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The Volume Trick: A Bullish Mirage 📈Trading cryptocurrencies often requires deciphering the subtle cues that the market offers. One such phenomenon is the apparent decrease in trading volume while prices continue to climb. While this may seem like weakness, it can, in fact, be a trap for shorts and a strong bullish signal. Let's dive into this intriguing market dynamic. Understanding the Volume Puzzle: Trading volume typically reflects market participation and strength. A decrease in volume might suggest waning interest or weakening momentum. The Deceptive Setup: Sometimes, as prices rise, trading volume shrinks, creating the illusion of market fatigue. This scenario may lead short-sellers to believe the market is losing steam. The Reality: Contrary to appearances, this setup often serves as a trap for shorts. It may signify that long-term holders are not rushing to sell, indicating strong hands. The Bullish Implication: A market that can sustain or increase prices with lower volume is demonstrating resilience. This can be a precursor to a significant bullish move. Trading Strategy: Navigating the Volume Mirage Traders should exercise caution when interpreting volume patterns. A decrease in volume amid a price rise should not be automatically seen as bearish. Risk management remains vital, as markets can be unpredictable. Conclusion: The Volume Illusion Recognizing the subtleties of trading volume can provide valuable insights into market dynamics. When volume decreases but prices continue to rise, it often confounds short-sellers and sets the stage for a bullish surge. Remember that trading is both an art and a science, and making informed decisions is key in the crypto landscape. Stay vigilant, adapt to changing conditions, and, above all, trade wisely. As we navigate the complexities of the crypto market, let's keep an eye out for these volume tricks that may just be a prelude to a bullish rally. 📊🚀🌐 ❗See related ideas below❗ Don't forget to like, share, and leave your thoughts in the comments! 💚🚀💚
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Yaroslav_Krasko
"HODL" Mentality: Lessons for TradersThe HOMie Mentality: Buying at ATH Many novice traders, or HOMies, fall into the trap of buying a cryptocurrency when it's near its all-time high (ATH). They're influenced by FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) and jump into the market without a clear strategy. Market Dynamics: Understanding the Cycle Cryptocurrency markets follow a cyclical pattern of ups and downs. Novice traders often enter during the euphoric "FOMO" phase when prices are at their peak. The Emotional Rollercoaster: Avoiding HOMie Mistakes To avoid the HOMie trap, it's crucial to detach emotions from trading decisions. Create a clear strategy with entry and exit points, and stick to it. Risk Management: Protecting Your Investments Novice traders should prioritize risk management. Only invest what you can afford to lose, and avoid putting all your funds into a single asset. Education: The Key to Success Novice traders can transition from being HOMies to informed investors by educating themselves. Learn about technical analysis, market cycles, and different trading strategies. Conclusion: From HOMie to Trader The HODL mentality can be a valuable strategy when used wisely, but it shouldn't lead novice traders to make impulsive decisions. By understanding market dynamics, managing risk, and educating themselves, HOMies can transform into informed traders who navigate the crypto market with confidence. Remember, successful trading takes time and patience, and every trader, even the most experienced, started as a novice. 🌐📈💡 ❗See related ideas below❗ Don't forget to like, share, and leave your thoughts in the comments. 💚🚀💚
Education
by Yaroslav_Krasko
1
Power of Bullish Divergence 📈Divergence, a powerful concept in technical analysis, has been making waves in the world of Bitcoin trading. Recently, we witnessed a remarkable 90% surge in Bitcoin's price, driven by a bullish divergence pattern on the weekly chart. In this post, we'll delve into the significance of this pattern and explore the potential outcomes of a similar bullish divergence on the daily Bitcoin chart. Weekly Chart Bullish Divergence: A bullish divergence occurs when the price of an asset makes lower lows, while a relevant technical indicator, in this case, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), forms higher lows. In simple terms, it suggests that while the price is weakening, the momentum is picking up, potentially indicating a trend reversal. The recent bullish divergence on the weekly Bitcoin chart was a game-changer, leading to a substantial 90% price increase. Daily Chart Potential: Now, let's shift our focus to the daily Bitcoin chart and what we can expect from a bullish divergence on this timeframe: 50% Potential Gain: While it's difficult to predict exact price movements, historical patterns suggest that a bullish divergence on the daily chart could lead to significant gains. Confirmation Needed: Remember that trading based on a single indicator can be risky. It's essential to confirm the bullish divergence with other technical indicators or chart patterns for added reliability. Risk Management: Maintain a disciplined approach to risk management. Determine stop-loss levels and position sizes based on your risk tolerance. Caution and Patience: The crypto market is known for its volatility. While bullish divergences can be strong signals, they are not foolproof. Be patient and wait for confirmation before entering a trade. False signals can occur, so consider using multiple indicators to cross-verify your analysis. Conclusion: The recent 90% growth following a bullish divergence on the weekly Bitcoin chart showcases the power of this technical pattern. While it doesn't guarantee future success, it provides valuable insights into potential trend reversals. As we look at the daily chart, the prospect of a 50% gain from a similar pattern is intriguing. However, exercise caution, practice strict risk management, and consider multiple factors before making trading decisions. Trading in the crypto market is exciting, but it's also challenging. Stay informed, stay analytical, and remember that a diversified approach and continual learning are keys to success in crypto trading. 🚀📊🧐 ❗See related ideas below❗ Like, share, and leave your thoughts in the comments! Your engagement fuels our crypto discussions. 💚🚀💚
Long
by Yaroslav_Krasko
Long BTC/USDTP - Potential MM's Weekend TrapLooks like a 5-wave Elliott wave move up, with waves 3 and 5 hopefully hitting over the weekend. Wave 0 starting during the NYC session/reversal, potentially offering-up a nice “market maker weekend trap”, topping-out at wave 5. If true, price should also retrace back down for the “midweek reversal” next week. Invalidation (stop loss) would be price closing below wave 0 (red S1 line on the CPR). Shout out to Tino @TradersReality Craig Percoco, @TradeTravelChill and Anup's magical CPR.
Long
by dimuthj
Bitcoin's Second Bottom Before Halving: A Potential Trap When Bitcoin undergoes a significant price decline and subsequently forms another bottom before the halving, some traders might interpret this as an attractive entry point to buy Bitcoin at a seemingly discounted price. The expectation is that the halving will trigger a supply shortage and, in turn, drive up the price. However, financial markets are inherently uncertain and influenced by various factors, both within and outside the cryptocurrency space. While historical patterns and past halvings may provide insights, they do not guarantee future outcomes. The second bottom could be a "bear trap," luring traders into buying, only for the price to continue declining or remaining stagnant, resulting in losses for those who entered the market with high expectations. It is essential for traders and investors to exercise caution and avoid making decisions solely based on historical patterns or event speculation. Conducting thorough research, staying informed about market developments, and employing proper risk management strategies are crucial when participating in the volatile and unpredictable world of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. Additionally, seeking advice from financial experts can help in making informed investment choices.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by UnknownUnicorn3237473
3
Smart money bear trap thesis?Tags: Blackrock Bitcoin ETF, Inflation, PCE, FED, Wage-price spiral, BTC.D, ETH/BTC Could we be mimicking 1970's market? So last PCI reading came 3% but core CPI is still high and Core PCE (FED's preferred inflation measure) has been sticky in 4.5% area for past several months. Whilst inflation expectations have been tamed by FEDs continued "We remain focused on getting inflation back to 2%." This message must be maintained and a recession is inevitable. Look at 10Y3M yields and 10Y2Y bond yields. We have real pain yet to come. So headline inflation is being curved down and celebrated however the next step is the risk of a wage-price spiral which is being priced in and expected to also not become a threat once unemployment rises but the job markets are remaining resilient. Therefore, the FED will hold interest rates at 5.25-5.50 bps until inflation is confidently curbed. We have not yet seen fear in markets from recessionary risks. Everyone is thinking it will be a mild one however the future is hard to foresee and there are underlying financial risks not in the limelight yet. Now, you have the market context we shall dive into the charts!
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by Muri001
1
BTC ready for is a TrapHello Birdies, EPIC SHORT ALIGNING!!! A exciting week this was. But stay cautious this is a bull trap in progress. As you all know we trade what we see RIGHT! So here is what we are seeing on our weekly chart. The falling wedge going to work as a bull trap. There is a huge trendline which was broke down and converted into resistance The trendline starts in Jan 2021 Converted to resistance in Jun 2022 Retested as resistance in Aug 2022 Its going to test it again somewhere in Feb 2023 Work as a trap and boom Don't beat the line after snake is gone. Trade what you see
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BlackBirdTrading
10
Bull Run Or Bull Trap, answer in 1 dayIt is quite simple, we are sitting at 23250 for BTCUSD at the moment, if we want to confirm that this is a bull run that can go longer and signal the start of a change out of the bear market we need a monthly candle close above 23250 for a new monthly higher high "above July and August 2022", this will be the first "proper" monthly higher high SINCE the ATH. If BTC fails to achieve this, it will be a lower high and we are in for quite some downside. Lets not forget FOMC at 1st of Feb, so maybe we will have a rally into that and get the monthly high we so desperately need.
by theChartGuru
2
AMD heading toward support areaFor those of you who are following along with me on my little obsession with AMD, the past week was pretty exciting for those who were shorting the stock as the price dropped out of that short-covering rally like a rock for a $9.46 gain. AMD is now reaching a very uncertain area with 3 support levels to get through and it's actually touched an ascending trend line, so I'm expecting a few bounces to occur. My first short target is the middle of the support area at 59.80, but with hindsight, it should have been 63.62 which is the first support level below the 2-year line. The ultimate target is still 50. It's very possible AMD will make a double-bottom before it gets to 50 so I would look out for that. I'm still bearish at this point. Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor, and the above statements are not investment advice. My comments are only intended for educational purposes. You are solely responsible for your own trading decisions.
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by cdnbuzzard
SPX. The Certainty Trap ‘Never’ &‘always’ have no place in MKTS!Just passing this cool info written by a guy called Ben Carlson. - Ben discusses the differences between probability and certainty: "There are two arguments I see on a regular basis that show up as a result of data overload: …because that’s never happened before. …because that’s what’s always happened before. -The problem with this line of thinking is that it can lead investors to fall into what I like to call the certainty trap. It’s this all-or-nothing line of thinking that causes so many to constantly attach extremes to every single market move or data point they see. The beginning of the recovery or the end of the world is always right around the corner. The assumption is that we’re always either at a top or a bottom when most of the time the markets are probably somewhere in the middle." -The reason the investing certainty trap is so easy to fall for is because historical data can feel so safe and reassuring. Look here, my data says that this has never (always) happened in the past. Surely this trend will continue. I’ll just sit here and wait for my profits to start rolling in. -‘Never’ and ‘always’ have no place in the markets because no one really knows what’s going to happen next. ‘Most of the time’ is a much more reasonable goal, because nothing works forever and always in the markets. If it did everyone would simply invest that way. I think a much more levelheaded approach is to follow the Jason Zweig 10 word investment philosophy: -Anything is possible, and the unexpected is inevitable. Proceed accordingly.
SP:SPXEducation
by samitrading
2
SMC TrapHello traders - In this part, we will talk about the smart money trap. - There are a lot of traps for traders left by big boys in the markets to take your money. That's why it's important to be careful, and don't swim with fish but swim with sharks if you don't want to be eaten. - The move is designed to first take out early sellers, then take SMC traders. -We'll explain this example in a few steps: 1) We see that the price is in a downtrend, reacting from OB, and supply has full control in this situation. 2) We can all assume that the price will continue to be bearish. 3) Now you can see that the price is coming aggressively to the last OB, and before that, we had WBOS, and there was a trap made for SMC traders. 4) This is inducement, and we talked about it in one of the previous posts, you can go back to it for a more detailed explanation. 5) This OB is not valid for us, because we have seen a lot of liquidity that the price needs to pick up and an aggressive retest. 6) We waited for the price to pick up all the SMC entries, and then the price came to our safe entry, which is marked on the chart as a valid OB. If you liked this example, leave a like for more content like this.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by hybridtradingfx
4
BTC, potential massive bull trap in progress.Two powerful green candles in daily chart all in, right? Be careful, there is a major move coming in weekly chart. BTC right now is forming another strike of bear divergence in OBV, the pivot is the 20700$ area. If BTC continues stalling here you will see sell signal in Coppock Curve and that combined with a bear divergence in OBV will be the trigger for the weekly chart move to the downside. That is the scenario I am looking for. Invalidation: BTC must have a powerful break above 21k, no more sideways there is no time.
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by KraIord
1
Bull/Bear Trap + M.E.Bull Trap: those open long position within short period of time the market reverse below the stop loss; Bear Trap: those open short position within short period of time the market reverse above the stop loss; M.E. : Market Engine indicator that gauges the momentum; Price Action Color Bar and M.E. help to eliminate those mislead information to trader/investor and avoid take preemptive action. Check out the Slides to get an ideal how I apply those to filter some of costly trades. docs.google.com
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by situ886
1
XRP BULLFLAG BUY TRAP .. BEARISH STILLHad us pretty fooled lol the resistance are strong .. bullish pennant bull flag formed and now became an impressive fake out. This is unbelievable i know y’all don’t want to hear this but this seem like XRPUSD ( Ripple) will crash.. it will drop a lot faster than expected. Since now the Feds made the 3rd 75 basis point to fight off the inflation to try to keep it under control. All the change the bands are pointing down … we will see the big fall. Please trade safe and don’t get spikes out.
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDShort
by JoyBoyVegae
2