Booking Holdings: Soon…The Booking stock remains in a strong, ultra-long-term uptrend. Since reaching the correction low of the green wave in August, the stock has rallied by over 65%. We primarily place it in the larger blue wave (I) and anticipate further gains soon. However, according to our alternative scenario, a premature break of the $4,275 support level has a 37% probability.
Travelsector
RCL may set up a fall from a rising wedge SHORTRCL took a bit of time to recover from COVID but has now done well. The dialy chart reflects
this. Last year price rose in the winder and spring then fell when the summer ended and
reversed upside in November. Ir is now in a rising wedge and price is at the upper trendline.
It is confluent with the second upper VWAP band line suggesting not much room upside as
that line is providing dynamic resistance. The predictive algorithm from Lux Algo designed
to forward forecast from a lookback of the regression line to the left predicts a fall from
the ascending resistance trendline and the underside of that VWAP line. I will short
RCL here and entertain a hedged options trade to insure the short trade. I have shown a
peer stock NCLH from the cruise industry. It has not done as well as RCL. If RCL starts
falling significantly some traders may move their capital to NCLH and help it rise. I will put
NCLH on my watch list along with UAL, AAL, LUV, DAL and LUV as the summer travel
season will be underway in another sixty days and trader interest may rise with accumulation
and price action to follow.
NCLH - Can this travel /cruise stock rise into earnings. LONGThe cruise line subsector is surging. Apparently Royal Carribean is doing better than Norweigan
but both a having a busy 20214. Earnings are around the corner. On the 60 minute chart
the lower anchored VWAP bands are all trending down as is price overall. Of late from
underneather price has tested the mean VWAP line and than did a test of resistance at
the first lower VWAP bandline where it still sits at the underside. The "Next Pivot" AI indicator
suggests a hard uptrend heading into earnings. The RSI indicator shows both fast and slow
lines under the 50 level. Based on everything here knowing earnings are coming ;they likely
will be good with the AI indictor predicting a 7-8% jump in the run up to earnings.
I am fairly smart but well aware not so much compared with the predictive modeling of
an AI indicator with its lookback and pattern matching routines. I will take a long trade
here confident that the risk has been somewhat mitigated by an AI indicator, industry trending
and the chart itself.