SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 8-1 : Where's the BaseRally301 PatternI know. I'm asking the same question.
Today's move is not normal. The US markets don't move 1.5 to 3.5% on normal days. This is something bigger - outside the normal scope of market data.
It could be the election conflict in Venezuela.
It could be the US POTUS election news.
It could be what appears to be a collapse in Asian markets.
It could be that European markets fell hard today.
It could be anything that is related to forward expectations for the US/Global markets.
My data is still showing this is a DIP in a bullish trend (a BUY THE DIP opportunity).
My data shows the following:
- Europe & Asia are trending downward.
- US is following Europe/Asia.
- US-Dollar Demand (SPY BASE TREND) is flat - but still strong
- Hedge Assets (Gold/Silver/BTCUSD) are holding up well in the face of this move.
- The MRM system has not turned BEARISH yet (that's good).
- Major Markets To Metals (hedge instruments) are much weaker.
- The Volatility Index is at 15.51 (still above the <12 level for a bearish trend).
- The Leading Index is lower (showing Volatility near a Flag Apex).
- The Market Ratio index is higher (showing reflation strength).
- The US to Global Index is still showing the US markets are stronger than the foreign markets.
- The US Valuation Trend index is at 240 (reflating strongly compared to foreign markets).
After watching the price trend all morning with my new MENT Pressure System (including the Fibonacci Price Theory model), I really do believe this is a FLUSH-OUT LOW setting up which will revert back into a bullish price trend (the Vortex Rally phase).
Nothing seems broken to me (yet).
Get some.
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TRAN
Energy - Oil / DeiselTrucking - specifically the $TRAN and Deisel Fuel Oil is under immense duress.
The primary support system for moving goods is seeing lasting stress which will
lead to further supply shortages.
Shortages will begin to appear at an accelerated pace into August.
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Stocking up on basics... a very good idea.
TRAN - Transener rompiendo techo de canalTransener pudo romper al alza el techo del canal de largo plazo por lo que habilitaría el objetivo del techo del desdoblamiento de canal en la zona de los $48,8. Sería bueno ver un aumento en el volumen negociado para despejar las dudas. MACD en velas semanales apoyando la hipótesis alcista. Importante no perder el soporte en los $44. Veremos qué dice el mercado.
(no considerar como recomendación de compra/venta de activos)
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MACRO VIEW: S&P500 CUTS SHORT TERM RISK - AGAINOver the last week S&P500 has broken above both 1-year and quarterly downtrend borders, marked by the lower 1st standard deviations from the 1-year and quarterly years respectively
It already happened back in September, but this time the downtrends are most likely over - the price tagged the quarterly mean, thus cancelling the quarterly downtrend completely
The positive developments are supported by the related Dow Jones indices (Paper and Transportation - displayed as blue and orange lines on the chart)
So we can conclude that the much feared earnings seasons has actually improved the situation on the key benchmark and can lead to its compete recovery to summer highs.