting Minutes: Investors are keenly awaiting the release of the minutes from the Federal Reserve's recent policy meeting. This document is expected to provide critical insights into the Fed's economic outlook and future policy directions, influencing market sentiments and investment strategies. 🌐 Geopolitical Tensions and Trade Policies: The global trade environment remains tense as geopolitical issues continue to unfold. Notably, the U.S. President's decision to raise tariffs on Chinese goods has reignited debates over the economic impacts of such tariffs, with potential repercussions for international trade relations and domestic economies. 📉 Global Market Reactions to Mixed Economic Data: As the world economies emit mixed signals, global markets are poised for a potential summertime rally, albeit with an awareness of the risks that could derail such optimism. This scenario underscores the complex interplay of economic indicators and market psychology in shaping investment landscapes. 🏦 Regulatory Adjustments and Financial Sector Implications: Discussions among regulators about reducing proposed capital requirements signify a shift that could enhance the clout of banks. Such regulatory adjustments are crucial as they could affect the stability and operational strategies of financial institutions globally, reflecting broader trends in financial regulation and oversight.
CME_MINI:ESM2024Long
by spytradingpro
GOLD FORECAST The current analysis indicates a bullish trend for OANDA:XAUUSD , provided it stays above the pivot line at 2438. Currently, the price seems poised to consolidate between 2450 and 2430 before any breakout occurs. The prevailing bullish pressure suggests that if trading remains above 2438, the trend will continue upwards. If the price dips below 2438, there are two scenarios to consider: A retest to 2430 followed by a continuation of the bullish trend. A deeper retest to 2410 before resuming the bullish trend, as illustrated on the chart. The price is expected to rise to 2463, and stabilizing above 2463 could lead to a further increase to 2475. Key Levels: Bullish Line: 2463, 2475 Pivot Line: 2438 Bearish Line: 2430, 2410, 2396
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RojBarwari
COMPOUND INTEREST: The Secret SauceIn this video I cover the topic of "Compound Interest". I go over the WHAT, WHY, WHO and HOW of it. The Importance of Compound Interest in Trading Compound interest is a fundamental concept in the world of finance and trading, offering a powerful mechanism for growing wealth over time. Unlike simple interest, which is calculated only on the principal amount, compound interest is calculated on the principal and also on the accumulated interest of previous periods. This seemingly small difference can significantly impact long-term investment returns. Amplifying Returns In trading, compound interest can exponentially increase the growth of your account. When profits from trading are reinvested, they start to generate additional earnings. For example, if a trader earns a 10% return on a $1,000 investment, they would have $1,100 after the first period. In the next period, the 10% return is calculated on the new total of $1,100, resulting in $1,210, and so on. Over multiple periods, this effect leads to exponential growth, far outstripping the returns from simple interest. Long-Term Benefits The magic of compound interest becomes particularly evident over longer time horizons. The longer an investment is allowed to compound, the greater the potential growth. For traders, this underscores the importance of patience and a long-term perspective. By consistently reinvesting earnings and allowing them to compound, traders can achieve significant wealth accumulation even if individual trade returns are modest. Mitigating Risk Compound interest also highlights the importance of managing risks and minimizing losses. In trading, avoiding substantial losses is crucial because significant drawdowns can severely disrupt the compounding process. A trader who loses a large portion of their capital will need significantly higher returns to recover, which can be challenging. Therefore, prudent risk management and maintaining steady, positive returns are key to leveraging the power of compound interest. Psychology plays a role as well as losing large amounts of your account can negatively affect your decision making. Conclusion Understanding and leveraging compound interest is essential for traders aiming to maximize their long-term returns. By reinvesting profits and allowing them to compound over time, traders can achieve exponential growth in their investments. Coupled with effective risk management, the power of compound interest can transform modest returns into substantial wealth, making it a cornerstone of successful trading strategies.
Education
by Road_2_Funded
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