ZIL Ascending Triangle Above TRAMAZil/USDT Create Ascending Triangle on Binance 4h Chart pattern above the Trama
Ascending Triangle
The ascending triangle is a bullish formation that usually forms during an uptrend as a continuation pattern. There are instances when ascending triangles form as reversal patterns at the end of a downtrend, but they are typically continuation patterns. Regardless of where they form, ascending triangles are bullish patterns that indicate accumulation.
Because of its shape, the pattern can also be referred to as a right-angle triangle. Two or more equal highs form a horizontal line at the top. Two or more rising troughs form an ascending trend line that converges on the horizontal line as it rises. If both lines were extended right, the ascending trend line could act as the hypotenuse of a right triangle. If a perpendicular line were drawn extending down from the left end of the horizontal line, a right triangle would form.
Trama
volatility still horror pic in the makingthe fed isnt interested in saving the market. it only cares that it delays the maximum selling until late in the year. they want choppy action because this allows them to scare retail out and institutions can scale horizontally. were likely to hit signal, sss ma, trama and rebound. uvxy is a sell if we get to top of envelope or we break pivot and continue lower. its still a buy around green signal.
betting on rip sellits fantastic that major indices are still managing to find areas of support on the way down. this to me is indicating when we do finally recover it will happen in a reliable manner. its also telling me that these areas are not max pain. to find a bottom permenantly id like to see bullishly diverged oversold levels in high volume. right now signal is still red, and trama sss ma are resistive near top of envelope. these indicators would need to show green candles before spx is a buy again.
10% if we pull back to trama and the .5 fib levelthere may be confirmation of a bottom if we continue this pullback to higher levels daily bitcoin. by every measure theres been a slow daily grind up after the last distributive weekly move. if we retrace to a reasonable lwvel i imagine reviaiting trama isnt a problem. thats about 10% up. envelope is fonally tilting up although sss ma is still acting as resistance. if we break thursdays low were in for bottom of range. upper horizontals are sell targets and lower are buy to close targets pivot is dashed line.
were right around vwap anchored at last sell signalwhether we blow through this vwap and smash though the sss supple zone, or pull back to retest sssma and trama, it looks like the upper nadaraya watson envelope gets touched again. im waiting on another sell signal from that strategy. it seems like theres this scenario where the vix gaps up and takes off, but more measured and muted drawdown has been the norm for weeks as we grind lower. we really need to see qqq, xlf, soxl, spy to new lows if we want to long vix, and we really would like to see rotation firing on all cylinders with iwm, xlv, xle green to see a bottom story coming out of broader matkets. if we come to the top of this range and pull back i would close long.
weekly picture at crossroadseither we hit this weekly sss demand zone and bounce, or we blow through it and make new lows. we are at bottom of envelope, and it appears to be turning. if sss signal stays red and we break 362.17 i thikk were in for 350.77 if not much lower around 320. if we bounce off that 363 level, and we get over the 377 range ithink were in for 396 maybe 405. horizontals dont align exactly with fib but thats because were in the middle of the retracement and havent found a bottom. the chances are low that we finish the week strong and start next week with a bounce, but i bet that when we do get a move with clairity its either a reversal around double bottom or a bearish continuation of trend.
using sss and trama as a guidexbt is trending in bull reversal, and we have an hourly pullback from the current day high that is showing price will revisit one of these levels. the most bullish case is we stay long sss and qqe 15 minute and bounce off signal or moving average and that is marked out in dark green. the slightly less bullish case is if we go for a touch of rising trama. if we bounce from there the range is marked out in light green. the slightly more bearish case is if we break trama and head for that sss supply zone. this is an area we could still bounce from and its marked out in light red. if we go red sse and qqe and break beneath sss supply zone we could follow the path marked in dark red. over all were still in a trending market that is bullish.
sss amd qqe are long, but sinking trama was touchedlike the title says weve just touched trama on the hourly and its still sinking. if sss and qqe remain long i would long if we stay over this pivot or support lower horizontal, and i want to short a bear breech of this pivot or a rejection from upper horizontal.
has tech retraced enough off this bottom to hold?if we get support over this pivot and the 0.5 retracement level id imagine we would have a bull pull up to a sell the rip level. if we get resistance to this pivot i see that well have a continued selloff to lower horizontals. if we have resistance to upper horizontals i think were at a sell the rip level. if we support along lower horizontals i see that were at a buy the dip level. if we start to breech lower horizontals with volume tech is bearish, and if we start to breech upper horizontals tech is bullish. the red or green ghost feed is a path the nasdaq could follow.trama sinking and resisting is bearish. trama rising and supporting is bullish. qqe and sss red or green is long or short. if we stay short qqe and red sss it s bearish if we turn green sss and long qqe its bullish.
whether to go bull based on this daily bounce alonei onlywant to long bull breech of this pivot, short the upper horizontal, long the lower horizontal, or short a bear touch of this pivot. if sss and qqe go long, im long. if qqe and sss go short, im short. if trama gets touched,and heads down with price that adds to a bear case. if trama acts as support and rises that adds to the bull case. this applies to the full broader market spectrum, and the crypto space when the dollar is bearish for a bull crypto scenario, and dxy is bullish for a bear crypto scenario.
qqe and sss are long but there is some doubtwe can look at signals all day and say theyre bullish, but the reality is that they are only bullish until they're not. this means thatwhen facts change you have to change the trade to meet the trend. i would trade a break of this pivot as bullish, and staying below it as bearish. we could follow the green or red path. sell if qqe or sss go red.
could this be a weekly bottom in bitcoin?btcusd has been making its way to the low end of this SSS supply zone. if we stay beneaththis pivot id imaginewere headed for a breakof the lower levels or the bottom of this range, and if we head upwards were likely headed for a test of sss signal or the top of this range. qqe is long so im buying until this zone dries up, and imselling a rally on this timeframe. as is shown in this fixed range volume profile the majority of the action since the top has beenright below this pivot that ive drawn in dashes.
what a great stock to own long termfacebook is one of those companies that is pretty well here to stay. i could see this over $600 one day. once we get over TRAMA and sss, qqe go green i would have no problem averaging into this for a passive investment in tech. facebook will always think of new ways to squeeze more money out of their user data.
hard turn up for vixes1! puts have been lining up for a pump in vx1! and this is captured in uvxy hourly as a bullish engulfing in reversal in red territory sss candles. as long as we hold hourly lows vix and we cross above pivot turning sss signal green and printing a qqe long upper horizontals are in play.
touching TRAMA and SSS signal with QQE longi imagine that if we cross above this pivot hourly and beat TRAMA and SSS signal turning it green the QQE long entry will play out for bulls aroundupper gorizontals, and if we stay beneath those levels turning TRAMA back down hugging SSS signal lower remaining red i would look for lower horizontals.
looks like gap down and bounce could go both wayswere off the lows for the session in the nasdaq, nq1!, and ndx, and creating a slightly higher low than yesterday. we have retested sss moving average, and nearly crossed signal to the upside. if we fall beneath pivot i would look toward sss supply area, and lower horizontals. if we stay above pivot and TRAMA i would look for upper horizontals.
guessing a gap down will be for buyinga gap down in the nasdaq makes the most sense to me at this point, and i would guess that if we buy that up and defend the $23- high $22s we sould revisit TRAMA and get VWMA to change directions targeting high $23s - low $24s which is also around the .618 of the daily bounce retracement
the 4 hr is at critical .5 level and oversold stochfib of bounce gives us about 50% retracement if there is some recovery to tighten in range we could look back up at 22.23-22.48 setting a daily higher low if market decides to gap up friday. if vwma keeps rising and trama flattens out we will have a bounce in semis. if these indicators keep bearish divergence we are likely continuing lower in broader markets. $23 is still a critical level for this trade. $20.96 is the next level if we continue this pop down. semis started this correction only they can get it out.