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TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #29👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
Let's dive into the Bitcoin analysis and the key crypto indicators. In this analysis, as usual on Mondays, I will also review last week's weekly candle for you and examine the long-term scenarios.
📅 Weekly Timeframe
In the weekly timeframe, as you can see, the candle that closed yesterday is a completely bearish candle that registered without a shadow and a large body, and the price has again reached the 0.382 Fibonacci area.
✨ Since this candle was within the previous candle and did not show more volatility, we can say that the market will range in the upcoming candles because the volatility range of the chart has decreased. Therefore, the likelihood that the next candle will be a range is very high.
💫 However, if the market wants to fluctuate, the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci areas, which overlap with the 75000 and 71000 areas, can act as supports in case of a decline. For a market upturn, the significant areas are 90000 and 104000.
📊 The market volume has also been bearish in the last two candles and in favor of the sellers, but an important point is in the RSI. The area at 44.20 is a very important support that has started the next upward leg each time the RSI has reached this area during this uptrend.
✅ Breaking this area in the RSI would mean the loss of market upward momentum and we would receive the first sign of a trend change.
📅 Daily Timeframe
In the daily timeframe, after breaking 92354 and the price pulling back to this area, the price has moved downward and has again reached the support range between the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci.
🔽 If this range is lost, the price will move towards further support areas like 72753.
🎲 Market volume has also increased last week, which is because the price has finally exited the box between 92354 and 106283, and more volume has entered the market.
☘️ If the price is supported by the Fibonacci range and moves upwards, the main trigger for confirming a trend change will be 92354.
⭐️ The current main resistance area in Bitcoin is at 106283, and breaking this area could potentially lead to further movements and the recording of new ATHs.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
In the 4-hour timeframe, as you can see, after breaking the trend line, the trigger was activated, and the price moved downward yesterday.
📉 I told you yesterday that the price could drop to the 83151 area. As you can see, this has happened, and the price has even fallen more than 83151 and now seems to be pulling back to this area.
Let's move to the one-hour timeframe to check today's triggers.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the one-hour timeframe, as you see, after breaking 85552, the price made a downward move and dropped to around the 80000 area.
🔽 Currently, the price has moved towards the 83151 area and, after a fake break, has returned below this area.
🧩 If the price reacts to the 83550 area again, I will move the 83151 line, but if this break is a fake, a downward momentum could enter the market, and in this case, with the break of 81288, we can open a short position.
👀 The current main support that the price has is at 78940, and breaking this area would also register another corrective leg.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let's move to the analysis of BTC.D. As you see, yesterday dominance faked above its range box and after breaking 61.61 moved downward again, and now it can move downward with more momentum.
💥 The main trigger for the dominance to turn bearish is at 61.08; the next support in this case will be 60.40. For the dominance to turn bullish, our trigger remains the break of 61.61.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Let's move to the analysis of Total2. As you observe, after the support at 1.07 was broken yesterday, Total2 made another downward leg and reached its main support at 1.01. As you see, Total2 is at a lower level than Bitcoin because yesterday, as the market fell, Bitcoin dominance increased, causing altcoins to drop more than Bitcoin.
🧲 The trigger for opening a short position today is the break of 1.01, and for now, we have no trigger for a long position and must wait until the price creates a suitable structure for a long.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Moving on to the analysis of Tether dominance, as you see, after breaking 5.14, we witnessed an upward leg that continued up to the ceiling of 5.50, and currently, a box has formed between 5.30 and 5.50.
🔑 If the 5.50 area is broken, we will see an upside expansion, and dominance might move towards higher targets. However, if dominance again falls below 5.30, it will move
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
TradeCityPro | NOT: Tracing the Decline of a Telegram Titan👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
In this analysis, I will review NOT, one of the Tap-to-Earn projects on Telegram, currently ranked 171 on CoinMarketCap with a market cap of $213 million.
📅 Daily Timeframe
In the daily timeframe, after this coin was listed in May last year, it initially had a strong bullish movement starting from 0.004733, reaching 0.022602, providing significant profits to its early investors.
🎲 However, after this rally, a downtrend started, and in the first bearish leg, the price dropped to 0.010029. In the next leg, the decline continued to 0.005699, where the price consolidated for a long time within a range box between 0.005699 and 0.010029.
✅ With the break of the 0.005699 support, the next bearish leg started. Since there were no further historical supports on the chart, I used the Fibonacci Expansion tool to determine potential support zones. As shown, the key support levels identified were 0.002516 and 0.003382, where the price formed another range box and consolidated for some time.
⚡️ After the break of the 0.002516 low, the price initiated another bearish leg, and the next potential support zones where the price may react are 0.001728 and 0.001071.
🔽 If you already have a short position on this coin, you can wait to see which level the price reacts to before taking profits.
🛒 For those considering buying this coin, I want to make it clear that I personally do not buy this coin in the spot market, and I also do not trade it in futures with my main capital. The reason is that this project lacks strong fundamentals—it was hyped within Telegram, which temporarily attracted liquidity. However, as you can see, this liquidity exited the market, leading to its current decline.
🔼 Nevertheless, if you still want to buy this coin, the first condition is to wait for a trend reversal.For now, the trend reversal confirmation level is the breakout of 0.003382. However, if the price forms higher highs and higher lows and we get Dow Theory confirmation, then a buy entry can be considered.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Bearish Breakdown Potential – Key Support Leve:
🔍 Technical Analysis:
Resistance Zones (Purple Rectangles at the Top)
The price recently hit a resistance area around $92,000.
It also tested an ascending trendline (red line) and failed to break higher.
Support Zones (Purple Rectangles at the Bottom)
There are two significant support areas:
First zone around $87,500 - $88,000.
Second zone around $82,000 - $83,000.
Bearish Expectation (Black Arrow)
The price is projected to break down from the current level.
A potential lower high formation suggests further decline.
Target areas: $88,000 first, then possibly $82,000.
🔥 Conclusion
Bearish bias if the price fails to reclaim the resistance.
A breakdown below $88,000 could accelerate the drop.
Watch for rejection signals at resistance zones before confirming short trades.
BTCUSDT- at his current supporting area? What's next??#BTCUSDT.. market perfectly move as per our last idea and now market just reached at his current supporting area that is around 82120
Keep close that area because if market clear that level then it will leads you towards downside next supporting levels.
Good luck
Trade wisely
Weekly Watchlist & Market Outlook (#1)Welcome back, guys! I’m Skeptic , and today, I’m breaking down my weekly watchlist with key market setups. Having a structured plan before the trading week starts helps you stay mentally prepared, avoid impulsive trades, and stick to your strategy. So, let’s dive in!
1. XAUUSD (Gold) 🟡
Daily TF:
Gold has maintained a strong major uptrend and recently completed a price correction to 2842.15 (36% Fib) before resuming its upward movement. This signals a potential continuation of the bullish trend.
Trigger (Daily): Break above 2954.24 🔼
4H TF:
Price is currently in a range between 2896 (support) and 2927 (resistance).
Long trigger:Breakout above 2927
Short trigger: Below 2896 (although trading in the trend’s direction is recommended for better R/R).
2. EURJPY 💶
Daily TF: The pair is ranging between 155.551 (support) and 161.166 (resistance).
4H TF:
Long trigger: Breakout above 161.166 📈 (RSI entering overbought territory could add confluence).
Short trigger: Break below 159.291 targeting the range’s bottom.
3. GBPAU D
Daily TF: The key resistance at 2.02396 has been broken, signaling a new uptrend.
4H TF:
Long trigger: Breakout above 2.05139 🔼 for trend continuation.
Short trigger: If 2.02396 fails as support (fake breakout), look for lower TF confirmation.
4. GBPNZD
Daily TF: Similar to GBPAUD, 2.23992 resistance has been broken, and price has pulled back.
4H TF:
Long trigger: Breakout above 2.26565 📈 for continuation.
Short trigger: If 2.23992 fails (fake breakout scenario).
5. AUDNZD
Daily TF:
A strong uptrend was recently broken, potentially signaling a price correction.
4H TF:
Short trigger: Break below 1.10115 🔻 (sign of further downside).
Long trigger: If price reclaims the broken trendline, indicating a fake breakdown.
Final Thoughts 💡
Thanks for following this week’s watchlist! If you have specific pairs or assets you’d like me to analyze, drop them in the comments.
Growing alone may be fast, but in the long run, teamwork wins. Let’s grow together. ❤️
TradeCityPro | Deep Search: In-Depth Of Uniswap👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro
Today, we have a Deep Research on the Uniswap project. In this analysis, I will fully review this project. First, let's go over the project's details, and then I'll analyze UNI technically.
🔍 What is Uniswap?
Uniswap is a decentralized exchange (DEX) operating on the Ethereum blockchain that allows users to swap ERC-20 tokens without relying on traditional order books. Instead, it uses an Automated Market Maker (AMM) model, where liquidity providers add funds to pools and earn trading fees.
Uniswap was founded by Hayden Adams and launched in 2018. Since then, it has gone through multiple upgrades, with Uniswap V3 being the most recent version, offering improved capital efficiency.
🗝 Key Features:
Decentralized & Permissionless: No central authority controls trading.
Liquidity Pools: Users provide liquidity and earn a share of trading fees.
AMM Model: Uses the x*y = k formula to maintain price balance.
Non-Custodial: Users retain control over their assets.
No Listing Fees: Anyone can list tokens, unlike centralized exchanges.
🔍 UNI Token Overview
UNI is the governance token of Uniswap, allowing holders to vote on protocol upgrades and treasury decisions.
🔹Tokenomics
Total Supply: 1 billion UNI
Inflation Rate: After September 2024, a 2% perpetual annual inflation will be introduced.
Circulating Supply: UNI is released gradually over 4 years.
Current Circulating Supply: About 550M UNI
🔹Token Allocation
Governance: 45% - 450M UNI
Team: 21.3% -212.66M UNI
Investors: 18%- 180.44M UNI
Community Token Distribution:15%- 150M UNI
Advisors: 0.69%- 6.9M UNI
Now that we have reviewed the project, let’s move on to the chart to analyze it from a technical perspective.
🔹Uniswap’s Evolution: V1, V2, V3
Uniswap V3 Innovations
-Concentrated Liquidity: LPs can set price ranges for providing liquidity.
-Multiple Fee Tiers: Traders can select different fee levels (0.05%, 0.3%, 1%).
-Capital Efficiency: More precise liquidity allocation for better returns.
—
🔒Token Unlock & Vesting Schedule
Current Unlock Progress
- Unlocked: 55% (549.94M UNI)
- Untracked: 45% (450M UNI)
- Locked: 0% (All tokens are being tracked or unlocked)
—
🔹Vesting Schedule
Group - Vesting Duration - Unlock
Team : 47 months (ended Aug 2024) -2.08% monthly
Investors: 47 months (ended Aug 2024)- 2.08% monthly
Community Distribution:Fully unlocked- 100% at TGE
Advisors: 47 months- 2.08% monthly
⚠️Important: The untracked 450M UNI tokens can be unlocked at any time, making them a potential source of market volatility.
—
Uniswap Governance & DAO
The Uniswap DAO allows token holders to participate in protocol decisions.
Governance Process:
1) Proposal Submission – Requires 25,000 UNI votes to enter deliberation.
2) Consensus Check – Needs 50,000 UNI votes to proceed.
3) Final Governance Vote – 40M yes-votes required for approval.
Uniswap DAO Treasury
$1.6 Billion worth of assets.
Previously largest DAO, now second (behind BitDAO).
—
❗️Security & Risks
🔹Security Measures
1) Smart Contracts Audited – Regular security reviews.
2) Decentralized Governance – Protocol updates are voted on by UNI holders.
3) Non-Custodial – Users always control their own funds.
🔹Risks
1)Ethereum Gas Fees – High network congestion leads to expensive swaps.
2) Impermanent Loss – LPs may lose value if token prices shift.
3) Governance Risks – Power concentrated among whales.
4) Smart Contract Exploits – DeFi platforms remain high-risk targets.
🖼NFT Expansion – Uniswap Acquires Genie
Uniswap acquired Genie, an NFT marketplace aggregator, to integrate NFT trading into its ecosystem.
🔹Genie Features:
-Aggregates NFTs from multiple marketplaces.
-Batch NFT purchases in one transaction (reducing gas fees).
-Plans for USDC airdrops to early Genie users.
Uniswap had previously launched NFT-backed Unisocks (2019), linking real-world assets to NFTs.
—
👛Best UNI Wallets
MetaMask
Trust Wallet
Ledger
Coinbase Wallet
SafePal
Solflare
OKX Wallet
—
💲Uniswap Team & Key Investors
Hayden Adams: Founder & CEO
Mary-Catherine Lader: COO
Marvin Ammori: CLO
💵Major Investors
Coinbase Ventures
Defiance Capital
Paradigm
ParaFi Capital
Delphi Digital
💰Total Funding Raised: $188.80M
🎯Uniswap's 2025 Roadmap and UNI Token Developments
In early 2025, Uniswap introduced Uniswap v4, marking a pivotal evolution in its protocol. This version emphasizes developer flexibility through the integration of "hooks," modular plugins that allow for tailored functionalities such as dynamic fees and automated liquidity management. These enhancements position Uniswap v4 as a versatile platform for DeFi developers, fostering innovation and adaptability within the ecosystem.
Unichain: Uniswap's Layer-2 Scaling Solution
To address scalability and transaction efficiency, Uniswap launched Unichain, its proprietary Layer-2 solution, on January 6, 2025. Built on the OP Stack, Unichain aims to deliver faster transactions and reduced fees, enhancing the overall user experience. The mainnet launch follows a successful testnet phase that processed over 50 million test transactions, underscoring its readiness for broader adoption.
—
🔹Several reputable platforms for creating liquidity pools
Uniswap
Pancakeswap
Raydium
Shibaswap
Biswap
MDEX
Balancer
Thena
Quickswap
Defiswap
Honeyswap
Warden
—
🔹Certik: 94.28
📈On-Chain Analysis of UNI
Analyzing Uniswap’s on-chain data, we observe key trends in profit and loss positioning, whale activity, and network engagement:
Around the $7.40 price level, approximately 39.55 million UNI tokens are in a loss position, indicating a potential resistance zone. Meanwhile, support levels remain weak due to a lower volume of profitable tokens.
Large transactions show slight spikes during price declines, suggesting a lack of strong buying interest from major investors.
Whales hold 51% of the total supply, making their trading activity crucial. Currently, addresses with holdings between 100 million to 1 billion UNI and 10 million to 100 million UNI are engaging in selling, adding downward pressure on price.
Network activity, including active and new addresses, is on a declining trend, signaling reduced user engagement and transaction volume.
Based on on-chain metrics, there is no significant buying pressure or demand at the moment, raising concerns over short-term price recovery.
📊Uniswap TVL Analysis
Since early December, Uniswap's Total Value Locked (TVL) has shown a slight increase, rising from 1.72 million ETH to 1.94 million ETH. However, this growth remains considerably lower compared to the levels observed in 2021, reflecting a slower pace of liquidity accumulation.
Now that we have reviewed the project, let’s move on to the chart to analyze it from a technical perspective.
📅 Weekly Timeframe
In the weekly timeframe, we observe a long-term range-bound trend with a slight upward slope. Currently, the price is experiencing a downward move, with the primary support at 5.841.
💫 If this level breaks, the price may continue declining, and the next key support is at 4.025. On the other hand, if RSI does not drop below 38.74 and the price holds above 5.841, we can have more confidence in a potential price increase.
🎲 In this scenario, the key resistance levels are 11.638 and 18.794. The main trigger for buying is the breakout of 18.794, and the major sharp price movement will occur after breaking the ATH resistance at 42.92.
🔽 The critical support level that should not be lost is 4.025, as breaking below this level could result in a sharp bearish movement, and in that case, we will use Fibonacci tools to determine the bearish targets.
📅 Daily Timeframe
Now, let’s move to the daily timeframe for a more detailed view.
🔍 As seen in this timeframe, after price consolidation below 12.559, the second corrective wave has begun, and the price has currently fully retraced the previous bullish wave, reaching 6.670.
📉 If this level breaks, the next key supports are 5.556 and 4.025, with 4.025 overlapping with the 1.5 Fibonacci extension.
⚡️ If the price finds support at the current level, an appropriate trigger for a long position would be the breakout of 43.54 in RSI, which can serve as a momentum confirmation. Once RSI breaks this level, we can look at lower timeframes to define a precise entry trigger.
🔽 On the other hand, if RSI enters the Oversold zone, the likelihood of breaking 6.670 or even 5.556 increases.
🛒 For a spot buy, the current valid trigger is a breakout of the $10 level, which is the last local high in this timeframe. The exact number for this breakout level will be determined based on price action and its reaction when it approaches the area.
💥 If the price experiences further decline and establishes new highs and lows, the spot buy entry should be based on the breakout of the newly formed high in the downtrend.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #28👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
Let's dive into Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indices. As usual, I’ll review the futures session triggers for New York.
✨ Market conditions haven’t changed at all compared to yesterday, and Bitcoin has a ranging box that might break today.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As you can see, in the 1-hour timeframe, after breaking the trendline, the 85552 trigger is crucial. If this level is broken, it confirms the trendline break, which means the price could move toward lower support levels.
✅ Currently, the price has broken this area, and the RSI trigger has also been activated. If you opened a position with this break, I recommend waiting to see from which area the price gets rejected.
🔽 For a short position today, there isn’t really any specific trigger, so if you don’t have a position, you should observe for now. However, if the 85552 break turns out to be fake, bullish momentum could enter the market. In that case, you can enter a position with a break of 86949.
⚡️ I don’t have any other moves for Bitcoin because the short trigger is already activated, and today is Sunday, so there’s no need to focus too much on altcoins. Let’s move on to dominance analysis to assess altcoins' conditions.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Looking at Bitcoin dominance, you can see that it is still ranging and hasn’t started any particular trend yet.
🧲 If 61.61 breaks, it confirms bullish dominance, while a break of 61.08 would confirm bearish dominance. The main range is between 60.40 and 62.19.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Checking Total2, just like Bitcoin, this index has also activated its entry trigger and is moving downward.
🎲 Currently, after breaking the 1.07 area, the next support level is at 1.01, and the probability of reaching this level is high. If this downward move turns out to be fake, the 1.09 trigger would be suitable for a long position.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Looking at Tether dominance, you can see that after yesterday’s pullback to 5.08, the 5.14 trigger has been activated, and dominance is moving upward.
💫 The issue I mentioned yesterday was that there was no momentum, but now bullish momentum is visible. The target it can move towards is the 5.30 area.
📊 If the 5.14 break turns out to be fake, the 5.08 trigger would be suitable for confirming the fake break.
🧩 Overall, there aren’t any significant triggers in the charts today. If you didn’t open a position during the London session and want to have one, you should look for altcoins that haven’t activated their triggers yet.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BITCOIN Outlook after the Dip. What to expect NOW?Now that Bitcoin is returning to the cup-and-handle support, one can expect a strong pump up to 130k . it might happen.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Goldman Sachs - Too Cheap to Ignore?NYSE:GS and the general financial services sector as a whole has faced extreme trauma over this past month. However, one that particularly stands out is the "bad guy" of the industry who has taken the equivalent to a roundhouse kick to the face, and the chart shows it. But does this mean that someone looking for a dip shouldn't pick up strong equity on a discount? I say no, lets be greedy while other are fearful just like that one guy said. Warren something... I don't really remember his name.
Let's examine the numbers before we do the finance equivalent of astrology. This means that value investing and it's rather elementary techniques are going to give us some sort of indicator of a buy or a sell. Here's what you need to know.
1. Sachs has an attractive dividend yield of 2.14% ($11.50/share) and a gleaming dividend payout ratio (DPR) of 21.50%.
2. It is far from its high annual EPS sitting at 41.21 sliding from its high last December at 60.35.
3. It's price to earnings ratio (PE) is lounging nicely at 14.00 meaning we are at a generally cheap share price. This metric is what we're looking for.
4. Unfortunately, it has a rather higher price to book ratio (PB) at 1.64 which somewhat contradicts the PE ratio examined in #3.
5. Other metrics to keep in mind is an EV/EBITDA at 53.90 and a PEG at 16.23 which are both considered undesirable to investors.
So as far as statistics are concerned, Goldman is sending some mixed signals making a decision difficult at the moment. This means we're going to have to examine the general sector sentiment and general outlook.
Firstly, I'd like to point out Goldman's enterprise value. Sachs' EV is currently reported at 855.93 billion, 673 billion (78.63%) being debt (long term or short). This means NYSE:GS is a debt heavy company and we all know how debt works (the entity taking on the debt owes principal + interest). Well, this means that NYSE:GS is heavily going to be influenced by interest rates even considering their strong revenue. So, if we plan on interest rates being lowered long term (which I'm sure we all do), Goldman will be able to borrow from the Fed at a cheaper interest price while simultaneously owing account holders and bond holders less in interest (or APY yield for that matter). However, in the event that inflation runs wild and the Fed raises rates, NYSE:GS will face some turmoil along with the other commercial investment banks.
Great, so now for the fun part. Let's see what the charts have to say about this and what it could be implying.
Here is the 4H chart looking back into last October.
As you can see, Goldman posted a sweet rally followed by our current pullback. However, we are being flashed with various bullish technical patterns and a strong explanation for the drop (even considering the tariffs threats and indices pullback). In summary, we are examining a stock in gradual freefall towards what appears to be several safety nets.
On a psychological level, I find that most investors in the business of "smart money" wont let Goldman drop too low before they put their boot down. I also imagine this will happen pretty soon, but we need to hold the $540 price level.
As far as the MACD is concerned, we are experiencing weakness from the buyers are the bears are clearly on offense.
And lastly, the GS implied volatility shows that options traders aren't pricing in anything particularly unusual, and the most usual movement for the market is to climb higher so that's good news.
So, what's the conclusion. In my humble opinion, I believe that Goldman Sachs' stock is trading too low to not buy. Financially, the company is not showing anything particularly concerning and may just need to show some strength before the mass cash chases this play. As of right now, I am long on NYSE:GS considering the financial statistics, general industry sentiment, and technical analysis which was used as an assistance tool. This trade could be last anywhere from 1 day to 1 year, but I am prepared to hold for much longer.
TradeCityPro | FILUSDT Continuing the Analysis of U.S. Coins👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s analyze another coin with a U.S. base, which has the potential to be listed in ETFs in the future, as the U.S. currently has the most influence on the market!
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together.
This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
We are still within the weekly box, and the coin’s situation is not very favorable, as it is currently fluctuating around its most important support level.
After failing to reach the top of the weekly box and facing an early rejection, the market has experienced a decline in recent price corrections. Currently, the price is fluctuating around 3.139, which is the most crucial support level at the moment.
From a price perspective, this is a good buying zone, but since the market is highly bearish, I personally wouldn't buy without confirmation. I'd prefer to let the price range a bit and form a structure, or wait for a strong green candle. Otherwise, my buy trigger would be a breakout above 9.899.
📈 Daily Timeframe
The main trend is still bearish, meaning we continue forming lower highs and lower lows. Currently, the price is ranging between 2.995 and 3.753.
After a rejection from 8.051, the price formed a support level at 4.836. However, after breaking this support and retesting it (which has now turned into resistance), the price engulfed the previous three candles, leading to a drop to 2.995.
If the price breaks above 3.573, the Fibonacci levels that we have drawn will act as strong resistance zones for further upward movement. The most important of these levels is 4.836, which previously caused a significant rejection.
For buying, the more the price ranges within the 2.995 - 3.573 box, the stronger the 3.573 breakout trigger will be. For selling, I recommend exiting below 2.995. If the price moves back above 3.573, you can reinvest with the same USDT amount, but in a smaller quantity of FIL, to manage your risk.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends!
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #27👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and the key crypto indices. Today, as usual, I want to review the important futures triggers for the New York session.
📰 Yesterday, Trump and Powell had speeches, but contrary to expectations, they didn't make any significant statements. As you can see, their remarks had little to no impact on the charts.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
On the 1-hour timeframe, as observed, Bitcoin hasn’t reacted to yesterday’s events, and price action has been normal, with no unusual candles. Therefore, we will ignore the news and focus on our regular trading triggers.
✅ Currently, Bitcoin has broken the trendline formed yesterday and is near its trigger level at 85,552. Market volume is extremely low, which indicates that a big move is approaching. If this level breaks, a position can be opened.
📊 However, keep in mind that one reason for the low volume is that today is Saturday, a market holiday, meaning the price might continue ranging, and volume could drop even further.
📉 Regardless, the break of 85,552 is a crucial trigger, and if this level fails, Bitcoin could drop to lower supports like 83,151 and 78,940. Therefore, I will open a short position if this trigger is activated. The break of 37.93 on RSI will confirm this position.
🔼 For a long position, a major resistance has formed at 86,849, and if this level breaks, the trendline breakdown will be invalidated, and the price could push higher.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Moving on to Bitcoin dominance, as seen on the chart, nothing has changed—BTC.D is still ranging.
⚡️ If BTC.D breaks below 61.08, it could drop to 60.40.If BTC.D breaks above 61.61, more capital will flow into Bitcoin.
🎲 Overall, BTC dominance has been ranging for a long time, making it hard to analyze. As a result, there aren't many scenarios to discuss.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Now, let’s analyze Total2 and find suitable triggers for this index.
⚡️ The trigger for this index has not yet been activated.For a short position, enter if 1.07 is broken.For a long position, the closest trigger is at 1.13.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Moving on to Tether dominance, this index has finally confirmed a breakout above 5.08 and even pulled back to retest this level.
💥 However, as seen from the candles above this area, there is no strong momentum in either direction. The price has no clear upward or downward acceleration.
🌿 A strong bullish confirmation for USDT.D would be a powerful green candle closing above this zone.
🔽 A bearish confirmation would be a drop back below 5.08, which would serve as the first sign of weakness in Tether dominance.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
TradeCityPro | LDO: Comprehensive Market Analysis and Prediction👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
In this analysis, I want to review LDO for you. It is one of the key DeFi platforms, and its token currently holds a market cap of $945 million, ranking 72nd on CoinMarketCap.
📅 Weekly Timeframe
On the weekly timeframe, we can see a range box between the $0.957 and $3.389 levels, where the price has been fluctuating for almost two years.
🔽 If you already hold this coin, I recommend activating your stop-loss in case the $0.957 level is broken and waiting for bullish momentum to re-enter the market before buying again.
📈 If the price holds above the $0.957 support, it could rally back toward the top of the range at $3.389. The key trigger levels between the current price and the top of the box are $1.447 and $2.488.
🚀 The main buying trigger is at $3.389, as breaking this level could lead to significant capital inflows, potentially initiating a long-term bullish trend.
📅 Daily Timeframe
On the daily timeframe, a range box between $1.447 and $2.387 had formed, which was broken to the downside, leading to a bearish leg. The main support level is $0.957, and if it fails to hold, the price could enter a new bearish cycle.
🛒 For spot buying, there isn’t a clear trigger yet, so we need to wait for a new structure to form. However, if the price rallies sharply, you could consider entering on a break above $1.489.
💫 As seen on the chart, the red candle volume is significantly higher than the green candles, indicating strong seller dominance. Additionally, the RSI is near the 30 level, and if it breaks below this zone, the bearish scenario becomes more likely.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #26👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's delve into Bitcoin analysis. Today is a pivotal day for the market with significant news and meetings that could greatly impact the market's future direction.
✨ Today, instead of dominance analysis, I want to explore the potential outcomes of today's sessions.
✅ The first session tonight is the Federal Reserve meeting where Jerome Powell will speak and announce the U.S. central bank's policies.
📈 In this session, if Powell announces a rate cut, we will definitely witness a market pump. This scenario seems plausible as U.S. inflation is currently under control, and there's no reason for an interest rate hike.
📊 If the interest rates are announced to remain steady and Powell indicates that no cuts are planned for a long duration, the market will likely fall. If the rates are raised, it will induce panic in the market, leading to significant drops.
⚡️ The next session is Trump's speech about the Crypto Reserve. Officially, it was decided yesterday that the U.S. will have a Crypto Reserve, but it will not enter the market as a buyer for now. Instead, it will introduce blocked funds, such as those from Silk Road, into this reserve.
🧲 Today's session where Trump speaks is crucial as it's the first time a U.S. president will hold a session specifically about crypto, making every statement he makes significant.
🔼 If he speaks positively about crypto, we will definitely witness a market pump, especially among American altcoins. Considering Trump himself owns a significant amount of crypto, it's highly likely he'll speak positively.
💫 On the other hand, there's no reason for Trump to speak negatively about crypto as it would undermine the enactment of the Crypto Reserve, which is very important to him.
💥 However, given the significant differences between Trump and Powell regarding crypto, these differing views could lead to unusual market volatility.
☘️ For instance, Powell might keep the interest rates steady or even increase them, which would cause the market to drop. On the other hand, to assert his influence, Trump might speak very positively about crypto, causing the prices to pump.
🔍 These manipulations in the short term lead to severe volatility and are not good for the market, but we need to see how these two sessions conclude and the statements made to carry out a long-term analysis.
📄 Here's a list of attendees at Trump's session:
🔹 Senior officials and figures from the crypto industry at the White House.
🔹 A crypto summit held by Trump at the White House on March 7th is one of the most significant events in history. The list of confirmed guests at this summit is as follows:
✅ Confirmed officials from the White House:
Bo Hines - Executive Director of the Presidential Advisory Council on Digital Assets
David Sacks - Special Advisor on AI and Digital Currencies
Mark Uyeda - Interim Chair of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)
Caroline Pham - Interim Chair of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC)
✅ Confirmed figures from the crypto industry:
Michael Saylor - Founder of Strategy
David Bailey - CEO of Bitcoin Magazine
Matt Huang - Co-founder of Paradigm
JP Richardson - CEO of Exodus
Kyle Samani - Managing Partner at Multicoin Capital
Zach Witkoff - Co-founder of Trump-linked World Liberty Financial
Sergey Nazarov - Co-founder of Chainlink
Brian Armstrong - CEO of Coinbase
Vlad Tenev - CEO of Robinhood
Arjun Sethi - CEO of Kraken
Kris Marszalek - CEO of Crypto.com
Brad Garlinghouse - CEO of Ripple
🎲In the unconfirmed section, notable names such as Vitalik Buterin, Scott Bessent, and Hoskinson are seen, though they have not been officially confirmed yet.
⭐️ Now that we've reviewed these sessions, let's move on to Bitcoin analysis to see what technical events might occur today.
⏳ In the 1-hour timeframe, it's clear that traders are waiting for Trump's and Powell's speeches to decide their actions based on today's meetings.
📈 I can't give you a specific trigger today because any position you open will be influenced by the news, and opening positions today is akin to gambling, entirely dependent on the statements made in the sessions.
🔽 If the news is negative, the important support areas are 86802, 83151, and 78940, which can prevent a price drop if the news is negative but doesn't induce panic.
📉 If the news causes panic, we might even see a 20% red candle, in which case no support levels will be respected, and we'll have to see when the market panic ends.
🔼 If the news is positive for the market, the significant resistance areas are 94355 and 98482, which can act as supply zones.
⚡️ That's all for today's analysis. Be very cautious with the market today, and I recommend that you closely monitor the market during the session to experience this significant event.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC at a Crossroads: Key Levels & Market Triggers Ahead of NFPWelcome back, guys! I'm Skeptic, and let's dive into today's BTC analysis.
Daily Time Frame Overview
As previously mentioned in past analyses, the 85K level , followed by the 80-82K range , has been a crucial support zone for BTC. So far, price has reacted well to this level, showing strong buying pressure. Additionally, BTC has reached the Pivot Point 4 weekly level , meaning we could expect either a range-bound movement or a potential price rebound. However, the market remains highly volatile due to external factors—mainly Trump's recent actions.
On Sunday , Trump’s tweet triggered a market pump, only to be reversed the following day after his tariff war statements. Given this unpredictability, if you’re looking to buy BTC for a long-term hold, here are two key triggers to consider:
Trigger 1 : Wait for daily candle closure above 90,700 before entering, with a stop-loss below 80,645.37 (~12-13% SL size).
Trigger 2: A breakout above 106,378.17 could be another entry point, with a stop-loss below 90,555.54 (~15% SL size).
💡 Risk Management Tip: In case of a stop-loss hit, limit losses to a max of 5% of your capital to preserve long-term profitability.
4H Time Frame - Futures & Short-Term Setups
Currently, the market lacks direction and is dominated by FOMO trading. Why? Because of high-impact events happening tomorrow, which include:
📊 NFP (Non-Farm Payroll) Data Release🎤 Trump & Powell’s Speeches
These could create significant volatility, making any positions riskier than usual. If you’re looking to trade BTC futures, consider these setups:
Long Trigger: Above 92,200, but for a safer entry, you can wait for confirmation at 94,628.59 or even 98,600 to ride the uptrend confidently.
Short Trigger: Due to the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) around 85K and 82K, I personally won’t short here. However, if you must, you could enter a short below 88,213.36, but only if volume confirms the move and RSI enters oversold territory.
🔔 Final Thoughts:
BTC remains highly volatile due to fundamental catalysts.
If you’re unsure, staying out of the market is also a position.
Drop a comment if you want me to analyze a specific coin or forex pair next!
Let’s grow together, not alone. Help me help you! ❤️
DXY at a Critical Level – Reversal or Continuation?Welcome back, guys! I’m Skeptic, and let’s break down the DXY.
If you’ve been following my previous analysis, I mentioned that we are currently in a secondary downtrend, and that still holds true. However, it’s wise to gradually reduce risk and secure profits earlier for two key reasons:
1️⃣ We are approaching a critical support zone – the 60% Fibonacci retracement, which aligns with multiple key support levels.
2️⃣ The weekly candle structure – Looking at the weekly chart, we’ve already hit the four-week pivot point, meaning the market could either range here or even start a price reversal.
Interesting stat: So far, this weekly candle is the largest since November 202 2 and the second-largest since March 2020, which signals significant market movement.
4H Timeframe Breakdown
In my last analysis, I mentioned:
🚨 The main short trigger is at 106.188, but depending on momentum, we could potentially enter even earlier on lower timeframes.
Now, 104.250 has already been broken, and the next key support sits at 103.398.
🔹 If you’re holding short positions, this 103.398 level is a great zone to secure profits.
🔹 No new triggers for now – I don’t expect immediate continuation, and as mentioned, we could see a range formation or even a reversal from here.
Let’s see how price action develops. See you in the next analysis! 🔥📉
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #25👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and the key crypto indices. Today, I want to review the important futures triggers for the New York session. Yesterday, the market made an upward leg. Let’s analyze to see what triggers are suitable for today.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As observed in the 1-hour timeframe, following the activation of the trigger at 88258, the price moved upwards and broke through the 90513 area, and is currently pulling back to this area.
⚡️ An interesting point about the Fibonacci zones is that even now, as the price is projecting after correction, it is respecting the Fibonacci zones as resistance. As seen, breaking through each of these zones results in a short upward leg that can be traded in shorter timeframes.
✅ A negative aspect visible from yesterday till now is the divergence in volume, which is decreasing during upward legs and seems to increase during corrections, indicating a divergence.
📊 Given that the price has not yet reached the 94355 ceiling and is currently forming a lower peak relative to this area, breaking 90513 and 53.29 on the RSI could allow for a risky short position. Be cautious as this position isn't very secure due to the weak trend momentum, potentially preempting a trend change.
🔼 The primary short position can be entered upon the breach of 88258. This area is currently a significant support, and if the price consolidates below this area, it could move towards 83151.
🛒 For long positions, the only trigger we currently have is 94355, and I can't provide an earlier trigger because the price is very close to this area. Taking a long position before this area is breached might lead to a stop-out. However, if you're eager for a long position and a pullback to 90513 is confirmed, you might consider entering a very risky long position.
🔑 If you already have multiple open positions from previous triggers, you might consider securing profits or closing one. If you have a single position open, you need to decide whether to take the risk of Trump’s session and keep it open in hopes of a market pump or play it safe and close it beforehand.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
As observed, dominance continues to oscillate between 60.40 and 61.61, having been rejected from the 61.61 ceiling and returned to the box.
🎲 Given the current downward momentum of dominance, we can expect a continued decline to the bottom of the box, which could potentially propel altcoins upwards. However, if dominance successfully closes above 61.61, more capital will flow into Bitcoin, pushing it higher.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Yesterday, we saw an upward movement in Total2 after it solidified above the 1.13 area, allowing some altcoins to make an upward leap. We don’t have a specific trigger for long positions in Total2 today, but a crucial note about altcoins is that American-origin altcoins like HBAR, AAVE, XRP, ADA could pump significantly if Trump makes positive remarks about crypto, so keep an eye on these if they trigger.
🎲 For short positions, the only trigger in Total2 currently is the fake breaking of the 1.13 breach.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
USDT dominance found support at 4.82 and formed a green candle on this level. Given it had previously faked a break of this area, we might prematurely confirm its bullish turn.
🌿 If the 4.82 level is broken again, we can confirm the downward trend in dominance, which could cause the market to move upward. For a bullish confirmation, a higher low and high above 4.82 would confirm a bearish market direction.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
GBP/JPY Potential Bullish Breakout – Key Levels to Watch:
📉 Descending Trendline Breakout Setup
The price has been in a downtrend, following a descending trendline.
It is currently testing this trendline with signs of potential breakout.
📊 Key Support & Resistance Zones
Support Zone (~187.5 - 189.0): Price has bounced multiple times from this area.
Resistance Zones (~192.5 & ~200.0): First target is around 192.5, then 200.0 if momentum continues.
📈 Possible Bullish Scenario
If price breaks the trendline and holds above 192.5, we could see an upward push towards 200.0.
The expected move follows the drawn path: breakout → retest → continuation.
⚠️ Risk Factors
If the price fails to break above 192.5, it might return to the support zone.
A break below 187.5 would invalidate the bullish outlook.
Overall, this setup suggests watching for a breakout confirmation above resistance before entering long trades. 🚀
TradeCityPro | PI: Detailed Crypto Analysis and Insights👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
In this analysis, I want to review PI, which has been highly requested in the comments. This project was one of the oldest crypto airdrops, and its coin has finally been launched. Now, I want to analyze it for you.
✨ This coin doesn’t have much chart history, so I will analyze it using the 4-hour and 1-hour timeframes.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
On the 4-hour timeframe, as you can see, after the launch of this coin, we saw a massive bullish leg, moving from $0.6498 to $2.9304. Currently, the price is undergoing a correction phase.
📊 Volume initially surged during the launch, which is expected, but it has been decreasing during the correction. RSI is also near the 56.08 trigger, and if this level is broken, strong momentum could enter the market.
🔼 The correction has continued to the 0.382 Fibonacci level, and it seems that a range has formed between the 0.382 and 0.236 Fibonacci retracement levels. If the top of this range is broken, we can enter a long position.
📉 If the correction continues, the next important levels are 0.5, 0.618, and 0.786 Fibonacci retracement levels, and we have to see which level the price reacts to.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
On the 1-hour timeframe, we can see price movements in more detail.
🧲 As you can see, after the price hit the $1.6342 low, it has been forming a bullish structure and has now reached the $1.9807 level.
📈 If this level is broken, we can enter a long position. The next resistance level is $2.3479.
💥 The RSI oscillator is in a sensitive zone, and as long as it stays above the 50 level, market momentum remains bullish. However, if $1.8770 is broken, we can enter a short position.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
GBP/USD 4H Analysis – Bullish Momentum & Key Demand Zones📊 GBP/USD 4H Analysis – Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Perspective
Current Market Structure:
📈 Bullish Momentum: The price is currently trending upwards after breaking a short-term high (SH) and liquidity zone.
🔄 Change of Character (CH): Confirmed as the price broke previous resistance, signaling a possible trend continuation.
Key Zones & Levels:
🟣 H4 Block Order (Demand Zone): Marked in purple, this area aligns with a strong order block, indicating potential buying interest if the price retraces.
🟥 Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG): Above the demand zone, acting as a potential area for price rebalancing before resuming the uptrend.
🔴 200 EMA at 1.25179: Serving as dynamic support, aligning with the demand zone for potential buy setups.
Potential Scenarios:
📉 Retracement to Demand Zone (1.2500 - 1.2550)
Buyers may step in at the H4 Block Order & Fair Value Gap.
Price could form a higher low before continuation.
📈 Bullish Expansion to New Highs (1.2750 - 1.2800)
If demand holds, expect a strong push-up towards liquidity areas.
Breakout could trigger momentum buying.
Bias:
✅ Bullish (Higher Highs & Higher Lows Forming)
⚠️ Caution: If price breaks below 1.2500, sentiment may shift bearish.
TradeCityPro Academy | Dow Theory Part 2👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Welcome to the Educational Content Section of Our Channel Technical Analysis Training
We aim to produce educational content in playlist format that will teach you technical analysis from A to Z. We will cover topics such as risk and capital management, Dow Theory, support and resistance, trends, market cycles, and more. These lessons are based on our experiences and the book The Handbook of Technical Analysis.
🎨 What is Technical Analysis?
Technical Analysis (TA) is a method used to predict price movements in financial markets by analyzing past data, especially price and trading volume. This approach is based on the idea that historical price patterns tend to repeat and can help traders identify profitable opportunities.
🔹 Why is Technical Analysis Important?
Technical analysis helps traders and investors predict future price movements based on past price action. Its importance comes from several key benefits:
Faster Decision-Making: No need to analyze financial reports or complex news—just focus on price patterns and trading volume.
Better Risk Management: Tools like support & resistance, indicators, and chart patterns help traders find the best entry and exit points.
Applicable to All Markets: Technical analysis can be used in Forex, stocks, cryptocurrencies, commodities, and even real estate.
📚 Recap of the Previous Session
In the previous session, we explained the first two principles of Dow Theory. Make sure to review and study them, and if you have any questions, feel free to reach out to us in the comments.
📑 Principles of Dow Theory
1 - The Averages Discount Everything (Not applicable to crypto)
2 - The Market Has Three Trends
3 - Trends Have Three Phases
4 - Trend Continues Until a Reversal is Confirmed
5 - The Averages Must Confirm Each Other
6 - Volume Confirms the Trend
🌟 Principle 3: Trends Have Three Phases
In Dow Theory, the primary trend (which can be a Bull Market or Bear Market) is divided into three distinct phases. These phases reflect market behavior and investor psychology over time. Here’s a detailed explanation:
📉 Accumulation Phase
Definition: This phase begins when the market is at its lowest point (in a bull trend after a bear market) or when general pessimism prevails. Smart investors, professionals, and those with a long-term vision (like large funds or experienced traders) start buying.
Characteristics:
Prices are still low, and economic news is typically negative (e.g., recession, high unemployment).
Trading volume is low because the general public lacks confidence and doesn’t participate.
Price changes are small and gradual, making the market seem "lifeless" or directionless.
Psychology: This phase marks a transition from despair to hope. Smart investors recognize that the worst is over and that the real value of assets exceeds their current price.
Example: Imagine after a major crash like 2008, some big companies stabilize their prices, but the media still talks about "collapse." Professionals step in here. Or with Bitcoin at $16K, most people thought it was heading to zero and were hopeless!
📈 Public Participation Phase
Definition: This phase occurs when the primary trend is clearly established, and the market starts moving more strongly. Economic news improves, and the general public (retail investors) enters the market.
Characteristics:
Prices rise quickly (in a bull market) or fall sharply (in a bear market).
Trading volume increases significantly as participation grows.
Analysts and media begin confirming the trend with positive reports.
Psychology: Confidence in the market grows, and greed (in a bull market) or fear (in a bear market) gradually takes over. This is where market momentum accelerates.
Example: In a bull market, you might see indices like the Dow Jones hitting new records weekly, with ordinary people buying tech or industrial stocks.
💰 Distribution Phase
Definition: This is the end of the primary trend. In a bull market, smart investors who bought during accumulation start selling to take profits. In a bear market, panic selling subsides, and some buy in hopes of a recovery.
Characteristics:
Prices may still be high, but volatility increases, and signs of weakness emerge.
Trading volume might remain high, but discrepancies between volume and price (e.g., price drops with high volume) appear.
News is still positive, but professionals know the market is overvalued.
Psychology: In a bull market, excessive optimism (Euphoria) dominates; in a bear market, complete despair sets in. This is where the trend reverses.
Example: At the peak of the dot-com bubble (2000), tech stocks kept rising, but professionals began exiting, and then the crash followed.
Key Note: These three phases occur in sequence, and understanding them helps analysts identify the market’s position in the larger cycle. In a bear market, the phases reverse: panic selling (like distribution), temporary recovery (like participation), and final capitulation (like accumulation).
🔍 Principle 4: The Averages Must Confirm Each Other
Charles Dow believed that for a primary trend to be confirmed, two key market indices—the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and the Dow Jones Transportation Average (DJTA)—must move in the same direction. This principle stems from economic and logical significance in Dow’s time and is still considered a key metric. Here’s the full explanation:
📊 Economic Logic:
Industry and Transportation: In Dow’s era (late 19th and early 20th centuries), the U.S. economy relied heavily on industrial production and transportation (e.g., railroads). If industrial companies (producers of goods) were growing, demand for transportation (moving goods) should also rise.
Thus, aligned movement in these indices signaled a healthy economy.
Mutual Confirmation: If only one average rises (e.g., industrials go up but transportation doesn’t), Dow saw it as a sign of weakness or an unsustainable trend.
🤑 Practical Application:
Bullish Trend: In a bull market, both averages should reach new highs (Higher Highs). If the DJIA hits a new record but the DJTA fails to confirm and stays lower, the uptrend is questionable.
Bearish Trend: In a bear market, both should hit new lows (Lower Lows). Lack of confirmation (e.g., industrials fall but transportation doesn’t) might signal the end of the downtrend.
Divergence: If the averages diverge (one rises while the other doesn’t), Dow viewed it as a warning of a potential trend change.
⚖️ Technical Details:
Timing: Confirmation doesn’t need to be simultaneous but should occur within a reasonable timeframe (e.g., weeks or months).
Volume: Though not directly mentioned in this principle, handbooks emphasize that high volume during confirmation adds credibility to the trend.
Classic Example: In 1929, the industrial average began falling, but transportation initially resisted. When transportation also dropped, the bearish trend was confirmed, leading to the Great Depression.
🎉 Conclusion
We’ve reached the end of today’s educational segment! We’ll start by explaining all of Dow Theory’s principles, and in the future, we’ll move on to chart analysis and the strategy I personally use for trading with Dow Theory. So, make sure you fully grasp these concepts first so we can progress together in this learning journey!
💡 Final Thoughts for Today
This is the end of this part, and I must say we have a long journey ahead. We will continually strive to produce better content every day, steering clear of sensationalized content that promises unrealistic profits, and instead, focusing on the proper learning path of technical analysis.
⚠️ Please remember that these lessons represent our personal view of the market and should not be considered financial advice for investment.
Univers Of Signals | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #24👋 Welcome to Univers Of Signals !
Let's dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and other key cryptocurrency indicators. In this analysis, I want to review the important futures triggers in today's New York session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
Before we start the analysis, let's review the positions we could have opened yesterday. I mentioned that if the area of 83151 was breached, you could enter a short position. As you can see, that happened, and the candle stabilized below this area, and I opened a short position which then hit the stop loss.
⚡️ However, after this occurred, we observed a very strong support candle at this level, which caused this break to be a fakeout, and the price started to move upwards. If you recall, I mentioned that if the price could stabilize above the ceiling, a new upward leg could start, which is why I had placed a stop buy above this area. With the fakeout of the lower support, this stop buy was triggered, and the price began its upward movement.
🧲 Currently, as you can see, the price has also passed the 0.382 Fibonacci area, breaking through it and moving upwards. An important resistance that we had previously charted was at 89318, which, as you see, the price is stabilizing above. If this happens, we could see the price potentially reaching back up to 94355. It's challenging to give a trigger for today because our main trigger, the 0.382 Fibonacci area, has unfortunately been activated in recent candles.
📊 We need to wait for the market to form a structure now. If the break of either the 89318 area or the 0.382 Fibonacci turns out to be a fake, you could consider finding a trigger in lower time frames to open a short position. The reason is that the price is making a lower high compared to 94355. But overall, be cautious about opening risky positions on Bitcoin today and tomorrow because Trump's speech on Friday could move the market significantly, and the market might be less volatile in these two days.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Looking at the Bitcoin dominance, it continues to range between 60.40 and 61.41. As you can see, it's really hard to predict the movements of the dominance as it's mostly ranging between these two levels.
🔼 Currently, it's moving towards the upper limit with a green candle. A higher low has been made compared to the 60.40 area, which increases the chances of breaking out from the top of the box.
🔍 If this occurs, the next resistances are at 62.19 and 62.66. If Bitcoin dominance rises, and the market drops, altcoins will likely fall significantly. If the market rises, Bitcoin might perform better than altcoins.
📅 Total2 Analysis
As observed, we saw an upward movement in Total2 yesterday after consolidating above the 1.07 area, starting a new upward leg. Currently, this index has reached the resistance at 1.13, and we need to wait and see if it can break this area. Currently, the trigger for a long position is precisely this break of the 1.13 area.
🧩 If this area is breached, the price could move to further resistances at 1.18 or even 1.23. However, if Total 2 is rejected from this area, we might expect another drop, potentially reaching back down to 1.01.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
As seen, yesterday after USDT.D pulled back to the 5.30 area and failed to consolidate above it, we witnessed a significant drop. This initial downward leg saw the price even rise above the 5.08 area, and this morning, after pulling back to this area, as you can see, dominance continues to trend downward with the next significant support at 4.82, which I believe could be reached.
🎲 I don't have much else to say about this dominance because I don't have any specific triggers for today.
📌 Overall, I don't have any specific triggers in the market today; we had one yesterday that was activated, but today I can't specify any particular triggers for you, and it's better to be an observer and wait for significant news from the US, especially the meeting that Trump is expected to hold on Friday, which could be very decisive for the market's future.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Univers Of Signals | JUPLet's quickly review JUP, one of the DeFi coins, which is currently ranked 51st on CoinMarketCap with a market cap of $1.75 billion.
🔍 In the 4-hour timeframe, we are observing a very large range box from 0.6312 to 1.2542, where JUP is currently at the bottom of its box.
✨ There is also a descending channel that has been accompanying the price from the top of the box, with several touches to both the bottom and top of the box, and now it has approached the bottom of the box again.
📉 If the area of 0.6312 is breached, you can enter a short position targeting 0.5588. Entry of the RSI into the oversell zone would provide a suitable confirmation for this move.
📈 For a long position, wait until the channel is broken upwards, and in this case, with the breakout of the trigger at 0.8365, you can enter a long position.