Trapped-sellers
USD/CHF Possible PeakWe are are pushing up into new yearly highs. Price has nibbled through a few times from what it looks like from the three push pattern. It was good for a 150 pip drop. Sellers who took their profits are good. What about the sellers who anticipated a further drop and held on? They are in serious heat right now and trailing/break even stops have been hit. Now we have another pattern presenting a selloff even though we are witnessing previous sellers taking heat. These sellers will get let out. But not soon. Damage have to be done first. It could take days or weeks. Very rarely we screw up that bad to be right back into profit the next day or two. Also we still have sellers from end of day pop ups who haven't taken much heat. They guys will be targeted in the coming days. Then breakout buyers will be rewarded and taken sideways again. FX:USDCHF
AUD/USD possible bottom with trapped long timeframe breakouts.I see a lot of accumulated volume underneath large timeframe breakout levels.There are weekly breakouts,monthly,and the year being pushed down. Sellers are chasing it down and it has already broken past my first 2 levels. In the coming days or weeks, I'm looking for price to hit the rest of my levels before reversing to hit the chasers and breakouts. FX:AUDUSD
Possible bottom for NZD/USDThis is a similar setup to GBP/USD. I wouldn't expect a deep dig underneath the buyzone.Maybe accumulation and a stops hit below it before reversing. When I'm calling tops and bottoms, that don't mean that price will trend up or down for eternity from there. These are setups I'm confident with to add size into or have a wider stop. I don't know what the market will do but from backtesting, when these levels are generated, there is usually a reversal that follows.Sometimes it's insntantly, sometimes it's over the course of days.I wouldn't enter trades on them especially the first 1-3 levels.