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75: Comprehensive Guide to Volume Profiles and Volume in TradingWhat is a Volume Profile? A Volume Profile is an advanced charting tool that plots the amount of trading activity (volume) across different price levels over a specific period. Unlike traditional volume indicators that only show volume over time, Volume Profiles provide insights into where the majority of trading took place, highlighting key areas of support and resistance, as well as zones of high and low interest among traders. Key Components of Volume Profiles: 1. Point of Control (POC) : This is the price level where the highest volume of trades occurred. The POC is a crucial level because it represents the price at which traders found the most value, making it a strong indicator of support or resistance. 2. Value Area (VA) : The Value Area represents the range of prices where approximately 70% of the volume was traded. This area is divided into the Value Area High (VAH) and Value Area Low (VAL). The VA is significant because it identifies the zone where most market participants were active, providing a clear picture of market consensus on value. 3. High Volume Nodes (HVN) and Low Volume Nodes (LVN) : HVNs are price levels where there was a large amount of trading activity, indicating significant interest and often serving as strong support or resistance levels. LVNs, on the other hand, represent areas with minimal trading activity, where prices tend to move quickly due to the lack of interest. The Importance of Volume in Trading Volume is a fundamental aspect of market analysis, offering insights into the strength and sustainability of price movements. It reflects the level of participation in a market, indicating the intensity of buying or selling at different price levels. - Confirmation of Price Movements : High volume confirms the legitimacy of a price move. For example, a price breakout from a resistance level on high volume is more likely to be sustained than one on low volume. - Reversals and Continuations : Spikes in volume can signal potential reversals, especially when occurring at significant price levels such as the POC or near the VA boundaries. Conversely, a sustained high volume along a trend can indicate its continuation. - Validation of Support and Resistance : Volume at key levels like the POC, VAH, and VAL helps validate these areas as strong support or resistance. When price interacts with these levels on high volume, it suggests that many market participants are active, reinforcing the importance of these price levels. How to Interpret and Use Volume Profiles: 1. Identifying Key Price Levels : - The POC acts as a magnet for price, often drawing the price back to it when it moves away. This level is crucial for identifying potential areas of reversal or consolidation. - The Value Area is where the majority of the trading activity occurs. Prices above the VAH might indicate an overbought condition, while prices below the VAL could suggest an oversold market. 2. Volume and Market Sentiment : - High Volume Nodes indicate areas of significant interest, where prices tend to stabilize due to heavy trading. These areas often become zones of accumulation or distribution, depending on market conditions. - Low Volume Nodes indicate price levels with minimal trading interest, where prices may move quickly and encounter less resistance, often leading to rapid price changes or breakouts. 3. Order Flow and Large Volume Blocks : - Large blocks of volume, particularly at HVNs, suggest the presence of institutional traders or significant market participants placing large orders. These zones are critical because they reflect where big players are accumulating or distributing their positions. As a result, these areas tend to create strong support or resistance levels that can define future market behavior. 4. Dynamic vs. Static Profiles : - Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR): This type of profile updates as you scroll through your chart, dynamically showing the volume distribution for the visible price range. It’s useful for analyzing the current market context and finding immediate trading opportunities. - Fixed Range Volume Profile (FRVP): This profile is static, showing volume data for a specified price range or time period. It’s valuable for comparing current price action to historical data, helping identify long-term support and resistance levels. Practical Tips for Using Volume Profiles : 1. Customization and Settings : - Adjust the number of rows or ticks per row in your Volume Profile settings to get a more detailed or broader view of volume distribution. More rows will give you finer detail, while fewer rows will smooth out the data, highlighting major trends. 2. Combining with Other Indicators : - Use Volume Profiles in conjunction with other technical indicators like moving averages, RSI, or MACD to confirm trading signals and enhance the reliability of your analysis. 3. Adapting to Different Timeframes : - Tailor your Volume Profile analysis to your trading style. For day traders, shorter timeframes (e.g., 5, 15, 30 minutes) might be more relevant, while swing traders or investors might focus on daily, weekly, or even monthly profiles to identify long-term trends and key levels. 4. Observing Market Reactions at Key Levels : - Pay close attention to how the market reacts when it approaches HVNs, LVNs, the POC, or the boundaries of the Value Area. These reactions can provide clues about future price movements and potential trading opportunities. Volume Profiles offer a deep and nuanced view of market behavior by highlighting where significant trading activity has occurred at different price levels. By understanding the interaction between volume and price, traders can make more informed decisions, identify key levels for entry and exit, and gain insights into market sentiment. Integrating Volume Profile analysis into your trading strategy can provide a significant edge, enhancing your ability to navigate the complexities of financial markets.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by SeventyFive-Invest
Coinbase Trading Volume Soars While COIN Stock Rallies Key takeaway 1. Coinbase experienced a substantial 62% surge in trading volume following Binance's $4.3 million settlement. 2. Blockchain analytical firm Kaiko stated that Coinbase gained market share, particularly outside US trading hours. 3. COIN stock rallied approximately 73% during the past month, reaching a high of around $137 as of December 1. Coinbase Emerges as the Winner Following the resolution of the Binance case, Coinbase, one of its rivals, emerged as one of the biggest winners. The Brian Armstrong-led exchange’s trading volume increased by around 62% month-on-month to $50.4 billion from the $31.16 billion recorded in October. Prominent blockchain analytical firm Kaiko corroborated the surging volume in a recent report. It stated that Coinbase and Bybit have emerged as the main beneficiaries of the issues with Binance. According to Kaiko, Binance has ceded some market share to Coinbase in non-US hours and Bybit across the board. “Coinbase’s share grew the most outside of U.S. trading hours (14-22 UTC), instead surging in the middle of the trading day in Europe and the beginning of the trading day in eastern Asia,” analysts at Kaiko said. COIN Stock Rallies Past $130 Amid these developments, Coinbase’s COIN stock rallied by approximately 73% over the past month. The stock’s value surged from roughly $80 at the beginning of November to around $137 as of the market closing on December 1. The rally continues a year-long trend of COIN’s price performance outperforming flagship assets, Bitcoin and Ethereum. The stock’s value has increased by over 100% in the last six months and by 260% year-to-date.
NASDAQ:COINLong
by DEXWireNews
1
How to Use Volumes to Improve Your TradingVolume is one of the most basic indicators that traders encounter. While it’s regularly overlooked in favour of more sophisticated indicators, volume analysis is a powerful tool that can help traders gauge trends, spot reversals and confirm breakouts. In this article, we’ll discuss the basics of trading volume, how to interpret it, and show you some popular volume-based indicators. What Are Trading Volume Indicators in Technical Analysis? Trading volume refers to the total number of units traded for a particular asset over a specified period. For forex pairs, volume is expressed in lots; for stocks, it measures the number of shares changing hands; and in Contract for Difference (CFD) markets, it’s the number of contracts being traded. Volume is a crucial piece of information for traders, as it helps them gauge the strength of price movements, assess liquidity, and measure market sentiment. Generally speaking, higher volume implies increased activity and attention and may signal that volatility is about to enter the market. In practice, volume is typically represented by bars at the bottom of a trading window. A given candle will also have a corresponding volume bar, which usually changes colour depending on how the candle closes. For example, if an asset closes above the opening price of its candle, the candle and volume bar will both be green. Beyond the standard volume indicator, there are other tools that interpret and plot volume in different ways. These indicators often present the volume data in the form of charts, histograms, or oscillators, making it easier to spot trends, reversals, and breakouts. How to Use Volume in Trading First, let’s look at three of the most common ways to use a volume indicator in technical analysis: confirming trends, identifying reversals and breakouts, and analysing liquidity and market sentiment. Confirming Trends One of the most effective uses of volume is for confirming a price trend. When a movement is accompanied by a high volume, it suggests that the market believes the trend will continue. Conversely, if a price movement occurs on a low volume, it may mean a lack of conviction, indicating that a trend might be weak and that a reversal could be imminent. The easiest way to think about this is in terms of supply and demand. In a hypothetical bull trend, demand will outweigh supply. When the trend first begins, demand might be high, causing the trend to progress upward on strong volume. As the asset becomes increasingly expensive, demand falls, leading to a drop in volume. Identifying Reversals and Breakouts Traders also often use volume to spot potential reversals and breakouts. As described, decreasing volume in a trend can signal that a reversal is inbound. When this lines up with a critical support/resistance level, traders can begin to anticipate that a reversal is likely to occur. Similarly, when an asset breaks through a key support or resistance level on a strong volume, it suggests that the breakout may continue in that direction. Analysing Liquidity and Market Sentiment Volume is also essential for assessing an asset’s liquidity. High volume implies high liquidity, making it easier for traders to enter and exit positions without slippage or high spread costs. On the other hand, an asset with low volume and liquidity may be more susceptible to sudden volatility and greater costs. For most forex traders, liquidity is usually not an issue, especially in major pairs. But for stock traders, low liquidity can cause issues like being stopped out prematurely or struggling to enter/exit at their preferred price. Lastly, analysing volume can provide insights into market sentiment, revealing whether most traders are bullish or bearish. For example, the start of the 2020 Coronavirus market crash saw volume increase significantly in the S&P 500, well beyond levels seen over the previous year. This was a sign to traders that sentiment had become extremely bearish. Popular Stock Volume Indicators Beyond the regular volume bars, there are several volume indicators frequently used by traders. These aren’t just day trading volume indicators or limited to stocks. Instead, they can be applied to a wide range of markets across virtually any timeframe. Accumulation/Distribution (A/D) The Accumulation/Distribution (A/D) index, developed by Marc Chaikin, is designed to measure the cumulative flow of money in and out of an asset. It helps traders identify whether a stock is being accumulated (bought) or distributed (sold) by the market participants. The A/D line is calculated by adding or subtracting a measure of volume, depending on the relationship between the closing price and the high and low prices of the day. When the A/D line rises, it signals that buying pressure is strong, while a declining A/D line indicates selling pressure. Divergences between the A/D line and an asset’s price can also be used to spot potential trend reversals. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator, also developed by Marc Chaikin, takes the A/D line a step further. It calculates an average of the A/D values over a specific period, typically 20 or 21 days, then divides the figure by the average volume from the same period. This results in a volume average indicator that oscillates between 0 and 1. Generally, a positive CMF value indicates more buying than selling pressure, suggesting a bullish market sentiment. In contrast, a negative CMF value implies more selling pressure, demonstrating bearish sentiment. Traders can use the CMF to identify potential trend reversals, confirm price breakouts, and spot divergences. Its versatility and sensitivity to market movements have led many to consider it one of the best volume indicators for day trading. On-Balance Volume (OBV) On-balance volume (OBV) is a cumulative volume indicator developed by Joe Granville in the 1960s. It adds or subtracts a candle’s trading volume based on whether the asset closes above or below the previous candle. The main idea behind OBV is that volume precedes price, and significant changes in OBV with little price movement can be a sign of a potential move. When plotted, OBV looks similar to the A/D indicator. However, its movements tend to be sharper and more defined, which means it can produce more signals than A/D. Like A/D, a rising OBV line suggests that buying pressure is outpacing selling pressure, indicating that the price may continue on a bullish trend. It’s also a powerful tool for spotting divergences between price and volume. Is A/D or OBV the better buy and sell volume indicator? Ultimately, the answer is subjective and depends on the individual trader. Your best bet is to apply both to a chart and observe their differences. You’ll find both indicators, alongside dozens of other tools, in the free TickTrader platform we offer at FXOpen. Common Mistakes to Avoid When Trading with Volume Like all market indicators, volume isn’t a silver bullet. While it can help traders to make predictions and confirm movements, there are a couple of key mistakes to avoid when trading volume in a strategy. Misinterpreting Volume Spikes One of the biggest pitfalls is misinterpreting sudden spikes in volume. While high volume can indicate a strong trend or the start of a reversal, it’s also wise to be cognisant of the wider context before making a decision to enter a trade. Singular events, like earnings announcements, news releases, or market rumours, can cause spikes in volume. For instance, Federal Reserve interest rate decisions often lead to significant volume entering the market. While the decision may cause a sharp spike in price and volume, the asset can just as easily reverse and take off in the other direction as traders digest additional information. In other words, a volume spike may not necessarily signal a sustainable trend. In these scenarios, waiting for the dust to settle and looking for additional factors to support your bias is best. Overreliance on Volume Data Another mistake to avoid is relying too heavily on volume data alone. While analysing volume is a valuable tool, it should form part of a broader strategy supported by other technical indicators. Volume is a leading indicator, as are the other indicators listed in this article, meaning it can help traders predict future price movements. Therefore, it’s best to pair volume analysis with a lagging indicator, like moving averages or Bollinger Bands, which can confirm a trader’s prediction. For instance, you could look for divergences between price and volume, anticipating a reversal. Once you set a bias, wait for a moving average crossover to confirm the trend and enter in that direction. In doing so, you now have extra confirmation that your prediction was correct. Your Next Steps You now have a comprehensive overview of volume and how it can be a valuable addition to any trading strategy. Wondering what your next steps should be? You can try this: 1. Hop on the TickTrader platform and observe the relationship between volume and price, especially during trends, reversals and breakouts. 2. Test out the three indicators listed in this article. If you find one that you like, search for further resources to expand your knowledge. 3. Backtest a volume trading strategy, logging your results and adjusting your system as you go. 4. Feel ready to put your skills to the test? Open an FXOpen account and put your strategy to work. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
Bitcoin Onchain Volume and Trading volumeHello guys.today i want to explain how we can find important Resistance and Support levels in BTC according to onchain transaction volumes and trading or off chain volumes. when we talk about onchain volume means Vol of transactions recorded in blockchain. and when we talk about Trading Vol or offchain Vol means transactions recorded in exchanges. Comparing on-chain and off-chain transaction volume can help us verify that data on exchange trading volume is accurate. Off-chain volume should behave in the same way as on-chain volume. We need this metrics in Tradingview 1)BCHAIN/TRVOU - QUANDL ----> this metric shows trading volume in Exchanges daily(Blue chart) 2)BTC_TXVOLUME - INTOTHEBLOCK ----> this metric shows BTC onchain volume daily(Purple chart) and the price chart attached between this two metrics in my charts above.(Orange chart) so when the trading volume and onchain volume grows together , we can see bounce or fall in price. i show the trading volume and onchain volume Highs with colorful vertical lines and illustrate important support and resistance levels this highs show on my chart with colorful horizontal lines. according to this method , below we have important levels in BTC price that volume grows strong so a lot of coins move from hand to hand. this levels are : 19700 - 20500 - 32500 - 37200 - 43200 - 48000 - 56000 - 61500 Hope you like my opinion and if you have notices about it please share me in comments. thank you all.
T
by TraderAmin-KZ
1
RUNE potential profitable LONG above 7.900It's a nice and simple chart for $RUNEUSDT It came as an unexpected drop today for RUNE considering as JASMY and WAVE have been holding and running an uptrend. However, on the upside, as BITCOIN seems to rally up, if RUNE breaks through 7.900 price mark, we will see a continuation to above ~8,100 levels, and higher. It is best to watch the 15m chart with a clear view on the 4h as RUNE has good trading volume currently.
Long
by UnknownUnicorn35305092
FedEx MEDIUM-TERM OUTLOOK|Technicals &Few Fundamentals|DJUSAF/TSFedEx(FDX) : Series on Equities (Extension to XLI post)- Sept 22nd (5 Minute Read) Since I do not post much about individual equities (maybe this will change in the future) , I will keep this post short and mostly technical . Nevertheless, some extremely significant fundamentals will be analysed . The purpose of this post is to analyse FedEx's performance and their correlation with the expected performance of the US economy in the next 3-4 Quarters . Key word : Expectations . Starting-off with the technicals. On the monthly chart, FDX is nearing a bearish cross/squeeze on the ichimoku cloud . This is quite crucial as the ichimoku cloud previously served as a buy zone in 2016 and 2012 . At the end of 2018 and the sell-off, the primary support levels for FedEx were the 100 Monthly EMA (turquoise line) near the ichimoku cloud. Unfortunately, this outcome only served as a bearish flag, and with the recent earnings miss the cross finally happened. At this moment and time in September, the last monthly candle simply looks very nasty(bearish) . As labelled from the chart, the next support zones are the previous bottoms from 2016 and the peaks of 2007 ~122-132$ . Now, let's dive into the fundamentals and compare FedEx to the dow benchmark for delivery and transportation services . ibb.co ( DJUSAF- Delivery Services ) ibb.co ( DJUSTF- Transportation Services ) Unfortunately, these charts can't be accessed on Tradiview due to regulations. FedEx blamed the recent earnings miss on the US/China Trade war stall and the split with Amazon . This is fair, but is there more to it? From the 2 links above, it's clear that the two industries haven't performed as well as compared to some of the other cyclical industries. DJUSAF/DJUSTF can be considered somewhat middle of the pack between cyclical and defensive , depending on the factors considered. Perhaps FedEx is struggling, but so are these fundamental industries as a whole . The last earnings miss from FedEx was not as large as the previous one, yet it seems that the expectations were that it will perform just as well as the rest of the SPX/Dow companies . The main issue at hand is, whether this poor performance can improve our expectations on, how the economy will perform in the next four critical and highly risky quarters (Q3;Q4- 2019, Q1;Q2- 2020)? (ibb.co) Credit to the Cass Freight inc . The recent report from the Cass Freight Inc. suggests that there is a major downtrend in trading volume across the US and globally. FedEx's lowering their 2020 earnings guidance is not a mutually exclusive issue to the downtrend in trading volumes. Essentially, the worst case outcome of these two events is that, they can be seen as recession foreshadowing factors . Without a doubt their performance can be considered as fundamental to a healthy and growing economy. To wrap up this post just like every other one from my past 10 posts- since the summer and in the following quarters, expecting a speculation game . On the chart above the primary bullish FedEx targets are marked in case there's a US/China trade deal . Otherwise, as things stand, the most likely pattern is the drawn ABC . Depending on the timing of the bad news in the worst case, could expect a direct drop to ~60,65$. Keeping a close look at FedEx and the performance of some of the fundamental/defensive industries in the next couple of quarters will be essential . This is it for FedEx, hope at least someone found this post useful! I'd really appreciate any comments with insights on FedEx or similarly fundamental stocks. -Step_Ahead_ofthemarket- >>I do not share my ideas for the likes or the views. This channel is only dedicated to well informed research and other noteworthy and interesting market stories.>> However, if you'd like to support me and get informed in the greatest of details, every thumbs up and follow is greatly appreciated ! 1. Part two- US10Y, US 10 Year Treasury note Yield 2. The uptrend in VIX analysis : 3. FED Rates Supercyclical analysis : 4. US Industrials XLI : Full Disclosure: This is just an opinion, you decide what to do with your own money. For any further references or use of my content for private or corporate purposes- contact me through any of my social media channels.
NYSE:FDXShort
by step_ahead_ofthemarket
Why The USD Is NOT Going UP Anytime SoonYesterday, September 18 the FED has decided to lower interest rates by 0.25%. The markets reacted in an odd way because instead of the US Dollar going down it went up, freaking up some traders and speculators. The reason why I did not panic or closed my position short on US Dollar is simply because of 2 simple reasons (as you can see on the chart): 1. Price Action: yes the price went up with a fairly decent candle, with no wicks. 2. VOLUME: the combination of Price Action and BELOW average volume had shown me 1 simple but important thing, the big market makers i.e. big banks, hedge funds, Central Banks, did not enter on the move up. Why? They already knew that the FED will continue to pour and supply the system. A fairly decent candle (no wicks) without a volume to backup it is called an anomaly. And every time we see an anomaly we have to stop and thing. By the way, I have chosen the pair USD/JPY because for me it's a better thermometer for the USD.
Short
by Gottmann
2